recalibration of the asphalt layer coefficient

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Recalibration of the Asphalt Layer Coefficient Dr. Davi d H. Tim m, P.E. Mrs. Kendr a Peters-Davis

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Page 1: Recalibration of the Asphalt Layer Coefficient

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Recalibration of the Asphalt

Layer Coefficient

Dr. David H. Timm, P.E.

Mrs. Kendra Peters-Davis

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Overview

• Current ALDOT pavement design based on

 AASHO Road Test

• Structural coefficients (ai) are key inputs

 – Express relative “strength” of component layers

 – Used to determine required thicknesses of layers

• Current ALDOT asphalt coefficients wereofficially set in 1990

 – No changes since then

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Structural Coefficient in DesignSN3 SN2 SN1

SN1 = a1D1

SN2 = a1D1 + a2D2

SN3 = a1D1 + a2D2 + a3D3 D1 = SN1/a1

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 AASHTO Design Equation

07.8log32.2

1

10944.0

5.12.4log

20.01log36.9log

19.5

018  

  R R  M 

SN 

PSI 

SN S  Z W 

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 AASHO HMA Coefficients

Loop Layer Coefficient

(a1)

Test

Sections

R2

2 0.83 44 0.80

3 0.44 60 0.83

4 0.44 60 0.90

5 0.47 60 0.926 0.33 60 0.81

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Current ALDOT Asphalt

Coefficients

Pavement Material Structural Coefficient

Hot Mix Asphalt 0.44

Sand Asphalt 0.40

Road Mix (Low Stability) 0.20

Limestone Agg. Base 0.14

Granite Agg. Base 0.12

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Problem Statement

• Given new advances in mixture technology

(Superpave, SMA, polymer-modification), there

is a need to update the structural coefficient toreflect actual performance in Alabama

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Objectives

1. Quantify sensitivity of design equation

2. Recalibrate equation to match observed

performance

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Scope of Work

• Literature Review

 – Past recalibration efforts

• Sensitivity Analysis

 – Rank variables from most to least important• Recalibration using NCAT Test Track

performance data

 – 2003 and 2006 Test Sections

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Past Recalibration Efforts

• Many studies, few changes

• Most studies focus on computing a1

fromdeflection data

• Previous values range from 0.44 to 0.60

• Previous Test Track study found 0.59

using very thick sections from 2000experiment

 – Calibrated to deflection not performance

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Sensitivity Analysis

Parameter Range

Layer coefficient (a1) 0.20 – 0.60

Traffic level (W18) 1e6 – 1e9 ESALs

Resilient modulus (MR 

) 3,000 – 30,000 psi

Reliability (R) 50% – 99%

Change in serviceability (ΔPSI) 1 – 2.5

Variability (So

) 0.20 – 0.60

• 3-layer pavement (HMA, aggregate base, soil)

• 5,120 thicknesses calculated

• Determined correlation coefficients betweenHMA thickness and input parameters

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Results of Sensitivity AnalysisParameter Correlation Coefficient

Layer coefficient (a1) -0.518Traffic level (W18) 0.483

Resilient modulus (MR ) -0.425

Reliability (R) 0.157Change in serviceability (ΔPSI) -0.141

Variability (So) 0.083

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Recalibration Procedure

 Actual Traffic

(Loads, Repetitions)

 Actual Performance

(weekly IRI measurements)

 IRI ePSI   0041.05

   IRI ePSI   0041.05

SN

a1

 

 IRI ePSI   

0041.05

PSIpt

 AASHTO Design

Equation

Predicted Traffic

 AASHTO ESALEquation

Measured Traffic

Measured Traffic

Predicted Traffic

Uncalibrated

Calibrated

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2006 Test Sections

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

20.022.0

24.0

N1 N2 N3 N4 N5 N6 N7 N8 N9 N10 S11

   A  s   B  u   i   l   t   T   h   i  c   k  n  e  s  s ,

   i  n .

PG 67-22 PG 76-22 PG 76-22 (SMA) PG 76-28 (SMA)

PG 76-28 PG 64-22 PG 64-22 (2% Air Voids) PG 70-22

Limerock Base Granite Base Type 5 Base Track Soil Seale Subgrade

Florida(new)  Alabama & FHWA(left in-place)

Oklahoma

(new)

FHWA

Missouri

(new)

 Alabama

(new)

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N1 PSI vs Date

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

5

28-Jun-03 14-Jan-04 01-Aug-04 17-Feb-05 05-Sep-05 24-Mar-06Date

   P   S   I

LPSI

RPSI

 AvgPSI

Pt

Pt calibration points

PSI

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N3 PSI vs. Date

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

5

28-Jun-03 09-Nov-04 24-Mar-06 06-Aug-07 18-Dec-08Date

   P   S   I

LPSI

RPSI

 AvgPSI

 Actual

Modeled

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N1 – Predicted and Measured Traffic

Predicted ESALs Measured ESALs Difference % Error

802,367 2,267,922 1,465,555 65%

1,126,574 2,837,091 1,710,517 60%1,270,712 2,963,064 1,692,352 57%1,638,661 3,212,141 1,573,480 49%2,340,290 4,321,771 1,981,481 46%

a1 = 0.44 (R2 = 0.08)

Predicted ESALs Measured ESALs Difference % Error

1,314,680 2,224,691 910012 41%2,007,491 2,806,554 799065 28%

2,332,763 2,939,906 607145 21%3,203,489 3,207,147 3661 0%4,996,650 4,353,456 643194 15%

a1 = 0.55 (R2 = 0.74)

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a1 Summary

0.50

0.590.56

0.63 0.620.58

0.48

0.59 0.58

0.43

0.480.44

0.41

0.68

0.54

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

   N   1

   2   0   0   3

   N   1

   2   0   0   6

   N   2

   2   0   0   3

   N   2

   2   0   0   6

   N   3

   2   0   0   3  -   2   0   0   6

   N   4

   2   0   0   3  -   2   0   0   6

   N   5

   2   0   0   6

   N   6

   2   0   0   3  -   2   0   0   6

   N   7

   2   0   0   3  -   2   0   0   6

   N   8

   2   0   0   3

   N   8

   2   0   0   6

   N   9

   2   0   0   6

   N   1   0

   2   0   0   6

   S   1   1

   2   0   0   6

   A  v  e  r  a  g  e

   L  a  y  e  r   C  o  e   f   f   i  c   i  e  n

   t

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Calibrated

0.0E+00

5.0E+06

1.0E+07

1.5E+07

2.0E+07

0.0E+00 5.0E+06 1.0E+07 1.5E+07 2.0E+07

Measured ESALs

   P  r  e   d   i  c

   t  e   d   E   S   A   L  s

N1 2003

N1 2006

N2 2003

N2 2006N3 2003-2006

N4 2003-2006

N5 2006

N6 2003-2006

N7 2003-2006

N8 2003

N8 2006

N9 2006

N10 2006S11 2006

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Effect on Pavement Design

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1,000,000 10,000,000 100,000,000 1,000,000,000

ESALs

   H   M   A

   D  e  p   t   h   (   i  n   )

a1 = 0.44

a1 = 0.54

18.5% Thinner 

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Minimum Thickness

• Not calibrated for thicknesses < 5”

• Need recommendation for thinner sections

• Lower volume recommendation – If new coefficient (0.54) results in thickness

< 5”, use old coefficient (0.44)

• If resulting thickness > 5”; use 5”

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Conclusions

• New advances in mix design technologywarrants recalibrating structural coefficient of

HMA

• Structural coefficient has greatest impact of

all design variables on pavement thickness

• Recalibration using NCAT Test Track dataresulted in average a1 = 0.54

 – Believed to be conservative estimate

• Using 0.54 instead of 0.44 yields 18.5%

reduction in HMA thickness

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Structural Coefficient Status

• ALDOT has implemented new coefficient

for rehabilitation/overlay design

• ALDOT will soon implement new

coefficient on all new construction

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Washington State DOT Design

Table

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 Acknowledgements