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Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs Neha Rai The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of National Systems [email protected]

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Page 1: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha Rai

The Global Challenges in

Adaptation MEL & the

Importance of National

Systems

[email protected]

Page 2: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha RaiOutline• What constitutes adaptation success?

• Why undertake adaptation MEL?

• Global challenges for adaptation MEL

• How can we address those challenges?

• The importance of national systems – brief county examples

Page 3: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha RaiWhat constitutes adaptation

‘success’?

Page 4: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha Rai

Defining key terms

Adaptation? The ability of a system to adjust to climate change

Resilience? Capacity of a system to cope with a hazardous event by responding in ways that maintains its essential function

Vulnerability? The propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected

Page 5: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha Rai

Monitoring of outputs vs Monitoring &

evaluation & learning of outcomes

Page 6: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha Rai

A ‘global’ view of adaptation

outcomes & impacts

Page 7: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha RaiWhy undertake adaptation MEL

Page 8: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha Rai

Benefits of adaptation MEL

Page 9: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha RaiMeasuring adaptation not

straightforward

“Current results frameworks on

resilience are not outcome-

oriented and risk emphasising

spending over results.”

Independent Evaluation Group of the World Bank

(IEG, 2013)

Page 10: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha Rai

MEL challenges

Page 11: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha RaiNational MEL is critical

Approaches

National M&E

frameworks

Global adaptation

RMFs

Development M&E

Sub national to

national M&E

Page 12: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha RaiKenya: addressing

challenges

• Conjoined layers of M&E by integrating:

adaptation and mitigation (MRV+)

• Data coordination – by obligatory decree,

statute and centralised repository

• Sub-national to national aggregation

Page 13: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha Rai

Avoiding layers of M&E by integrating:

MRV+ in Kenya

Adaptation Mitigation

Sub national

Kenya’s Climate Change Action Plan

Addressing

data

coordination

issues

Page 14: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha RaiMexico: addressing

challenges

• Linking adaptation performance with

development outcomes

• Sustaining M&E systems by dedicated

financing for an independent body

• Scaling up from the sectoral to the national

level

Page 15: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha RaiMexico’s established national

M&E system

Page 16: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha RaiFinal Thought: what should

countries be adapting to?

• Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

“adequate adaptation response in the context of the temperature goal [of 1.5°C-2°C] referred to in Article 2.”

• But current NDC policies likely to result in ~3.3 °C warming by 2100

• Adaptation M&E/MEL systems must operate in this context, e.g. is adaptation adequate?

Page 17: The Global Challenges in Adaptation MEL & the Importance of … · 2020-01-15 · Final Thought: what should Neha Rai countries be adapting to? •Article 7 of Paris Agreement specifies

Monitoring, evaluation and learning for adaptation and SDGs

Neha Rai

Barry Smith

[email protected]

Thank you!