renewables go big big wind christian kjaer chief executive officer european wind energy association...
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Renewables Go BigBig Wind
Christian KjaerChief Executive OfficerEuropean Wind Energy Association European Parliament, 2 September
2009
Global Annual and Cumulative capacity(1996-2008)
Global market for wind turbines in 2008: €35 billion
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
New power capacity additions 1999-2008 (EU-27, GW)
Source: EWEA, EPIA and Platts PowerVision
Total installed: 200 GW
NaturalGas50%
Wind
29%
Photo-Voltaic
4%
FuelOil4%
Nuclear
3%
Hydro
2%
Biomass
2%
Other
1%
100,0
58,9
8,8 7,0 5,8 3,9 3,4 1,8
Coal
5%
10,4
GW
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
New power generating capacity in 2008 (EU, GW)
Source: EWEA, EPIA and Platts PowerVision
Total installed: 23,851 MW
Wind
36%
Gas
29%
FuelOil
10%
Coal
3%
Hydro
2%
Biomass
1%
Other
1%
Nuclear
0,3%
8,484
6,932
2,495
762473 296 149 60
Photo-voltaic18%
4,200
MW
0
25000
50000
75000
100000
125000
150000
Wind development is similar to other power sources
Source: EWEA – IAEE
18 years of global wind energy development (1991-2008)
compared to the first 18 years of nuclear development (1961-1976)
'61'91
'62'92
'63'93
'64'94
'65'95
'66'96
'67'97
'68'98
'69'99
'70'00
'71'01
'72'02
'73'03
'74'04
'75'05
'76'06
'77'07
'78'08
Annual WindAnnual NuclearTotal WindTotal Nuclear
MW
Wind power installed in Europe by end of 2008 (cumulative)
Source: EWEA, Pure Power (March 2008)
Wind Energy in EU-27 – status 2008
• 65 GW installed capacity, incl. 1.47 GW offshore
• Annual installations of 8.5 GW (43% of total), incl. 0.35 GW offshore
• Electricity production of 142 TWh
• Meeting 4.2% of total EU electricity demand
• Providing power equivalent to the needs of 35 million average EU households
• Avoiding 108 Mt of CO2 – equivalent to taking more than 50 million cars off the road (20% of the EU car fleet) and equal to 31% of the EU-15’s Kyoto obligation
• Annual avoided fuel cost of €5.4 billion*
• Annual avoided CO2 costs of approximately €2.4 billion*
• Annual investments in wind turbines of €11 billion*
*Source: Pure Power; Wind Energy Scenarios to 2030; EWEA March 2008; www.EWEA.org
20% Renewable Energy by 2020 requires:• 35% electricity from RES• 25% heating from RES• 10% biofuels from RES
Electricity 2005: 15% incl. 10% large hydro and 3% wind
Excluding large hydro the share of renewable electricity must increase from 5% to app. 25%, in 15 years depending on power demand
How Much Renewable Electricity? How Much Wind Power?
1 EC baseline scenario EU demand (2020): 4163.7 TW/h
March 2009: EWEA increased its 2020 target from 180 GW to 230 GW (incl. 40 GW offshore)
Source: EWEA
Rising energy demand and contribution from wind power
2000: 12.9 GW
2008: 66 GW 2020: 230 GW
Two decades toinstall 0.9% of EUelectricity demand
Demand: 2,577 TWh
Accelerating pace: reaching 4.2%
end 2008
Demand: 3,380 TWh
14%-18%despite growing
demand
Demand: 4,107 TWh
GW 2008level
Average annual EU wind power installations required to reach 230 GW by 2020
02
468
10121416
1820
2008 2009-2010 2011-2015 2016-2020
Source: EWEA
New EWEA Target for the European Union
• 230 GW wind power in 2020(including 40 GW offshore)
• 600 TWh per year by 2020• 14–18 % of EU Electricity Demand
Requires app. €200 bn in non-R&D investments in
2009-2020(€125 bn onshore / €75 bn
offshore)
Three Major Global Challenges• Energy crisis and sustained high fuel prices• Environmental crisis (IPCC: 25-40% CO2 reduction)• Financial crisis
And three major European Challenges:• App. 350 GW of new electricity generating capacity
must be constructed before 2020 (50% of current total)
• Increasing energy imports at higher cost• Ineffective competition in EU power market and
insufficient investment in power infrastructure
Thank you very much for your attention
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