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    RETAIL INDUSTRY 2007By,

    Himanshu S Jha

    Shreeja Banerjee

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    Agenda Definition

    Global Scenario

    Indian Scenario

    Value Chain

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    Cont Growth drivers

    Issues and challenges

    Herfindahl Index

    Michel Porter Analysis

    Outlook

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    Definition: -

    The sale of goods orcommodities in small

    quantities directly toconsumers.

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    Global Scenario Global Industry size exceeding US $ 6.6

    trillion

    Second largest industry in US WalMart the largest retailer in the world

    Annual sales of Wal-Mart US $ 284

    The industry employs 22 mn in America

    The annual sales crosses US $ 3 trillion

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    Indian Scenario Having 300 mn middle class

    families

    Largest among the all the industries

    Contribution of 10% in GDP and

    8% of employment

    4th fastest growing

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    Cont Current size US $ 7.5

    bn in organized

    Growing @ 5%annually

    Food is dominating and

    growing @ 9 %

    annually Only 2 to 4 % is

    organized

    INDIA TOTAL RETAIL MARKET SIZE

    201 204238 278

    321

    368

    421

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250300

    350

    400

    450

    1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008E 2010E

    YEAR

    US$

    bn

    Source: Economic intelligence unit,

    A.T.Kearny analysis

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    Cont Expected to grow 25 % annually

    Investing US $ 3.4 bn Reliance is the largest

    Total market capitalization around US $175200 bn by 2016

    Mobile phone retail industry is having US $16.7 and growing at 20% annually.

    Around US $ 400 bn turn over in overallsector

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    Key factorsR

    E

    A

    S

    O

    N

    S

    F

    O

    R

    G

    R

    O

    W

    T

    H

    Indias booming economy

    Rise in young working population

    Customer aspiration

    More nuclear families in urban areas

    Rise in the no. of workingwomen

    More disposable income

    Western influencesGrowth in expenditure

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    Value Chain

    Raw Mat.

    LogisticsValue

    Added

    Services

    Retail Mgt.

    Institute

    Interior

    Decorator

    ValueChain

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    Underdeveloped Supply chain

    Generic Infrastructure Issue Generic Policy Issue

    Specific Infrastructure Issue Specific Policy Issue

    Inadequate

    UtilitiesIT

    Infrastructure

    Hurdles

    Supply BaseHurdles

    Inadequate HR

    Ltd Consumer

    Insights

    Taxation

    Hurdles

    Real Estate

    Hurdles

    Insufficient.

    Govt.

    Incentives

    Policy Related

    Hurdles

    Key Issues In The Indian Retail Sector

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    Retail Space: -

    Starting from 1 mn square feet, it has reached

    40 mn square feet.

    Companies Investment Occupation

    Reliance Retail US $ 3.77 bn 205 Stores

    DLF US $ 4.02 bn 20 large malls

    Plaza Center (Israeli) US $ 1.25 bn 50 malls

    Spencer US $ 125.89 500 stores

    Hypercity 250 stores

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    Kids retail

    Monalisa, the Versace of kids, coming to India.

    International brand Zapp tied up with Raymond

    Disney launched exclusive chains, which stockcharacter-based stationery.

    Pantaloon's joint venture with Gini & Jony

    Swiss kidswear brand Milou is collaborating withTirupur-based Sreeja Hosieries.

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    Mobile Industry

    Already of US $ 17.33

    Growing @ 1520 %

    Fastest growing market

    Accounting for 8.5 % of worldwide sales

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    Cont

    Subhiksha and Big Bazaar

    Companies Investment

    Essar Group US $ 278.56-334.24 bn

    Spice Group US $ 123.8 bn

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    Discount mall

    The retailers coming to India to sell 3040 %

    cheaper e.g.

    Royal Palms is developing Orchard Roadmall

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    Rural Retail: -

    Changing

    consumption pattern

    Increased access to IT

    Rising

    purchasingpower

    Cause of growth

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    Cont

    It is estimated to cross US $ 45.32 bn by 2010

    Govt. of India is also planning to tap US $100 bn

    It has double growth then urban

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    Agri Retail

    ITC after establishing 6,400 kiosks to increase

    its e-Choupal footprint

    It is already covering 400,000 farmers isplanning

    It will be adding 20,000 more kiosks and 10

    million farmers. Adani Agrifresh plans to invest US$ 251.79

    million in the next three years

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    International Retail

    Wal-Mart, has tied-up with Sunil Mittal's BhartiEnterprises

    Microsoft's first shop-in-shop + Tata Group

    Gucci in Mumbai.

    Apple Inc + Reliance Retail + "iStore by RelianceDigital".

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    FORMAT KEY PLAYERS IN ORGANISED RETAIL

    FOOD AND GROCERY Food Bazar, Food World, Subhiksha, Nilgiri, Trinetra, Big Bazaar, Spencer's

    FOOD AND BEVERAGE Barista, Caf Coffee Day, Mc Donald's, Pizza Hut, Haldirams

    DEPARTMENT STORES Shoppers Stop, Lifestyle, Wetside, Globus, Piramyd

    PHARMACY Health and Glow, CRS, 98.4, Apollo Pharmacy

    BOOKS, MUSIC & GIFTS Landmark, Crossword, Archies, Music World, Planet M

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    Challenges

    Behavior

    al

    pattern

    Lack of

    Retail

    space

    Trained

    Manpower

    Shortage

    Discount

    ing

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    Value of Herfindahl Index- 4003.4935

    Index implies high competition amongst players

    Market share of the major playersCompanies Market Share (%)

    Pantaloons 59.85

    Provogue 13.52

    Shoppers Stop 10.09

    Trent 8.62

    Vishal 7.91

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    Michel Porter Analysis of Indian Retail Industry

    Threat of New Entrant: High to Moderate

    In orgainsed sector, licensing is the threat

    Increasing demand of Real estate in India

    Having Majority of unorganised sectorOnly 51% FDI Allowence

    Bargaining power of supplier: Less

    The consumers are having in a comfortable position to influence the prices due large in number

    Competitive rivalry: High

    Since there are too many players in the market so the competitiveness is very high

    Due to changing taste of the consumer, the cut throat competition is prevailing

    Bargaining power of Buyers: Moderate to High

    Owing to having large in number, the buyers are having in a comfortable position to bargain

    Owing to having large numbers of unorgainsed players, the buyers are having in a comfortable position to bargai

    Since there are some organised sector also in india, so the buyers facilities are moderate

    Threat of substitute: High

    In retailing there are various sorts of substitution in the market

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    Conclusion:-

    It will curb inflation

    By 2010 it will touch organized sector 10 %

    out of total (US $ 30 bn) Govt. allows 51% FDI, so it will be more

    competitive

    Cheap brand is coming, consumer will bebenefited

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    Cont

    Predicted mall distribution space in india

    30%

    27%7%5%

    5%

    26% Delhi & NCR

    Mumbai

    Hyderabad

    Pune

    Bangalore

    Tier II cities

    Metro cities will bewitnessing a robustgrowth

    Globalization andincreasing purchasingpower will boost retailrevenue.

    Changing face of Indiawill attract foreignbrands

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