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    Guest Editorial

    Prophylactic aspirin and public health

    Low-dose aspirin prophylaxis is widely promoted for

    patients who have evidence of vascular disease, together

    with subjects who have a raised vascular risk score. The use

    of prophylactic aspirin by healthy subjects is however con-

    troversial on the grounds that the number of vascular events

    likely to be prevented can be close to the number of haem-

    orrhagic episodes likely to be precipitated by the drug.1

    A number of large-scale prospective studies have now

    given evidence that aspirin also reduces cancer incidence. Its

    use for this purpose is however controversial, again on the

    basis of the risk of haemorrhage.2

    These risk/benefit evaluations appear to be based on the

    assumption that a bleed can be equated with a heart attack,

    a stroke or a cancer. With regard to both severity and seque-

    lae this can clearly be challenged, and a comment in one of

    the major overviews of aspirin trials is apposite: . . . the al-

    ternative to primary prevention is deferral. . . .. [but] the

    first manifestation[s] of disease might be a disabling or fatal

    event.3

    Evidence from an overview of primary vascular rando-

    mized trials

    4

    shows that the risk of death from gastrointes-tinal bleeding in subjects randomized to aspirin (4 per 100

    000 subjects per year) is almost identical to that in subjects

    who had been randomized to placebo (5 per 100 000 per

    year).5 The report of one of the largest meta-analysis con-

    firms this: . . . there were actually fewer fatal bleeds in parti-

    cipants allocated to aspirin than in the controls (nine vs

    twenty).6 This absence of a difference in mortality suggests

    that bleeds caused by aspirin are not the most serious.

    Furthermore, the long-term follow-up by Rothwell et al.,7

    based on 51 randomized trials, shows a marked and signifi-

    cant decrease over the first few years in bleeding attributable

    to aspirin.On the basis of vascular risk alone, recommendations

    have been made,810 and challenged,11 that prophylactic

    aspirin be considered by subjects over the age of50 years.

    For cancer prevention, Rothwell et al.12 recommend aspirin

    from the age of45 years. In fact, population surveys show

    that many older people have made their decision and about

    one-third in people in Wales,13,14 and rather more in the

    USA15 state that they take aspirin regularly.

    McKee and Raine16 have pointed out, with reference to

    choices about health, first choose your philosophy. We

    believe that the appropriate philosophy in relation to health

    care is that while the treatment of disease has been delegated

    to health-care professionals, low-dose aspirin is prophylactic

    and whether or not to take it is ultimately the responsibility

    of subjects themselvesjust as non-smoking, dietary choice

    and regular physical activity are a subjects own choice. The

    responsibility of health-care practitioners is therefore to

    ensure that adequate information on risks and benefits of all

    prophylactic measures is made widely available to enable

    people to make informed decisions about the protection oftheir own health. As a recent editorial commented: a deci-

    sion on whether or not a patient should take an aspirin

    requires a robust discussion of its benefits and harms . . . .

    [and] the elicitation of patient preferences.17

    Lenaghan et al.18 has urged that decision-makers at a local

    and national level should take time and make an effort to

    obtain informed comment from groups representative of

    the general public, and should not only listen to but should

    act on the voice of the public. A Citizens Jury conducted a

    few years ago under the title: My Health whose responsi-

    bility? used low-dose aspirin as an example of a prophylac-

    tic medicine.19

    The verdicts of 16 jurors, chosen to berepresentative of the general public, stated that public money

    should be spent on informing people about the risks and

    benefits of low-dose aspirin, and although at the time of

    that jury (2006) the available evidence on the reduction of

    cancer by aspirin was only suggestive, the jurors stated that

    the evidence on the risks and possible benefits of prophylac-

    tic drugs should be made available to the public . . . . even

    before there is agreement amongst doctors (our italics).

    The Wanless report on Securing good health for the

    whole population20 stated that health services in the UK

    are unsustainable in their current form unless members of

    the public are fully engaged and take responsibility for theirown health. The role of prophylactic aspirin, and how it

    might be handled within health care is being intensely

    debated in clinical circles and amongst epidemiologists. For

    Peter Elwood, Honorary Professor

    Marcus Longley, Professor of Applied Health Policy

    320 # The Author 2012, Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Faculty of Public Health. All rights reserved.

    Journal of Publi c Health | Vol. 34, No. 3, pp. 320 32 1 | doi:10.1093/pubmed/fds051 | Advance Access Publication 21 June 2012

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    people generally, the distinction between a medicine such as

    aspirin and other preventive approaches is arbitraryall are

    readily available consumer choices, and all carry potential,

    but uncertain risks and benefits.

    It is time that public health specialists engage with this

    issue to help people understand the evidence and ensure

    that members of the general public are equipped to makeinformed choices on issues of enormous potential to health.

    Peter Elwood1, Marcus Longley2

    1Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Cardiff

    University, Cardiff, UK

    E-mail: [email protected] Institute for Health and Social Care, University of

    Glamorgan, Pontypridd, UK

    References1 Drugs and Therapeutic Bulletin. Aspirin for primary prevention of

    cardiovascular disease? 2009;47:1225.

    2 Kurth T. Aspirin and cancer prevention. BMJ 2012;344:e2480.

    3 Antithrombotic Trialists Collaboration. Aspirin in the primary and

    secondary prevention of vascular disease: collaborative meta-analysis

    of individual participant data from randomised trials. Lancet

    2009;373:184960.

    4 Guise J-M, Mahon SM, Aicken M et al. Aspirin for the prevention

    of cardiovascular events: a summary of the evidence. Ann Intern

    Med 2002;136:16172.

    5 Morgan G. Aspirin for the prevention of vascular events. Public

    Health2009;123:787818.6 Antithrombotic Trialists Collaboration. Collective meta-analysis of

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    myocardial infarction and stroke in high risk patients. BMJ

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    7 Rothwell PM, Price JF, Fowkes FGR et al. Short-term effects of

    daily aspirin on cancer incidence, mortality and non-vascular death:

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    trials. Lancet2012; doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(11)61720-0.

    8 Elwood P, Morgan G, Brown G et al. Aspirin for all over 50? For.

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    12 Rothwell PM, Fowkes FGR, Belch JFF et al. Effect of daily aspirin

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    18 Lenaghan J, New B, Mitchell E. Setting priorities: is there a role for

    Citizens juries? BMJ 1996;312:15913.

    19 Elwood PC, Longley M. My healthwhose responsibility: a jury

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    GU EST EDI T O R I AL 321