pv power plant project development and implementation...
TRANSCRIPT
PV Power Plant Project Development and Implementation in Southeast Asia
Renewable Energy Asia Exhibition – 6th June, 2012
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Presentation outline
PV Power Plant Project Development Experiences
Key risks/issues to beware of and the mitigation measures, particularly in Asia
Key components of a PV farm
The PV project development process
Typical business models and financing structures
Q & A
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Case studies on PV project developments
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The PV project development process 10 good reasons to switch to solar photovoltaic electricity
1. The fuel is free
2. It produces no noise, harmful emissions or polluting gases
3. PV systems are very safe and highly reliable
4. The energy pay-back time of a module is constantly decreasing
5. PV Modules can be recycled and therefore the materials reused in the production
6. It requires low maintenance
7. It brings electricity to remote rural areas
8. It can be aesthetically integrated in buildings (BIPV)
9. It creates thousands of jobs
10. It contributes to improving the security of Asia's energy supply
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PV module price experience curve Evolution of prices of large PV systems
Current Solar Power Status
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Levelised cost of electricity (LCOE) Development of utility prices & PV generation costs
PV Electricity Generation Cost
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Global Cumulative Installed Capacity Share (MW; %) Evolution of Global Annual Market Scenario per Region (MW)
Solar Power Global Market..
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World map of global cumulative capacity showing the accelerated and paradigm shift scenarios by region
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Detailed Annual Historical Market Data and Outlook for Asia Pacific
Source: EPIA, May 2012
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Detailed Cumulative Market Data and Outlook for Asia Pacific
Source: EPIA, May 2012
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Source: EPIA, May 2012
Global Annual Cumulative Installed Capacity per Region (MW)
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Thailand’s Solar Installation Trend
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The Photovoltaic technology can be used in several types of applications:
Grid-Connected Power Plants
Grid-connected domestic systems
Consumer goods
Off-grid systems for rural electrification
Off-grid industrial applications
Solar Farms also known as PV farms, BIPV and roof- top PV systems or so called large-scale centralized PV grid connected systems produce electricity from the sun and sell the electricity to the utility grid.
PV Applications
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| Project Considerations | Areas with rich solar resources | Areas where the electrical grid is unavailable or unreliable | Access to transmission lines
| More distributed | Large Plants
| Key Project Risks | Component breakdown (e.g. Short-circuit) | Weather damage | Theft/Vandalism
| Risk management considerations | Performance guarantee available (e.g. Up to 25 years) | Standard components/Easy substitution | Maintenance can be neglected
| Other considerations in SEA: Political and Financial | Political and bureaucratic hurdles – Lack of transparency projects driven by government | Financial – PV not competitive to grid electricity | Quality control – Lack best practice standards
General Considerations for Large Scale PV Projects
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l Find reliable power purchaser and/or markets l Determine the pre-feasibility and expected output l Obtain all licenses like for example: PPA, grid connection and other local licenses l Secure the land; buy or lease decision
1st Step: Pre-Development
2nd Step: Technical
l System installation l Secure agreements to meet all O&M needs l Connect the system to the grid l Finalize all documents and approvals to start the actual electricity sales
4th Step: Implementation
l Select the most efficient technology for the chosen location l Find a reliable turn-key contractor l Obtain binding proposals l Select all suppliers and contractors
l Prepare a full feasibility study and business plans l Establish access to capital and banks l Sign all finance related contracts l Sign EPC contract and order all components
3rd Step: Finance
The PV Project Development Process
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Modules Modules
Wafer technology 90 % market share Wafer technology
90 % market share
Mono-crystalline Efficiency = 16-19%
Mono-crystalline Efficiency = 16-19%
Polycrystalline Efficiency = 14-15%
Polycrystalline Efficiency = 14-15%
Thin-Film technology
10 % market share
Thin-Film technology
10 % market share
A-SI:H Efficiency = 4-8%
A-SI:H Efficiency = 4-8%
Micro-Crystalline Efficiency = 7-9% Micro-Crystalline
Efficiency = 7-9% CdTe
Efficiency = 10-11% CdTe
Efficiency = 10-11% CIS
Efficiency = 7 - 12% CIS
Efficiency = 7 - 12%
CPV Efficiency = 25%
CPV Efficiency = 25%
Module Types and Technologies
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Decentralized System Design Centralized System Design
| Suitable for systems in the lower MW range | Easy to install | Less complicated to maintain | Especially suitable for systems with different integrated solar generator types | High output efficiencies
| Suitable for systems in the multi-MW range | More cost efficient for large scale power plants | Especially suitable for systems with homogeneous solar generator types | High output efficiencies
Centralized or Decentralized System Design
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Static system 1-axis
2-axis
Output 100% 115 % 125%
Occupied area 100% 100-120% 200%
Maintenance 1 2 3
Cost 100% 106% 120%
Mounting Systems
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| Monitoring of central inverters, tracking system and connection boxes | Readout of inverter and string data | Shows system status of all components
and initiates alarm
Internet portal Analysis software Alarm function
Monitoring and Control
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Project Finance is “A funding structure that relies on future cash flows from a specific project as the primary source of repayment with that project‘s assets and rights held as collateral security.” Five key components are: | Cash flow predictions | Risk allocation agreements | Funding and repayment mechanisms | Legal security and provisions | Project reporting and compliances
Typical Business Models and Financing Structure
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Political Risk Insurance
Technical/Commercial Syndicate Bank n
Syndicate Bank 2
Syndicate Bank 1
SPV Special Project Vehicle
Operations and Maintenance (O&M)
Operator Government
Off take: Utility or Markets?
Banks: Lead Arranger
Insurances Land owner
EPC Contractor
Sponsor = Equity Investor
Contractual Situation in Typical PV Project Finance Structure
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SPV A P
RE Plant Equity Debt
Investor
Bank Debt Facility Debt Facility
Pledge all rights and securities Pledge all rights and securities
Annex Power Annex Power
EPC (PD?) EPC
(PD?)
General Non-Recourse Structure
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Project Document on “Financial” side
| Direct Agreements | The loan / Agreement | The share Purchase Agreement
Bank ability criteria
| Back-to-Back structure – Interactive with other Agreements
| Fixed price (“Lump sum”) | Payment – Procedure – Security | Currency | Parent Company Guarantee | Standard Bonds | Technical requirements fully agreed | Fixed delivery date | Suspension and Interruption of Performance | Performance Guarantees | Political risk | Force Majeure | Defects of liability > Caps
Project Document on “Project” side
| Lease Agreement(s) | Off-Take Agreement | EPC Contract | Operation & Maintenance Agreement | Reports (light studies) | Insurance | Building permit | Environmental Studies (if applicable)
| Technical Report (technical DD) | Legal report (legal DD)
Overview Documents
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| Special component certification requirements by the local authorities
| Grid-connection related problems | Component supply shortages
| Select only components which fullfill all local requirements | Build a close relationship the local grid owner | Use strong suppliers and EPC partners
| Banks have limited experiences in PV debt financing, structures and risks | Special country related documentation is normally needed | There is only a limited amount of equity investors for PV projects in Asia
| Early relationship building with the bank is crucial | Detailed, creditable and in-depth documentation | Early relationship building with possible equity partners is a crucial
| Local suppliers could be protected by high duties or other regulations | High country and political risks | Higher risk for sudden changes in the subsidy policies
| Use of local suppliers for key-components | Use of local banks and investors | Use of local government funding and support
Technical
Financial
Government
Project Phase Key Risks Mitigation Strategies
Key Risk Factors and Mitigation Strategies for PV Projects in Asia
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| Location: Ayutthaya, Thailand
| Project Area: 69,000 m²
| Expected Annual Output: 4,463 MWh/year
| System Type: Fixed Decentralized System
| Module Type: Thin Film - 40,075 Modules
| Construction Period: | 1st Phase: 3 months | 2nd Phase: 5 months
| EPC Contractor: Annex Power (Thailand)
| One of the largest commercial PV power plants currently under construction in SEA
Project Name: Thailand 3 MWp Power Plant
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| Location: Lopburi, Thailand
| Size: 2.376 MWp
| Project Area: 43,000 m²
| Expected Annual Output: 3,500 MWh/year
| System Type: Fixed Decentralized System
| Module Type: Polycrystalline -10,800 Modules
| Construction Period: 6 months
| Annex Power Function: EPC and O&M
| Year of Execution: 2011
Project Name: Thailand 2.376 MWp Power Plant
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| Location: Nakhon Prathom, Thailand
| Size: 3.85 MWp
| Project Area: 56,000 m²
| Expected Annual Output: 5,600 MWh/year
| System Type: Fixed Decentralized System
| Module Type: Polycrystalline - 16,240 Modules
| Construction Period: 4 months
| Annex Power Function: EPC and O&M
| Year of Execution: 2012
One of the largest commercial PV power plants currently under construction in SEA
Project Name: Thailand 3.85 MWp Power Plant
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| Location: Nakhon Prathom, Thailand
| Size: 9 MWp
| Project Area: 128,000 m²
| Expected Annual Output: 13,927 MWh/year
| System Type: Fixed Decentralized System
| Module Type: Polycrystalline – 40,000 Modules
| Construction Period: 6 months
| Annex Power Function: EPC and O&M
| Year of Execution: 2012
One of the largest commercial PV power plants currently under construction in SEA
Project Name: Thailand 9 MWp Power Plant
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| Location: Lopburi, Thailand
| Size: 2.376 MWp
| Project Area: 43,000 m²
| Expected Annual Output: 3,500 MWh/year
| System Type: Fixed Decentralized System
| Module Type: Polycrystalline -10,800 Modules
| Construction Period: 6 months
| Annex Power Function: EPC and O&M
| Year of Execution: 2011
Project Name: Thailand 2.376 MWp Power Plant II
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| Location: Khon Kaen, Thailand
| Size: 1.2 MWp
| Project Area: 17,750 m²
| Expected Annual Output: 1,920 MWh/year
| System Type: Fixed Decentralized System
| Module Type: Thin Film – 12,964 Modules
| Construction Period: 4 months
| Annex Power Function: EPC and O&M
| Year of Execution: Mid 2012
Under Construction
Project Name: Thailand 1.2 MWp Power Plant
YOUR RENEWABLE ENERGY PARTNER IN SOUTH EAST ASIA For additional information please contact Mr. Daniel Gaefke at [email protected] or via telephone: +66 (0) 2 660 6800