racial & ethnic politics semester project guide
DESCRIPTION
Racial & Ethnic Politics Semester Project Guide. Accessing Project Files. All project files can be found on the class website. www.lmu.edu/csla Click on “Classes” link on left panel Use LMU login. Purpose of Project. Does ethnicity, race and gender play a part in how Angelenos vote? - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Racial & Ethnic Politics
Semester Project Guide
Accessing Project FilesAll project files can be found on the class
website.• www.lmu.edu/csla• Click on “Classes” link on left panel• Use LMU login
Purpose of Project
Does ethnicity, race and gender play a part in how Angelenos vote?
How?
MethodologyResearch Design
SamplingData CollectionData ProcessingData Analysis
Research Design & SamplingThis Semester Project
+2008 Presidential Election Exit Poll
2010 Gubernatorial Election Exit Poll2012 Presidential Election Exit Poll
Data Collection & Processing
November 6, 2012 Presidential Election Exit Poll
Data AnalysisWhat:
2008, 2010, and 2012 Exit Poll Questions &
Demographic CategoriesHow:
Project, Presentations, & Final Paper
Launchpad for Project• Did ethnicity, race and/or gender
play a part in how Angelenos voted for or against Governor Brown and President Obama in 2008, 2010, and in 2012?• If so, how?
In a Nutshell• Look at past exit poll data• Perform trend analysis in your
team and on your own• Make a prediction about 2012
election• Participate in exit poll• Assess your 2012 prediction• Present in a group about how LA
votes
Easy Like Sunday Morning.
*For the pop culture challenged that’s Lionel Richie and he wrote a song called “Easy” with
The Commodores.
In Depth Project Overview1. Select Teams2. Choose Variables3. Create Task List4. Create Annotated Bibliography5. Visually Represent Poll Data6. Make a Prediction7. Collect 2012 Poll Data8. Assess Prediction9. Outline Presentation10. Present with Your Team
Teams• African American• Asian American• Latino• White• Gender
Scope of Data AvailableSince 2012 poll data hasn’t been collected yet, you will be analyzing the following data before the November 6 election:• 2008 Presidential Election Exit Poll• 2010 Gubernatorial Election Exit
Poll
Dependent Variable• Did ethnicity, race and/or gender
play a part in how Angelenos voted for or against Governor Brown and President Obama in 2008 and 2010?• In other words, did x vote for or
against y in 2008 and 2010–Ethnic group or Gender = x–President Obama or Governor Brown
= y
Independent VariablesUsing 2008, 2010, and 2012 data each team will look at :• Ethnicity or Gender• Income• Education • Individual Demographic Variable• Individual Voter Opinion Variable
Variables Explored in Teams
Ethnicity or
GenderIncome Education
You will explore the following independent variables for 2008 and
2010 in your presentation teams
Did x vote for or against y in 2008 and 2010 relative to each of these
variables?
Team Variables• Ethnicity or Gender–Cumulative opinion of group
• Income–Group opinion based on income
• Education–Group opinion based on education
Variables Explored Individually
Voter Opinion Variable
Demographic Variable
You will explore the following independent
variables individually for 2008 and 2010.
Did x vote for or against y in 2008 and 2010 relative to each of these
variables?
Individual Variables• Demographic Variable–Additional demographic variable, e.g.
political party, age, religion, etc.• Voter Opinion Variable–Specific opinion question from survey, i.e. whom or what they voted for or against, e.g. other candidates, propositions, and measures
Data Analysis RequirementsYou will create crosstabs with your team and individual variables. • 3 team crosstabs per year = 6
crosstabs• 2 individual crosstabs per year = 4
crosstabs• As a group = 20 crosstabs total
<30K 30-50K 50-70K 70-90K 100K+29.6% 35.4% 33.6% 43.5% 41.6%12.3% 15.0% 17.5% 10.4% 18.6%53.6% 43.2% 43.0% 41.6% 34.4%4.5% 6.4% 6.0% 4.4% 5.4%
Name: Berto SolisTheme: Quality of Life
Demographic: Income
Overall, do you feel things in the City of Los Angeles are going in the right direction or the wrong direction?
<INSERT CHART HERE>
Survey Year: 1997Sample Size: 650
100.0%
Source:Guerra, Fernando; Marks, Mara. (1997). 1997 Los Angeles Riots 5th Anniversary Resident Follow Up Survey Report: Final Topline Results. Thomas and Dorothy Leavey Center for the Study of Los
Angeles, Loyola Marymount University, Los Angeles California.
Right DirectionStaying the SameWrong Direction
DK/NA
Total31.9%14.8%47.8%5.5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
<30K 30-50K 50-70K 70-90K 100K+
PERC
ENTA
GE
INCOME
Overall, do you feel things in the City of Los Angeles are going in the right direction or
the wrong direction?
Right DirectionStaying the SameWrong DirectionDK/NA
Crosstabs
Visualized Data
Create a Task ListDivide and conquer this project. Due next week: using the semester project guide and this presentation, draft a task list organized by:• Deadlines• Scheduling meeting times with
team• Scheduling meeting times with me
Annotated BibliographyBibliographical data with a short description of the content. At least 9 references:• 3 team references, corresponding
to team variables• 6 individual references– 2 for demographic variable for 2008-2010– 2 for 2008 public opinion variable– 2 for 2010 public opinion variable
Visualizing Exit Poll Data2008 and 2010 data will be available next week, in SPSS format. In the meantime, research your team and individual variables and work on your annotated bibliography.
Here’s an intro to SPSS and why you’ll have to schedule a time to meet with me after next week to work on visualizations.
SPSS“Statistical Package for the Social
Sciences”• Acronym obsolete, just “SPSS”
now• Powerful data analysis tool• Will generate crosstabs from
large datasets
SPSS Crosstabs
How to Make Crosstabs with SPSS
Making a PredictionUsing annotated bibliography data and visualizations, make a prediction about the 2012 election.
In Other Words…• Did ethnicity, race and/or gender
play a part in how Angelenos voted for or against President Obama in 2012?• If so, how?
November 6, 2012 Presidential Election
Exit Poll!
Assess Your Prediction• Was your prediction accurate?• What external factors influenced
the election?
Group Presentation Outline• One introductory slide• Three group slides corresponding to the
three group variables• Ten slides, two per individually chosen
demographic and exit poll question variable• One conclusion slide• GREATEST HITS ONLY
Group PresentationsBased on your joint research, provide a detailed, succinct, and brief overview of the ethnic vote in Los Angeles in 2012, using the above outline as a guide and limited to 15 slides.
Easy Like Sunday Morning.
*For the pop culture challenged that’s Lionel Richie and he wrote a song called “Easy” with
The Commodores.