technology advancements impacting the oil industry

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Technology Advancements Impacting the Oil Industry 1 Ryan Lance Chairman & CEO, ConocoPhillips June 4, 2015

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Page 1: Technology Advancements Impacting the Oil Industry

1

Technology Advancements Impacting the Oil Industry

Ryan LanceChairman & CEO, ConocoPhillipsJune 4, 2015

Page 2: Technology Advancements Impacting the Oil Industry

Cautionary StatementThe following presentation includes forward-looking statements. These statements relate to future events, such as anticipated revenues, earnings, business strategies, competitive position or other aspects of our operations, operating results or the industries or markets in which we operate or participate in general. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecast in such forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that may prove to be incorrect and are difficult to predict such as oil and gas prices; operational hazards and drilling risks; potential failure to achieve, and potential delays in achieving expected reserves or production levels from existing and future oil and gas development projects; unsuccessful exploratory activities; unexpected cost increases or technical difficulties in constructing, maintaining or modifying company facilities; international monetary conditions and exchange controls; potential liability for remedial actions under existing or future environmental regulations or from pending or future litigation; limited access to capital or significantly higher cost of capital related to illiquidity or uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets; general domestic and international economic and political conditions, as well as changes in tax, environmental and other laws applicable to ConocoPhillips’ business and other economic, business, competitive and/or regulatory factors affecting ConocoPhillips’ business generally as set forth in ConocoPhillips’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). We caution you not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements, which are only as of the date of this presentation or as otherwise indicated, and we expressly disclaim any responsibility for updating such information.

Use of non-GAAP financial information – This presentation may include non-GAAP financial measures, which help facilitate comparison of company operating performance across periods and with peer companies. Any non-GAAP measures included herein will be accompanied by a reconciliation to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure on our website at www.conocophillips.com/nongaap.

Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors – The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved, probable and possible reserves. We use the term "resource" in this presentation that the SEC’s guidelines prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the oil and gas disclosures in our Form 10-K and other reports and filings with the SEC. Copies are available from the SEC and from the ConocoPhillips website.

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Page 3: Technology Advancements Impacting the Oil Industry

Unconventional Reservoirs Transform U.S. Production

Source: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration (EIA)3

U.S. Natural Gas Production(billions of cubic feet per day)

Shale Gas

Non-Shale Gas

200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014

20

30

40

50

60

70

Unconventional

Conventional

2005

U.S. Oil Production(million barrels per day)

19491953195719611965196919731977198119851989199319972001200520092013

2

4

6

8

10

ConventionalDecline Curve

Page 4: Technology Advancements Impacting the Oil Industry

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Improving Unconventional Reservoir Technology (Eagle Ford)

• Significant cost reductions

• Increased production rate and recovery

• Expect another decade of continued improvement

• Reduced environmental impact and costs

20152013

75 Clusters 150 Clusters

5,150 ft4,800 ft

30%D&C Cost per

Well Reduction2013-2015

40%Spud to Prod Cycle

Time Reduction2013-2015

30%EUR per Well

Increase2013-2015

Job Size3.8 MM lbs

Job Size7.7 MM lbs

Page 5: Technology Advancements Impacting the Oil Industry

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Future of Unconventional Reservoir Technologies

• Understanding is ~50 years less mature than conventional reservoirs

• Focus Areas Include:• Stimulated Rock Volume (SRV)

characterization• Sweet spot identification• Drilling and completions

efficiency• Water Management

Common Industry Interpretations

RECOVERYLow High

Map View

Cumulative Oil Production

Potential SRV Impact

Range of Industry Interpretations

Time

MM

BOE

Stimulated Rock Volume (SRV)

Page 6: Technology Advancements Impacting the Oil Industry

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Deepwater Technology

• The new frontier has higher temperatures and pressures – 20,000 psi

• Challenges of qualifying equipment – rigs, subsea production systems

• Increasing measures for safety and environment – blowout preventers, relief wells, monitoring and surveillance

• Exploration needs advances in geophysical imaging

Developing 20,000 PSI Subsea TechnologyFMC Technologies

Maersk Valiant

Page 7: Technology Advancements Impacting the Oil Industry

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ConocoPhillips’ Oil Sands/Heavy Oil Technology

• Improve completions to more evenly distribute steam

• More efficient steam generation

• Technologies to reduce cost of supply

• Reduce emissions and the amount of energy used in the extraction process

• Advances in drilling (pad drilling, extended wells, novel architecture)

Accelerating Recovery – Flow Control Devices

4 months

9 months

18 months

60 months

Steam Injector with FCDSteam Injector without FCD

Successful Gas Turbine Cogeneration Technology Pilot

15%REDUCTION FUEL

GAS INTENSITY1

60%REDUCTION

NOX EMISSIONS1 OTSG Fuel Gas.

Page 8: Technology Advancements Impacting the Oil Industry

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Conventional E&P Technology

• Plug and abandonment cost reduction while simultaneously assuring better reservoir containment

• Novel technologies such as laser cutting and metal-alloy plugs to reduce rig time

• Use of automation and analytics to improve efficiency

• Technologies to measure and improve environmental impact

Wellbore Collapse/Failure

Deformed Tubing

Page 9: Technology Advancements Impacting the Oil Industry

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Transportation Sector Emerging Technologies

• Light duty vehicle efficiency targets driving reductions in gasoline demand globally

• Multiple technologies to help meet efficiency standards• Lighter materials • Aerodynamics • Mechanical Advancements

• Aviation has the most advances in materials to reduce weight and improve fuel efficiency

Global vehicle efficiency targets drive reductions in demand for gasoline

2015 20201.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

ChinaUS Japan India EU S. Korea

Gallo

ns o

f gas

olin

e us

ed p

er 1

00

mile

s

Improving passenger vehicle fuel economy - ICCT, US Renewable Fuels Standards

Page 10: Technology Advancements Impacting the Oil Industry

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Transportation Sector Emerging Technologies

• Biofuels already taking gasoline market share in the U.S. and expected to grow

• Advanced biofuels could pose a threat - pending a technological breakthrough to allow them to be used in internal combustion engines

• Electric vehicles are beginning to appear again as they did in 1900

• Hydrogen fuel cells do not look likely

• LNG is a possible alternative fuel for heavy road vehicles, marine and rail

Electric vehicles growth depends on battery cost & weight reduction (plug-in hybrid electric vehicles less sensitive)

*Upfront costs for electric vehicles include a $2,500-$7,500 US federal tax incentive

Ford Fusion SE (PHEV)Toyota Prius (PHEV)

GM Volt (PHEV)Ford Fusion

Toyota Camry Toyota Prius (HEV)

GM Cruze Nissan Leaf S (BEV)

Honda Civic

42,97840,57638,921

37,52137,08936,394

34,74533,67233,595

Re-sale value Upfront cost* Running Cost Total cost

BEV: Battery Electric Vehicle; PHEV: Plug in Hybrid Electric Vehicle; HEV: Hybrid Electric Vehicle

Biofuels already taking gasoline market share, and expected to grow

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20220.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0 US Renewable Fuels Mandate

Renewable Biofuel Advanced Biofuel

Billi

on g

allo

ns/y

ear

Global EV outlook to 2020, EVI; Sustainable Energy in America 2015 Factbook, Bloomberg New Energy Finance

Page 11: Technology Advancements Impacting the Oil Industry

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Technology Advancements Impacting the Oil Industry

Ryan LanceChairman & CEO, ConocoPhillipsJune 4, 2015