shale oil – what does it take?

47
Shale oil – what does it take? David Lowry PESA Qld Breakfast 22 May 2014 www.lowryresources.com. au

Upload: sheng

Post on 15-Jan-2016

35 views

Category:

Documents


7 download

DESCRIPTION

PESA Qld Breakfast 22 May 2014. Shale oil – what does it take?. David Lowry. www.lowryresources.com.au. Source rock issues: Total Organic Carbon Hydrogen Index Maturity Kinetics Thickness Porosity Fraccing Issues Poissons Ratio, Youngs Modulus Reservoir/seal couplets - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Shale oil – what does it take?

Shale oil – what does it take?

Shale oil – what does it take?

David LowryDavid Lowry

PESA Qld Breakfast 22 May 2014

PESA Qld Breakfast 22 May 2014

www.lowryresources.com.au

www.lowryresources.com.au

Page 2: Shale oil – what does it take?

Source rock issues:Total Organic CarbonHydrogen IndexMaturityKineticsThicknessPorosity

Fraccing IssuesPoissons Ratio, Youngs ModulusReservoir/seal couplets

Resource Estimates

Exploration in Australia

Source rock issues:Total Organic CarbonHydrogen IndexMaturityKineticsThicknessPorosity

Fraccing IssuesPoissons Ratio, Youngs ModulusReservoir/seal couplets

Resource Estimates

Exploration in Australia

Page 3: Shale oil – what does it take?

Source rock issues:Need a good source rock

Initial Total Organic Carbon > 4%

Initial Hydrogen Index > 400

Source rock issues:Need a good source rock

Initial Total Organic Carbon > 4%

Initial Hydrogen Index > 400

(my impression)(my impression)

Obtain from RockEval pyrolysis.Preferably core, or at least hand-picked cuttings.Regular cuttings likely to be full of cavings and may steer you away from a good source rock

Obtain from RockEval pyrolysis.Preferably core, or at least hand-picked cuttings.Regular cuttings likely to be full of cavings and may steer you away from a good source rock

Page 4: Shale oil – what does it take?

Source rock issues:Need a rich source rock

Initial Total Organic Carbon > 4%

Initial Hydrogen Index > 400

Source rock issues:Need a rich source rock

Initial Total Organic Carbon > 4%

Initial Hydrogen Index > 400

(my impression)(my impression)

mg HC generated from 1 g Organic Carbon at full

maturity

mg HC generated from 1 g Organic Carbon at full

maturity

ImmatureImmature

1000 mg Organic Carbon ~ 1200 mg kerogen1000 mg Organic Carbon ~ 1200 mg kerogen

Fully mature

Fully mature

600 mg Oil & Gas600 mg Oil & Gas

Page 5: Shale oil – what does it take?

Source rock issues:Need a rich anoxic source rock

PyriteLamination (no bioturbation)Good preservation of organic

matter because no scavengers

Source rock issues:Need a rich anoxic source rock

PyriteLamination (no bioturbation)Good preservation of organic

matter because no scavengers

(my impression)(my impression)

ImmatureImmature

Fully mature

Fully mature

Page 6: Shale oil – what does it take?

Source rock issues:

Need a rich mature source rock

Maturity 0.8% — 1.1% Ro

Source rock issues:

Need a rich mature source rock

Maturity 0.8% — 1.1% Ro

Estimating maturityVitrinite reflectance – traditional but very likely suppressed in oil-prone shale. VIRF or FAMM - goodTMax from RockEval – good for Proterozoic rocks; but

suppressionModelling – good if heat flow and stripping histories are

known; good for mapping; can use old wells but need some calibration.

Estimating maturityVitrinite reflectance – traditional but very likely suppressed in oil-prone shale. VIRF or FAMM - goodTMax from RockEval – good for Proterozoic rocks; but

suppressionModelling – good if heat flow and stripping histories are

known; good for mapping; can use old wells but need some calibration.

Page 7: Shale oil – what does it take?

Source rock issues:Need to know your kerogen kinetics

Source rock issues:Need to know your kerogen kinetics

How easily does your kerogen crack?Track change in oil/gas ratio with maturityUse A and E parameters to model maturity

How easily does your kerogen crack?Track change in oil/gas ratio with maturityUse A and E parameters to model maturity

Page 8: Shale oil – what does it take?

Thickness: the thicker the better. Minimum 30 m?

volumetrics; engineering; seismic

Thickness: the thicker the better. Minimum 30 m?

volumetrics; engineering; seismic

Source rock issues:Thickness

Source rock issues:Thickness

Page 9: Shale oil – what does it take?

Porosity: Organic porosity important at Ro ~1%

Generation can also fracc the shale, giving permeability

Porosity: Organic porosity important at Ro ~1%

Generation can also fracc the shale, giving permeability

Source rock issues:Porosity

Source rock issues:Porosity SEM with ion

milling SEM with ion

milling

Page 10: Shale oil – what does it take?

Source rock issues:Porosity

Source rock issues:Porosity

10% TR10% TR

80% TR80% TR

0%0% 14%14%

Jarvie ,2012Jarvie ,2012

Page 11: Shale oil – what does it take?

Fraccing IssuesPoissons Ratio, Youngs ModulusReservoir/source couplets

Fraccing IssuesPoissons Ratio, Youngs ModulusReservoir/source couplets

clay rich, ductile

clay rich, ductile

cemented by silica, calcite or dolomite. Good to fracccemented by silica, calcite or dolomite. Good to fracc

Optimum: interbedded reservoir/source ouplets

Optimum: interbedded reservoir/source ouplets

Slatt, 2013Slatt, 2013

Page 12: Shale oil – what does it take?

Oil generated= Thickness (m)x initial TOC x initial Hydrogen

Indexx Transformation

Ratio

Oil generated= Thickness (m)x initial TOC x initial Hydrogen

Indexx Transformation

Ratio

Page 13: Shale oil – what does it take?

Available Oil in place = Thickness (m)x initial TOC x initial Hydrogen

Indexx Transformation

Ratio— Adsorbed oil — Migrated oil

Recoverable oilx Recovery factor

Available Oil in place = Thickness (m)x initial TOC x initial Hydrogen

Indexx Transformation

Ratio— Adsorbed oil — Migrated oil

Recoverable oilx Recovery factor

Page 14: Shale oil – what does it take?

Resource EstimatesResource calculation

TOC. In anoxic marine source rock, uranium is adsorbed on the organic matter. Gamma Ray log roughly proportional to TOC

Resource EstimatesResource calculation

TOC. In anoxic marine source rock, uranium is adsorbed on the organic matter. Gamma Ray log roughly proportional to TOC

Cluff, 2012 Cluff, 2012

Image deleted; data not yet open file

Image deleted; data not yet open file

Page 15: Shale oil – what does it take?

Kerogen adsorbs early-formed oil. Not available for migration into pores and fractures

Pepper & Corvie (1995) estimate: 100 mg oil / g organic C

Kerogen adsorbs early-formed oil. Not available for migration into pores and fractures

Pepper & Corvie (1995) estimate: 100 mg oil / g organic C

Problem of adsorption Problem of adsorption

Suppose HI source rock is 500 and take particular Ro/TR kinetics curve.

At Transformation Ratio 0.2, kerogen will have generated 500 x 0.2 = 100 mg oil / g TOC

Just at start of expulsion at Ro 0.84%

Suppose HI source rock is 500 and take particular Ro/TR kinetics curve.

At Transformation Ratio 0.2, kerogen will have generated 500 x 0.2 = 100 mg oil / g TOC

Just at start of expulsion at Ro 0.84%

Page 16: Shale oil – what does it take?

To quantify expulsion, need to quantify kinetics and initial HI

To quantify expulsion, need to quantify kinetics and initial HI

Image deleted; data not yet open file

Image deleted; data not yet open file

Page 17: Shale oil – what does it take?

Recovery Factors for shale oilLook to US experience

Recovery Factors for shale oilLook to US experience

Evaluating production potential of mature us oil, gas shale plays. Oil & Gas Journal 12/03/2012 Evaluating production potential of mature us oil, gas shale plays. Oil & Gas Journal 12/03/2012

Page 18: Shale oil – what does it take?

Eagle Ford fairway Eagle Ford fairway

Page 19: Shale oil – what does it take?
Page 20: Shale oil – what does it take?

Recovery Factors for shale oilOil & Gas Journal 12/03/2012

Recovery Factors for shale oilOil & Gas Journal 12/03/2012

US Energy Information Administration 2013. Based on U.S. shale production experience, ...... the recovery factors for shale oil range from 3 percent to 7 percent of the oil in-place with exceptional cases being as high as 10 percent or as low as 1 percent.

US Energy Information Administration 2013. Based on U.S. shale production experience, ...... the recovery factors for shale oil range from 3 percent to 7 percent of the oil in-place with exceptional cases being as high as 10 percent or as low as 1 percent.

http://www.eia.gov/analysis/studies/worldshalegas/

Page 21: Shale oil – what does it take?
Page 22: Shale oil – what does it take?

Recovery Factors for shale oilOil & Gas Journal 12/03/2012

Recovery Factors for shale oilOil & Gas Journal 12/03/2012

Page 23: Shale oil – what does it take?

Recovery Factors for shale oilOil & Gas Journal 12/03/2012

Recovery Factors for shale oilOil & Gas Journal 12/03/2012

Page 24: Shale oil – what does it take?

Study the core as source

Rock Eval, RockEval on extracted samples, extract GCMS; Py-GC, Bulk and MSSV multicomponent kinetics, FAMM or VIRF, SEM with ion milling, clay XRD.

Study the core as reservoirMechanical properties, helium porosity, MICP, % carbonate, Dean-Starke saturation; dipole sonic log, image log

Study the core as sourceRock Eval, RockEval on extracted samples, extract GCMS; Py-GC, Bulk and MSSV multicomponent kinetics, FAMM or VIRF, SEM with ion milling, clay XRD.

Study the core as reservoirMechanical properties, helium porosity, MICP, % carbonate, Dean-Starke saturation; dipole sonic log, image log

A lot more science is needed than in conventional exploration. Companies will need staff with strong skills in the theory and practice of geochemistry and rock mechanics.

Page 25: Shale oil – what does it take?

Australia Shale oil: McArthur BasinBarney Creek Fm (1.6 Ga) & Velkerri Fm (1.4 Ga) Australia Shale oil: McArthur BasinBarney Creek Fm (1.6 Ga) & Velkerri Fm (1.4 Ga)

Page 26: Shale oil – what does it take?

Barney Creek Fm Velkerri FM Barney Creek Fm Velkerri FM

HI 1000

HI 1000

TmaxTmaxCrick et al., 1988

Crick et al., 1988

Page 27: Shale oil – what does it take?

Permits held/applied for by Armour Energy

Permits held/applied for by Armour Energy

Southern McArthur Basin

Southern McArthur Basin

Northern Georgina Basin

Northern Georgina Basin

Who are the players?

Who are the players?

Page 28: Shale oil – what does it take?

Imperial O&G (Empire Energy)

Imperial O&G (Empire Energy)

Page 29: Shale oil – what does it take?

Tamboran Resources. Farmed out to Santos

Tamboran Resources. Farmed out to Santos

Page 30: Shale oil – what does it take?

Falcon O&GBeetaloo Sub-basin.

Falcon O&GBeetaloo Sub-basin.

Page 31: Shale oil – what does it take?

No obvious burial since Cambrian;

chance of overpresssuring

is limited

No obvious burial since Cambrian;

chance of overpresssuring

is limited

Law et al., 2010Law et al., 2010

Page 32: Shale oil – what does it take?

Relatively simple structure; source

rocks in both gas and oil window

Relatively simple structure; source

rocks in both gas and oil window

2011 Shenado

ah-1 flowed wet gas

from Velkerri

e

2011 Shenado

ah-1 flowed wet gas

from Velkerri

e

Page 33: Shale oil – what does it take?

Pangaea O&G

Pangaea O&G

Page 34: Shale oil – what does it take?

Southern Georgina Basin

Southern Georgina Basin

Page 35: Shale oil – what does it take?
Page 36: Shale oil – what does it take?
Page 37: Shale oil – what does it take?

MacIntyre-2H June 2012 1080 m in Arthur Creek Hot Shale. Oct 2012 9 stage fracc. Testing

suspended (H2S)

MacIntyre-2H June 2012 1080 m in Arthur Creek Hot Shale. Oct 2012 9 stage fracc. Testing

suspended (H2S)

Baldwin-2Hst1 August 2011 875 m in Arthur Creek

Hot Shale. Oct 2012 fracc; casing failed

Baldwin-2Hst1 August 2011 875 m in Arthur Creek

Hot Shale. Oct 2012 fracc; casing failed

Owen-3H August 2011 966 m in Arthur Creek Hot

Shale. Oct 2012 10 stage fracc; recovered fracc

fluids but no hydrocarbons

Owen-3H August 2011 966 m in Arthur Creek Hot

Shale. Oct 2012 10 stage fracc; recovered fracc

fluids but no hydrocarbons

Page 38: Shale oil – what does it take?

Buru Energy is major player in Canning

Basin

Ordovician Goldwyer Fm recognised as

major shale oil opportunity

Buru Energy is major player in Canning

Basin

Ordovician Goldwyer Fm recognised as

major shale oil opportunity

Page 39: Shale oil – what does it take?

NENE SWSW

Page 40: Shale oil – what does it take?

New Standard Energy holds a large area

New Standard Energy holds a large area

New Standard Energy

New Standard Energy

Page 41: Shale oil – what does it take?

New Standard; ConocoPhillips &

Petrochina farming in

New Standard; ConocoPhillips &

Petrochina farming in

Page 42: Shale oil – what does it take?

XX

Hess – formerly Kingsway

Hess – formerly Kingsway

XX

XX

Page 43: Shale oil – what does it take?

Perth Basin. Hovea Mbr of Kockatea Shale (Earliest

Triassic)

Perth Basin. Hovea Mbr of Kockatea Shale (Earliest

Triassic)

Page 44: Shale oil – what does it take?

AWE active exploration for tight gas. Four vertical wells stimulated. Arrowsmith-2 5 stage fracc.

AWE active exploration for tight gas. Four vertical wells stimulated. Arrowsmith-2 5 stage fracc.

22 bbl

22 bbl

Page 45: Shale oil – what does it take?

Eromanga Basin. Toolebuc Shale

Early Cretaceous

Eromanga Basin. Toolebuc Shale

Early Cretaceous

Page 46: Shale oil – what does it take?

Exoma & CNOOC drilled a dozen wells on the Maneroo Platform.

Maturity not quite high enough

Exoma & CNOOC drilled a dozen wells on the Maneroo Platform.

Maturity not quite high enough

Elsewhere Toolebuc is largely immature; need

to find an area with high heat flow and deep

maximum burial

Elsewhere Toolebuc is largely immature; need

to find an area with high heat flow and deep

maximum burial

Page 47: Shale oil – what does it take?

Shale oil – what does it take?

Shale oil – what does it take?

David LowryDavid Lowry

PESA Qld Breakfast 22 May 2014

PESA Qld Breakfast 22 May 2014

www.lowryresources.com.au

www.lowryresources.com.au

Exceptional geology; lots of money

Exceptional geology; lots of money