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Reducing your carbon footprint 1© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V.
December 2019
Reducing your carbon footprintAchieving a competitive edge on the road to energy transition
ContentsThe context
Lowering carbon footprint
Corporate sourcing of renewable energy
A proven approach
3
4
6
8
© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 2
Transitioning to a low-carbon economy is seen as the most effective tool to mitigate climate change. The political commitment behind the transition was confirmed by the 2015 Paris Agreement, which demands that global greenhouse gas emissions fall to net zero in the second half of the century (see figure 1).
We are still in the early stages of this transition and it is not yet evident how all the changes and their consequences will play out. However, it is clear that – next to energy companies – large energy intensive corporates have a leading role in significantly reducing emissions, through energy efficiency programs and/or by procuring renewable energy (see figure 2).
The context
Ambitious goals have been set in order to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions
Figure 1Potential emissions reductions by 2050
Figure 2Percentage share of renewable energy in total energy generation
Based on EU
scenarios
71%reduction
419MtCO2e
82%reduction
479MtCO2e
99%reduction
583MtCO2e
Based on Best in class
scenarios
Based on 1.5 °C
agreement compatible scenarios
Em
issi
on
s ex
cl. L
ULU
CF
MtC
O2e
Ren
ewab
le e
ner
gy g
ener
atio
n o
f to
tal g
ener
atio
n %
Historical
Historical share
2000
1500
1000
500
0
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
1990
2015 205020402030
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
45-60%
54-80%
63-98%
49-59%
63-75%
76-95%
59-75%
69-94%
75-100%
Data source for figure 1 and 2: Climate Action Tracker (November 2018)
Scenarios from EU research institutions
Scenario based on Paris Agreement
Practices implemented by frontrunners
© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 3
Every year large corporates spend millions on energy. Outside the energy-intensive industries, the majority of firms treat energy procurement as a cost to be managed rather than a strategic area for risk reduction and value creation.
However a significant amount of companies – primarily in Europe, Asia and the US – already report renewable energy consumption (see figure 3).
Clear ambitions regarding renewable energy targets have been communicated (see figure 4), implying further growth of renewable energy sourcing in the future, among other things, driven by falling costs of renewable energy sourcing.
A large part of the biggest global corporate consumers of energy have renewable energy targets in place, some of them committed to procuring 100% of their electricity from renewable sources (see figure 5).
Lowering carbon footprintCorporates account for two-thirds of the world’s electricity end-use consumption. Switching to 100% renewables is accelerating…
Figure 3Regional overview of companies reporting renewable electricity consumption
Number of companies actively procuring renewable electricity
Number of companies not actively procuring renewable electricity
of 891 companies in
Europe
of 90 companies in
Oceania
of 86 companies in Latin America and Caribbean
of 82 companies in
Africa
of 664 companies in
Asia
of 597 companies in North America
52% 47% 45%
29% 36% 45%
Figure 4Corporate renewable electricity targets by level of ambition
More than 80%
41% - 60%
61% - 80%
21% - 40%
Less than 20%
companies416
226
30
42
106
12
Figure 5 Corporate renewable electricity consumption index
Ele
ctri
city
co
nsu
mp
tio
n f
rom
ren
ewab
le s
ou
rces
% 100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%1 2 3 4 5
Kohl’sCorporation
H&M Hennes& Mauritz AB
Microsoft Corporation
Intel Corporation
Volkswagen AGDeutsche Bahn AG
Sandvik ABCisco Systems, Inc.
Deutsche PostBank of America
Wal Mart de Mexico
Unilever plc
BMW AGSiemens AG
Hewlett-Packard
Tesco
East JapanRailway Company
Honda MotorCompanyDeutsche
Telekom AGWal-Mart Stores, Inc.
Equinix, Inc.
BT Group
Telefonica
Alphabet, Inc.
Apple
Total renewable electricity consumption (TWh)
Renewable electricity target adopted:
Yes 100% targetNo
Data source for figure 3 and 4: Climate Action Tracker (November 2018)Data source for figure 5: IRENA - REmade Index 2018
© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 4
A set of opportunities with different investment characteristics is emerging, creating new services and business models within the energy space for corporates to benefit from.
Main options to lower your company’s carbon footprint
* The net incremental renewable capacity deployed or renewable energy generated as a direct result of corporate sourcing of renewable energy beyond what would occur in its absence.
Additionality*
Figure 6 The market for corporate sourcing of renewables in 2017 reached about 465 terawatt-hours and is spread over 75 countries worldwide
Corporates have multiple options to lower their carbon footprint, varying from energy efficiency projects to the development of own renewable energy generation assets
Certificates
PPA
465TWh
164TWh
114TWh
165TWh
22TWh
Renewable energy assets
Other
Energy efficiency projectsProjects leading to reduced carbon emissions due to decreased energy consumption or less emissions per energy unit
CertificatesAcquisition of bundled or unbundled energy (or carbon offset) certificates
Renewable energy procurement through PPAOff-site installation owned by a third party supplied through grid
Off-site installation owned by a third party supplied through direct cable to facilities
On-site installationowned by a third party supplied through direct cable to facilities
Renewable energy through self-generationOn-site or off-site renewable energy installation owned by the company
Low and uncertain High and propable
Data source for figure 6: IRENA - REmade Index 2018
© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 5
When sourcing renewable energy, corporates face key challenges and need to manage different risk profiles as operations could span different geographies and markets
As such, they have to form views on the main strategic considerations if they are to succeed…
Corporate sourcing of renewable energy
A wide range of technologies and
contracting options presenting complex
choices for decision-makers
Insufficient funding or financing options to meet the targets
on time
Limited experience and capability within the organisation to implement and manage programmes to achieve the renewable
energy targets
Lack of supporting local infrastructure or country-level commitment to manage the
planning process
Technical• Energy supply/demand management• Technology type (wind, solar, hydro,
biomass, geothermal)• Installation type (on-site, off-site)• Operations (owned, outsourced)• Grid access & stability
Social & environmental• Social acceptability regarding e.g. change of
landscape, noise/light pollution• Investment in local infrastructure• Local sourcing and employment• Environmental performance (e.g. carbon
reduction)
Economic• Investment profiles, returns and timelines• Financing structures and partnerships• Contracting strategy (PPA, green tariff, certificates)• Accounting and tax implications
Governance• Legal structure• Operating structures• Division of tasks and risks• Partnership considerations
Variety of investment cases across jurisdictions depending on local prices, taxation, subsidies and/or other financial incentives
Lack of credible technical partners in some geographies
© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 6
Corporate expertise required for renewable energy sourcing…
…and corporate functions to be engaged.
…and they need to secure the right combination of expertise across different functions to develop the most suitable solutions
Finance• Financial modelling & forecasting• Development (of) new business models• M&A support• Reporting & accounting impact assessment • Tax frameworks & incentives
Technology• Technology forecasting & feasibility assessments• Engineering & maintenance• Risk management at global/local levels
Markets• Market analysis & forecasting• Regulatory compliance• Stakeholder engagement• Political climate
Supply chain• Partner analysis• Renewable energy procurement
Governance• Legal/ governance models• Managing (new) operating structures
Strategy
Legal
Accounting
Sustainability
Procurement
Facilities/operations
Finance
© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 7
A proven approach
KPMG has a proven approach backed by advanced optimisation tools to support corporates on their journey towards 100% renewable energy…
• Definition and evaluation of short-term and long-term objectives• Definition and evaluation of key measures to be taken, decision
drivers and corporate constraints: - Strategic - Financing & tax - Technology & operations - Social & environmental
A four-step approach to evaluate/develop local projects:• Baseline calculation• Technical options• Market conditions (sourcing options, pricing, tax &
incentives, readiness & social acceptability)• Commercial/financial models (capex/opex) scenario analysis
• Options for evaluation & decision-making• Projects clustered into short-/long-term sourcing strategy• Financial options development and implications for the
clusters• Definition of go-to-market strategies and programme
governance
• Manage the procurement process and interact with vendors for comparative assessment
• Contracting and negotiations taking into account legal risks related to complex structures
• Develop governance structure and processes
• Validation of most viable options and go-to-market strategy and implications with decision-makers
• Develop short-/long-term roadmap for implementation • Set up programme structure & governance model
Renewable energy sourcing requires an integrated and phased approach
Evaluation of corporate objectives & constraints
Sourcing options & strategy
Develop strategy
Validation & roadmap
Implementation
© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 8
Supply chain• Identification of local solutions,
availability of PPAs and market suppliers • Identification and evaluation of
commercial supplier contracting and deployment models
Markets• Supply-demand analysis, and validation
of company’s share on the grid and implications of going off the grid
• Review of availability of back-up options (resilience, self-generation, grid)
• Determination of regulatory limitations
…which we deploy to deliver optimised strategies, robust implementation roadmaps and governance helping to give your company that vital competitive edge
Finance• Development of a robust and dynamic
financial model to validate all options• Creation of outputs on different
consolidation levels for each individual option
• Reporting implications & implementation considerations
• Assessment of finance structures per juristinction (e.g. equity, debt, green bonds, EnergyCo, etc.)
Examples of activities Examples of deliverables
Technology• Critical review of the overall spread of
technologies from a capex/opex and ‘state of the art’ perspective
• Identification of main technology risks and assessment of performance under local environment
Governance• Implementation roadmaps based on local
insights, and financial and operational criteria
• Determination of sourcing levers and scenarios
• Programme implementation management
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© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 9
The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we endeavor to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation.
© 2019 KPMG Central Services, a Belgian Economic Interest Grouping (“ESV/GIE”) and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Belgium.
Who to contact
Rudolf SteginkEnergy Sector Lead KPMG Netherlands
[email protected]+31 6 5133 4600
Jorn De NeveEnergy Sector Lead Partner KPMG Belgium
[email protected] +32 2 708 47 78
Jaap van RoekelEnergy Sector Lead Partner KPMG Netherlands
[email protected]+31 6 5120 5183
Magali VercammenEnergy Sector Lead KPMG Belgium
[email protected] +32 2 708 47 18