the construction industry in montana’s economy big sky pathway construction seminar january 21 st,...

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The Construction Industry in Montana’s Economy Big Sky Pathway Construction Seminar January 21 st , 2014 William Connell Economist [email protected]

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The Construction Industry in Montana’s Economy

Big Sky Pathway Construction SeminarJanuary 21st, 2014

William ConnellEconomist

[email protected]

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7.0%

Montana and U.S. Unemployment Rate

Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics from MT DLI and the Current Population Survey from BLS

5.2%

U.S.MontanaRecession

Employment Change over Prior Year

Source: LAUS, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, MT DLI

2.3%

Employment Change in Recession and Recovery

Source: QCEW, MT DLI.

Construction Employment 1990-2012

19901991

19921993

19941995

19961997

19981999

20002001

20022003

20042005

20062007

20082009

20102011

20120

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

MT Construction EmploymentLinear Trend

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics

Construction Employment by Sector 2000-2012

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

Construction of Buildings Heavy and Civil Engineering ConstructionSpecialty Trade Contractors

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics

Job Change by Region 2007 to 2012, Projected 2013-2020

Source: LAUS, BLS and MT DLI

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013* 2014-2020*

-10,000

-8,000

-6,000

-4,000

-2,000

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

Northwest

Southwest

North Central

South Central

Eastern

Construction Job loss by county

Construction employment by county

Top 15 Construction Jobs

Job Title Employment Projection

Carpenters 2,410Electricians 1,474Construction Laborers 1,238Office and Administrative Support Occupations 1,133Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators 1,014

Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 991

Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 898

Other Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 845

Supervisors, Construction and Extraction Workers 596

First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Work 596Financial Clerks 554

Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks 522

Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 501Motor Vehicle Operators 329Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 321

14-249%

25-3425%

35-4423%

45-5424%

55-6416%

65-993%

Construction Workers by Age Group

Source: Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics ,Quarterly Workforce Indicators. 2nd quarter 2012

Final Points

• Construction employment is expected to reach pre-recession levels in 2021.

• Construction jobs are concentrated in certain areas of the state and have been impacted by oil development in Eastern Montana

• Construction jobs are shifting towards heavy equipment operators and truck drivers, not just carpenters and general laborers.