the value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

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The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy Jan Verkade Deltares, Delft University of Technology Ana Iglésias Universidad Politécnica de Madrid Suraje Dessai Universities of Exeter and Lisbon Marjolijn Haasnoot Deltares, Universities of Utrecht and Twente Hessel Winsemius Deltares

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Page 1: The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

Jan Verkade Deltares, Delft University of Technology

Ana Iglésias Universidad Politécnica de Madrid

Suraje Dessai Universities of Exeter and Lisbon

Marjolijn Haasnoot Deltares, Universities of Utrecht and Twente

Hessel Winsemius Deltares

Page 2: The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

April 22-27, 2012The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

EGU2012

• 2012 General Assembly of the European Geosciences Union• April 22-27, Vienna, Austria

Page 3: The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

April 22-27, 2012The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

• Theme: interaction between hydrological sciences and policy / decision-making

Page 4: The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

April 22-27, 2012The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

• What makes a good scientific forecast?• What makes a good forecast for policy-making / decision-making?• How do these differ?

Page 5: The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

April 22-27, 2012The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

Scope is wide!• all temporal and spatial scales, e.g.:

• short-term, seasonal and long-term forecasting

• local, regional, global scales• all hydrology-related disciplines, e.g.:

• forecasting of floods and droughts

• water resources management

• climatic change• all types of forecasts, e.g.:

• single valued / deterministic

• probabilistic

Page 6: The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

April 22-27, 2012The value of prediction in hydrological science and policy

Links and milestones

EGU2012: http://meetings.copernicus.org/egu2012

Abstract submission:

http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2012/session/10298

Deadline for support applications: December 15, 2011

Deadline for abstract submission: January 17, 2012

This presentation: www.slideshare.net/janverkade

Questions? [email protected]

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