reducing your carbon footprint...2019 km advisory .v. reducing your carbon footprint 4 a set of...

10
December 2019 Reducing your carbon footprint Achieving a competitive edge on the road to energy transition

Upload: others

Post on 31-May-2020

5 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Reducing your carbon footprint...2019 KM Advisory .V. Reducing your carbon footprint 4 A set of opportunities with different investment characteristics is emerging, creating new services

Reducing your carbon footprint 1© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V.

December 2019

Reducing your carbon footprintAchieving a competitive edge on the road to energy transition

Page 2: Reducing your carbon footprint...2019 KM Advisory .V. Reducing your carbon footprint 4 A set of opportunities with different investment characteristics is emerging, creating new services

ContentsThe context

Lowering carbon footprint

Corporate sourcing of renewable energy

A proven approach

3

4

6

8

© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 2

Page 3: Reducing your carbon footprint...2019 KM Advisory .V. Reducing your carbon footprint 4 A set of opportunities with different investment characteristics is emerging, creating new services

Transitioning to a low-carbon economy is seen as the most effective tool to mitigate climate change. The political commitment behind the transition was confirmed by the 2015 Paris Agreement, which demands that global greenhouse gas emissions fall to net zero in the second half of the century (see figure 1).

We are still in the early stages of this transition and it is not yet evident how all the changes and their consequences will play out. However, it is clear that – next to energy companies – large energy intensive corporates have a leading role in significantly reducing emissions, through energy efficiency programs and/or by procuring renewable energy (see figure 2).

The context

Ambitious goals have been set in order to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions

Figure 1Potential emissions reductions by 2050

Figure 2Percentage share of renewable energy in total energy generation

Based on EU

scenarios

71%reduction

419MtCO2e

82%reduction

479MtCO2e

99%reduction

583MtCO2e

Based on Best in class

scenarios

Based on 1.5 °C

agreement compatible scenarios

Em

issi

on

s ex

cl. L

ULU

CF

MtC

O2e

Ren

ewab

le e

ner

gy g

ener

atio

n o

f to

tal g

ener

atio

n %

Historical

Historical share

2000

1500

1000

500

0

100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%

1990

2015 205020402030

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

45-60%

54-80%

63-98%

49-59%

63-75%

76-95%

59-75%

69-94%

75-100%

Data source for figure 1 and 2: Climate Action Tracker (November 2018)

Scenarios from EU research institutions

Scenario based on Paris Agreement

Practices implemented by frontrunners

© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 3

Page 4: Reducing your carbon footprint...2019 KM Advisory .V. Reducing your carbon footprint 4 A set of opportunities with different investment characteristics is emerging, creating new services

Every year large corporates spend millions on energy. Outside the energy-intensive industries, the majority of firms treat energy procurement as a cost to be managed rather than a strategic area for risk reduction and value creation.

However a significant amount of companies – primarily in Europe, Asia and the US – already report renewable energy consumption (see figure 3).

Clear ambitions regarding renewable energy targets have been communicated (see figure 4), implying further growth of renewable energy sourcing in the future, among other things, driven by falling costs of renewable energy sourcing.

A large part of the biggest global corporate consumers of energy have renewable energy targets in place, some of them committed to procuring 100% of their electricity from renewable sources (see figure 5).

Lowering carbon footprintCorporates account for two-thirds of the world’s electricity end-use consumption. Switching to 100% renewables is accelerating…

Figure 3Regional overview of companies reporting renewable electricity consumption

Number of companies actively procuring renewable electricity

Number of companies not actively procuring renewable electricity

of 891 companies in

Europe

of 90 companies in

Oceania

of 86 companies in Latin America and Caribbean

of 82 companies in

Africa

of 664 companies in

Asia

of 597 companies in North America

52% 47% 45%

29% 36% 45%

Figure 4Corporate renewable electricity targets by level of ambition

More than 80%

41% - 60%

61% - 80%

21% - 40%

Less than 20%

companies416

226

30

42

106

12

Figure 5 Corporate renewable electricity consumption index

Ele

ctri

city

co

nsu

mp

tio

n f

rom

ren

ewab

le s

ou

rces

% 100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%1 2 3 4 5

Kohl’sCorporation

H&M Hennes& Mauritz AB

Microsoft Corporation

Intel Corporation

Volkswagen AGDeutsche Bahn AG

Sandvik ABCisco Systems, Inc.

Deutsche PostBank of America

Wal Mart de Mexico

Unilever plc

BMW AGSiemens AG

Hewlett-Packard

Tesco

East JapanRailway Company

Honda MotorCompanyDeutsche

Telekom AGWal-Mart Stores, Inc.

Equinix, Inc.

BT Group

Telefonica

Alphabet, Inc.

Apple

Total renewable electricity consumption (TWh)

Renewable electricity target adopted:

Yes 100% targetNo

Data source for figure 3 and 4: Climate Action Tracker (November 2018)Data source for figure 5: IRENA - REmade Index 2018

© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 4

Page 5: Reducing your carbon footprint...2019 KM Advisory .V. Reducing your carbon footprint 4 A set of opportunities with different investment characteristics is emerging, creating new services

A set of opportunities with different investment characteristics is emerging, creating new services and business models within the energy space for corporates to benefit from.

Main options to lower your company’s carbon footprint

* The net incremental renewable capacity deployed or renewable energy generated as a direct result of corporate sourcing of renewable energy beyond what would occur in its absence.

Additionality*

Figure 6 The market for corporate sourcing of renewables in 2017 reached about 465 terawatt-hours and is spread over 75 countries worldwide

Corporates have multiple options to lower their carbon footprint, varying from energy efficiency projects to the development of own renewable energy generation assets

Certificates

PPA

465TWh

164TWh

114TWh

165TWh

22TWh

Renewable energy assets

Other

Energy efficiency projectsProjects leading to reduced carbon emissions due to decreased energy consumption or less emissions per energy unit

CertificatesAcquisition of bundled or unbundled energy (or carbon offset) certificates

Renewable energy procurement through PPAOff-site installation owned by a third party supplied through grid

Off-site installation owned by a third party supplied through direct cable to facilities

On-site installationowned by a third party supplied through direct cable to facilities

Renewable energy through self-generationOn-site or off-site renewable energy installation owned by the company

Low and uncertain High and propable

Data source for figure 6: IRENA - REmade Index 2018

© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 5

Page 6: Reducing your carbon footprint...2019 KM Advisory .V. Reducing your carbon footprint 4 A set of opportunities with different investment characteristics is emerging, creating new services

When sourcing renewable energy, corporates face key challenges and need to manage different risk profiles as operations could span different geographies and markets

As such, they have to form views on the main strategic considerations if they are to succeed…

Corporate sourcing of renewable energy

A wide range of technologies and

contracting options presenting complex

choices for decision-makers

Insufficient funding or financing options to meet the targets

on time

Limited experience and capability within the organisation to implement and manage programmes to achieve the renewable

energy targets

Lack of supporting local infrastructure or country-level commitment to manage the

planning process

Technical• Energy supply/demand management• Technology type (wind, solar, hydro,

biomass, geothermal)• Installation type (on-site, off-site)• Operations (owned, outsourced)• Grid access & stability

Social & environmental• Social acceptability regarding e.g. change of

landscape, noise/light pollution• Investment in local infrastructure• Local sourcing and employment• Environmental performance (e.g. carbon

reduction)

Economic• Investment profiles, returns and timelines• Financing structures and partnerships• Contracting strategy (PPA, green tariff, certificates)• Accounting and tax implications

Governance• Legal structure• Operating structures• Division of tasks and risks• Partnership considerations

Variety of investment cases across jurisdictions depending on local prices, taxation, subsidies and/or other financial incentives

Lack of credible technical partners in some geographies

© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 6

Page 7: Reducing your carbon footprint...2019 KM Advisory .V. Reducing your carbon footprint 4 A set of opportunities with different investment characteristics is emerging, creating new services

Corporate expertise required for renewable energy sourcing…

…and corporate functions to be engaged.

…and they need to secure the right combination of expertise across different functions to develop the most suitable solutions

Finance• Financial modelling & forecasting• Development (of) new business models• M&A support• Reporting & accounting impact assessment • Tax frameworks & incentives

Technology• Technology forecasting & feasibility assessments• Engineering & maintenance• Risk management at global/local levels

Markets• Market analysis & forecasting• Regulatory compliance• Stakeholder engagement• Political climate

Supply chain• Partner analysis• Renewable energy procurement

Governance• Legal/ governance models• Managing (new) operating structures

Strategy

Legal

Accounting

Sustainability

Procurement

Facilities/operations

Finance

© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 7

Page 8: Reducing your carbon footprint...2019 KM Advisory .V. Reducing your carbon footprint 4 A set of opportunities with different investment characteristics is emerging, creating new services

A proven approach

KPMG has a proven approach backed by advanced optimisation tools to support corporates on their journey towards 100% renewable energy…

• Definition and evaluation of short-term and long-term objectives• Definition and evaluation of key measures to be taken, decision

drivers and corporate constraints: - Strategic - Financing & tax - Technology & operations - Social & environmental

A four-step approach to evaluate/develop local projects:• Baseline calculation• Technical options• Market conditions (sourcing options, pricing, tax &

incentives, readiness & social acceptability)• Commercial/financial models (capex/opex) scenario analysis

• Options for evaluation & decision-making• Projects clustered into short-/long-term sourcing strategy• Financial options development and implications for the

clusters• Definition of go-to-market strategies and programme

governance

• Manage the procurement process and interact with vendors for comparative assessment

• Contracting and negotiations taking into account legal risks related to complex structures

• Develop governance structure and processes

• Validation of most viable options and go-to-market strategy and implications with decision-makers

• Develop short-/long-term roadmap for implementation • Set up programme structure & governance model

Renewable energy sourcing requires an integrated and phased approach

Evaluation of corporate objectives & constraints

Sourcing options & strategy

Develop strategy

Validation & roadmap

Implementation

© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 8

Page 9: Reducing your carbon footprint...2019 KM Advisory .V. Reducing your carbon footprint 4 A set of opportunities with different investment characteristics is emerging, creating new services

Supply chain• Identification of local solutions,

availability of PPAs and market suppliers • Identification and evaluation of

commercial supplier contracting and deployment models

Markets• Supply-demand analysis, and validation

of company’s share on the grid and implications of going off the grid

• Review of availability of back-up options (resilience, self-generation, grid)

• Determination of regulatory limitations

…which we deploy to deliver optimised strategies, robust implementation roadmaps and governance helping to give your company that vital competitive edge

Finance• Development of a robust and dynamic

financial model to validate all options• Creation of outputs on different

consolidation levels for each individual option

• Reporting implications & implementation considerations

• Assessment of finance structures per juristinction (e.g. equity, debt, green bonds, EnergyCo, etc.)

Examples of activities Examples of deliverables

Technology• Critical review of the overall spread of

technologies from a capex/opex and ‘state of the art’ perspective

• Identification of main technology risks and assessment of performance under local environment

Governance• Implementation roadmaps based on local

insights, and financial and operational criteria

• Determination of sourcing levers and scenarios

• Programme implementation management

Note: content of screenshots has intentially been made unreadable

© 2019 KPMG Advisory N.V. Reducing your carbon footprint 9

Page 10: Reducing your carbon footprint...2019 KM Advisory .V. Reducing your carbon footprint 4 A set of opportunities with different investment characteristics is emerging, creating new services

The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we endeavor to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation.

© 2019 KPMG Central Services, a Belgian Economic Interest Grouping (“ESV/GIE”) and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Belgium.

Who to contact

Rudolf SteginkEnergy Sector Lead KPMG Netherlands

[email protected]+31 6 5133 4600

Jorn De NeveEnergy Sector Lead Partner KPMG Belgium

[email protected] +32 2 708 47 78

Jaap van RoekelEnergy Sector Lead Partner KPMG Netherlands

[email protected]+31 6 5120 5183

Magali VercammenEnergy Sector Lead KPMG Belgium

[email protected] +32 2 708 47 18