Sustainability of the Upper San Pedro River due to Climate and Population

Variability Luis H Huizar Jr

Department of ChemistryUniversity of Arizona

UA/NASA Space Grant SymposiumApril 17, 2010

Special Thanks to:

• Kevin E. Lansey, Ph.D., Mentor, UA Civil Engineering and Engineering Mechanical Department Head

• Doosun Kang, Ph.D., UA Civil Engineering and Engineering Mechanical Research Assistant Professor

• UA/NASA Space Grant Internship

Upper San Pedro River Location

Problem Statement

• San Pedro River has larger withdraws than the natural recharge amount

• To achieve sustainability in the San Pedro River

Objective

USPP Decision Support System

Support System Aspects

Database

PowerSim Model

Website

- Translation into Spanish- Population by Regions- Population Growth rate - Climate Additions

Location

Unincorporated 1

Unincorporated 2

Unincorporated 3

Unincorporated 1

Unincorporated 2

Unincorporated 3

Population

Change in Ground Water Levels

2010 20302010W/ Package

2030W/ Package

Climate Variability

-30000

-25000

-20000

-15000

-10000

-5000

0

5000

10000

15000

2003 2017 2030 2044

Volu

me

(acr

e-ft

/yr)

Year

Aquifer Storage Deficit

Base run Base run w/ climate variability

-5

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2003 2017 2030 2044

GW Le

vel C

hang

e (ft

)

Year

GWL - Ft. Huachuca Subregion

Base run Base run w/ climate variability

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

2003 2017 2030 2044

Disc

harg

e (c

fs)

Year

Spring Discharge - Murray Springs

Base run Base run w/ climate variability

Aleix Serrat Capdevila (HWR, UA)

Spanish ModelUSPP DSS Website: http://uspp.ce.arizona.edu/webapplication1/