status of rsa laps/mm5 system sustainment john mcginley, steve albers*, chris anderson*, linda...

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Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems Division, Forecast Applications Branch aboration with the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIR State University, Fort Collins, Colorado

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Page 1: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment

John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton

NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory

Global Systems Division, Forecast Applications Branch

*In collaboration with the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA),Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado

Page 2: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Earth System Research Laboratory

Overview of

ESRL/ GSD

Page 3: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Located in Boulder, Colorado at the foot of the Rocky Mountains

Earth System Research Laboratory

Page 4: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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(FSL)

Page 5: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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NWS

Page 6: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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GSD Themes

1. Observing systems

2. Computing systems

3. Modeling and assimilation systems

4. Information systems and information

Page 7: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Integrated

Global

Observing

The global observing system must be designed to support the scientific questions inherent in long term climate diagnosis and prediction.

The strategic triad of global observing:

Satellites – UAVs - Buoys

Page 8: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Talk Summary

1. Observing systems

2. Computing systems

3. Modeling and assimilation systems

4. Information systems and information

Page 9: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Linux ~1900 nodes (1024 Mbytes Memory) 16 Front End Nodes (1 Gbyte Memory, ATM) 16 I/O Nodes (2 Gbytes Memory, FibreChannel

Myricom Myrinet ADIC Fileserve MSS (100 Tbytes) Peak Performance: 3000 GFLOPS

ESRL/Global Systems Division

“Jet” Supercomputer

High Performance Technology Inc.

8th fastest computer in the world (end of 2002)

A. E. MacDonald Nov 2000

Page 10: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Talk Summary

1. Observing systems

2. Computing systems

3. Modeling and assimilation systems

4. Information systems and information

Page 11: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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GSD Goal:

Page 12: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

Local Scale Modeling

Page 13: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Page 14: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Benefit: From Ensembles, to Improved Analyses, to Better Forecasts, to Probabilities, to “Yes/No” Decision Support

6-D model grids(variable,x,y,z,t,prob)

Decision Engine

Cost/LossThresholds

Yes or No

Ensemble

Location,Time

CustomerError Covariances

3-D Var Initial

Conditions

NN

Page 15: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Plans for Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model Developmental Test Center (DTC) are progressing.

GSD working with NCEP on the Rapid Refresh operational model.

Continuing RUC

Page 16: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Road Map of the high-end Earth System Modeling

2006-2013: The “Geodesic Grid” Planet Simulator, 3rd generation non-hydrostatic finite-volume model with 1-4 km or finer resolution.

• Cumulus parameterization-free, cloud and gravity-wave resolving; will revolutionize climate modeling.

• Coupling to eddy resolving ocean model (JPL).

• Scalable to over 40,000 CPUs.

• Icosahedral Horizontal Coordinate

Primary model for:

•Medium Range Weather Prediction 0 to 2 weeks, including improve hurricane track and intensity.

• Seasonal to Inter-annual Prediction 2 weeks to 2 years

• Decadal to Centennial projection

A project between GFDL, ESRL, AOML to develop the leading global model in the world.

Page 17: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Talk Summary

1. Observing systems

2. Computing systems

3. Modeling and assimilation systems

4. Information systems and information

Page 18: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Page 19: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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FX-Net and new AWIPS prototype…ALPS

Page 20: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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GSD SummaryESRL Global Systems Division

• Will continue the mission of FSL•Systems; Modeling and Assimilation; Observations; Data Systems; Advanced Computing

• Will expand upward to global scale concerns• Will concentrate on probabilistic post processing• Will collaborate with other ESRL divisions in

• Chemistry• Phenomena• Climate

• Will continue to seek cooperation with other agencies and the private sector

Page 21: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Now back to TIM: Overview

• Review of Analysis System Sustainment - Steve Albers

• Review of Model System Sustainment -

Chris Anderson

• Issues

• Discussion

Page 22: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Issues

• Completion of Verification System– Is this a small enough addition to fit within

“sustainment”?– Still have to have ranges specify a target

computer platform

• Ingest of Level III radar data– Assume that if we have code that is prepared

for new data, that this fits within a sustainment activity.

Page 23: Status of RSA LAPS/MM5 System Sustainment John McGinley, Steve Albers*, Chris Anderson*, Linda Wharton NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems

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Discussion