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Sustainability of the Upper San Pedro River due to Climate and Population
Variability Luis H Huizar Jr
Department of ChemistryUniversity of Arizona
UA/NASA Space Grant SymposiumApril 17, 2010
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Special Thanks to:
• Kevin E. Lansey, Ph.D., Mentor, UA Civil Engineering and Engineering Mechanical Department Head
• Doosun Kang, Ph.D., UA Civil Engineering and Engineering Mechanical Research Assistant Professor
• UA/NASA Space Grant Internship
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Upper San Pedro River Location
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Problem Statement
• San Pedro River has larger withdraws than the natural recharge amount
• To achieve sustainability in the San Pedro River
Objective
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USPP Decision Support System
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Support System Aspects
Database
PowerSim Model
Website
- Translation into Spanish- Population by Regions- Population Growth rate - Climate Additions
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Location
Unincorporated 1
Unincorporated 2
Unincorporated 3
Unincorporated 1
Unincorporated 2
Unincorporated 3
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Population
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Change in Ground Water Levels
2010 20302010W/ Package
2030W/ Package
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Climate Variability
-30000
-25000
-20000
-15000
-10000
-5000
0
5000
10000
15000
2003 2017 2030 2044
Volu
me
(acr
e-ft
/yr)
Year
Aquifer Storage Deficit
Base run Base run w/ climate variability
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2003 2017 2030 2044
GW Le
vel C
hang
e (ft
)
Year
GWL - Ft. Huachuca Subregion
Base run Base run w/ climate variability
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
2003 2017 2030 2044
Disc
harg
e (c
fs)
Year
Spring Discharge - Murray Springs
Base run Base run w/ climate variability
Aleix Serrat Capdevila (HWR, UA)
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Spanish ModelUSPP DSS Website: http://uspp.ce.arizona.edu/webapplication1/