results 4q16 -...
TRANSCRIPT
RESULTS
4Q16Investor RelationsTelefônica Brasil S.A.
February, 2017
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements concerning future prospects and objectives regarding growth of the subscriber base,a breakdown of the various services tobe offered and their respective results.
The exclusive purpose of such statements is to indicate how we intend to expand our business and they should therefore notbe regarded as guarantees of future performance.
Our actual results may differ materially from those contained in such forward-looking statements, due toa variety of factors, including Brazilian political and economic factors, the developmentof competitive technologies, access to the capital required to achieve those results, and the emergence of strong competition in the markets in which we operate.
For a better understanding, we are presenting pro forma numbers combining TelefônicaBrasil and GVT results for all financial and operational indicators for every periodas of January, 2014.
DISCLAIMER
2 2
25.3%47.9%
FTTH IPTV
YoY
3.9% 3.0%6.2% 5.2%
4Q16 2016
ex-Reg. Eff.
1.8% 1.7%
4.2% 4.0%
4Q16 2016
ex-Reg. Eff.
Total Service RevenueYoY
-1.8% -1.9%
4Q16 2016
33.8% 32.1%
4Q16 2016
4.4 5.7
2015 2016
Recurring EBITDA Margin
Mobile Service Revenue YoYSuperior revenue growth in
4Q16 leveraged by mobile
resulting in consistent evolution in 2016
2016 HIGHLIGHTSAnother quarter of solid performance driving strong results
across the board in 2016
Data centric strategy focused on consolidating leadership in key markets
EBITDA3 growth and margin improvement through synergies and efficiency
Outstanding OpCF increase resulting from higher EBITDA and Capex optimization through synergies
Synergies continue to evolve solidly resulting in R$15.7Bn of NPV already secured (71% of Best Case scenario)
OpCFR$ Billion +28.2%
42%
62%
Recurring Operating CostsYoY
1- Mobile Service Revenues. 2- According to FTTH Council based on number of customers reported on September, 2016. 3- Adjusted for the sale of towers in 1Q16, in the total amount of R$513.5 million, for the provision for organizational restructuring in the total amount of R$101.2 million in 2Q16 and R$19.2 million in 3Q15, and for the provision for organizational changes and real estate reorganizations in 4Q16, in the total amount of R$52.5 million.
7.3%7.1%Rec.
EBITDA YoY
market share in
postpaid
of MSR¹ in
Data
IPTV and FTTH Accesses
FTTH operator in LatAm²
#1
3
In 2016, strict cost control, margin expansion and efficient capex
execution drove strong cash flow generation
KEY FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
R$ million 4Q16 %YoY¹ 2016 %YoY¹
Net Fixed Revenue
Recurrent OpEx³
Recurrent EBITDA³
Net Mobile Service Revenue
Capex Exc. Licenses
EBITDA³ – CAPEX Exc. Licenses
Recurrent EBITDA Margin³ (%)
Net Service Revenue
Capex/Sales (%)
16,970
28,846
13,663
24,343
(0.2)
(1.9)
7.3
3.0
8,004 (3.8)
5,659
32.1% 1.9 p.p.
28.2
41,313 1.7
18.8% (0.9) p.p.
4,281
7,198
3,676
6,316
2,800
876
33.8%
10,597
25.8%
(1.2)
(1.8)
7.1
3.9
18.0
1.9 p.p.
(17.4)
1.8
3.7 p.p.
1- Considers TEF Brasil + GVT figures as of January, 2015. 2- Regulatory impact of tariff cuts (MTR/VC/TU-RL/TU-RIU). 3- Adjusted for the sale of towers in 1Q16, in the total amount of R$513.5 million, for the provision for organizational restructuring in the total amount of R$101.2 million in 2Q16 and R$19.2 million in 3Q15, and for the provision for organizational changes and real estate reorganizations in 4Q16, in the total amount of R$52.5 million.
Free Cash Flow 5,005 36.01,493 (32.0)
Net Income 4,085 22.61,215 9.0
%YoYexc. Reg. impact2
%YoYexc. Reg. impact2
1.4
6.2
4.2
2.4
5.2
4.0
4
52.1%
55.7%57.3%
59.1%
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Double-digit growth in non-voice products brings total service revenues to
a positive trend
Non-voice businesses soared 15.2% yoy in 4Q16…
Mobile Data &Digital Services
UBB TV
4Q15 4Q16
Fixed Voice Mobile Voice
4Q15 4Q16
Non-Voice Services Revenue% over Service Revenue
…supported by resilient evolution in mobile and fixed data
Non-voice Servicesannual growth
Voice Servicesannual growth
-6.7%
23.7%
17.5% 4.6%
5
TOTAL SERVICE REVENUES
-15.7%• Voice revenues
affected by regulation, service maturity and macroeconomic environment
14.9% 16.6% 15.2%YoY
Growth15.7%
1.0% 1.6% 1.8%Total Serv.
Revenues
YoY Growth
2.2%
Continuous expansion of mobile revenues fueled by postpaid growth,
prepaid recovery and higher data contribution
Mobile revenue increase driven by data
1- Simplified view, does not disclose other services revenues. 2- When excluding effect of MTR cuts growth would be 6.2% YoY in 4Q16. 3- Does not
include wholesale, M2M and other services revenues.
Net Mobile Service Revenue¹
R$ Million
2,414 2,246 2,036
3,180 3,613 3,934
413 272 343
6,078 6,132 6,316
4Q15 3Q16 4Q16
3.9%²
3.0%
Data and Digital
Services
Incoming voiceOutgoing voice
Continue to sustain high postpaid growth while prepaid gradually recovers
6
-15.7%
YoY
-17.0%
23.7%
MOBILE REVENUES
Mobile Breakdown
Internet growing 40.7% YoY
30% 28%
70% 72%
4Q15 4Q16
Prepaid Postpaid
Service Revenue
YoY
-2.2 p.p.
+2.2 p.p.
-12% -12%-8%
-4%
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Prepaid Revenue YoY%
Postpaid Revenue³
YoY%
6%10% 9% 8%
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
With a data centric strategy, Vivo continues to evolve solidly in
postpaid accesses while protecting value in prepaid, increasing market
share lead
7
Mobile AccessesThousand
MOBILE ACCESSES BASE
58% 55%
42% 45%
73,268 73,778
4Q15 4Q16
YoY
7%
1%
-4%Prepaid
Postpaid
Total
POSTPAID
MOBILE OPERATING
PREPAID
Postpaid net addsThousand
639870 891
4Q15 3Q16 4Q16
-18.2%
-4.3%
5.1%
15.3%
4Q15 4Q16
Accesses Outgoing ARPU
Reducing churn levels
(postpaid exc. M2M)
1.8%
1.6%
4Q15 4Q16
Bundled Offers
4Q15 4Q16
Increasing penetration of bundlesBundled prepaid customer base YoY%
+44%
Selective approach leading to
positive ARPU EvolutionYoY%
Positive net portability
every month
against all major
players in 2016
Total
Market
Share28.4% 30.2% +1.8 p.p.
-0.2 p.p.+39%
Execution of commercial strategy focused on value and data driving
superior ARPU
MOBILE OPERATING
higher than
competitors average¹
48% 38%
52% 62%
25.8 28.6
4Q15 4Q16
Total ARPUR$ per month
Data
Voice -12.4%
YoY
31.8%
10.8%
Innovative and value driven portfolio of offers…
…builds loyal customer base focused on data…
…and drives solid ARPU growth
100%
of customers
bundled
>70%
of customers
with data
packages
74%Total ARPU
• 5 options with larger data bundles
• Family decision driving higher loyalty
• Higher data usage through shared data plans that can be used by 1 to 6 accesses
• Weekly and monthly offers driving recurrence in top-ups
• No free add-onsdriving additional package acquisitions
• Focused on data with packages from 200Mb to 1Gb per week
PREPAID
POSTPAID
1- Based on numbers published for the 4Q16 by the main competitors and company’s estimations for one of them.
8
2,327 2,097 2,144
464489 486
524585 616
407393 406
611 690 630
4,334 4,254 4,281
4Q15 3Q16 4Q16
-7.9%
YoY
4.6%
17.5%
-0.5%
3.1%
Resilient growth in high value fixed markets
Robust evolution in Ultra Broadband and TV partly compensating voice decline
Net Fixed Revenue
1- Includes voice, interconnection and other services. 2- Corporate Data and IT.
Voice and Others1 Pay TV UBB xDSL Data and IT2
R$ Million
9
FIXED REVENUES
-1.2%
0.6%
Improving mid-term prospects on B2B
1.5%18.4%
50.2%
B2C UBB IPTV
B2C Fixed Service Revenue
4Q16 YoY
• Leveraging fiber expansion
• Improving product portfolio and channels
• Simplifying processes and systems
• Capturing benefits from economic recovery
Sustained growth in B2C business, especially in key fixed services
4.2%2.8%
1.2% 1.4%
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Net Fixed Revenue ex-Reg. Impact
YoY
In 2016, fixed revenue would have grown
every quarter ex-regulatory impact
47% 43%
45% 47%
8% 10%
7,117 7,296
4Q15 4Q16
FTTC
xDSL
BROADBAND
41.1 42.645.2 49.5
43.3 46.5
4Q15 4Q16
xDSL UBB
Broadband ARPU2
R$ per monthYoY
9%
4%
7%
BB Accesses1
Thousand
FTTH
Total
Customer and ARPU trends continue to be solid in higher end fixed
services
10
Fixed AccessesThousand
FIXED ACCESSES BASE
Total
FIXED OPERATING
Pay TV
Broadband
YoY
+3%
-4%
-5%
-2%
Voice
PAY TV
Pay TV AccessesThousand
IPTV
DTH
Total
82.8 90.2103.6 105.6
85.1 93.1
4Q15 4Q16
DTH IPTV
Pay TV ARPUR$ per month
1,617 1,460
171253
1,788 1,713
4Q15 4Q16
YoY
25%
6%
3%
-5%
YoY
2%
9%
9%
YoY
48%
-10%
-4%
63% 61%
30%31%
7% 7%
23,935 23,352
4Q15 4Q16
1- FTTx includes FTTH (Fiber to the Home) and FTTC (Fiber to the Cabinet) accesses.2- Considering ADSL accesses for xDSL and Fiber for UBB.
In 2016 the Company invested in key technologies to sustain superior network quality while reducing Capex level
1- Exclude amounts related to the spectrum payment in the amount of R$185.5 million in 3Q16.
CAPEX
14.3% 16.8% 18.2%25.8%
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Capex/Sales¹
8.4 8.3 8.0
20.9% 19.7% 18.8%
2014 2015 2016
Capex¹R$ Billion and % over Net Revenues
Optimized Capex allocation improving
returns
• Use of big data to drive investment to the
cities/sites with strong concentration of
high-value customers
• Focus on 4G expansion (coverage and
capacity) prioritizing customer experience
• Reduction of unitary costs on FTTH
Improvement on CPE logistics provided
significant Capex avoidance
More than 30% of
Capex planned for
CPEs in 2016 saved
through
refurbishment of
used equipment
Reducing the level of Capex/Sales while
focusing on growth
2015 2016
+29%
Refurbished CPEs (units)
11
Solid execution accelerating expansion in
the 4Q16
213
28
290
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Number of new 4G cities
+10.4x
1- Adjusted for the provision for organizational changes and real estate reorganizations in 4Q16, in the total amount of R$52.5 million. 2- Excludingbad debt.
4Q16 Cost Evolution% over Net Revenues
Synergies and efficiencies continue to reduce costs and increase EBITDA
margin in 4Q16
12
COSTS AND MARGINS
8.5% 8.2%
18.5% 17.9%
2.5% 3.2%
32.2% 31.4%
6.4%5.1%
-2.3%
26.5%
-1.4%
4Q16YoY
+7.1%
-1.8%Recurrent
Operating Costs¹
R$ Million
3.2%
6.3%
-20.1%
Cost of Goods Sold
Services Rendered, G&A and
Others¹
Personnel¹
Bad debt
Commercial Expenses2
Recurrent EBITDA 3,6763,432
4Q16
7,198
4Q15
7,329
IPCA
12M
+1.9 p.p.Recurrent EBITDA Margin 33.8%31.9%
343 344
3.2% 3.2%
3Q16 4Q16
Bad Debt % NOR
Commercial Expenses
• Sales force optimization
• Synergies with unified brand and channels
• Reduced call center costs due to virtualization and improved quality
R$(45)
Personnel
• Savings due to rightsizings in 2015 and 2016 despite higher costs with Insourcing of field services and call center
R$29Services Rendered, G&A and Others
• Interconnection tariff reductions
• Synergies in TV content
• Lower energy costs
R$(47)
Bad Debt
• Credit and collection actions continue to sustain bad debt at stable levels
R$72
1,295 1,348
3.1% 3.2%
2015 2016
Bad Debt % NOR
13
4Q16 Cost Evolution BreakdownR$(131) Million ΔYoY
Cost of Goods Sold
• Selective commercial approach focused on higher value customers in B2C and B2B
R$(139)
344 277
4Q15 4Q16
Subsidy YoY
-19.4%
Solid and consistent cost contention across the board during the quarterCOSTS AND MARGINS
ΔYoY
Net income expansion in 2016 driven mainly by EBITDA growth and
towers' sale
2016 Net IncomeR$ Million and % yoy
7.3%¹REPORTED ∆ YoYR$ Million %
Main variation drivers
D&A increase
Explained by the
higher volume of fixed
assets in the period
due to higher
investments in recent
years
4.6% 11.3% n.a.9.7%
Non-Recurring Items
Positively impacted by the sale of
towers in 1Q16, in the net amount of
R$338.9 million and negatively
impacted by the provision for
organizational restructuring in the net
amount of R$66.8 million in 2Q16,
R$34.6 million in 4Q16 and R$12.7
million in 3Q15
3,331 3,835 4,085
1,058 (335) (126) (94) 250
2015 EBITDA exc.Non-Recurring
Items
D&A Financial Result Taxes 2016 Non-RecurringItems
2016 after Non-Recurring Items
22.6% 11.3%
14
NET INCOME
1- Refers to Recurrent EBITDA evolution reported. For purposes of this build-up, variation excludes net effects of non-recurrent items.
Financial Result
Higher costs due to the non cash
effect from monetary indexation
of contingencies
Net debt reduction related to repayment of
debt and cash generated in the period
Sustained Free Cash Flow¹ generation with improvements
across the board
Strong cash flow generation in all lines supported robust financial
profile and strong shareholder remuneration
15
10.29.2
Dec/15 Dec/16
4.6 4.1
0.36 0.29
Dec/15 Dec/16Net debt Net debt / EBITDA
Gross DebtR$ Billion
-9.8%
YTD
-10.9%
YTD
Net DebtR$ Billion
1- FCF does not include income tax on IOC. 2- Proceeds from the sale of towers, in the net amount of R$562.1 million, expenses from the provisionfor organizational changes, in the amount of R$150.2 million and spectrum payment in the amount of R$185.5 million. 3. The income tax paymentrelated to the IOC paid in August 2016 and to the IOC paid in December 2016 took place in the subsequent month as of the deliberation of eachamount.
FREE CASH FLOW
5,005
227
213
(1,094)
(8,004)
13,663
3,680
(206)
906
(1,434)
(8,319)
12,733
2015 2016R$ Million
EBITDA
(CAPEX)
(Working Capital)
Free Cash Flow
(Interest and Income Taxes)
YoYR$ Million
+929
+315
-693
+433
+340
+1,324
Non-Recurring Items²
R$3.3Bn shareholder remuneration paid during 2016³.
Issuance of debentures in the amount of
R$2Billion on February 8th to improve
debt profile
16
SYNERGIES
NPV
R$ Billion
Strong execution led Vivo to fully secure base case NPV and guarantee 71% of best case scenario
Base Case
167%
113%
114%
41%
107%
% of captured value over:
Best Case
97%
71%
85%
20%
78%
4.45.9 5.0 5.0
3.0
4.14.6
3.2
3.9
6.79.8
6.52.7
5.5
5.5
1.114
22
25
16
Base Case Due Diligence
Best CaseIntegration
Plan
Trending NPV Already Captured
Revenues
Financial
and Tax
Opex
Capex
55%64% 71%
2Q16 3Q16 4Q16
Main drivers for evolution in
4Q16
• Savings generated by additional
restructuring during 2016
• Early migration of leased
circuits through negotiation of
fines with operators
• Gains with renegotiation of
large TV content contracts
already being captured in the
4Q16
Already executed synergy actions to secure 71% of the NPV of Best
Case Scenario
Impact from Operational Synergies in free cash flow amounts to R$1.4Bn
in 2016
1- Net of impact from upfront integration costs. 2- Normalized for the impact of the provision for organizational restructuring in 2Q16, in the totalamount of R$101.2 million. 3- Opex avoidance is not considered for Fiber HP’s.
Direct Cash Flow Synergies1
Capex and Opex
Avoidance Synergies
Indirect Cash Flow Synergies
Impact of Synergies on Opex
Impact of Synergies on EBITDA
Impact of Synergies on Revenues
Impact of Synergies on Capex (net of enabling investments)
Impact on Direct OpCF
Economic gains related to companies’ leveraging on each
other assets, thus avoiding investments and expenses
R$465Impact on
Indirect OpCF
+ Revenues
- Opex
- Capex
+ EBITDA
+ OpCF
17
Million
SYNERGIES
Backbone
(Capex)R$129Million
Backhaul
(Capex)
R$75Million
Fiber HP's
(Capex)R$122Million
Opex
Avoidance3R$139Million
1960
FY15 FY16
-99
12
FY15 FY16
28
366
FY15 FY16
73582
FY15 FY16
100
948
FY15 FY16
2
2
2
Vivo aims to accelerate value creation and sustain absolute leadership
in the Brazilian telecom space
18
STRATEGY
Vision Be the best alternative for connectivity in Brazil
Strategy Totalize customers with a complete, profitable and quality offer
Best internet in and out of home
Digitalization EfficiencyBest customer experience across channels
• Expansion of FTTH network
• Best mobile data coverage (3G,4G…5G)
• Hub for most relevant digital services
• Digital processes end to end
• Leveraging on Big Data
• Lean company model
• Synergies
• Best-in-class stores
• Highly trained field and customer service teams
• Complete self-care
Foundation Continue being the most valuable and aspirational brand
R$4.1 Billion in shareholders remuneration² (+ 24% y-o-y) to be paid in August and December 2017 (based on 2016 results)
Optimized Capex of R$24 Billion from 2017 to 2019
Continuous EBITDA margin improvement through efficiency and synergies
Data Centric strategy driving double-digit growth in Mobile Data & Digital and Fixed UBB revenues¹
19
Main Financial Perspectives 2017
1- Double digit growth refers to the combined revenue growth of mobile data and digital services and ultra broadband.2- Shareholders remunerations of R$4.1 Billion, being R$1.9 Billion in dividends and R$2.2 Billion in interest on capital (Gross amount). Tobe ratified in the Telefonica Brasil’s General Shareholders Meeting of 2017, to be held on April 26, 2017.
For further information:Investor Relations+55 11 3430.3687
[email protected] www.telefonica.com.br/ir