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Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
21st May 2015Mark D R Darley – VP and South Asia Area Manager
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Focus on global specialised ship-building markets and technologies
Market Analytics
Tugs
Offshore support vessels
Windfarms
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
0 5000 10000 15000 20000
Fleet <2,000GT
Breakdown of predominant ship-types in the current global < 2,000GT fleet
• Tugs represent the largest portion of this fleet with 16,804 vessels
• The next biggest share is taken by General Cargo vessels (8,777 vessels)
• Followed by passenger ferries (4,902 vessels)
• Small-product tankers (2,678 vessels)
• Dredgers (1,365 vessels)
• Ro-Ros (459 vessels)
(Source: Clarksons)
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Forecast for global contracting, vessels < 2,000GT
• Small ship demand growth is expected to average 1.5% p.a. in 2015-16, per average historical growth trends…
• and will mature slightly to 1.4% p.a. in the long-term.
• In total, contracts for an average of 1,003 small ships per annum are expected to be placed in 2017-20, followed by an average of 1,031 p.a. in 2021-24.
(Source: Clarksons)
985
990
995
1000
1005
1010
1015
1020
1025
1030
1035
Average contracting per annum in two four-year time frames, 2017-2020 and 2021-2024
2017-2020
2021-2024
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Turkey’s existing < 2000 GT Fleet - by Ship Type
18
19
26
28
55
57
129
188
189
302
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Others
Yacht
Dredger
Offshore Support Vessel (OSV)
Passenger/Ro-Ro Ship
Fishing Vessel
Tanker
Passenger/Cruise
Tug
General Cargo Ship
No of vesselNo of vesselNo of vesselNo of vessel
Others:• Crane Vessel• Work/Repair Vessel• Crane Vessel, non propelled• Cement Carrier• Deck Cargo Pontoon, non propelled• Aggregates Carrier• Deck Cargo Ship• Container Ship (Fully Cellular)• Refrigerated Cargo Ship• Accommodation Ship• LPG Tanker• Salvage Ship• Landing Craft
(Source: IHS Fairplay)
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Turkey < 2000 GT (Orderbook-YOB 2015-18) - by Ship Type
1
5
6
6
6
7
8
44
0 10 20 30 40 50
General Cargo Ship
Tanker
Passenger Ship
Offshore Support Vessel (OSV)
Fishing Vessel
Passenger/Ro-Ro Ship (Vehicles)
Yacht
Tug
No of vesselNo of vesselNo of vesselNo of vessel(Source: IHS Fairplay)
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Turkish Shipbuilding < 2000 by Ship Types (YOB: 2010 - 2018)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
No of vessel
No of vessel
No of vessel
No of vessel
YOBYOBYOBYOB
Total
Tug
Passenger Ship
Tanker
Passenger/Ro-Ro Ship (Vehicles)
Fishing
Offshore Support Vessel (OSV)
Pollution Control Vessel
Hopper, Motor
General Cargo Ship
Landing Craft
Deck Cargo Ship
Patrol Vessel
Articulated Pusher Tug
(Source: IHS Fairplay)
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Focus on global specialised ship-building markets and technologies
Market Analytics
Tugs
Off-shore support vessels
Windfarms
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Forecast for the global tug market demand
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
TugsTugsTugsTugs
• Demand for tugs is projected to grow by 3.6%-4.0% p.a. in 2015-17.
• Growth is expected to mature slightly to an average of 3.2% p.a. in 2023-27.
(Source: Clarksons)
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Case references- New construction project Hybrid Tugs
Battery installation: Battery installation: Battery installation: Battery installation:
Batteries: Lithium Ion Capacity: 2x120 kWh
Courtesy of Damen ShipyardsCourtesy of Damen Shipyards
Bernardus & Multratug 28 – Damen ASD TUG 2810 Hybrid
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Case reference- Conversion of Tug
• Technology• Drivers• Safety aspects• Regulations• Case references
RT Adriaan - “E-KOTUG”
• Europe's first hybrid tug (2012)
• Battery Powered Ship – For low power operations, E-KOTUG can run on battery power alone; noiseless Zero emission mode.
• Saving on maintenance with reduced engine usage; longer time between engine overhauls and oil and filter changes
50% less emissions
Silent operation
Improved fuel economy
CO2 emissions reduction
Battery installation:
Batteries: Lithium Ion
Capacity : 78 kWh
Pack: 12 x 6.5 kWh
Bus voltage: 490V DC
RT Adriaan – Courtesy of KOTUG
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Focus on global specialised ship-building markets and technologies
Market Analytics
Tugs
Offshore support vessels
Windfarms
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Market prospects – Global Marine Trends 2030Oil and gas platforms double in 20 years
Oil and gas platforms 2010 Oil and gas platforms 2030
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Offshore Support Vessels – winning contracts in a slowing market
Oil companies focus on Oil companies focus on Oil companies focus on Oil companies focus on costcostcostcost
• Oil companies cutting back on costs – 2015 at 16% expected compared to 2009 at 10%, during which we saw the last drop in oil price
• Re-negotiation of existing charter contracts between oil companies and shipping companies
• Pressure on rates in 2015
Demand Demand Demand Demand for for for for OSVs under OSVs under OSVs under OSVs under pressurepressurepressurepressure
• Fewer new-build orders
• Slippage in delivery and possible cancellations
(Source: Clarksons)
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
OSV Shipbuilding Deliveries by Country, 2014
27
7
8
8
8
9
11
14
16
48
137
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Others
U.A.E.
Malaysia
Indonesia
India
Singapore
Vietnam
Brazil
Norway
United States
China P.R.
Number of Number of Number of Number of DeliveriesDeliveriesDeliveriesDeliveries
28 yards
20 yards
8 yards
8 yards
4 yards
5 yards
4 yards
5 yards
6 yards
2 yards
13 yards
The number of yards refers to the yards which delivered OSV vessels during 2014
(Source: IHS Fairplay)
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Ranking of OSV Builders - Europe
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Short-term trends in the OSV market – hunger for construction vessels
Short Short Short Short term trends 2015term trends 2015term trends 2015term trends 2015----(2016) (2016) (2016) (2016)
• Exploration & development slowdown
• Exploration phase more or less halted
• Existing offshore fields will still require most of the OSV type vessels but competition will intensify
• Demand for “Construction vessel” likely to increase
• E&P from arctic regions moving further to the right due to high cost implications
• Acceleration in offshore renewables – increase in size , numbers of turbines and moving further offshore
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Medium to long-term outlook in the OSV market – at the whim of oil prices
Medium to Medium to Medium to Medium to longlonglonglong----term term term term trend trend trend trend 2016201620162016----2030203020302030
• Demand from emerging countries increasing
• Expansion in offshore energy supply by 2030
• Increased activities in regions such as West Africa and Southeast Asia, as well as the Arctic and cold regions, provided oil does not remain at base-case
• Acceleration in offshore renewables – increased size, numbers and further ashore
• Further ashore to deeper waters for oil and gas industry
• More hardware going subsea
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Design for Flexibility:Novel Modular design and construction
ModularModularModularModular ConceptConceptConceptConcept
• The ships vary in length from 94 to 132 metres.
• Can be configured to meet client specific needs and requirements.
• IHC Supporter™ class has standardised fore- and aft-ships, pre-designed modules and a client-configured Midship body.
• The Midship can be fully client-defined or composed of pre-designed modules.
Result/BenefitResult/BenefitResult/BenefitResult/Benefit
• Allows a reduced lead time and ensures a lower CAPEX and a faster delivery of the vessel to the market.
IHC Supporter class SAT diving vessel
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Design for Flexibility:Novel Modular design and construction
Courtesy of IHC Merwede
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Design for operations in Harsh & Cold Climate
Design featuresDesign featuresDesign featuresDesign features
• Multi-purpose/multi-functional
• Stand-by rescue
• Oil recovery operations
• Some ice breaking capability and ice management
• Winterisation features -Hull & Equipment Material-Equipment & System
ConsiderationsConsiderationsConsiderationsConsiderations
• Azimuth propulsion
• Stern first (double acting)
• Shallow draught designs (North Caspian Sea )
Courtesy: Sakhalin Energy
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Design for Cold ClimateCase study: Vitus Bering & Aleksey Chirikov for Sovcomflot
Vitus Bering Vitus Bering Vitus Bering Vitus Bering
Yard : Yard : Yard : Yard : ArctechArctechArctechArctech HelsinkiHelsinkiHelsinkiHelsinki
NbNbNbNb. : . : . : . : 506 & 507506 & 507506 & 507506 & 507
Design : Design : Design : Design : ArctechArctechArctechArctech HelsinkiHelsinkiHelsinkiHelsinki
• Ice breaking and Ice management capability
• Double acting
• Azimuth propulsion (13MW)
• Winterisation to -35°C
• Oil Recovery
• Rescue capacity 195 persons
Courtesy: Arctech Helsinki
Classification:+100A1 Icebreaker, Offshore Tug/ Supply Ship, Standby Ship, Fire-Fighting Ship 1 (2400 m2/h) with water spray, WDL (5.0 tons/m2 Aft to Fr. 68), RD (Brine 2.0 t/m3; Mud 2.0 t/m3), *IWS, Winterisation H(-35) B(-35), Oil Recovery, EP, ShipRight ACS(B)+LMC, UMS, DP (AM), NAV1
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Design for Deeper Waters
Operations are moving to deeper water (doubled in Operations are moving to deeper water (doubled in Operations are moving to deeper water (doubled in Operations are moving to deeper water (doubled in 10 years’ time10 years’ time10 years’ time10 years’ time))))
• Operations are moving further offshore
• Larger units to support operations
• Development of new equipment (cranes, anchor handling winches etc.)
• Larger deck area and cargo capacity
More More More More subsea operation subsea operation subsea operation subsea operation
• More hardware going subsea
• Hardware needs maintenance
• More ROV operations
• More Construction, Inspection, Maintenanceand Repair Vessels
Candies Shipbuilders NB 155
Load Handling EquipmentLoad Handling EquipmentLoad Handling EquipmentLoad Handling Equipment
Active Heave Compensation
Module Handling Systems
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Design for Deeper WatersCase study: HCV – Seven Artic
Seven ArcticSeven ArcticSeven ArcticSeven ArcticYard : Hyundai Heavy Industries Yard : Hyundai Heavy Industries Yard : Hyundai Heavy Industries Yard : Hyundai Heavy Industries NbNbNbNb: 2654: 2654: 2654: 2654Design : Design : Design : Design : WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä (VS 4285)(VS 4285)(VS 4285)(VS 4285)
Vertical Lay System: 325T tensioner
Under deck Carousel :7,000T capacity
Deck area : approx. 2,600 m²
900T Knuckle boom rope luffing crane
Ice strengthened and with winterisation features.
Courtesy: Wartsila Ship Design & Huisman
Classification:+1001 Offshore Supply Ship, Helicopter Landing Area, *IWS, WDL(+),
ECO (IHM, OW, P), ShipRightASC(B), Ice Class 1D, Winterisation H(-30),S(C) +LMC, UMS, DP(AAA), CAC3Descriptive note:ShipRight(BWMP(method), SERS,SCM), Winterisation Features
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Design for Environment:-Gas fuelled OSV’s
Vessel nameVessel nameVessel nameVessel name Designer/designDesigner/designDesigner/designDesigner/design EnginesEnginesEnginesEngines YOBYOBYOBYOB
Viking Energy Viking Energy Viking Energy Viking Energy WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä / VS 4403/ VS 4403/ VS 4403/ VS 4403 4 x 4 x 4 x 4 x WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä 6L32 DF6L32 DF6L32 DF6L32 DF 2003200320032003
StrilStrilStrilStril PioneerPioneerPioneerPioneer WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä / VS 4403/ VS 4403/ VS 4403/ VS 4403 4 x 4 x 4 x 4 x WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä 6L32 DF6L32 DF6L32 DF6L32 DF 2003200320032003
Viking Queen Viking Queen Viking Queen Viking Queen WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä / VS 493 / VS 493 / VS 493 / VS 493 4 x 4 x 4 x 4 x WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä 6L32 DF6L32 DF6L32 DF6L32 DF 2008200820082008
Viking LadyViking LadyViking LadyViking Lady WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä / one off/ one off/ one off/ one off 4 x 4 x 4 x 4 x WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä 6R32DF6R32DF6R32DF6R32DF 2009200920092009
Viking PrinceViking PrinceViking PrinceViking Prince WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä / VS 489/ VS 489/ VS 489/ VS 489 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä ---- 6L34DF + 2 x Wartsila 6L34DF + 2 x Wartsila 6L34DF + 2 x Wartsila 6L34DF + 2 x Wartsila ---- 6L20DF6L20DF6L20DF6L20DF 2012201220122012
Viking PrincessViking PrincessViking PrincessViking Princess WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä / VS 489/ VS 489/ VS 489/ VS 489 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä ---- 6L34DF + 2 x Wartsila 6L34DF + 2 x Wartsila 6L34DF + 2 x Wartsila 6L34DF + 2 x Wartsila ---- 6L20DF6L20DF6L20DF6L20DF 2012201220122012
SkandiSkandiSkandiSkandi GammaGammaGammaGamma VARD / PSV 06 LNGVARD / PSV 06 LNGVARD / PSV 06 LNGVARD / PSV 06 LNG 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä 6L34DF6L34DF6L34DF6L34DF 2011201120112011
Normand ArcticNormand ArcticNormand ArcticNormand Arctic VARD / PSV 12 LNGVARD / PSV 12 LNGVARD / PSV 12 LNGVARD / PSV 12 LNG 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä 6L34DF6L34DF6L34DF6L34DF 2012201220122012
Olympic EnergyOlympic EnergyOlympic EnergyOlympic Energy VARD / PSV 06 LNGVARD / PSV 06 LNGVARD / PSV 06 LNGVARD / PSV 06 LNG 2x 2x 2x 2x WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä 6L34DF +6L34DF +6L34DF +6L34DF +2 x CAT 3516C (diesel)2 x CAT 3516C (diesel)2 x CAT 3516C (diesel)2 x CAT 3516C (diesel)
2012201220122012
Island CrusaderIsland CrusaderIsland CrusaderIsland Crusader RR / UT 776 CDGRR / UT 776 CDGRR / UT 776 CDGRR / UT 776 CDG 2 x Bergen C25:33L 6ACD (diesel) +2 x Bergen C25:33L 6ACD (diesel) +2 x Bergen C25:33L 6ACD (diesel) +2 x Bergen C25:33L 6ACD (diesel) +2 x Bergen C26:33L9AG (Gas)2 x Bergen C26:33L9AG (Gas)2 x Bergen C26:33L9AG (Gas)2 x Bergen C26:33L9AG (Gas)
2012201220122012
Island ContenderIsland ContenderIsland ContenderIsland Contender RR / UT 776 CDGRR / UT 776 CDGRR / UT 776 CDGRR / UT 776 CDG 2 x Bergen C25:33L 6ACD (diesel) +2 x Bergen C25:33L 6ACD (diesel) +2 x Bergen C25:33L 6ACD (diesel) +2 x Bergen C25:33L 6ACD (diesel) +2 x Bergen C26:33L9AG (Gas)2 x Bergen C26:33L9AG (Gas)2 x Bergen C26:33L9AG (Gas)2 x Bergen C26:33L9AG (Gas)
2012201220122012
Rem LeaderRem LeaderRem LeaderRem Leader WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä / VS 499/ VS 499/ VS 499/ VS 499 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä 6L34DF + 2 x Wartsila 6L34DF + 2 x Wartsila 6L34DF + 2 x Wartsila 6L34DF + 2 x Wartsila ---- 6L20DF6L20DF6L20DF6L20DF 2013201320132013
HarveyHarveyHarveyHarvey Energy + 5 sistersEnergy + 5 sistersEnergy + 5 sistersEnergy + 5 sisters VARD/ SV310DFVARD/ SV310DFVARD/ SV310DFVARD/ SV310DF 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä 6L34DF6L34DF6L34DF6L34DF 2014/20152014/20152014/20152014/2015
SiemSiemSiemSiem Symphony + 3 sistersSymphony + 3 sistersSymphony + 3 sistersSymphony + 3 sisters WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä/VS 4411/VS 4411/VS 4411/VS 4411 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä 6L34DF + 2 x 6L34DF + 2 x 6L34DF + 2 x 6L34DF + 2 x WärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsiläWärtsilä 8L20DF8L20DF8L20DF8L20DF 2014/20152014/20152014/20152014/2015
Simon Simon Simon Simon MøksterMøksterMøksterMøkster tbntbntbntbn VARD/PSV 06 LNGVARD/PSV 06 LNGVARD/PSV 06 LNGVARD/PSV 06 LNG 2015201520152015
The first Gas-Fuelled Supply Vessels turns
10 years – Viking Energy
Wärtsilä Ship design VS 4403
4 x Wärtsilä 6L32 DF
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Focus on global specialised ship-building markets and technologies
Market Analytics
Tugs
Offshore support vessels
Windfarms
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Market prospects – Global Marine Trends 2030The rise of offshore renewables
Wind Farms development: over 65,000 wind turbines in 2030
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Windfarm Service Vessel
• Just a crew boat?
• Next Generation designs
• Specifically designed for one of the most dynamic sectors in the offshore market.
• New operational areas (Longer Range Vessels)
• Crew comfort
• MLC Compliance
• Operational costs
• Transfer of Personnel
Shipbuilding in Specialised Markets: Global Trends & Future Outlook
Lloyd’s Register Market Developments < 2000 GT
• Continued impact in O&G derivative segments
• OSV – Construction vessels (versatile and flexible assignment)
• Emerging country/logistic developments still show promise
• Mini’ LNG (Bunkering and Transportation)
• Coastal and In-land Waterways Developments (U.S., India, Turkey)
• Wind Farm developments particularly EU
• Regulatory and Efficiency driven ‘novel’ propulsion and fuel mix
• Specialist yard continue to look to lower cost base J/V – particularly in Asia
Lloyd’s Register and variants of it are trading names of Lloyd’s Register Group Limited, its subsidiaries and affiliates.Copyright © Lloyd’s Register [Entity]. 2015. A member of the Lloyd’s Register group.
Mark DarleyVP & South Asia Marine ManagerSouth Asia Area, MarineT +60 (0)3 2034 9008 E [email protected]
Lloyd's Register of Shipping (M) Bhd, Suite 21-04, Level 21, Menara Tan & Tan, 207, Jalan Tun Razak, 50400 Kuala Lumpur
Working togetherfor a safer world