study overview, findings, survey results · more people + more jobs = more transit demand portland...
TRANSCRIPT
STUDY OVERVIEW, FINDINGS, SURVEY RESULTS
February 15, 2017
“…evaluate the long-term transportation strategies and investments needed to sustain the county’s economic health and quality of life in the coming decades”
2013 Legislative charge
Public
• Online open houses and community briefings
Advisory Committee
• Advised project team throughout the
study
Agency Coordination
• Reviewed approach and analysis
Public process shaped study
Our Past: Growth and transition
Grew faster than predicted
Much more ethnically diverse
Land use plans responded to changing community values and economic conditions
Implemented transportation funding strategies
Our Future: Urban form takes hold
Growth scenarios based on Local plans and 2040
Growth Concept Urban and Rural
Reserves Changing demographics
and technology
Two scenarios Current Trends Increased Trade and
Technology
More people + more jobs = more urban Population could increase 40%-55%
Growth targeted to urban centers and corridors
Employment could increase 100%-145% More daily trips into the county than out of the county;
and the share of daily trips within the county will increase
More people + more jobs = more trips Total trips increase up to
60%
Driving trips to increase by 50%
Walking and biking trips increase by nearly 100%
Transit trips increase by over 200%
More trips = more traffic delay and congestion
Congested regional access points
Truck hours of delay, especially on freeways,
increases over four-fold More cut-through traffic
Vehicle hours of delay (PM Peak) % increase compared to 2010
165%
365%
Longer travel times,
especially on freeways
A. Adopted Plans, Enhanced Transit and Demand Management
B. Builds upon A with an Enhanced Arterial Network
C. Builds upon A with New Major Roadway and Transit Capacity
Transportation Investment Packages
B C A Adopted Plans
Bicycle & Pedestrian
Transit
Arterials
Highways
Centers + corridors = fewer vehicle trips VMT per person trip continue
to decline
Improved street connectivity, parking management, and commuter programs
Increase non-auto use by 50% in centers
More roads = more VMT
Smart technology = better efficiency and safety
Increased efficiency with smart streets (signal and communications technology)
Improved safety, and reliability with smart cars (connected/ autonomous vehicles)
May increase VMT
More people + more jobs = more transit demand Portland transit trips more than double
Transit trips within county increase by nearly 300%
Transit demand increases an additional 20% with express
service and park & ride
80% of households within ¼ mile of transit
More than 80% of low-income households within ¼ mile
Improved arterials = better traffic distribution
Reduce traffic delay by 5%
Improve safety
Shift traffic out of
neighborhoods
Limited freight and travel time improvement
Improved arterial capacity, new connections and access management could:
New roads + highway capacity = reduced delay and improved travel time
Reduce traffic delay up to
15%
Reduce cut-through traffic in urban centers by up to 14%
Improve travel times between key regional centers
Northern Connector
North-South Limited Access Road
New road connections = reduced regional traffic on parallel routes
New Northern Connector: Reduces traffic on US 26,
including 60% of trucks Improves travel time to
PDX and I-5 Northbound Rural, community and
environmental impacts
Northern Connector
North-South Limited Access Road
New North-South Limited Access Road: Reduces traffic on TV Hwy
and rural roads Improves travel time
between Hillsboro and Clackamas County
Rural, community and environmental impacts
New road connections = reduced regional traffic on parallel routes
Managed highway lanes = improved travel times • Managed lanes for trucks, transit
and carpool could: Reduce delay for
trucks by over 40%
Increase carpooling
• Demand stills exceed capacity
Pricing = reduced congestion
Tolling can help better manage traffic flow
BUT May increase cut-through traffic
Road user charges (VMT charge) can reduce travel demand by as much as 15%
IF Implemented as a variable fee - by
time and location
Complete streets + trails = improved health and safety 200% increase in walking and biking
Almost 80% of the households will have access to a complete street (with sidewalks and bike lanes) or a trail Protected bike lanes, trails, and complete streets improve safety and access
* Estimated costs in 2016 dollars, subject to refinement
*
Bicycle & Pedestrian
Transit
Arterials
Highways
Relative costs Costs range from
$11 B to $26 B New revenue
needed
What does the public
think?
How did the County get input? ONLINE OPEN HOUSE • 5,319 People participated (Also,
42 participated in Spanish-language survey)
• BIG INCENTIVE!
RANDOM SAMPLE PHONE SURVEY • Telephone survey among 400
Washington County residents age 18 years and older
• Margin of error +-5%
Transportation priorities OVERALL • People support a multimodal system • Improving traffic flow is top objective ONLINE OPEN HOUSE • Ranked transit as top priority; closely followed by
new freeway lanes
RANDOM SAMPLE PHONE SURVEY • Ranked roads and highways as top priority; closely
followed by transit
Support for new funding sources
ONLINE OPEN HOUSE • 2 out of 3 support or strongly
support a gas tax, and over half support/strongly support paid parking.
RANDOM SAMPLE PHONE SURVEY • 3 out of 4 people would be
willing to pay $100 per year • 48% willing to pay $300/year
Other key findings 88% expect transportation will be a problem in the
future.
80% support exploring ways to use smart technologies to reduce the need for widening or building new roads
Over 70% said very important to reduce freeway congestion within and connecting to Washington County
60%-70% support new limited access N-S roadways Increased support if it reduces congestion Decreased support if it increases GHG, impacts farm
and forest
• Continued review of the findings • Collect input on next steps:
– Investments – Studies – Policies – Partnership
What’s next?
Questions
Study Contact Information
www.WCTransportationFutures.org
Department of Land Use and Transportation 503-846-4530
Thank you!