scm#1 presentation final · 2019. 7. 23. · final deliverables approach highlights phase 3...

2/1/2010

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STEERING COMMITTEE MEETING #1 | 07.10.2019

Introductions & Roles

Planning Overview

Process Overview

Existing Conditions

Visioning Exercise

Homework & Next Steps

A G E N D A :

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I N T R O D U C T I O N &

R O L E S

Attend 4 scheduled planning committee

meetings and 2 public meetings

Review consultant work

Provide input to the process

Help engage the public, organizations,

neighbors, etc.

Be a champion for the project

R O L E S : C O M M I T T E E :

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Serve as the point of contact / liaison

Provide previous studies to the

consultant

Review consultant / Planning Committee

work

Make meeting arrangements

Reviews maps, boards and review drafts

R O L E S : S TA F F :

Manage the project

Provide existing conditions analysis

Seek Planning Committee and public input

Provide guidance and direction for the plan

Articulate the community’s vision, goals, and objectives

Develop plan elements

Identify implementation strategies

Provide final document

R O L E S : C O N S U LTA N T

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P L A N N I N G O V E R V I E W

Statement of goals and objectives

Land use plan element

Transportation plan element

Community facilities plan element

Any additional elements to further the plan

K R S R E Q U I R E M E N T S :

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A collaborative process which ultimately

defines a community’s vision for the future

A process that

Articulates the values of the community

Prepares for the future

Creates sound policies

Answers four key questions…

W H AT I S P L A N N I N G ?

1. Where are we now?

2.Where are we going?

3.Where do we want to go?

4.How do we get there?

4 K E Y Q U E S T I O N S :

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Takes inventory of a community’s

resources and existing conditions

Envisions the future character of a

community

Creates a framework for smart, planned

growth

E L E M E N T S O F A P L A N

A legislative document

An official policy statement for

private development projects

and community expenditures

A vision of the future

The foundation for land use

decisions

A C O M P. P L A N I S…

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A legally binding and enforceable

document

A solution for all problems

A rezoning of any property

A C O M P. P L A N I S N O T …

WHY PLAN?

A Comprehensive Plan establishes the

long-term community vision which

defines the quantity of growth, quality

of growth and location of growth that

the community desires.

W H Y P L A N ?

Quantity Location

Quality

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P R O C E S S O V E R V I E W :

ON-GOING: Public Engagement, Involvement and Feedback

PHASE 1Existing Conditions (Data Collection and Inventory & Visioning)

PHASE 2Strategic Planning (Plan Development)

PHASE 3Implementation &

Adoption

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Steering Committee Meetings (5)

Public Workshops (2)

Project Website

Online Surveys (2)

Focus Groups Meetings

Meeting in a Box

Youth Engagement

Interactive Mobile Display

ON-GOING

E N G A G E M E N T H I G H L I G H T S

Website/Social Media Launch

Demographic & Economic Data Analysis

Existing Conditions Mapping

Steering Committee Meeting #1

Public Visioning Workshop

Online Survey

Meeting in a Box

Youth Engagement

Focus Groups Meetings

PHASE 1Existing Conditions (Data Collection and Inventory & Visioning)

P H A S E 1 H I G H L I G H T S

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Vision, Goals and Objectives


Plan Elements Development



Public Workshop #2

Plan Element Refinement

Online Survey #2

A P P R O A C H H I G H L I G H T S

PHASE 2Strategic Planning (Plan Development)

Detailed Action Matrix

Advisory Committee Meeting #5

Draft & Revisions of Plan Document

Planning Commissioners & Elected

Officials Training

Adoption Process

Final Deliverables

A P P R O A C H H I G H L I G H T S

PHASE 3Implementation

Strategies

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E X I S T I N G

C O N D I T I O N S :

p h y s i c a l c o n d i t i o n s

E X I S T I N G

Z O N I N G

Zoning vs. Land Use

Starting Point for Future Land

Use Discussions

Coordinated with Market

Analysis for Future Needs

Provides Base for Other

Elements

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E X I S T I N G

E N V I R O N M E N T A L

Floodplains, Floodways &

Wetlands

Development & design

considerations needed

during zoning & permitting

Can serve as areas for

future recreational or

preservation

E X I S T I N G

FA C I L I T I E S

Public Facilities such as Police,

Fire, Schools, Airport, Parks &

City Facilities

As growth occurs, additional

facilities may be considered

to adequately serve new

development

Gaps in service areas can

be identified and

considered

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E X I S T I N G

T R A N S P O R T A T I O N

Functional Classification of

Roadways

Annual Average Daily Traffic

(AADT)

Broad system

improvements will be

considered and coordinated

with anticipated land use

E X I S T I N G

C R A S H E S :O V E R A L LCrash Data

Includes all reported

crashes

Indicates safety issues and

potential roadway

improvements

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E X I S T I N G

C R A S H E S :N O N - M O T O R I S T Includes Pedestrians and/or

Bicycles

Crashes that involved

pedestrians and/or bicycles

will also be analyzed to

determine safety

improvements and potential

new facilities that are

needed

S A N I TA R Y

S E W E R

Water & Sewer Capacities are

Key Consideration for Growth

System capacities, aging

infrastructure and

expansion will be


with future land uses

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E X I S T I N G

G A S

Capacities for Other Key

Utilities

System capacities, aging

infrastructure and

expansion will be


with future land uses

E X I S T I N G


D e m o g r a p h i c T r e n d s

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• Hardin County – 107,699

• Bowling Green – 64,302

• Owensboro – 58,791

• Elizabethtown – 29,791

• Henderson – 28,859

• Radcliff – 21,688

• Vine Grove – 5,793

P O P U L AT I O N : 2 0 1 7

*2017 ACS

Community 2010 2017 % Change

Vine Grove, KY 4,520 5,793 +28.16%

Elizabethtown, KY 28,531 29,791 +4.42%

Hardin County, KY 105,543 107,699 +2.04%

Henderson, KY 28,757 28,859 +0.35%

Bowling Green, KY 58,067 64,302 +10.7%

Owensboro, KY 57,265 58,791 +2.66%

Radcliff, KY 22,718 21,688 -4.53%

P O P U L AT I O N C H A N G E

*2017 ACS. 2010 Census

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• Elizabethtown – 36,751

• Hardin County – 134,901

*Kentucky State Data Center

2 0 4 0 P R O J E C T E D P O P U L AT I O N

Current Median Age:

• Bowling Green – 27.2

• Hardin County – 36.1

– Radcliff – 33.8

– Elizabethtown – 36.3

– Vine Grove – 38.2

• Owensboro – 37.8

• United States – 37.8

• Kentucky – 38.6

• Henderson – 40

*2017 ACS

A G E G R O U P S

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1,500

MALE

FEMALE

P O P U L AT I O N P Y R A M I D

*2017 ACS

• In Kentucky, 87.3% of the

population are Caucasian, 8.0%

are African American, 1.3% are

Asian, 0.9% are some other race,

2.2% are two or more races, and

0.1% are Native Hawaiian and

Other Pacific Islander.

– The population who are Hispanic

or Latino Origin is around 3.4%.

D I V E R S I T Y

*2017 ACS

2/1/2010

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Household Size Percentage of Housing Units

1-Person Household 36.3%



4-or-More Household 19.0%

H O U S I N G S T O C K & O C C U PA N C Y

*2017 ACS

• 13,605 Total Housing Units

• Kentucky (1,965,202)

• 46.7% Owner-Occupied (95,800)

• Kentucky (67%)

• 53.3% Renter-Occupied (6,611)

• Kentucky (33%)

• 8.8% Vacant

• Kentucky (12.2%)

• 40.3% Built before 1980

• Kentucky (51.6%)

• 63.9% of those 16 and

older are in the

workforce

– Kentucky (59.4%)

• Average Commute is

19.7 Minutes

– Kentucky (23.1 minutes)

W O R K F O R C E

*2017 ACS

Kentucky (31.2%) Kentucky (85.5%)

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Industry Type # of Employees % of Workforce

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining 173 1.3%

Construction 446 3.3%

Manufacturing 2,113 15.4%

Wholesale trade 144 1%

Retail trade 2,010 14.7%

Transportation and warehousing, and utilities 548 4%

Information 350 2.6%

Finance and insurance, and real estate and rental and leasing 532 3.9%

Professional, scientific, and management, and administrative and waste

management services1,306 9.5%

Educational services, and health care and social assistance 2,914 21.2%

Arts, entertainment, and recreation, and accommodation and food services: 1,204 8.8%

Other services, except public administration 991 7.2%

Public administration 988 7.2%

I N D U S T R Y

*2017 ACS

• Median Household Income:

– Vine Grove – $56,939

– United States – $55,322

– Hardin County – $51,923

– Kentucky– $46,535

– Elizabethtown - $45,936

– Radcliff – $44,708

– Owensboro – $40,146

– Bowling Green – $39,901

– Henderson – $36,274

I N C O M E

*2017 ACS

• Per Capita Income:

– United States – $31,177

– Elizabethtown - $28,477

– Vine Grove – $27,837

– Hardin County – $26,436

– Kentucky – $25,888

– Owensboro – $23,786

– Radcliff – $23,072

– Henderson – $21,958

– Bowling Green – $21,427

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E X I S T I N G


M a r k e t C o n d i t i o n s

• Residential Sector Overview

• Commercial Sector Overview

• Industrial Sector Overview

• Demand Profile / Future Areas of Opportunity

M A R K E T O V E R V I E W

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43

R e s i d e n t i a l s e c t o r o v e r v i e w

• Population growth driven increase in 70+ population, doubling in 20 years

• Working age population (15-64) declining from 66.5% to 60.3%

• Sixty-five and older population increasing from 13.1% to 19.3%

P o p u l at i o n t r e n d s

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• Unemployment rate in the City of Elizabethtown tracks closely to State

• Record low established in Dec 2017 at 3.1% from high of 10.1% in Jan 2010

• Median household income of $45,936 (lower than state or county)

• 8 of 10 workers travel to a job within the county / very few use public transit*

• Poverty rate of 15.4%, higher than Hardin County (14.2%) though lower than State of Kentucky (18.3%)

* Hardin County EstimatesSource: Unemployment Rate (BLS); All Other: 2013-2017 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates

E c o n o m i c t r e n d s

• Pie Chart represents

distribution of housing in

Hardin County by year

structures built (Occupied

Housing Only)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013-2017 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates

H o u s i n g s t o c k

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• Pie Chart represents

distribution of housing in

Hardin County by housing

value (Owner-Occupied Units)


H o u s i n g va l u e

Note: House Price Index measures average price changes in repeat sales or refinancing on same properties indexed to Quarter 1 1995

H o u s e p r i c e i n d e x : m s a

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Indicator City of Elizabethtown Hardin County State of Kentucky

Owner/Renter Split 47/53 62/38 67/33

Housing Unit Distribution

Single-Family 62.0 71.6 71.3

Multi-Family 35 19.3 17.8

Mobile Home 2.9 9.1 10.9

Educational Attainment

(% BA or Higher)

29 24 23

% White, Non-Hispanic 74 76 85

Means of Transportation to Work

(% Drove Alone)

82 82 82


R e s i d e n t i a l c o m pa r i s o n s

Neighborhood Ranking

1. Saint John Rd / Ring Rd

2.Gaithers

3.City Center

4.Younger Creek

5.Colesburg / Booth

6.N Dixie Hwy / Ring Rd

7.Indian Hills / Tunnel Hills

8.W Dixie Ave / S Maple St

Income Growth Past 5 Years

Source: Neighborhood Scout

N e i g h b o r h o o d a n a ly s i s

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Neighborhood Ranking

1.W Dixie Ave / S Maple St

2.Colesburg / Booth

3.Younger Creek

4.Gaithers

5.Indian Hills / Tunnel Hills

6.St John Rd / Ring Rd

7.N Dixie Hwy / Ring Rd

8.City Center

Appreciation Since 2000

Source: Neighborhood Scout

N e i g h b o r h o o d a n a ly s i s

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C o m m e r c i a l s e c t o r o v e r v i e w

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• Largest major industries include Health Care & Social Assistance and Ret Trade

• Highest paying industries include Public Administration ($57,160) followed by Prof, Technical & Sci Services ($50,954)

• Changes over last several years highlighted by declines in public administration and increases in accommodation and food service

Industry

(NAICS 3-Digit Codes)

Location

Quotient

National Security and International Affairs 18.68

Hospitals 5.14

Telecommunications 2.07

Gasoline Stations 1.72

General Merchandise Stores 1.65

Location Quotients represent a measure of concentration in the local area

and are calculated based on county % divided by national % for each

industry; results greater than 1 indicate higher concentrations.

• Concentration of employment in national security and international

affairs driven by activity at Fort Knox

• Hospital industry driven by Hardin Memorial Health, serving a 10-county

area with a 300-bed acute care facility

• Telecommunications driven by Altec Industries

Note: Hardin County. Industries limited to those of 500 employment or greater (as of March 2018) / Hardin CountySources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, DataUSA

Note: Does not include industries suppressed due to confidentiality requirements.

K e y i n d u s t r i e s ( n o n - m a n u f a c t u r i n g )

54

I N D U S T R I A L s e c t o r o v e r v i e w

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Industry

(NAICS 3-Digit Codes)

Location

Quotient

Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing (327) 6.62

Transportation Equipment Manufacturing (336) 5.55

Machinery Manufacturing (333) 3.48

Chemical Manufacturing (325) 2.07

Location Quotients represent a measure of concentration in the local area

and are calculated based on county % divided by national % for each

industry; results greater than 1 indicate higher concentrations.

• The Elizabethtown area (Hardin County) is home to a number of

companies producing truck frames, brake parts and other auto-related

parts

• Other industries have been established in support of these industries

including machining & packaging

• Other key industries include plastics and rubber products and printing

• Highest paying industries include chemical manufacturing ($1510 avg weekly) and electrical equipment and appliance manufacturing ($1341)

• Manufacturing employment (at the MSA level) was hit hard by the recession of 2008-2009 as the area lost 30% employment between Jan 2008-Jul 2009

• Fort Knox plays a big role in the local economy, driving both commercial and industrial sectors

Note: Does not include industries suppressed due to confidentiality requirements.

Note: Hardin County. Industries limited to those of 500 employment or greater (as of March 2018) / Hardin CountySources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, DataUSA

K e y i n d u s t r i e s ( m a n u f a c t u r i n g )

Company Year Est Emp Product/Service

Metalsa Structural Products Inc 1994 1,730 Automobile Assembly

Akebono Brake 1987 1,300 Automotive Disc/Drum Brakes

Altec Industries Inc 1997 700 Aerial Unit Trucks

AGC Automotive Americas 1988 640 Automobile Glass

Mouser Custom Cabinetry LLC 1955 230 Wood Products Manufacturing

Flint Group 1980 230 Chemical Products

Dow Chemical Co 1963 200 Chemical Products

Summit Polymers 1999 180 Plastics Manufacturing

Gates Corporation 1964 150 Plastics Manufacturing

AGI – Polymatryx dba Amaray 2003 140 Plastics Manufacturing

Hardin County dataSource: Kentucky Cabinet for Economic Development; Emp Rounded (Ten) *Located in Elizabethtown

M a n u fa c t u r i n g : t o p e m p l o y e r s

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• Total Real GDP for the metropolitan area stood at $5.44 billion, down

from peak achieved in 2011 ($5.96)

• 393 retail trade establishments employing nearly 6,300 employees

(Hardin County, 2016)

• Close to 60% of retail establishments employ less than 10 employees,

similar to the state

• Total tax revenue from sales stood at $3.129 million (2013)

• Economic impact from tourism increasing last few years

• Impact to local economy increased by 4.6% between 2015 and

2016

• Hardin County ranked 6th highest income-producing county in the

state (direct visitor spending)

• Tourism supported close to 3,700 jobs

D e m a n d p r o f i l e / s p e n d i n g

• Proximity to Fort Knox provides a positive impact to the local economy

– Spurs economic activity associated with defense-related industries

– Estimated to provide an annual economic impact of $2.6 billion with higher potential with expansion

• Positive Business Aspects of Elizabethtown Area and larger Region

– Well-developed and essential connections (I-65, 31W, Rail corridor)

– Important clusters around competitive and export-oriented industries (auto/wood products)

– Capital investment by area employers ($1.004 billion in 2017-2018)

– Competitive utility costs (electricity, water, sewer)

– Strong public schools and community/technical college

– Low cost of living relative to average US city

• Potential Areas of Increased Opportunity

– Tourism growth in the Elizabethtown-Fort Knox area and larger region

– Growth in elderly population portends growth in potential for health care occupations

F u t u r e A r e a s o f o p p o r t u n i t y

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• Residential Overview

– Census Bureau Estimates, ACS* 5-Year Estimates or Population Estimates Program

– Data USA profile information

– Kentucky State Data Center population projections

– Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

– Neighborhood Scout

• Commercial and Industrial Overview/Demand Profile

– County Business Patterns Data & Bureau of Labor Statistics

– Data USA profile information

– Chamber of Commerce

– Kentucky Cabinet for Economic Development

– City of Elizabethtown Department of Finance

*ACS (American Community Survey)

D ata s o u r c e s

V I S I O N I N G E X E R C I S E

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A S S E T S , C H A L L E N G E S & I D E A S Individually Brainstorm

Etown’s strengths that should be

leveraged

Etown’s Challenges or issues to

improve

Your Ideas for the future

Group Discussion of Each Topic

H O M E W O R K

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Take 3 pictures of things you

LOVE in Etown

Take 3 pictures of things you want

to CHANGE in Etown

Text or email pictures with short

description to Amy Williams

[email protected]

or 502-595-7432

Due by July 18th!

P i c t u r e i t !

We need you to help get others involved!!


July 18th, 4:00 pm – 6:00 pm at Pritchard Community Center

Online Survey

Meeting in a Box

Interactive Display – Keep an eye out for it!

Website – Subscribe & Submit Ideas!

G e t o t h e r s i n v o lv e d !

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N E X T S T E P S

Website Launch – www.EnvisionEtown.org


Online Survey, Meeting in a Box, Mobile Interactive Display, Youth

Engagement

Steering Committee Meeting #2 – Week of August 19th

Existing Conditions Report, Public Input Recap, Issues & Ideas and

Vision & Goals

U P C O M I N G : J u ly & A U G U S T

2/1/2010

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STEERING COMMITTEE MEETING #1 | 07.10.2019

scm#1 presentation final · 2019. 7. 23. · final deliverables approach highlights phase 3...

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