steve krebs and jed peters– dtsd-bureau of technical services july 29, 2013
TRANSCRIPT
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- Steve Krebs and Jed Peters DTSD-Bureau of Technical Services July 29, 2013
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- Non-Conservative Costs 4 Policy Options with Implementation Costs FDM Work Zone Delay Restricted Corridors High Volume Arterials (color coded peak hour volume map) TOIP Freight Network 2
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- 10 Projects Analyzed 8 Concrete Mainline 2 HMA Mainline As-built and Estimated FDS Costs 3
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- Concrete Mainline Projects As-built average (avg) cost: $182,920/mile FDS HMA avg cost: $346,430/mile FDS concrete avg cost: $265,000/mile HMA Mainline Projects As-built avg cost: $123,320/mile FDS HMA avg cost: $171,600/mile 4
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- Concrete Mainline Projects As-built avg net present value (NPV) life-cycle 50 year cost: $354,120/mile (Original Value: $276,720) FDS HMA avg NPV life-cycle 50 year cost : $428,310/mile FDS concrete avg NPV life-cycle 50 year cost : $345,140/mile HMA Mainline Projects As-built avg NPV life-cycle 50 year cost : $250,230/mile (orig: $198,050) FDS HMA avg NPV life-cycle 50 year cost : $243,210/mile * NPV calculated with 3.5% discount rate 5
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- Conventional DesignFDS HMAFDS Concrete Real Discounted Cost Real Discounted Cost Real Discounted Cost Cost Initial Construction $ 182,912.00 $ 346,428.00 $ 264,993.00 Total NPV of LCCA minus initial construction cost $ 171,206.68 $ 81,882.93 $ 80,143.57 Total NPV of LCCA $ 354,119 $ 428,311 $ 345,137 User Delay Costs - (Scheduled Maintenance, Rehabilitation, Reconstruction, & Unplanned Events) $ 134,056 $ - Cost NPV (Initial Construction + LCCA NPV+ User Delay NPV) $ 488,175 $ 428,311 $ 345,137 Benefits - Initial Cost (NPV) ($182,912) ($123,048) ($39,874) Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) -0.4 -0.2 6
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- Estimated As-Built Construction Cost/Mile Estimated 10 FDS Construction Cost/Mile Life Cycle Adjusted to Reflect True Life-To-Date Minimal/Negligible maintenance costs 2012 Project (Year 28 of life cycle)- 8 Shoulders Let Cost/Mile $333,850/mile Adjusted LCCA Costs As-built NPV = $519,200/mile FDS NPV = $483,850/mile 7
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- Selective Application of FDS High-Volume Arterial Corridors Mass Evacuation Routes Incorporate FDS (Existing and Future) into Emergency Planning 8
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- Selective Application of FDS FDM Delay Corridors High Volume Arterials TOIP Freight 9
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- 10 1670 Miles
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- 11 Volumes Estimated For Highest Direction in 30 th Highest Hour in 2013 : 850 Miles : 1070 Miles : 1180 Miles :1270 Miles :1580 Miles
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- 12 Priority Corridors: 1190 Miles
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- 13 Not Investigated as Stand-Alone
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- 14 ~Equivalent to Backbone System
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- High Volume Arterials ($0.89 $1.3 Billion) $350 - $518 Million More than Conventional HMA $89 - $98 Million Less than Minimum Concrete TOIP Priority Corridors ($985 Million) $390 Million More than Conventional HMA $99 Million Less than Minimum Concrete FDM Delay Restricted Routes ($1.4 Billion) $548 Million More than Conventional HMA $139 Million Less than Minimum Concrete Freight Routes = Backbone System ($1.3 Billion) $518 Million More than Conventional HMA $131 Million Less than Minimum Concrete 15
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- Factor of All (High Volume Arterials, TOIP, Freight, and FDM Delay Corridors) Driving Need: Traffic Demand 1000 VPH (2013 data) 17
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- 18 1180 Miles
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- Total Cost FDS: $977 Million HMA Conventional: $590 Million Minimum Concrete: $1.1 Billion FDS Average Annual Cost (Average of 30 Reconstruct or Pavement Replacement projects with 18 Miles/Year) FDS: $14.9 Million HMA Conventional: $9 Million Minimum Concrete: $16.4 Million Nearly 150 Miles ($119 Million) Completed or Planned N-S Freeway, Zoo Freeway, IH-39, USH 41 19
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