socal viewpoint_southern california food trends in retail space_may 2016
TRANSCRIPT
VIEWPOINT
Restaurants are among the most active retail segments
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA RETAIL
MAY 2016 CBRE Research © 2016 CBRE, Inc. | 1
VIEWPOINT
AMERICA’S FAVORITE PAST-TIME: EATING
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Ashley Hill
Senior Research Analyst, Retail
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA RETAIL
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, January 2016.
Figure 1: U.S. Retail Sales for Grocery Stores vs. Restaurants and Bars
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10
20
30
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50
60
Jan
1992
Oct 1
992
Jul 1
993
Apr 1
994
Jan
1995
Oct 1
995
Jul 1
996
Apr 1
997
Jan
1998
Oct 1
998
Jul 1
999
Apr 2
000
Jan
2001
Oct 2
001
Jul 2
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Apr 2
003
Jan
2004
Oct 2
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Jul 2
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Apr 2
006
Jan
2007
Oct 2
007
Jul 2
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Apr 2
009
Jan
2010
Oct 2
010
Jul 2
011
Apr 2
012
Jan
2013
Oct 2
013
Jul 2
014
Apr 2
015
(Millions) Grocery Stores Restaurants and Bars
VIEWPOINT
RESTAURANT SALES ON THE RISE SPURRING GROWTH EXPANSION
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Figure 2: Consumers who dined out at least once in a weeklong period (%)
Source: Hartman Group, May 2015.
VIEWPOINT
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SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA RETAIL
Figure 3: What consumers look for in their food choices (%)
Source: Business Insider, 2015.
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10
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50
60
Fresh LessProcessed
FewerArtificial
Ingredients
NaturalFoods
Low Calorie Organic Fat Free LocallyGrown
SmallPortions
Sugar Free Eco Friendly
Total Millennials Gen X Baby Boomers
VIEWPOINT
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GROCER TENANTS ILLUSTRATE HOURGLASS ECONOMY
Figure 4: Grocery store sales ($)
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
(Billions)
Source: BI Intelligence, E-Commerce and the Future of Retail 2015.
Forecast
VIEWPOINT
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WHY THIS MATTERS TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA REAL ESTATE
VIEWPOINT
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AMERICAS RESEARCH
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