retail industry shreeja
TRANSCRIPT
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RETAIL INDUSTRY 2007By,
Himanshu S Jha
Shreeja Banerjee
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Agenda Definition
Global Scenario
Indian Scenario
Value Chain
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Cont Growth drivers
Issues and challenges
Herfindahl Index
Michel Porter Analysis
Outlook
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Definition: -
The sale of goods orcommodities in small
quantities directly toconsumers.
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Global Scenario Global Industry size exceeding US $ 6.6
trillion
Second largest industry in US WalMart the largest retailer in the world
Annual sales of Wal-Mart US $ 284
The industry employs 22 mn in America
The annual sales crosses US $ 3 trillion
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Indian Scenario Having 300 mn middle class
families
Largest among the all the industries
Contribution of 10% in GDP and
8% of employment
4th fastest growing
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Cont Current size US $ 7.5
bn in organized
Growing @ 5%annually
Food is dominating and
growing @ 9 %
annually Only 2 to 4 % is
organized
INDIA TOTAL RETAIL MARKET SIZE
201 204238 278
321
368
421
0
50
100
150
200
250300
350
400
450
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008E 2010E
YEAR
US$
bn
Source: Economic intelligence unit,
A.T.Kearny analysis
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Cont Expected to grow 25 % annually
Investing US $ 3.4 bn Reliance is the largest
Total market capitalization around US $175200 bn by 2016
Mobile phone retail industry is having US $16.7 and growing at 20% annually.
Around US $ 400 bn turn over in overallsector
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Key factorsR
E
A
S
O
N
S
F
O
R
G
R
O
W
T
H
Indias booming economy
Rise in young working population
Customer aspiration
More nuclear families in urban areas
Rise in the no. of workingwomen
More disposable income
Western influencesGrowth in expenditure
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Value Chain
Raw Mat.
LogisticsValue
Added
Services
Retail Mgt.
Institute
Interior
Decorator
ValueChain
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Underdeveloped Supply chain
Generic Infrastructure Issue Generic Policy Issue
Specific Infrastructure Issue Specific Policy Issue
Inadequate
UtilitiesIT
Infrastructure
Hurdles
Supply BaseHurdles
Inadequate HR
Ltd Consumer
Insights
Taxation
Hurdles
Real Estate
Hurdles
Insufficient.
Govt.
Incentives
Policy Related
Hurdles
Key Issues In The Indian Retail Sector
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Retail Space: -
Starting from 1 mn square feet, it has reached
40 mn square feet.
Companies Investment Occupation
Reliance Retail US $ 3.77 bn 205 Stores
DLF US $ 4.02 bn 20 large malls
Plaza Center (Israeli) US $ 1.25 bn 50 malls
Spencer US $ 125.89 500 stores
Hypercity 250 stores
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Kids retail
Monalisa, the Versace of kids, coming to India.
International brand Zapp tied up with Raymond
Disney launched exclusive chains, which stockcharacter-based stationery.
Pantaloon's joint venture with Gini & Jony
Swiss kidswear brand Milou is collaborating withTirupur-based Sreeja Hosieries.
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Mobile Industry
Already of US $ 17.33
Growing @ 1520 %
Fastest growing market
Accounting for 8.5 % of worldwide sales
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Cont
Subhiksha and Big Bazaar
Companies Investment
Essar Group US $ 278.56-334.24 bn
Spice Group US $ 123.8 bn
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Discount mall
The retailers coming to India to sell 3040 %
cheaper e.g.
Royal Palms is developing Orchard Roadmall
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Rural Retail: -
Changing
consumption pattern
Increased access to IT
Rising
purchasingpower
Cause of growth
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Cont
It is estimated to cross US $ 45.32 bn by 2010
Govt. of India is also planning to tap US $100 bn
It has double growth then urban
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Agri Retail
ITC after establishing 6,400 kiosks to increase
its e-Choupal footprint
It is already covering 400,000 farmers isplanning
It will be adding 20,000 more kiosks and 10
million farmers. Adani Agrifresh plans to invest US$ 251.79
million in the next three years
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International Retail
Wal-Mart, has tied-up with Sunil Mittal's BhartiEnterprises
Microsoft's first shop-in-shop + Tata Group
Gucci in Mumbai.
Apple Inc + Reliance Retail + "iStore by RelianceDigital".
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FORMAT KEY PLAYERS IN ORGANISED RETAIL
FOOD AND GROCERY Food Bazar, Food World, Subhiksha, Nilgiri, Trinetra, Big Bazaar, Spencer's
FOOD AND BEVERAGE Barista, Caf Coffee Day, Mc Donald's, Pizza Hut, Haldirams
DEPARTMENT STORES Shoppers Stop, Lifestyle, Wetside, Globus, Piramyd
PHARMACY Health and Glow, CRS, 98.4, Apollo Pharmacy
BOOKS, MUSIC & GIFTS Landmark, Crossword, Archies, Music World, Planet M
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Challenges
Behavior
al
pattern
Lack of
Retail
space
Trained
Manpower
Shortage
Discount
ing
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Value of Herfindahl Index- 4003.4935
Index implies high competition amongst players
Market share of the major playersCompanies Market Share (%)
Pantaloons 59.85
Provogue 13.52
Shoppers Stop 10.09
Trent 8.62
Vishal 7.91
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Michel Porter Analysis of Indian Retail Industry
Threat of New Entrant: High to Moderate
In orgainsed sector, licensing is the threat
Increasing demand of Real estate in India
Having Majority of unorganised sectorOnly 51% FDI Allowence
Bargaining power of supplier: Less
The consumers are having in a comfortable position to influence the prices due large in number
Competitive rivalry: High
Since there are too many players in the market so the competitiveness is very high
Due to changing taste of the consumer, the cut throat competition is prevailing
Bargaining power of Buyers: Moderate to High
Owing to having large in number, the buyers are having in a comfortable position to bargain
Owing to having large numbers of unorgainsed players, the buyers are having in a comfortable position to bargai
Since there are some organised sector also in india, so the buyers facilities are moderate
Threat of substitute: High
In retailing there are various sorts of substitution in the market
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Conclusion:-
It will curb inflation
By 2010 it will touch organized sector 10 %
out of total (US $ 30 bn) Govt. allows 51% FDI, so it will be more
competitive
Cheap brand is coming, consumer will bebenefited
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Cont
Predicted mall distribution space in india
30%
27%7%5%
5%
26% Delhi & NCR
Mumbai
Hyderabad
Pune
Bangalore
Tier II cities
Metro cities will bewitnessing a robustgrowth
Globalization andincreasing purchasingpower will boost retailrevenue.
Changing face of Indiawill attract foreignbrands
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