spe internal channel acquisition opportunities september 2008
TRANSCRIPT
SPE INTERNAL
Channel Acquisition Opportunities
September 2008
2
Executive Summary
• As we begin informal discussions, we need to confirm SPE and SCA’s appetite for a significant investment (e.g., up to $200MM-$400MM for 50% of a mid-size channel)
• These trends provide us with several options for expanding our domestic channel presence
– Lower investment “HD build” strategy: Use library to secure carriage and minimize investment; new channel on-par with MGM HD
– Lower investment “HD partner” strategy: Invest in a smaller HD player (e.g., HD Net, Mojo); use the Sony brand and library to reinvigorate and grow the channel
– Significant investment in a mid-size channel: Invest in a sizable channel (e.g., G4); better define the channel’s voice and grow the audience by leveraging all Sony assets
• Recent market trends have created new opportunities for SPT to invest in US channel assets
– Demand for HD content has opened the window for new channels
– Smaller start-up channels are seeking investment or acquisition at reduced valuations
– Established mid-size channels are seeking strategic investment partners to support growth
• Our current hypothesis is that investing in a partnership would lead to greater returns
– Library-only plays like MGM are not getting immediate traction
– Partnership/investment will significantly increase speed-to-market
3
Demand for HD Content has Opened the Window for New Channels
Available SlotsDrivers
• Both DBS providers are increasing capacity by launching new satellites in 2008
• DirecTV > 150 national• Dish > 100 national• DirecTV is launch
partner of choice for HD channels
• IPTV based on fiber to the home allows hundreds of HD channels
• Verizon plans over 150 HD channels by 2008 and has capacity for up 500
• AT&T capacity expected to reach 250+ HD channels
• Conversion of analog channels to digital/HD will create new channel capacity for MSOs
• Switched Digital Video (SDV) technology, which will be deployed in select markets, theoretically allows infinite number of HD channels
• Number of available slots will vary by market and MSO
4
Network Age & Gender Mapping (2007 Primetime)Bubble area reflects ad revenue
Nickelodeon
Noggin/The N
GSN
ABC Family
Adult Swim
A&E
AMCAnimal Planet
BET
Biography
Bravo
Comedy Central
CourTV
Discovery Health
E!
ESPN
ESPN 2 FOOD
FUSE
FX G4
GOLF
Hallmark
HGTVHistory
Lifetime
Military
MTV MTV2
National Geographic
Nicktoons
Oxygen
Sci-FiSOAPnet Speed
Spike
StyleTBS
TLC
TNT
Cartoon Network
Travel
TV One
TV Land
USA
VH1
VH1 Classic
WEWGN
VersusFOX
ABC
CW
CBS
NBC
Movies Sports Unscripted Drama Kids
80%
Median Age 70
Median Age 5
Median Age 40
20%50%Percentage Female-Oriented
Analysis of the Network Demographic Landscape Suggests a Younger, Male-Skewing Network is an Attractive Opportunity and Fit with Sony’s Strengths
Target Opportunity: Younger; Male Skewing
5
Sony’s Capabilities and Assets Would Enable us to Create Significant Value for a Network with a Male-Slanted Programming Voice
Branding
Programming
Distribution/ Syndication
• Re-brand channel to leverage the strength and relevance of the Sony brand with the targeted male demographic
Proposed Approach
• Leverage the development, production, and programming expertise of the Sony Pictures Television to create distinctive original programming that resonates with the male audience
• Syndicate channel content on key Sony assets that share the target male demographic (e.g., PSN, Crackle)
• Given its brand, programming and distribution strengths, Sony is uniquely positioned to invest in and re-program a network to target the male 18-49 demographic
6
We Have Identified Four Potential Targets
2007 Subscribers
Seller’s Likely Valuation
Target Demographic
2007 Cash Flow*
• Male 18-34 • Male 25-49
• Affluent, early adopters
• Male/Female 18-49 • “Males and Movie Lovers”
• 66.6MM • 9.0MM• 83.3MM • 8.1MM
• $58MM • $18MM• $46.5MM • $1MM
• $700-800MM • <$100MM• $400-500MM
“Partner Small”
Investment Advantages/Challenges
• Excellent fit with Sony target demo and brand
• Asking price may be prohibitively expensive
• Provides access to targeted male demo; Ad sales relationship already in place
• High subscriber count and strong channel placement on with most affiliates
• Carriage agreements may limit our ability to rebrand/reprogram channel
• After initial conversations with Marc Cuban, HDNet is currently a lower priority • Network is being shut
down and thus carriage opportunity may not exist
*Cash Flow as reported by SNL/Kagan; Defined as Net Operating Revenue less SG&A and Programming Expenses. These numbers seem high and are subject to further review
• <$100MM
“Partner Large”
7
NEXT STEPS
• Continue discussions with target channels, including value expectations and critical diligence areas (financial, operational/carriage agreements)
– G4: Initial discussions with Comcast complete; diligence commencing
– TV Guide: Approaching in conjunction with Constellation Ventures; diligence commencing
– Mojo HD: Need to initiate discussion with Comcast immediately to confirm if investment is feasible prior to December ’08 shutdown
– HDNet: Completed initial conversations with Mark Cuban; currently lower priority for diligence
• Confirm SCA support for an approximately $200MM-$400MM channel investment