the first step in catching a boat is … a canadian tale. bill buxton microsoft research
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The First Step in Catching a Boat is The First Step in Catching a Boat is ……A Canadian TaleA Canadian Tale..Bill BuxtonMicrosoft Research
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Of Peers & Data Analysis
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Benchmarks Canada’s socioeconomic performance against the performance of 16 other top Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries across six domains.
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• Education & Skills:
• Economy, Health & Society:
• Environment:
• Innovation:
ABDD
http://www.conferenceboard.ca/HCP/default.aspx
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From: Expand in Ontario Canada [mailto:[email protected]] Sent: February-26-10 7:06 AMTo: Bill BuxtonSubject: Economist Intelligence Unit keys
Dear Bill,
The Economist Intelligence Unit – a trusted source of country, industry and management analysis for smart businesses – recently published a study that demonstrates the critical link between innovation and talent management in a company’s ability to prosper.
The study, Fertile Ground: Cultivating a talent for innovation, emphasizes the critical importance of talent, along with developing “clusters of excellence,” open innovation and access to capital, as the main elements necessary for successful business innovation.
Ontario has the most educated workforce in the G7. In fact, 61% of Ontario’s population between 25 and 64 years of age has completed their post-secondary education. Ontario ’s Technology Triangle is home to three universities, the headquarters of Research In Motion (makers of the BlackBerry® device) and one of Google’s first Canadian offices.
The world works here. Find out why at www.investinontario.com
We don’t get what we pay for!
We do get what
we deserve!
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G&M, March 9, 2010
And the “Logic?a)Educate others so they catch up, orb)Economic benefit of universities is in tuition fees.
A tacit admissi
on of failure of policy!
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Having the right playground
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Canada wins Nobel Prize
Canada wins Nobel Prize
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Bell LabsMurray Hill, NJ
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Canada wins Stanley Cup
Canada wins Stanley Cup
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It leads to certain death by slow atrophy.
The most dangerous course of action is to take
no risk.On Playing it Safe
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On Policy
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The Long Nose
Invention Refinement & Augmentation
Productization
$1B
Radar
1984 2007
~
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Arrasta Dardanell Mine Wild Horse Creek 1898Arrasta Dardanell Mine Wild Horse Creek 1898
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Science, invention & innovation do not fit into 5 year terms
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On Data Informed or Misinformed Policy?
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What’s Missing but Relevant?How many PhDs doing basic research in Canada today vs 1980?
•In public sector?•In private sector?
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R&D & the OECD Bad Data and Analysis => Bad Policy
“… creative work undertaken on a systematic basis in order to increase the stock of knowledge, including knowledge of man, culture and society, and the use of this stock of knowledge to devise new applications[italics mine].” (OECD 2007, p.24)
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Mansfield, Edwin (1980). Basic Research and Productivity Increase in Manufacturing. The American Economic Review, 70(5), 863-873.
Does basic research, as contrasted with applied research and development, make a significant contribution to an industry's or firm's rate of technological in-novation and productivity change?
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Study:• Surveyed R&D spending of 119 firms between
1967 and 1977 • Represented ~50% of US R&D expenditures.• Observed ~25% reduction in investment in basic
research.• For a given investment in R&D,
• Is a significant and direct relationship between % applied to basic research and total factor productivity.
• an industry's rate of productivity increase during 1948-66 directly and significantly related to the extent to which its R&D was long term.
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Policy Failure vs Business Success
Mike Lazaridis, founder and Co-CEO of Research In Motion (RIM)
Perimeter Institute (1999)
#8 821* #27 32*
*Times Eng & IT Rating / Invention Disclosures 2003-2006
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Alias Research• Established 1994• Revenue ~$80M USD• ~500 employees• 4 different owners• 6 different presidents• Employees: ÷ 3• Research: x 3
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The Rule of Unintended Consequences
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Science, Social Science & Culture: What have we learned about learning?
Frederick GrantAKA:Sir Frederick Banting,Nobel Medicine 1923 For Discovering Insulin,
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depth
breadth
literate
expert
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Business
Technology
Design
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• Academic industry-relevant research is neither.• Shifting from basic to applied research -> decrease in
productivity• Demonstrating industry relevance should be cue to stop
academic funding. Consequences ….• Historically, nearly all great sustainable breakthroughs
came as unexpected results• A 20 year horizon is already too short sighted• Science cannot thrive in a cultural vacuum• Risk aversion is the most dangerous course of action
In Summary:
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Can We Change Our Culture?Can We Change Our Culture?
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Questions?
www.billbuxton.com