thirty-five years of small satellites

17
Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites Siegfried W. Janson, Ph.D. Consultant Future Directions: 35 th Annual Small Satellite Conference, Virtual Version, August 7-12, 2021

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Page 1: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

Siegfried W. Janson, Ph.D.

Consultant

Future Directions:

35th Annual Small Satellite Conference, Virtual Version, August 7-12, 2021

Page 2: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

35th Annual Small Satellite Conference, Virtual Version, August 7-12, 2021

Small Satellite Classes:

Minisatellite 300 to 500 kg

Super-Microsatellite 100 to 300 kg

Microsatellite 10 to 100 kg

Nanosatellite 1 to 10 kg

Picosatellite 0.1 to 1 kg

Femtosatellite 10 to 100 grams

Attosatellite 1 to 10 grams

Zeptosatellite 0.1 to 1 gram

Yoctosatellite Less than 100 milligrams

Page 3: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

Historical Picosatellite Launch Rates

Page 4: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

Historical Nanosatellite Launch Rates

Page 5: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

Historical Microsatellite Launch Rates

Page 6: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

6

Small Satellite Launch History: The First 30 yearsHistorical Super-Microsatellite Launch Rates

Page 7: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

The Start of the Space Age:

•The former U.S.S.R. launches Sputnik-1, a microsatellite in 1957

- Their ICBM-based R7 launch vehicle put 1000 kg+ into LEO

•The U.S. follows with Explorer-1, a microsatellite, in 1958

- U.S. launch vehicles, not based on ICBMs, were smaller

•The U.S.S.R. puts a man into 1 orbit, Yuri Gagarin in April, 1961

•The U.S. follows with John Glen (3 orbits) in February, 1962

•Launch vehicles grow more capable and reliable

•Satellites grow in size as throw weights into LEO increase

•The monolithic silicon IC invented in Silicon Valley in 1959

Page 8: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

The Early Space Age (1957 – 1969):

•The race to the Moon starts (increased government spending)

•Earth observation and communications satellites start as

microsatellites like Telstar-1, or super-microsatellites like

Relay-1 (right)

•Small satellite launch rates increase

through 1965, then decrease as satellites

get bigger and grow out of the small

satellite range

•The U.S. wins the race to the Moon

•ARPANet gets funded

Relay-1 satellite

Page 9: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

The Large Space Era (1970 – 1996):

•The former U.S.S.R. creates the Strela-1M little LEO constellation

- 360 microsatellites put into ~1,400 km altitude orbits

•No active nanosatellites or picosatellites launched

•Only ~5 non-Strela microsatellites launched per year

•The 4004 microprocessor introduced in 1971

•Microcomputers become a consumer product in late 1970’s

•DARPA initiates LightSat program, holds workshop in 1987

•First AIAA/USU Conference on Small Satellites starts in 1987

•Microelectronics, microelectromechanical systems, new battery

technologies, new solar cell technologies, etc., significantly

decrease satellite system and subsystem size, mass, and power

Page 10: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

The New Space Era (1997 – Now):

•The New Space Era starts with the return of nanosatellites

•Nanosatellite launch rates grow exponentially over 20+ years

•The CubeSat revolution starts in 2003

- Containerized delivery of satellites to orbit: 10 or more launch

opportunities per year

- CubeSats meet basic testing requirements and are enclosed:

primary payloads protected

- Reduced flight integration costs: once qualified for a particular

launch vehicle, there’s no need to re-qualify for new flights

- Modularity: a single CubeSat ejector can hold 1 or more sats

- 10 or more flight opportunities provides rapid design/build/test/fly

cycles that are ~7 times faster than in the Large Space Era.

Page 11: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

The New Space Era (1997 – Now) Continued:•CubeSats allow universities, businesses, and even individuals to

fly satellites

•Attitude control systems shrink to where 0.01o, or better, for 3-

axis control is possible

- Earth observation (EO) CubeSats became commercially-viable

•Planet Labs flys over 475 CubeSats for EO at 3-to-5 meter resol.

•Other companies start CubeSat or micro/nanosatellite

constellations

- Optical Earth observation

- Space weather monitoring

- Machine-to-machine (M2M) communications and the Internet of

Things (IoT)

- Synthetic aperture radar (SAR)

Page 12: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

Small Satellite Pointing Accuracy (1997 – Now)

Page 13: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

Organization: Number

Launched

Target

NumberForm Factor Purpose:

SpaceX (StarLink) 1,675 >40,000 Super-micro Global Internet

Planet Labs 475 >150 3U Daily Earth imaging at 5-

meter resolution

OneWeb 216 648 Super-micro Mobile 5G services

Spire (Lemur) 141 150 3U Maritime & aircraft tracking,

GPS radio occultation data

Swarm

Technologies

93 600 1U, ¼ U M2M, IOT

Chang Guang

(Jilin-1)

24 138 Microsatellite Earth imaging

Planet labs

SkySat

21 24 Micro- &

Super-Microsat

Earth imaging @ 50 cm

NuSat (Aleph-1) 18 90 Microsatellite Earth Imaging @ 1 meter

ORBCOMM G2 17 52 Super-micro M2M

Kepler Comm. 15 140 3U, 6U M2M, IOT

Small Satellite Constellations with 15 or More Satellites

Page 14: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

Interest Rates for U.S. Three-Year Treasury Bills

We currently have exceptionally low cost of capital for new

commercial space companies. Now’s the time to invest!!!

Page 15: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

Where are we Now?:•Super-microsatellites for Internet connectivity are invading LEO

- 1,675 StarLink super-microsatellites (so far), at ~260 kg each, is

435,500 kg; more mass than the ISS

- Estimated solar array is ~30 m2 per spacecraft; ~17 MW @ 25%

- The FCC allowed 12,000 satellites, 30,000 more now requested

- Thousands more proposed by Samsung, OneWeb, Boeing, etc.

•Microsatellites

- About 50 per year are being launched for modest constellations

•Nanosatellites

- Planet Labs dominates with over 475 CubeSats

•PicoSatellites

- Swarm Technologies is launching a ~600 picosat M2M constellation

Page 16: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

Where Do We Go From Here?:• We need space traffic management

- The bottom third of LEO (200 to 800 km altitude) is filling up rapidly

- The radiation environment is modest and active deorbit not required

• We should develop active orbital debris removal systems

• We should expand into higher altitudes- Middle and upper LEO (more available volume)

- Super-GEO (huge volume, low radiation above 60,000 km altitude)

- Cis-lunar space (support for manned lunar operations)

- Interplanetary space (near Earth asteroid inspectors)

• We need to plan for global warming restrictions- Will solid rockets and petroleum-based fuels be banned?

- Methane and hydrogen (!!) use natural gas as feedstock

• We should redesign upper stages and satellites, if possible,

to be repurposed after end-of-life

Page 17: Thirty-Five Years of Small Satellites

Thank You!Additional Resources:

NASA, “State-of-the-Art: Small Spacecraft Technology,” NASA TP-2020-

5008734, Small Spacecraft Systems Virtual Institute, Ames Research Center,

Moffett Field, California, October, 2020

Siegfried W. Janson, “25 Years of Small Satellites,” paper SSC11-III-1, 25th

Annual AIAA/USU Conference on Small Satellites, Logan Utah, August 2011

Siegfried W. Janson, “A Brief History of Nanosatellites,” Chapter 1 in

Nanosatellites: Space and Ground Technologies, Operations and Economics,

John Wiley and Sons, 2020

The Nanosatellite Revolution: 25 Years and Counting, H. Helvajian and S.

Janson editors (coming summer 2022)

Siegfried W. Janson, “The Concept and History of Small Satellites,” Chapter

1 in Next Generation CubeSats and Small Sats, Elsevier, (coming summer

2022)