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State of New Jersey’s Schools February 29, 2012 1

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  • State of New Jersey’s Schools

    February 29, 2012

    1

  • The need for change

    Overall, the NJDOE plays an important role in helping my district achieve its core mission of elevating student achievement and the number of students who graduate college and career ready.

    22.5%

    2 Source: Spring 2011 NJDOE Superintendent Survey

  • Today’s agenda

    State of NJ Schools NJDOE Priorities

    o Performance and Accountability o Academics o Talent o Innovation

    2012-13 Budget

    3

  • Enrollment has slightly decreased over time

    1500

    1700

    1900

    2100

    2300

    2500

    2700

    2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

    1.1

    1.15

    1.2

    1.25

    1.3

    1.35

    1.4

    1.45

    2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

    4

    2,464 1.35 M

    Number of NJ Schools Number of NJ Students, millions

    Source: NJDOE

  • 0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

    Enrollment in inter-district choice has increased, but program remains small

    5

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    3500

    4000

    2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

    3,365 73

    Number of Choice Districts Number of Inter-District Choice Students

    Source: NJDOE

  • Increase in Hispanic students, fewer White and African American students

    17%

    61%

    6% 15% 16%

    53%

    9%

    22%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    African American

    White Asian Hispanic

    2001 2011

    27%

    5% 13%

    32%

    4%

    14%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    FRPL LEP Spec Ed

    2003 2010

    6

    Statewide Enrollment by Race Statewide Enrollment by FRPL, LEP, SpEd

    Source: NJDOE

  • Student Performance

    7

  • Standards on state tests National ranking

    4th grade – LAL 3

    8th grade - LAL 30

    4th grade – Math 12

    8th grade – Math 17

    Source: NAEP 2011 report

    New Jersey has relatively high standards, as measured by NJASK

    8

  • Consistently high performance on NJASK and HSPA

    90

    66

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    HSPA NJASK

    76

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    HSPA NJASK

    9

    LAL Performance Math Performance

    Source: NJDOE Assessment Data, 2005 - 2011

    % proficient and above % proficient and above

  • On NAEP, NJ outperforms the nation

    200

    220

    240

    260

    280

    300

    2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

    New Jersey Nation

    9 11

    200

    220

    240

    260

    280

    300

    2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

    New Jersey Nation

    7 11

    10

    NAEP Reading 4th Performance

    NAEP Reading 8th Performance

    Source: NAEP 2003 - 2011

    Average scaled score Average scaled score

  • 800

    900

    1000

    1100

    1200

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Mea

    n Co

    mbi

    ned

    Verb

    al a

    nd M

    ath

    Scor

    e

    Nation New Jersey

    NJ matches national averages on SAT scores

    1011

    11

    Combined SAT Scores Over Time

    Source: NJDOE SAT data, 2001 - 2011

  • More students taking AP tests

    However, the percentage of AP tests scoring a 3 or higher

    has been relatively constant at 72.5%

    Year # of tests taken

    ’05 – ‘06 63,000

    ‘09 – ‘10 80,000

    12 Source: NJDOE AP data, 2005 – 2006, 2009 - 2010

  • Achievement gaps

    13

  • 0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    White Hispanic African American

    20 31

    22 32

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    White Hispanic African American

    27

    24 28

    33

    NJASK racial gaps have remained constant

    14

    NJASK LAL Proficiency by Race NJASK Math Proficiency by Race

    Source: NJDOE Assessment Data Grades 3 - 8, 2005 - 2011

    % proficient and above % proficient and above

  • 0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Disadvantaged Not Disadvantaged

    24 25

    NJASK gaps have remained constant for economically disadvantaged students

    15

    NJASK LAL Proficiency by FRPL eligibility NJASK Math Proficiency by FRPL eligibility

    % proficient and above % proficient and above

    Source: NJDOE Assessment Data Grades 3 - 8, 2005 - 2011

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Disadvantaged Not Disadvantaged

    31 26

  • 0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    White Hispanic African American

    16 25

    12

    HSPA racial gaps are decreasing as white student proficiency has remained stable

    16

    HSPA LAL Proficiency by Race HSPA Math Proficiency by Race

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    White Hispanic African American

    29

    19 28

    39

    % proficient and above % proficient and above

    Source: NJDOE Assessment Data, 2005 - 2011

  • NAEP gaps persist in 8th grade reading

    200

    220

    240

    260

    280

    300

    2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

    Not Disadvantaged Disadvantaged

    29 28

    17

    NAEP Reading 8th Grade Performance by FRPL Eligibility

    Source: NAEP, 2003 - 2011

    Mea

    n sc

    aled

    sco

    re

  • 20

    40

    60

    80

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    White Hispanic African American

    20

    17 15

    18

    SAT Participation by Race AP Participation by Race

    White students are more likely to take the SAT and AP

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    White Hispanic African American

    40

    32 24

    31

    18 Source: NJDOE SAT and AP data, 2005 - 2010

    Percent of seniors taking SAT Percent taking at least 1 AP

  • SAT “college readiness” gap has increased over time

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 % o

    f Tes

    t-Ta

    kers

    Sco

    ring

    155

    0 or

    Hig

    her

    White Hispanic African American

    35

    28 38

    30

    19 Source: NJDOE SAT data, 2006 - 2011

    Percent of Test Takers Meeting College Benchmarks

  • AP racial gaps persist over time

    0

    15

    30

    45

    60

    75

    90

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Perc

    ent o

    f Tes

    ts S

    cori

    ng 4

    or5

    African American Hispanic White

    21 15

    39 38

    20 Source: NJDOE AP data, 2006 - 2010

    Percent of Students Scoring 4 or 5 on AP

  • Significant number of NJ students need college remediation

    Bergen Community College (2009-10)

    Essex County Community College (2007-08)

    Union County College (2009-10)

    91% Students tested into remedial math or English

    61.2% Full-time, first-year students enrolled in at least one remedial class

    89.5% Students tested into remedial math

    58.2% Students tested into remedial reading

    89.2% Students tested into remedial writing

    21

  • Large within-school achievement gaps persist in top 25% of schools

    150

    175

    200

    225

    250

    275

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    LAL

    Scal

    ed S

    core

    Top 25% of Schools-LAL Performance (Excluding SpEd and LEP)

    Top 25% In Top 25% Schools Bottom 25% in Top 25% Schools DFG A

    45 65

    22 Source: NJDOE Assessment data, 2005 - 2011

  • Top 25% of students in lower-performing schools outperform bottom 25% of students in higher-performing schools

    150

    175

    200

    225

    250

    275

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    LAL

    Scal

    ed S

    core

    LAL Performance (Excluding SpEd and LEP)

    Top 25% In Top 25% Schools Top 25% In Bottom 25% Schools Bottom 25% in Top 25% Schools Bottom 25% In Bottom 25% Schools

    20 24

    23 Source: NJDOE Assessment Data, 2005 - 2011

  • 0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    Scho

    ol A

    vera

    ge P

    rofic

    ienc

    y Ra

    te, N

    JASK

    School FRPL Rate

    Selected School FRPL Rate and Proficiency

    Selected schools with FRPL rate below 40%

    Selected schools with FRPL rate above 60%

    Many high-poverty schools outperform low-poverty schools

    24 Source: NJDOE Assessment Data, selected schools, 2009 - 2011

    65% Proficiency

  • Focus on 3rd grade reading proficiency Number of 3rd grade students in New Jersey

    that did not pass NJASK – LAL in 2010-11

    Percentage of these students educated in DFG A or B districts

    Percentage of these students educated in our five largest urban districts

    Percentage of these students educated in schools that had a poverty rate lower than the state school average

    25

    37,000

    42%

    16%

    43%

    Source: NJDOE Assessment Data, Grade 3, 2010-2011

  • 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000

    1-10%

    10-20%

    20-30%

    30-40%

    40-50%

    50-60%

    60-70%

    70-80%

    80-90%

    90-100%

    Scho

    ol P

    over

    ty R

    ate

    Number of 3rd Graders Not Reading on Grade Level

    3rd grade reading proficiency a statewide issue

    26 Source: NJDOE Assessment Data, Grade 3, 2010 - 2011

  • Diversity not a driver of international competitiveness

    Source: Hanushek, Eric, Peterson, Paul, Woessmann, Lodger. 2010. “US Math Performance in Global Perspective.” PEPG Report No:10-19.

    27

    Math performance of white students by U.S. state compared to students in other countries

  • Education spending in high-need districts exceeds statewide average

    District Number of Priority and Focus Schools

    Percent of Schools

    Total Per-Pupil Spending, 2009-2010

    Newark 28 47% $22,992

    Camden 23 88% $23,770

    Paterson 22 63% $20,229

    Trenton 16 89% $21,038

    Elizabeth 14 47% $21,952

    Jersey City 13 36% $21,824

    State 253 11% $17,836

    28 Source: NJDOE; Priority and Focus Schools based on three-year average; Per Pupil: 2009 - 2010

  • Lowest-achieving schools are well resourced

    Priority schools State average

    Student – teacher ratio

    11.9 12.6

    Student – administrator ratio

    171 268

    Avg. faculty years of experience

    14.6 13.1

    Avg. faculty salary $70,774 $68,757

    3rd grade reading proficiency

    22% 63%

    8th grade reading proficiency

    41% 82% 29

    Source: NJDOE, 2010 - 2011

  • Shifting the achievement gap conversation

    What is the right question posed by this data?

    Are we preparing all students for college

    and career?

    30

  • Deeper look at charter schools

    31

  • Charter schools have increased, but remain 2% of total students

    0

    15

    30

    45

    60

    75

    90

    105

    2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

    100

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    25000

    30000

    35000

    40000

    2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

    32

    37,000

    Number of Charter Schools Total Charter Enrollment

    Source: NJDOE

  • Charter students are disproportionately African American and Hispanic

    33 Source: NJDOE, 2010 - 2011

    61%

    70%

    25%

    10%

    3% 8%

    1% 0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    African American

    Disadvantaged Hispanic White Asian Spec Ed LEP

    Demographics of Charter Schools

  • Urban charter schools outperform their districts

    34 Source: NJDOE Assessment Data, 2005 - 2011

    In math, a similar gap persists (10 points)

    54

    45

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Perc

    ent P

    rofic

    ient

    and

    Abo

    ve

    NJASK LAL Proficiency, Excluding Sped and LEP

    Urban Charters Urban District

  • Urban charter school performance varies by district

    20 3 6 7 7

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    Newark Paterson Jersey City Camden Trenton

    Perc

    ent P

    rofic

    ient

    and

    Abo

    ve

    NJASK LAL Proficiency , Excluding SpEd and LEP

    Charter District

    # Schools:

    35 Source: NJDOE Assessment Data, 2008 - 2011

  • Charter school performance varies even within districts

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    Mat

    h N

    JASK

    Pro

    ficie

    ncy

    LAL NJASK Proficiency

    Performance of Newark Charter Schools , Excluding SpEd and LEP

    District

    TEAM

    North Star

    Robert Treat

    36 Source: NJDOE Assessment Data, 2008 - 2011

  • Student Growth Percentiles (SGP)

    37

  • What are Student Growth Percentiles?

    New Jersey has adopted the Student Growth Percentile (SGP) methodology

    SGPs illustrate the annual growth of a student relative to a

    group of academic peers with a similar achievement history

    Status and Growth = Performance New Jersey is changing the key question from, “Who’s

    proficient and who’s not?” to, “Are we creating and fostering an educational environment where all students are learning and growing?”

    38

  • Previous understanding of performance: proficiency

    39

    0

    15

    30

    45

    60

    Perc

    ent P

    rofic

    ient

    or a

    bove

    , NJA

    SK M

    ath

    2010

    2010 Math Proficiency for One District’s Schools

    ILLUSTRATIVE

    Source: NJ District (Illustrative), 2009 - 2010

  • New understanding of performance: growth

    40

    Higher achievement, higher growth

    Higher achievement, lower growth

    Lower achievement, higher growth

    Lower achievement, lower growth

    ILLUSTRATIVE

  • NJDOE priorities

    41

  • NJDOE refocusing to support student achievement

    Department Reorganization Academics Talent Performance and Accountability Innovation

    Changing relationship with schools NCLB flexibility request – new school accountability system Regional achievement centers Move away from compliance Deregulatory effort

    42

  • New Jersey’s NCLB Flexibility Request Opportunity to decouple missing a subgroup target from a

    ‘lock-step’ consequence. No longer required to make AYP determinations that a school is ‘failing’

    based on a single missed subgroup or participation rate.

    Opportunity to dedicate NJDOE resources to our lowest performing schools. In 2010-2011, roughly 50% of schools were identified as failing to make

    AYP.

    As part of the Flexibility Request, NJDOE has identified about 15% of schools to receive supports and interventions.

    43

  • Performance and accountability

    44

  • Performance and accountability priorities

    45

    New unified accountability system Classification of schools under NCLB Flexibility Request

    Building a data-rich environment to support local goal setting and improvement Performance Report Drill-down Reports in NJSMART

    New measures of student performance and outcomes Student Growth Percentiles NCLB 4-year, adjust cohort graduation rate

    Reduction of reporting redundancies

  • Data used to classify schools

    NJASK Language Arts and Math HSPA Graduation Rate Growth demonstrated on NJASK

    46

  • Definition of Priority and Focus Schools

    47

    Priority – School-wide Measures Schools in the bottom 5% of schools statewide on assessments and

    graduation rates, who are also NOT demonstrating high growth.

    SIG schools

    Focus – Subgroup Measures Schools with dramatically underperforming subgroups that are not

    demonstrating high growth on assessments or graduation rates.

    Schools with large within school gaps between the highest achieving subgroup and the two lowest subgroups that are not demonstrating high growth.

  • Large within school gaps in Focus Schools

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Per

    cent

    Pro

    ficie

    nt a

    nd A

    bove

    Focus Schools: Within-School LAL Proficiency Gaps

    LAL Proficiency of Lowest Two Subgroups LAL Proficiency of Highest Subgroup LAL Proficiency Schoolwide

    43 37

    48 Source: NJDOE Assessment Data, 2005 - 2011

  • Other Schools

    Reward Schools Demonstrating high achievement Demonstrating high growth

    Not classified Local – and public – goal setting and planning process

    49

  • Data-rich environment

    50

    New Performance Reports to replace School Report Card

    Source: School Performance Report prototype

  • Data-rich environment

    51

    Focus on school-level metrics

    Source: School Performance Report prototype

  • Data-rich environment

    52

    Drill-down reports in NJSMART Graduation Cohort Reports Early Warning Reports Post-Secondary Feedback Reports

    Source: NJ SMART

  • Academics

    53

  • Academics priorities

    54

    Implementation of Common Core State Standards (CCSS) Model Curriculum/Formative Assessments & PD

    Instructional Improvement System Model lessons, resource support

    Early Literacy (Prek-3) College and Career Readiness Transition to PARCC

    Transitioning NJASK to CCSS

  • Why Model Curriculum?

    55

    Common Core State Standards • Fewer, clearer, more rigorous • Internationally benchmarked • Aligned to college and career readiness

    46 states and DC have adopted the CCSS

    • Leverage state and nation-wide expertise • PARCC (23 states & DC) • Effective teachers need effective tools • Continuous improvement (version 1.0 to be followed by 2.0)

  • Version 1.0 Version 2.0 Version 1.0

    WHAT Students need to Learn

    HOW We can best Instruct

    WHEN Do we know students

    have learned

    Standard Student Learning

    Objectives Instruction

    Formative Assessments

    Summative/Formative

    CCSS

    Standard 1

    SLO #1

    SLO #2

    • Model Lessons • Model Tasks • Engaging

    Instructional Strategies

    • Effective

    checks for understanding

    • Teacher- designed formative assessments

    Unit Assessment SLOs 1-5

    CCSS Standard 2

    SLO #3

    SLO #4

    SLO #5

    General Bank of Assessment Items 2.0

    Student -level learning reports - Professional development - Resource reviews

    Model Curriculum Unit

    56

  • Regional Achievement Centers

    57

    RACs represent the most ambitious and focused effort to date to improve student achievement across the state:

    • Change focus from all schools to low-performing schools

    • Required alignment of resources to proven turnaround principles

    • Coordination of State resources to support RACs

    The Department is undergoing a fundamental shift from a system of oversight and monitoring to service delivery and support

  • Regional Achievement Centers

    58

    Identify schools struggling the most

    Assess needs and develop plans

    Provide targeted interventions aligned to proven turnaround principles

    Determine advanced interventions if a school does not improve

    8 Turnaround Principles

    1. Climate & culture

    2. Principal leadership

    3. Quality of instruction

    4. Standards-based curriculum, assessment, intervention system

    5. Effective use of data to improve student achievement

    6. Effective staffing practices

    7. Academically-focused family & community engagement

    8. Redesigning school time

  • Talent

    59

  • 60

    Recruitment and Preparation

    Licensure and Certification

    Evaluation Professional Development

    Retention and Separation

    Talent priorities

  • Current evaluations are subjective and fail to impact teaching practice

    NEW JERSEY

    Troubling achievement gaps

    50% of college students never graduate

    NATIONALLY

    Teacher effectiveness is the most important in-school factor for improving student achievement The Widget Effect exposes failure of schools to distinguish among and recognize the effectiveness of their teachers

    The Obama administration highlights evaluation reform as a key commitment tied to federal policy and funding opportunities

    At least 32 states have recently changed their evaluation systems

    Why transform our teacher evaluation systems?

    61

  • 2010 – 2011: Governor’s Educator Effectiveness Task Force developed evaluation guidelines

    2011 – 2012: DOE implemented EE4NJ teacher evaluation

    pilot program with 11 pilot districts and 19 schools currently receiving School Improvement Grant (SIG) funding

    2012 – 2013: Capacity building and preparation year for all

    Districts including opportunity to participate in a new grant-supported pilot program

    2013 – 2014: Full roll-out and implementation of new

    teacher evaluation systems

    Progress to Date and Upcoming Milestones

    62

  • Lessons Learned from EE4NJ Pilots

    Stakeholder engagement

    District Evaluation Pilot Advisory Committee (DEPAC)

    Evaluator and Teacher Training

    Capacity challenges

    Non-Tested Grades and Subjects

    63

  • Next steps for teacher evaluation

    LEAs

    • Use 2012-2013 to prepare for implementation through participation in a new teacher evaluation pilot or completion of defined set of benchmarks

    • Continue to garner feedback from your teachers and principals in order to build the culture needed for a robust evaluation system

    NJDOE

    Propose Regulations to the State Board based upon lessons learned from current pilot

    Release two new grant opportunities to pilot teacher and principal evaluation systems

    Assist participating Districts in allocating their Race to the Top allocations

    Provide more frequent and more precise communication

    2013 – 2014: Full roll-out and implementation of new teacher evaluation 64

  • Budget

    65

  • Overall numbers

    Increase of $135 million in K-12 formula aid Most state aid in NJ history

    Return to SFRA formula

    90% of districts receive an increase in state aid

    Fully fund SFRA in 5 years Increase state aid in each subsequent year

    66

  • Funding formula changes – phased in over 5 years

    Move to “average daily attendance”

    Reduce Adjustment Aid by 50% of spending over adequacy

    Return “at-risk” and “LEP” weights to those proposed by Professional Judgment Panels (PJPs)

    Convene task force for new measure of “at-risk”

    67

  • Funding increases after weights are adjusted

    SFRA Fiscal Year 2009 Per Pupil

    Governor Christie’s FY13 Proposal Per Pupil

    At-risk student

    $16,595 - $17,724 $17,386 - $17,875

    LEP student

    $16,934 $17,998

    Combination At-Risk/LEP student

    $18,006 - $19,135 $18,671 - $19,161

    68 Source: SFRA Fiscal Year 2009; Governor Christie’s FY13 Proposal

    High school example (trend persists for all grade levels):

  • Not just what you spend…

    It’s not only “how much” money is spent but “how well” it is spent.

    Changing the way money is spent is by far the most important means of actually changing the behavior of schools and the school systems.

    69

  • 70

    Question and Answer

    State of New Jersey’s SchoolsThe need for changeToday’s agendaEnrollment has slightly decreased over timeEnrollment in inter-district choice has increased, but program remains smallIncrease in Hispanic students, fewer White and African American studentsStudent PerformanceNew Jersey has relatively high standards, as measured by NJASKConsistently high performance on NJASK and HSPAOn NAEP, NJ outperforms the nationNJ matches national averages on SAT scoresMore students taking AP testsAchievement gapsNJASK racial gaps have remained constantNJASK gaps have remained constant for economically disadvantaged students HSPA racial gaps are decreasing as white student proficiency has remained stableNAEP gaps persist in 8th grade readingWhite students are more likely to take the SAT and APSAT “college readiness” gap has increased over timeAP racial gaps persist over timeSignificant number of NJ students need college remediationLarge within-school achievement gaps persist in top 25% of schoolsTop 25% of students in lower-performing schools outperform bottom 25% of students in higher-performing schoolsMany high-poverty schools outperform low-poverty schoolsFocus on 3rd grade reading proficiency3rd grade reading proficiency a statewide issue Diversity not a driver of international competitivenessEducation spending in high-need districts exceeds statewide averageLowest-achieving schools are well resourcedShifting the achievement gap conversationDeeper look at charter schoolsCharter schools have increased, but remain 2% of total studentsCharter students are disproportionately African American and HispanicUrban charter schools outperform their districtsUrban charter school performance varies by districtCharter school performance varies even within districtsStudent Growth Percentiles (SGP)What are Student Growth Percentiles?Previous understanding of performance: proficiencyNew understanding of performance: growthNJDOE prioritiesNJDOE refocusing to support student achievementNew Jersey’s NCLB Flexibility RequestPerformance and accountabilityPerformance and accountability prioritiesData used to classify schoolsDefinition of Priority and Focus SchoolsLarge within school gaps in Focus SchoolsOther SchoolsData-rich environmentData-rich environmentData-rich environmentAcademicsAcademics prioritiesWhy Model Curriculum?Model Curriculum UnitRegional Achievement CentersRegional Achievement CentersTalentTalent prioritiesWhy transform our teacher evaluation systems?Progress to Date and Upcoming Milestones�Lessons Learned from EE4NJ Pilots�Next steps for teacher evaluationBudgetOverall numbersFunding formula changes – phased in over 5 yearsFunding increases after weights are adjustedNot just what you spend…Slide Number 70