the adaptive value of habitat preferences from a multi ... · habitat selection and its adaptive...

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Submitted 30 November 2016 Accepted 8 March 2017 Published 28 March 2017 Corresponding author Jan Jedlikowski, janjed- [email protected] Academic editor Donald Kramer Additional Information and Declarations can be found on page 16 DOI 10.7717/peerj.3164 Copyright 2017 Jedlikowski and Brambilla Distributed under Creative Commons CC-BY 4.0 OPEN ACCESS The adaptive value of habitat preferences from a multi-scale spatial perspective: insights from marsh-nesting avian species Jan Jedlikowski 1 and Mattia Brambilla 2 ,3 1 Faculty of Biology, Biological and Chemical Research Centre, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland 2 Settore Biodiversità e Aree protette, Fondazione Lombardia per l’Ambiente, Seveso (MB), Italy 3 Sezione Zoologia dei Vertebrati, Museo delle Scienze, Trento, Italy ABSTRACT Background. Habitat selection and its adaptive outcomes are crucial features for animal life-history strategies. Nevertheless, congruence between habitat preferences and breeding success has been rarely demonstrated, which may result from the single- scale evaluation of animal choices. As habitat selection is a complex multi-scale process in many groups of animal species, investigating adaptiveness of habitat selection in a multi-scale framework is crucial. In this study, we explore whether habitat preferences acting at different spatial scales enhance the fitness of bird species, and check the appropriateness of single vs. multi-scale models. We expected that variables found to be more important for habitat selection at individual scale(s), would coherently play a major role in affecting nest survival at the same scale(s). Methods. We considered habitat preferences of two Rallidae species, little crake (Zapornia parva) and water rail (Rallus aquaticus), at three spatial scales (landscape, territory, and nest-site) and related them to nest survival. Single-scale versus multi-scale models (GLS and glmmPQL) were compared to check which model better described adaptiveness of habitat preferences. Consistency between the effect of variables on habitat selection and on nest survival was checked to investigate their adaptive value. Results. In both species, multi-scale models for nest survival were more supported than single-scale ones. In little crake, the multi-scale model indicated vegetation density and water depth at the territory scale, as well as vegetation height at nest-site scale, as the most important variables. The first two variables were among the most important for nest survival and habitat selection, and the coherent effects suggested the adaptive value of habitat preferences. In water rail, the multi-scale model of nest survival showed vegetation density at territory scale and extent of emergent vegetation within landscape scale as the most important ones, although we found a consistent effect with the habitat selection model (and hence evidence for adaptiveness) only for the former. Discussion. Our work suggests caution when interpreting adaptiveness of habitat preferences at a single spatial scale because such an approach may under- or over- estimate the importance of habitat factors. As an example, we found evidence only for a weak effect of water depth at territory scale on little crake nest survival; however, according to the multi-scale analysis, such effect turned out to be important and appeared highly adaptive. Therefore, multi-scale approaches to the study of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted. How to cite this article Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017), The adaptive value of habitat preferences from a multi-scale spatial perspective: insights from marsh-nesting avian species. PeerJ 5:e3164; DOI 10.7717/peerj.3164

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Submitted 30 November 2016Accepted 8 March 2017Published 28 March 2017

Corresponding authorJan Jedlikowski janjed-likowskibioluwedupl

Academic editorDonald Kramer

Additional Information andDeclarations can be found onpage 16

DOI 107717peerj3164

Copyright2017 Jedlikowski and Brambilla

Distributed underCreative Commons CC-BY 40

OPEN ACCESS

The adaptive value of habitat preferencesfrom a multi-scale spatial perspectiveinsights from marsh-nesting avianspeciesJan Jedlikowski1 and Mattia Brambilla23

1 Faculty of Biology Biological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw Warsaw Poland2 Settore Biodiversitagrave e Aree protette Fondazione Lombardia per lrsquoAmbiente Seveso (MB) Italy3 Sezione Zoologia dei Vertebrati Museo delle Scienze Trento Italy

ABSTRACTBackground Habitat selection and its adaptive outcomes are crucial features foranimal life-history strategies Nevertheless congruence between habitat preferencesand breeding success has been rarely demonstrated which may result from the single-scale evaluation of animal choices As habitat selection is a complex multi-scale processin many groups of animal species investigating adaptiveness of habitat selection in amulti-scale framework is crucial In this study we explore whether habitat preferencesacting at different spatial scales enhance the fitness of bird species and check theappropriateness of single vs multi-scale models We expected that variables found tobe more important for habitat selection at individual scale(s) would coherently play amajor role in affecting nest survival at the same scale(s)Methods We considered habitat preferences of two Rallidae species little crake(Zapornia parva) and water rail (Rallus aquaticus) at three spatial scales (landscapeterritory and nest-site) and related them to nest survival Single-scale versusmulti-scalemodels (GLS and glmmPQL) were compared to check which model better describedadaptiveness of habitat preferences Consistency between the effect of variables onhabitat selection and on nest survival was checked to investigate their adaptive valueResults In both species multi-scale models for nest survival were more supportedthan single-scale ones In little crake themulti-scale model indicated vegetation densityand water depth at the territory scale as well as vegetation height at nest-site scale asthe most important variables The first two variables were among the most importantfor nest survival and habitat selection and the coherent effects suggested the adaptivevalue of habitat preferences In water rail the multi-scale model of nest survival showedvegetation density at territory scale and extent of emergent vegetation within landscapescale as the most important ones although we found a consistent effect with the habitatselection model (and hence evidence for adaptiveness) only for the formerDiscussion Our work suggests caution when interpreting adaptiveness of habitatpreferences at a single spatial scale because such an approach may under- or over-estimate the importance of habitat factors As an example we found evidence only fora weak effect of water depth at territory scale on little crake nest survival howeveraccording to the multi-scale analysis such effect turned out to be important andappeared highly adaptive Therefore multi-scale approaches to the study of adaptiveexplanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

How to cite this article Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) The adaptive value of habitat preferences from a multi-scale spatial perspectiveinsights from marsh-nesting avian species PeerJ 5e3164 DOI 107717peerj3164

Subjects Animal Behavior Biogeography Ecology ZoologyKeywords Habitat selection Adaptation Spatial scale Nest survival Rallidae

INTRODUCTIONChoice of the breeding site may strongly affect survival rate and productivity of animalpopulations and is thus commonly presumed to be an important driver of life-historyevolution (eg for birds Martin 1995 Martin 1998) Under natural selection habitatpreferences should therefore evolve to maximize animal fitness ie animals are expectedto select the best possible breeding sites which would allow for the highest reproductiveoutcome

Although the selection of breeding site and the resulting habitat preferences are widelyassumed to be adaptive (ie fitness is greater in preferred habitats) this assumption israrely tested and results are often equivocal (Arlt amp Paumlrt 2007Maumlgi et al 2009 Chalfounamp Schmidt 2012) A review provided by Chalfoun amp Schmidt (2012) showed that habitatpreferences affected fitness outcomes (ie nest or seasonal reproductive success) inonly 44 of analysed studies The lack of congruence between habitat preferences andreproductive performance may occur for many different reasons including inabilityto freely move between patches and locate optimal habitats (Forbes amp Kaiser 1994)asymmetric competition between species (Martin amp Martin 2001) difficulty in properassessment of the actual qualities of environments by inexperienced individuals (Orians ampWittenberger 1991) or by unpredictable variability in abiotic factors (Fletcher amp Koford2004) In addition to the ecological reasons many studies have reported examples ofhuman-altered environments acting as lsquoecological trapsrsquo in the habitat selection process(Schlaepfer Runge amp Sherman 2002 Bonnington Gaston amp Evans 2015)

Apart from the above ecological-evolutionary and anthropogenic explanations samplinglimitations and methodological issues can also result in an apparent lack of adaptivenessof habitat preferences Small sample size may prevent the detection of relationships withhabitat metrics affecting habitat choice and fitness outcomes (Battin amp Lawler 2006Chalfoun amp Schmidt 2012) More importantly habitat selection processes can operateat spatial and temporal dimension and the adaptive value of such processes should beinvestigated at the appropriate scales Habitat selection is generally approved to be a multi-scale spatial process not only in birds (Brambilla Rubolini amp Guidali 2006 Fuller 2012)but also in other groups like insects (Krawchuk amp Taylor 2003) mammals (Chamberlain etal 2003) reptiles (Harvey amp Weatherhead 2006) amphibians (Blomquist amp Hunter 2010)or fish (BrindrsquoAmour et al 2005) As a result a proper investigation of adaptiveness ofhabitat-selection strategies requires framing analyses at the multiple spatial scales relevantfor the study organism However the vast majority of studies have focused on the adaptivevalue of habitat preferences at a single spatial scale (Martin 1998Misenhelter amp Rotenberry2000 Davis 2005 Arlt amp Paumlrt 2007 Brambilla amp Ficetola 2012 Murray amp Best 2014 butsee Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) When habitat selection is a multi-scale process the lackof congruence or even mismatches between habitat preferences and fitness outcome may

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 222

result from key habitat features that act at other scales and have been overlooked ratherthan from maladaptive choice or other ecological-evolutionary reasons

Avian species qualify as an ideal model for the investigation of the adaptiveness ofmulti-scale habitat preferences In birds decisions related to the selection of the breedingsite are usually determined by the availability of critical resources such as food (Crampton ampSedinger 2011 Barea 2012) and refuge from predators (Forstmeier amp Weiss 2004 Forsmanet al 2013) which in turn may strongly affect multiple fitness outcomes Occupying high-quality habitats determine in general higher fitness indices for clutches (nest survivalclutch size clutch massMartin 1998) fledglings (offspring mass and survival Bloom et al2013 Germain et al 2015) and adults (survival of individual birds seasonal reproductivesuccess numbers of nesting attempts Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) In response to patchinessand hierarchical structure of the environment birds tend to recognize and select theirhabitat at several spatial scales (Fuller 2012) As an example for many passerine species therisk of predation is the primary force affecting habitat selection (Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo et al 2015)and the choices performed at several scales are important mostly in terms of predationavoidance (Thompson 2007) At the landscape scale birds may try to select habitats withlower densities of predators based on direct cues ie avoiding predators once they aredetected (Cresswell 2008 Dinkins et al 2014) or using proximate cues eg by avoidinghabitats with higher risk of predation such as smaller and more isolated patches (Dolman2012) At the territory and nest-site scale factors such as vegetation density and foliagecover as well as a number of potential nest sites within territory plot are commonlythought to be crucial factors that hamper predator search efforts and reduce probabilityof nest predation (Martin amp Roper 1988 Martin 1993 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Finallydifferent types of social and public information such as information about breeding successof neighbours may be collected by birds at particular scales to obtain knowledge about riskof nest predation (Lima 2009) Therefore for species that assess habitat suitability withinmultiple spatial scales the overall adaptive value of habitat preferences should be clearlyevaluated at several ecologically relevant spatial scales

In this study we evaluated the effect of scale on the adaptiveness of two bird speciesby analysing nest survival and its relation to habitat preferences at three spatial scalesmdashlandscape territory and nest-site We used nest survival as a relevant and widely measuredfitness component to check congruence with evolved habitat preferences Our objectiveswere (1) to investigate the relative effect of factors acting at different spatial scales onnest survival (2) to investigate factors affecting nest survival in a multi-scale contextand to check whether the effects from single-scale analyses can be relevant also whenconsidering all spatial scales at once and (3) to evaluate the adaptiveness of multi-scalehabitat preferences by considering the overall effect of habitat suitability and consistencybetween the effect of variables on habitat selection and on nest survival We explored thepotential effect on nest survival of habitat factors acting at different spatial scales and foundto be important (selected by multi-scale models) or potentially important (apparentlyimportant only according to single-scale analyses) for habitat selection in the study speciesWe expected that factors found to be more important for habitat selection at individualscale(s) would coherently play a similar role in affecting nest survival at the same scale(s)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 322

MATERIALS amp METHODSStudy systemWe focused on twobird species belonging to theRallidae family little crake (Zapornia parvaformerly Porzana genus) and water rail (Rallus aquaticus) These two migratory speciesoccupy awide range of aquatic habitats with still or slow-movingwater (Taylor amp Van Perlo1998) They require tall dense emergent vegetation as nesting sites and protection againstpredators The ones found in the study area are marsh harrier (Circus aeruginosus) raccoondog (Nyctereutes procyonoides) least weasel (Mustela nivalis) andAmericanmink (Neovisonvison Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015 J Jedlikowski pers comm 2011) Previousstudies showed that habitat selection is a multi-scale process in these species and that rallidoccurrence was mostly affected by habitat factors at the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al2016)Hereweuse the same study area andhabitat factorsmeasured for the habitat selectionprocess to evaluate adaptiveness of the habitat preferences

The two species were surveyed at 30 small water bodies located between 5347primendash5353primeNand 2133primendash2147primeE in the central part of the Masurian Lakeland (north-eastern Poland)The area of these water bodies varied from 02 to 100 ha (mean 221) water level fluctuatedseasonally but the maximum depth did not exceed 15 m and water pH ranged from 63to 82 All ponds were located in natural depressions filled with organic sediments andwere overgrown mainly by bulrush (Typha spp) common reed (Phragmites australis)sedges (Carex spp) and bushes of grey willow (Salix cinerea) These inland water bodieswere surrounded by a mosaic of wetland-agricultural landscapes including arable fieldsmeadows pastures sparse rural areas forests and other wetland complexes (lakes marshesand ditches see Jedlikowski et al 2016)

The study was purely observational with no manipulation of animals The studyfulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee Regional Directorate forEnvironmental Protection allows us to carry out this research (approval number WOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Nest monitoringFor both little crake and water rail which are precocial species the nesting period iscritical for successful breeding so we used nest survival as a fitness component Toobtain nest fate of both species we collected data from late-April to early-August overthree successive breeding seasons (2012ndash2014) We used call-playback surveys to identifyterritories occupied by studied species within each season (Jedlikowski Brambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) Subsequently we systematically searched within patches of littoralvegetation for nests of little crake and water rail and marked the position of each nestusing a handheld GPS receiver (GRS-1 Topcon accuracy less than 05 m) We monitoredeach nest beginning two days after finding it to assess the stage of the clutch (egg layingincubating or hatching stage) Afterwards we checked each nest at 5ndash7 day intervals untilthe clutch successfully hatched or was found depredated We determined nest success whenat least one chick was observed (or heard) in or in close proximity to the nest (lt2 m)and no traces of nest predation were detected Crushed pieces of shells with remainsof yolk found in the nest or close by in the water were considered as evidence of nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 422

predation Also partially depredated clutches were treated as depredated as such nests werealways abandoned by adults We also considered nest loss when we found empty nestsaccompanied by damage of nest material and surrounding vegetation during the presumedincubation period

Habitat measurementsWe used circular plots centred on each nest to measure habitat characteristic andcomposition of vegetation around nests at three spatial scales lsquolandscapersquo (200-m radius)lsquoterritoryrsquo (14-m radius) and lsquonest-sitersquo (3-m radius) Those scales were chosen accordingto the previous habitat selection studies with little crake and water rail The extent of 200-mradius was associated with the best performing landscape-scale habitat selection modelfor both rallids (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This radius was consistent with other studiesthat assessed relationship between Rallidae species and landscape features (eg Austin ampBuhl 2013 Glisson et al 2015) Territory and nest-site scale radii were selected based ontelemetry study (Jedlikowski Brambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014 Jedlikowski amp Brambilla2017) Within each scale we recorded habitat variables deemed as potentially important(ie included in the most supported models at each scale) by the habitat selection study(see Jedlikowski et al 2016 and Table 1)

To describe habitat characteristics at the landscape scale we used spatial analyst tools inArcGIS 102 (ESRI 2013) to measure the extent and configuration of the main land coverclasses (see Table 1) Land cover classes were assigned based on aerial photos of waterbodies and surrounding habitats taken in April 2012 and ground-truthed each year in thefield Each homogeneous habitat patch was mapped when one of its dimensions exceeded10 m In the case of territory scale (represented by a 14-m radius plot around nest) meanvegetation density and water depth were measured and extent of emergent plant cover wasestimated using ArcGIS 102 (see Table 1) To estimate the percentage cover of emergentvegetation species at the territory scale patches of vegetation were mapped when one oftheir dimensions exceeded 2 m and classified according to the main plant species Patcheswere mapped by walking through and recording position by means of a handheld GPSreceiver When nests were situated closer than 14 m to the water-land edge and territoryplots extended to the terrestrial habitat (space not used by birds) the border of potentialterritories was adjusted to the water body shoreline (in 70 cases for little crake and 76cases for water rail) As a result in such cases all measurements were taken within theadjusted territory plot in the same way as in the habitat selection study for these species(see Jedlikowski et al 2016) All the territory measurements were performed immediatelyafter clutch hatched or was depredated to avoid vegetation damage or disturbance tobirds during the nesting period At the nest-site scale all measured habitat characteristicsconcerned nest position within littoral vegetation and the structure of vegetation in theimmediate vicinity of the nest and were taken on the same day that the nest was found(see Table 1)

Data analysisIn our study system all nest data had a strong spatial structure because of pond distributionin the landscape and of nest distribution within ponds This prevented us from using

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 522

Table 1 Description of habitat characteristics measured around nests of little crake and water railwithin three spatial scales (landscape territory and nest-site) that were found to be important inbreeding site choice (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) and used in the analyses of the nest survival model ofboth rallids in the Masurian Lakeland Poland

Variable Acronym Description

Landscape scaleArable landa arablel Extent of cultivated fields ()Urbanised areaa urbana Extent of artificial surface urban fabric industrial

units and road network ()Emergent vegetationab emveg Extent of water bodies overgrown by emergent

vegetation ()Woody vegetationb woodveg Extent of water bodies overgrown by shrub and

trees ()Water body shapea watshape Perimeter-area ratio index (Helzer amp Jelinski

1999) estimated by dividing total water bodyperimeter by total water body area (mha)

Water body fragmenta-tionab

watfrag Proximity index (PX) (Gustafson amp Parker1994) calculated for n water bodies asPX =

sumni=1(Sizi) where Si was the area of

each water body within a particular buffer (eventhose which partially lie within the radius) and zithe shortest linear distance to an adjacent waterbody (ham)

Territory scaleReed coverab reedcov Extent of Phragmites australis cover ()Sedges coverb sedcov Extent of Carex spp cover ()Willow covera willcov Extent of Salix spp cover ()Open waterb opwatt Extent of open water surface ()Vegetation densityab vegdens Mean vegetation density within territory plot

(five measurements taken every 2 m in each car-dinal direction around nest measurements takenoutside the water bodies were removed from fur-ther analysis) Vegetation density was estimatedas the percentage cover of vegetation within a 05times 05 m quadrant (estimated with 10 precisioneach time by the same investigator)

Water depthab watdept Mean water depth within a territory plot (fivemeasurements taken every 2 m in each cardinaldirection around nest measurements taken out-side the water bodies were removed from furtheranalysis) (cm)

Nest-site scalePlant speciesa plantsp Species of emergent plants at nest siteVegetation stageab vegst Stage of emergent vegetation at nest site (1=

fresh 2= previous years 3=mixed)Vegetation coverb vegcov Percentage cover of emergent vegetation within a

3-m radius plot around nest (estimated with 10precision each time by the same investigator)

(continued on next page)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 622

Table 1 (continued)

Variable Acronym Description

Vegetation heightab veght Mean height of emergent vegetation within nestplot (measurements taken from the water surfacefrom ten random points around nest) (cm)

Water depthab watdepn Mean water depth in a 3-m radius plot aroundnest calculated from ten random measurementswithin the plot (cm)

NotesaVariable importance in single-scale models of habitat selection for little crakebVariables important for water rail

standard nest-survival methods based on generalized linear models (Dinsmore Whiteamp Knopf 2002 Hazler 2004) which do not allow for a proper treatment of spatialautocorrelation Therefore we performed a two-step analysis to assess the relationshipbetween habitat preferences and nest survival using methods suited to deal with spatiallyautocorrelated data Before running models all variables were standardized in orderto compare the relative effects (Schielzeth 2010) and better evaluate multicollinearityproblems (Cade 2015)

For the first step we used generalized least squares (GLS) models This regressiontechnique allows for the incorporation of the spatial structure into the modelrsquos errorand is considered among the best methods to deal with spatially autocorrelated datasets(Dormann et al 2007 Beale et al 2010) We built species-specific GLS models with thenumber of days a nest survived as the dependent variable and year initiation date andhabitat factors as covariates In precocial species such as little crake and water rail it isknown that older nests ie those that have survived more days have higher survival ratesthan younger nests because nests located in more risky sites will be depredated in earlystages (Klett amp Johnson 1982 Dinsmore White amp Knopf 2002) In our analysis we usedonly nests found during the egg laying period which allowed us to correctly estimate thenumber of survived days for each nest from the nest initiation day (the day when the firstegg was laid) to the day when chicks hatched or clutch was depredated For clutches foundafter initiation day we used the backdating method to estimate the first-egg date assumingthat the birds lay one egg per day (Taylor amp Van Perlo 1998) When a nest failed betweentwo consecutive visits we estimated time of failure as the mid-point between visits Finallywe adjusted the number of days a successful nests survived to 23 days for little crake and27 days for water rail All nests which survived to this age were successful but some nestsrequired a few more days for hatching (in little crake 27 nests required one or two daysmore in water rail 10 nests were successful after one or two days more and four nests afterthree to four days more respectively) By this adjustment we avoided giving an excessiveweight within models to successful nests that required extra time to hatch We used aninformation-theoretic approach (Burnham amp Anderson 2002) ranking all possible modelsaccording to the Akaike Information Criterion corrected for small sample sizes (AICC)Given that initiation time and year variation had been reported several times among themain factors affecting nest success in several bird species (eg Mazgajski 2002 Dinsmore

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 722

amp Dinsmore 2007) they were kept as fixed factors in the models In fact it is known thatshifts in predator communities or in the availability of alternative prey for predators as wellas climatic conditions may affect nest success within a breeding season and over differentyears (egMoynahan et al 2007 Shitikov Fedotova amp Gagieva 2012) For each model wechecked the potential occurrence of multi-collinearity among predictors according to therelative values of the VIF (Variance Inflation Factor) All variables tested in the models hadVIF lt 3 thus multi-collinearity was not an issue for the analyses Therefore we rankedmodels according to the relative AICC-values for each species and at each spatial scaleThen we considered the most supported models (1AICC lt 2) and excluded those withuninformative parameters (ie models comprising a more parsimonious model as nestedplus some additional factors Arnold 2010) Finally we carried out model averaging (fullaveraging) among the remaining models or took the most parsimonious model when noothers remained

The above procedure was adopted for all the analyses required by the three objectivesof the study For objective 1 we carried out the analysis at each spatial scale (landscapeterritory nest-site) for each species For objective 2 we used a multi-scale model for eachspecies After species-specific model ranking for each spatial scale we chose for each speciesall the variables comprised in the most parsimonious models (models with 1AICC lt 2)With the resulting sets of variables we worked out multi-scale models for each speciesranking all possible models according to AICC (matching the approach adopted in thehabitat selection study Jedlikowski et al 2016) For objective 3 we used the estimatedhabitat suitability as a predictor (occurrence probability as calculated according to thespecies-specific multi-scale models of habitat selection reported in Table 5 in Jedlikowski etal 2016) to assess whether multi-scale habitat preferences were adaptive or not If habitatpreferences are adaptive the predicted habitat suitability should predict nest survival Inall the final models residuals approached a normal distribution

As the second step after running GLS models we checked for consistency of the effectsof the variables affecting the number of days a nest survived in relation to the final fate ofnests by taking into account nest exposure Therefore we performed a further analysisimplementing a binomial model with a logit link function with the binomial numeratorbeing 0 or 1 (failure or success) and the binomial denominator being number of days anest survived (cf Mayfield logistic regression Hazler 2004) We performed this analysisby means of spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Models via Penalized Quasi-Likelihood(glmmPQL) assuming a binomial error distribution relating variables selected by GLSmodels to nest successfailure glmmPQL allows modelling spatial data with non-normaldistribution and is considered among the best techniques to handle this type of data(Dormann et al 2007)

For GLS and glmmPQL models we adopted a Gaussian spatial correlation structurebut models with different structures (spherical exponential) led to the same or very similarresults All analyses were performed using the software R (R Development Core Team 2013)and the packages lsquoMuMInrsquo lsquomassrsquo and lsquonlmersquo (Venables amp Ripley 2002 Pinheiro Bates ampDebroy 2010 Bartoń 2014)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 822

Finally habitat preferences (objective 3) were considered as adaptive when (i) habitatsuitability as calculated with the multi-scale models for habitat selection significantlypredicted variation in nest survival with a positive effect (we used the logit value for theregression analyses) (ii) variables importantly affecting habitat selection (included in themulti-scale models Table 5 in Jedlikowski et al 2016) showed the same kind of effect onboth habitat preference and nest survival

RESULTSLittle crake chicks hatched in 32 out of 51 monitored nests (63) and water rail chickshatched in 19 out of 50 nests (38) Descriptive statistics of all habitat parametersmeasuredin successful and predated nests of water rail and little crake are shown in SupplementalInformation 1

Factors affecting nest survival based on individual and the multi-scaleapproachAt the landscape scale the most parsimonious GLS model for little crake included onlyfixed factors (year and initiation Table 2) For water rail nest survival was negativelyaffected by the extent of emergent vegetation (β=minus268 SE = 116 p= 0025 Table2) At the territory scale the top-ranked models indicated that vegetation density waspositively associated with nest survival in both species (β= 502 SE = 066 plt 0001 forlittle crake β= 519 SE = 102 plt 0001 for water rail Table 2) At the nest-site scale thenest survival of rallid nests was mostly affected by a positive relationship with vegetationheight (β= 361 SE = 093 plt 0001 for little crake β= 339 SE = 116 p= 0005 forwater rail Table 2)

The multi-scale models (ie the ones including the most relevant factors from differentscales see Tables 3 and 4) showed the positive and prevalent effect of vegetation densitywithin territory scale on nest survival in both species Moreover nest survival was positivelyaffected by water depth within territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale in littlecrake as well as negatively related to emergent vegetation extent at the landscape scale inwater rail A positive effect on nest survival for water rail was found also for vegetationheight and reed cover which were however characterized by lower relative importance

The analysis of nest fate (successpredation) in relation to the number of days a nestsurvived based on glmmPQLmodels showed that variables affecting nest survival (expressedas a number of days) had the same effect (positive or negative) on nest fate expressed as abinomial outcome (see Supplemental Information 2)

Comparing modelsrsquo performance across scalesFor both species AICC values suggested the following hierarchy of models ranked frommost to least supported ones territory nest-site and landscape scales (see Table 2) Thispattern was suggested by the amount of variation explained by models at each single scalethe R2 of territory scale models were equal to 059 for little crake and to 053 for water railwhereas R2 for nest-site scale models was 030 and 038 respectively and for landscapescale models was 007 and 028 respectively Compared to the top-ranked single-scale

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 922

Table 2 Summary of the GLSmodels describing nest survival of little crake and water rail nests at thethree spatial scalesModels are ranked according to Akaikersquos information criterion corrected for smallsample size (AICC) the difference in AICC from the best supported model (1AICC) Akaikersquos weights(wi) andminus2 log-likelihood values (logLik) Only models with 1AICC lt 2 are shown Negative (minus) orpositive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for little crake and waterrail Year and initiation day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms seeTable 1

Model df logLik AICC 1AICC w i

Little crakeLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus) 6 minus16893 3518 000 031Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ arablel (minus) 7 minus16791 3524 066 022Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus14826 3131 000 045Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+) 8 minus14756 3146 144 022Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus16184 3403 000 048Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ watdepn (+) 8 minus16068 3408 049 037Water railLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus) 7 minus17210 3609 000 040Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+)+opwatt (+)

9 minus16130 3451 000 029

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+) 8 minus16287 3452 014 027Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ opwatt (+) 8 minus16350 3465 140 014year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus16496 3466 148 014Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ vegcov (+) 8 minus16843 3564 000 039Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus17043 3575 116 022

models multi-scale models were more parsimonious for both species and explained ahigher amount of variation the R2 of multi-scale models was 070 for little crake and 067for water rail (considering the most parsimonious model for computation)

The adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesHabitat suitability was strongly correlated with nest survival both in little crake (β= 135SE = 027 plt 0001) and in water rail (β= 007 SE = 003 p= 0014) suggesting thatmulti-scale habitat preferences were adaptive in both species

Vegetation density andmean water depth at the territory scale were positively selected bylittle crake during habitat selection and were the main factors affecting nest survival (Figs1A 1B) This suggests a strong adaptive value of habitat choice In water rail vegetationdensity at the territory scale was positively associated with both occurrence and nestsurvival again suggesting adaptiveness of the preference for sites with denser vegetation(Fig 1C)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1022

Table 3 Multi-scale model describing nest survival in little crake and water rail the most parsimonious GLSmodels (1AICC lt 2) for eachspecies are shown Negative (minus) or positive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for both rallids Year and initia-tion day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms see Table 1

Model df logLik AIC C 1AIC C w i

Little crakeYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)

9 minus14053 3034 000 046

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)+ arablel (minus)

10 minus13991 3053 187 018

Water railYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)

9 minus15259 3277 000 033

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ reedcov (+)

10 minus15159 3288 115 019

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+reedcov (+)

9 minus15318 3289 118 018

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ opwatt (+)

10 minus15201 3297 198 012

Table 4 Model averaged parameter (based onmodels with1AICC lt 2) and relative variable impor-tance (measured considering the sum of the Akaike weights over all models in which that variable ap-pears) of predictors frommulti-scale models of nest survival for water rail and the most parsimoniousmodel for little crake In all models year (2012) was used as the reference category In water rail covari-ates are ranked according to cumulative weights For variable acronyms see Table 1

Variable β SEsum

w i P

Little crakeIntercept 1941 138Year (2013) minus242 154 0124Year (2014) minus022 202 0912Initiation day minus141 066 0040vegdens 416 061 lt0001veght 300 071 lt0001watdept 202 068 0005Water railIntercept 1932 175Year (2013) 151 247 100 0552Year (2014) minus379 217 100 0089Initiation day minus071 115 100 0540emveg minus340 085 100 lt0001vegdens 489 084 100 lt0001veght 193 160 064 0230reedcov 097 140 036 0489

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1122

Figure 1 Graphical representation (solid line predicted values dashed line 95 confidence intervals)of adaptive habitat preferences in relation to nest survival in rallids Little crake selected territories withdenser vegetation (A) and deeper water (B) which increased nest survival Water rail preferred territorieswith denser vegetation that positively affected nest survival rate (C) For habitat suitability dots representnest occurrence (value 1) or absence (value 0 data derived from Jedlikowski et al 2016) For nest survivaleach dot represents a rallid nest nests that survived at least 23 days were successful for little crake neststhat survived at least 27 days were successful for water rail

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1222

DISCUSSIONThe importance of multi-scale approaches in the study of birdbreeding ecologyHabitat selection has been increasingly regarded as a multi-scale process encompassingdifferent spatial scales in a wide range of species (McGarigal et al 2016) Despite theincreasingly clear importance of multi-scale approaches to habitat selection very fewprevious studies have simultaneously evaluated the fitness outcomes of habitat choice atmultiple scales (eg Chalfoun amp Martin 2007 Brambilla et al 2010) This has generallyprevented an adequate assessment of the adaptive habitat preferences for species thatperform their decisions at several spatial scales

Our results provide an evidence for the adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesas demonstrated by the strong positive effect of habitat suitability on nest survivalFurthermore our work provides evidence for a congruent effect of factors acting acrossmultiple spatial scales over both habitat selection and reproductive outcomes In particularthe most important habitat factor driving site selection in both rallids is vegetation densityat the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al 2016) the factor that most affected nest survivalrate in both species (Tables 3 and 4) An effect was found also for water depth at theterritory scale for little crake Therefore the habitat features important in habitat selectionat the territory scale clearly affected nest fate in the studied species In general suchresults strongly point towards an adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferences in bothspecies and further demonstrate the overwhelming importance of the territory scale in thebreeding ecology of little crake and water rail (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) It is possible thatother habitat characteristics that were selected or avoided in this study but did not affectnest survival may have had consequences for other fitness components (eg post-fledgingsurvival adult survival lifetime reproductive success) In fact multiple environmentalfactors across multiple spatial scales may optimize fitness via different habitat selectionstrategies (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007)

Assessing adaptiveness at single spatial scales instead of multiple scales may leadto contrasting evaluations because of missing critical features belonging to other notconsidered scales As an example within our study systems water depth had only a weakeffect at the territory scale on little crake nest survival however according to themulti-scalemodel water depth was important and the preference for deeper sites in the multi-scalehabitat selection process appeared highly adaptive The much greater importance of waterdepth at the multi-scale model than at the single territory scale which can appear rathercounterintuitive at first glance is easily explained by the combined effect displayed bymeanwater depth at the territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale (Fig 2) Nests placedin sites with tall vegetation were mostly successful irrespectively of water depth whereasnests hidden behind short vegetation survived longer only when they were surrounded bydeeper water This finding suggests the importance of evaluating adaptiveness consideringrelevant factors belonging to multiple spatial scales The opposite pattern was found foremergent vegetation at the landscape scale it was positively selected by water rail accordingto the single-scale model (Jedlikowski et al 2016) but had a negative impact on nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1322

Figure 2 Sunflower plot representing little crake nest survival in relation to mean water depth at ter-ritory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale Each sunflower is an individual nest and the numberof lsquopetalsrsquo is the number of days survived by the nest

survival (Tables 3 and 4) This would be regarded as maladaptive habitat choice howeverthemulti-scale model of habitat selection for water rail suggested that the true determinantsof species occurrence are different variables and that emergent vegetation may be just acue for the availability of suitable habitats at finer scales (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This kindof partial evidence for adaptiveness which arises when looking at single spatial scales butdisappears when considered within a multi-scale context suggests additional caution inevaluating the adaptive value of habitat preferences using single scale approaches Theseare likely to overestimate the importance of minor determinants of habitat selection andorreproductive output

The varying impact of different spatial scales on nest predation riskOur results showed that both in little crake and water rail the reduction of nest predationrisk was mostly determined by fine-scale habitat preferences at territory and nest-site scalesThis was consistent with Chalfoun amp Martin (2007) which found that habitat preferencesat smaller spatial scales but not at broader-landscape ones reduced nest predation riskof Brewerrsquos sparrow (Spizella breweri) It seems that habitat selection at the landscapescale could be more relevant for nestling survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) a fitnesscomponent which was not included in our study At the landscape scale birds may focus onselecting areas rich in food which may facilitate feeding of nestlings increasing their mass

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1422

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

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Arlt D Paumlrt T 2007 Nonideal breeding habitat selection a mismatch between preferenceand fitness Ecology 88792ndash801 DOI 10189006-0574

Arnold TW 2010 Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaikersquosinformation criterion Journal of Wildlife Management 741175ndash1178DOI 101111j1937-28172010tb01236x

Austin JE Buhl DA 2013 Relating yellow rail (Coturnicops noveboracensis) occupancyto habitat and landscape features in the context of fireWaterbirds 36199ndash213DOI 1016750630360209

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Bartoń K 2014 Package lsquoMuMInrsquo R package version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation forStatistical Computing Available at http cranr-projectorgwebpackagesMuMInMuMInpdf

Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

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Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

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Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

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Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

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Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

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Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

Subjects Animal Behavior Biogeography Ecology ZoologyKeywords Habitat selection Adaptation Spatial scale Nest survival Rallidae

INTRODUCTIONChoice of the breeding site may strongly affect survival rate and productivity of animalpopulations and is thus commonly presumed to be an important driver of life-historyevolution (eg for birds Martin 1995 Martin 1998) Under natural selection habitatpreferences should therefore evolve to maximize animal fitness ie animals are expectedto select the best possible breeding sites which would allow for the highest reproductiveoutcome

Although the selection of breeding site and the resulting habitat preferences are widelyassumed to be adaptive (ie fitness is greater in preferred habitats) this assumption israrely tested and results are often equivocal (Arlt amp Paumlrt 2007Maumlgi et al 2009 Chalfounamp Schmidt 2012) A review provided by Chalfoun amp Schmidt (2012) showed that habitatpreferences affected fitness outcomes (ie nest or seasonal reproductive success) inonly 44 of analysed studies The lack of congruence between habitat preferences andreproductive performance may occur for many different reasons including inabilityto freely move between patches and locate optimal habitats (Forbes amp Kaiser 1994)asymmetric competition between species (Martin amp Martin 2001) difficulty in properassessment of the actual qualities of environments by inexperienced individuals (Orians ampWittenberger 1991) or by unpredictable variability in abiotic factors (Fletcher amp Koford2004) In addition to the ecological reasons many studies have reported examples ofhuman-altered environments acting as lsquoecological trapsrsquo in the habitat selection process(Schlaepfer Runge amp Sherman 2002 Bonnington Gaston amp Evans 2015)

Apart from the above ecological-evolutionary and anthropogenic explanations samplinglimitations and methodological issues can also result in an apparent lack of adaptivenessof habitat preferences Small sample size may prevent the detection of relationships withhabitat metrics affecting habitat choice and fitness outcomes (Battin amp Lawler 2006Chalfoun amp Schmidt 2012) More importantly habitat selection processes can operateat spatial and temporal dimension and the adaptive value of such processes should beinvestigated at the appropriate scales Habitat selection is generally approved to be a multi-scale spatial process not only in birds (Brambilla Rubolini amp Guidali 2006 Fuller 2012)but also in other groups like insects (Krawchuk amp Taylor 2003) mammals (Chamberlain etal 2003) reptiles (Harvey amp Weatherhead 2006) amphibians (Blomquist amp Hunter 2010)or fish (BrindrsquoAmour et al 2005) As a result a proper investigation of adaptiveness ofhabitat-selection strategies requires framing analyses at the multiple spatial scales relevantfor the study organism However the vast majority of studies have focused on the adaptivevalue of habitat preferences at a single spatial scale (Martin 1998Misenhelter amp Rotenberry2000 Davis 2005 Arlt amp Paumlrt 2007 Brambilla amp Ficetola 2012 Murray amp Best 2014 butsee Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) When habitat selection is a multi-scale process the lackof congruence or even mismatches between habitat preferences and fitness outcome may

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 222

result from key habitat features that act at other scales and have been overlooked ratherthan from maladaptive choice or other ecological-evolutionary reasons

Avian species qualify as an ideal model for the investigation of the adaptiveness ofmulti-scale habitat preferences In birds decisions related to the selection of the breedingsite are usually determined by the availability of critical resources such as food (Crampton ampSedinger 2011 Barea 2012) and refuge from predators (Forstmeier amp Weiss 2004 Forsmanet al 2013) which in turn may strongly affect multiple fitness outcomes Occupying high-quality habitats determine in general higher fitness indices for clutches (nest survivalclutch size clutch massMartin 1998) fledglings (offspring mass and survival Bloom et al2013 Germain et al 2015) and adults (survival of individual birds seasonal reproductivesuccess numbers of nesting attempts Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) In response to patchinessand hierarchical structure of the environment birds tend to recognize and select theirhabitat at several spatial scales (Fuller 2012) As an example for many passerine species therisk of predation is the primary force affecting habitat selection (Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo et al 2015)and the choices performed at several scales are important mostly in terms of predationavoidance (Thompson 2007) At the landscape scale birds may try to select habitats withlower densities of predators based on direct cues ie avoiding predators once they aredetected (Cresswell 2008 Dinkins et al 2014) or using proximate cues eg by avoidinghabitats with higher risk of predation such as smaller and more isolated patches (Dolman2012) At the territory and nest-site scale factors such as vegetation density and foliagecover as well as a number of potential nest sites within territory plot are commonlythought to be crucial factors that hamper predator search efforts and reduce probabilityof nest predation (Martin amp Roper 1988 Martin 1993 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Finallydifferent types of social and public information such as information about breeding successof neighbours may be collected by birds at particular scales to obtain knowledge about riskof nest predation (Lima 2009) Therefore for species that assess habitat suitability withinmultiple spatial scales the overall adaptive value of habitat preferences should be clearlyevaluated at several ecologically relevant spatial scales

In this study we evaluated the effect of scale on the adaptiveness of two bird speciesby analysing nest survival and its relation to habitat preferences at three spatial scalesmdashlandscape territory and nest-site We used nest survival as a relevant and widely measuredfitness component to check congruence with evolved habitat preferences Our objectiveswere (1) to investigate the relative effect of factors acting at different spatial scales onnest survival (2) to investigate factors affecting nest survival in a multi-scale contextand to check whether the effects from single-scale analyses can be relevant also whenconsidering all spatial scales at once and (3) to evaluate the adaptiveness of multi-scalehabitat preferences by considering the overall effect of habitat suitability and consistencybetween the effect of variables on habitat selection and on nest survival We explored thepotential effect on nest survival of habitat factors acting at different spatial scales and foundto be important (selected by multi-scale models) or potentially important (apparentlyimportant only according to single-scale analyses) for habitat selection in the study speciesWe expected that factors found to be more important for habitat selection at individualscale(s) would coherently play a similar role in affecting nest survival at the same scale(s)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 322

MATERIALS amp METHODSStudy systemWe focused on twobird species belonging to theRallidae family little crake (Zapornia parvaformerly Porzana genus) and water rail (Rallus aquaticus) These two migratory speciesoccupy awide range of aquatic habitats with still or slow-movingwater (Taylor amp Van Perlo1998) They require tall dense emergent vegetation as nesting sites and protection againstpredators The ones found in the study area are marsh harrier (Circus aeruginosus) raccoondog (Nyctereutes procyonoides) least weasel (Mustela nivalis) andAmericanmink (Neovisonvison Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015 J Jedlikowski pers comm 2011) Previousstudies showed that habitat selection is a multi-scale process in these species and that rallidoccurrence was mostly affected by habitat factors at the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al2016)Hereweuse the same study area andhabitat factorsmeasured for the habitat selectionprocess to evaluate adaptiveness of the habitat preferences

The two species were surveyed at 30 small water bodies located between 5347primendash5353primeNand 2133primendash2147primeE in the central part of the Masurian Lakeland (north-eastern Poland)The area of these water bodies varied from 02 to 100 ha (mean 221) water level fluctuatedseasonally but the maximum depth did not exceed 15 m and water pH ranged from 63to 82 All ponds were located in natural depressions filled with organic sediments andwere overgrown mainly by bulrush (Typha spp) common reed (Phragmites australis)sedges (Carex spp) and bushes of grey willow (Salix cinerea) These inland water bodieswere surrounded by a mosaic of wetland-agricultural landscapes including arable fieldsmeadows pastures sparse rural areas forests and other wetland complexes (lakes marshesand ditches see Jedlikowski et al 2016)

The study was purely observational with no manipulation of animals The studyfulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee Regional Directorate forEnvironmental Protection allows us to carry out this research (approval number WOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Nest monitoringFor both little crake and water rail which are precocial species the nesting period iscritical for successful breeding so we used nest survival as a fitness component Toobtain nest fate of both species we collected data from late-April to early-August overthree successive breeding seasons (2012ndash2014) We used call-playback surveys to identifyterritories occupied by studied species within each season (Jedlikowski Brambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) Subsequently we systematically searched within patches of littoralvegetation for nests of little crake and water rail and marked the position of each nestusing a handheld GPS receiver (GRS-1 Topcon accuracy less than 05 m) We monitoredeach nest beginning two days after finding it to assess the stage of the clutch (egg layingincubating or hatching stage) Afterwards we checked each nest at 5ndash7 day intervals untilthe clutch successfully hatched or was found depredated We determined nest success whenat least one chick was observed (or heard) in or in close proximity to the nest (lt2 m)and no traces of nest predation were detected Crushed pieces of shells with remainsof yolk found in the nest or close by in the water were considered as evidence of nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 422

predation Also partially depredated clutches were treated as depredated as such nests werealways abandoned by adults We also considered nest loss when we found empty nestsaccompanied by damage of nest material and surrounding vegetation during the presumedincubation period

Habitat measurementsWe used circular plots centred on each nest to measure habitat characteristic andcomposition of vegetation around nests at three spatial scales lsquolandscapersquo (200-m radius)lsquoterritoryrsquo (14-m radius) and lsquonest-sitersquo (3-m radius) Those scales were chosen accordingto the previous habitat selection studies with little crake and water rail The extent of 200-mradius was associated with the best performing landscape-scale habitat selection modelfor both rallids (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This radius was consistent with other studiesthat assessed relationship between Rallidae species and landscape features (eg Austin ampBuhl 2013 Glisson et al 2015) Territory and nest-site scale radii were selected based ontelemetry study (Jedlikowski Brambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014 Jedlikowski amp Brambilla2017) Within each scale we recorded habitat variables deemed as potentially important(ie included in the most supported models at each scale) by the habitat selection study(see Jedlikowski et al 2016 and Table 1)

To describe habitat characteristics at the landscape scale we used spatial analyst tools inArcGIS 102 (ESRI 2013) to measure the extent and configuration of the main land coverclasses (see Table 1) Land cover classes were assigned based on aerial photos of waterbodies and surrounding habitats taken in April 2012 and ground-truthed each year in thefield Each homogeneous habitat patch was mapped when one of its dimensions exceeded10 m In the case of territory scale (represented by a 14-m radius plot around nest) meanvegetation density and water depth were measured and extent of emergent plant cover wasestimated using ArcGIS 102 (see Table 1) To estimate the percentage cover of emergentvegetation species at the territory scale patches of vegetation were mapped when one oftheir dimensions exceeded 2 m and classified according to the main plant species Patcheswere mapped by walking through and recording position by means of a handheld GPSreceiver When nests were situated closer than 14 m to the water-land edge and territoryplots extended to the terrestrial habitat (space not used by birds) the border of potentialterritories was adjusted to the water body shoreline (in 70 cases for little crake and 76cases for water rail) As a result in such cases all measurements were taken within theadjusted territory plot in the same way as in the habitat selection study for these species(see Jedlikowski et al 2016) All the territory measurements were performed immediatelyafter clutch hatched or was depredated to avoid vegetation damage or disturbance tobirds during the nesting period At the nest-site scale all measured habitat characteristicsconcerned nest position within littoral vegetation and the structure of vegetation in theimmediate vicinity of the nest and were taken on the same day that the nest was found(see Table 1)

Data analysisIn our study system all nest data had a strong spatial structure because of pond distributionin the landscape and of nest distribution within ponds This prevented us from using

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 522

Table 1 Description of habitat characteristics measured around nests of little crake and water railwithin three spatial scales (landscape territory and nest-site) that were found to be important inbreeding site choice (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) and used in the analyses of the nest survival model ofboth rallids in the Masurian Lakeland Poland

Variable Acronym Description

Landscape scaleArable landa arablel Extent of cultivated fields ()Urbanised areaa urbana Extent of artificial surface urban fabric industrial

units and road network ()Emergent vegetationab emveg Extent of water bodies overgrown by emergent

vegetation ()Woody vegetationb woodveg Extent of water bodies overgrown by shrub and

trees ()Water body shapea watshape Perimeter-area ratio index (Helzer amp Jelinski

1999) estimated by dividing total water bodyperimeter by total water body area (mha)

Water body fragmenta-tionab

watfrag Proximity index (PX) (Gustafson amp Parker1994) calculated for n water bodies asPX =

sumni=1(Sizi) where Si was the area of

each water body within a particular buffer (eventhose which partially lie within the radius) and zithe shortest linear distance to an adjacent waterbody (ham)

Territory scaleReed coverab reedcov Extent of Phragmites australis cover ()Sedges coverb sedcov Extent of Carex spp cover ()Willow covera willcov Extent of Salix spp cover ()Open waterb opwatt Extent of open water surface ()Vegetation densityab vegdens Mean vegetation density within territory plot

(five measurements taken every 2 m in each car-dinal direction around nest measurements takenoutside the water bodies were removed from fur-ther analysis) Vegetation density was estimatedas the percentage cover of vegetation within a 05times 05 m quadrant (estimated with 10 precisioneach time by the same investigator)

Water depthab watdept Mean water depth within a territory plot (fivemeasurements taken every 2 m in each cardinaldirection around nest measurements taken out-side the water bodies were removed from furtheranalysis) (cm)

Nest-site scalePlant speciesa plantsp Species of emergent plants at nest siteVegetation stageab vegst Stage of emergent vegetation at nest site (1=

fresh 2= previous years 3=mixed)Vegetation coverb vegcov Percentage cover of emergent vegetation within a

3-m radius plot around nest (estimated with 10precision each time by the same investigator)

(continued on next page)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 622

Table 1 (continued)

Variable Acronym Description

Vegetation heightab veght Mean height of emergent vegetation within nestplot (measurements taken from the water surfacefrom ten random points around nest) (cm)

Water depthab watdepn Mean water depth in a 3-m radius plot aroundnest calculated from ten random measurementswithin the plot (cm)

NotesaVariable importance in single-scale models of habitat selection for little crakebVariables important for water rail

standard nest-survival methods based on generalized linear models (Dinsmore Whiteamp Knopf 2002 Hazler 2004) which do not allow for a proper treatment of spatialautocorrelation Therefore we performed a two-step analysis to assess the relationshipbetween habitat preferences and nest survival using methods suited to deal with spatiallyautocorrelated data Before running models all variables were standardized in orderto compare the relative effects (Schielzeth 2010) and better evaluate multicollinearityproblems (Cade 2015)

For the first step we used generalized least squares (GLS) models This regressiontechnique allows for the incorporation of the spatial structure into the modelrsquos errorand is considered among the best methods to deal with spatially autocorrelated datasets(Dormann et al 2007 Beale et al 2010) We built species-specific GLS models with thenumber of days a nest survived as the dependent variable and year initiation date andhabitat factors as covariates In precocial species such as little crake and water rail it isknown that older nests ie those that have survived more days have higher survival ratesthan younger nests because nests located in more risky sites will be depredated in earlystages (Klett amp Johnson 1982 Dinsmore White amp Knopf 2002) In our analysis we usedonly nests found during the egg laying period which allowed us to correctly estimate thenumber of survived days for each nest from the nest initiation day (the day when the firstegg was laid) to the day when chicks hatched or clutch was depredated For clutches foundafter initiation day we used the backdating method to estimate the first-egg date assumingthat the birds lay one egg per day (Taylor amp Van Perlo 1998) When a nest failed betweentwo consecutive visits we estimated time of failure as the mid-point between visits Finallywe adjusted the number of days a successful nests survived to 23 days for little crake and27 days for water rail All nests which survived to this age were successful but some nestsrequired a few more days for hatching (in little crake 27 nests required one or two daysmore in water rail 10 nests were successful after one or two days more and four nests afterthree to four days more respectively) By this adjustment we avoided giving an excessiveweight within models to successful nests that required extra time to hatch We used aninformation-theoretic approach (Burnham amp Anderson 2002) ranking all possible modelsaccording to the Akaike Information Criterion corrected for small sample sizes (AICC)Given that initiation time and year variation had been reported several times among themain factors affecting nest success in several bird species (eg Mazgajski 2002 Dinsmore

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 722

amp Dinsmore 2007) they were kept as fixed factors in the models In fact it is known thatshifts in predator communities or in the availability of alternative prey for predators as wellas climatic conditions may affect nest success within a breeding season and over differentyears (egMoynahan et al 2007 Shitikov Fedotova amp Gagieva 2012) For each model wechecked the potential occurrence of multi-collinearity among predictors according to therelative values of the VIF (Variance Inflation Factor) All variables tested in the models hadVIF lt 3 thus multi-collinearity was not an issue for the analyses Therefore we rankedmodels according to the relative AICC-values for each species and at each spatial scaleThen we considered the most supported models (1AICC lt 2) and excluded those withuninformative parameters (ie models comprising a more parsimonious model as nestedplus some additional factors Arnold 2010) Finally we carried out model averaging (fullaveraging) among the remaining models or took the most parsimonious model when noothers remained

The above procedure was adopted for all the analyses required by the three objectivesof the study For objective 1 we carried out the analysis at each spatial scale (landscapeterritory nest-site) for each species For objective 2 we used a multi-scale model for eachspecies After species-specific model ranking for each spatial scale we chose for each speciesall the variables comprised in the most parsimonious models (models with 1AICC lt 2)With the resulting sets of variables we worked out multi-scale models for each speciesranking all possible models according to AICC (matching the approach adopted in thehabitat selection study Jedlikowski et al 2016) For objective 3 we used the estimatedhabitat suitability as a predictor (occurrence probability as calculated according to thespecies-specific multi-scale models of habitat selection reported in Table 5 in Jedlikowski etal 2016) to assess whether multi-scale habitat preferences were adaptive or not If habitatpreferences are adaptive the predicted habitat suitability should predict nest survival Inall the final models residuals approached a normal distribution

As the second step after running GLS models we checked for consistency of the effectsof the variables affecting the number of days a nest survived in relation to the final fate ofnests by taking into account nest exposure Therefore we performed a further analysisimplementing a binomial model with a logit link function with the binomial numeratorbeing 0 or 1 (failure or success) and the binomial denominator being number of days anest survived (cf Mayfield logistic regression Hazler 2004) We performed this analysisby means of spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Models via Penalized Quasi-Likelihood(glmmPQL) assuming a binomial error distribution relating variables selected by GLSmodels to nest successfailure glmmPQL allows modelling spatial data with non-normaldistribution and is considered among the best techniques to handle this type of data(Dormann et al 2007)

For GLS and glmmPQL models we adopted a Gaussian spatial correlation structurebut models with different structures (spherical exponential) led to the same or very similarresults All analyses were performed using the software R (R Development Core Team 2013)and the packages lsquoMuMInrsquo lsquomassrsquo and lsquonlmersquo (Venables amp Ripley 2002 Pinheiro Bates ampDebroy 2010 Bartoń 2014)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 822

Finally habitat preferences (objective 3) were considered as adaptive when (i) habitatsuitability as calculated with the multi-scale models for habitat selection significantlypredicted variation in nest survival with a positive effect (we used the logit value for theregression analyses) (ii) variables importantly affecting habitat selection (included in themulti-scale models Table 5 in Jedlikowski et al 2016) showed the same kind of effect onboth habitat preference and nest survival

RESULTSLittle crake chicks hatched in 32 out of 51 monitored nests (63) and water rail chickshatched in 19 out of 50 nests (38) Descriptive statistics of all habitat parametersmeasuredin successful and predated nests of water rail and little crake are shown in SupplementalInformation 1

Factors affecting nest survival based on individual and the multi-scaleapproachAt the landscape scale the most parsimonious GLS model for little crake included onlyfixed factors (year and initiation Table 2) For water rail nest survival was negativelyaffected by the extent of emergent vegetation (β=minus268 SE = 116 p= 0025 Table2) At the territory scale the top-ranked models indicated that vegetation density waspositively associated with nest survival in both species (β= 502 SE = 066 plt 0001 forlittle crake β= 519 SE = 102 plt 0001 for water rail Table 2) At the nest-site scale thenest survival of rallid nests was mostly affected by a positive relationship with vegetationheight (β= 361 SE = 093 plt 0001 for little crake β= 339 SE = 116 p= 0005 forwater rail Table 2)

The multi-scale models (ie the ones including the most relevant factors from differentscales see Tables 3 and 4) showed the positive and prevalent effect of vegetation densitywithin territory scale on nest survival in both species Moreover nest survival was positivelyaffected by water depth within territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale in littlecrake as well as negatively related to emergent vegetation extent at the landscape scale inwater rail A positive effect on nest survival for water rail was found also for vegetationheight and reed cover which were however characterized by lower relative importance

The analysis of nest fate (successpredation) in relation to the number of days a nestsurvived based on glmmPQLmodels showed that variables affecting nest survival (expressedas a number of days) had the same effect (positive or negative) on nest fate expressed as abinomial outcome (see Supplemental Information 2)

Comparing modelsrsquo performance across scalesFor both species AICC values suggested the following hierarchy of models ranked frommost to least supported ones territory nest-site and landscape scales (see Table 2) Thispattern was suggested by the amount of variation explained by models at each single scalethe R2 of territory scale models were equal to 059 for little crake and to 053 for water railwhereas R2 for nest-site scale models was 030 and 038 respectively and for landscapescale models was 007 and 028 respectively Compared to the top-ranked single-scale

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 922

Table 2 Summary of the GLSmodels describing nest survival of little crake and water rail nests at thethree spatial scalesModels are ranked according to Akaikersquos information criterion corrected for smallsample size (AICC) the difference in AICC from the best supported model (1AICC) Akaikersquos weights(wi) andminus2 log-likelihood values (logLik) Only models with 1AICC lt 2 are shown Negative (minus) orpositive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for little crake and waterrail Year and initiation day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms seeTable 1

Model df logLik AICC 1AICC w i

Little crakeLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus) 6 minus16893 3518 000 031Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ arablel (minus) 7 minus16791 3524 066 022Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus14826 3131 000 045Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+) 8 minus14756 3146 144 022Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus16184 3403 000 048Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ watdepn (+) 8 minus16068 3408 049 037Water railLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus) 7 minus17210 3609 000 040Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+)+opwatt (+)

9 minus16130 3451 000 029

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+) 8 minus16287 3452 014 027Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ opwatt (+) 8 minus16350 3465 140 014year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus16496 3466 148 014Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ vegcov (+) 8 minus16843 3564 000 039Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus17043 3575 116 022

models multi-scale models were more parsimonious for both species and explained ahigher amount of variation the R2 of multi-scale models was 070 for little crake and 067for water rail (considering the most parsimonious model for computation)

The adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesHabitat suitability was strongly correlated with nest survival both in little crake (β= 135SE = 027 plt 0001) and in water rail (β= 007 SE = 003 p= 0014) suggesting thatmulti-scale habitat preferences were adaptive in both species

Vegetation density andmean water depth at the territory scale were positively selected bylittle crake during habitat selection and were the main factors affecting nest survival (Figs1A 1B) This suggests a strong adaptive value of habitat choice In water rail vegetationdensity at the territory scale was positively associated with both occurrence and nestsurvival again suggesting adaptiveness of the preference for sites with denser vegetation(Fig 1C)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1022

Table 3 Multi-scale model describing nest survival in little crake and water rail the most parsimonious GLSmodels (1AICC lt 2) for eachspecies are shown Negative (minus) or positive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for both rallids Year and initia-tion day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms see Table 1

Model df logLik AIC C 1AIC C w i

Little crakeYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)

9 minus14053 3034 000 046

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)+ arablel (minus)

10 minus13991 3053 187 018

Water railYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)

9 minus15259 3277 000 033

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ reedcov (+)

10 minus15159 3288 115 019

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+reedcov (+)

9 minus15318 3289 118 018

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ opwatt (+)

10 minus15201 3297 198 012

Table 4 Model averaged parameter (based onmodels with1AICC lt 2) and relative variable impor-tance (measured considering the sum of the Akaike weights over all models in which that variable ap-pears) of predictors frommulti-scale models of nest survival for water rail and the most parsimoniousmodel for little crake In all models year (2012) was used as the reference category In water rail covari-ates are ranked according to cumulative weights For variable acronyms see Table 1

Variable β SEsum

w i P

Little crakeIntercept 1941 138Year (2013) minus242 154 0124Year (2014) minus022 202 0912Initiation day minus141 066 0040vegdens 416 061 lt0001veght 300 071 lt0001watdept 202 068 0005Water railIntercept 1932 175Year (2013) 151 247 100 0552Year (2014) minus379 217 100 0089Initiation day minus071 115 100 0540emveg minus340 085 100 lt0001vegdens 489 084 100 lt0001veght 193 160 064 0230reedcov 097 140 036 0489

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1122

Figure 1 Graphical representation (solid line predicted values dashed line 95 confidence intervals)of adaptive habitat preferences in relation to nest survival in rallids Little crake selected territories withdenser vegetation (A) and deeper water (B) which increased nest survival Water rail preferred territorieswith denser vegetation that positively affected nest survival rate (C) For habitat suitability dots representnest occurrence (value 1) or absence (value 0 data derived from Jedlikowski et al 2016) For nest survivaleach dot represents a rallid nest nests that survived at least 23 days were successful for little crake neststhat survived at least 27 days were successful for water rail

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1222

DISCUSSIONThe importance of multi-scale approaches in the study of birdbreeding ecologyHabitat selection has been increasingly regarded as a multi-scale process encompassingdifferent spatial scales in a wide range of species (McGarigal et al 2016) Despite theincreasingly clear importance of multi-scale approaches to habitat selection very fewprevious studies have simultaneously evaluated the fitness outcomes of habitat choice atmultiple scales (eg Chalfoun amp Martin 2007 Brambilla et al 2010) This has generallyprevented an adequate assessment of the adaptive habitat preferences for species thatperform their decisions at several spatial scales

Our results provide an evidence for the adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesas demonstrated by the strong positive effect of habitat suitability on nest survivalFurthermore our work provides evidence for a congruent effect of factors acting acrossmultiple spatial scales over both habitat selection and reproductive outcomes In particularthe most important habitat factor driving site selection in both rallids is vegetation densityat the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al 2016) the factor that most affected nest survivalrate in both species (Tables 3 and 4) An effect was found also for water depth at theterritory scale for little crake Therefore the habitat features important in habitat selectionat the territory scale clearly affected nest fate in the studied species In general suchresults strongly point towards an adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferences in bothspecies and further demonstrate the overwhelming importance of the territory scale in thebreeding ecology of little crake and water rail (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) It is possible thatother habitat characteristics that were selected or avoided in this study but did not affectnest survival may have had consequences for other fitness components (eg post-fledgingsurvival adult survival lifetime reproductive success) In fact multiple environmentalfactors across multiple spatial scales may optimize fitness via different habitat selectionstrategies (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007)

Assessing adaptiveness at single spatial scales instead of multiple scales may leadto contrasting evaluations because of missing critical features belonging to other notconsidered scales As an example within our study systems water depth had only a weakeffect at the territory scale on little crake nest survival however according to themulti-scalemodel water depth was important and the preference for deeper sites in the multi-scalehabitat selection process appeared highly adaptive The much greater importance of waterdepth at the multi-scale model than at the single territory scale which can appear rathercounterintuitive at first glance is easily explained by the combined effect displayed bymeanwater depth at the territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale (Fig 2) Nests placedin sites with tall vegetation were mostly successful irrespectively of water depth whereasnests hidden behind short vegetation survived longer only when they were surrounded bydeeper water This finding suggests the importance of evaluating adaptiveness consideringrelevant factors belonging to multiple spatial scales The opposite pattern was found foremergent vegetation at the landscape scale it was positively selected by water rail accordingto the single-scale model (Jedlikowski et al 2016) but had a negative impact on nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1322

Figure 2 Sunflower plot representing little crake nest survival in relation to mean water depth at ter-ritory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale Each sunflower is an individual nest and the numberof lsquopetalsrsquo is the number of days survived by the nest

survival (Tables 3 and 4) This would be regarded as maladaptive habitat choice howeverthemulti-scale model of habitat selection for water rail suggested that the true determinantsof species occurrence are different variables and that emergent vegetation may be just acue for the availability of suitable habitats at finer scales (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This kindof partial evidence for adaptiveness which arises when looking at single spatial scales butdisappears when considered within a multi-scale context suggests additional caution inevaluating the adaptive value of habitat preferences using single scale approaches Theseare likely to overestimate the importance of minor determinants of habitat selection andorreproductive output

The varying impact of different spatial scales on nest predation riskOur results showed that both in little crake and water rail the reduction of nest predationrisk was mostly determined by fine-scale habitat preferences at territory and nest-site scalesThis was consistent with Chalfoun amp Martin (2007) which found that habitat preferencesat smaller spatial scales but not at broader-landscape ones reduced nest predation riskof Brewerrsquos sparrow (Spizella breweri) It seems that habitat selection at the landscapescale could be more relevant for nestling survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) a fitnesscomponent which was not included in our study At the landscape scale birds may focus onselecting areas rich in food which may facilitate feeding of nestlings increasing their mass

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1422

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

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Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

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Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

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Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

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Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

result from key habitat features that act at other scales and have been overlooked ratherthan from maladaptive choice or other ecological-evolutionary reasons

Avian species qualify as an ideal model for the investigation of the adaptiveness ofmulti-scale habitat preferences In birds decisions related to the selection of the breedingsite are usually determined by the availability of critical resources such as food (Crampton ampSedinger 2011 Barea 2012) and refuge from predators (Forstmeier amp Weiss 2004 Forsmanet al 2013) which in turn may strongly affect multiple fitness outcomes Occupying high-quality habitats determine in general higher fitness indices for clutches (nest survivalclutch size clutch massMartin 1998) fledglings (offspring mass and survival Bloom et al2013 Germain et al 2015) and adults (survival of individual birds seasonal reproductivesuccess numbers of nesting attempts Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) In response to patchinessand hierarchical structure of the environment birds tend to recognize and select theirhabitat at several spatial scales (Fuller 2012) As an example for many passerine species therisk of predation is the primary force affecting habitat selection (Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo et al 2015)and the choices performed at several scales are important mostly in terms of predationavoidance (Thompson 2007) At the landscape scale birds may try to select habitats withlower densities of predators based on direct cues ie avoiding predators once they aredetected (Cresswell 2008 Dinkins et al 2014) or using proximate cues eg by avoidinghabitats with higher risk of predation such as smaller and more isolated patches (Dolman2012) At the territory and nest-site scale factors such as vegetation density and foliagecover as well as a number of potential nest sites within territory plot are commonlythought to be crucial factors that hamper predator search efforts and reduce probabilityof nest predation (Martin amp Roper 1988 Martin 1993 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Finallydifferent types of social and public information such as information about breeding successof neighbours may be collected by birds at particular scales to obtain knowledge about riskof nest predation (Lima 2009) Therefore for species that assess habitat suitability withinmultiple spatial scales the overall adaptive value of habitat preferences should be clearlyevaluated at several ecologically relevant spatial scales

In this study we evaluated the effect of scale on the adaptiveness of two bird speciesby analysing nest survival and its relation to habitat preferences at three spatial scalesmdashlandscape territory and nest-site We used nest survival as a relevant and widely measuredfitness component to check congruence with evolved habitat preferences Our objectiveswere (1) to investigate the relative effect of factors acting at different spatial scales onnest survival (2) to investigate factors affecting nest survival in a multi-scale contextand to check whether the effects from single-scale analyses can be relevant also whenconsidering all spatial scales at once and (3) to evaluate the adaptiveness of multi-scalehabitat preferences by considering the overall effect of habitat suitability and consistencybetween the effect of variables on habitat selection and on nest survival We explored thepotential effect on nest survival of habitat factors acting at different spatial scales and foundto be important (selected by multi-scale models) or potentially important (apparentlyimportant only according to single-scale analyses) for habitat selection in the study speciesWe expected that factors found to be more important for habitat selection at individualscale(s) would coherently play a similar role in affecting nest survival at the same scale(s)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 322

MATERIALS amp METHODSStudy systemWe focused on twobird species belonging to theRallidae family little crake (Zapornia parvaformerly Porzana genus) and water rail (Rallus aquaticus) These two migratory speciesoccupy awide range of aquatic habitats with still or slow-movingwater (Taylor amp Van Perlo1998) They require tall dense emergent vegetation as nesting sites and protection againstpredators The ones found in the study area are marsh harrier (Circus aeruginosus) raccoondog (Nyctereutes procyonoides) least weasel (Mustela nivalis) andAmericanmink (Neovisonvison Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015 J Jedlikowski pers comm 2011) Previousstudies showed that habitat selection is a multi-scale process in these species and that rallidoccurrence was mostly affected by habitat factors at the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al2016)Hereweuse the same study area andhabitat factorsmeasured for the habitat selectionprocess to evaluate adaptiveness of the habitat preferences

The two species were surveyed at 30 small water bodies located between 5347primendash5353primeNand 2133primendash2147primeE in the central part of the Masurian Lakeland (north-eastern Poland)The area of these water bodies varied from 02 to 100 ha (mean 221) water level fluctuatedseasonally but the maximum depth did not exceed 15 m and water pH ranged from 63to 82 All ponds were located in natural depressions filled with organic sediments andwere overgrown mainly by bulrush (Typha spp) common reed (Phragmites australis)sedges (Carex spp) and bushes of grey willow (Salix cinerea) These inland water bodieswere surrounded by a mosaic of wetland-agricultural landscapes including arable fieldsmeadows pastures sparse rural areas forests and other wetland complexes (lakes marshesand ditches see Jedlikowski et al 2016)

The study was purely observational with no manipulation of animals The studyfulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee Regional Directorate forEnvironmental Protection allows us to carry out this research (approval number WOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Nest monitoringFor both little crake and water rail which are precocial species the nesting period iscritical for successful breeding so we used nest survival as a fitness component Toobtain nest fate of both species we collected data from late-April to early-August overthree successive breeding seasons (2012ndash2014) We used call-playback surveys to identifyterritories occupied by studied species within each season (Jedlikowski Brambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) Subsequently we systematically searched within patches of littoralvegetation for nests of little crake and water rail and marked the position of each nestusing a handheld GPS receiver (GRS-1 Topcon accuracy less than 05 m) We monitoredeach nest beginning two days after finding it to assess the stage of the clutch (egg layingincubating or hatching stage) Afterwards we checked each nest at 5ndash7 day intervals untilthe clutch successfully hatched or was found depredated We determined nest success whenat least one chick was observed (or heard) in or in close proximity to the nest (lt2 m)and no traces of nest predation were detected Crushed pieces of shells with remainsof yolk found in the nest or close by in the water were considered as evidence of nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 422

predation Also partially depredated clutches were treated as depredated as such nests werealways abandoned by adults We also considered nest loss when we found empty nestsaccompanied by damage of nest material and surrounding vegetation during the presumedincubation period

Habitat measurementsWe used circular plots centred on each nest to measure habitat characteristic andcomposition of vegetation around nests at three spatial scales lsquolandscapersquo (200-m radius)lsquoterritoryrsquo (14-m radius) and lsquonest-sitersquo (3-m radius) Those scales were chosen accordingto the previous habitat selection studies with little crake and water rail The extent of 200-mradius was associated with the best performing landscape-scale habitat selection modelfor both rallids (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This radius was consistent with other studiesthat assessed relationship between Rallidae species and landscape features (eg Austin ampBuhl 2013 Glisson et al 2015) Territory and nest-site scale radii were selected based ontelemetry study (Jedlikowski Brambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014 Jedlikowski amp Brambilla2017) Within each scale we recorded habitat variables deemed as potentially important(ie included in the most supported models at each scale) by the habitat selection study(see Jedlikowski et al 2016 and Table 1)

To describe habitat characteristics at the landscape scale we used spatial analyst tools inArcGIS 102 (ESRI 2013) to measure the extent and configuration of the main land coverclasses (see Table 1) Land cover classes were assigned based on aerial photos of waterbodies and surrounding habitats taken in April 2012 and ground-truthed each year in thefield Each homogeneous habitat patch was mapped when one of its dimensions exceeded10 m In the case of territory scale (represented by a 14-m radius plot around nest) meanvegetation density and water depth were measured and extent of emergent plant cover wasestimated using ArcGIS 102 (see Table 1) To estimate the percentage cover of emergentvegetation species at the territory scale patches of vegetation were mapped when one oftheir dimensions exceeded 2 m and classified according to the main plant species Patcheswere mapped by walking through and recording position by means of a handheld GPSreceiver When nests were situated closer than 14 m to the water-land edge and territoryplots extended to the terrestrial habitat (space not used by birds) the border of potentialterritories was adjusted to the water body shoreline (in 70 cases for little crake and 76cases for water rail) As a result in such cases all measurements were taken within theadjusted territory plot in the same way as in the habitat selection study for these species(see Jedlikowski et al 2016) All the territory measurements were performed immediatelyafter clutch hatched or was depredated to avoid vegetation damage or disturbance tobirds during the nesting period At the nest-site scale all measured habitat characteristicsconcerned nest position within littoral vegetation and the structure of vegetation in theimmediate vicinity of the nest and were taken on the same day that the nest was found(see Table 1)

Data analysisIn our study system all nest data had a strong spatial structure because of pond distributionin the landscape and of nest distribution within ponds This prevented us from using

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 522

Table 1 Description of habitat characteristics measured around nests of little crake and water railwithin three spatial scales (landscape territory and nest-site) that were found to be important inbreeding site choice (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) and used in the analyses of the nest survival model ofboth rallids in the Masurian Lakeland Poland

Variable Acronym Description

Landscape scaleArable landa arablel Extent of cultivated fields ()Urbanised areaa urbana Extent of artificial surface urban fabric industrial

units and road network ()Emergent vegetationab emveg Extent of water bodies overgrown by emergent

vegetation ()Woody vegetationb woodveg Extent of water bodies overgrown by shrub and

trees ()Water body shapea watshape Perimeter-area ratio index (Helzer amp Jelinski

1999) estimated by dividing total water bodyperimeter by total water body area (mha)

Water body fragmenta-tionab

watfrag Proximity index (PX) (Gustafson amp Parker1994) calculated for n water bodies asPX =

sumni=1(Sizi) where Si was the area of

each water body within a particular buffer (eventhose which partially lie within the radius) and zithe shortest linear distance to an adjacent waterbody (ham)

Territory scaleReed coverab reedcov Extent of Phragmites australis cover ()Sedges coverb sedcov Extent of Carex spp cover ()Willow covera willcov Extent of Salix spp cover ()Open waterb opwatt Extent of open water surface ()Vegetation densityab vegdens Mean vegetation density within territory plot

(five measurements taken every 2 m in each car-dinal direction around nest measurements takenoutside the water bodies were removed from fur-ther analysis) Vegetation density was estimatedas the percentage cover of vegetation within a 05times 05 m quadrant (estimated with 10 precisioneach time by the same investigator)

Water depthab watdept Mean water depth within a territory plot (fivemeasurements taken every 2 m in each cardinaldirection around nest measurements taken out-side the water bodies were removed from furtheranalysis) (cm)

Nest-site scalePlant speciesa plantsp Species of emergent plants at nest siteVegetation stageab vegst Stage of emergent vegetation at nest site (1=

fresh 2= previous years 3=mixed)Vegetation coverb vegcov Percentage cover of emergent vegetation within a

3-m radius plot around nest (estimated with 10precision each time by the same investigator)

(continued on next page)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 622

Table 1 (continued)

Variable Acronym Description

Vegetation heightab veght Mean height of emergent vegetation within nestplot (measurements taken from the water surfacefrom ten random points around nest) (cm)

Water depthab watdepn Mean water depth in a 3-m radius plot aroundnest calculated from ten random measurementswithin the plot (cm)

NotesaVariable importance in single-scale models of habitat selection for little crakebVariables important for water rail

standard nest-survival methods based on generalized linear models (Dinsmore Whiteamp Knopf 2002 Hazler 2004) which do not allow for a proper treatment of spatialautocorrelation Therefore we performed a two-step analysis to assess the relationshipbetween habitat preferences and nest survival using methods suited to deal with spatiallyautocorrelated data Before running models all variables were standardized in orderto compare the relative effects (Schielzeth 2010) and better evaluate multicollinearityproblems (Cade 2015)

For the first step we used generalized least squares (GLS) models This regressiontechnique allows for the incorporation of the spatial structure into the modelrsquos errorand is considered among the best methods to deal with spatially autocorrelated datasets(Dormann et al 2007 Beale et al 2010) We built species-specific GLS models with thenumber of days a nest survived as the dependent variable and year initiation date andhabitat factors as covariates In precocial species such as little crake and water rail it isknown that older nests ie those that have survived more days have higher survival ratesthan younger nests because nests located in more risky sites will be depredated in earlystages (Klett amp Johnson 1982 Dinsmore White amp Knopf 2002) In our analysis we usedonly nests found during the egg laying period which allowed us to correctly estimate thenumber of survived days for each nest from the nest initiation day (the day when the firstegg was laid) to the day when chicks hatched or clutch was depredated For clutches foundafter initiation day we used the backdating method to estimate the first-egg date assumingthat the birds lay one egg per day (Taylor amp Van Perlo 1998) When a nest failed betweentwo consecutive visits we estimated time of failure as the mid-point between visits Finallywe adjusted the number of days a successful nests survived to 23 days for little crake and27 days for water rail All nests which survived to this age were successful but some nestsrequired a few more days for hatching (in little crake 27 nests required one or two daysmore in water rail 10 nests were successful after one or two days more and four nests afterthree to four days more respectively) By this adjustment we avoided giving an excessiveweight within models to successful nests that required extra time to hatch We used aninformation-theoretic approach (Burnham amp Anderson 2002) ranking all possible modelsaccording to the Akaike Information Criterion corrected for small sample sizes (AICC)Given that initiation time and year variation had been reported several times among themain factors affecting nest success in several bird species (eg Mazgajski 2002 Dinsmore

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 722

amp Dinsmore 2007) they were kept as fixed factors in the models In fact it is known thatshifts in predator communities or in the availability of alternative prey for predators as wellas climatic conditions may affect nest success within a breeding season and over differentyears (egMoynahan et al 2007 Shitikov Fedotova amp Gagieva 2012) For each model wechecked the potential occurrence of multi-collinearity among predictors according to therelative values of the VIF (Variance Inflation Factor) All variables tested in the models hadVIF lt 3 thus multi-collinearity was not an issue for the analyses Therefore we rankedmodels according to the relative AICC-values for each species and at each spatial scaleThen we considered the most supported models (1AICC lt 2) and excluded those withuninformative parameters (ie models comprising a more parsimonious model as nestedplus some additional factors Arnold 2010) Finally we carried out model averaging (fullaveraging) among the remaining models or took the most parsimonious model when noothers remained

The above procedure was adopted for all the analyses required by the three objectivesof the study For objective 1 we carried out the analysis at each spatial scale (landscapeterritory nest-site) for each species For objective 2 we used a multi-scale model for eachspecies After species-specific model ranking for each spatial scale we chose for each speciesall the variables comprised in the most parsimonious models (models with 1AICC lt 2)With the resulting sets of variables we worked out multi-scale models for each speciesranking all possible models according to AICC (matching the approach adopted in thehabitat selection study Jedlikowski et al 2016) For objective 3 we used the estimatedhabitat suitability as a predictor (occurrence probability as calculated according to thespecies-specific multi-scale models of habitat selection reported in Table 5 in Jedlikowski etal 2016) to assess whether multi-scale habitat preferences were adaptive or not If habitatpreferences are adaptive the predicted habitat suitability should predict nest survival Inall the final models residuals approached a normal distribution

As the second step after running GLS models we checked for consistency of the effectsof the variables affecting the number of days a nest survived in relation to the final fate ofnests by taking into account nest exposure Therefore we performed a further analysisimplementing a binomial model with a logit link function with the binomial numeratorbeing 0 or 1 (failure or success) and the binomial denominator being number of days anest survived (cf Mayfield logistic regression Hazler 2004) We performed this analysisby means of spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Models via Penalized Quasi-Likelihood(glmmPQL) assuming a binomial error distribution relating variables selected by GLSmodels to nest successfailure glmmPQL allows modelling spatial data with non-normaldistribution and is considered among the best techniques to handle this type of data(Dormann et al 2007)

For GLS and glmmPQL models we adopted a Gaussian spatial correlation structurebut models with different structures (spherical exponential) led to the same or very similarresults All analyses were performed using the software R (R Development Core Team 2013)and the packages lsquoMuMInrsquo lsquomassrsquo and lsquonlmersquo (Venables amp Ripley 2002 Pinheiro Bates ampDebroy 2010 Bartoń 2014)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 822

Finally habitat preferences (objective 3) were considered as adaptive when (i) habitatsuitability as calculated with the multi-scale models for habitat selection significantlypredicted variation in nest survival with a positive effect (we used the logit value for theregression analyses) (ii) variables importantly affecting habitat selection (included in themulti-scale models Table 5 in Jedlikowski et al 2016) showed the same kind of effect onboth habitat preference and nest survival

RESULTSLittle crake chicks hatched in 32 out of 51 monitored nests (63) and water rail chickshatched in 19 out of 50 nests (38) Descriptive statistics of all habitat parametersmeasuredin successful and predated nests of water rail and little crake are shown in SupplementalInformation 1

Factors affecting nest survival based on individual and the multi-scaleapproachAt the landscape scale the most parsimonious GLS model for little crake included onlyfixed factors (year and initiation Table 2) For water rail nest survival was negativelyaffected by the extent of emergent vegetation (β=minus268 SE = 116 p= 0025 Table2) At the territory scale the top-ranked models indicated that vegetation density waspositively associated with nest survival in both species (β= 502 SE = 066 plt 0001 forlittle crake β= 519 SE = 102 plt 0001 for water rail Table 2) At the nest-site scale thenest survival of rallid nests was mostly affected by a positive relationship with vegetationheight (β= 361 SE = 093 plt 0001 for little crake β= 339 SE = 116 p= 0005 forwater rail Table 2)

The multi-scale models (ie the ones including the most relevant factors from differentscales see Tables 3 and 4) showed the positive and prevalent effect of vegetation densitywithin territory scale on nest survival in both species Moreover nest survival was positivelyaffected by water depth within territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale in littlecrake as well as negatively related to emergent vegetation extent at the landscape scale inwater rail A positive effect on nest survival for water rail was found also for vegetationheight and reed cover which were however characterized by lower relative importance

The analysis of nest fate (successpredation) in relation to the number of days a nestsurvived based on glmmPQLmodels showed that variables affecting nest survival (expressedas a number of days) had the same effect (positive or negative) on nest fate expressed as abinomial outcome (see Supplemental Information 2)

Comparing modelsrsquo performance across scalesFor both species AICC values suggested the following hierarchy of models ranked frommost to least supported ones territory nest-site and landscape scales (see Table 2) Thispattern was suggested by the amount of variation explained by models at each single scalethe R2 of territory scale models were equal to 059 for little crake and to 053 for water railwhereas R2 for nest-site scale models was 030 and 038 respectively and for landscapescale models was 007 and 028 respectively Compared to the top-ranked single-scale

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 922

Table 2 Summary of the GLSmodels describing nest survival of little crake and water rail nests at thethree spatial scalesModels are ranked according to Akaikersquos information criterion corrected for smallsample size (AICC) the difference in AICC from the best supported model (1AICC) Akaikersquos weights(wi) andminus2 log-likelihood values (logLik) Only models with 1AICC lt 2 are shown Negative (minus) orpositive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for little crake and waterrail Year and initiation day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms seeTable 1

Model df logLik AICC 1AICC w i

Little crakeLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus) 6 minus16893 3518 000 031Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ arablel (minus) 7 minus16791 3524 066 022Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus14826 3131 000 045Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+) 8 minus14756 3146 144 022Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus16184 3403 000 048Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ watdepn (+) 8 minus16068 3408 049 037Water railLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus) 7 minus17210 3609 000 040Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+)+opwatt (+)

9 minus16130 3451 000 029

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+) 8 minus16287 3452 014 027Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ opwatt (+) 8 minus16350 3465 140 014year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus16496 3466 148 014Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ vegcov (+) 8 minus16843 3564 000 039Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus17043 3575 116 022

models multi-scale models were more parsimonious for both species and explained ahigher amount of variation the R2 of multi-scale models was 070 for little crake and 067for water rail (considering the most parsimonious model for computation)

The adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesHabitat suitability was strongly correlated with nest survival both in little crake (β= 135SE = 027 plt 0001) and in water rail (β= 007 SE = 003 p= 0014) suggesting thatmulti-scale habitat preferences were adaptive in both species

Vegetation density andmean water depth at the territory scale were positively selected bylittle crake during habitat selection and were the main factors affecting nest survival (Figs1A 1B) This suggests a strong adaptive value of habitat choice In water rail vegetationdensity at the territory scale was positively associated with both occurrence and nestsurvival again suggesting adaptiveness of the preference for sites with denser vegetation(Fig 1C)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1022

Table 3 Multi-scale model describing nest survival in little crake and water rail the most parsimonious GLSmodels (1AICC lt 2) for eachspecies are shown Negative (minus) or positive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for both rallids Year and initia-tion day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms see Table 1

Model df logLik AIC C 1AIC C w i

Little crakeYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)

9 minus14053 3034 000 046

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)+ arablel (minus)

10 minus13991 3053 187 018

Water railYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)

9 minus15259 3277 000 033

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ reedcov (+)

10 minus15159 3288 115 019

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+reedcov (+)

9 minus15318 3289 118 018

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ opwatt (+)

10 minus15201 3297 198 012

Table 4 Model averaged parameter (based onmodels with1AICC lt 2) and relative variable impor-tance (measured considering the sum of the Akaike weights over all models in which that variable ap-pears) of predictors frommulti-scale models of nest survival for water rail and the most parsimoniousmodel for little crake In all models year (2012) was used as the reference category In water rail covari-ates are ranked according to cumulative weights For variable acronyms see Table 1

Variable β SEsum

w i P

Little crakeIntercept 1941 138Year (2013) minus242 154 0124Year (2014) minus022 202 0912Initiation day minus141 066 0040vegdens 416 061 lt0001veght 300 071 lt0001watdept 202 068 0005Water railIntercept 1932 175Year (2013) 151 247 100 0552Year (2014) minus379 217 100 0089Initiation day minus071 115 100 0540emveg minus340 085 100 lt0001vegdens 489 084 100 lt0001veght 193 160 064 0230reedcov 097 140 036 0489

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1122

Figure 1 Graphical representation (solid line predicted values dashed line 95 confidence intervals)of adaptive habitat preferences in relation to nest survival in rallids Little crake selected territories withdenser vegetation (A) and deeper water (B) which increased nest survival Water rail preferred territorieswith denser vegetation that positively affected nest survival rate (C) For habitat suitability dots representnest occurrence (value 1) or absence (value 0 data derived from Jedlikowski et al 2016) For nest survivaleach dot represents a rallid nest nests that survived at least 23 days were successful for little crake neststhat survived at least 27 days were successful for water rail

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1222

DISCUSSIONThe importance of multi-scale approaches in the study of birdbreeding ecologyHabitat selection has been increasingly regarded as a multi-scale process encompassingdifferent spatial scales in a wide range of species (McGarigal et al 2016) Despite theincreasingly clear importance of multi-scale approaches to habitat selection very fewprevious studies have simultaneously evaluated the fitness outcomes of habitat choice atmultiple scales (eg Chalfoun amp Martin 2007 Brambilla et al 2010) This has generallyprevented an adequate assessment of the adaptive habitat preferences for species thatperform their decisions at several spatial scales

Our results provide an evidence for the adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesas demonstrated by the strong positive effect of habitat suitability on nest survivalFurthermore our work provides evidence for a congruent effect of factors acting acrossmultiple spatial scales over both habitat selection and reproductive outcomes In particularthe most important habitat factor driving site selection in both rallids is vegetation densityat the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al 2016) the factor that most affected nest survivalrate in both species (Tables 3 and 4) An effect was found also for water depth at theterritory scale for little crake Therefore the habitat features important in habitat selectionat the territory scale clearly affected nest fate in the studied species In general suchresults strongly point towards an adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferences in bothspecies and further demonstrate the overwhelming importance of the territory scale in thebreeding ecology of little crake and water rail (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) It is possible thatother habitat characteristics that were selected or avoided in this study but did not affectnest survival may have had consequences for other fitness components (eg post-fledgingsurvival adult survival lifetime reproductive success) In fact multiple environmentalfactors across multiple spatial scales may optimize fitness via different habitat selectionstrategies (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007)

Assessing adaptiveness at single spatial scales instead of multiple scales may leadto contrasting evaluations because of missing critical features belonging to other notconsidered scales As an example within our study systems water depth had only a weakeffect at the territory scale on little crake nest survival however according to themulti-scalemodel water depth was important and the preference for deeper sites in the multi-scalehabitat selection process appeared highly adaptive The much greater importance of waterdepth at the multi-scale model than at the single territory scale which can appear rathercounterintuitive at first glance is easily explained by the combined effect displayed bymeanwater depth at the territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale (Fig 2) Nests placedin sites with tall vegetation were mostly successful irrespectively of water depth whereasnests hidden behind short vegetation survived longer only when they were surrounded bydeeper water This finding suggests the importance of evaluating adaptiveness consideringrelevant factors belonging to multiple spatial scales The opposite pattern was found foremergent vegetation at the landscape scale it was positively selected by water rail accordingto the single-scale model (Jedlikowski et al 2016) but had a negative impact on nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1322

Figure 2 Sunflower plot representing little crake nest survival in relation to mean water depth at ter-ritory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale Each sunflower is an individual nest and the numberof lsquopetalsrsquo is the number of days survived by the nest

survival (Tables 3 and 4) This would be regarded as maladaptive habitat choice howeverthemulti-scale model of habitat selection for water rail suggested that the true determinantsof species occurrence are different variables and that emergent vegetation may be just acue for the availability of suitable habitats at finer scales (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This kindof partial evidence for adaptiveness which arises when looking at single spatial scales butdisappears when considered within a multi-scale context suggests additional caution inevaluating the adaptive value of habitat preferences using single scale approaches Theseare likely to overestimate the importance of minor determinants of habitat selection andorreproductive output

The varying impact of different spatial scales on nest predation riskOur results showed that both in little crake and water rail the reduction of nest predationrisk was mostly determined by fine-scale habitat preferences at territory and nest-site scalesThis was consistent with Chalfoun amp Martin (2007) which found that habitat preferencesat smaller spatial scales but not at broader-landscape ones reduced nest predation riskof Brewerrsquos sparrow (Spizella breweri) It seems that habitat selection at the landscapescale could be more relevant for nestling survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) a fitnesscomponent which was not included in our study At the landscape scale birds may focus onselecting areas rich in food which may facilitate feeding of nestlings increasing their mass

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1422

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

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Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

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Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

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Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

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Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2022

Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

MATERIALS amp METHODSStudy systemWe focused on twobird species belonging to theRallidae family little crake (Zapornia parvaformerly Porzana genus) and water rail (Rallus aquaticus) These two migratory speciesoccupy awide range of aquatic habitats with still or slow-movingwater (Taylor amp Van Perlo1998) They require tall dense emergent vegetation as nesting sites and protection againstpredators The ones found in the study area are marsh harrier (Circus aeruginosus) raccoondog (Nyctereutes procyonoides) least weasel (Mustela nivalis) andAmericanmink (Neovisonvison Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015 J Jedlikowski pers comm 2011) Previousstudies showed that habitat selection is a multi-scale process in these species and that rallidoccurrence was mostly affected by habitat factors at the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al2016)Hereweuse the same study area andhabitat factorsmeasured for the habitat selectionprocess to evaluate adaptiveness of the habitat preferences

The two species were surveyed at 30 small water bodies located between 5347primendash5353primeNand 2133primendash2147primeE in the central part of the Masurian Lakeland (north-eastern Poland)The area of these water bodies varied from 02 to 100 ha (mean 221) water level fluctuatedseasonally but the maximum depth did not exceed 15 m and water pH ranged from 63to 82 All ponds were located in natural depressions filled with organic sediments andwere overgrown mainly by bulrush (Typha spp) common reed (Phragmites australis)sedges (Carex spp) and bushes of grey willow (Salix cinerea) These inland water bodieswere surrounded by a mosaic of wetland-agricultural landscapes including arable fieldsmeadows pastures sparse rural areas forests and other wetland complexes (lakes marshesand ditches see Jedlikowski et al 2016)

The study was purely observational with no manipulation of animals The studyfulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee Regional Directorate forEnvironmental Protection allows us to carry out this research (approval number WOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Nest monitoringFor both little crake and water rail which are precocial species the nesting period iscritical for successful breeding so we used nest survival as a fitness component Toobtain nest fate of both species we collected data from late-April to early-August overthree successive breeding seasons (2012ndash2014) We used call-playback surveys to identifyterritories occupied by studied species within each season (Jedlikowski Brambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) Subsequently we systematically searched within patches of littoralvegetation for nests of little crake and water rail and marked the position of each nestusing a handheld GPS receiver (GRS-1 Topcon accuracy less than 05 m) We monitoredeach nest beginning two days after finding it to assess the stage of the clutch (egg layingincubating or hatching stage) Afterwards we checked each nest at 5ndash7 day intervals untilthe clutch successfully hatched or was found depredated We determined nest success whenat least one chick was observed (or heard) in or in close proximity to the nest (lt2 m)and no traces of nest predation were detected Crushed pieces of shells with remainsof yolk found in the nest or close by in the water were considered as evidence of nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 422

predation Also partially depredated clutches were treated as depredated as such nests werealways abandoned by adults We also considered nest loss when we found empty nestsaccompanied by damage of nest material and surrounding vegetation during the presumedincubation period

Habitat measurementsWe used circular plots centred on each nest to measure habitat characteristic andcomposition of vegetation around nests at three spatial scales lsquolandscapersquo (200-m radius)lsquoterritoryrsquo (14-m radius) and lsquonest-sitersquo (3-m radius) Those scales were chosen accordingto the previous habitat selection studies with little crake and water rail The extent of 200-mradius was associated with the best performing landscape-scale habitat selection modelfor both rallids (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This radius was consistent with other studiesthat assessed relationship between Rallidae species and landscape features (eg Austin ampBuhl 2013 Glisson et al 2015) Territory and nest-site scale radii were selected based ontelemetry study (Jedlikowski Brambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014 Jedlikowski amp Brambilla2017) Within each scale we recorded habitat variables deemed as potentially important(ie included in the most supported models at each scale) by the habitat selection study(see Jedlikowski et al 2016 and Table 1)

To describe habitat characteristics at the landscape scale we used spatial analyst tools inArcGIS 102 (ESRI 2013) to measure the extent and configuration of the main land coverclasses (see Table 1) Land cover classes were assigned based on aerial photos of waterbodies and surrounding habitats taken in April 2012 and ground-truthed each year in thefield Each homogeneous habitat patch was mapped when one of its dimensions exceeded10 m In the case of territory scale (represented by a 14-m radius plot around nest) meanvegetation density and water depth were measured and extent of emergent plant cover wasestimated using ArcGIS 102 (see Table 1) To estimate the percentage cover of emergentvegetation species at the territory scale patches of vegetation were mapped when one oftheir dimensions exceeded 2 m and classified according to the main plant species Patcheswere mapped by walking through and recording position by means of a handheld GPSreceiver When nests were situated closer than 14 m to the water-land edge and territoryplots extended to the terrestrial habitat (space not used by birds) the border of potentialterritories was adjusted to the water body shoreline (in 70 cases for little crake and 76cases for water rail) As a result in such cases all measurements were taken within theadjusted territory plot in the same way as in the habitat selection study for these species(see Jedlikowski et al 2016) All the territory measurements were performed immediatelyafter clutch hatched or was depredated to avoid vegetation damage or disturbance tobirds during the nesting period At the nest-site scale all measured habitat characteristicsconcerned nest position within littoral vegetation and the structure of vegetation in theimmediate vicinity of the nest and were taken on the same day that the nest was found(see Table 1)

Data analysisIn our study system all nest data had a strong spatial structure because of pond distributionin the landscape and of nest distribution within ponds This prevented us from using

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 522

Table 1 Description of habitat characteristics measured around nests of little crake and water railwithin three spatial scales (landscape territory and nest-site) that were found to be important inbreeding site choice (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) and used in the analyses of the nest survival model ofboth rallids in the Masurian Lakeland Poland

Variable Acronym Description

Landscape scaleArable landa arablel Extent of cultivated fields ()Urbanised areaa urbana Extent of artificial surface urban fabric industrial

units and road network ()Emergent vegetationab emveg Extent of water bodies overgrown by emergent

vegetation ()Woody vegetationb woodveg Extent of water bodies overgrown by shrub and

trees ()Water body shapea watshape Perimeter-area ratio index (Helzer amp Jelinski

1999) estimated by dividing total water bodyperimeter by total water body area (mha)

Water body fragmenta-tionab

watfrag Proximity index (PX) (Gustafson amp Parker1994) calculated for n water bodies asPX =

sumni=1(Sizi) where Si was the area of

each water body within a particular buffer (eventhose which partially lie within the radius) and zithe shortest linear distance to an adjacent waterbody (ham)

Territory scaleReed coverab reedcov Extent of Phragmites australis cover ()Sedges coverb sedcov Extent of Carex spp cover ()Willow covera willcov Extent of Salix spp cover ()Open waterb opwatt Extent of open water surface ()Vegetation densityab vegdens Mean vegetation density within territory plot

(five measurements taken every 2 m in each car-dinal direction around nest measurements takenoutside the water bodies were removed from fur-ther analysis) Vegetation density was estimatedas the percentage cover of vegetation within a 05times 05 m quadrant (estimated with 10 precisioneach time by the same investigator)

Water depthab watdept Mean water depth within a territory plot (fivemeasurements taken every 2 m in each cardinaldirection around nest measurements taken out-side the water bodies were removed from furtheranalysis) (cm)

Nest-site scalePlant speciesa plantsp Species of emergent plants at nest siteVegetation stageab vegst Stage of emergent vegetation at nest site (1=

fresh 2= previous years 3=mixed)Vegetation coverb vegcov Percentage cover of emergent vegetation within a

3-m radius plot around nest (estimated with 10precision each time by the same investigator)

(continued on next page)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 622

Table 1 (continued)

Variable Acronym Description

Vegetation heightab veght Mean height of emergent vegetation within nestplot (measurements taken from the water surfacefrom ten random points around nest) (cm)

Water depthab watdepn Mean water depth in a 3-m radius plot aroundnest calculated from ten random measurementswithin the plot (cm)

NotesaVariable importance in single-scale models of habitat selection for little crakebVariables important for water rail

standard nest-survival methods based on generalized linear models (Dinsmore Whiteamp Knopf 2002 Hazler 2004) which do not allow for a proper treatment of spatialautocorrelation Therefore we performed a two-step analysis to assess the relationshipbetween habitat preferences and nest survival using methods suited to deal with spatiallyautocorrelated data Before running models all variables were standardized in orderto compare the relative effects (Schielzeth 2010) and better evaluate multicollinearityproblems (Cade 2015)

For the first step we used generalized least squares (GLS) models This regressiontechnique allows for the incorporation of the spatial structure into the modelrsquos errorand is considered among the best methods to deal with spatially autocorrelated datasets(Dormann et al 2007 Beale et al 2010) We built species-specific GLS models with thenumber of days a nest survived as the dependent variable and year initiation date andhabitat factors as covariates In precocial species such as little crake and water rail it isknown that older nests ie those that have survived more days have higher survival ratesthan younger nests because nests located in more risky sites will be depredated in earlystages (Klett amp Johnson 1982 Dinsmore White amp Knopf 2002) In our analysis we usedonly nests found during the egg laying period which allowed us to correctly estimate thenumber of survived days for each nest from the nest initiation day (the day when the firstegg was laid) to the day when chicks hatched or clutch was depredated For clutches foundafter initiation day we used the backdating method to estimate the first-egg date assumingthat the birds lay one egg per day (Taylor amp Van Perlo 1998) When a nest failed betweentwo consecutive visits we estimated time of failure as the mid-point between visits Finallywe adjusted the number of days a successful nests survived to 23 days for little crake and27 days for water rail All nests which survived to this age were successful but some nestsrequired a few more days for hatching (in little crake 27 nests required one or two daysmore in water rail 10 nests were successful after one or two days more and four nests afterthree to four days more respectively) By this adjustment we avoided giving an excessiveweight within models to successful nests that required extra time to hatch We used aninformation-theoretic approach (Burnham amp Anderson 2002) ranking all possible modelsaccording to the Akaike Information Criterion corrected for small sample sizes (AICC)Given that initiation time and year variation had been reported several times among themain factors affecting nest success in several bird species (eg Mazgajski 2002 Dinsmore

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 722

amp Dinsmore 2007) they were kept as fixed factors in the models In fact it is known thatshifts in predator communities or in the availability of alternative prey for predators as wellas climatic conditions may affect nest success within a breeding season and over differentyears (egMoynahan et al 2007 Shitikov Fedotova amp Gagieva 2012) For each model wechecked the potential occurrence of multi-collinearity among predictors according to therelative values of the VIF (Variance Inflation Factor) All variables tested in the models hadVIF lt 3 thus multi-collinearity was not an issue for the analyses Therefore we rankedmodels according to the relative AICC-values for each species and at each spatial scaleThen we considered the most supported models (1AICC lt 2) and excluded those withuninformative parameters (ie models comprising a more parsimonious model as nestedplus some additional factors Arnold 2010) Finally we carried out model averaging (fullaveraging) among the remaining models or took the most parsimonious model when noothers remained

The above procedure was adopted for all the analyses required by the three objectivesof the study For objective 1 we carried out the analysis at each spatial scale (landscapeterritory nest-site) for each species For objective 2 we used a multi-scale model for eachspecies After species-specific model ranking for each spatial scale we chose for each speciesall the variables comprised in the most parsimonious models (models with 1AICC lt 2)With the resulting sets of variables we worked out multi-scale models for each speciesranking all possible models according to AICC (matching the approach adopted in thehabitat selection study Jedlikowski et al 2016) For objective 3 we used the estimatedhabitat suitability as a predictor (occurrence probability as calculated according to thespecies-specific multi-scale models of habitat selection reported in Table 5 in Jedlikowski etal 2016) to assess whether multi-scale habitat preferences were adaptive or not If habitatpreferences are adaptive the predicted habitat suitability should predict nest survival Inall the final models residuals approached a normal distribution

As the second step after running GLS models we checked for consistency of the effectsof the variables affecting the number of days a nest survived in relation to the final fate ofnests by taking into account nest exposure Therefore we performed a further analysisimplementing a binomial model with a logit link function with the binomial numeratorbeing 0 or 1 (failure or success) and the binomial denominator being number of days anest survived (cf Mayfield logistic regression Hazler 2004) We performed this analysisby means of spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Models via Penalized Quasi-Likelihood(glmmPQL) assuming a binomial error distribution relating variables selected by GLSmodels to nest successfailure glmmPQL allows modelling spatial data with non-normaldistribution and is considered among the best techniques to handle this type of data(Dormann et al 2007)

For GLS and glmmPQL models we adopted a Gaussian spatial correlation structurebut models with different structures (spherical exponential) led to the same or very similarresults All analyses were performed using the software R (R Development Core Team 2013)and the packages lsquoMuMInrsquo lsquomassrsquo and lsquonlmersquo (Venables amp Ripley 2002 Pinheiro Bates ampDebroy 2010 Bartoń 2014)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 822

Finally habitat preferences (objective 3) were considered as adaptive when (i) habitatsuitability as calculated with the multi-scale models for habitat selection significantlypredicted variation in nest survival with a positive effect (we used the logit value for theregression analyses) (ii) variables importantly affecting habitat selection (included in themulti-scale models Table 5 in Jedlikowski et al 2016) showed the same kind of effect onboth habitat preference and nest survival

RESULTSLittle crake chicks hatched in 32 out of 51 monitored nests (63) and water rail chickshatched in 19 out of 50 nests (38) Descriptive statistics of all habitat parametersmeasuredin successful and predated nests of water rail and little crake are shown in SupplementalInformation 1

Factors affecting nest survival based on individual and the multi-scaleapproachAt the landscape scale the most parsimonious GLS model for little crake included onlyfixed factors (year and initiation Table 2) For water rail nest survival was negativelyaffected by the extent of emergent vegetation (β=minus268 SE = 116 p= 0025 Table2) At the territory scale the top-ranked models indicated that vegetation density waspositively associated with nest survival in both species (β= 502 SE = 066 plt 0001 forlittle crake β= 519 SE = 102 plt 0001 for water rail Table 2) At the nest-site scale thenest survival of rallid nests was mostly affected by a positive relationship with vegetationheight (β= 361 SE = 093 plt 0001 for little crake β= 339 SE = 116 p= 0005 forwater rail Table 2)

The multi-scale models (ie the ones including the most relevant factors from differentscales see Tables 3 and 4) showed the positive and prevalent effect of vegetation densitywithin territory scale on nest survival in both species Moreover nest survival was positivelyaffected by water depth within territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale in littlecrake as well as negatively related to emergent vegetation extent at the landscape scale inwater rail A positive effect on nest survival for water rail was found also for vegetationheight and reed cover which were however characterized by lower relative importance

The analysis of nest fate (successpredation) in relation to the number of days a nestsurvived based on glmmPQLmodels showed that variables affecting nest survival (expressedas a number of days) had the same effect (positive or negative) on nest fate expressed as abinomial outcome (see Supplemental Information 2)

Comparing modelsrsquo performance across scalesFor both species AICC values suggested the following hierarchy of models ranked frommost to least supported ones territory nest-site and landscape scales (see Table 2) Thispattern was suggested by the amount of variation explained by models at each single scalethe R2 of territory scale models were equal to 059 for little crake and to 053 for water railwhereas R2 for nest-site scale models was 030 and 038 respectively and for landscapescale models was 007 and 028 respectively Compared to the top-ranked single-scale

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 922

Table 2 Summary of the GLSmodels describing nest survival of little crake and water rail nests at thethree spatial scalesModels are ranked according to Akaikersquos information criterion corrected for smallsample size (AICC) the difference in AICC from the best supported model (1AICC) Akaikersquos weights(wi) andminus2 log-likelihood values (logLik) Only models with 1AICC lt 2 are shown Negative (minus) orpositive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for little crake and waterrail Year and initiation day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms seeTable 1

Model df logLik AICC 1AICC w i

Little crakeLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus) 6 minus16893 3518 000 031Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ arablel (minus) 7 minus16791 3524 066 022Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus14826 3131 000 045Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+) 8 minus14756 3146 144 022Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus16184 3403 000 048Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ watdepn (+) 8 minus16068 3408 049 037Water railLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus) 7 minus17210 3609 000 040Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+)+opwatt (+)

9 minus16130 3451 000 029

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+) 8 minus16287 3452 014 027Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ opwatt (+) 8 minus16350 3465 140 014year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus16496 3466 148 014Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ vegcov (+) 8 minus16843 3564 000 039Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus17043 3575 116 022

models multi-scale models were more parsimonious for both species and explained ahigher amount of variation the R2 of multi-scale models was 070 for little crake and 067for water rail (considering the most parsimonious model for computation)

The adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesHabitat suitability was strongly correlated with nest survival both in little crake (β= 135SE = 027 plt 0001) and in water rail (β= 007 SE = 003 p= 0014) suggesting thatmulti-scale habitat preferences were adaptive in both species

Vegetation density andmean water depth at the territory scale were positively selected bylittle crake during habitat selection and were the main factors affecting nest survival (Figs1A 1B) This suggests a strong adaptive value of habitat choice In water rail vegetationdensity at the territory scale was positively associated with both occurrence and nestsurvival again suggesting adaptiveness of the preference for sites with denser vegetation(Fig 1C)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1022

Table 3 Multi-scale model describing nest survival in little crake and water rail the most parsimonious GLSmodels (1AICC lt 2) for eachspecies are shown Negative (minus) or positive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for both rallids Year and initia-tion day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms see Table 1

Model df logLik AIC C 1AIC C w i

Little crakeYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)

9 minus14053 3034 000 046

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)+ arablel (minus)

10 minus13991 3053 187 018

Water railYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)

9 minus15259 3277 000 033

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ reedcov (+)

10 minus15159 3288 115 019

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+reedcov (+)

9 minus15318 3289 118 018

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ opwatt (+)

10 minus15201 3297 198 012

Table 4 Model averaged parameter (based onmodels with1AICC lt 2) and relative variable impor-tance (measured considering the sum of the Akaike weights over all models in which that variable ap-pears) of predictors frommulti-scale models of nest survival for water rail and the most parsimoniousmodel for little crake In all models year (2012) was used as the reference category In water rail covari-ates are ranked according to cumulative weights For variable acronyms see Table 1

Variable β SEsum

w i P

Little crakeIntercept 1941 138Year (2013) minus242 154 0124Year (2014) minus022 202 0912Initiation day minus141 066 0040vegdens 416 061 lt0001veght 300 071 lt0001watdept 202 068 0005Water railIntercept 1932 175Year (2013) 151 247 100 0552Year (2014) minus379 217 100 0089Initiation day minus071 115 100 0540emveg minus340 085 100 lt0001vegdens 489 084 100 lt0001veght 193 160 064 0230reedcov 097 140 036 0489

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1122

Figure 1 Graphical representation (solid line predicted values dashed line 95 confidence intervals)of adaptive habitat preferences in relation to nest survival in rallids Little crake selected territories withdenser vegetation (A) and deeper water (B) which increased nest survival Water rail preferred territorieswith denser vegetation that positively affected nest survival rate (C) For habitat suitability dots representnest occurrence (value 1) or absence (value 0 data derived from Jedlikowski et al 2016) For nest survivaleach dot represents a rallid nest nests that survived at least 23 days were successful for little crake neststhat survived at least 27 days were successful for water rail

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1222

DISCUSSIONThe importance of multi-scale approaches in the study of birdbreeding ecologyHabitat selection has been increasingly regarded as a multi-scale process encompassingdifferent spatial scales in a wide range of species (McGarigal et al 2016) Despite theincreasingly clear importance of multi-scale approaches to habitat selection very fewprevious studies have simultaneously evaluated the fitness outcomes of habitat choice atmultiple scales (eg Chalfoun amp Martin 2007 Brambilla et al 2010) This has generallyprevented an adequate assessment of the adaptive habitat preferences for species thatperform their decisions at several spatial scales

Our results provide an evidence for the adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesas demonstrated by the strong positive effect of habitat suitability on nest survivalFurthermore our work provides evidence for a congruent effect of factors acting acrossmultiple spatial scales over both habitat selection and reproductive outcomes In particularthe most important habitat factor driving site selection in both rallids is vegetation densityat the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al 2016) the factor that most affected nest survivalrate in both species (Tables 3 and 4) An effect was found also for water depth at theterritory scale for little crake Therefore the habitat features important in habitat selectionat the territory scale clearly affected nest fate in the studied species In general suchresults strongly point towards an adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferences in bothspecies and further demonstrate the overwhelming importance of the territory scale in thebreeding ecology of little crake and water rail (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) It is possible thatother habitat characteristics that were selected or avoided in this study but did not affectnest survival may have had consequences for other fitness components (eg post-fledgingsurvival adult survival lifetime reproductive success) In fact multiple environmentalfactors across multiple spatial scales may optimize fitness via different habitat selectionstrategies (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007)

Assessing adaptiveness at single spatial scales instead of multiple scales may leadto contrasting evaluations because of missing critical features belonging to other notconsidered scales As an example within our study systems water depth had only a weakeffect at the territory scale on little crake nest survival however according to themulti-scalemodel water depth was important and the preference for deeper sites in the multi-scalehabitat selection process appeared highly adaptive The much greater importance of waterdepth at the multi-scale model than at the single territory scale which can appear rathercounterintuitive at first glance is easily explained by the combined effect displayed bymeanwater depth at the territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale (Fig 2) Nests placedin sites with tall vegetation were mostly successful irrespectively of water depth whereasnests hidden behind short vegetation survived longer only when they were surrounded bydeeper water This finding suggests the importance of evaluating adaptiveness consideringrelevant factors belonging to multiple spatial scales The opposite pattern was found foremergent vegetation at the landscape scale it was positively selected by water rail accordingto the single-scale model (Jedlikowski et al 2016) but had a negative impact on nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1322

Figure 2 Sunflower plot representing little crake nest survival in relation to mean water depth at ter-ritory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale Each sunflower is an individual nest and the numberof lsquopetalsrsquo is the number of days survived by the nest

survival (Tables 3 and 4) This would be regarded as maladaptive habitat choice howeverthemulti-scale model of habitat selection for water rail suggested that the true determinantsof species occurrence are different variables and that emergent vegetation may be just acue for the availability of suitable habitats at finer scales (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This kindof partial evidence for adaptiveness which arises when looking at single spatial scales butdisappears when considered within a multi-scale context suggests additional caution inevaluating the adaptive value of habitat preferences using single scale approaches Theseare likely to overestimate the importance of minor determinants of habitat selection andorreproductive output

The varying impact of different spatial scales on nest predation riskOur results showed that both in little crake and water rail the reduction of nest predationrisk was mostly determined by fine-scale habitat preferences at territory and nest-site scalesThis was consistent with Chalfoun amp Martin (2007) which found that habitat preferencesat smaller spatial scales but not at broader-landscape ones reduced nest predation riskof Brewerrsquos sparrow (Spizella breweri) It seems that habitat selection at the landscapescale could be more relevant for nestling survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) a fitnesscomponent which was not included in our study At the landscape scale birds may focus onselecting areas rich in food which may facilitate feeding of nestlings increasing their mass

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1422

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

REFERENCESAlbrecht T Horaacutek D Kreisinger J Weidinger K Klvaňa P Michot TC 2006 Factors

determining pochard nest predation along a wetland gradient Journal of WildlifeManagement 70784ndash791 DOI 1021930022-541X(2006)70[784FDPNPA]20CO2

Arlt D Paumlrt T 2007 Nonideal breeding habitat selection a mismatch between preferenceand fitness Ecology 88792ndash801 DOI 10189006-0574

Arnold TW 2010 Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaikersquosinformation criterion Journal of Wildlife Management 741175ndash1178DOI 101111j1937-28172010tb01236x

Austin JE Buhl DA 2013 Relating yellow rail (Coturnicops noveboracensis) occupancyto habitat and landscape features in the context of fireWaterbirds 36199ndash213DOI 1016750630360209

Barea LP 2012Habitat influences on nest-site selection by the painted honeyeater(Grantiella picta) do food resources matter Emu 11239ndash45 DOI 101071MU10082

Bartoń K 2014 Package lsquoMuMInrsquo R package version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation forStatistical Computing Available at http cranr-projectorgwebpackagesMuMInMuMInpdf

Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

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Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

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Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

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Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

predation Also partially depredated clutches were treated as depredated as such nests werealways abandoned by adults We also considered nest loss when we found empty nestsaccompanied by damage of nest material and surrounding vegetation during the presumedincubation period

Habitat measurementsWe used circular plots centred on each nest to measure habitat characteristic andcomposition of vegetation around nests at three spatial scales lsquolandscapersquo (200-m radius)lsquoterritoryrsquo (14-m radius) and lsquonest-sitersquo (3-m radius) Those scales were chosen accordingto the previous habitat selection studies with little crake and water rail The extent of 200-mradius was associated with the best performing landscape-scale habitat selection modelfor both rallids (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This radius was consistent with other studiesthat assessed relationship between Rallidae species and landscape features (eg Austin ampBuhl 2013 Glisson et al 2015) Territory and nest-site scale radii were selected based ontelemetry study (Jedlikowski Brambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014 Jedlikowski amp Brambilla2017) Within each scale we recorded habitat variables deemed as potentially important(ie included in the most supported models at each scale) by the habitat selection study(see Jedlikowski et al 2016 and Table 1)

To describe habitat characteristics at the landscape scale we used spatial analyst tools inArcGIS 102 (ESRI 2013) to measure the extent and configuration of the main land coverclasses (see Table 1) Land cover classes were assigned based on aerial photos of waterbodies and surrounding habitats taken in April 2012 and ground-truthed each year in thefield Each homogeneous habitat patch was mapped when one of its dimensions exceeded10 m In the case of territory scale (represented by a 14-m radius plot around nest) meanvegetation density and water depth were measured and extent of emergent plant cover wasestimated using ArcGIS 102 (see Table 1) To estimate the percentage cover of emergentvegetation species at the territory scale patches of vegetation were mapped when one oftheir dimensions exceeded 2 m and classified according to the main plant species Patcheswere mapped by walking through and recording position by means of a handheld GPSreceiver When nests were situated closer than 14 m to the water-land edge and territoryplots extended to the terrestrial habitat (space not used by birds) the border of potentialterritories was adjusted to the water body shoreline (in 70 cases for little crake and 76cases for water rail) As a result in such cases all measurements were taken within theadjusted territory plot in the same way as in the habitat selection study for these species(see Jedlikowski et al 2016) All the territory measurements were performed immediatelyafter clutch hatched or was depredated to avoid vegetation damage or disturbance tobirds during the nesting period At the nest-site scale all measured habitat characteristicsconcerned nest position within littoral vegetation and the structure of vegetation in theimmediate vicinity of the nest and were taken on the same day that the nest was found(see Table 1)

Data analysisIn our study system all nest data had a strong spatial structure because of pond distributionin the landscape and of nest distribution within ponds This prevented us from using

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 522

Table 1 Description of habitat characteristics measured around nests of little crake and water railwithin three spatial scales (landscape territory and nest-site) that were found to be important inbreeding site choice (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) and used in the analyses of the nest survival model ofboth rallids in the Masurian Lakeland Poland

Variable Acronym Description

Landscape scaleArable landa arablel Extent of cultivated fields ()Urbanised areaa urbana Extent of artificial surface urban fabric industrial

units and road network ()Emergent vegetationab emveg Extent of water bodies overgrown by emergent

vegetation ()Woody vegetationb woodveg Extent of water bodies overgrown by shrub and

trees ()Water body shapea watshape Perimeter-area ratio index (Helzer amp Jelinski

1999) estimated by dividing total water bodyperimeter by total water body area (mha)

Water body fragmenta-tionab

watfrag Proximity index (PX) (Gustafson amp Parker1994) calculated for n water bodies asPX =

sumni=1(Sizi) where Si was the area of

each water body within a particular buffer (eventhose which partially lie within the radius) and zithe shortest linear distance to an adjacent waterbody (ham)

Territory scaleReed coverab reedcov Extent of Phragmites australis cover ()Sedges coverb sedcov Extent of Carex spp cover ()Willow covera willcov Extent of Salix spp cover ()Open waterb opwatt Extent of open water surface ()Vegetation densityab vegdens Mean vegetation density within territory plot

(five measurements taken every 2 m in each car-dinal direction around nest measurements takenoutside the water bodies were removed from fur-ther analysis) Vegetation density was estimatedas the percentage cover of vegetation within a 05times 05 m quadrant (estimated with 10 precisioneach time by the same investigator)

Water depthab watdept Mean water depth within a territory plot (fivemeasurements taken every 2 m in each cardinaldirection around nest measurements taken out-side the water bodies were removed from furtheranalysis) (cm)

Nest-site scalePlant speciesa plantsp Species of emergent plants at nest siteVegetation stageab vegst Stage of emergent vegetation at nest site (1=

fresh 2= previous years 3=mixed)Vegetation coverb vegcov Percentage cover of emergent vegetation within a

3-m radius plot around nest (estimated with 10precision each time by the same investigator)

(continued on next page)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 622

Table 1 (continued)

Variable Acronym Description

Vegetation heightab veght Mean height of emergent vegetation within nestplot (measurements taken from the water surfacefrom ten random points around nest) (cm)

Water depthab watdepn Mean water depth in a 3-m radius plot aroundnest calculated from ten random measurementswithin the plot (cm)

NotesaVariable importance in single-scale models of habitat selection for little crakebVariables important for water rail

standard nest-survival methods based on generalized linear models (Dinsmore Whiteamp Knopf 2002 Hazler 2004) which do not allow for a proper treatment of spatialautocorrelation Therefore we performed a two-step analysis to assess the relationshipbetween habitat preferences and nest survival using methods suited to deal with spatiallyautocorrelated data Before running models all variables were standardized in orderto compare the relative effects (Schielzeth 2010) and better evaluate multicollinearityproblems (Cade 2015)

For the first step we used generalized least squares (GLS) models This regressiontechnique allows for the incorporation of the spatial structure into the modelrsquos errorand is considered among the best methods to deal with spatially autocorrelated datasets(Dormann et al 2007 Beale et al 2010) We built species-specific GLS models with thenumber of days a nest survived as the dependent variable and year initiation date andhabitat factors as covariates In precocial species such as little crake and water rail it isknown that older nests ie those that have survived more days have higher survival ratesthan younger nests because nests located in more risky sites will be depredated in earlystages (Klett amp Johnson 1982 Dinsmore White amp Knopf 2002) In our analysis we usedonly nests found during the egg laying period which allowed us to correctly estimate thenumber of survived days for each nest from the nest initiation day (the day when the firstegg was laid) to the day when chicks hatched or clutch was depredated For clutches foundafter initiation day we used the backdating method to estimate the first-egg date assumingthat the birds lay one egg per day (Taylor amp Van Perlo 1998) When a nest failed betweentwo consecutive visits we estimated time of failure as the mid-point between visits Finallywe adjusted the number of days a successful nests survived to 23 days for little crake and27 days for water rail All nests which survived to this age were successful but some nestsrequired a few more days for hatching (in little crake 27 nests required one or two daysmore in water rail 10 nests were successful after one or two days more and four nests afterthree to four days more respectively) By this adjustment we avoided giving an excessiveweight within models to successful nests that required extra time to hatch We used aninformation-theoretic approach (Burnham amp Anderson 2002) ranking all possible modelsaccording to the Akaike Information Criterion corrected for small sample sizes (AICC)Given that initiation time and year variation had been reported several times among themain factors affecting nest success in several bird species (eg Mazgajski 2002 Dinsmore

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 722

amp Dinsmore 2007) they were kept as fixed factors in the models In fact it is known thatshifts in predator communities or in the availability of alternative prey for predators as wellas climatic conditions may affect nest success within a breeding season and over differentyears (egMoynahan et al 2007 Shitikov Fedotova amp Gagieva 2012) For each model wechecked the potential occurrence of multi-collinearity among predictors according to therelative values of the VIF (Variance Inflation Factor) All variables tested in the models hadVIF lt 3 thus multi-collinearity was not an issue for the analyses Therefore we rankedmodels according to the relative AICC-values for each species and at each spatial scaleThen we considered the most supported models (1AICC lt 2) and excluded those withuninformative parameters (ie models comprising a more parsimonious model as nestedplus some additional factors Arnold 2010) Finally we carried out model averaging (fullaveraging) among the remaining models or took the most parsimonious model when noothers remained

The above procedure was adopted for all the analyses required by the three objectivesof the study For objective 1 we carried out the analysis at each spatial scale (landscapeterritory nest-site) for each species For objective 2 we used a multi-scale model for eachspecies After species-specific model ranking for each spatial scale we chose for each speciesall the variables comprised in the most parsimonious models (models with 1AICC lt 2)With the resulting sets of variables we worked out multi-scale models for each speciesranking all possible models according to AICC (matching the approach adopted in thehabitat selection study Jedlikowski et al 2016) For objective 3 we used the estimatedhabitat suitability as a predictor (occurrence probability as calculated according to thespecies-specific multi-scale models of habitat selection reported in Table 5 in Jedlikowski etal 2016) to assess whether multi-scale habitat preferences were adaptive or not If habitatpreferences are adaptive the predicted habitat suitability should predict nest survival Inall the final models residuals approached a normal distribution

As the second step after running GLS models we checked for consistency of the effectsof the variables affecting the number of days a nest survived in relation to the final fate ofnests by taking into account nest exposure Therefore we performed a further analysisimplementing a binomial model with a logit link function with the binomial numeratorbeing 0 or 1 (failure or success) and the binomial denominator being number of days anest survived (cf Mayfield logistic regression Hazler 2004) We performed this analysisby means of spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Models via Penalized Quasi-Likelihood(glmmPQL) assuming a binomial error distribution relating variables selected by GLSmodels to nest successfailure glmmPQL allows modelling spatial data with non-normaldistribution and is considered among the best techniques to handle this type of data(Dormann et al 2007)

For GLS and glmmPQL models we adopted a Gaussian spatial correlation structurebut models with different structures (spherical exponential) led to the same or very similarresults All analyses were performed using the software R (R Development Core Team 2013)and the packages lsquoMuMInrsquo lsquomassrsquo and lsquonlmersquo (Venables amp Ripley 2002 Pinheiro Bates ampDebroy 2010 Bartoń 2014)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 822

Finally habitat preferences (objective 3) were considered as adaptive when (i) habitatsuitability as calculated with the multi-scale models for habitat selection significantlypredicted variation in nest survival with a positive effect (we used the logit value for theregression analyses) (ii) variables importantly affecting habitat selection (included in themulti-scale models Table 5 in Jedlikowski et al 2016) showed the same kind of effect onboth habitat preference and nest survival

RESULTSLittle crake chicks hatched in 32 out of 51 monitored nests (63) and water rail chickshatched in 19 out of 50 nests (38) Descriptive statistics of all habitat parametersmeasuredin successful and predated nests of water rail and little crake are shown in SupplementalInformation 1

Factors affecting nest survival based on individual and the multi-scaleapproachAt the landscape scale the most parsimonious GLS model for little crake included onlyfixed factors (year and initiation Table 2) For water rail nest survival was negativelyaffected by the extent of emergent vegetation (β=minus268 SE = 116 p= 0025 Table2) At the territory scale the top-ranked models indicated that vegetation density waspositively associated with nest survival in both species (β= 502 SE = 066 plt 0001 forlittle crake β= 519 SE = 102 plt 0001 for water rail Table 2) At the nest-site scale thenest survival of rallid nests was mostly affected by a positive relationship with vegetationheight (β= 361 SE = 093 plt 0001 for little crake β= 339 SE = 116 p= 0005 forwater rail Table 2)

The multi-scale models (ie the ones including the most relevant factors from differentscales see Tables 3 and 4) showed the positive and prevalent effect of vegetation densitywithin territory scale on nest survival in both species Moreover nest survival was positivelyaffected by water depth within territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale in littlecrake as well as negatively related to emergent vegetation extent at the landscape scale inwater rail A positive effect on nest survival for water rail was found also for vegetationheight and reed cover which were however characterized by lower relative importance

The analysis of nest fate (successpredation) in relation to the number of days a nestsurvived based on glmmPQLmodels showed that variables affecting nest survival (expressedas a number of days) had the same effect (positive or negative) on nest fate expressed as abinomial outcome (see Supplemental Information 2)

Comparing modelsrsquo performance across scalesFor both species AICC values suggested the following hierarchy of models ranked frommost to least supported ones territory nest-site and landscape scales (see Table 2) Thispattern was suggested by the amount of variation explained by models at each single scalethe R2 of territory scale models were equal to 059 for little crake and to 053 for water railwhereas R2 for nest-site scale models was 030 and 038 respectively and for landscapescale models was 007 and 028 respectively Compared to the top-ranked single-scale

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 922

Table 2 Summary of the GLSmodels describing nest survival of little crake and water rail nests at thethree spatial scalesModels are ranked according to Akaikersquos information criterion corrected for smallsample size (AICC) the difference in AICC from the best supported model (1AICC) Akaikersquos weights(wi) andminus2 log-likelihood values (logLik) Only models with 1AICC lt 2 are shown Negative (minus) orpositive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for little crake and waterrail Year and initiation day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms seeTable 1

Model df logLik AICC 1AICC w i

Little crakeLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus) 6 minus16893 3518 000 031Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ arablel (minus) 7 minus16791 3524 066 022Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus14826 3131 000 045Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+) 8 minus14756 3146 144 022Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus16184 3403 000 048Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ watdepn (+) 8 minus16068 3408 049 037Water railLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus) 7 minus17210 3609 000 040Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+)+opwatt (+)

9 minus16130 3451 000 029

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+) 8 minus16287 3452 014 027Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ opwatt (+) 8 minus16350 3465 140 014year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus16496 3466 148 014Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ vegcov (+) 8 minus16843 3564 000 039Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus17043 3575 116 022

models multi-scale models were more parsimonious for both species and explained ahigher amount of variation the R2 of multi-scale models was 070 for little crake and 067for water rail (considering the most parsimonious model for computation)

The adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesHabitat suitability was strongly correlated with nest survival both in little crake (β= 135SE = 027 plt 0001) and in water rail (β= 007 SE = 003 p= 0014) suggesting thatmulti-scale habitat preferences were adaptive in both species

Vegetation density andmean water depth at the territory scale were positively selected bylittle crake during habitat selection and were the main factors affecting nest survival (Figs1A 1B) This suggests a strong adaptive value of habitat choice In water rail vegetationdensity at the territory scale was positively associated with both occurrence and nestsurvival again suggesting adaptiveness of the preference for sites with denser vegetation(Fig 1C)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1022

Table 3 Multi-scale model describing nest survival in little crake and water rail the most parsimonious GLSmodels (1AICC lt 2) for eachspecies are shown Negative (minus) or positive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for both rallids Year and initia-tion day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms see Table 1

Model df logLik AIC C 1AIC C w i

Little crakeYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)

9 minus14053 3034 000 046

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)+ arablel (minus)

10 minus13991 3053 187 018

Water railYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)

9 minus15259 3277 000 033

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ reedcov (+)

10 minus15159 3288 115 019

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+reedcov (+)

9 minus15318 3289 118 018

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ opwatt (+)

10 minus15201 3297 198 012

Table 4 Model averaged parameter (based onmodels with1AICC lt 2) and relative variable impor-tance (measured considering the sum of the Akaike weights over all models in which that variable ap-pears) of predictors frommulti-scale models of nest survival for water rail and the most parsimoniousmodel for little crake In all models year (2012) was used as the reference category In water rail covari-ates are ranked according to cumulative weights For variable acronyms see Table 1

Variable β SEsum

w i P

Little crakeIntercept 1941 138Year (2013) minus242 154 0124Year (2014) minus022 202 0912Initiation day minus141 066 0040vegdens 416 061 lt0001veght 300 071 lt0001watdept 202 068 0005Water railIntercept 1932 175Year (2013) 151 247 100 0552Year (2014) minus379 217 100 0089Initiation day minus071 115 100 0540emveg minus340 085 100 lt0001vegdens 489 084 100 lt0001veght 193 160 064 0230reedcov 097 140 036 0489

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1122

Figure 1 Graphical representation (solid line predicted values dashed line 95 confidence intervals)of adaptive habitat preferences in relation to nest survival in rallids Little crake selected territories withdenser vegetation (A) and deeper water (B) which increased nest survival Water rail preferred territorieswith denser vegetation that positively affected nest survival rate (C) For habitat suitability dots representnest occurrence (value 1) or absence (value 0 data derived from Jedlikowski et al 2016) For nest survivaleach dot represents a rallid nest nests that survived at least 23 days were successful for little crake neststhat survived at least 27 days were successful for water rail

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1222

DISCUSSIONThe importance of multi-scale approaches in the study of birdbreeding ecologyHabitat selection has been increasingly regarded as a multi-scale process encompassingdifferent spatial scales in a wide range of species (McGarigal et al 2016) Despite theincreasingly clear importance of multi-scale approaches to habitat selection very fewprevious studies have simultaneously evaluated the fitness outcomes of habitat choice atmultiple scales (eg Chalfoun amp Martin 2007 Brambilla et al 2010) This has generallyprevented an adequate assessment of the adaptive habitat preferences for species thatperform their decisions at several spatial scales

Our results provide an evidence for the adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesas demonstrated by the strong positive effect of habitat suitability on nest survivalFurthermore our work provides evidence for a congruent effect of factors acting acrossmultiple spatial scales over both habitat selection and reproductive outcomes In particularthe most important habitat factor driving site selection in both rallids is vegetation densityat the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al 2016) the factor that most affected nest survivalrate in both species (Tables 3 and 4) An effect was found also for water depth at theterritory scale for little crake Therefore the habitat features important in habitat selectionat the territory scale clearly affected nest fate in the studied species In general suchresults strongly point towards an adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferences in bothspecies and further demonstrate the overwhelming importance of the territory scale in thebreeding ecology of little crake and water rail (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) It is possible thatother habitat characteristics that were selected or avoided in this study but did not affectnest survival may have had consequences for other fitness components (eg post-fledgingsurvival adult survival lifetime reproductive success) In fact multiple environmentalfactors across multiple spatial scales may optimize fitness via different habitat selectionstrategies (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007)

Assessing adaptiveness at single spatial scales instead of multiple scales may leadto contrasting evaluations because of missing critical features belonging to other notconsidered scales As an example within our study systems water depth had only a weakeffect at the territory scale on little crake nest survival however according to themulti-scalemodel water depth was important and the preference for deeper sites in the multi-scalehabitat selection process appeared highly adaptive The much greater importance of waterdepth at the multi-scale model than at the single territory scale which can appear rathercounterintuitive at first glance is easily explained by the combined effect displayed bymeanwater depth at the territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale (Fig 2) Nests placedin sites with tall vegetation were mostly successful irrespectively of water depth whereasnests hidden behind short vegetation survived longer only when they were surrounded bydeeper water This finding suggests the importance of evaluating adaptiveness consideringrelevant factors belonging to multiple spatial scales The opposite pattern was found foremergent vegetation at the landscape scale it was positively selected by water rail accordingto the single-scale model (Jedlikowski et al 2016) but had a negative impact on nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1322

Figure 2 Sunflower plot representing little crake nest survival in relation to mean water depth at ter-ritory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale Each sunflower is an individual nest and the numberof lsquopetalsrsquo is the number of days survived by the nest

survival (Tables 3 and 4) This would be regarded as maladaptive habitat choice howeverthemulti-scale model of habitat selection for water rail suggested that the true determinantsof species occurrence are different variables and that emergent vegetation may be just acue for the availability of suitable habitats at finer scales (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This kindof partial evidence for adaptiveness which arises when looking at single spatial scales butdisappears when considered within a multi-scale context suggests additional caution inevaluating the adaptive value of habitat preferences using single scale approaches Theseare likely to overestimate the importance of minor determinants of habitat selection andorreproductive output

The varying impact of different spatial scales on nest predation riskOur results showed that both in little crake and water rail the reduction of nest predationrisk was mostly determined by fine-scale habitat preferences at territory and nest-site scalesThis was consistent with Chalfoun amp Martin (2007) which found that habitat preferencesat smaller spatial scales but not at broader-landscape ones reduced nest predation riskof Brewerrsquos sparrow (Spizella breweri) It seems that habitat selection at the landscapescale could be more relevant for nestling survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) a fitnesscomponent which was not included in our study At the landscape scale birds may focus onselecting areas rich in food which may facilitate feeding of nestlings increasing their mass

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1422

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

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Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

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BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

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Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

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Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

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Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2022

Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

Table 1 Description of habitat characteristics measured around nests of little crake and water railwithin three spatial scales (landscape territory and nest-site) that were found to be important inbreeding site choice (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) and used in the analyses of the nest survival model ofboth rallids in the Masurian Lakeland Poland

Variable Acronym Description

Landscape scaleArable landa arablel Extent of cultivated fields ()Urbanised areaa urbana Extent of artificial surface urban fabric industrial

units and road network ()Emergent vegetationab emveg Extent of water bodies overgrown by emergent

vegetation ()Woody vegetationb woodveg Extent of water bodies overgrown by shrub and

trees ()Water body shapea watshape Perimeter-area ratio index (Helzer amp Jelinski

1999) estimated by dividing total water bodyperimeter by total water body area (mha)

Water body fragmenta-tionab

watfrag Proximity index (PX) (Gustafson amp Parker1994) calculated for n water bodies asPX =

sumni=1(Sizi) where Si was the area of

each water body within a particular buffer (eventhose which partially lie within the radius) and zithe shortest linear distance to an adjacent waterbody (ham)

Territory scaleReed coverab reedcov Extent of Phragmites australis cover ()Sedges coverb sedcov Extent of Carex spp cover ()Willow covera willcov Extent of Salix spp cover ()Open waterb opwatt Extent of open water surface ()Vegetation densityab vegdens Mean vegetation density within territory plot

(five measurements taken every 2 m in each car-dinal direction around nest measurements takenoutside the water bodies were removed from fur-ther analysis) Vegetation density was estimatedas the percentage cover of vegetation within a 05times 05 m quadrant (estimated with 10 precisioneach time by the same investigator)

Water depthab watdept Mean water depth within a territory plot (fivemeasurements taken every 2 m in each cardinaldirection around nest measurements taken out-side the water bodies were removed from furtheranalysis) (cm)

Nest-site scalePlant speciesa plantsp Species of emergent plants at nest siteVegetation stageab vegst Stage of emergent vegetation at nest site (1=

fresh 2= previous years 3=mixed)Vegetation coverb vegcov Percentage cover of emergent vegetation within a

3-m radius plot around nest (estimated with 10precision each time by the same investigator)

(continued on next page)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 622

Table 1 (continued)

Variable Acronym Description

Vegetation heightab veght Mean height of emergent vegetation within nestplot (measurements taken from the water surfacefrom ten random points around nest) (cm)

Water depthab watdepn Mean water depth in a 3-m radius plot aroundnest calculated from ten random measurementswithin the plot (cm)

NotesaVariable importance in single-scale models of habitat selection for little crakebVariables important for water rail

standard nest-survival methods based on generalized linear models (Dinsmore Whiteamp Knopf 2002 Hazler 2004) which do not allow for a proper treatment of spatialautocorrelation Therefore we performed a two-step analysis to assess the relationshipbetween habitat preferences and nest survival using methods suited to deal with spatiallyautocorrelated data Before running models all variables were standardized in orderto compare the relative effects (Schielzeth 2010) and better evaluate multicollinearityproblems (Cade 2015)

For the first step we used generalized least squares (GLS) models This regressiontechnique allows for the incorporation of the spatial structure into the modelrsquos errorand is considered among the best methods to deal with spatially autocorrelated datasets(Dormann et al 2007 Beale et al 2010) We built species-specific GLS models with thenumber of days a nest survived as the dependent variable and year initiation date andhabitat factors as covariates In precocial species such as little crake and water rail it isknown that older nests ie those that have survived more days have higher survival ratesthan younger nests because nests located in more risky sites will be depredated in earlystages (Klett amp Johnson 1982 Dinsmore White amp Knopf 2002) In our analysis we usedonly nests found during the egg laying period which allowed us to correctly estimate thenumber of survived days for each nest from the nest initiation day (the day when the firstegg was laid) to the day when chicks hatched or clutch was depredated For clutches foundafter initiation day we used the backdating method to estimate the first-egg date assumingthat the birds lay one egg per day (Taylor amp Van Perlo 1998) When a nest failed betweentwo consecutive visits we estimated time of failure as the mid-point between visits Finallywe adjusted the number of days a successful nests survived to 23 days for little crake and27 days for water rail All nests which survived to this age were successful but some nestsrequired a few more days for hatching (in little crake 27 nests required one or two daysmore in water rail 10 nests were successful after one or two days more and four nests afterthree to four days more respectively) By this adjustment we avoided giving an excessiveweight within models to successful nests that required extra time to hatch We used aninformation-theoretic approach (Burnham amp Anderson 2002) ranking all possible modelsaccording to the Akaike Information Criterion corrected for small sample sizes (AICC)Given that initiation time and year variation had been reported several times among themain factors affecting nest success in several bird species (eg Mazgajski 2002 Dinsmore

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 722

amp Dinsmore 2007) they were kept as fixed factors in the models In fact it is known thatshifts in predator communities or in the availability of alternative prey for predators as wellas climatic conditions may affect nest success within a breeding season and over differentyears (egMoynahan et al 2007 Shitikov Fedotova amp Gagieva 2012) For each model wechecked the potential occurrence of multi-collinearity among predictors according to therelative values of the VIF (Variance Inflation Factor) All variables tested in the models hadVIF lt 3 thus multi-collinearity was not an issue for the analyses Therefore we rankedmodels according to the relative AICC-values for each species and at each spatial scaleThen we considered the most supported models (1AICC lt 2) and excluded those withuninformative parameters (ie models comprising a more parsimonious model as nestedplus some additional factors Arnold 2010) Finally we carried out model averaging (fullaveraging) among the remaining models or took the most parsimonious model when noothers remained

The above procedure was adopted for all the analyses required by the three objectivesof the study For objective 1 we carried out the analysis at each spatial scale (landscapeterritory nest-site) for each species For objective 2 we used a multi-scale model for eachspecies After species-specific model ranking for each spatial scale we chose for each speciesall the variables comprised in the most parsimonious models (models with 1AICC lt 2)With the resulting sets of variables we worked out multi-scale models for each speciesranking all possible models according to AICC (matching the approach adopted in thehabitat selection study Jedlikowski et al 2016) For objective 3 we used the estimatedhabitat suitability as a predictor (occurrence probability as calculated according to thespecies-specific multi-scale models of habitat selection reported in Table 5 in Jedlikowski etal 2016) to assess whether multi-scale habitat preferences were adaptive or not If habitatpreferences are adaptive the predicted habitat suitability should predict nest survival Inall the final models residuals approached a normal distribution

As the second step after running GLS models we checked for consistency of the effectsof the variables affecting the number of days a nest survived in relation to the final fate ofnests by taking into account nest exposure Therefore we performed a further analysisimplementing a binomial model with a logit link function with the binomial numeratorbeing 0 or 1 (failure or success) and the binomial denominator being number of days anest survived (cf Mayfield logistic regression Hazler 2004) We performed this analysisby means of spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Models via Penalized Quasi-Likelihood(glmmPQL) assuming a binomial error distribution relating variables selected by GLSmodels to nest successfailure glmmPQL allows modelling spatial data with non-normaldistribution and is considered among the best techniques to handle this type of data(Dormann et al 2007)

For GLS and glmmPQL models we adopted a Gaussian spatial correlation structurebut models with different structures (spherical exponential) led to the same or very similarresults All analyses were performed using the software R (R Development Core Team 2013)and the packages lsquoMuMInrsquo lsquomassrsquo and lsquonlmersquo (Venables amp Ripley 2002 Pinheiro Bates ampDebroy 2010 Bartoń 2014)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 822

Finally habitat preferences (objective 3) were considered as adaptive when (i) habitatsuitability as calculated with the multi-scale models for habitat selection significantlypredicted variation in nest survival with a positive effect (we used the logit value for theregression analyses) (ii) variables importantly affecting habitat selection (included in themulti-scale models Table 5 in Jedlikowski et al 2016) showed the same kind of effect onboth habitat preference and nest survival

RESULTSLittle crake chicks hatched in 32 out of 51 monitored nests (63) and water rail chickshatched in 19 out of 50 nests (38) Descriptive statistics of all habitat parametersmeasuredin successful and predated nests of water rail and little crake are shown in SupplementalInformation 1

Factors affecting nest survival based on individual and the multi-scaleapproachAt the landscape scale the most parsimonious GLS model for little crake included onlyfixed factors (year and initiation Table 2) For water rail nest survival was negativelyaffected by the extent of emergent vegetation (β=minus268 SE = 116 p= 0025 Table2) At the territory scale the top-ranked models indicated that vegetation density waspositively associated with nest survival in both species (β= 502 SE = 066 plt 0001 forlittle crake β= 519 SE = 102 plt 0001 for water rail Table 2) At the nest-site scale thenest survival of rallid nests was mostly affected by a positive relationship with vegetationheight (β= 361 SE = 093 plt 0001 for little crake β= 339 SE = 116 p= 0005 forwater rail Table 2)

The multi-scale models (ie the ones including the most relevant factors from differentscales see Tables 3 and 4) showed the positive and prevalent effect of vegetation densitywithin territory scale on nest survival in both species Moreover nest survival was positivelyaffected by water depth within territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale in littlecrake as well as negatively related to emergent vegetation extent at the landscape scale inwater rail A positive effect on nest survival for water rail was found also for vegetationheight and reed cover which were however characterized by lower relative importance

The analysis of nest fate (successpredation) in relation to the number of days a nestsurvived based on glmmPQLmodels showed that variables affecting nest survival (expressedas a number of days) had the same effect (positive or negative) on nest fate expressed as abinomial outcome (see Supplemental Information 2)

Comparing modelsrsquo performance across scalesFor both species AICC values suggested the following hierarchy of models ranked frommost to least supported ones territory nest-site and landscape scales (see Table 2) Thispattern was suggested by the amount of variation explained by models at each single scalethe R2 of territory scale models were equal to 059 for little crake and to 053 for water railwhereas R2 for nest-site scale models was 030 and 038 respectively and for landscapescale models was 007 and 028 respectively Compared to the top-ranked single-scale

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 922

Table 2 Summary of the GLSmodels describing nest survival of little crake and water rail nests at thethree spatial scalesModels are ranked according to Akaikersquos information criterion corrected for smallsample size (AICC) the difference in AICC from the best supported model (1AICC) Akaikersquos weights(wi) andminus2 log-likelihood values (logLik) Only models with 1AICC lt 2 are shown Negative (minus) orpositive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for little crake and waterrail Year and initiation day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms seeTable 1

Model df logLik AICC 1AICC w i

Little crakeLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus) 6 minus16893 3518 000 031Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ arablel (minus) 7 minus16791 3524 066 022Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus14826 3131 000 045Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+) 8 minus14756 3146 144 022Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus16184 3403 000 048Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ watdepn (+) 8 minus16068 3408 049 037Water railLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus) 7 minus17210 3609 000 040Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+)+opwatt (+)

9 minus16130 3451 000 029

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+) 8 minus16287 3452 014 027Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ opwatt (+) 8 minus16350 3465 140 014year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus16496 3466 148 014Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ vegcov (+) 8 minus16843 3564 000 039Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus17043 3575 116 022

models multi-scale models were more parsimonious for both species and explained ahigher amount of variation the R2 of multi-scale models was 070 for little crake and 067for water rail (considering the most parsimonious model for computation)

The adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesHabitat suitability was strongly correlated with nest survival both in little crake (β= 135SE = 027 plt 0001) and in water rail (β= 007 SE = 003 p= 0014) suggesting thatmulti-scale habitat preferences were adaptive in both species

Vegetation density andmean water depth at the territory scale were positively selected bylittle crake during habitat selection and were the main factors affecting nest survival (Figs1A 1B) This suggests a strong adaptive value of habitat choice In water rail vegetationdensity at the territory scale was positively associated with both occurrence and nestsurvival again suggesting adaptiveness of the preference for sites with denser vegetation(Fig 1C)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1022

Table 3 Multi-scale model describing nest survival in little crake and water rail the most parsimonious GLSmodels (1AICC lt 2) for eachspecies are shown Negative (minus) or positive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for both rallids Year and initia-tion day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms see Table 1

Model df logLik AIC C 1AIC C w i

Little crakeYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)

9 minus14053 3034 000 046

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)+ arablel (minus)

10 minus13991 3053 187 018

Water railYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)

9 minus15259 3277 000 033

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ reedcov (+)

10 minus15159 3288 115 019

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+reedcov (+)

9 minus15318 3289 118 018

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ opwatt (+)

10 minus15201 3297 198 012

Table 4 Model averaged parameter (based onmodels with1AICC lt 2) and relative variable impor-tance (measured considering the sum of the Akaike weights over all models in which that variable ap-pears) of predictors frommulti-scale models of nest survival for water rail and the most parsimoniousmodel for little crake In all models year (2012) was used as the reference category In water rail covari-ates are ranked according to cumulative weights For variable acronyms see Table 1

Variable β SEsum

w i P

Little crakeIntercept 1941 138Year (2013) minus242 154 0124Year (2014) minus022 202 0912Initiation day minus141 066 0040vegdens 416 061 lt0001veght 300 071 lt0001watdept 202 068 0005Water railIntercept 1932 175Year (2013) 151 247 100 0552Year (2014) minus379 217 100 0089Initiation day minus071 115 100 0540emveg minus340 085 100 lt0001vegdens 489 084 100 lt0001veght 193 160 064 0230reedcov 097 140 036 0489

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1122

Figure 1 Graphical representation (solid line predicted values dashed line 95 confidence intervals)of adaptive habitat preferences in relation to nest survival in rallids Little crake selected territories withdenser vegetation (A) and deeper water (B) which increased nest survival Water rail preferred territorieswith denser vegetation that positively affected nest survival rate (C) For habitat suitability dots representnest occurrence (value 1) or absence (value 0 data derived from Jedlikowski et al 2016) For nest survivaleach dot represents a rallid nest nests that survived at least 23 days were successful for little crake neststhat survived at least 27 days were successful for water rail

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1222

DISCUSSIONThe importance of multi-scale approaches in the study of birdbreeding ecologyHabitat selection has been increasingly regarded as a multi-scale process encompassingdifferent spatial scales in a wide range of species (McGarigal et al 2016) Despite theincreasingly clear importance of multi-scale approaches to habitat selection very fewprevious studies have simultaneously evaluated the fitness outcomes of habitat choice atmultiple scales (eg Chalfoun amp Martin 2007 Brambilla et al 2010) This has generallyprevented an adequate assessment of the adaptive habitat preferences for species thatperform their decisions at several spatial scales

Our results provide an evidence for the adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesas demonstrated by the strong positive effect of habitat suitability on nest survivalFurthermore our work provides evidence for a congruent effect of factors acting acrossmultiple spatial scales over both habitat selection and reproductive outcomes In particularthe most important habitat factor driving site selection in both rallids is vegetation densityat the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al 2016) the factor that most affected nest survivalrate in both species (Tables 3 and 4) An effect was found also for water depth at theterritory scale for little crake Therefore the habitat features important in habitat selectionat the territory scale clearly affected nest fate in the studied species In general suchresults strongly point towards an adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferences in bothspecies and further demonstrate the overwhelming importance of the territory scale in thebreeding ecology of little crake and water rail (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) It is possible thatother habitat characteristics that were selected or avoided in this study but did not affectnest survival may have had consequences for other fitness components (eg post-fledgingsurvival adult survival lifetime reproductive success) In fact multiple environmentalfactors across multiple spatial scales may optimize fitness via different habitat selectionstrategies (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007)

Assessing adaptiveness at single spatial scales instead of multiple scales may leadto contrasting evaluations because of missing critical features belonging to other notconsidered scales As an example within our study systems water depth had only a weakeffect at the territory scale on little crake nest survival however according to themulti-scalemodel water depth was important and the preference for deeper sites in the multi-scalehabitat selection process appeared highly adaptive The much greater importance of waterdepth at the multi-scale model than at the single territory scale which can appear rathercounterintuitive at first glance is easily explained by the combined effect displayed bymeanwater depth at the territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale (Fig 2) Nests placedin sites with tall vegetation were mostly successful irrespectively of water depth whereasnests hidden behind short vegetation survived longer only when they were surrounded bydeeper water This finding suggests the importance of evaluating adaptiveness consideringrelevant factors belonging to multiple spatial scales The opposite pattern was found foremergent vegetation at the landscape scale it was positively selected by water rail accordingto the single-scale model (Jedlikowski et al 2016) but had a negative impact on nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1322

Figure 2 Sunflower plot representing little crake nest survival in relation to mean water depth at ter-ritory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale Each sunflower is an individual nest and the numberof lsquopetalsrsquo is the number of days survived by the nest

survival (Tables 3 and 4) This would be regarded as maladaptive habitat choice howeverthemulti-scale model of habitat selection for water rail suggested that the true determinantsof species occurrence are different variables and that emergent vegetation may be just acue for the availability of suitable habitats at finer scales (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This kindof partial evidence for adaptiveness which arises when looking at single spatial scales butdisappears when considered within a multi-scale context suggests additional caution inevaluating the adaptive value of habitat preferences using single scale approaches Theseare likely to overestimate the importance of minor determinants of habitat selection andorreproductive output

The varying impact of different spatial scales on nest predation riskOur results showed that both in little crake and water rail the reduction of nest predationrisk was mostly determined by fine-scale habitat preferences at territory and nest-site scalesThis was consistent with Chalfoun amp Martin (2007) which found that habitat preferencesat smaller spatial scales but not at broader-landscape ones reduced nest predation riskof Brewerrsquos sparrow (Spizella breweri) It seems that habitat selection at the landscapescale could be more relevant for nestling survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) a fitnesscomponent which was not included in our study At the landscape scale birds may focus onselecting areas rich in food which may facilitate feeding of nestlings increasing their mass

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1422

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

REFERENCESAlbrecht T Horaacutek D Kreisinger J Weidinger K Klvaňa P Michot TC 2006 Factors

determining pochard nest predation along a wetland gradient Journal of WildlifeManagement 70784ndash791 DOI 1021930022-541X(2006)70[784FDPNPA]20CO2

Arlt D Paumlrt T 2007 Nonideal breeding habitat selection a mismatch between preferenceand fitness Ecology 88792ndash801 DOI 10189006-0574

Arnold TW 2010 Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaikersquosinformation criterion Journal of Wildlife Management 741175ndash1178DOI 101111j1937-28172010tb01236x

Austin JE Buhl DA 2013 Relating yellow rail (Coturnicops noveboracensis) occupancyto habitat and landscape features in the context of fireWaterbirds 36199ndash213DOI 1016750630360209

Barea LP 2012Habitat influences on nest-site selection by the painted honeyeater(Grantiella picta) do food resources matter Emu 11239ndash45 DOI 101071MU10082

Bartoń K 2014 Package lsquoMuMInrsquo R package version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation forStatistical Computing Available at http cranr-projectorgwebpackagesMuMInMuMInpdf

Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1722

Beale CM Lennon JJ Yearsley JM Brewer MJ Elston DA 2010 Regression analysis ofspatial data Ecology Letters 13246ndash264DOI 101111j1461-0248200901422x

Best LB 1977 Territory quality and mating success in the field sparrow (Spizella pusilla)The Condor 79192ndash204 DOI 1023071367162

Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1922

Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2022

Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

Table 1 (continued)

Variable Acronym Description

Vegetation heightab veght Mean height of emergent vegetation within nestplot (measurements taken from the water surfacefrom ten random points around nest) (cm)

Water depthab watdepn Mean water depth in a 3-m radius plot aroundnest calculated from ten random measurementswithin the plot (cm)

NotesaVariable importance in single-scale models of habitat selection for little crakebVariables important for water rail

standard nest-survival methods based on generalized linear models (Dinsmore Whiteamp Knopf 2002 Hazler 2004) which do not allow for a proper treatment of spatialautocorrelation Therefore we performed a two-step analysis to assess the relationshipbetween habitat preferences and nest survival using methods suited to deal with spatiallyautocorrelated data Before running models all variables were standardized in orderto compare the relative effects (Schielzeth 2010) and better evaluate multicollinearityproblems (Cade 2015)

For the first step we used generalized least squares (GLS) models This regressiontechnique allows for the incorporation of the spatial structure into the modelrsquos errorand is considered among the best methods to deal with spatially autocorrelated datasets(Dormann et al 2007 Beale et al 2010) We built species-specific GLS models with thenumber of days a nest survived as the dependent variable and year initiation date andhabitat factors as covariates In precocial species such as little crake and water rail it isknown that older nests ie those that have survived more days have higher survival ratesthan younger nests because nests located in more risky sites will be depredated in earlystages (Klett amp Johnson 1982 Dinsmore White amp Knopf 2002) In our analysis we usedonly nests found during the egg laying period which allowed us to correctly estimate thenumber of survived days for each nest from the nest initiation day (the day when the firstegg was laid) to the day when chicks hatched or clutch was depredated For clutches foundafter initiation day we used the backdating method to estimate the first-egg date assumingthat the birds lay one egg per day (Taylor amp Van Perlo 1998) When a nest failed betweentwo consecutive visits we estimated time of failure as the mid-point between visits Finallywe adjusted the number of days a successful nests survived to 23 days for little crake and27 days for water rail All nests which survived to this age were successful but some nestsrequired a few more days for hatching (in little crake 27 nests required one or two daysmore in water rail 10 nests were successful after one or two days more and four nests afterthree to four days more respectively) By this adjustment we avoided giving an excessiveweight within models to successful nests that required extra time to hatch We used aninformation-theoretic approach (Burnham amp Anderson 2002) ranking all possible modelsaccording to the Akaike Information Criterion corrected for small sample sizes (AICC)Given that initiation time and year variation had been reported several times among themain factors affecting nest success in several bird species (eg Mazgajski 2002 Dinsmore

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 722

amp Dinsmore 2007) they were kept as fixed factors in the models In fact it is known thatshifts in predator communities or in the availability of alternative prey for predators as wellas climatic conditions may affect nest success within a breeding season and over differentyears (egMoynahan et al 2007 Shitikov Fedotova amp Gagieva 2012) For each model wechecked the potential occurrence of multi-collinearity among predictors according to therelative values of the VIF (Variance Inflation Factor) All variables tested in the models hadVIF lt 3 thus multi-collinearity was not an issue for the analyses Therefore we rankedmodels according to the relative AICC-values for each species and at each spatial scaleThen we considered the most supported models (1AICC lt 2) and excluded those withuninformative parameters (ie models comprising a more parsimonious model as nestedplus some additional factors Arnold 2010) Finally we carried out model averaging (fullaveraging) among the remaining models or took the most parsimonious model when noothers remained

The above procedure was adopted for all the analyses required by the three objectivesof the study For objective 1 we carried out the analysis at each spatial scale (landscapeterritory nest-site) for each species For objective 2 we used a multi-scale model for eachspecies After species-specific model ranking for each spatial scale we chose for each speciesall the variables comprised in the most parsimonious models (models with 1AICC lt 2)With the resulting sets of variables we worked out multi-scale models for each speciesranking all possible models according to AICC (matching the approach adopted in thehabitat selection study Jedlikowski et al 2016) For objective 3 we used the estimatedhabitat suitability as a predictor (occurrence probability as calculated according to thespecies-specific multi-scale models of habitat selection reported in Table 5 in Jedlikowski etal 2016) to assess whether multi-scale habitat preferences were adaptive or not If habitatpreferences are adaptive the predicted habitat suitability should predict nest survival Inall the final models residuals approached a normal distribution

As the second step after running GLS models we checked for consistency of the effectsof the variables affecting the number of days a nest survived in relation to the final fate ofnests by taking into account nest exposure Therefore we performed a further analysisimplementing a binomial model with a logit link function with the binomial numeratorbeing 0 or 1 (failure or success) and the binomial denominator being number of days anest survived (cf Mayfield logistic regression Hazler 2004) We performed this analysisby means of spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Models via Penalized Quasi-Likelihood(glmmPQL) assuming a binomial error distribution relating variables selected by GLSmodels to nest successfailure glmmPQL allows modelling spatial data with non-normaldistribution and is considered among the best techniques to handle this type of data(Dormann et al 2007)

For GLS and glmmPQL models we adopted a Gaussian spatial correlation structurebut models with different structures (spherical exponential) led to the same or very similarresults All analyses were performed using the software R (R Development Core Team 2013)and the packages lsquoMuMInrsquo lsquomassrsquo and lsquonlmersquo (Venables amp Ripley 2002 Pinheiro Bates ampDebroy 2010 Bartoń 2014)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 822

Finally habitat preferences (objective 3) were considered as adaptive when (i) habitatsuitability as calculated with the multi-scale models for habitat selection significantlypredicted variation in nest survival with a positive effect (we used the logit value for theregression analyses) (ii) variables importantly affecting habitat selection (included in themulti-scale models Table 5 in Jedlikowski et al 2016) showed the same kind of effect onboth habitat preference and nest survival

RESULTSLittle crake chicks hatched in 32 out of 51 monitored nests (63) and water rail chickshatched in 19 out of 50 nests (38) Descriptive statistics of all habitat parametersmeasuredin successful and predated nests of water rail and little crake are shown in SupplementalInformation 1

Factors affecting nest survival based on individual and the multi-scaleapproachAt the landscape scale the most parsimonious GLS model for little crake included onlyfixed factors (year and initiation Table 2) For water rail nest survival was negativelyaffected by the extent of emergent vegetation (β=minus268 SE = 116 p= 0025 Table2) At the territory scale the top-ranked models indicated that vegetation density waspositively associated with nest survival in both species (β= 502 SE = 066 plt 0001 forlittle crake β= 519 SE = 102 plt 0001 for water rail Table 2) At the nest-site scale thenest survival of rallid nests was mostly affected by a positive relationship with vegetationheight (β= 361 SE = 093 plt 0001 for little crake β= 339 SE = 116 p= 0005 forwater rail Table 2)

The multi-scale models (ie the ones including the most relevant factors from differentscales see Tables 3 and 4) showed the positive and prevalent effect of vegetation densitywithin territory scale on nest survival in both species Moreover nest survival was positivelyaffected by water depth within territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale in littlecrake as well as negatively related to emergent vegetation extent at the landscape scale inwater rail A positive effect on nest survival for water rail was found also for vegetationheight and reed cover which were however characterized by lower relative importance

The analysis of nest fate (successpredation) in relation to the number of days a nestsurvived based on glmmPQLmodels showed that variables affecting nest survival (expressedas a number of days) had the same effect (positive or negative) on nest fate expressed as abinomial outcome (see Supplemental Information 2)

Comparing modelsrsquo performance across scalesFor both species AICC values suggested the following hierarchy of models ranked frommost to least supported ones territory nest-site and landscape scales (see Table 2) Thispattern was suggested by the amount of variation explained by models at each single scalethe R2 of territory scale models were equal to 059 for little crake and to 053 for water railwhereas R2 for nest-site scale models was 030 and 038 respectively and for landscapescale models was 007 and 028 respectively Compared to the top-ranked single-scale

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 922

Table 2 Summary of the GLSmodels describing nest survival of little crake and water rail nests at thethree spatial scalesModels are ranked according to Akaikersquos information criterion corrected for smallsample size (AICC) the difference in AICC from the best supported model (1AICC) Akaikersquos weights(wi) andminus2 log-likelihood values (logLik) Only models with 1AICC lt 2 are shown Negative (minus) orpositive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for little crake and waterrail Year and initiation day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms seeTable 1

Model df logLik AICC 1AICC w i

Little crakeLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus) 6 minus16893 3518 000 031Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ arablel (minus) 7 minus16791 3524 066 022Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus14826 3131 000 045Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+) 8 minus14756 3146 144 022Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus16184 3403 000 048Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ watdepn (+) 8 minus16068 3408 049 037Water railLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus) 7 minus17210 3609 000 040Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+)+opwatt (+)

9 minus16130 3451 000 029

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+) 8 minus16287 3452 014 027Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ opwatt (+) 8 minus16350 3465 140 014year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus16496 3466 148 014Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ vegcov (+) 8 minus16843 3564 000 039Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus17043 3575 116 022

models multi-scale models were more parsimonious for both species and explained ahigher amount of variation the R2 of multi-scale models was 070 for little crake and 067for water rail (considering the most parsimonious model for computation)

The adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesHabitat suitability was strongly correlated with nest survival both in little crake (β= 135SE = 027 plt 0001) and in water rail (β= 007 SE = 003 p= 0014) suggesting thatmulti-scale habitat preferences were adaptive in both species

Vegetation density andmean water depth at the territory scale were positively selected bylittle crake during habitat selection and were the main factors affecting nest survival (Figs1A 1B) This suggests a strong adaptive value of habitat choice In water rail vegetationdensity at the territory scale was positively associated with both occurrence and nestsurvival again suggesting adaptiveness of the preference for sites with denser vegetation(Fig 1C)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1022

Table 3 Multi-scale model describing nest survival in little crake and water rail the most parsimonious GLSmodels (1AICC lt 2) for eachspecies are shown Negative (minus) or positive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for both rallids Year and initia-tion day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms see Table 1

Model df logLik AIC C 1AIC C w i

Little crakeYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)

9 minus14053 3034 000 046

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)+ arablel (minus)

10 minus13991 3053 187 018

Water railYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)

9 minus15259 3277 000 033

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ reedcov (+)

10 minus15159 3288 115 019

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+reedcov (+)

9 minus15318 3289 118 018

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ opwatt (+)

10 minus15201 3297 198 012

Table 4 Model averaged parameter (based onmodels with1AICC lt 2) and relative variable impor-tance (measured considering the sum of the Akaike weights over all models in which that variable ap-pears) of predictors frommulti-scale models of nest survival for water rail and the most parsimoniousmodel for little crake In all models year (2012) was used as the reference category In water rail covari-ates are ranked according to cumulative weights For variable acronyms see Table 1

Variable β SEsum

w i P

Little crakeIntercept 1941 138Year (2013) minus242 154 0124Year (2014) minus022 202 0912Initiation day minus141 066 0040vegdens 416 061 lt0001veght 300 071 lt0001watdept 202 068 0005Water railIntercept 1932 175Year (2013) 151 247 100 0552Year (2014) minus379 217 100 0089Initiation day minus071 115 100 0540emveg minus340 085 100 lt0001vegdens 489 084 100 lt0001veght 193 160 064 0230reedcov 097 140 036 0489

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1122

Figure 1 Graphical representation (solid line predicted values dashed line 95 confidence intervals)of adaptive habitat preferences in relation to nest survival in rallids Little crake selected territories withdenser vegetation (A) and deeper water (B) which increased nest survival Water rail preferred territorieswith denser vegetation that positively affected nest survival rate (C) For habitat suitability dots representnest occurrence (value 1) or absence (value 0 data derived from Jedlikowski et al 2016) For nest survivaleach dot represents a rallid nest nests that survived at least 23 days were successful for little crake neststhat survived at least 27 days were successful for water rail

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1222

DISCUSSIONThe importance of multi-scale approaches in the study of birdbreeding ecologyHabitat selection has been increasingly regarded as a multi-scale process encompassingdifferent spatial scales in a wide range of species (McGarigal et al 2016) Despite theincreasingly clear importance of multi-scale approaches to habitat selection very fewprevious studies have simultaneously evaluated the fitness outcomes of habitat choice atmultiple scales (eg Chalfoun amp Martin 2007 Brambilla et al 2010) This has generallyprevented an adequate assessment of the adaptive habitat preferences for species thatperform their decisions at several spatial scales

Our results provide an evidence for the adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesas demonstrated by the strong positive effect of habitat suitability on nest survivalFurthermore our work provides evidence for a congruent effect of factors acting acrossmultiple spatial scales over both habitat selection and reproductive outcomes In particularthe most important habitat factor driving site selection in both rallids is vegetation densityat the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al 2016) the factor that most affected nest survivalrate in both species (Tables 3 and 4) An effect was found also for water depth at theterritory scale for little crake Therefore the habitat features important in habitat selectionat the territory scale clearly affected nest fate in the studied species In general suchresults strongly point towards an adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferences in bothspecies and further demonstrate the overwhelming importance of the territory scale in thebreeding ecology of little crake and water rail (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) It is possible thatother habitat characteristics that were selected or avoided in this study but did not affectnest survival may have had consequences for other fitness components (eg post-fledgingsurvival adult survival lifetime reproductive success) In fact multiple environmentalfactors across multiple spatial scales may optimize fitness via different habitat selectionstrategies (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007)

Assessing adaptiveness at single spatial scales instead of multiple scales may leadto contrasting evaluations because of missing critical features belonging to other notconsidered scales As an example within our study systems water depth had only a weakeffect at the territory scale on little crake nest survival however according to themulti-scalemodel water depth was important and the preference for deeper sites in the multi-scalehabitat selection process appeared highly adaptive The much greater importance of waterdepth at the multi-scale model than at the single territory scale which can appear rathercounterintuitive at first glance is easily explained by the combined effect displayed bymeanwater depth at the territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale (Fig 2) Nests placedin sites with tall vegetation were mostly successful irrespectively of water depth whereasnests hidden behind short vegetation survived longer only when they were surrounded bydeeper water This finding suggests the importance of evaluating adaptiveness consideringrelevant factors belonging to multiple spatial scales The opposite pattern was found foremergent vegetation at the landscape scale it was positively selected by water rail accordingto the single-scale model (Jedlikowski et al 2016) but had a negative impact on nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1322

Figure 2 Sunflower plot representing little crake nest survival in relation to mean water depth at ter-ritory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale Each sunflower is an individual nest and the numberof lsquopetalsrsquo is the number of days survived by the nest

survival (Tables 3 and 4) This would be regarded as maladaptive habitat choice howeverthemulti-scale model of habitat selection for water rail suggested that the true determinantsof species occurrence are different variables and that emergent vegetation may be just acue for the availability of suitable habitats at finer scales (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This kindof partial evidence for adaptiveness which arises when looking at single spatial scales butdisappears when considered within a multi-scale context suggests additional caution inevaluating the adaptive value of habitat preferences using single scale approaches Theseare likely to overestimate the importance of minor determinants of habitat selection andorreproductive output

The varying impact of different spatial scales on nest predation riskOur results showed that both in little crake and water rail the reduction of nest predationrisk was mostly determined by fine-scale habitat preferences at territory and nest-site scalesThis was consistent with Chalfoun amp Martin (2007) which found that habitat preferencesat smaller spatial scales but not at broader-landscape ones reduced nest predation riskof Brewerrsquos sparrow (Spizella breweri) It seems that habitat selection at the landscapescale could be more relevant for nestling survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) a fitnesscomponent which was not included in our study At the landscape scale birds may focus onselecting areas rich in food which may facilitate feeding of nestlings increasing their mass

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1422

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

REFERENCESAlbrecht T Horaacutek D Kreisinger J Weidinger K Klvaňa P Michot TC 2006 Factors

determining pochard nest predation along a wetland gradient Journal of WildlifeManagement 70784ndash791 DOI 1021930022-541X(2006)70[784FDPNPA]20CO2

Arlt D Paumlrt T 2007 Nonideal breeding habitat selection a mismatch between preferenceand fitness Ecology 88792ndash801 DOI 10189006-0574

Arnold TW 2010 Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaikersquosinformation criterion Journal of Wildlife Management 741175ndash1178DOI 101111j1937-28172010tb01236x

Austin JE Buhl DA 2013 Relating yellow rail (Coturnicops noveboracensis) occupancyto habitat and landscape features in the context of fireWaterbirds 36199ndash213DOI 1016750630360209

Barea LP 2012Habitat influences on nest-site selection by the painted honeyeater(Grantiella picta) do food resources matter Emu 11239ndash45 DOI 101071MU10082

Bartoń K 2014 Package lsquoMuMInrsquo R package version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation forStatistical Computing Available at http cranr-projectorgwebpackagesMuMInMuMInpdf

Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1722

Beale CM Lennon JJ Yearsley JM Brewer MJ Elston DA 2010 Regression analysis ofspatial data Ecology Letters 13246ndash264DOI 101111j1461-0248200901422x

Best LB 1977 Territory quality and mating success in the field sparrow (Spizella pusilla)The Condor 79192ndash204 DOI 1023071367162

Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

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Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

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Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

amp Dinsmore 2007) they were kept as fixed factors in the models In fact it is known thatshifts in predator communities or in the availability of alternative prey for predators as wellas climatic conditions may affect nest success within a breeding season and over differentyears (egMoynahan et al 2007 Shitikov Fedotova amp Gagieva 2012) For each model wechecked the potential occurrence of multi-collinearity among predictors according to therelative values of the VIF (Variance Inflation Factor) All variables tested in the models hadVIF lt 3 thus multi-collinearity was not an issue for the analyses Therefore we rankedmodels according to the relative AICC-values for each species and at each spatial scaleThen we considered the most supported models (1AICC lt 2) and excluded those withuninformative parameters (ie models comprising a more parsimonious model as nestedplus some additional factors Arnold 2010) Finally we carried out model averaging (fullaveraging) among the remaining models or took the most parsimonious model when noothers remained

The above procedure was adopted for all the analyses required by the three objectivesof the study For objective 1 we carried out the analysis at each spatial scale (landscapeterritory nest-site) for each species For objective 2 we used a multi-scale model for eachspecies After species-specific model ranking for each spatial scale we chose for each speciesall the variables comprised in the most parsimonious models (models with 1AICC lt 2)With the resulting sets of variables we worked out multi-scale models for each speciesranking all possible models according to AICC (matching the approach adopted in thehabitat selection study Jedlikowski et al 2016) For objective 3 we used the estimatedhabitat suitability as a predictor (occurrence probability as calculated according to thespecies-specific multi-scale models of habitat selection reported in Table 5 in Jedlikowski etal 2016) to assess whether multi-scale habitat preferences were adaptive or not If habitatpreferences are adaptive the predicted habitat suitability should predict nest survival Inall the final models residuals approached a normal distribution

As the second step after running GLS models we checked for consistency of the effectsof the variables affecting the number of days a nest survived in relation to the final fate ofnests by taking into account nest exposure Therefore we performed a further analysisimplementing a binomial model with a logit link function with the binomial numeratorbeing 0 or 1 (failure or success) and the binomial denominator being number of days anest survived (cf Mayfield logistic regression Hazler 2004) We performed this analysisby means of spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Models via Penalized Quasi-Likelihood(glmmPQL) assuming a binomial error distribution relating variables selected by GLSmodels to nest successfailure glmmPQL allows modelling spatial data with non-normaldistribution and is considered among the best techniques to handle this type of data(Dormann et al 2007)

For GLS and glmmPQL models we adopted a Gaussian spatial correlation structurebut models with different structures (spherical exponential) led to the same or very similarresults All analyses were performed using the software R (R Development Core Team 2013)and the packages lsquoMuMInrsquo lsquomassrsquo and lsquonlmersquo (Venables amp Ripley 2002 Pinheiro Bates ampDebroy 2010 Bartoń 2014)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 822

Finally habitat preferences (objective 3) were considered as adaptive when (i) habitatsuitability as calculated with the multi-scale models for habitat selection significantlypredicted variation in nest survival with a positive effect (we used the logit value for theregression analyses) (ii) variables importantly affecting habitat selection (included in themulti-scale models Table 5 in Jedlikowski et al 2016) showed the same kind of effect onboth habitat preference and nest survival

RESULTSLittle crake chicks hatched in 32 out of 51 monitored nests (63) and water rail chickshatched in 19 out of 50 nests (38) Descriptive statistics of all habitat parametersmeasuredin successful and predated nests of water rail and little crake are shown in SupplementalInformation 1

Factors affecting nest survival based on individual and the multi-scaleapproachAt the landscape scale the most parsimonious GLS model for little crake included onlyfixed factors (year and initiation Table 2) For water rail nest survival was negativelyaffected by the extent of emergent vegetation (β=minus268 SE = 116 p= 0025 Table2) At the territory scale the top-ranked models indicated that vegetation density waspositively associated with nest survival in both species (β= 502 SE = 066 plt 0001 forlittle crake β= 519 SE = 102 plt 0001 for water rail Table 2) At the nest-site scale thenest survival of rallid nests was mostly affected by a positive relationship with vegetationheight (β= 361 SE = 093 plt 0001 for little crake β= 339 SE = 116 p= 0005 forwater rail Table 2)

The multi-scale models (ie the ones including the most relevant factors from differentscales see Tables 3 and 4) showed the positive and prevalent effect of vegetation densitywithin territory scale on nest survival in both species Moreover nest survival was positivelyaffected by water depth within territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale in littlecrake as well as negatively related to emergent vegetation extent at the landscape scale inwater rail A positive effect on nest survival for water rail was found also for vegetationheight and reed cover which were however characterized by lower relative importance

The analysis of nest fate (successpredation) in relation to the number of days a nestsurvived based on glmmPQLmodels showed that variables affecting nest survival (expressedas a number of days) had the same effect (positive or negative) on nest fate expressed as abinomial outcome (see Supplemental Information 2)

Comparing modelsrsquo performance across scalesFor both species AICC values suggested the following hierarchy of models ranked frommost to least supported ones territory nest-site and landscape scales (see Table 2) Thispattern was suggested by the amount of variation explained by models at each single scalethe R2 of territory scale models were equal to 059 for little crake and to 053 for water railwhereas R2 for nest-site scale models was 030 and 038 respectively and for landscapescale models was 007 and 028 respectively Compared to the top-ranked single-scale

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 922

Table 2 Summary of the GLSmodels describing nest survival of little crake and water rail nests at thethree spatial scalesModels are ranked according to Akaikersquos information criterion corrected for smallsample size (AICC) the difference in AICC from the best supported model (1AICC) Akaikersquos weights(wi) andminus2 log-likelihood values (logLik) Only models with 1AICC lt 2 are shown Negative (minus) orpositive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for little crake and waterrail Year and initiation day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms seeTable 1

Model df logLik AICC 1AICC w i

Little crakeLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus) 6 minus16893 3518 000 031Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ arablel (minus) 7 minus16791 3524 066 022Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus14826 3131 000 045Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+) 8 minus14756 3146 144 022Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus16184 3403 000 048Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ watdepn (+) 8 minus16068 3408 049 037Water railLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus) 7 minus17210 3609 000 040Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+)+opwatt (+)

9 minus16130 3451 000 029

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+) 8 minus16287 3452 014 027Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ opwatt (+) 8 minus16350 3465 140 014year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus16496 3466 148 014Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ vegcov (+) 8 minus16843 3564 000 039Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus17043 3575 116 022

models multi-scale models were more parsimonious for both species and explained ahigher amount of variation the R2 of multi-scale models was 070 for little crake and 067for water rail (considering the most parsimonious model for computation)

The adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesHabitat suitability was strongly correlated with nest survival both in little crake (β= 135SE = 027 plt 0001) and in water rail (β= 007 SE = 003 p= 0014) suggesting thatmulti-scale habitat preferences were adaptive in both species

Vegetation density andmean water depth at the territory scale were positively selected bylittle crake during habitat selection and were the main factors affecting nest survival (Figs1A 1B) This suggests a strong adaptive value of habitat choice In water rail vegetationdensity at the territory scale was positively associated with both occurrence and nestsurvival again suggesting adaptiveness of the preference for sites with denser vegetation(Fig 1C)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1022

Table 3 Multi-scale model describing nest survival in little crake and water rail the most parsimonious GLSmodels (1AICC lt 2) for eachspecies are shown Negative (minus) or positive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for both rallids Year and initia-tion day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms see Table 1

Model df logLik AIC C 1AIC C w i

Little crakeYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)

9 minus14053 3034 000 046

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)+ arablel (minus)

10 minus13991 3053 187 018

Water railYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)

9 minus15259 3277 000 033

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ reedcov (+)

10 minus15159 3288 115 019

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+reedcov (+)

9 minus15318 3289 118 018

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ opwatt (+)

10 minus15201 3297 198 012

Table 4 Model averaged parameter (based onmodels with1AICC lt 2) and relative variable impor-tance (measured considering the sum of the Akaike weights over all models in which that variable ap-pears) of predictors frommulti-scale models of nest survival for water rail and the most parsimoniousmodel for little crake In all models year (2012) was used as the reference category In water rail covari-ates are ranked according to cumulative weights For variable acronyms see Table 1

Variable β SEsum

w i P

Little crakeIntercept 1941 138Year (2013) minus242 154 0124Year (2014) minus022 202 0912Initiation day minus141 066 0040vegdens 416 061 lt0001veght 300 071 lt0001watdept 202 068 0005Water railIntercept 1932 175Year (2013) 151 247 100 0552Year (2014) minus379 217 100 0089Initiation day minus071 115 100 0540emveg minus340 085 100 lt0001vegdens 489 084 100 lt0001veght 193 160 064 0230reedcov 097 140 036 0489

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1122

Figure 1 Graphical representation (solid line predicted values dashed line 95 confidence intervals)of adaptive habitat preferences in relation to nest survival in rallids Little crake selected territories withdenser vegetation (A) and deeper water (B) which increased nest survival Water rail preferred territorieswith denser vegetation that positively affected nest survival rate (C) For habitat suitability dots representnest occurrence (value 1) or absence (value 0 data derived from Jedlikowski et al 2016) For nest survivaleach dot represents a rallid nest nests that survived at least 23 days were successful for little crake neststhat survived at least 27 days were successful for water rail

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1222

DISCUSSIONThe importance of multi-scale approaches in the study of birdbreeding ecologyHabitat selection has been increasingly regarded as a multi-scale process encompassingdifferent spatial scales in a wide range of species (McGarigal et al 2016) Despite theincreasingly clear importance of multi-scale approaches to habitat selection very fewprevious studies have simultaneously evaluated the fitness outcomes of habitat choice atmultiple scales (eg Chalfoun amp Martin 2007 Brambilla et al 2010) This has generallyprevented an adequate assessment of the adaptive habitat preferences for species thatperform their decisions at several spatial scales

Our results provide an evidence for the adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesas demonstrated by the strong positive effect of habitat suitability on nest survivalFurthermore our work provides evidence for a congruent effect of factors acting acrossmultiple spatial scales over both habitat selection and reproductive outcomes In particularthe most important habitat factor driving site selection in both rallids is vegetation densityat the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al 2016) the factor that most affected nest survivalrate in both species (Tables 3 and 4) An effect was found also for water depth at theterritory scale for little crake Therefore the habitat features important in habitat selectionat the territory scale clearly affected nest fate in the studied species In general suchresults strongly point towards an adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferences in bothspecies and further demonstrate the overwhelming importance of the territory scale in thebreeding ecology of little crake and water rail (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) It is possible thatother habitat characteristics that were selected or avoided in this study but did not affectnest survival may have had consequences for other fitness components (eg post-fledgingsurvival adult survival lifetime reproductive success) In fact multiple environmentalfactors across multiple spatial scales may optimize fitness via different habitat selectionstrategies (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007)

Assessing adaptiveness at single spatial scales instead of multiple scales may leadto contrasting evaluations because of missing critical features belonging to other notconsidered scales As an example within our study systems water depth had only a weakeffect at the territory scale on little crake nest survival however according to themulti-scalemodel water depth was important and the preference for deeper sites in the multi-scalehabitat selection process appeared highly adaptive The much greater importance of waterdepth at the multi-scale model than at the single territory scale which can appear rathercounterintuitive at first glance is easily explained by the combined effect displayed bymeanwater depth at the territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale (Fig 2) Nests placedin sites with tall vegetation were mostly successful irrespectively of water depth whereasnests hidden behind short vegetation survived longer only when they were surrounded bydeeper water This finding suggests the importance of evaluating adaptiveness consideringrelevant factors belonging to multiple spatial scales The opposite pattern was found foremergent vegetation at the landscape scale it was positively selected by water rail accordingto the single-scale model (Jedlikowski et al 2016) but had a negative impact on nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1322

Figure 2 Sunflower plot representing little crake nest survival in relation to mean water depth at ter-ritory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale Each sunflower is an individual nest and the numberof lsquopetalsrsquo is the number of days survived by the nest

survival (Tables 3 and 4) This would be regarded as maladaptive habitat choice howeverthemulti-scale model of habitat selection for water rail suggested that the true determinantsof species occurrence are different variables and that emergent vegetation may be just acue for the availability of suitable habitats at finer scales (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This kindof partial evidence for adaptiveness which arises when looking at single spatial scales butdisappears when considered within a multi-scale context suggests additional caution inevaluating the adaptive value of habitat preferences using single scale approaches Theseare likely to overestimate the importance of minor determinants of habitat selection andorreproductive output

The varying impact of different spatial scales on nest predation riskOur results showed that both in little crake and water rail the reduction of nest predationrisk was mostly determined by fine-scale habitat preferences at territory and nest-site scalesThis was consistent with Chalfoun amp Martin (2007) which found that habitat preferencesat smaller spatial scales but not at broader-landscape ones reduced nest predation riskof Brewerrsquos sparrow (Spizella breweri) It seems that habitat selection at the landscapescale could be more relevant for nestling survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) a fitnesscomponent which was not included in our study At the landscape scale birds may focus onselecting areas rich in food which may facilitate feeding of nestlings increasing their mass

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1422

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

REFERENCESAlbrecht T Horaacutek D Kreisinger J Weidinger K Klvaňa P Michot TC 2006 Factors

determining pochard nest predation along a wetland gradient Journal of WildlifeManagement 70784ndash791 DOI 1021930022-541X(2006)70[784FDPNPA]20CO2

Arlt D Paumlrt T 2007 Nonideal breeding habitat selection a mismatch between preferenceand fitness Ecology 88792ndash801 DOI 10189006-0574

Arnold TW 2010 Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaikersquosinformation criterion Journal of Wildlife Management 741175ndash1178DOI 101111j1937-28172010tb01236x

Austin JE Buhl DA 2013 Relating yellow rail (Coturnicops noveboracensis) occupancyto habitat and landscape features in the context of fireWaterbirds 36199ndash213DOI 1016750630360209

Barea LP 2012Habitat influences on nest-site selection by the painted honeyeater(Grantiella picta) do food resources matter Emu 11239ndash45 DOI 101071MU10082

Bartoń K 2014 Package lsquoMuMInrsquo R package version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation forStatistical Computing Available at http cranr-projectorgwebpackagesMuMInMuMInpdf

Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1722

Beale CM Lennon JJ Yearsley JM Brewer MJ Elston DA 2010 Regression analysis ofspatial data Ecology Letters 13246ndash264DOI 101111j1461-0248200901422x

Best LB 1977 Territory quality and mating success in the field sparrow (Spizella pusilla)The Condor 79192ndash204 DOI 1023071367162

Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1922

Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

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Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

Finally habitat preferences (objective 3) were considered as adaptive when (i) habitatsuitability as calculated with the multi-scale models for habitat selection significantlypredicted variation in nest survival with a positive effect (we used the logit value for theregression analyses) (ii) variables importantly affecting habitat selection (included in themulti-scale models Table 5 in Jedlikowski et al 2016) showed the same kind of effect onboth habitat preference and nest survival

RESULTSLittle crake chicks hatched in 32 out of 51 monitored nests (63) and water rail chickshatched in 19 out of 50 nests (38) Descriptive statistics of all habitat parametersmeasuredin successful and predated nests of water rail and little crake are shown in SupplementalInformation 1

Factors affecting nest survival based on individual and the multi-scaleapproachAt the landscape scale the most parsimonious GLS model for little crake included onlyfixed factors (year and initiation Table 2) For water rail nest survival was negativelyaffected by the extent of emergent vegetation (β=minus268 SE = 116 p= 0025 Table2) At the territory scale the top-ranked models indicated that vegetation density waspositively associated with nest survival in both species (β= 502 SE = 066 plt 0001 forlittle crake β= 519 SE = 102 plt 0001 for water rail Table 2) At the nest-site scale thenest survival of rallid nests was mostly affected by a positive relationship with vegetationheight (β= 361 SE = 093 plt 0001 for little crake β= 339 SE = 116 p= 0005 forwater rail Table 2)

The multi-scale models (ie the ones including the most relevant factors from differentscales see Tables 3 and 4) showed the positive and prevalent effect of vegetation densitywithin territory scale on nest survival in both species Moreover nest survival was positivelyaffected by water depth within territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale in littlecrake as well as negatively related to emergent vegetation extent at the landscape scale inwater rail A positive effect on nest survival for water rail was found also for vegetationheight and reed cover which were however characterized by lower relative importance

The analysis of nest fate (successpredation) in relation to the number of days a nestsurvived based on glmmPQLmodels showed that variables affecting nest survival (expressedas a number of days) had the same effect (positive or negative) on nest fate expressed as abinomial outcome (see Supplemental Information 2)

Comparing modelsrsquo performance across scalesFor both species AICC values suggested the following hierarchy of models ranked frommost to least supported ones territory nest-site and landscape scales (see Table 2) Thispattern was suggested by the amount of variation explained by models at each single scalethe R2 of territory scale models were equal to 059 for little crake and to 053 for water railwhereas R2 for nest-site scale models was 030 and 038 respectively and for landscapescale models was 007 and 028 respectively Compared to the top-ranked single-scale

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 922

Table 2 Summary of the GLSmodels describing nest survival of little crake and water rail nests at thethree spatial scalesModels are ranked according to Akaikersquos information criterion corrected for smallsample size (AICC) the difference in AICC from the best supported model (1AICC) Akaikersquos weights(wi) andminus2 log-likelihood values (logLik) Only models with 1AICC lt 2 are shown Negative (minus) orpositive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for little crake and waterrail Year and initiation day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms seeTable 1

Model df logLik AICC 1AICC w i

Little crakeLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus) 6 minus16893 3518 000 031Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ arablel (minus) 7 minus16791 3524 066 022Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus14826 3131 000 045Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+) 8 minus14756 3146 144 022Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus16184 3403 000 048Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ watdepn (+) 8 minus16068 3408 049 037Water railLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus) 7 minus17210 3609 000 040Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+)+opwatt (+)

9 minus16130 3451 000 029

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+) 8 minus16287 3452 014 027Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ opwatt (+) 8 minus16350 3465 140 014year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus16496 3466 148 014Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ vegcov (+) 8 minus16843 3564 000 039Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus17043 3575 116 022

models multi-scale models were more parsimonious for both species and explained ahigher amount of variation the R2 of multi-scale models was 070 for little crake and 067for water rail (considering the most parsimonious model for computation)

The adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesHabitat suitability was strongly correlated with nest survival both in little crake (β= 135SE = 027 plt 0001) and in water rail (β= 007 SE = 003 p= 0014) suggesting thatmulti-scale habitat preferences were adaptive in both species

Vegetation density andmean water depth at the territory scale were positively selected bylittle crake during habitat selection and were the main factors affecting nest survival (Figs1A 1B) This suggests a strong adaptive value of habitat choice In water rail vegetationdensity at the territory scale was positively associated with both occurrence and nestsurvival again suggesting adaptiveness of the preference for sites with denser vegetation(Fig 1C)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1022

Table 3 Multi-scale model describing nest survival in little crake and water rail the most parsimonious GLSmodels (1AICC lt 2) for eachspecies are shown Negative (minus) or positive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for both rallids Year and initia-tion day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms see Table 1

Model df logLik AIC C 1AIC C w i

Little crakeYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)

9 minus14053 3034 000 046

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)+ arablel (minus)

10 minus13991 3053 187 018

Water railYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)

9 minus15259 3277 000 033

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ reedcov (+)

10 minus15159 3288 115 019

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+reedcov (+)

9 minus15318 3289 118 018

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ opwatt (+)

10 minus15201 3297 198 012

Table 4 Model averaged parameter (based onmodels with1AICC lt 2) and relative variable impor-tance (measured considering the sum of the Akaike weights over all models in which that variable ap-pears) of predictors frommulti-scale models of nest survival for water rail and the most parsimoniousmodel for little crake In all models year (2012) was used as the reference category In water rail covari-ates are ranked according to cumulative weights For variable acronyms see Table 1

Variable β SEsum

w i P

Little crakeIntercept 1941 138Year (2013) minus242 154 0124Year (2014) minus022 202 0912Initiation day minus141 066 0040vegdens 416 061 lt0001veght 300 071 lt0001watdept 202 068 0005Water railIntercept 1932 175Year (2013) 151 247 100 0552Year (2014) minus379 217 100 0089Initiation day minus071 115 100 0540emveg minus340 085 100 lt0001vegdens 489 084 100 lt0001veght 193 160 064 0230reedcov 097 140 036 0489

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1122

Figure 1 Graphical representation (solid line predicted values dashed line 95 confidence intervals)of adaptive habitat preferences in relation to nest survival in rallids Little crake selected territories withdenser vegetation (A) and deeper water (B) which increased nest survival Water rail preferred territorieswith denser vegetation that positively affected nest survival rate (C) For habitat suitability dots representnest occurrence (value 1) or absence (value 0 data derived from Jedlikowski et al 2016) For nest survivaleach dot represents a rallid nest nests that survived at least 23 days were successful for little crake neststhat survived at least 27 days were successful for water rail

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1222

DISCUSSIONThe importance of multi-scale approaches in the study of birdbreeding ecologyHabitat selection has been increasingly regarded as a multi-scale process encompassingdifferent spatial scales in a wide range of species (McGarigal et al 2016) Despite theincreasingly clear importance of multi-scale approaches to habitat selection very fewprevious studies have simultaneously evaluated the fitness outcomes of habitat choice atmultiple scales (eg Chalfoun amp Martin 2007 Brambilla et al 2010) This has generallyprevented an adequate assessment of the adaptive habitat preferences for species thatperform their decisions at several spatial scales

Our results provide an evidence for the adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesas demonstrated by the strong positive effect of habitat suitability on nest survivalFurthermore our work provides evidence for a congruent effect of factors acting acrossmultiple spatial scales over both habitat selection and reproductive outcomes In particularthe most important habitat factor driving site selection in both rallids is vegetation densityat the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al 2016) the factor that most affected nest survivalrate in both species (Tables 3 and 4) An effect was found also for water depth at theterritory scale for little crake Therefore the habitat features important in habitat selectionat the territory scale clearly affected nest fate in the studied species In general suchresults strongly point towards an adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferences in bothspecies and further demonstrate the overwhelming importance of the territory scale in thebreeding ecology of little crake and water rail (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) It is possible thatother habitat characteristics that were selected or avoided in this study but did not affectnest survival may have had consequences for other fitness components (eg post-fledgingsurvival adult survival lifetime reproductive success) In fact multiple environmentalfactors across multiple spatial scales may optimize fitness via different habitat selectionstrategies (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007)

Assessing adaptiveness at single spatial scales instead of multiple scales may leadto contrasting evaluations because of missing critical features belonging to other notconsidered scales As an example within our study systems water depth had only a weakeffect at the territory scale on little crake nest survival however according to themulti-scalemodel water depth was important and the preference for deeper sites in the multi-scalehabitat selection process appeared highly adaptive The much greater importance of waterdepth at the multi-scale model than at the single territory scale which can appear rathercounterintuitive at first glance is easily explained by the combined effect displayed bymeanwater depth at the territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale (Fig 2) Nests placedin sites with tall vegetation were mostly successful irrespectively of water depth whereasnests hidden behind short vegetation survived longer only when they were surrounded bydeeper water This finding suggests the importance of evaluating adaptiveness consideringrelevant factors belonging to multiple spatial scales The opposite pattern was found foremergent vegetation at the landscape scale it was positively selected by water rail accordingto the single-scale model (Jedlikowski et al 2016) but had a negative impact on nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1322

Figure 2 Sunflower plot representing little crake nest survival in relation to mean water depth at ter-ritory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale Each sunflower is an individual nest and the numberof lsquopetalsrsquo is the number of days survived by the nest

survival (Tables 3 and 4) This would be regarded as maladaptive habitat choice howeverthemulti-scale model of habitat selection for water rail suggested that the true determinantsof species occurrence are different variables and that emergent vegetation may be just acue for the availability of suitable habitats at finer scales (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This kindof partial evidence for adaptiveness which arises when looking at single spatial scales butdisappears when considered within a multi-scale context suggests additional caution inevaluating the adaptive value of habitat preferences using single scale approaches Theseare likely to overestimate the importance of minor determinants of habitat selection andorreproductive output

The varying impact of different spatial scales on nest predation riskOur results showed that both in little crake and water rail the reduction of nest predationrisk was mostly determined by fine-scale habitat preferences at territory and nest-site scalesThis was consistent with Chalfoun amp Martin (2007) which found that habitat preferencesat smaller spatial scales but not at broader-landscape ones reduced nest predation riskof Brewerrsquos sparrow (Spizella breweri) It seems that habitat selection at the landscapescale could be more relevant for nestling survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) a fitnesscomponent which was not included in our study At the landscape scale birds may focus onselecting areas rich in food which may facilitate feeding of nestlings increasing their mass

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1422

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

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determining pochard nest predation along a wetland gradient Journal of WildlifeManagement 70784ndash791 DOI 1021930022-541X(2006)70[784FDPNPA]20CO2

Arlt D Paumlrt T 2007 Nonideal breeding habitat selection a mismatch between preferenceand fitness Ecology 88792ndash801 DOI 10189006-0574

Arnold TW 2010 Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaikersquosinformation criterion Journal of Wildlife Management 741175ndash1178DOI 101111j1937-28172010tb01236x

Austin JE Buhl DA 2013 Relating yellow rail (Coturnicops noveboracensis) occupancyto habitat and landscape features in the context of fireWaterbirds 36199ndash213DOI 1016750630360209

Barea LP 2012Habitat influences on nest-site selection by the painted honeyeater(Grantiella picta) do food resources matter Emu 11239ndash45 DOI 101071MU10082

Bartoń K 2014 Package lsquoMuMInrsquo R package version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation forStatistical Computing Available at http cranr-projectorgwebpackagesMuMInMuMInpdf

Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1722

Beale CM Lennon JJ Yearsley JM Brewer MJ Elston DA 2010 Regression analysis ofspatial data Ecology Letters 13246ndash264DOI 101111j1461-0248200901422x

Best LB 1977 Territory quality and mating success in the field sparrow (Spizella pusilla)The Condor 79192ndash204 DOI 1023071367162

Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

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Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

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Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

Table 2 Summary of the GLSmodels describing nest survival of little crake and water rail nests at thethree spatial scalesModels are ranked according to Akaikersquos information criterion corrected for smallsample size (AICC) the difference in AICC from the best supported model (1AICC) Akaikersquos weights(wi) andminus2 log-likelihood values (logLik) Only models with 1AICC lt 2 are shown Negative (minus) orpositive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for little crake and waterrail Year and initiation day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms seeTable 1

Model df logLik AICC 1AICC w i

Little crakeLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus) 6 minus16893 3518 000 031Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ arablel (minus) 7 minus16791 3524 066 022Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus14826 3131 000 045Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+) 8 minus14756 3146 144 022Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus16184 3403 000 048Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ watdepn (+) 8 minus16068 3408 049 037Water railLandscape scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus) 7 minus17210 3609 000 040Territory scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+)+opwatt (+)

9 minus16130 3451 000 029

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ reedcov (+) 8 minus16287 3452 014 027Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ opwatt (+) 8 minus16350 3465 140 014year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+) 7 minus16496 3466 148 014Nest-site scaleYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+)+ vegcov (+) 8 minus16843 3564 000 039Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ veght (+) 7 minus17043 3575 116 022

models multi-scale models were more parsimonious for both species and explained ahigher amount of variation the R2 of multi-scale models was 070 for little crake and 067for water rail (considering the most parsimonious model for computation)

The adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesHabitat suitability was strongly correlated with nest survival both in little crake (β= 135SE = 027 plt 0001) and in water rail (β= 007 SE = 003 p= 0014) suggesting thatmulti-scale habitat preferences were adaptive in both species

Vegetation density andmean water depth at the territory scale were positively selected bylittle crake during habitat selection and were the main factors affecting nest survival (Figs1A 1B) This suggests a strong adaptive value of habitat choice In water rail vegetationdensity at the territory scale was positively associated with both occurrence and nestsurvival again suggesting adaptiveness of the preference for sites with denser vegetation(Fig 1C)

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1022

Table 3 Multi-scale model describing nest survival in little crake and water rail the most parsimonious GLSmodels (1AICC lt 2) for eachspecies are shown Negative (minus) or positive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for both rallids Year and initia-tion day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms see Table 1

Model df logLik AIC C 1AIC C w i

Little crakeYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)

9 minus14053 3034 000 046

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)+ arablel (minus)

10 minus13991 3053 187 018

Water railYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)

9 minus15259 3277 000 033

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ reedcov (+)

10 minus15159 3288 115 019

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+reedcov (+)

9 minus15318 3289 118 018

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ opwatt (+)

10 minus15201 3297 198 012

Table 4 Model averaged parameter (based onmodels with1AICC lt 2) and relative variable impor-tance (measured considering the sum of the Akaike weights over all models in which that variable ap-pears) of predictors frommulti-scale models of nest survival for water rail and the most parsimoniousmodel for little crake In all models year (2012) was used as the reference category In water rail covari-ates are ranked according to cumulative weights For variable acronyms see Table 1

Variable β SEsum

w i P

Little crakeIntercept 1941 138Year (2013) minus242 154 0124Year (2014) minus022 202 0912Initiation day minus141 066 0040vegdens 416 061 lt0001veght 300 071 lt0001watdept 202 068 0005Water railIntercept 1932 175Year (2013) 151 247 100 0552Year (2014) minus379 217 100 0089Initiation day minus071 115 100 0540emveg minus340 085 100 lt0001vegdens 489 084 100 lt0001veght 193 160 064 0230reedcov 097 140 036 0489

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1122

Figure 1 Graphical representation (solid line predicted values dashed line 95 confidence intervals)of adaptive habitat preferences in relation to nest survival in rallids Little crake selected territories withdenser vegetation (A) and deeper water (B) which increased nest survival Water rail preferred territorieswith denser vegetation that positively affected nest survival rate (C) For habitat suitability dots representnest occurrence (value 1) or absence (value 0 data derived from Jedlikowski et al 2016) For nest survivaleach dot represents a rallid nest nests that survived at least 23 days were successful for little crake neststhat survived at least 27 days were successful for water rail

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1222

DISCUSSIONThe importance of multi-scale approaches in the study of birdbreeding ecologyHabitat selection has been increasingly regarded as a multi-scale process encompassingdifferent spatial scales in a wide range of species (McGarigal et al 2016) Despite theincreasingly clear importance of multi-scale approaches to habitat selection very fewprevious studies have simultaneously evaluated the fitness outcomes of habitat choice atmultiple scales (eg Chalfoun amp Martin 2007 Brambilla et al 2010) This has generallyprevented an adequate assessment of the adaptive habitat preferences for species thatperform their decisions at several spatial scales

Our results provide an evidence for the adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesas demonstrated by the strong positive effect of habitat suitability on nest survivalFurthermore our work provides evidence for a congruent effect of factors acting acrossmultiple spatial scales over both habitat selection and reproductive outcomes In particularthe most important habitat factor driving site selection in both rallids is vegetation densityat the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al 2016) the factor that most affected nest survivalrate in both species (Tables 3 and 4) An effect was found also for water depth at theterritory scale for little crake Therefore the habitat features important in habitat selectionat the territory scale clearly affected nest fate in the studied species In general suchresults strongly point towards an adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferences in bothspecies and further demonstrate the overwhelming importance of the territory scale in thebreeding ecology of little crake and water rail (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) It is possible thatother habitat characteristics that were selected or avoided in this study but did not affectnest survival may have had consequences for other fitness components (eg post-fledgingsurvival adult survival lifetime reproductive success) In fact multiple environmentalfactors across multiple spatial scales may optimize fitness via different habitat selectionstrategies (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007)

Assessing adaptiveness at single spatial scales instead of multiple scales may leadto contrasting evaluations because of missing critical features belonging to other notconsidered scales As an example within our study systems water depth had only a weakeffect at the territory scale on little crake nest survival however according to themulti-scalemodel water depth was important and the preference for deeper sites in the multi-scalehabitat selection process appeared highly adaptive The much greater importance of waterdepth at the multi-scale model than at the single territory scale which can appear rathercounterintuitive at first glance is easily explained by the combined effect displayed bymeanwater depth at the territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale (Fig 2) Nests placedin sites with tall vegetation were mostly successful irrespectively of water depth whereasnests hidden behind short vegetation survived longer only when they were surrounded bydeeper water This finding suggests the importance of evaluating adaptiveness consideringrelevant factors belonging to multiple spatial scales The opposite pattern was found foremergent vegetation at the landscape scale it was positively selected by water rail accordingto the single-scale model (Jedlikowski et al 2016) but had a negative impact on nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1322

Figure 2 Sunflower plot representing little crake nest survival in relation to mean water depth at ter-ritory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale Each sunflower is an individual nest and the numberof lsquopetalsrsquo is the number of days survived by the nest

survival (Tables 3 and 4) This would be regarded as maladaptive habitat choice howeverthemulti-scale model of habitat selection for water rail suggested that the true determinantsof species occurrence are different variables and that emergent vegetation may be just acue for the availability of suitable habitats at finer scales (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This kindof partial evidence for adaptiveness which arises when looking at single spatial scales butdisappears when considered within a multi-scale context suggests additional caution inevaluating the adaptive value of habitat preferences using single scale approaches Theseare likely to overestimate the importance of minor determinants of habitat selection andorreproductive output

The varying impact of different spatial scales on nest predation riskOur results showed that both in little crake and water rail the reduction of nest predationrisk was mostly determined by fine-scale habitat preferences at territory and nest-site scalesThis was consistent with Chalfoun amp Martin (2007) which found that habitat preferencesat smaller spatial scales but not at broader-landscape ones reduced nest predation riskof Brewerrsquos sparrow (Spizella breweri) It seems that habitat selection at the landscapescale could be more relevant for nestling survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) a fitnesscomponent which was not included in our study At the landscape scale birds may focus onselecting areas rich in food which may facilitate feeding of nestlings increasing their mass

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1422

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

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determining pochard nest predation along a wetland gradient Journal of WildlifeManagement 70784ndash791 DOI 1021930022-541X(2006)70[784FDPNPA]20CO2

Arlt D Paumlrt T 2007 Nonideal breeding habitat selection a mismatch between preferenceand fitness Ecology 88792ndash801 DOI 10189006-0574

Arnold TW 2010 Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaikersquosinformation criterion Journal of Wildlife Management 741175ndash1178DOI 101111j1937-28172010tb01236x

Austin JE Buhl DA 2013 Relating yellow rail (Coturnicops noveboracensis) occupancyto habitat and landscape features in the context of fireWaterbirds 36199ndash213DOI 1016750630360209

Barea LP 2012Habitat influences on nest-site selection by the painted honeyeater(Grantiella picta) do food resources matter Emu 11239ndash45 DOI 101071MU10082

Bartoń K 2014 Package lsquoMuMInrsquo R package version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation forStatistical Computing Available at http cranr-projectorgwebpackagesMuMInMuMInpdf

Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

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Beale CM Lennon JJ Yearsley JM Brewer MJ Elston DA 2010 Regression analysis ofspatial data Ecology Letters 13246ndash264DOI 101111j1461-0248200901422x

Best LB 1977 Territory quality and mating success in the field sparrow (Spizella pusilla)The Condor 79192ndash204 DOI 1023071367162

Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

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Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

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Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

Table 3 Multi-scale model describing nest survival in little crake and water rail the most parsimonious GLSmodels (1AICC lt 2) for eachspecies are shown Negative (minus) or positive (+) relationships were shown between variables and nest survival rate for both rallids Year and initia-tion day (lsquointtrsquo) were treated as fixed variables For the rest of variable acronyms see Table 1

Model df logLik AIC C 1AIC C w i

Little crakeYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)

9 minus14053 3034 000 046

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ watdept (+)+veght (+)+ arablel (minus)

10 minus13991 3053 187 018

Water railYear (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)

9 minus15259 3277 000 033

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ reedcov (+)

10 minus15159 3288 115 019

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+reedcov (+)

9 minus15318 3289 118 018

Year (minus)+ intt (minus)+ emveg (minus)+ vegdens (+)+ veght(+)+ opwatt (+)

10 minus15201 3297 198 012

Table 4 Model averaged parameter (based onmodels with1AICC lt 2) and relative variable impor-tance (measured considering the sum of the Akaike weights over all models in which that variable ap-pears) of predictors frommulti-scale models of nest survival for water rail and the most parsimoniousmodel for little crake In all models year (2012) was used as the reference category In water rail covari-ates are ranked according to cumulative weights For variable acronyms see Table 1

Variable β SEsum

w i P

Little crakeIntercept 1941 138Year (2013) minus242 154 0124Year (2014) minus022 202 0912Initiation day minus141 066 0040vegdens 416 061 lt0001veght 300 071 lt0001watdept 202 068 0005Water railIntercept 1932 175Year (2013) 151 247 100 0552Year (2014) minus379 217 100 0089Initiation day minus071 115 100 0540emveg minus340 085 100 lt0001vegdens 489 084 100 lt0001veght 193 160 064 0230reedcov 097 140 036 0489

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1122

Figure 1 Graphical representation (solid line predicted values dashed line 95 confidence intervals)of adaptive habitat preferences in relation to nest survival in rallids Little crake selected territories withdenser vegetation (A) and deeper water (B) which increased nest survival Water rail preferred territorieswith denser vegetation that positively affected nest survival rate (C) For habitat suitability dots representnest occurrence (value 1) or absence (value 0 data derived from Jedlikowski et al 2016) For nest survivaleach dot represents a rallid nest nests that survived at least 23 days were successful for little crake neststhat survived at least 27 days were successful for water rail

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1222

DISCUSSIONThe importance of multi-scale approaches in the study of birdbreeding ecologyHabitat selection has been increasingly regarded as a multi-scale process encompassingdifferent spatial scales in a wide range of species (McGarigal et al 2016) Despite theincreasingly clear importance of multi-scale approaches to habitat selection very fewprevious studies have simultaneously evaluated the fitness outcomes of habitat choice atmultiple scales (eg Chalfoun amp Martin 2007 Brambilla et al 2010) This has generallyprevented an adequate assessment of the adaptive habitat preferences for species thatperform their decisions at several spatial scales

Our results provide an evidence for the adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesas demonstrated by the strong positive effect of habitat suitability on nest survivalFurthermore our work provides evidence for a congruent effect of factors acting acrossmultiple spatial scales over both habitat selection and reproductive outcomes In particularthe most important habitat factor driving site selection in both rallids is vegetation densityat the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al 2016) the factor that most affected nest survivalrate in both species (Tables 3 and 4) An effect was found also for water depth at theterritory scale for little crake Therefore the habitat features important in habitat selectionat the territory scale clearly affected nest fate in the studied species In general suchresults strongly point towards an adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferences in bothspecies and further demonstrate the overwhelming importance of the territory scale in thebreeding ecology of little crake and water rail (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) It is possible thatother habitat characteristics that were selected or avoided in this study but did not affectnest survival may have had consequences for other fitness components (eg post-fledgingsurvival adult survival lifetime reproductive success) In fact multiple environmentalfactors across multiple spatial scales may optimize fitness via different habitat selectionstrategies (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007)

Assessing adaptiveness at single spatial scales instead of multiple scales may leadto contrasting evaluations because of missing critical features belonging to other notconsidered scales As an example within our study systems water depth had only a weakeffect at the territory scale on little crake nest survival however according to themulti-scalemodel water depth was important and the preference for deeper sites in the multi-scalehabitat selection process appeared highly adaptive The much greater importance of waterdepth at the multi-scale model than at the single territory scale which can appear rathercounterintuitive at first glance is easily explained by the combined effect displayed bymeanwater depth at the territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale (Fig 2) Nests placedin sites with tall vegetation were mostly successful irrespectively of water depth whereasnests hidden behind short vegetation survived longer only when they were surrounded bydeeper water This finding suggests the importance of evaluating adaptiveness consideringrelevant factors belonging to multiple spatial scales The opposite pattern was found foremergent vegetation at the landscape scale it was positively selected by water rail accordingto the single-scale model (Jedlikowski et al 2016) but had a negative impact on nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1322

Figure 2 Sunflower plot representing little crake nest survival in relation to mean water depth at ter-ritory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale Each sunflower is an individual nest and the numberof lsquopetalsrsquo is the number of days survived by the nest

survival (Tables 3 and 4) This would be regarded as maladaptive habitat choice howeverthemulti-scale model of habitat selection for water rail suggested that the true determinantsof species occurrence are different variables and that emergent vegetation may be just acue for the availability of suitable habitats at finer scales (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This kindof partial evidence for adaptiveness which arises when looking at single spatial scales butdisappears when considered within a multi-scale context suggests additional caution inevaluating the adaptive value of habitat preferences using single scale approaches Theseare likely to overestimate the importance of minor determinants of habitat selection andorreproductive output

The varying impact of different spatial scales on nest predation riskOur results showed that both in little crake and water rail the reduction of nest predationrisk was mostly determined by fine-scale habitat preferences at territory and nest-site scalesThis was consistent with Chalfoun amp Martin (2007) which found that habitat preferencesat smaller spatial scales but not at broader-landscape ones reduced nest predation riskof Brewerrsquos sparrow (Spizella breweri) It seems that habitat selection at the landscapescale could be more relevant for nestling survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) a fitnesscomponent which was not included in our study At the landscape scale birds may focus onselecting areas rich in food which may facilitate feeding of nestlings increasing their mass

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1422

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

REFERENCESAlbrecht T Horaacutek D Kreisinger J Weidinger K Klvaňa P Michot TC 2006 Factors

determining pochard nest predation along a wetland gradient Journal of WildlifeManagement 70784ndash791 DOI 1021930022-541X(2006)70[784FDPNPA]20CO2

Arlt D Paumlrt T 2007 Nonideal breeding habitat selection a mismatch between preferenceand fitness Ecology 88792ndash801 DOI 10189006-0574

Arnold TW 2010 Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaikersquosinformation criterion Journal of Wildlife Management 741175ndash1178DOI 101111j1937-28172010tb01236x

Austin JE Buhl DA 2013 Relating yellow rail (Coturnicops noveboracensis) occupancyto habitat and landscape features in the context of fireWaterbirds 36199ndash213DOI 1016750630360209

Barea LP 2012Habitat influences on nest-site selection by the painted honeyeater(Grantiella picta) do food resources matter Emu 11239ndash45 DOI 101071MU10082

Bartoń K 2014 Package lsquoMuMInrsquo R package version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation forStatistical Computing Available at http cranr-projectorgwebpackagesMuMInMuMInpdf

Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1722

Beale CM Lennon JJ Yearsley JM Brewer MJ Elston DA 2010 Regression analysis ofspatial data Ecology Letters 13246ndash264DOI 101111j1461-0248200901422x

Best LB 1977 Territory quality and mating success in the field sparrow (Spizella pusilla)The Condor 79192ndash204 DOI 1023071367162

Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1922

Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2022

Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

Figure 1 Graphical representation (solid line predicted values dashed line 95 confidence intervals)of adaptive habitat preferences in relation to nest survival in rallids Little crake selected territories withdenser vegetation (A) and deeper water (B) which increased nest survival Water rail preferred territorieswith denser vegetation that positively affected nest survival rate (C) For habitat suitability dots representnest occurrence (value 1) or absence (value 0 data derived from Jedlikowski et al 2016) For nest survivaleach dot represents a rallid nest nests that survived at least 23 days were successful for little crake neststhat survived at least 27 days were successful for water rail

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1222

DISCUSSIONThe importance of multi-scale approaches in the study of birdbreeding ecologyHabitat selection has been increasingly regarded as a multi-scale process encompassingdifferent spatial scales in a wide range of species (McGarigal et al 2016) Despite theincreasingly clear importance of multi-scale approaches to habitat selection very fewprevious studies have simultaneously evaluated the fitness outcomes of habitat choice atmultiple scales (eg Chalfoun amp Martin 2007 Brambilla et al 2010) This has generallyprevented an adequate assessment of the adaptive habitat preferences for species thatperform their decisions at several spatial scales

Our results provide an evidence for the adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesas demonstrated by the strong positive effect of habitat suitability on nest survivalFurthermore our work provides evidence for a congruent effect of factors acting acrossmultiple spatial scales over both habitat selection and reproductive outcomes In particularthe most important habitat factor driving site selection in both rallids is vegetation densityat the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al 2016) the factor that most affected nest survivalrate in both species (Tables 3 and 4) An effect was found also for water depth at theterritory scale for little crake Therefore the habitat features important in habitat selectionat the territory scale clearly affected nest fate in the studied species In general suchresults strongly point towards an adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferences in bothspecies and further demonstrate the overwhelming importance of the territory scale in thebreeding ecology of little crake and water rail (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) It is possible thatother habitat characteristics that were selected or avoided in this study but did not affectnest survival may have had consequences for other fitness components (eg post-fledgingsurvival adult survival lifetime reproductive success) In fact multiple environmentalfactors across multiple spatial scales may optimize fitness via different habitat selectionstrategies (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007)

Assessing adaptiveness at single spatial scales instead of multiple scales may leadto contrasting evaluations because of missing critical features belonging to other notconsidered scales As an example within our study systems water depth had only a weakeffect at the territory scale on little crake nest survival however according to themulti-scalemodel water depth was important and the preference for deeper sites in the multi-scalehabitat selection process appeared highly adaptive The much greater importance of waterdepth at the multi-scale model than at the single territory scale which can appear rathercounterintuitive at first glance is easily explained by the combined effect displayed bymeanwater depth at the territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale (Fig 2) Nests placedin sites with tall vegetation were mostly successful irrespectively of water depth whereasnests hidden behind short vegetation survived longer only when they were surrounded bydeeper water This finding suggests the importance of evaluating adaptiveness consideringrelevant factors belonging to multiple spatial scales The opposite pattern was found foremergent vegetation at the landscape scale it was positively selected by water rail accordingto the single-scale model (Jedlikowski et al 2016) but had a negative impact on nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1322

Figure 2 Sunflower plot representing little crake nest survival in relation to mean water depth at ter-ritory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale Each sunflower is an individual nest and the numberof lsquopetalsrsquo is the number of days survived by the nest

survival (Tables 3 and 4) This would be regarded as maladaptive habitat choice howeverthemulti-scale model of habitat selection for water rail suggested that the true determinantsof species occurrence are different variables and that emergent vegetation may be just acue for the availability of suitable habitats at finer scales (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This kindof partial evidence for adaptiveness which arises when looking at single spatial scales butdisappears when considered within a multi-scale context suggests additional caution inevaluating the adaptive value of habitat preferences using single scale approaches Theseare likely to overestimate the importance of minor determinants of habitat selection andorreproductive output

The varying impact of different spatial scales on nest predation riskOur results showed that both in little crake and water rail the reduction of nest predationrisk was mostly determined by fine-scale habitat preferences at territory and nest-site scalesThis was consistent with Chalfoun amp Martin (2007) which found that habitat preferencesat smaller spatial scales but not at broader-landscape ones reduced nest predation riskof Brewerrsquos sparrow (Spizella breweri) It seems that habitat selection at the landscapescale could be more relevant for nestling survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) a fitnesscomponent which was not included in our study At the landscape scale birds may focus onselecting areas rich in food which may facilitate feeding of nestlings increasing their mass

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1422

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

REFERENCESAlbrecht T Horaacutek D Kreisinger J Weidinger K Klvaňa P Michot TC 2006 Factors

determining pochard nest predation along a wetland gradient Journal of WildlifeManagement 70784ndash791 DOI 1021930022-541X(2006)70[784FDPNPA]20CO2

Arlt D Paumlrt T 2007 Nonideal breeding habitat selection a mismatch between preferenceand fitness Ecology 88792ndash801 DOI 10189006-0574

Arnold TW 2010 Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaikersquosinformation criterion Journal of Wildlife Management 741175ndash1178DOI 101111j1937-28172010tb01236x

Austin JE Buhl DA 2013 Relating yellow rail (Coturnicops noveboracensis) occupancyto habitat and landscape features in the context of fireWaterbirds 36199ndash213DOI 1016750630360209

Barea LP 2012Habitat influences on nest-site selection by the painted honeyeater(Grantiella picta) do food resources matter Emu 11239ndash45 DOI 101071MU10082

Bartoń K 2014 Package lsquoMuMInrsquo R package version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation forStatistical Computing Available at http cranr-projectorgwebpackagesMuMInMuMInpdf

Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1722

Beale CM Lennon JJ Yearsley JM Brewer MJ Elston DA 2010 Regression analysis ofspatial data Ecology Letters 13246ndash264DOI 101111j1461-0248200901422x

Best LB 1977 Territory quality and mating success in the field sparrow (Spizella pusilla)The Condor 79192ndash204 DOI 1023071367162

Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1922

Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2022

Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

DISCUSSIONThe importance of multi-scale approaches in the study of birdbreeding ecologyHabitat selection has been increasingly regarded as a multi-scale process encompassingdifferent spatial scales in a wide range of species (McGarigal et al 2016) Despite theincreasingly clear importance of multi-scale approaches to habitat selection very fewprevious studies have simultaneously evaluated the fitness outcomes of habitat choice atmultiple scales (eg Chalfoun amp Martin 2007 Brambilla et al 2010) This has generallyprevented an adequate assessment of the adaptive habitat preferences for species thatperform their decisions at several spatial scales

Our results provide an evidence for the adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferencesas demonstrated by the strong positive effect of habitat suitability on nest survivalFurthermore our work provides evidence for a congruent effect of factors acting acrossmultiple spatial scales over both habitat selection and reproductive outcomes In particularthe most important habitat factor driving site selection in both rallids is vegetation densityat the territory scale (Jedlikowski et al 2016) the factor that most affected nest survivalrate in both species (Tables 3 and 4) An effect was found also for water depth at theterritory scale for little crake Therefore the habitat features important in habitat selectionat the territory scale clearly affected nest fate in the studied species In general suchresults strongly point towards an adaptive value of multi-scale habitat preferences in bothspecies and further demonstrate the overwhelming importance of the territory scale in thebreeding ecology of little crake and water rail (cf Jedlikowski et al 2016) It is possible thatother habitat characteristics that were selected or avoided in this study but did not affectnest survival may have had consequences for other fitness components (eg post-fledgingsurvival adult survival lifetime reproductive success) In fact multiple environmentalfactors across multiple spatial scales may optimize fitness via different habitat selectionstrategies (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007)

Assessing adaptiveness at single spatial scales instead of multiple scales may leadto contrasting evaluations because of missing critical features belonging to other notconsidered scales As an example within our study systems water depth had only a weakeffect at the territory scale on little crake nest survival however according to themulti-scalemodel water depth was important and the preference for deeper sites in the multi-scalehabitat selection process appeared highly adaptive The much greater importance of waterdepth at the multi-scale model than at the single territory scale which can appear rathercounterintuitive at first glance is easily explained by the combined effect displayed bymeanwater depth at the territory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale (Fig 2) Nests placedin sites with tall vegetation were mostly successful irrespectively of water depth whereasnests hidden behind short vegetation survived longer only when they were surrounded bydeeper water This finding suggests the importance of evaluating adaptiveness consideringrelevant factors belonging to multiple spatial scales The opposite pattern was found foremergent vegetation at the landscape scale it was positively selected by water rail accordingto the single-scale model (Jedlikowski et al 2016) but had a negative impact on nest

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1322

Figure 2 Sunflower plot representing little crake nest survival in relation to mean water depth at ter-ritory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale Each sunflower is an individual nest and the numberof lsquopetalsrsquo is the number of days survived by the nest

survival (Tables 3 and 4) This would be regarded as maladaptive habitat choice howeverthemulti-scale model of habitat selection for water rail suggested that the true determinantsof species occurrence are different variables and that emergent vegetation may be just acue for the availability of suitable habitats at finer scales (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This kindof partial evidence for adaptiveness which arises when looking at single spatial scales butdisappears when considered within a multi-scale context suggests additional caution inevaluating the adaptive value of habitat preferences using single scale approaches Theseare likely to overestimate the importance of minor determinants of habitat selection andorreproductive output

The varying impact of different spatial scales on nest predation riskOur results showed that both in little crake and water rail the reduction of nest predationrisk was mostly determined by fine-scale habitat preferences at territory and nest-site scalesThis was consistent with Chalfoun amp Martin (2007) which found that habitat preferencesat smaller spatial scales but not at broader-landscape ones reduced nest predation riskof Brewerrsquos sparrow (Spizella breweri) It seems that habitat selection at the landscapescale could be more relevant for nestling survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) a fitnesscomponent which was not included in our study At the landscape scale birds may focus onselecting areas rich in food which may facilitate feeding of nestlings increasing their mass

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1422

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

REFERENCESAlbrecht T Horaacutek D Kreisinger J Weidinger K Klvaňa P Michot TC 2006 Factors

determining pochard nest predation along a wetland gradient Journal of WildlifeManagement 70784ndash791 DOI 1021930022-541X(2006)70[784FDPNPA]20CO2

Arlt D Paumlrt T 2007 Nonideal breeding habitat selection a mismatch between preferenceand fitness Ecology 88792ndash801 DOI 10189006-0574

Arnold TW 2010 Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaikersquosinformation criterion Journal of Wildlife Management 741175ndash1178DOI 101111j1937-28172010tb01236x

Austin JE Buhl DA 2013 Relating yellow rail (Coturnicops noveboracensis) occupancyto habitat and landscape features in the context of fireWaterbirds 36199ndash213DOI 1016750630360209

Barea LP 2012Habitat influences on nest-site selection by the painted honeyeater(Grantiella picta) do food resources matter Emu 11239ndash45 DOI 101071MU10082

Bartoń K 2014 Package lsquoMuMInrsquo R package version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation forStatistical Computing Available at http cranr-projectorgwebpackagesMuMInMuMInpdf

Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1722

Beale CM Lennon JJ Yearsley JM Brewer MJ Elston DA 2010 Regression analysis ofspatial data Ecology Letters 13246ndash264DOI 101111j1461-0248200901422x

Best LB 1977 Territory quality and mating success in the field sparrow (Spizella pusilla)The Condor 79192ndash204 DOI 1023071367162

Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1922

Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2022

Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

Figure 2 Sunflower plot representing little crake nest survival in relation to mean water depth at ter-ritory scale and vegetation height at nest-site scale Each sunflower is an individual nest and the numberof lsquopetalsrsquo is the number of days survived by the nest

survival (Tables 3 and 4) This would be regarded as maladaptive habitat choice howeverthemulti-scale model of habitat selection for water rail suggested that the true determinantsof species occurrence are different variables and that emergent vegetation may be just acue for the availability of suitable habitats at finer scales (Jedlikowski et al 2016) This kindof partial evidence for adaptiveness which arises when looking at single spatial scales butdisappears when considered within a multi-scale context suggests additional caution inevaluating the adaptive value of habitat preferences using single scale approaches Theseare likely to overestimate the importance of minor determinants of habitat selection andorreproductive output

The varying impact of different spatial scales on nest predation riskOur results showed that both in little crake and water rail the reduction of nest predationrisk was mostly determined by fine-scale habitat preferences at territory and nest-site scalesThis was consistent with Chalfoun amp Martin (2007) which found that habitat preferencesat smaller spatial scales but not at broader-landscape ones reduced nest predation riskof Brewerrsquos sparrow (Spizella breweri) It seems that habitat selection at the landscapescale could be more relevant for nestling survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) a fitnesscomponent which was not included in our study At the landscape scale birds may focus onselecting areas rich in food which may facilitate feeding of nestlings increasing their mass

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1422

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

REFERENCESAlbrecht T Horaacutek D Kreisinger J Weidinger K Klvaňa P Michot TC 2006 Factors

determining pochard nest predation along a wetland gradient Journal of WildlifeManagement 70784ndash791 DOI 1021930022-541X(2006)70[784FDPNPA]20CO2

Arlt D Paumlrt T 2007 Nonideal breeding habitat selection a mismatch between preferenceand fitness Ecology 88792ndash801 DOI 10189006-0574

Arnold TW 2010 Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaikersquosinformation criterion Journal of Wildlife Management 741175ndash1178DOI 101111j1937-28172010tb01236x

Austin JE Buhl DA 2013 Relating yellow rail (Coturnicops noveboracensis) occupancyto habitat and landscape features in the context of fireWaterbirds 36199ndash213DOI 1016750630360209

Barea LP 2012Habitat influences on nest-site selection by the painted honeyeater(Grantiella picta) do food resources matter Emu 11239ndash45 DOI 101071MU10082

Bartoń K 2014 Package lsquoMuMInrsquo R package version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation forStatistical Computing Available at http cranr-projectorgwebpackagesMuMInMuMInpdf

Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1722

Beale CM Lennon JJ Yearsley JM Brewer MJ Elston DA 2010 Regression analysis ofspatial data Ecology Letters 13246ndash264DOI 101111j1461-0248200901422x

Best LB 1977 Territory quality and mating success in the field sparrow (Spizella pusilla)The Condor 79192ndash204 DOI 1023071367162

Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1922

Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2022

Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

and survival (Chalfoun amp Martin 2007) On the other hand determinants of occurrenceat smaller spatial scales may be related to particular habitat structure selected to reducepredation risk (Martin 1998) Such a pattern was found in mallards (Anas platyrhynchos)where duckling survival was linked to selection of wetlands by brood-rearing adults at thelandscape scale but not to local-scale preferences (Bloom et al 2013) Nevertheless themechanisms that link survival of chicks to landscape scale attributes have to be furtherinvestigated

The preeminent role of territory choice in reducing predation risk is in disagreementwith the conceptual model proposed by Thompson et al (2002) which tried to explainspatial and temporal variability in nest predation Thompson et al (2002) predicted thatlarger scale factors should be more important determinants of nest survival as they providecontext or constraints for smaller scale effects However according to the explanatorypower of the single-scale models the most relevant scale for both rallids was the territoryfollowed by nest-site whereas landscape scale was the least influential The crucial roleof proper territory settlement has been also found in other marsh nesting species Forexample survival of artificial nests located within reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)territories was higher compared to the nests placed in non-territories that were mostlypredated by marsh harrier (Trnka Peterkovaacute amp Grujbaacuterovaacute 2011) In the case of territorialspecies such as little crake and water rail which have to find and protect all the requiredresources within very limited areas the proper choice of high-quality territories may affectnot only reproductive success but also determine individual fitness mating success andsurvival of adult birds (Best 1977 Currie Thompson amp Burke 2000 Przybylo Wiggins ampMerila 2001)

Adaptiveness of habitat selection in rallidsIn little crake and water rail the basic determinants of habitat selection were also themain factors affecting nest survival The adaptive selection of dense vegetation stands iseasily explained by considering the main nest predator of both species the marsh harrier(Jedlikowski Brzeziński amp Chibowski 2015) Nests placed within denser vegetation wereobviously more difficult to find by this raptor which searches for its prey by flying overwetlands Greater nest concealment was also found to increase nest survival of other marsh-nesting species exposed to marsh harrier predation such as great bittern (Botaurus stellarisPolak 2007) or common pochard (Aythya ferina Albrecht et al 2006) All these results arein agreement with the nest-concealment hypothesis which suggests that high vegetationdensity may on the one hand impede the ability of predators and brood parasites to locateand access nests and on the other hand may reduce the visual olfactory or auditorycues emitted by potential prey (Martin 1993 Borgmann amp Conway 2015) Further denservegetation may contain more potential nest sites that must be searched by predators thusfurther reducing the probability of predation as predators may give up before finding theoccupied site (potential-prey-site hypothesis Martin 1993) Predators may not searchvegetation randomly but look for specific habitat features to locate prey (Martin amp Roper1988 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) Recent experimental studies indeed showed that nestconcealment did not itself increase nest survival but occupying sites with more potential

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1522

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

REFERENCESAlbrecht T Horaacutek D Kreisinger J Weidinger K Klvaňa P Michot TC 2006 Factors

determining pochard nest predation along a wetland gradient Journal of WildlifeManagement 70784ndash791 DOI 1021930022-541X(2006)70[784FDPNPA]20CO2

Arlt D Paumlrt T 2007 Nonideal breeding habitat selection a mismatch between preferenceand fitness Ecology 88792ndash801 DOI 10189006-0574

Arnold TW 2010 Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaikersquosinformation criterion Journal of Wildlife Management 741175ndash1178DOI 101111j1937-28172010tb01236x

Austin JE Buhl DA 2013 Relating yellow rail (Coturnicops noveboracensis) occupancyto habitat and landscape features in the context of fireWaterbirds 36199ndash213DOI 1016750630360209

Barea LP 2012Habitat influences on nest-site selection by the painted honeyeater(Grantiella picta) do food resources matter Emu 11239ndash45 DOI 101071MU10082

Bartoń K 2014 Package lsquoMuMInrsquo R package version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation forStatistical Computing Available at http cranr-projectorgwebpackagesMuMInMuMInpdf

Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1722

Beale CM Lennon JJ Yearsley JM Brewer MJ Elston DA 2010 Regression analysis ofspatial data Ecology Letters 13246ndash264DOI 101111j1461-0248200901422x

Best LB 1977 Territory quality and mating success in the field sparrow (Spizella pusilla)The Condor 79192ndash204 DOI 1023071367162

Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1922

Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2022

Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

nest sites was the mechanism that significantly influenced nest predation risk (Chalfounamp Martin 2007 Chalfoun amp Martin 2009) However the survival rate of both rallids wasnot related to the extent of emergent vegetation within territory scale Furthermore thefate of water rail nests was even negatively affected by the emergent vegetation cover atthe landscape scale Therefore in both species the selection of dense vegetation structureseems to be directly related to minimizing the probability of nest predation (confirmingnest-concealment hypothesis rather than potential-prey-site hypothesis)

In little crake which prefers sites with deeper water level than water rail (JedlikowskiBrambilla amp Suska-Malawska 2014) water depth was an important driver for nest survivalWater depth has been repeatedly reported as a crucial factor reducing predation of nestssituated at deeper sites (eg Hoover 2006) However because the main nest predator iethe marsh harrier should not be affected by water depth such preferences may result froman anti-predator strategy towards potential mammalian predators In particular waterdepth at the territory scale seemed especially relevant in relation to vegetation height at thenest-site scale as discussed above

CONCLUSIONSOur study has provided evidence for adaptiveness of multi-scale habitat preferences in twobird species highlighting the greatest importance of the territory scale for nest survivaland habitat selection process Our results demonstrate how single-scale models may beinadequate to investigate the adaptive value of habitat preferences potentially revealingapparent or partial adaptiveness On the other side multi-scale assessments may helpdepict a thorough picture of adaptiveness revealing for example the concomitant effectsof factors operating at different spatial scales Therefore multi-scale approaches to thestudy of adaptive explanations for habitat selection mechanisms should be promoted

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are grateful to G Assandri M Brzeziński HY Wan an anonymous referee and theeditor for valuable comments on the manuscript

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DECLARATIONS

FundingThe study was carried out at the Biological and Chemical Research Centre University ofWarsaw established within the project co-financed by European Union from the EuropeanRegional Development Fund under the Operational Programme Innovative Economy2007ndash2013 The funders had no role in study design data collection and analysis decisionto publish or preparation of the manuscript

Grant DisclosuresThe following grant information was disclosed by the authorsBiological and Chemical Research Centre University of Warsaw

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1622

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

REFERENCESAlbrecht T Horaacutek D Kreisinger J Weidinger K Klvaňa P Michot TC 2006 Factors

determining pochard nest predation along a wetland gradient Journal of WildlifeManagement 70784ndash791 DOI 1021930022-541X(2006)70[784FDPNPA]20CO2

Arlt D Paumlrt T 2007 Nonideal breeding habitat selection a mismatch between preferenceand fitness Ecology 88792ndash801 DOI 10189006-0574

Arnold TW 2010 Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaikersquosinformation criterion Journal of Wildlife Management 741175ndash1178DOI 101111j1937-28172010tb01236x

Austin JE Buhl DA 2013 Relating yellow rail (Coturnicops noveboracensis) occupancyto habitat and landscape features in the context of fireWaterbirds 36199ndash213DOI 1016750630360209

Barea LP 2012Habitat influences on nest-site selection by the painted honeyeater(Grantiella picta) do food resources matter Emu 11239ndash45 DOI 101071MU10082

Bartoń K 2014 Package lsquoMuMInrsquo R package version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation forStatistical Computing Available at http cranr-projectorgwebpackagesMuMInMuMInpdf

Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1722

Beale CM Lennon JJ Yearsley JM Brewer MJ Elston DA 2010 Regression analysis ofspatial data Ecology Letters 13246ndash264DOI 101111j1461-0248200901422x

Best LB 1977 Territory quality and mating success in the field sparrow (Spizella pusilla)The Condor 79192ndash204 DOI 1023071367162

Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1922

Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2022

Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

Competing InterestsThe authors declare there are no competing interests

Author Contributionsbull Jan Jedlikowski conceived and designed the experiments performed the experimentswrote the paper prepared figures andor tables reviewed drafts of the paperbull Mattia Brambilla analyzed the data wrote the paper prepared figures andor tablesreviewed drafts of the paper

Field Study PermissionsThe following information was supplied relating to field study approvals (ie approvingbody and any reference numbers)

The study fulfilled the current Polish Law and the relevant committee RegionalDirectorate for Environmental Protection approved this research (approval numberWOPN-OOP6402452012AWK)

Data AvailabilityThe following information was supplied regarding data availability

The raw data has been supplied as a Supplementary File

Supplemental InformationSupplemental information for this article can be found online at httpdxdoiorg107717peerj3164supplemental-information

REFERENCESAlbrecht T Horaacutek D Kreisinger J Weidinger K Klvaňa P Michot TC 2006 Factors

determining pochard nest predation along a wetland gradient Journal of WildlifeManagement 70784ndash791 DOI 1021930022-541X(2006)70[784FDPNPA]20CO2

Arlt D Paumlrt T 2007 Nonideal breeding habitat selection a mismatch between preferenceand fitness Ecology 88792ndash801 DOI 10189006-0574

Arnold TW 2010 Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaikersquosinformation criterion Journal of Wildlife Management 741175ndash1178DOI 101111j1937-28172010tb01236x

Austin JE Buhl DA 2013 Relating yellow rail (Coturnicops noveboracensis) occupancyto habitat and landscape features in the context of fireWaterbirds 36199ndash213DOI 1016750630360209

Barea LP 2012Habitat influences on nest-site selection by the painted honeyeater(Grantiella picta) do food resources matter Emu 11239ndash45 DOI 101071MU10082

Bartoń K 2014 Package lsquoMuMInrsquo R package version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation forStatistical Computing Available at http cranr-projectorgwebpackagesMuMInMuMInpdf

Battin J Lawler JJ 2006 Cross-scale correlations and the design and analysis of avianhabitat selection studies The Condor 10859ndash70DOI 1016500010-5422(2006)108[0059CCATDA]20CO2

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1722

Beale CM Lennon JJ Yearsley JM Brewer MJ Elston DA 2010 Regression analysis ofspatial data Ecology Letters 13246ndash264DOI 101111j1461-0248200901422x

Best LB 1977 Territory quality and mating success in the field sparrow (Spizella pusilla)The Condor 79192ndash204 DOI 1023071367162

Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1922

Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2022

Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

Beale CM Lennon JJ Yearsley JM Brewer MJ Elston DA 2010 Regression analysis ofspatial data Ecology Letters 13246ndash264DOI 101111j1461-0248200901422x

Best LB 1977 Territory quality and mating success in the field sparrow (Spizella pusilla)The Condor 79192ndash204 DOI 1023071367162

Blomquist SM Hunter ML 2010 A multi-scale assessment of amphibian habitatselection wood frog response to timber harvesting Ecoscience 17251ndash264DOI 10298017-3-3316

Bloom PM Clark RG Howerter DW Armstrong LM 2013Multi-scale habitatselection affects offspring survival in a precocial species Oecologia 1731249ndash1259DOI 101007s00442-013-2698-4

Bonnington C Gaston KJ Evans KL 2015 Ecological traps and behavioural adjust-ments of urban songbirds to fine-scale spatial variation in predator activity AnimalConservation 18529ndash538 DOI 101111acv12206

Borgmann KL Conway CJ 2015 The nest-concealment hypothesis new insights from acomparative analysis The Wilson Journal of Ornithology 4646ndash660

Brambilla M Bassi E Ceci C Rubolini D 2010 Environmental factors affecting patternsof distribution and co-occurrence of two competing raptor species Ibis 152310ndash322DOI 101111j1474-919X200900997x

Brambilla M Ficetola GF 2012 Species distribution models as a tool to estimatereproductive parameters a case study with a passerine bird species Journal of AnimalEcology 81781ndash787 DOI 101111j1365-2656201201970x

Brambilla M Rubolini D Guidali F 2006 Factors affecting breeding habitat selectionin a cliff-nesting peregrine Falco peregrinus population Journal of Ornithology147428ndash435 DOI 101007s10336-005-0028-2

BrindrsquoAmour A Boisclair D Legendre P Borcard D 2005Multiscale spatial distribu-tion of a littoral fish community in relation to environmental variables Limnologyand Oceanography 50465ndash479 DOI 104319lo20055020465

BurnhamKP Anderson DR 2002Model selection and multimodel inference New YorkSpringer

Cade BS 2015Model averaging and muddled multimodel inferences Ecology962370ndash2382 DOI 10189014-16391

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2007 Assessments of habitat preferences and quality dependon spatial scale and metrics of fitness Journal of Applied Ecology 44983ndash992DOI 101111j1365-2664200701352x

Chalfoun ADMartin TE 2009Habitat structure mediates predation risk for sedentaryprey experimental tests of alternative hypotheses Journal of Animal Ecology78497ndash503 DOI 101111j1365-2656200801506x

Chalfoun AD Schmidt KA 2012 Adaptive breeding-habitat selection is it for the birdsAuk 129589ndash599 DOI 101525auk20121294589

ChamberlainMJ Conner LM Leopold BC Hodges KM 2003 Space use and multi-scale habitat selection of adult raccoons in central Mississippi Journal of WildlifeManagement 67334ndash340 DOI 1023073802775

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1822

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1922

Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2022

Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

Crampton LH Sedinger JS 2011 Nest-habitat selection by the Phainopepla congruenceacross spatial scales but not habitat types The Condor 113209ndash222DOI 101525cond2011090206

Cresswell W 2008 Non-lethal effects of predation in birds Ibis 1503ndash17DOI 101111j1474-919X200700793x

Currie D Thompson DBA Burke T 2000 Patterns of territory settlement and con-sequences for breeding success in the northern wheatear Oenanthe oenanthe Ibis142389ndash398 DOI 101111j1474-919X2000tb04435x

Davis SK 2005 Nest-site selection patterns and the influence of vegetation on nestsurvival of mixed-grass prairie passerines The Condor 107605ndash616DOI 1016500010-5422(2005)107[0605NSPATI]20CO2

Dinkins JB Conover MR Kirol CP Beck JL Frey SN 2014 Greater sage-grouse(Centrocercus urophasianus) select habitat based on avian predators landscapecomposition and anthropogenic features The Condor 116629ndash642DOI 101650CONDOR-13-1631

Dinsmore SJ Dinsmore JJ 2007Modeling avian nest survival in program MARKStudies in Avian Biology 3473ndash83

Dinsmore SJ White GC Knopf FL 2002 Advanced techniques for modeling avian nestsurvival Ecology 833476ndash3488DOI 1018900012-9658(2002)083[3476ATFMAN]20CO2

Dolman PM 2012 Mechanisms and processes underlying landscape structure effectson bird populations In Fuller RJ ed Birds and habitat relationships in changinglandscapes Cambridge Cambridge University Press 93ndash124

Dormann CF McPherson JM ArauacutejoMB Bivand R Bolliger J Carl G Davies RGHirzel A JetzW KisslingWD Kuumlhn I Ohlemuumlller R Peres-Neto PR ReinekingB Schroumlder B Schurr FMWilson R 2007Methods to account for spatial autocor-relation in the analysis of species distributional data a review Ecography 30609ndash628DOI 101111j20070906-759005171x

ESRI 2013 ArcGIS Map 102 Redlands Environmental Systems Research InstituteFletcher RJ Koford RR 2004 Consequences of rainfall variation for breeding wetland

blackbirds Canadian Journal of Zoology 821316ndash1325 DOI 101139z04-107Forbes LS Kaiser GW 1994Habitat choice in breeding seabirds when to cross the

information barrier Oikos 70377ndash384 DOI 1023073545775Forsman JT MonkkonenM Korpimaki E Thomson RL 2013Mammalian nest

predator feces as a cue in avian habitat selection decisions Behavioral Ecology24262ndash266 DOI 101093behecoars162

ForstmeierWWeiss I 2004 Adaptive plasticity in nest-site selection in response tochanging predation risk Oikos 104487ndash499 DOI 101111j0030-1299199912698x

Fuller RJ 2012 The bird and its habitat an overview of concepts In Fuller RJ ed Birdsand habitat relationships in changing landscapes Cambridge Cambridge UniversityPress 3ndash36

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 1922

Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2022

Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

Germain RR Schuster R Delmore KE Arcese P Moore I 2015Habitat preferencefacilitates successful early breeding in an open-cup nesting songbird FunctionalEcology 291522ndash1532 DOI 1011111365-243512461

GlissonWJ Conway CJ Nadeau CP Borgmann KL Laxson TA 2015 Range-widewetland associations of the king rail a multi-scale approachWetlands 35577ndash587DOI 101007s13157-015-0648-0

Gustafson EJ Parker GR 1994 Using an index of habitat patch proximity for landscapedesign Landscape and Urban Planning 29117ndash130DOI 1010160169-2046(94)90022-1

Harvey DSWeatherhead PJ 2006 A test of the hierarchical model of habitat selectionusing eastern massasauga rattlesnakes (Sistrurus c catenatus) Biological Conservation130206ndash216 DOI 101016jbiocon200512015

Hazler KR 2004Mayfield logistic regression a practical approach for analysis of nestsurvival Auk 121707ndash716DOI 1016420004-8038(2004)121[0707MLRAPA]20CO2

Helzer CJ Jelinski DE 1999 The relative importance of patch area and perimeter-area ratio to grassland breeding birds Ecological Applications 91448ndash1458DOI 1018901051-0761(1999)009[1448TRIOPA]20CO2

Hoover JP 2006Water depth influences nest predation for a wetland-dependent bird infragmented bottomland forests Biological Conservation 12737ndash45DOI 101016jbiocon200507017

Ibaacutentildeez-Aacutelamo JD Magrath RD Oteyza JC Chalfoun AD Haff TM Schmidt KAThomson RL Martin TE 2015 Nest predation research recent findings and futureperspectives Journal of Ornithology 156247ndash262

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M 2017 Effect of individual incubation effort on home rangesize in two rallid species (Aves Rallidae) Journal of Ornithology 158327ndash332DOI 101007s10336-016-1373-z

Jedlikowski J Brambilla M Suska-MalawskaM 2014 Fine-scale selection of nestinghabitat in little crake Porzana parva and water rail Rallus aquaticus in small pondsBird Study 61171ndash181 DOI 101080000636572014904271

Jedlikowski J Brzeziński M Chibowski P 2015Habitat variables affecting nest preda-tion rates at small ponds a case study of the little crake Porzana parva and water railRallus aquaticus Bird Study 62190ndash201 DOI 1010800006365720151031080

Jedlikowski J Chibowski P Karasek T Brambilla M 2016Multi-scale habitat selectionin highly territorial bird species exploring the contribution of nest territory andlandscape levels to site choice in breeding rallids (Aves Rallidae) Acta Oecologica7310ndash20 DOI 101016jactao201602003

Klett AT Johnson DH 1982 Variability in nest survival rates and implications to nestingstudies Auk 9977ndash87 DOI 1023074086023

KrawchukMA Taylor PD 2003 Changing importance of habitat structure acrossmultiple spatial scales for three species of insects Oikos 103153ndash161DOI 101034j1600-0706200312487x

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2022

Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

Lima SL 2009 Predators and the breeding bird behavioral and reproductive flexibilityunder the risk of predation Biological Reviews 84485ndash513DOI 101111j1469-185X200900085x

Maumlgi M Maumlnd R TammH Sisask E Kilgas P Tilgar V 2009 Low reproductive successof great tits in the preferred habitat a role of food availability Ecoscience 16145ndash157DOI 10298016-2-3215

Martin TE 1993 Nest predation and nest sites Bioscience 43523ndash532DOI 1023071311947

Martin TE 1995 Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites nest predation andfood Ecological Monographs 65101ndash127DOI 1023072937160

Martin TE 1998 Are microhabitat preferences of coexisting species under selection andadaptive Ecology 79656ndash670DOI 1018900012-9658(1998)079[0656AMPOCS]20CO2

Martin PR Martin TE 2001 Ecological and fitness consequences of species co-existence a removal experiment with wood warblers Ecology 82189ndash206DOI 1018900012-9658(2001)082[0189EAFCOS]20CO2

Martin TE Roper J 1988 Nest predation and nest-site selection of a western populationof the hermit thrush The Condor 9051ndash57 DOI 1023071368432

Mazgajski TD 2002 Nesting phenology and breeding success in great spotted wood-pecker Picoides major near Warsaw (central Poland) Acta Ornithologica 371ndash5DOI 1031610680370101

McGarigal KWanHY Zeller KA TimmBC Cushman SA 2016Multi-scale habitatselection modeling a review and outlook Landscape Ecology 311161ndash1175DOI 101007s10980-016-0374-x

Misenhelter MD Rotenberry JT 2000 Choices and consequences of habitatoccupancy and nest site selection in sage sparrows Ecology 812892ndash2901DOI 1018900012-9658(2000)081[2892CACOHO]20CO2

Moynahan BJ LindbergMS Rotella JJ Thomas JW 2007 Factors affecting nest survivalof greater sage-grouse in northcentral Montana Journal of Wildlife Management711773ndash1783 DOI 1021932005-386

Murray LD Best LB 2014 Nest-site selection and reproductive success of com-mon yellowthroats in managed Iowa grasslands The Condor 11674ndash83DOI 101650CONDOR-13-047-R11

Orians GHWittenberger JF 1991 Spatial and temporal scales in habitat selection TheAmerican Naturalist 137S29ndashS49 DOI 101086285138

Pinheiro P Bates DM Debroy S 2010 Linear and nonlinear mixed effects models Rpackage version 31-97 Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available athttp cranr-projectorgwebpackagesnlme

PolakM 2007 Nest-site selection and nest predation in the great bittern Botaurusstellaris population in eastern Poland Ardea 9531ndash38 DOI 1052530780950104

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2122

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222

Przybylo RWiggins DA Merila J 2001 Breeding success in blue tits good territories orgood parents Journal of Avian Biology 32214ndash218DOI 101111j0908-88572001320302x

RDevelopment Core Team 2013 R a language and environment for statisticalcomputing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing Available at httpwwwR-projectorg

Schielzeth H 2010 Simple means to improve the interpretability of regression coeffi-cientsMethods in Ecology and Evolution 1103ndash113DOI 101111j2041-210X201000012x

Schlaepfer MA RungeMC Sherman PW 2002 Ecological and evolutionary trapsTrends in Ecology amp Evolution 17474ndash480 DOI 101016S0169-5347(02)02580-6

Shitikov DA Fedotova SE Gagieva VA 2012 Nest survival predators and breeding per-formance of booted warblers Iduna caligata in the abandoned fields of the north ofEuropean Russia Acta Ornithologica 47137ndash146 DOI 103161000164512X662241

Taylor PB Van Perlo B 1998 Rails a guide to the rails crakes gallinules and coots of theworld London Pica Press

Thompson FR 2007 Factors affecting nest predation on forest songbirds in NorthAmerica Ibis 14998ndash109 DOI 101111j1474-919X200700697x

Thompson FR Donovan TM DeGraaf RM Faaborg J Robinson SK 2002 A multi-scale perspective of the effects of forest fragmentation on birds in eastern forestsStudies in Avian Biology 258ndash19

Trnka A Peterkovaacute V Grujbaacuterovaacute Z 2011 Does reed bunting (Emberiza schoeniclus)predict the risk of nest predation when choosing a breeding territory An experimen-tal study Ornis Fennica 88179ndash184

VenablesWN Ripley BD 2002Modern applied statistics with S New York Springer

Jedlikowski and Brambilla (2017) PeerJ DOI 107717peerj3164 2222