the eye of a tropical cyclone – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

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The eye of a tropical cyclone – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model Wolfgang Ulrich New title:

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New title:. The eye of a tropical cyclone – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model Wolfgang Ulrich. Motivation:. Axisymmetric numerical models of evolving tropical cyclones >>seem>simulateeyes) if the resolution is increased. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

The eye of a tropical cyclone – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Wolfgang Ulrich

New title:

Page 2: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Motivation:

Axisymmetric numerical models of evolving tropical cyclones>>seem<< to >>simulate<< smaller radii of maximum winds(=>eyes) if the resolution is increased.

Examples:DeMaria & Pickle 1988Baik et al 1989NCM, RKS, HYZ and WU 2002WU, RKS and NCM 2002

Page 3: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Idealized anatomy of a tropical cyclone (eye)

At the center of the storm is a cloud-free eye of relatively lowsurface pressure, warm temperature and subsiding air. (Stull)

Page 4: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Observed (eye) characteristic

Hurricane Bonnie from space

Most (but not all) tropical cyclones that reach hurricane intensity have central clear regions, called >>eyes<<; these range in diameter from 20 km to as much as 200 km (Emanuel).

Page 5: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Hurricane Fefa (North Pacific)

Without an eye, tropical storms are limited to a pressureof about 1000 mb .... no matter how much condensation is occuring (Anthes).

Page 6: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Although the basic structure of tropical cyclones is invariant, there is considerable variability in the both the details of the structure and the overall horizontal scale of the storms.

In particular, the characteristic horizontal scale of tropical cyclones varies over a wide range, from “midget typhoons", with eyes only a few kilometers in diameter and with no noticeable wind perturbation outside of 100 km from the storm center, to some “supertyphoons" with eyes up to 200 km in diameter. Thus a midget typhoon can fit entirely within the >>eye<< of a giant supertyphoon!

There is no known correlation, however, between the geometric size of a tropical cyclone and its intensity, as measured, for example, by its maximum wind speed (Emanuel).

Page 7: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Composite hurricane structure (Stull).

Eye: 0...0.5 R

0

Eyewall: (0.5...1) R

0

Page 8: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Axisymmetric finite difference Model

Physics:

●Latent heat release on the grid scale (horizontal 5 km)●Evaporation of falling rain●Sensible heat transfer at the ocean's surface●Bulk friction●Vertical and horizontal exchange based on mixing length●No radiation●No ice●No cummulus parameterization●Hydrostatic Sigma coordinate 15 layers, top at 50 hPa

Numerical methods:

●Adams Bashforth●Flux form 6-th order in r, 3-rd order in Sigma.

Page 9: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Standard run:

Jordan tropical sounding, SST=28 C, 15 deg NorthInitial disturbance 15 m/s (150 km), 12.4 m/s (300 km) 0 (950 km)

Initialisation:balance equation for surface pressureWang (1995) or Kurihara (1974) type initialisation

Page 10: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Numerical diffusion in the eye region:

“v” analytic, “p” from gradientwind balance“vnum” from analytic “p” with finite differences.

Page 11: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Animation of a standard case

Page 12: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Relative humidity

Potential Temperature deviation

Page 13: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Moist static energy

Page 14: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Standard case

Page 15: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Eye contraction, basic mechanism

Assume tangential profile v(r) => radial profile u(r) from balance(f+v/r) u=Friction

Absolute Angular Momentum conservation: AAM=v r + 0.5 f r2

Page 16: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

What can limit the contraction ?

Diffusionsubsidence in the eye=> u > 0

Page 17: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

No advection of u and v

Page 18: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Colder SST=25 CSST=28 C

2*Eye

P

Page 19: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

10 deg

30 deg

40 deg

Page 20: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

SST drop after 96 h to 20 C in a ring

GP 0-5

GP 5-10

eye pressure

Page 21: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

Thanks to Robert

Page 22: The eye of a tropical cyclone  – some experiments with an axisymmetric numerical model

END