sources of risk from drug products

44
Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation O riginalN D A A ctions 41% 44% 39% 49% 51% 45% 38% 31% 0% 50% 100% 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 C alendarYear Percentage Percentage ofActions thatAre Approvals

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Sources of Risk from Drug Products. Known side effects. Medication errors. Product quality defects. Unavoidable. Avoidable. Preventable adverse events. Remaining uncertainties Unexpected side effects Unstudied uses Unstudied populations. Injury or death. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Original NDA Actions

41%44%39%

49% 51%45%

38%31%

0%

50%

100%

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Percentage of Actions that Are Approvals

Page 2: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Original NDA Actions

31%38%

45%51%49%

39%44% 41%

223

161

216

269235

199

190

238

0%

50%

100%

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Pe

rce

nta

ge

0

150

300

Ac

tio

ns

Percentage of Actions that Are Approvals Number of Total Original NDA Actions

Page 3: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

New Drug Application Approvals

11.2

14.4

12.0

15.4

12.0

24.1

19.0

16.5

10.9

14.815.8

20.8

11.812.2 12.0

15.3

0

12

24

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Mo

nth

s

Median Total Approval Time Median FDA Review Time

Page 4: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

New Drug Application Approvals

11.2

14.4

12.0

15.4

12.0

24.1

19.0

16.5

10.9

14.815.8

20.8

11.812.2 12.0

15.398

83

90

121131

6270

82

0

12

24

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Mo

nth

s

0

70

140

Ap

pro

va

ls

Median Total Approval Time Median FDA Review Time

Number of Original NDAs Approved

Page 5: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

New Molecular Entity Approvals

13.9

15.614.3

11.612.0

15.9

23

13.4

17.5

12.010.0

11.9

15.2

12.8

15.3

21

0

12

24

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Mo

nth

s

Median Total Approval Time Median FDA Review Time

Page 6: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

New Molecular Entity Approvals

13.9

15.614.3

11.612.0

15.9

23

13.4

17.5

12.010.0

11.9

15.2

12.8

15.3

21

27

3530

28

25 22

53

39

0

12

24

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Mo

nth

s

0

30

60

Ap

pro

va

ls

Median Total Approval Time Median FDA Review Time Number of NMEs Approved

Page 7: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Efficacy Supplement Actions

39% 41% 37%

60% 57%72%

53%

65%

0%

50%

100%

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Percentage of Actions that Are Approvals

Page 8: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Efficacy Supplement Actions

39% 41% 37%

60% 57%72%

53%

65%122

196189

173185

122

184205

0%

50%

100%

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Pe

rce

nta

ge

0

115

230

Ac

tio

ns

Percentage of Actions that Are Approvals Number of Efficacy Supplement Actions

Page 9: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Efficacy Supplement Approvals

12.0

16.0

14.213.9

11.9 11.8

10.4 10.0

19.018.3

11.9 11.7

10.2 10.0

12.311.2

0

12

24

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Mo

nth

s

Median Total Approval Time Median FDA Review Time

Page 10: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Efficacy Supplement Approvals

12.0

16.0

14.213.9

11.9 11.8

10.4 10.0

19.018.3

11.9 11.7

10.2 10.0

12.311.2

48

69

118

50

108124

97

134

0

12

24

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Mo

nth

s

0

70

140

Ap

pro

va

ls

Median Total Approval Time Median FDA Review Time

Number of Efficacy Supplements Approved

Page 11: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

OTC New Approvals and New Uses

5

1 1

9 98

20

8

3 3

1

7

0

12

24

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Nu

mb

er

New Approvals or Rx-to-OTC Switches New Uses

Page 12: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Generic Drug Approvals

23.026.9

19.318.6

27.0

18.0 18.2

0

12

24

36

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Mo

nth

s

Median Approval Times

Page 13: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Generic Drug Approvals

23.026.9

19.318.6

27.0

18.0 18.2158

207

212

273

225

186

244

0

12

24

36

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Mo

nth

s

0

100

200

300

Ap

pro

va

ls

Median Approval Times Number of Generic Approvals

Page 14: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Generic Drug Electronic Submissions

4444

32

10

85

0

55

79

0

50

100

1997 1998 1999 2000

Fiscal Year

Nu

mb

er

Bioequivalence data Chemistry, manufacturing, controls data

Page 15: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

NDA Manufacturing Supplement Actions

83%

72%

80%

61%67%

74%81%

84%

0%

50%

100%

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Percentage of Actions that Are Approvals

Page 16: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

NDA Manufacturing Supplement Actions

83%

72%80%

61%67%

74%81% 84%

1,580 1,782 1,630 1,6591,6741,147 1,747 1,605

0%

50%

100%

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Pe

rce

nta

ge

0

1,000

2,000

Ac

tio

ns

Percentage of Actions that Are Approvals

Number of NDA Manufacturing Supplement Actions

Page 17: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

NDA Manufacturing Supplement Approvals

8.27.7

5.9

5.1

4.0 4.0

5.45.2

0

6

12

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Mo

nth

s

Median Total Approval Time

Page 18: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

NDA Manufacturing Supplement Approvals

5.9

4.0 4.0

5.27.7

8.2

5.4 5.1

1,3451,4191,375

1,178

1,422

1,0241,065848

0

6

12

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Mo

nth

s

0

320

640

960

1280

1600

Ap

pro

va

ls

Median Total Approval Time Number of NDA Manufacturing Supplements Approved

Page 19: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Generic Drug Manufacturing SupplementsApprovals

1,903

2,284

1,969

2,314

0

2,000

4,000

1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Nu

mb

er

Number of Supplements Approved

Page 20: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Generic Drug Manufacturing SupplementsReceipts and Approvals

1,9692,2841,903

2,3142,118

2,370

3,036

2,522

0

2,000

4,000

1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Nu

mb

er

Number of Supplements Approved Number of Supplements Received

Page 21: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Inspections of Clinical Research

312

42 49

143

184 191

4 7 1 4 1028

393

297 296293

246

6164

28 40

155158170

0

250

500

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Nu

mb

er

U.S. Clinical Investigators Foreign Clinical Investigators

Institutional Review Boards Sponsors, Monitors, CROs

Page 22: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Original NDAsFiscal Year Cohort Within Goal Review Performance

100% 100% 99%100% 100% 100%85%

66%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY '98114 reviews12-mo: 84 6-mo: 30

FY '99126 reviews12-mo: 9510-mo: 63 6-mo: 31

FY '00121 filed* 12-mo: 9210-mo: 78 6-mo: 29

User Fee Goal*84 reviewed (1 overdue), 37 pending (none overdue) as of Feb. 28, 2001

Pe

rce

nta

ge

12-month review 10-month review 6-month review

Page 23: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Resubmissions of Original NDAsFiscal Year Cohort Within Goal Review Performance

100% 100% 100%

82%

100% 96%100% 100%98%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY '9854 reviews

Class I (6-mo.): 22Class I (2-mo.): 18Class II (6 mo.): 32

FY '9964 reviews

Class I (4-mo.): 17Class I (2-mo.): 17Class II (6 mo.): 47

FY '0080 resubmitted* Class I (4-mo.): 25Class I (2-mo.): 24Class II (6 mo.): 55

User Fee Goal*75 reviewed (1 overdue), 5 pending (none overdue) as of Feb. 28, 2001

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Class I (6-mo.) Class I (4-mo.) Class I (2-mo.) Class II (6 mo.)

Page 24: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Efficacy SupplementsFiscal Year Cohort Within Goal Review Performance

99% 100% 100%99% 94%

85%87%

80%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY '98129 reviews12-mo: 119 6-mo: 10

FY '99137 reviews12-mo: 12210-mo: 104 6-mo: 15

FY '00174 filed* 12-mo: 15610-mo: 146 6-mo: 18

User Fee Goal*114 reviewed (1 overdue), 60 pending (none overdue) as of Feb. 28, 2001

Per

cen

tag

e

12-month review 10-month review 6-month review

Page 25: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

New Drug Manufacturing SupplementsFiscal Year Cohort Within Goal Review Performance

99% 99%97%98% 98%

75%73%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY '981,442 reviews

Pr aprvl & CBE (6-mo.)

FY '991,458 reviews

Pr aprvl (6-mo.): 902Pr aprvl (4-mo.): 660 CBE (6-mo.): 557

FY '001,439 filed*

Pr aprvl (6-mo.): 679Pr aprvl (4-mo.): 509 CBE (6-mo.): 760

User Fee Goal*1,378 reviewed (24 overdue), 61 pending (11 overdue) as of Feb. 28, 2001

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Prior Approval (6-mo.) Prior Approval (4-mo.) Changes Being Effected (6-mo.)

Page 26: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Original NDAs

0%

50%

100%

FY '9384 reviews

65% on-time

FY '9492 reviews

95% on-time

FY '95111 reviews 98% on-time

FY '96109 reviews 100% on-time

FY '97121 reviews 100% on-time

User Fee Goal (none in 1993)

Page 27: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Resubmissions of Original NDAs

0%

50%

100%

FY '932 reviews

100% on-time

FY '9424 reviews

83% on-time

FY '9558 reviews

97% on-time

FY '9689 reviews

99% on-time

FY '9787 reviews

97% on-time

User Fee Goal (none in 1993)

Page 28: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Efficacy Supplements

0%

50%

100%

FY '9392 reviews

41% on-time

FY '9486 reviews

77% on-time

FY '9577 reviews

95% on-time

FY '96105 reviews98% on-time

FY '97146 reviews99% on-time

User Fee Goal (none in 1993)

Page 29: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

New Drug Manufacturing Supplements

0%

50%

100%

FY '931,045 reviews50% on-time

FY '94871 reviews66% on-time

FY '951,249 reviews90% on-time

FY '961,218 reviews96% on-time

FY '971,262 reviews98% on-time

User Fee Goal (none in 1993)

Page 30: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Refuse-to-File ActionsOriginal NDAs

4%3%4%5% 5%

26%

17%

2%

0%

15%

30%

FY '93(29)

FY '94(19)

FY '95(6)

FY '96(5)

FY '97(2)

FY '98(7)

FY '99(4)

FY '00(6)

Fiscal Year (number refused)

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Percentage Refused to File

Page 31: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Refuse-to-File ActionsOriginal NDAs

4%

2%

17%

26%

5%5% 4% 3%

132

111

123114117

113

135 134

0%

15%

30%

FY '93(29)

FY '94(19)

FY '95(6)

FY '96(5)

FY '97(2)

FY '98(7)

FY '99(4)

FY '00(6)

Fiscal Year (number refused)

Pe

rce

nta

ge

0

75

150

Nu

mb

er

Percentage Refused to File Number of Original NDAs Submitted

Page 32: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Clinical Holds of Commercial INDs(as of Dec. 31, 2000)

8%

11%13%

9% 9%

15%

10%

0%

10%

20%

FY '94(55)

FY '95(45)

FY '96(32)

FY '97(38)

FY '98(46)

FY '99(48)

FY '00(35)

Fiscal Year (number of holds)

Pe

rce

nta

ge

on

Ho

ld

Percentage of Commercial INDs Received on Hold

Page 33: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Clinical Holds of Commercial INDs(as of Dec. 31, 2000)

8%

11%13%

9% 9%

15%

10%

360358 376

446

471430 459

0%

10%

20%

FY '94(55)

FY '95(45)

FY '96(32)

FY '97(38)

FY '98(46)

FY '99(48)

FY '00(35)

Fiscal Year (number of holds)

Pe

rce

nta

ge

on

Ho

ld

0

250

500

Nu

mb

er

Percentage of Commercial INDs Received on Hold Number of Commercial INDs Received

Page 34: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Known side effectsUnavoidable Avoidable

Medicationerrors

Product qualitydefects

Preventableadverseevents

Injuryor death

Remaininguncertainties

Unexpected side effectsUnstudied uses

Unstudied populations

Page 35: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Post-Marketing Adverse Event Reports

83,310

83,517

117,718

136,836143,597154,558

189,073

228,611

246,822 245,750262,334

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Nu

mb

er

Manufacturer Periodic Reports Direct Reports (MedWatch)

Manufacturer 15-Day (expedited) Reports

Page 36: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Adverse Event Reporting Inspections

17

50

33

51

74

0

45

90

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Fiscal Year

Nu

mb

er

Inspections

Page 37: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Drug Promotion Review

235

417 399

773

515

242

129 117

171

237245220

539558

350

159

276221

247215

0

400

800

1993 1994 1995* 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year(*Change from counting campaigns to letters in last quarter 1995)

Nu

mb

er*

Regulatory Actions Launch Campaigns Other Letters DTC Advertising Letters

Page 38: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Export Certificates Issued

1,290

1,747

4,499 4,378 4,3823,973 4,197

0

2,500

5,000

FY '94 FY '95 FY '96 FY '97 FY '98 FY '99 FY '00

Fiscal Year

Nu

mb

er

Export Certificates Issued

Page 39: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Drug Recalls

255

304

191

248

316

93 102

60 5334

88

156

352

177

226

72

0

200

400

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Fiscal Year

Nu

mb

er

Prescription Drugs Over-the-Counter Drugs

Page 40: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Safety-Based NME Withdrawal PercentagesBased on Year of Approval

1.9%

2.3%

2.7%

3.3%

0.0%

2.5%

5.0%

1981-1985(4)

1986-1990(2)

1991-1995(3)

1996-2000(5)

5-Year Approval Cohorts (number withdrawn as of March 30, 2001)

Only includes withdrawals resulting from joint FDA-manufacturer decisions

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Percentage of Cohort Withdrawn

Page 41: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Safety-Based NME Withdrawal PercentagesBased on Year of Approval

1.9%

2.3%

2.7%

3.3%121

107

131

184

0.0%

2.5%

5.0%

1981-1985(4)

1986-1990(2)

1991-1995(3)

1996-2000(5)

5-Year Approval Cohorts (number withdrawn as of March 30, 2001)

Only includes withdrawals resulting from joint FDA-manufacturer decisions

Pe

rce

nta

ge

0

100

200

Nu

mb

er

Percentage of Cohort Withdrawn Number of NMEs Approved in Cohort

Page 42: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Modular Structure of Common Technical Document

Nonclinical written and tabulated

summaries

Module I Administrative

and prescribing information

(not harmonized)

Module II General introduction and overall summaries of quality, nonclinical

and clinical information

Clinical written and tabulated

summaries

Module IV Nonclinical

study reports

Module III Quality

data

Module V Clinical

study reports

Page 43: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Average Monthly Use of CDER Internet Site

32,000

72,000

156,000

406,000

226,000

0

250,000

500,000

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Vis

ito

rs

Average Monthly Visitors

Page 44: Sources of Risk from Drug Products

Source: CDER 2000 Report to the Nation

Average Monthly Use of CDER Internet Site

32,000

72,000

156,000

406,000

226,000

6.7

2.5

3.1

1.30.5

0

250,000

500,000

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Calendar Year

Vis

ito

rs

0

5

10

Hit

s (

mill

ion

s)

Average Monthly Visitors Average Monthly Hits (millions)