the civil beat poll june 2012 — 2nd congressional democrats part 2

26
1 --If the primary for Congress were held today, would you vote for Attorney Bob Marx, Honolulu City Council Member Tulsi Gabbard, former Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann, or Chief Advocate for the Office of Hawaiian affairs Esther Kiaaina? [Name order rotated in the survey. Names presented here in alphabetical order.] Congress Gabbard 33% Hannemann 34% Kiaaina 10% Marx 10% Unsure 12% Total 100% -- How recently did you decide to support your candidate for Congress? WhenDecide Past Two Weeks 25% Past Month 23% One Month or Longer 49% Not sure 2% Total 100% --How strongly do you support your candidate for Congress? Would you say that you will definitely vote for your candidate? Or would you say that you will probably vote for your candidate, but could possibly switch to another candidate? Strength Definitely 64% Could Switch 33% Not sure 2% Total 100% Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012 685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

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Page 1: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

1

--If the primary for Congress were held today, would you vote for Attorney Bob Marx, Honolulu City Council Member Tulsi Gabbard, former Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann, or Chief Advocate for the Office of Hawaiian affairs Esther Kiaaina?

[Name order rotated in the survey. Names presented here in alphabetical order.]

CongressCongressCongress

Gabbard 33% Hannemann 34%

Kiaaina 10%

Marx 10%

Unsure 12%

Total 100%

-- How recently did you decide to support your candidate for Congress?

WhenDecideWhenDecideWhenDecide

Past Two Weeks 25% Past Month 23%

One Month or Longer 49%

Not sure 2%

Total 100%

--How strongly do you support your candidate for Congress? Would you say that you will definitely vote for your candidate? Or would you say that you will probably vote for your candidate, but could possibly switch to another candidate?

StrengthStrengthStrength

Definitely 64% Could Switch 33%

Not sure 2%

Total 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 2: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

2

--Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Mufi Hannemann?

HannemanHannemanHanneman

Positive 48% Negative 36%

Not Familiar Enough 16%

Total 100%

--Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Tulsi Gabbard?

GabbardGabbardGabbard

Positive 48% Negative 16%

Not Familiar Enough 36%

Total 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 3: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

3

--Which of the following issues do you think is most important for your new Congressperson to work on in Washington? Is it environmental protection and energy independence? Social issues such as abortion and same-sex marriage? Jobs and the economy? Long-term problems with debt, Social Security, and Medicare? Or military issues such as war and terrorism?

IssueIssueIssue

Enviro/Energ 19% Social Issues 6%

Jobs/Economy 39%

Debt/SS/Medi 29%

Military 2%

Other/Unsure 6%

Total 100%

--Do you generally support or oppose the Honolulu Rail project?

RailRailRail

Support 48%Oppose 35%Unsure 17%Total 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 4: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

4

--Does Tulsi Gabbardʼs position on the Rail project make you more or less likely to support her for Congress?

RailGabbardRailGabbardRailGabbard

More 16% Less 14%

Not Important 37%

Unsure 33%

Total 100%

--Does Mufi Hannemannʼs position on the Rail project make you more or less likely to support him for Congress?

RailHannemanRailHannemanRailHanneman

More 25% Less 28%

Not Important 29%

Unsure 17%

Total 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 5: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

5

--Tulsi Gabbardʼs father, Mike Gabbard, is a Hawaii State Senator from Oahu. Does the fact that Mike Gabbard is Tulsi Gabbardʼs father make you more or less likely to support Tulsi Gabbard for Congress?

MikeGabbardMikeGabbardMikeGabbard

More 9% Less 34%

Not Important 49%

Unsure 8%

Total 100%

--Mufi Hannemann has been involved in government and politics in various capacities since the 1970s. Does this make you more or less likely to support him for Congress?

HannemanExperienceHannemanExperienceHannemanExperience

More 38% Less 31%

Not Important 22%

Unsure 9%

Total 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 6: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

6

--Do you generally approve or disapprove of his job performance as president?

ObamaObamaObama

Approve strongly 59% Approve somewhat 19%

Disapprove somewhat 4%

Disapprove strongly 13%

Unsure 4%

Total 100%

ObamaCondensedObamaCondensedObamaCondensed

Approve 79% Disapprove 18%

Unsure 4%

Total 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 7: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

7

DEMOGRAPHICS

CountyCountyCounty

Hawaii 28%Kauai 15%Maui 18%Oahu 39%Total 100%

GenderGenderGender

Male 47% Female 53%

Total 100%

AgeAgeAge

18-29 6% 30-39 8%

40-49 12%

50-64 34%

65+ 40%

Total 100%

PoliticsPoliticsPolitics

Liberal/Progressive 30% Moderate 39%

Conservative 16%

Unsure 16%

Total 100%

Party_IDParty_IDParty_ID

Democrat 68% Republican 4%

Independent 23%

Unsure 4%

Total 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 8: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

8Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 9: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

9

Race_EthnicityRace_EthnicityRace_Ethnicity

Caucasian 51% Japanese 18%

Filipino 6%

Hawaiian 11%

Chinese 1%

Hispanic 2%

Other/Mixed 11%

Total 100%

EducationEducationEducation

No degree 3% High School Degree 32%

College Degree 37%

Graduate Degree 28%

Total 100%

ReligionReligionReligion

Catholic 23% Evangelical 7%

Mormon 6%

Other Christian 24%

Buddhist 10%

Shinto 1%

Jewish 1%

Other 5%

None 24%

Total 100%

Military_FamilyMilitary_FamilyMilitary_Family

Yes 15%No 85%Total 100%

Household_IncomeHousehold_IncomeHousehold_Income

Less than $50,000 38% $50,000-$100,000 38%

$100,000 or More 24%

Total 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 10: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

10

CROSSTABS

Strength * Congress CrosstabulationStrength * Congress CrosstabulationStrength * Congress CrosstabulationStrength * Congress CrosstabulationStrength * Congress CrosstabulationStrength * Congress CrosstabulationStrength * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress

CongressCongressCongressCongress

Gabbard Hannemann Kiaaina Marx

Strength Definitely 65% 69% 61% 51%StrengthCould Switch 33% 28% 37% 49%

Strength

Not sure 2% 3% 3% TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100%

Congress * Strength CrosstabulationCongress * Strength CrosstabulationCongress * Strength CrosstabulationCongress * Strength CrosstabulationCongress * Strength CrosstabulationCongress * Strength Crosstabulation% within Strength% within Strength% within Strength% within Strength% within Strength% within Strength

StrengthStrengthStrength

Definitely

Could Switch Not sure

Congress Gabbard 38% 37% 33%CongressHannemann 42% 33% 53%

Congress

Kiaaina 11% 13% 13%

Congress

Marx 9% 18% TotalTotal 100% 100% 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 11: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

11

WhenDecide * Congress CrosstabulationWhenDecide * Congress CrosstabulationWhenDecide * Congress CrosstabulationWhenDecide * Congress CrosstabulationWhenDecide * Congress CrosstabulationWhenDecide * Congress CrosstabulationWhenDecide * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress

CongressCongressCongressCongress

Gabbard Hannemann Kiaaina Marx

WhenDecide Past Two Weeks 29% 17% 35% 32%WhenDecidePast Month 28% 20% 23% 24%

WhenDecide

One Month or Longer 41% 62% 39% 43%

WhenDecide

Not sure 2% 1% 3% 1%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100%

Congress * WhenDecide CrosstabulationCongress * WhenDecide CrosstabulationCongress * WhenDecide CrosstabulationCongress * WhenDecide CrosstabulationCongress * WhenDecide CrosstabulationCongress * WhenDecide CrosstabulationCongress * WhenDecide Crosstabulation% within WhenDecide% within WhenDecide% within WhenDecide% within WhenDecide% within WhenDecide% within WhenDecide% within WhenDecide

WhenDecideWhenDecideWhenDecideWhenDecide

Past Two Weeks Past Month

One Month or Longer Not sure

Congress Gabbard 42% 44% 31% 45%CongressHannemann 26% 32% 49% 27%

Congress

Kiaaina 16% 11% 9% 18%

Congress

Marx 15% 12% 11% 9%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 12: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

12

Hanneman * Congress CrosstabulationHanneman * Congress CrosstabulationHanneman * Congress CrosstabulationHanneman * Congress CrosstabulationHanneman * Congress CrosstabulationHanneman * Congress CrosstabulationHanneman * Congress CrosstabulationHanneman * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress

CongressCongressCongressCongressCongress

Gabbard Hannemann Kiaaina Marx Unsure

Hanneman Positive 27% 92% 25% 18% 27%HannemanNegative 61% 3% 49% 56% 29%

Hanneman

Not Familiar Enough 12% 4% 25% 25% 44%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Congress * Hanneman CrosstabulationCongress * Hanneman CrosstabulationCongress * Hanneman CrosstabulationCongress * Hanneman CrosstabulationCongress * Hanneman CrosstabulationCongress * Hanneman Crosstabulation% within Hanneman% within Hanneman% within Hanneman% within Hanneman% within Hanneman% within Hanneman

HannemanHannemanHanneman

Positive Negative

Not Familiar Enough

Congress Gabbard 18% 56% 25%CongressHannemann 65% 3% 9%

Congress

Kiaaina 5% 14% 16%

Congress

Marx 4% 16% 16%

Congress

Unsure 7% 10% 33%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100%

Gabbard * Congress CrosstabulationGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationGabbard * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress

CongressCongressCongressCongressCongress

Gabbard Hannemann Kiaaina Marx Unsure

Gabbard Positive 92% 27% 34% 24% 19%GabbardNegative 0% 22% 41% 24% 11%

Gabbard

Not Familiar Enough 7% 51% 24% 53% 71%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Congress * Gabbard CrosstabulationCongress * Gabbard CrosstabulationCongress * Gabbard CrosstabulationCongress * Gabbard CrosstabulationCongress * Gabbard CrosstabulationCongress * Gabbard Crosstabulation% within Gabbard% within Gabbard% within Gabbard% within Gabbard% within Gabbard% within Gabbard

GabbardGabbardGabbard

Positive Negative

Not Familiar Enough

Congress Gabbard 63% 1% 6%CongressHannemann 20% 48% 47%

Congress

Kiaaina 7% 27% 7%

Congress

Marx 5% 16% 15%

Congress

Unsure 5% 8% 24%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 13: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

13Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 14: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

14

Congress * Issue CrosstabulationCongress * Issue CrosstabulationCongress * Issue CrosstabulationCongress * Issue CrosstabulationCongress * Issue CrosstabulationCongress * Issue CrosstabulationCongress * Issue CrosstabulationCongress * Issue CrosstabulationCongress * Issue Crosstabulation% within Issue% within Issue% within Issue% within Issue% within Issue% within Issue% within Issue% within Issue% within Issue

IssueIssueIssueIssueIssueIssue

Enviro/Energ

Social Issues Jobs/Economy Debt/SS/Medi Military Other/Unsure

Congress Gabbard 24% 23% 39% 37% 38% 13%CongressHannemann 25% 38% 38% 36% 31% 21%

Congress

Kiaaina 16% 20% 9% 6% 23% 5%

Congress

Marx 20% 15% 6% 6% 29%

Congress

Unsure 15% 5% 8% 15% 8% 32%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Issue * Congress CrosstabulationIssue * Congress CrosstabulationIssue * Congress CrosstabulationIssue * Congress CrosstabulationIssue * Congress CrosstabulationIssue * Congress CrosstabulationIssue * Congress CrosstabulationIssue * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress

CongressCongressCongressCongressCongress

Gabbard Hannemann Kiaaina Marx Unsure

Issue Enviro/Energ 14% 14% 30% 37% 22%IssueSocial Issues 4% 6% 11% 8% 2%

Issue

Jobs/Economy 46% 44% 34% 23% 26%

Issue

Debt/SS/Medi 32% 30% 17% 17% 35%

Issue

Military 2% 2% 4% 1%

Issue

Other/Unsure 2% 3% 3% 15% 14%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 15: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

15

Congress * Rail CrosstabulationCongress * Rail CrosstabulationCongress * Rail CrosstabulationCongress * Rail CrosstabulationCongress * Rail CrosstabulationCongress * Rail Crosstabulation% within Rail% within Rail% within Rail% within Rail% within Rail% within Rail

RailRailRail Support Oppose Unsure

Congress Gabbard 24% 48% 26%CongressHannemann 46% 21% 29%

Congress

Kiaaina 9% 12% 11%

Congress

Marx 13% 10% 7%

Congress

Unsure 9% 10% 27%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100%

Rail * Congress CrosstabulationRail * Congress CrosstabulationRail * Congress CrosstabulationRail * Congress CrosstabulationRail * Congress CrosstabulationRail * Congress CrosstabulationRail * Congress CrosstabulationRail * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress

CongressCongressCongressCongressCongress

Gabbard Hannemann Kiaaina Marx Unsure

Rail Support 35% 64% 40% 57% 35%RailOppose 51% 21% 41% 32% 27%

Rail

Unsure 14% 15% 19% 11% 38%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 16: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

16

Congress * RailGabbard CrosstabulationCongress * RailGabbard CrosstabulationCongress * RailGabbard CrosstabulationCongress * RailGabbard CrosstabulationCongress * RailGabbard CrosstabulationCongress * RailGabbard CrosstabulationCongress * RailGabbard Crosstabulation% within RailGabbard% within RailGabbard% within RailGabbard% within RailGabbard% within RailGabbard% within RailGabbard% within RailGabbard

RailGabbardRailGabbardRailGabbardRailGabbard

More Less

Not Important Unsure

Congress Gabbard 57% 24% 35% 23%CongressHannemann 21% 40% 35% 36%

Congress

Kiaaina 5% 20% 12% 7%

Congress

Marx 14% 9% 13% 7%

Congress

Unsure 3% 7% 6% 27%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100%

RailGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationRailGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationRailGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationRailGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationRailGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationRailGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationRailGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationRailGabbard * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress

CongressCongressCongressCongressCongress

Gabbard Hannemann Kiaaina Marx Unsure

RailGabbard More 28% 10% 9% 21% 3%RailGabbardLess 10% 17% 27% 13% 8%

RailGabbard

Not Important 39% 38% 41% 45% 16%

RailGabbard

Unsure 23% 35% 23% 21% 72%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Congress * RailHanneman CrosstabulationCongress * RailHanneman CrosstabulationCongress * RailHanneman CrosstabulationCongress * RailHanneman CrosstabulationCongress * RailHanneman CrosstabulationCongress * RailHanneman CrosstabulationCongress * RailHanneman Crosstabulation% within RailHanneman% within RailHanneman% within RailHanneman% within RailHanneman% within RailHanneman% within RailHanneman% within RailHanneman

RailHannemanRailHannemanRailHannemanRailHanneman

More Less

Not Important Unsure

Congress Gabbard 16% 51% 37% 21%CongressHannemann 65% 13% 32% 25%

Congress

Kiaaina 3% 16% 11% 8%

Congress

Marx 9% 11% 12% 9%

Congress

Unsure 7% 8% 7% 36%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100%

RailHanneman * Congress CrosstabulationRailHanneman * Congress CrosstabulationRailHanneman * Congress CrosstabulationRailHanneman * Congress CrosstabulationRailHanneman * Congress CrosstabulationRailHanneman * Congress CrosstabulationRailHanneman * Congress CrosstabulationRailHanneman * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress

CongressCongressCongressCongressCongress

Gabbard Hannemann Kiaaina Marx Unsure

RailHanneman More 12% 48% 9% 21% 14%RailHannemanLess 44% 11% 44% 31% 19%

RailHanneman

Not Important 33% 28% 33% 33% 17%

RailHanneman

Unsure 11% 13% 14% 15% 50%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 17: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

17Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 18: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

18

Congress * MikeGabbard CrosstabulationCongress * MikeGabbard CrosstabulationCongress * MikeGabbard CrosstabulationCongress * MikeGabbard CrosstabulationCongress * MikeGabbard CrosstabulationCongress * MikeGabbard CrosstabulationCongress * MikeGabbard Crosstabulation% within MikeGabbard% within MikeGabbard% within MikeGabbard% within MikeGabbard% within MikeGabbard% within MikeGabbard% within MikeGabbard

MikeGabbardMikeGabbardMikeGabbardMikeGabbard

More Less

Not Important Unsure

Congress Gabbard 52% 24% 38% 15%CongressHannemann 32% 33% 36% 24%

Congress

Kiaaina 5% 16% 8% 7%

Congress

Marx 5% 19% 6% 7%

Congress

Unsure 6% 8% 11% 46%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100%

MikeGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationMikeGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationMikeGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationMikeGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationMikeGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationMikeGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationMikeGabbard * Congress CrosstabulationMikeGabbard * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress

CongressCongressCongressCongressCongress

Gabbard Hannemann Kiaaina Marx Unsure

MikeGabbard More 14% 9% 4% 4% 5%MikeGabbardLess 25% 34% 52% 61% 22%

MikeGabbard

Not Important 57% 52% 38% 29% 44%

MikeGabbard

Unsure 4% 6% 6% 6% 29%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Congress * HannemanExperience CrosstabulationCongress * HannemanExperience CrosstabulationCongress * HannemanExperience CrosstabulationCongress * HannemanExperience CrosstabulationCongress * HannemanExperience CrosstabulationCongress * HannemanExperience CrosstabulationCongress * HannemanExperience Crosstabulation% within HannemanExperience% within HannemanExperience% within HannemanExperience% within HannemanExperience% within HannemanExperience% within HannemanExperience% within HannemanExperience

HannemanExperienceHannemanExperienceHannemanExperienceHannemanExperience

More Less

Not Important Unsure

Congress Gabbard 9% 58% 41% 27%CongressHannemann 69% 6% 22% 14%

Congress

Kiaaina 3% 17% 15% 3%

Congress

Marx 9% 11% 13% 9%

Congress

Unsure 10% 8% 9% 47%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100%

HannemanExperience * Congress CrosstabulationHannemanExperience * Congress CrosstabulationHannemanExperience * Congress CrosstabulationHannemanExperience * Congress CrosstabulationHannemanExperience * Congress CrosstabulationHannemanExperience * Congress CrosstabulationHannemanExperience * Congress CrosstabulationHannemanExperience * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress

CongressCongressCongressCongressCongress

Gabbard Hannemann Kiaaina Marx Unsure

HannemanExperience More 10% 76% 11% 33% 29%HannemanExperienceLess 54% 5% 51% 31% 20%

HannemanExperience

Not Important 28% 15% 34% 28% 16%

HannemanExperience

Unsure 8% 4% 3% 8% 35%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 19: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

19Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 20: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

20

Congress * Obama CrosstabulationCongress * Obama CrosstabulationCongress * Obama CrosstabulationCongress * Obama CrosstabulationCongress * Obama CrosstabulationCongress * Obama CrosstabulationCongress * Obama CrosstabulationCongress * Obama Crosstabulation% within Obama% within Obama% within Obama% within Obama% within Obama% within Obama% within Obama% within Obama

ObamaObamaObamaObamaObama

Approve strongly

Approve somewhat

Disapprove somewhat

Disapprove strongly Unsure

Congress Gabbard 30% 31% 25% 52% 38%CongressHannemann 36% 30% 47% 30% 17%

Congress

Kiaaina 10% 15% 6% 5% 8%

Congress

Marx 11% 14% 6% 9%

Congress

Unsure 13% 11% 16% 4% 38%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Obama * Congress CrosstabulationObama * Congress CrosstabulationObama * Congress CrosstabulationObama * Congress CrosstabulationObama * Congress CrosstabulationObama * Congress CrosstabulationObama * Congress CrosstabulationObama * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress

CongressCongressCongressCongressCongress

Gabbard Hannemann Kiaaina Marx Unsure

Obama Approve strongly 54% 64% 59% 61% 62%ObamaApprove somewhat 18% 17% 29% 25% 16%

Obama

Disapprove somewhat 4% 6% 3% 3% 6%

Obama

Disapprove strongly 21% 12% 7% 11% 5%

Obama

Unsure 4% 2% 3% 11%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 21: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

21

Congress * ObamaCondensed CrosstabulationCongress * ObamaCondensed CrosstabulationCongress * ObamaCondensed CrosstabulationCongress * ObamaCondensed CrosstabulationCongress * ObamaCondensed CrosstabulationCongress * ObamaCondensed Crosstabulation% within ObamaCondensed% within ObamaCondensed% within ObamaCondensed% within ObamaCondensed% within ObamaCondensed% within ObamaCondensed

ObamaCondensedObamaCondensedObamaCondensed

Approve Disapprove Unsure

Congress Gabbard 30% 45% 38%CongressHannemann 35% 34% 17%

Congress

Kiaaina 11% 5% 8%

Congress

Marx 11% 8%

Congress

Unsure 12% 7% 38%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100%

ObamaCondensed * Congress CrosstabulationObamaCondensed * Congress CrosstabulationObamaCondensed * Congress CrosstabulationObamaCondensed * Congress CrosstabulationObamaCondensed * Congress CrosstabulationObamaCondensed * Congress CrosstabulationObamaCondensed * Congress CrosstabulationObamaCondensed * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress

CongressCongressCongressCongressCongress

Gabbard Hannemann Kiaaina Marx Unsure

ObamaCondensed Approve 72% 80% 88% 86% 79%ObamaCondensedDisapprove 24% 18% 9% 14% 11%

ObamaCondensed

Unsure 4% 2% 3% 11%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 22: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

22

Congress * County CrosstabulationCongress * County CrosstabulationCongress * County CrosstabulationCongress * County CrosstabulationCongress * County CrosstabulationCongress * County CrosstabulationCongress * County Crosstabulation% within County% within County% within County% within County% within County% within County% within County

CountyCountyCountyCounty Hawaii Kauai Maui Oahu

Congress Gabbard 24% 34% 28% 41%CongressHannemann 33% 29% 50% 30%

Congress

Kiaaina 8% 14% 9% 11%

Congress

Marx 19% 8% 7% 6%

Congress

Unsure 16% 16% 6% 12%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100%

Congress * Gender CrosstabulationCongress * Gender CrosstabulationCongress * Gender CrosstabulationCongress * Gender CrosstabulationCongress * Gender Crosstabulation% within Gender% within Gender% within Gender% within Gender% within Gender

GenderGender Male Female

Congress Gabbard 34% 31%CongressHannemann 37% 31%

Congress

Kiaaina 8% 13%

Congress

Marx 10% 11%

Congress

Unsure 11% 13%TotalTotal 100% 100%

Congress * Age CrosstabulationCongress * Age CrosstabulationCongress * Age CrosstabulationCongress * Age CrosstabulationCongress * Age CrosstabulationCongress * Age CrosstabulationCongress * Age CrosstabulationCongress * Age Crosstabulation% within Age% within Age% within Age% within Age% within Age% within Age% within Age% within Age

AgeAgeAgeAgeAge 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+

Congress Gabbard 12% 18% 38% 34% 35%CongressHannemann 17% 31% 35% 35% 36%

Congress

Kiaaina 12% 31% 10% 9% 7%

Congress

Marx 37% 14% 6% 9% 8%

Congress

Unsure 22% 6% 10% 12% 13%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 23: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

23

Congress * Politics CrosstabulationCongress * Politics CrosstabulationCongress * Politics CrosstabulationCongress * Politics CrosstabulationCongress * Politics CrosstabulationCongress * Politics CrosstabulationCongress * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics% within Politics% within Politics% within Politics% within Politics% within Politics% within Politics

PoliticsPoliticsPoliticsPolitics

Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure

Congress Gabbard 26% 40% 37% 24%CongressHannemann 26% 36% 41% 37%

Congress

Kiaaina 12% 10% 10% 7%

Congress

Marx 24% 6% 3% 6%

Congress

Unsure 12% 8% 10% 26%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100%

Congress * Party_ID CrosstabulationCongress * Party_ID CrosstabulationCongress * Party_ID CrosstabulationCongress * Party_ID CrosstabulationCongress * Party_ID CrosstabulationCongress * Party_ID CrosstabulationCongress * Party_ID Crosstabulation% within Party_ID% within Party_ID% within Party_ID% within Party_ID% within Party_ID% within Party_ID% within Party_ID

Party_IDParty_IDParty_IDParty_ID

Democrat Republican Independent Unsure

Congress Gabbard 30% 38% 38% 43%CongressHannemann 35% 34% 34% 18%

Congress

Kiaaina 9% 3% 14% 7%

Congress

Marx 12% 17% 6% 7%

Congress

Unsure 13% 7% 8% 25%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 24: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

24

Congress * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCongress * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCongress * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCongress * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCongress * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCongress * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCongress * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCongress * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCongress * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCongress * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity

Race_EthnicityRace_EthnicityRace_EthnicityRace_EthnicityRace_EthnicityRace_EthnicityRace_Ethnicity

Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed

Congress Gabbard 34% 27% 39% 30% 33% 18% 37%CongressHannemann 30% 46% 42% 31% 33% 55% 31%

Congress

Kiaaina 9% 2% 8% 26% 9% 17%

Congress

Marx 15% 9% 3% 1% 9% 7%

Congress

Unsure 12% 15% 8% 12% 33% 9% 8%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Congress * Religion CrosstabulationCongress * Religion CrosstabulationCongress * Religion CrosstabulationCongress * Religion CrosstabulationCongress * Religion CrosstabulationCongress * Religion CrosstabulationCongress * Religion CrosstabulationCongress * Religion CrosstabulationCongress * Religion CrosstabulationCongress * Religion CrosstabulationCongress * Religion CrosstabulationCongress * Religion Crosstabulation% within Religion% within Religion% within Religion% within Religion% within Religion% within Religion% within Religion% within Religion% within Religion% within Religion% within Religion% within Religion

ReligionReligionReligionReligionReligionReligionReligionReligionReligion

Catholic

Evangelical Mormon

Other Christia

nBuddhis

t Shinto Jewish Other NoneCongress

Gabbard 39% 28% 36% 31% 23% 60% 22% 33% 33%Congress Hannemann 37% 24% 42% 42% 44% 40% 44% 20% 27%Congress

Kiaaina 6% 24% 14% 8% 11% 11% 13% 10%

Congress

Marx 9% 17% 3% 10% 13% 11% 17% 11%

Congress

Unsure 10% 7% 6% 9% 9% 0% 11% 17% 19%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 25: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

25

Congress * Military_Family CrosstabulationCongress * Military_Family CrosstabulationCongress * Military_Family CrosstabulationCongress * Military_Family CrosstabulationCongress * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family% within Military_Family% within Military_Family% within Military_Family% within Military_Family

Military_FamilyMilitary_Family Yes No

Congress Gabbard 36% 32%CongressHannemann 36% 35%

Congress

Kiaaina 12% 10%

Congress

Marx 9% 11%

Congress

Unsure 7% 12%TotalTotal 100% 100%

Congress * Household_Income CrosstabulationCongress * Household_Income CrosstabulationCongress * Household_Income CrosstabulationCongress * Household_Income CrosstabulationCongress * Household_Income CrosstabulationCongress * Household_Income Crosstabulation% within Household_Income% within Household_Income% within Household_Income% within Household_Income% within Household_Income% within Household_Income

Household_IncomeHousehold_IncomeHousehold_Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000-$100,000

$100,000 or More

Congress Gabbard 31% 36% 34%CongressHannemann 32% 39% 37%

Congress

Kiaaina 10% 8% 12%

Congress

Marx 15% 7% 8%

Congress

Unsure 12% 9% 10%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100%

Congress * Education CrosstabulationCongress * Education CrosstabulationCongress * Education CrosstabulationCongress * Education CrosstabulationCongress * Education CrosstabulationCongress * Education CrosstabulationCongress * Education Crosstabulation% within Education% within Education% within Education% within Education% within Education% within Education% within Education

EducationEducationEducationEducation

No degree

High School Degree

College Degree

Graduate Degree

Congress Gabbard 10% 30% 39% 30%CongressHannemann 52% 36% 27% 40%

Congress

Kiaaina 5% 9% 13% 9%

Congress

Marx 10% 10% 12% 10%

Congress

Unsure 24% 15% 10% 10%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%

Page 26: The Civil Beat Poll June 2012 — 2nd Congressional Democrats Part 2

26

Congress * Senate CrosstabulationCongress * Senate CrosstabulationCongress * Senate CrosstabulationCongress * Senate CrosstabulationCongress * Senate CrosstabulationCongress * Senate Crosstabulation% within Senate% within Senate% within Senate% within Senate% within Senate% within Senate

SenateSenateSenate Hirono Case Unsure

Congress Gabbard 26% 43% 24%CongressHannemann 40% 32% 18%

Congress

Kiaaina 11% 9% 13%

Congress

Marx 12% 10% 4%

Congress

Unsure 11% 6% 43%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100%

Senate * Congress CrosstabulationSenate * Congress CrosstabulationSenate * Congress CrosstabulationSenate * Congress CrosstabulationSenate * Congress CrosstabulationSenate * Congress CrosstabulationSenate * Congress CrosstabulationSenate * Congress Crosstabulation% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress% within Congress

CongressCongressCongressCongressCongress

Gabbard Hannemann Kiaaina Marx Unsure

Senate Hirono 38% 56% 49% 56% 40%SenateCase 54% 38% 37% 40% 20%

Senate

Unsure 8% 6% 14% 4% 40%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Civil Beat Poll, June 13-14, 2012685 Likely Democratic Second Congressional District Primary Voters

Margin of Error +/- 3.7%