state fiscal crisis: updated impacts on k-12 and rusd august 16, 2012
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STATE FISCAL CRISIS: UPDATED IMPACTS ON
K-12 AND RUSDAugust 16, 2012
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2012-13 State BudgetIt Is All About November
Education was treated better than any other state-funded program in the June version of the 2012-13 State Budget.
K-12 received a very slight increase in revenue limit funding.
In the “final” budget, only one of four of the governor’s policy and reform initiatives was enacted by the legislature.
A semi-reasonable form of mandated cost reimbursement program reform promoted by RUSD was approved.
Not approved (for now) was Weighted Student Formula, elimination of Pupil Transportation funding, and making optional Transitional Kindergarten
2012-13 revenue levels assume the passage of the governor’s tax initiative on November 6.
Without Proposition 30 revenues, the state’s General Fund is $9 billion further in the hole. Education is set up to make up the largest portion of the balancing act.
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Despite the State Fiscal Environment
Source: SSC Governor's Proposed Budget, updated for impact of SB 81 in 2011-12
Dolla
rs P
er
AD
A
Average Unified District
Loss of COLA
Loss of Baseline dollars
Loss due toMidyear cut
Actual vs. Statutory Funding Levels
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What if Proposition 30 Fails? – “Plan B”Mid-Year Automatic Triggers Cut Education Hard
Following the 2011-12 State Budget strategy, the proposed budget contains a new set of automatic trigger reductions linked to the failure of the governor’s proposed tax initiative (Proposition 30).
Education is the hardest hit – 98.4% of the mid-year trigger cuts.
“Plan B” impact to RUSD is estimated at -$18.4 million.
Programs Targeted for Trigger Cuts
Program Amount % Share
Proposition 98 $5,354M 90.0%
University of California $250M 4.2%
California State University
$250M 4.2%
Developmental Services
$50M 0.8%
All Other $49M 0.8%
Total $5,951 100%4
Source: LAO
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Proposition 30 and Proposition 38The November Ballot Is Busy With Initiatives
Tax Initiatives That Help Schools
Proposition 30“Governor’s Tax Initiative”
Proposition 38“Munger/PTA Initiative”
Personal Income Tax and Sales Tax - $6 billion per year
Personal Income Tax - $10 billion per year
Revenues flow to State General Fund and are distributed with existing formulas (i.e., K-14 gets its Proposition 98 determined share)
Majority of revenues flow to a special account that is distributed to local schools. Other funds to early childhood and state debt service.
K-12 portion creates a “Part A” and “Part B” to the revenue limit with the new Part B tied to some restrictions.
Funds are restricted from being spent on existing staff.
No additional funding to K-14 over July 1 budget.
$1,000 per student in additional funds to schools; but $447 per student offset.
Most recent polling: 54%-56% favorable
Most recent polling: 38%-46% favorable
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RUSD Structural DeficitsRUSD Structural DeficitsRecurring Expenditures Are Greater Than Recurring Revenue
Prop 30 Passes
2012-13: $16.2M2013-14: $19.9M
Prop 30 Fails2012-13: $36.5M2013-14: $40.2M
Prop 30 passes
Prop 30 fails
Structural Deficit covered by one-time revenues and
resources
Structural Deficit covered by one-time resources
IncreasedStructural Deficit
Amounts shown are “structural deficits”, not total deficits.6
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State’s Fiscal Crisis: Local ImplicationsRunning Out of Options
2012-13 2013-14
Deficit Spending
($27.5) ($36.1)
Fund Balance
$37.2 $0.5
Minimum Fund Balance Required
$18.8 $20.0
Shortfall in Fund Balance Components
$0 ($19.5)
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Dollars in Millions
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State’s Fiscal Crisis: Local ImplicationsGeneral Fund: Fund Balance and Cash Dynamics Have Changed
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Dollars in Millions
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-112011-12(E)
2012-13(P)
Total Fund Balance
$56.9 $72.6 $71.0 $90.2 $85.9 $64.7
June 30 Cash Balance (% of Fund Balance)$47.3 $45.6 $39.7 $44.9 $14.7 ($8.3)
83.1% 62.8% 55.9% 45.4% 17.1% (12.8%)
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Collective Bargaining StatusHealth and Welfare Is The Biggest Topic
Current Plan Year (Jan 1 – Dec 31, 2012)
Contingent second, one-time $250 increase in District contribution has been triggered by State Budget. (New one-time contribution level of $10,000.)
$700,000 impact to current year included in budget
Will be paid in equal installments Sept., Oct. and Nov.
Next Plan Year (Jan 1 – Dec 31, 2013)
Tentative Agreement with RCTA to continue $9,500 District contribution plus a one-time increase of $250 ($9,750) plus a second, one-time $250 increase contingent upon the passage of Proposition 30 in November.
$1.3 million impact not included in budget
Preliminary premium rate increase ranges: Kaiser: 6.4%, EPO: 16%, PPO: 20%
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Collective Bargaining StatusOther Collective Bargaining Items
All
No furloughs for 2012-13
$5.1 million impact to current year included in budget
RCTA
MOUs to provide 1) Staff Development Specialist flexible work year, and 2) $500 stipend for optional materials based professional development 80 hour practicum (both pending approval)
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