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Profile of the Midland Region Skills and Labour Market Research Unit (SLMRU), SOLAS [email protected] 1

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Page 1: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Profile of the Midland Region

Skills and Labour Market Research Unit (SLMRU), SOLAS

[email protected]

1

Page 2: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Introduction

The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to be based on the shared understanding of the labour market they are operating in. Both sides represent the key players in relation to the local labour markets, one on the side of the demand for skills (employers) and one on the side of the supply of skills (education and training providers). The availability of labour market information is critical in ensuring that the engagement between the education and training providers and employers results in an evidence-based, well-informed dialogue about the issues regarding the supply and demand for skills and a mutual agreement on how best to resolve issues identified.

The labour market information presented here is aimed at providing a starting point in relation to the evidence upon which the engagement should be based. It contains a selection of tables, charts and info-graphics on each region’s economy (GVA, income, enterprise base), labour market indicators (employment rate, unemployment rate etc.), demand (employment trends, profile of recent hires, vacancies, immigration statistics, estimates of recruitment requirement by broad skill group) and supply (graduate output and unemployment). It also provides an overview of some issues identified through recent analysis of the labour market, including skill shortages and labour turnover.

The data and analysis presented here has been prepared using the data held in the National Skills Database, which collates a wide range of datasets and models on demand and supply of labour at occupational level. This includes data from the Central Statistics Office, Department of Education and Skills, Department of Social Protection, Department of Jobs, Enterprise and Innovation and a number of models for labour market analysis developed by the SLMRU, including the Labour Market Transitions Model and Occupational Employment Projections Model.

The information will be updated in line with the availability of updates of the underlying data sets.

Skills and Labour Market Research Unit (SLMRU), SOLAS

May 2017

[email protected]

2

Page 3: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Contents

• Regional profile – GVA – Incomes – Active enterprises – Medium-large employers

• Labour market indicators • Demand

– Employment – Hires – Vacancies – Employment permits to non-EEA nationals – Job announcements – Employment projections – Expansion, replacement and recruitment requirement

• Supply – Education and training – Live Register – Job ready job seekers – Unemployment

• Issues identified – Skill and labour shortages – Turnover

3

Page 4: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Gross Value Added (GVA) by region at basic prices (euro million)

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2014

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

Dubl

in

Sout

h-W

est

Mid

-Eas

t

Sout

h-Ea

st

Wes

t

Mid

-Wes

t

Bord

er

Mid

land

2007

2013

2014

4

Page 5: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Gross Value Added (GVA) at basic prices by region and sector

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2014

GVA at basic prices by region and sector, 2014 (euro million) Sectoral distribution of regional GVA at basic prices, 2014

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Dubl

in

Sout

h-Ea

st

Mid

land

Bord

er

Mid

-Eas

t

Mid

-Wes

t

Wes

t

Sout

h-W

est

Market & non-market services

Manufacturing, building & construction

Agriculture, forestry & fishing

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000Du

blin

Sout

h-W

est

Mid

-Eas

t

Sout

h-Ea

st

Mid

-Wes

t

Wes

t

Bord

er

Mid

land

Market & non-market services Manufacturing, building & construction Agriculture, forestry & fishing

5

Page 6: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

GVA per person at basic prices (euro)

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2014

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

Dubl

in

Sout

h-W

est

Mid

-Wes

t

Mid

-Eas

t

Wes

t

Sout

h-Ea

st

Mid

land

Bord

er

2007

2013

2014

6

Page 7: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Indices of Gross Value Added (GVA) per person at basic prices by region (State = 100)

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2014

Dublin

Mid-East

Border

Midland

West

Mid-West

South-East

South-West

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

18020

00

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

State = 100

7

Page 8: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Disposable income per person by region, 2000-2014 (euro)

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2014

2008 2012 2013 2014 % change 2013-2014

% change 2008-2014

% of State average

(2014)

% Deviation from State

average (2014)

Westmeath 20,386 17,653 16,948 17,408 2.7% -14.6% 90.8% -9.2% Laois 21,610 17,327 17,152 17,365 1.2% -19.6% 90.5% -9.5%

Longford 20,369 17,322 16,839 16,663 -1.0% -18.2% 86.9% -13.1%

Offaly 19,903 16,563 16,176 16,460 1.8% -17.3% 85.8% -14.2% Midland 20,567 17,219 16,782 17,035 1.5% -17.2% 88.8% -11.2% State 22,504 19,190 18,536 19,178 3.5% -14.8% 100.0%

State

Border

Dublin

Mid-East Midland

West

Mid-West

South-East South-West

10,00012,00014,00016,00018,00020,00022,00024,00026,000

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

8

Page 9: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Disposable income per person by county, percentage deviation from the State average, 2014

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2014

-21.5% -15.1%

-14.5% -14.2%

-13.1% -11.9% -11.5%

-10.3% -10.1%

-9.5% -9.2%

-8.4% -8.1%

-6.8% -6.5%

-5.4% -5.4% -5.0% -4.6%

-3.4% -2.6%

-1.7% -1.6%

0.3% 1.1%

6.3% 14.5%

-25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

DonegalRoscommonMonaghanOffalyLongfordCavanMayoClareKerryLaoisWestmeathLeitrimLouthSligoGalway City and CountySouth TipperaryKilkennyWexfordNorth TipperaryMeathCarlowWicklowWaterford City and CountyCork City and CountyKildareLimerick City and CountyDublin

9

Page 10: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Number of active enterprises by region (private business economy), 2014

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography 2014

Note: Private business economy covers NACE Rev. 2 sectors B to N (excluding activities of holding companies)

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

Dubl

in

Sout

h-W

est

Mid

-Eas

t

Bord

er

Wes

t

Sout

h-Ea

st

Mid

-Wes

t

Mid

land

10

Page 11: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Number of active enterprises (private business economy), Midland, 2008-2014

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography 2014

2008 2013 2014 % change 2013-2014

% change 2008-2014

Westmeath 4,679 4,432 4,252 -4.1% -9.1% Offaly 3,380 3,026 2,977 -1.6% -11.9% Laois 2,964 2,913 2,847 -2.3% -3.9% Longford 1,944 1,856 1,787 -3.7% -8.1% Midland 12,967 12,227 11,863 -3.0% -8.5% State 244,195 243,571 238,249 -2.2% -2.4%

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Westmeath Offaly Laois Longford

11

Page 12: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Number of persons engaged (private business economy), Midland, 2008-2014

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography 2014

Note: Private business economy covers NACE Rev. 2 sectors B to N (excluding activities of holding companies)

2008 2013 2014 % change 2013-2014

% change 2008-2014

Westmeath 20,545 15,623 16,162 3.5% -21.3% Offaly 15,650 11,346 12,349 8.8% -21.1% Laois 12,635 9,377 9,566 2.0% -24.3% Longford 8,184 6,508 6,767 4.0% -17.3% Midland 57,014 42,854 44,844 4.6% -21.3% State 1,511,920 1,288,017 1,334,291 3.6% -11.7%

010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Westmeath Offaly Laois Longford

12

Page 13: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Number of active enterprises by sector, Midland, 2014

Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography 2014

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Wes

tmea

th

Offa

ly

Laoi

s

Long

ford

Administrative activities

Professional, scientific & technical

Real estate activities

Financial & insurance activities

Information & communication

Accommodation & food

Transportation & storage

Wholesale & retail trade

Construction

Water supply, sewerage activities

Electricity, gas, etc. supply

Manufacturing

Mining & quarrying

13

Page 14: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Distribution of active enterprises by sector, Midland, 2014

Source: CSO, Business Demography 2014

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Stat

e

Mid

land

Wes

tmea

th

Offa

ly

Laoi

s

Long

ford

Administrative activities

Professional, scientific & technical

Real estate activities

Financial & insurance activities

Information & communication

Accommodation & food

Transportation & storage

Wholesale & retail trade

Construction

Water supply, sewerage activities

Electricity, gas, etc. supply

Manufacturing

Mining & quarrying

14

Page 15: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Distribution of active enterprises and persons engaged by company size, Midland, 2014

Source: CSO, Business Demography 2014

Under 10

10-19

20 - 49

50 - 249

250 and over

Under 10

10-19

20 - 49

50 - 249

250 and over

Active enterprises Persons engaged

Size class Westmeath Offaly Laois Longford

Under 10 93.1% 93.2% 94.1% 93.6%

10 - 19 4.0% 4.0% * *

20 - 49 2.1% 1.9% 1.7% 2.1%

50 - 249 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.8%

250 and over 0.1% 0.1% * *

Size class Westmeath Offaly Laois Longford

Under 10 43.0% 39.6% 51.7% 44.9%

10 - 19 14.2% 13.1% * *

20 - 49 15.7% 12.3% 15.2% 16.4%

50 - 249 20.0% 18.2% 12.7% 18.7%

250 and over 7.1% 16.8% * * 15

Page 16: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Distribution of persons engaged by sector, Midland, 2014

Source: CSO, Business Demography 2014

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Stat

e

Mid

land

Wes

tmea

th

Offa

ly

Laoi

s

Long

ford

Administrative activities

Professional, scientific & technical

Real estate activities

Financial & insurance activities

Information & communication

Accommodation & food

Transportation & storage

Wholesale & retail trade

Construction

Water supply, sewerage activities

Electricity, gas, etc. supply

Manufacturing

Mining & quarrying

16

Page 17: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Industrial activity, Midland

371

333 327 335

298

28 25 20 21 18

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Traditional

Modern

2.2 2.1

2.0 2.1 2.1

0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Traditional

Modern

Industrial units by sector Gross output (€billion) in industrial units by sector

Source: SLMRU Analysis of CSO data (Census of Industrial Production) 17

Page 18: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Number of medium-large business by sector, Midland, 2015

Sector Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath Midland

Industry 7 10 19 14 50

Construction 0 1 0 1 2

Wholesale & retail 7 6 7 10 30

Transport 0 0 0 2 2

Accommodation & food 4 1 3 6 14

Information & communication 0 1 1 0 2

Finance etc. 0 0 0 1 1

Professional services 1 1 2 3 7

Admin & support 0 0 1 0 1

PAD 3 2 3 3 11

Education 5 2 7 10 24

Health 4 2 4 8 18

Other NACE 1 0 3 2 6

Total 32 26 50 60 168

Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 18

Page 19: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Distribution of companies (medium-large) by sector, Midland, 2015

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100% Other NACE

Health

Education

PAD

Admin & support

Professional services

Finance etc.

Information & communication

Accommodation & food

Transport

Wholesale & retail

Construction

Industry

Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 19

Page 20: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Employers: food & beverage manufacturing (medium-large), Midland

Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 20

Page 21: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Employers: other manufacturing (medium-large), Midland

Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 21

Page 22: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Employers: wholesale & retail (medium-large), Midland

Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 22

Page 23: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Employers: accommodation & food (medium-large), Midland

Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 23

Page 24: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Labour market & associated indicators, Midland

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data Q4 2016; *Ireland’s NSS targets; **EU 2020 targets

Indicator / Statistic

Midland State

*Target (if / where relevant)

Population (15-64) 187,500 3,018,600

Labour Force 131,900 2,195,600

Participation Rate 58.6% 60.1%

Employment (15 and above) 121,600 2,048,100

Employment Rate (20-64) 69.0% 71.2% *69%-71% ; **75%

Self-Employment 19% 16%

Unemployment (15-74) 10,300 147,400

Unemployment Rate (15-74) 7.9% 6.7%

Youth Unemployment Rate (15-24) 24.6% 15.2%

Youth Unemployment Ratio (15-24) 10.0% 5.8%

Long Term Unemployment Rate 4.1% 3.6%

Early School Leavers (ESL) (18-24) 8% 6% *<8%; **<10%

NEET (15-24) 18.5% 12.3%

Tertiary Level Education (30-34) 50% 54% *>=60% ; **>=40%

Life Long Learning (LLL) participation rate 4.5% 6.7% *10%; **15% 24

Page 25: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Employment by sector (persons and % change), Midland

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2016 Q4 y-o-y change (%) Q4'11-Q4'16 change (%)

*Numbers in ICT and Admin services are too small to report 25

Page 26: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Manufacturing employment by technological intensity, Midland, Q4 2016

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data

2,100 14%

2,700 19%

3,400 23%

6,400 44%

High technology

Medium-high technology

Medium-low-technology

Low-technology

26

Page 27: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Employment by occupation, Midland, Q4 2016

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data

6,800

7,800

10,500

12,100

12,600

12,700

12,900

16,200

29,400

0 10,000 20,000 30,000

Managers, Directors and SeniorOfficials

Sales/Customer Services

Process, Plant & Machine Operatives

Administrative/Secretarial

Associate Professional & Technical

Caring, Leisure & Other Services

Elementary Occupations

Professionals

Skilled Trades

27

Page 28: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Recent job hires, 2016

9% 5%

10%

35% 10%

8%

10%

13%

Border

Midland

West

Dublin

Mid-East

Mid-West

South-East

South-West

Source: SLMRU Analysis of CSO QNHS data

17%

14%

13%

11% 10%

35%

Wholesale & retail

Industry

Construction

Accomodation & food

Health & social work

Other sectors

Recent hires by region, 2016 Recent hires by sector, Midland, 2016

28

Page 29: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Recent job hires, Midland, 2016

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%Lo

wer

sec

or le

ss

High

er se

c or

FET

Third

leve

l

15-2

4

25-3

4

35-4

4

45-6

4

Man

ager

s

Prof

essio

nals

Asso

ciat

e Pr

of

Adm

in

Skill

ed T

rade

s

Serv

ices

Sale

s

Ope

rativ

es

Elem

enta

ry

Full-

time

Part

-tim

e

Source: SLMRU Analysis of CSO QNHS data 29

Page 30: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

DSP Jobs Ireland vacancies, 2012-2016*

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*

West

South-East

South-West

Mid-West

Mid-East

Midland

Border

Dublin

Source: DSP Jobs Ireland; *2016 refers to Jan-Jun only 30

Page 31: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

DSP Jobs Ireland vacancies, Midland, 2016*

0200400600800

1,000

2015*

2016*

20%

25%

22%

33%

Laois

Longford

Offaly

Westmeath

Source: DSP Jobs Ireland; * refers to Jan-Jun only 31

Page 32: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath

Professionals Nurses

Associate prof Field sales agents Field sales agents Sales exec/fundraiser

Skilled trades Welders/fabricators Electricians Chefs

Butchers Mechanics Welders/fabricators

Chefs Butchers Carpenters

Personal services

Care workers Care workers Care workers Care workers

Sales & customer

Retail assistants Retail assistants Retail assistants

Operatives Manufacturing operative/ tech Fruit & veg pickers /packers Dumper drivers

General operative Production operative Drivers (HGV, artic)

Elementary General labourers Security guards Kitchen assistants

Construction labourers Security guards

Cleaners Construction labourers Kitchen assistants Waiters

DSP Vacancies by occupation, Midland, 2016*

32

Page 33: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

IrishJobs.ie vacancies, Midland, 2016

10%

28%

26%

36%

Laois

Longford

Offaly

Westmeath

Source: IrishJobs.ie

8%

37%

19%

11%

7%

6% 7%

2% 3% ManagersProfessionalsAssociate professionalsAdministrativeSkilled TradesPersonal ServicesSales & customer serviceOperativesElementary

Vacancies by county

Vacancies by occupation

4%

1%

5%

66%

3% 5%

4% 12%

BorderMidlandWestDublinMid-EastMid-WestSouth-EastSouth-West

Overall vacancies

33

Page 34: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Employment permits

Midland

Information & communications

Health & social work

Industry

Arts, ents, rec & other service

Financial activities

Accommodation & food

Other

State

Source: DJEI

New employment permits, Midland, 2016 Employment permits by region, 2013-2016

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

2013 2014 2015 2016

South-West

South-East

Mid-West

Mid-East

West

Midland

Border

Dublin

34

Page 35: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Job announcements, Midland, 2016-2017

Source: SLMRU analysis

Industry Manufacturing

Schwungrad Energie Ltd, AuBren, CMV,

Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Teleflex,

Kieran Structural Steel

Services DPD

Wholesale & retail Carrig Don

ICT Singlepoint

35

Page 36: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Employment Projections to 2020

Source: Employment Projections 2020, SOLAS (SLMRU)

Border

Midland

West

Dublin

Mid-East

Mid-West

South-East

South-West

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

36

Page 37: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Employment Projections by sector, Midland

Source: Employment Projections 2020, SOLAS (SLMRU)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,00020

07

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Agriculture

High tech manuf.

Food processing

Trad.manuf.

Construction

Wholesale & retail

Transport

Accom. and food

ICT

Financial services

Professional services

Other market services

PAD

Education

Health

37

Page 38: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Projected employment composition 2017, Midland (includes estimated annual replacement and expansion demand)

Source: SLMRU projections

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Agric

ultu

re

High

tech

man

uf.

Food

pro

cess

ing

Trad

.man

uf.

Cons

truc

tion

Who

lesa

le &

reta

il

Tran

spor

t & c

omm

unic

atio

n

Acco

m. a

nd fo

od ICT

Fina

ncia

l ser

vice

s

Prof

essio

nal s

ervi

ces

Oth

er m

arke

t ser

vice

s

PAD

Educ

atio

n

Heal

th

Remaining Replacement Expansion

38

Page 39: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Replacement Expansion Recruitment requirement Agriculture <1,000 <1,000 <1,000 High tech manuf. <1,000 <1,000 <1,000 Food processing <1,000 <1,000 <1,000 Trad. manuf. <1,000 <1,000 <1,000 Construction <1,000 1,000 1,500 Wholesale & retail <1,000 <1,000 1,200 Transport & communication <1,000 <1,000 <1,000 Accom. and food <1,000 <1,000 <1,000 ICT <1,000 <1,000 <1,000 Financial services <1,000 <1,000 <1,000 Professional services <1,000 <1,000 <1,000 Other market services <1,000 <1,000 <1,000 PAD <1,000 <1,000 <1,000 Education <1,000 <1,000 <1,000 Health 1,500 <1,000 1,700 Total 6,700 2,700 9,400

Estimated annual replacement, expansion and recruitment requirement, Midland

Source: SLMRU projections 39

Page 40: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Education and training providers, Midland

• 2nd level schools – throughout the region • Further Education and Training

– Longford Westmeath ETB – Laois and Offaly ETB

• Higher Education – Athlone Institute of Technology

40

Page 41: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Junior Cert & Leaving Cert sits, Midland, 2012 and 2016

Source: State Examinations Commission 41

Page 42: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Destination of school leavers, Midland

Laois Longford Westmeath Offaly Midland National

Total Cohort 705 580 1,510 1,000 3,795 54,825

Of which enrolled in

Higher education 36% 43% 44% 40% 41% 44%

Second level/FET 29% 34% 31% 34% 32% 28%

Total education/training 65% 78% 75% 74% 73% 72%

Of those remaining

Social welfare activity 11% 8% 7% 9% 8% 7%

Employment activity 10% 7% 9% 8% 8% 10%

Labour market participation 21% 15% 15% 17% 17% 18%

Other (emigration, work abroad)

* * * * * 10%

Source: DES – School Completers – What Next? (2016) 42

Page 43: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

FET

• Awards data limited (to QQI awards) • No awards data for other awarding bodies

– City & Guilds – ICS (ECDL) – Vendor certification (e.g. Microsoft, Cisco etc)

• Incomplete enrolment data – Confined to PLC enrolments – Other data refers to both places/learners and calendar/academic

years; an estimate of volume of learning is not possible

43

Page 44: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Longford Westmeath ETB Laois Offaly ETB

Construction 23 27 Brick and Stonelaying 2 1 Carpentry and Joinery 15 12 Painting and Decorating 1 Pipefitting Plastering Plumbing 3 9 Stonecutting and Stonemasonry Wood Manufacturing and Finishing 2 5

Electrical 44 33 Aircraft Mechanics 1 Electrical 39 31 Electrical Instrumentation 1 Electronic Security Systems 1 Industrial Electrical Engineering 1 Instrumentation Refrigeration 1 2

Apprenticeship: new registrations, Midland, 2016

44 Source: Solas

Page 45: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Longford Westmeath Laois Offaly

Engineering 25 10

Farriery Industrial Insulation M.A.M.F. 5 4

Metal Fabrication 5 5

Sheet Metalworking 3

Toolmaking 12 1

Financial Services (Isurance Practice) 2 1

Motor 36 26

Agricultural Mechanics 1 3

Construction Plant Fitting 2 6

Heavy Vehicle Mechanics 6 3

Motor Mechanics 25 13

Vehicle Body Repairs 2 1

Printing & Paper

Grand Total 130 97

Apprenticeship: new registrations, Midland, 2016 (ctd)

Source: Solas 45

Page 46: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

PLC enrolments, Midland, 2011-2015†

0

400

800

1,200

1,600

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Westmeath

Offaly

Longford

Laois

Source: DES

† Academic year (e.g. 2015 refers to 2015/2016 academic year) 46

Page 47: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

PLC enrolments by field of study, Midland, 2015†

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath

Source: DES

† Academic year (e.g. 2015 refers to 2015/2016 academic year) 47

Page 48: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

QQI (FET) major awards, Midland, 2011-2016

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Westmeath

Offaly

Longford

Laois

Source: QQI 48

Page 49: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

QQI (FET) major awards* by field & level, Midland, 2016

0

250

500

750

1,000NFQ 6

NFQ 5

NFQ 4

NFQ 1-3

Source: QQI *Excludes fields where value is less than 5 49

Page 50: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Higher education awards, Midland, 2011/12-2015/16

1,815 1,750

1,904 1,982 1,983

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Source: HEA 50

Page 51: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Higher education awards by field and level, Midland, 2015/16

Source: HEA

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

NFQ 9/10

NFQ 8

NFQ 7

NFQ 6

51

Page 52: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

HE awards (all levels) by detailed field – science, Midland, 2015/16

Source: HEA

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Biological sciences n.e.c. Biology Chemistry

52

Page 53: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

HE awards (all levels) by detailed field – manufacturing & construction, Midland, 2015/16

Source: HEA

-

10

20

30

40

50

Environmentalprotection

Electricity &energy

Electron. &automation

Mechanics Manufacturing Civil engineering

Engineering & manufacturing Construction

53

Page 54: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

HE awards (all levels) by detailed field – ICT, Midland, 2015/16

Source: HEA

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

ICT n.e.c. Computer Use Database andnetwork

Softwaredevelopment

54

Page 55: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Live Register, 2007 - 2017

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

West

Border

Midland

Dublin

Mid-East

Mid-West

South-East

South-West

55

Page 56: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Live Register, Midland, 2007 - 2017

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Midland

Westmeath

Offaly

Longford

Laois

56

Page 57: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Live Register by county and age, Midland, 2017

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data; March 2017

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

MidlandRegion

Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath

>25

<25

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

>25

<25

57

Page 58: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Live Register by gender, Midland, 2017

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data; March 2017

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Female

Male

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Female

Male

58

Page 59: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Live Register by gender, Midland, 2016-2017

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000

Laois

Longford

Offaly

Westmeath

Male

2016

2017

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000

Laois

Longford

Offaly

Westmeath

Female

2016

2017

59

Page 60: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Live Register, Midland, 2011 - 2015

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

2011

M05

2011

M06

2011

M07

2011

M08

2011

M09

2011

M10

2011

M11

2011

M12

2012

M01

2012

M02

2012

M03

2012

M04

2012

M05

2012

M06

2012

M07

2012

M08

2012

M09

2012

M10

2012

M11

2012

M12

2013

M01

2013

M02

2013

M03

2013

M04

2013

M05

2013

M06

2013

M07

2013

M08

2013

M09

2013

M10

2014

M01

2014

M02

2014

M03

2014

M04

2014

M05

2014

M06

2014

M07

2014

M08

2014

M09

2014

M10

2014

M11

2014

M12

2015

M01

2015

M02

2015

M03

2015

M04

2015

M05

Live Register (Persons) Live Register Stayers (Persons)

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data 60

Page 61: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

2011

M05

2011

M07

2011

M09

2011

M11

2012

M01

2012

M03

2012

M05

2012

M07

2012

M09

2012

M11

2013

M01

2013

M03

2013

M05

2013

M07

2013

M09

2014

M01

2014

M03

2014

M05

2014

M07

2014

M09

2014

M11

2015

M01

2015

M03

2015

M05

Laois

Live Register (Persons) Live Register Stayers (Persons)

0100020003000400050006000

2011

M05

2011

M07

2011

M09

2011

M11

2012

M01

2012

M03

2012

M05

2012

M07

2012

M09

2012

M11

2013

M01

2013

M03

2013

M05

2013

M07

2013

M09

2014

M01

2014

M03

2014

M05

2014

M07

2014

M09

2014

M11

2015

M01

2015

M03

2015

M05

Longford

Live Register (Persons) Live Register Stayers (Persons)

02000400060008000

1000012000

2011

M05

2011

M07

2011

M09

2011

M11

2012

M01

2012

M03

2012

M05

2012

M07

2012

M09

2012

M11

2013

M01

2013

M03

2013

M05

2013

M07

2013

M09

2014

M01

2014

M03

2014

M05

2014

M07

2014

M09

2014

M11

2015

M01

2015

M03

2015

M05

Offaly

Live Register (Persons) Live Register Stayers (Persons)

02000400060008000

1000012000

2011

M05

2011

M07

2011

M09

2011

M11

2012

M01

2012

M03

2012

M05

2012

M07

2012

M09

2012

M11

2013

M01

2013

M03

2013

M05

2013

M07

2013

M09

2014

M01

2014

M03

2014

M05

2014

M07

2014

M09

2014

M11

2015

M01

2015

M03

2015

M05

Westmeath Live Register (Persons) Live Register Stayers (Persons)

Live Register, 2011 - 2015

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data 61

Page 62: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Midland - Live Register

Leavers & Joiners, 2011 - 2015

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

2011

M05

2011

M06

2011

M07

2011

M08

2011

M09

2011

M10

2011

M11

2011

M12

2012

M01

2012

M02

2012

M03

2012

M04

2012

M05

2012

M06

2012

M07

2012

M08

2012

M09

2012

M10

2012

M11

2012

M12

2013

M01

2013

M02

2013

M03

2013

M04

2013

M05

2013

M06

2013

M07

2013

M08

2013

M09

2013

M10

2014

M01

2014

M02

2014

M03

2014

M04

2014

M05

2014

M06

2014

M07

2014

M08

2014

M09

2014

M10

2014

M11

2014

M12

2015

M01

2015

M02

2015

M03

2015

M04

2015

M05

Live Register Joiners (Persons) Live Register Leavers (Persons)

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data 62

Page 63: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

0

500

1000

1500

2011

M05

2011

M07

2011

M09

2011

M11

2012

M01

2012

M03

2012

M05

2012

M07

2012

M09

2012

M11

2013

M01

2013

M03

2013

M05

2013

M07

2013

M09

2014

M01

2014

M03

2014

M05

2014

M07

2014

M09

2014

M11

2015

M01

2015

M03

2015

M05

Laois

Live Register Joiners (Persons) Live Register Leavers (Persons)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

2011

M05

2011

M07

2011

M09

2011

M11

2012

M01

2012

M03

2012

M05

2012

M07

2012

M09

2012

M11

2013

M01

2013

M03

2013

M05

2013

M07

2013

M09

2014

M01

2014

M03

2014

M05

2014

M07

2014

M09

2014

M11

2015

M01

2015

M03

2015

M05

Longford Live Register Joiners (Persons) Live Register Leavers (Persons)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2011

M05

2011

M07

2011

M09

2011

M11

2012

M01

2012

M03

2012

M05

2012

M07

2012

M09

2012

M11

2013

M01

2013

M03

2013

M05

2013

M07

2013

M09

2014

M01

2014

M03

2014

M05

2014

M07

2014

M09

2014

M11

2015

M01

2015

M03

2015

M05

Offaly

Live Register Joiners (Persons) Live Register Leavers (Persons)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

2011

M05

2011

M07

2011

M09

2011

M11

2012

M01

2012

M03

2012

M05

2012

M07

2012

M09

2012

M11

2013

M01

2013

M03

2013

M05

2013

M07

2013

M09

2014

M01

2014

M03

2014

M05

2014

M07

2014

M09

2014

M11

2015

M01

2015

M03

2015

M05

Westmeath

Live Register Joiners (Persons) Live Register Leavers (Persons)

Live Register, Midland, counties Leavers & Joiners, 2011 - 2015

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data 63

Page 64: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Job-ready job seekers, Midland, April 2017

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

Source: DSP 64

Page 65: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Job-ready job seekers, Midland, April 2017

Source: DSP 65

Laois

Longford

Offaly

Westmeath

Page 66: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Job-ready job seekers by occupation, Midland, April 2017

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath

Elementary

Operatives

Sales

Services

Skilled trades

Admin

Assoc. Prof.

Professionals

Managers

Source: DSP 66

Page 67: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Job-ready job seekers, occupational composition, Midland, April 2017

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath

Elementary

Operatives

Sales

Services

Skilled trades

Admin

Assoc. Prof.

Professionals

Managers

Source: DSP 67

Page 68: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Job-ready job seekers, by education, Midland, April 2017

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath

NFQ9/10

NFQ8

NFQ7

NFQ6

LC

Junior Cert

Primary

Source: DSP 68

Page 69: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Job-ready job seekers, educational composition, Midland, April 2017

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Midland Laois Longford Offaly Westmeath

NFQ9/10

NFQ8

NFQ7

NFQ6

LC

Junior Cert

Primary

Source: DSP 69

Page 70: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Unemployment, Midland, Q4 2016

• Approximately – 10,000 unemployed persons – 46% were seeking a job for at least 12 months – almost 40% had no previous employment experience

• Age: 35% were younger than 25; youth unemployment rate was 25% • Education: 67% had attained at most upper secondary education • Sector: those previously employed in construction and industry accounted

for the largest share of unemployed • Occupation: those previously employed in skilled trades accounted for the

largest share of unemployed

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data 70

Page 71: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Unemployment by education, Midland, Q4 2016

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data

23%

44%

15%

6%

12% Lower secondary and below

Upper secondary

FET

Third level non degree

Third level degree and above

71

Page 72: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Unemployment by age, Midland, Q4 2016

Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

15-34 35 and above

72

Page 73: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Skills Shortages, Ireland, 2016 • Professionals/associate professionals

– ICT (software developers, cloud, databases/big data, testing, security, technical support, networking and infrastructure)

– Engineering (production, process, quality, validation, product design/development, electronic, electrical, mechanical and chemical)

– Science (analytical development chemist, formulation scientist, microbiologist, QC analyst/validation technician)

– Business & finance (risk, compliance, accounting, business intelligence, data analytics) – Health (doctors, nurses, radiographers, niche area specialists (e.g. prosthetists, radiation

therapists, audiologists), managers) – Construction (construction and quantity surveyors with BIM (building information modelling),

CAD), project managers) • Clerical (multilingual financial clerks in fund accounting/administration, credit controllers,

payroll specialists)

• Skilled trades (chefs, tool making, welding (TIG, MIG), butchers/de-boners, steel-erectors, curtain wallers, glaziers, steelfixers, steel erectors, pipelayers, shuttering carpentry, shift managers and supervisors)

• Sales (technical sales, multilingual customer support)

• Operatives (CNC, drivers (fork lift and special vehicle))

• Retention issues (care, chefs, butchers/de-boners, elementary)

Source: National Skills Bulletin, SLMRU 73

Page 74: Profile of the Midland Region - Regional Skills · Introduction . The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to

Labour market transitions: key points

• Turnover defined as either inter or intra occupational movement of persons in

employment

• Turnover typically higher at the lower end of the skill scale, but some exceptions

• Occupations with estimated high turnover rates: general clerks, sales assistants, food operatives, care workers, elementary occupations (e.g. hospitality, cleaning, construction labourers), but also some higher skilled (e.g. computer programmers, financial accounts managers, sales accounts & business development managers)

• Implication for employees: employment conditions, career path and job security

• Implication for employers: difficulty in attracting and retaining staff

• Up-skilling / re-skilling

Turnover

74 Source: National Skills Bulletin, SLMRU