the deep roots of the oak regeneration problem

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The Future of Oak Forests The Deep Roots of the Oak Regeneration Problem Charles Canham Senior Scientist Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies Millbrook, NY

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The Future of Oak Forests

The Deep Roots of the Oak Regeneration Problem

Charles CanhamSenior Scientist

Cary Institute of Ecosystem StudiesMillbrook, NY

Marc Abrams, Bioscience, 1998

Greg Nowacki and Marc Abrams, BioScience 2008

Marc Abrams, BioScience 2003

The roots of the problem…

The issue locally… Changes in oak abundance since pre-settlement times

Is fire suppression responsible for a reduction in the regional dominance of oak species in many parts of the eastern US?

Has the reduction in the abundance of oaks over the past 200 years fundamentally altered the flammability of these forests?

Is there a future for oak in our forests?

http://oaksavannas.org/fire-fuel.html

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Oaks Hickories Hemlock Pine Maples

Presettlement Forests

Current Forests

Perc

ent

Tree Species

composition of the Cary Institute forests

? Have the forests “recovered”?(and, to what?)

Land clearing, cultivation, and abandonment: Conversion of oak forests to forests dominated by maples, birches, and pines

The loss of oak from the best soils

Where are our oaks today?(on hilltops and in old pastures)

Essentially none of the pre-settlement oak forest regenerated by fire is present today

Oaks today are largely limited to lands with two very different land-use histories:

Highlands and hilltops that were heavily and repeatedly cut for timber and firewood

Pastures, in which scattered oaks were left for shade and acorns

Conditions under which they regenerated 50 - 150 years ago:

Heavy cutting followed by sprouting

Absence of deer

Quercus - The Oak genus worldwide

Distributed in north temperate regions worldwide (North America, Europe, Asia)

Evolved in dry, savanna-like conditions, 40-60 million years ago

Center of evolution was in what is now the Southwest US and Mexico

~ 350 species of true “oaks” (subgenus Euquercus) worldwide

North America has the highest diversity of true oaks

Quercus is the largest genus of trees native to the US

Oak species make up 9 of the 50 most common tree species in eastern U.S. (more than any other genus)

Our most important oaks locally…

Scarlet oakQuercus coccinea

Northern red oakQuercus rubra

Black oakQuercus velutina

White oakQuercus alba

Chestnut oakQuercus prinus

THE “RED OAK” GROUP(Erythrobalanus)

THE “WHITE OAK” GROUP(Lepidobalanus)

Photos by Jerry Jenkins,Northern Forest Atlas Project

Relative abundance of northern red oak and white oak in US Forest Service Forest Inventory plots

To give you a sense of their importance…

Salient features of the ecology of our oaks

The species vary, but all are generally not very shade tolerantRed oak is the most shade tolerant, but even those seedlings have high

mortality when they receive < 10% of full sunlight

Canopy oaks are fierce competitors when dominant, but highly sensitive to suppression when overtopped

They sprout vigorously from cut stumps, but sprout vigor is reported to decline if the trees are very large when cut

A good online source:

Silvics of North America (USDA Agriculture Handbook 654)http://www.na.fs.fed.us/spfo/pubs/silvics_manual/table_of_contents.htm

Reproduction in oaks

White Oak Group

Flowers every few years in spring

Acorns mature and drop that fall

Germinate almost immediately after seedfall

Red Oak Group

Flowers every few years in spring

Acorns mature and drop in fall of following year

Stay dormant overwinter then germinate in spring

Current threats to oak abundance in the region

Air pollution

Pests and Pathogens

Climate change

Current harvest practices

Deer

Air Pollution... Ozone exposure

CO2 fertilization

Acid deposition and soil calcium depletion

Nitrogen deposition

Thomas, R. Q., C. D. Canham, K. C. Weathers, and C. L. Goodale. 2010. Increased tree carbon storage in response to nitrogen deposition in the US. Nature Geoscience 3:13-17.

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Nitrogen deposition generally increases forest productivity region wide,

But species other than oaks tend to benefit the most…

Pests and Pathogens

Arguably the most pervasive human impacts* on eastern US forests over the past century have been from the introduction of new pests and pathogens…

Chestnut blight

Dutch elm disease

Gypsy moth

Beech bark disease

Hemlock wooly adelgid

Emerald ash borer

Asian longhorned beetle

…? (including changes inoutbreaks of native pestsand pathogens)

Heavily diseased and resistant beech trees13

*on distribution and abundance of specific tree species

Climate change…

Since oaks are even more abundant in warmer climates, will they benefit from climate change?

Over time, will new oak species migrate northward?

Well, not much, and not anytime soon…

The Cary Computer Cluster(used to analyze the data from thousands of USFS forest inventory plots, and simulate future forests)

Predicted changes in distribution and abundance: Northern red oak

(under current logging regimes, with and without climate change)

Predicted changes in distribution and abundance: White oak

(under current logging regimes, with and without climate change)

Similar or even more precipitous declines predicted for black oak and chestnut oak

Current harvest practices in northeastern forests

Clearcutting has been replaced by selective logging as the dominant harvest regime in northeastern forests

(except in a few forest types)

Percent of biomass harvested

Perc

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area

logg

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Impacts of over-abundant white-tailed deer

• It seems clear that hunting can solve this problem, at least on larger landholdings

• it has worked remarkably well for us in the Cary Institute forests

• But the hunting population is getting smaller and older – can we reverse this?

The future for oaks in the northeast… The conditions that created the pre-settlement oak forests and existing post-settlement oak forests no longer exist

Four factors currently work against oaks

The absence of fire

The increase in more shade tolerant tree species, particularly maples

The abundance of deer,

Light selective harvests

In the absence of deliberate management, it seems inevitable that most of the region’s species of oak will continue to gradually decline in abundance.