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Brand newfor 2015

The Five Year Strategic Outlook for the

Global Small DiameterLinepipe MarketERW •Seamless • Lined • Clad Linepipe

lHow has the global small diameter (up to 24” OD) linepipe market responded to volatiledemand conditions? How has the market responded to dropping oil prices?

lAs the market becomes more regionalised, how do global suppliers compete?

lAs sour gas drilling intensifies, how is demand for clad and lined pipes likely to develop?

The study investigates how, as drillingincreasingly moves to corrosive sourenvironments, this will impact on thegrades of ERW, seamless and clad andlined pipe being used moving forwards.Furthermore, as shale drilling becomesmore common, placing greater demand onlarger diameters of ERW linepipe, how willthis impact on the types of small-diameterlinepipe being requested? This study willalso investigate the capacity for small-

diameter pipe making globally. In particularmany of the Asian countries, noticeablyChina and South Korea, have seen a rapidbuild-up in capacity for linepipe making.This has now coincided with a downturn inoil prices, which has hit OCTG demandheavily. Will small-diameter linepipe alsostruggle in this market environment andhow does the global market respond to thisexcess production and price pressure?

As demand falls, MBR’s Five Year StrategicOutlook for the Global Small DiameterLinepipe Market examines how quickly we believethis industry will recover and what the implicationswill be on pricing going forward in this environment

• What strategies canproducers adopt toremain competitive inthe market?

• Are thereopportunities todiversify productportfolios to cater tosour gas markets?

• Is there room forfurther capacity and if so, where?

For the first time, MBR provides an in-depth analysis of the globalsmall-diameter steel linepipe market. This unique study examinesregional trends, pricing pressure, how the market is currentlyresponding to volatile conditions, and how it will continue to do sowith a five year outlook.

The Five Year Strategic Outlook for the

Global Small DiameterLinepipe Market

Key areas this study will provide include:l The global/regional small diameter linepipemarket size – a detailed picture of themarketsize, andmajor trade flows. Based on forecastchanges to capacity, production, consumptionand trade, it provides a detailed view on howthe market is realistically likely to develop andchange over the next five years

l Breakdown of ERW, seamless, clad and linedpipe for each major country and region andanalysis of future output by type

l Includes a comprehensive ERW, seamless,clad and lined pipe capacity/productiondatabase including major company, size andproduct size range

l Historical and forecast regional productpricing – MBR examines and analyses keyERW, seamless, clad and lined pipe prices.MBR will also provide an analysis of underlyingHR coil and billet markets and their priceforecasts out for the next five years, allowing foran analysis of expected margins

“MBR is an indispensable resource for our company’ s intelligence gatheringactivities around regional OCTG and Linepipe markets. Its in-depth coverage onmarket forces impacting supply and demand helps us grasp the rationalebehind the numbers and equips [us] with valuable and actionable insights.”Anastacio Baleva, Conocophilips

Seamless linepipe prices ($/tonne) Global ERW linepipe prices ($/tonne)2,000

1,800

1,600

1,400

1,200

1,000

800

600Q1-2012 Q3-2012 Q1-2013 Q3-2013 Q1-2014 Q3-2014 Q1-2015 Q3-2015 Q1-2016

US API 5LB linepipeE. Europe API 5LB linepipeW. Europe 5LB linepipeChina API 5LB linepipe

Forecast

1,600

1,400

1,200

1,000

800

600

400Q1-2012 Q3-2012 Q1-2013 Q3-2013 Q1-2014 Q3-2014 Q1-2015 Q3-2015 Q1-2016

US ERW linepipe X42 ex-millJapan ERW X42 exportChina ERW linepipe grade b export Forecast

Please call +44 (0) 20 7779 7999 or email info@metalbulletinresearch to request complimentary sample pages

“The latest MBR reports provide us with unique, quality anddetailed information regarding global OCTG and linepipemarkets. I would highly recommend these reports!.”Dmitry Svezhenets, Head of the International Marketing Department, TMK Russia

l ERW linepipe (API 5L grade b through to X80) from 0-24” diameter

l Seamless linepipe (API 5L grade b through to X80) from 0-24” diameter

l CRA clad pipes – full diameter range

l CRA lined pipes – full diameter range

l Overview of leading clad plate producers

Product Coverage:

Table of contents

Executive SummaryOverview of the small-diameter markets and linepipe technology

Part 1: Carbon ERW and Seamless linepipe

1: NAFTA1.1 General market overview

1.1.1 Regional small-diameter pipe capacities

1.2 Regional demand and supply1.2.1 Trade1.2.2 Local supply and consumption

1.3 Market outlook1.3.1 Market demand and supply

2: South America2.1 General market overview




3: EU 273.1 General market overview




4: CIS4.1 General market overview




5: Middle East5.1 General market overview




6: Africa6.1 General market overview




7: China7.1 General market overview




8: Other Asia8.1 General market overview




Part 2: Clad and Lined pipe

9: Clad and Lined Pipe9.1 Clad and Lined Pipe technology

9.1.1 Applications for clad and lined pipe

9.2 General market overview9.2.1 Overview of leading clad and lined pipe manufacturers9.2.2 Regional clad and lined pipe capacities

9.3 Global demand and supply9.3.1 Trade9.3.2 Consumption by region

9.4 Market outlook9.4.1 Forecast for demand and supply

Part 3: Pricing & Cost Analysis

10: Industry Trends10.1 Seamless vs ERW vs Clad/Lined pipe

10.2 The development of the offshore market

10.3 API coil and merchant billet supply

11:Pricing11.1 HRC coil pricing

11.1.1 API premiums

11.2 Billet pricing

11.3 Clad and lined pipe pricing

11.4 Price forecasts11.4.1 ERW11.4.2 Seamless11.4.3 Clad and lined pipe

12: Cost Analysis12.1 Methodology

12.1.1 Total small-diameter pipe costs12.1.2 Operating conversion costs12.1.3 Conclusions

Appendix: Small-diameter tube and pipe mill profiles

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Meet the analysts

Other relevant Metal Bulletin Researchpublications include:

• The Five Year Strategic Outlook for the GlobalLarge-diameter Linepipe Market

• The Five Year Outlook for the Global OCTG Market

• Strategic Prospects for the Global TransmissionLinepipe Market by Type, Size Range and Grade

• A Strategic Outlook for the OCTG HeatTreatment, Threading, Coupling and PremiumConnection Sectors out to 2020

• Welded Linepipe and OCTG Market Tracker• Seamless OCTG and Linepipe Market Tracker• Industrial and Structural Tube and Pipe Market Tracker

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Mail this form to:Metal Bulletin Research SpecialReports, TDS, Pegasus Drive,Stratton Business Park, Biggleswade,Bedfordshire SG18 8TQ, UK

Dr James LeyPrincipal Consultant, London

James joined MBR to run the group’ssteel tube and pipe practice inOctober 2013 bringing with himthirteen years’ experience of theglobal steel industry.

Kimberly LeppoldSenior Metals Analyst, US

Kimberly is a Senior Metals Analystfor Metal Bulletin Research and editorof the tube and pipe trackers.

Roman FilimonovConsultant, London

Roman has fourteen years ofexperience in the global steel andenergy industries. He has regularlybeen involved in worldwide tube andpipe market strategy projects.

What’s included? 4Hard copy 4Electronic copy 4Excel data 4Access to the analysts

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