the real estate response to covid-19...2020/03/27  · the real estate response to covid-19 anita...

31
The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Friday, March 27 th , 10 am – 11:15 am

Upload: others

Post on 25-May-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

The Real Estate Response to COVID-19Friday, March 27th, 10 am – 11:15 am

Page 2: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

Opening remarks:

Michael LecceseExecutive DirectorULI Colorado

Page 3: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

ULI’s Response to continued COVID-19 Concerns

Health and safety of our members, staff, and national and global networks are of utmost importance. We encourage everyone to follow the social and health protocols outlined by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC): https://www.cdc.gov/

ULI is going virtual. We will continue to do what we do best—convene, share best practices and educate. For upcoming webinars and other opportunities, go to: https://colorado.uli.org/.

ULI’s Toronto Spring Meeting has been cancelled and postponed in Toronto until 2023. Spring meeting 2021 will take place in Denver, CO. Go to uli.org for updates.

ULI Colorado office(s) have also gone virtual, though our staff is always available via email or phone.

Please be careful, safe and healthy as we all face this situation as a community.

Page 4: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

Current Opportunities:

Construction Fundamentals for Development ProfessionalsWebinar, Online Course, March 26th – 27th

Register here: https://americas.uli.org/event/construction-fundamentals-for-development-professionals-3/

Confronting COVID-19 Healthy Buildings – Optimizing Mental HealthFree Webinar, March 31st, 1 pm – 2:15 pm ETRegister here: https://americas.uli.org/event/webinar-confronting-covid-19-healthy-buildings-optimizing-mental-health

Deal Sourcing and Preliminary Evaluation: A Primer, Real Estate Entrepreneur WebinarWebinar, Online Course, April 7th and 9th , 3 pm – 4:30 pm ETRegister here: https://americas.uli.org/event/deal-sourcing-and-preliminary-evaluation-a-primer/

See upcoming local opportunities on ULI Colorado website here: https://colorado.uli.org/events/

We’ve compiled the below list of resources to keep you informed on current impacts we’re seeing as they pertain to real estate, the economy, and your business: Confronting COVID-19: Social Distancing, Buildings, and Lessons from Asia, ULI Asia Pacific Checking Commercial Real Estate's Immunity: The Potential Implications of Coronavirus (COVID-19), Trepp Talk COVID-19 Real Estate Impact: What Experts Say COVID-19: Global Real Estate Implications, JLL Covid-19: Implications for EMEA Real Estate, CBRE

Page 5: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

We want to hear from you!

ULI Colorado is conducting a survey of members to provide ongoing value virtually over the next few months! Please take a moment to contribute to the survey by Friday, April 3rd at this link:

https://uli-colorado.typeform.com/to/MUcqid

Page 6: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated
Page 7: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

Today’s Moderator:

Mike ZoellnerManaging PartnerZF CapitalChairULI Colorado Executive Committee

Page 8: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

Today’s Agenda:

10:10 am – 10:15 am: Opening remarks and introductionsMike Zoellner, Managing Partner, ZF Capital, ULI Chair and moderator

10:15 am - 10:25 am: Emerging Trends todayAnita Kramer, Senior Vice President, ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate

10:25 am – 11:05 am: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19Moderated conversation with panelists: Anita Kramer (ULI Center for Capital Markets)Bill Mosher (Trammell Crow Company)Michael Gifford (AGC Colorado)Paul Washington (JLL)

11:05 am – 11:15 am: Questions from participants using the “chat box”

11:15 am: Closing

Page 9: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

Emerging Trends Today

Anita KramerSenior Vice PresidentULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate

Page 10: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

October 2019

Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2020

Page 11: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

PwC

2020 Expected Profitability

Emerging Trends in Real Estate 202011

15.6% 16.8% 19.3% 20.4%

22.6%

57.2%61.5%

62.8% 61.8%

63.6%

25.7%

19.8%16.8% 17.0% 12.6%

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Fair

Excellent

Abysmal

Excellent

Good

Fair

Abysmal

Expected Profitability

Good

/ ULI2016 2020

Page 12: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

“Shifting focus to the decade ahead”

Presenter
Presentation Notes
.
Page 13: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

13

Shifting Focus to the Decade Ahead

1 A Changing Map

Easing on Down the Road

The Siren Call of TINA

Hipsturbia

A New Menu for Markets

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Page 14: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

14

A Changing Map3

Hipsturbia

“‘You can take the hipster out of the city, but you can’t take the microbrewery and bikeshare out of the hipster"

Page 15: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

PwC

62%69% 72%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Millenials Generation X Baby Boomers

Subu

rbs

Cit

y

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Where do People Currently Live (2018)?

3 Hipsturbia

Page 16: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

PwC

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

Suburb-Suburb City-City City-Suburb Suburb-City

Mill

ions

of

peop

le

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Metropolitan Mobility, 2017-2018

3 Hipsturbia

Page 17: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

PwC

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

Suburb-Suburb City-City City-Suburb Suburb-City

Mill

ions

of

peop

le

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Metropolitan Mobility By Generation, 2017-2018

•-----

-----------

----------

3 Hipsturbia

Page 18: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

PwC

Suburbs are becoming cool again

But…..

Emerging Trends in Real Estate 202018

“You can’t be a suburb of nowhere”

/ ULI

Page 19: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

19

Shifting Focus to the Decade Ahead

2 A Changing Industry

Housing: The Great Unraveling

A Community State of Mind

ESG: A Sustainable Trend

Boomers and Beyond

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Page 20: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

PwC

“Searching for a feeling of place”

Emerging Trends in Real Estate 202020/ ULI

5 A Community State of Mind

Page 21: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

21

Shifting Focus to the Decade Ahead

3 Dealing with

March of Technology

Infrastructure

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Page 22: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

PwC

“”Make the whole equal > than the sum of the parts”

• Collaboration• Facilitation• Visualization• Distribution• Decision Making

Emeging Trends in Real Estate 202022

The March of Technology

/ ULI

8 March of Technology

It's just amazing how quickly we’ve gone from ‘That’s a question that the research department has to handle’ to ‘I’ll choose from a menu of my entire portfolio on my iphone’.

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Page 23: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

The Real Estate Response to COVID-19Anita KramerSenior Vice PresidentULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate

Moderated by:Mike ZoellnerManaging PartnerZF CapitalChairULI Colorado Executive Committee

Michael GiffordPresident & CEOAssociated General Contractors (AGC) Colorado

Bill MosherSenior Managing DirectorTrammell Crow Company

Paul WashingtonMarket DirectorJLL Denver

Page 24: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

What has surprised you the most in the past 30 days?

Page 25: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

The Real Estate Response to COVID-19Anita KramerSenior Vice PresidentULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate

Moderated by:Mike ZoellnerManaging PartnerZF CapitalChairULI Colorado Executive Committee

Michael GiffordPresident & CEOAssociated General Contractors (AGC) Colorado

Bill MosherSenior Managing DirectorTrammell Crow Company

Paul WashingtonMarket DirectorJLL Denver

Page 26: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

Which segments of our industry will be most impacted by this shutdown/recession?

Page 27: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

The Real Estate Response to COVID-19Anita KramerSenior Vice PresidentULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate

Moderated by:Mike ZoellnerManaging PartnerZF CapitalChairULI Colorado Executive Committee

Michael GiffordPresident & CEOAssociated General Contractors (AGC) Colorado

Bill MosherSenior Managing DirectorTrammell Crow Company

Paul WashingtonMarket DirectorJLL Denver

Page 28: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

None of us know the timing of when a turnaround will begin, but where will the phase

1 opportunities be most compelling?

Page 29: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

The Real Estate Response to COVID-19Anita KramerSenior Vice PresidentULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate

Moderated by:Mike ZoellnerManaging PartnerZF CapitalChairULI Colorado Executive Committee

Michael GiffordPresident & CEOAssociated General Contractors (AGC) Colorado

Bill MosherSenior Managing DirectorTrammell Crow Company

Paul WashingtonMarket DirectorJLL Denver

Page 30: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

Have a question for the panel?

Please type in your question in the “chat box” feature of Zoom. At 11 am, we will begin selecting questions from the chat box and our panel will

address them.

Thank you!

Page 31: The Real Estate Response to COVID-19...2020/03/27  · The Real Estate Response to COVID-19 Anita Kramer Senior Vice President ULI Center for Capital Markets and Real Estate Moderated

THANK YOU!ULI Colorado

1536 Wynkoop St, Suite 211 Denver, Colorado 80202

colorado.uli.org (303) 893- 1760

We’re here to help!

Michael LecceseExecutive Director

Sarah FranklinDirector

Elise MartinezAssociate

Marianne EppigDirector