private equity activity, growth and performance in morocco report 2015
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1 Le Capital Investissement au Maroc – Année 2014 © 2015 Grant Thornton. All rights reserved.
Private Equity Activity in Morocco:
Growth and Performance Report
Year 2015
March 2016
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
Summary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 3
3
7
14
16
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36
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42
46
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1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds Under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecast 2016
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Principal deals outside of AMIC’s perimeter
II. Acronyms
III. Glossary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 4
1. SCOPE & METHODOLOGY
Scope
This study includes :
• All fund management companies which are members of AMIC with a local representative office in Morocco
and have a portion of funds to invest dedicated to Morocco
• Funds investing mainly in SMEs and unlisted companies
• Limited Life Funds
• Infrastructure Funds both with greenfield and brownfield investment
• All investment sectors except funds dedicated to real estate and tourism
• Data collection was done via a survey of 22 management companies / 46 funds on a self reporting basis
(including infrastructure funds)
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 5
1. SCOPE & METHODOLOGY
Methodology
CAPITAL RAISED
• The amounts of funds raised only includes the part dedicated to Morocco and the part dedicated to Private
Equity
• Amounts raised by infrastructure funds are analyzed and presented separately
• For transregional funds where the portion dedicated to Morocco has not been communicated, only actual amounts
invested are reported
• The review of statements of certain funds resulted in technical corrections to the amounts raised by year (hence
differences from amounts presented in previous years)
INVESTMENTS
• The amounts invested represent amounts disbursed
• Detailed investment analysis does not include “Large Caps” (transaction over 200 mln MAD) as this new
segment does not currently include a sufficient number of transactions
EXITS AND PERFORMANCE
• Amounts exited are amounts of sales of investments
• IRRs represent gross IRRs upon exit as reported by the funds
• The scope of IRR calculations does not include partial exits or IRRs from investments of less than 1 year
• IRR were weighted by amounts invested
• Losses caused by exceptional events have note been taken into account in the average calculation of IRR
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL IMPACT
• The CAGR for turnover and employment were weighted by amounts invested
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 6
1. SCOPE & METHODOLOGY
Fund management companies Funds
THE ABRAAJ GROUP
Kantara LP
Aureos Africa Fund
Africa Health Fund
Anaf II
ALMAMED Massinissa
Massinissa Luxembourg
ATLAMED AM Invest Morocco
ATTIJARI INVEST
Agram Invest
Igrane
Moroccan Infrastructure Fund
AZUR PARTNERS Nebetou Fund
BMCI DEVELOPPEMENT BMCI Développement
BROOKSTONE PARTNERS Emerald Fund
MJT Park
CDG CAPITAL INFRASTRUCTURES Inframed
Inframaroc
CDG CAPITAL PRIVATE EQUITY
Accès Capital Atlantique
Sindibad
Cap Mezzanine
Cap Mezzanine II
CAPITAL INVEST
Capital Morocco
Capital North Africa Venture Fund
Capital North Africa Venture Fund II
Fund management companies Funds
CFG CAPITAL CFG Développement
Idraj
ENTREPRISE PARTNERS 3P Fund
FIROGEST Firo
HOLDAGRO Targa
INFRA INVEST Argan Infrastructure Fund
MAROC INVEST
MPEF I
MPEF II
MPEF III
Africinvest I
Africinvest III
MITC CAPITAL Maroc Numeric Fund
MEDITERRANIA CAPITAL PARTNERS Mediterrania Capital I
Mediterrania Capital II
PRIVATE EQUITY INITIATIVES PME Croissance
UPLINE INVESTMENTS
Upline Technologies
Upline Investment Fund
Fonds Moussahama I et II
OIFFA
VALORIS CAPITAL
New funds in 2015 Funds in divestment phase
or divested
Note : Historical data of funds managed by Aureos, Sherpa and Viveris have been
retained.
Summary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 7
3
7
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16
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51
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds Under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2016
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Principal deals outside of AMIC’s perimeter
II. Acronyms
III. Glossary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 8
-1,0
-0,5
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
4,5
5,0
Weak global economic growth persists
Two major challenges are present: increasing production and sustaining demand
World Europe Emerging
Markets Morocco
.
2015
2013
2014
Source : International Monetary Fund – Global Outlook January 2016
3.3 3.3 3.1
-0.5
0.8
1.5
4.7 4.4
4.0 4.4
2.6
4.4
Evolution of real GDP growth between 2013 and 2015
[%, 2013-2015]
Comments
In 2015, the global economy continued
to be pressured by weak growth with a
growth rate of 3.1%
Growth in emerging and developing
countries declined, while a modest
recovery continued in Europe with a
growth rate of 1.5% in 2015
In Morocco, economic growth in 2015
benefited from a satisfactory harvest and
reached a rate of 4.4%. However,
forecasts for 2016 are less optimistic
Three major factors continue to
influence the global outlook:
• gradual slowdown of economic activity
in China,
• declining oil and commodities prices
and,
• gradual tightening of monetary policy
in the US
2. INTERNATIONAL AND NATIONAL ECONOMIC CONTEXT
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 9
Global growth should reach 3.4% in 2016 and 3.6% in 2017
Historical trends and forecast
[%, 2001-2017 forecasted]
Global growth should reach 3.4% in
2016 and 3.6% in 2017
In emerging and developing markets,
growth should slightly increase from 4% in
2015 to 4.3% in 2016
In Europe, growth is expected to remain
more or less stable in 2016 and 2017, at
around 1.7%
Declining oil prices could further
stimulate demand in oil-importing
countries
For 2016, the IMF has predicted that GDP
growth would reach 4.7% in Morocco. Due
to low rainfall, the HCP lowered this
estimate and anticipates a GDP growth
rate of 1.3%
Comments
Source : International Monetary Fund – Update of main projections
January 2016
- 6%
- 4%
- 2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
16f 17f 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Emerging markets and developing
Morocco
World
Eurozone
5.0 % 4.7%
3.4%
1.7%
4.4%
2.6%
3.3%
0.8%
2. INTERNATIONAL AND NATIONAL ECONOMIC CONTEXT
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 10
Morocco
Source: EMPEA, Industry Statistics Year-end 2015
*2014 data were updated in December 2015 by EMPEA
Morocco has, with a Private Equity penetration rate of 0.06% of GDP in 2015, continued to outperform all MENA
region countries since 2013
2015 2014*
1.95
0.06
0.08
MENA Turkey South
Africa
China Sub Saharan
Africa
Brazil India S. Korea USA Israel UK
2. INTERNATIONAL AND NATIONAL ECONOMIC CONTEXT
0.77
1.45
1.59
0.20 0.21 0.13 0.13 0.15
0.12 0.03 0.02
0.77
1.41
0.20
0.31
0.09 0.07 0.10 0.18
0.01 0.03
0,0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1,0
1,2
1,4
1,6
1,8
Private Equity penetration rate – capital invested/GDP (%)
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 11
2. INTERNATIONAL AND NATIONAL ECONOMIC CONTEXT
Global fundraising has increased steadily over the last 5 years, increasing 11% between 2014 and
2015
Source: Preqin
04 03 02 01 10 09 08 07 06 05 14 13 12 11
220
141
101
208
348
541
653 666
296
228
170
315
431
495
551
+224%
15
[Bln USD, 2001-2015]
Evolution of global amounts raised between 2001 and 2015
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 12
2. INTERNATIONAL AND NATIONAL ECONOMIC CONTEXT
Source: Preqin
Distribution of amounts raised worldwide in 2015
North
America
329 Bln $
Europe
140 Bln $
Rest of the
world
23 Bln $
Asia
57 Bln $
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 13
2. INTERNATIONAL AND NATIONAL ECONOMIC CONTEXT
In 2015, Morocco recorded a growth rate of 4.4%. However, this rate is expected to significantly decrease in
2016 due to low rainfall and dependence of the Moroccan economy on external factors such as growth in
the Eurozone and the possible rise in oil prices.
[Bln MAD, %, 2011-2015] [%, 2009-2015]
9.2% 9% 8.9% 9.1% 9.1%
[%, 2009-2015]
[Mln MAD, 2009-2015]
[Bln MAD, 2009-2015]
Sources: High Commission for Planning , MEF, Foreign Exchange Office
GDP Growth GDP
9.8%
International ratings
Fitch
BBB-/Stable BBB-/Stable
805 828 873 896 953
0
2
4
61,000
500
0
2011 2014 2012 2013 2015
Standard & Poor’s
Unemployment rate Inflation GDP & real GDP growth
Foreign Direct Investment Household consumption
2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2014 2015
9.2%
2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2014 2015
418 438 471 482 501 516 574
+11%
2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2014 2015
25.0
32.0 26.0 29.0 27.7 28.5
31.1
2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2014 2015
Ø 1 1.0
1.8
0.9
1.3
1.9
0.4
1.7
Summary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 14
3
7
14
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36
38
42
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48
49
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51
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds Under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2016
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Principal deals outside of AMIC’s perimeter
II. Acronyms
III. Glossary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
2014
*Funds of funds, Caisses de dépôts, government agencies
4%
40%
31%
Others*
Investment companies
Individuals
Private holdings
Financial institutions
Management teams
5%
3%
48% 41% 38%
29% 32%
29%
23% 27% 33%
Comittees with some investors or experts
Comittees with systematic presence of investors
Internal comittees only
2013
15
2015
17%
3. FUND MANAGEMENT COMPANIES
Investment committees (in number) Distribution of the capital of fund
management companies
Number of fund management companies : 22 including 4 dedicated to infrastructure
Discretionary management : 62%
Average staffing (including Infra) : 6 including 4.2 working on investing activities and 1.8 in support
Summary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 16
3
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14
16
24
33
36
38
42
46
48
49
50
51
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds Under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2016
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Principal deals outside of AMIC’s perimeter
II. Acronyms
III. Glossary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
14% 13% 12% 11% 11%
3% 8% 7% 7% 9%
6% 5% 5% 4% 4%
34%
43%
32%
42% 40%
36% 39%
39% 37%
39%
At the end of 2015, the vast majority of funds continue to use either foreign or the SA legal forms
With the enactment of Law n°18-14 relative to Collective Investment in Capital Schemes (OPCC), this
legal form should substantially increase in the future
17
End of 2015
4. FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT
Distribution of funds by legal form (in number)
End of 2011 End of 2012 End of 2013 End of 2014
Foreign
SA : Société Anonyme, equivalent to standard Corporation in common law
SAS : Société par Actions Simplifée, equivalent to Limited Liability Company (LLC)
OPCC: Special venture capital funds vehicle created by Law 18-14 – Organisme de Placement Collectif en Capital
SCA: Société en Commandite par Actions, a partnership limited by shares
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
57%
34%
26%
50%
18% 17%
End of 2015
2/3 of the 3rd generation funds (starting in 2011) are located offshore
18% 20% 15% 14%
18
19%
34%
47%
4. FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT
Funds country of domicile (as % of value)
Per fund generation
2011 onward 2006-2010
Europe Rest of World Morocco
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
As % of value
52% 57% 58% 56%
37% 33% 33% 35%
6% 5% 5% 5% 3% 3% 3%
44%
25%
2% 10% 4%
3% 2%
63%
47%
19
2% 2% 2% 2%
3%
4. FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT
Nature of funds (Private Equity and Infrastructure)
Independents Captives financial institutions State captives Investment companies Others captives
End of 2014 End of 2013 End of 2012 2006-2010 2011 onward End of 2015
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
Total amounts raised since inception to end 2015 for Private Equity: 10.72 billion MAD
Amounts raised in Morocco by infrastructure funds: 5.49 billion MAD
Total amount raised by all funds: 16.43 billion MAD
230
488
946
480
916
423 490
2014
1,478
2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
1,633
2007
1,106
2006
1,499
2005
Average
funds raised
(2005 – 2009) :
991.2 Mln MAD
Average funds
raised including
Infra (2010 – 2015):
1,704.3 Mln MAD
2,839
980
2,416
3,078
2013
20
2015
712
4. FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT
Capital raised per year (Mln MAD)
Capital raised (including Infrastructure funds)
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
596
960
825
314
946
90
850
117
903
146
808
173
393
66
423 490
2007 2006 2014 2013
1.361
2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
5%
95%
95% of funds raised for Morocco over the period 2013 – 2015 were transregional
21
2015
4. FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT
Transregional funds
Moroccan funds
Capital raised by fund type (Mln MAD)
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
77%
21%
79%
55%
30%
1%
2%
1% 41%
16%
15%
4%
8%
4%
1%
6%
20%
3%
33%
7%
9%
9% 20%
38%
2011 2014 2013 2012
30%
7% 8%
6%
7% 5% 3% 4%
18%
56%
12%
10%
9%
25%
The share of international development organizations (IFC, EBRD, EIB and others) has increased
significantly with the 3rd generation funds
22
2015
4. FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT
Capital raised by investor type (excluding infrastructure funds)
2006-2010
As % of value
* Others: individuals, private companies
** Investment vehicles: funds of funds, holdings, investment companies
Insurance companies
Others* State and public organizations
Pension funds
International development organizations
Investment vehicles**
Banks and asset management companies
2011 onward
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
53% 47% 45% 46%
34% 41% 41% 40%
13% 13% 14% 14%
46% 54%
36%
64%
23
4. FUNDS UNDER MANAGEMENT
Capital raised by investor nationality
* Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Tunisia, USA
EU
Other countries*
Morocco
End of 2012 End of 2014 End of 2013 End of 2015
End of 2015
Moroccan capital
Foreign capital Other foreign investors
International development organizations
Summary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 24
3
7
14
16
24
33
36
38
42
46
48
49
50
51
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds Under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2016
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Principal deals outside of AMIC’s perimeter
II. Acronyms
III. Glossary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
12
21
15
6
17
14
11
10
80
35
112
100
89
117
422
585
309
170
586
607
489
2014
606
2013 686
2012
2011 344
2010 665
2009 432
The level of investment slightly declined in 2015 with 606 Mln MAD invested, including 11 new investments
166 companies invested since inception for a total of 5.5 Bln MAD
1,382
25
2015
282 8
696
Evolution of invested and reinvested funds
5. INVESTMENTS
Amounts invested and reinvested (in Mln MAD) Number of new investments
Amounts invested Amounts reinvested Number of companies Including large caps
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
4%
7%
8%
65%
10%
4 %
10 %
8 %
Rabat Salé
Casablanca region
65% Fez - Boulemane
Tangier - Tetouan
2 %
2 % 2 %
26
5. INVESTMENTS
Location of invested companies
End of 2015 (as % of value)
*Other regions : Chaouia-Ouardigha, Gharb-Chrarda-Beni-Hssen,
Oriental, Souss-Massa-Draa
Fez - Boulemane
Foreign
Marrakech -Tensift - Al Haouz
Meknes - Tafilalet
Rabat - Salé - Zemmour - Zaer
Tangier - Tetouan
Casablanca region
Other regions*
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
2014 2013
52%
27%
75%
2012
60% 56%
20%
13% 5%
12%
8%
2%
4%
7%
7%
4% 3%
4% 3%
1% 3%
58%
11%
72%
8%
74%
27
60%
52%
75%
45%
27%
2%
3%
26%
12%
5%
17%
6% 6%
2%
2%
17%
4%
1%
8%
4%
7%
7% 9%
3%
2015
5. INVESTMENTS
By year By fund generation
Location of invested companies
Casablanca region
Tangier - Tetouan
Rabat - Salé - Zemmour - Zaer
Fez - Boulemane
Other regions*
Foreign
Marrakech -Tensift - Al Haouz
Meknes - Tafilalet *Other regions : Chaouia-Ouardigha, Gharb-Chrarda-Beni-Hssen,
Oriental, Souss-Massa-Draa
2011 onward 2006 - 2010 2000 - 2005
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
22%
30%
17% 25%
10%
13%
11% 1%
5% 7%
2% 2% 5%
1%
24%
11%
13%
4%
6%
12%
15%
15%
22%
22%
The industrial sector represents 48% of investments made since 2011
Services and transport sector ranks second with 22% of investments
1%
1%
28
3%
*Health, Packaging, Aerospace, and others
5. INVESTMENTS
Auto industry
Primary ICT
Chemical industry
Trade and distribution
Agribusiness
Other industries*
Construction sector
Services and transport
Sectors of invested companies
By fund generation End of 2015
2011 onward 2006 - 2010
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
9% 3%
25%
14%
60%
73%
4% 8%
2/3 of investments have been in companies in the growth stage
2%
68%
7%
19%
5%
1%
29
2%
5. INVESTMENTS
2011 onward 2006 - 2010
Turn around Venture Seed Buy out Growth
Invested companies by development stage (as % of value)
By funds generation End of 2015
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
15% 8% 5%
60%
47% 46%
15%
16% 32%
8%
8%
6% 22%
11%
The share of majority transactions declined significantly (from 30 to 17%) between 2nd and 3rd
generation funds in conjunction with the decrease in buy out investments
30
2%
5. INVESTMENTS
Companies funded by percent of capital acquired
2011 onward 2006 - 2010 2000 - 2005
More than 67% <5 5 - 34 34 - 50 50 - 67
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
18% 27%
10%
14% 12%
10% 10%
11%
22% 8%
28% 30%
13% 17% 24%
36%
46%
7%
18%
21%
18%
13% 17%
12%
7%
18% 7%
9%
13%
17%
6%
7%
9% 47% 50%
24% 29%
18%
2014 2013 2012 2011
The investment trend of the last generation of funds is towards larger transactions (41% over 40 mln
MAD) and continued investment in the seed/venture stage
31
2015
5. INVESTMENTS
By year By fund generation
Companies funded by transaction size
2006 - 2010 2011 onward
More than 50 40 to 50 30 to 40 20 to 30 10 to 20 0 to 10 mln MAD
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
29
20
28
34
43 44
2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
The average ticket size invested between 2010 and 2015 is 33 mln MAD, which has sharply increased
with the 3rd generation funds
32
2015
Ø33
5. INVESTMENTS
Average ticket size of new investments (Mln MAD per year)
Summary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 33
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7
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24
33
36
38
42
46
48
49
50
51
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds Under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2016
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Principal deals outside of AMIC’s perimeter
II. Acronyms
III. Glossary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
35
268
360
148
81
99
186*
2013 2014 2012 2011 2010 2009
Exits were up 84% compared to 2014
Since inception, the total amount exited reached 2.2 bln MAD, representing 40% of the overall
amount invested by the Private Equity industry
181
874
1,115
*
34
2015
6. EXITS
Evolution of exits as % of value (Mln MAD)
By year By fund generation
* 3 undisclosed amounts
2006 - 2011 2011 onward 2000 - 2005
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
17%
9%
3%
22%
11%
41%
25%
63%
9%
17%
4%
6%
9%
31%
42%
23%
24%
26%
18%
35
Accumulated amounts exited: 2.2 Bln MAD
Number of exits: 91
6. EXITS
As % of value In number
Types of exits by fund generation
2011 onward 2005 - 2010 2005 - 2010 2011 onward
Industrials (Trade sales)
Private equity buyers IPO or sale of shares
Repayments Management
Loss realized
Summary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 36
3
7
14
16
24
33
36
38
42
46
48
49
50
51
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds Under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2016
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Principal deals outside of AMIC’s perimeter
II. Acronyms
III. Glossary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
Weighted average IRR at end of 2015: 13%
Average multiple (unweighted) : 2.0 (Seed - Venture : 1.2 / Growth : 2.6 / Buy out : 1.5)
Average investment length: 6.0 years
44%
16%
5%
-15%
2.0 x 13 %
37
7. PRIVATE EQUITY PERFORMANCE
1st Quartile 2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile 4th Quartile
Unweighted average IRR per quartile
Gross IRR Global multiple
Gross Internal Rate of
Return (IRR)* & Multiple 2000 - 2015
* Average Gross IRR on exits (Cf. Methodology)
Summary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 38
3
7
14
16
24
33
36
38
42
46
48
49
50
51
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds Under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2016
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Principal deals outside of AMIC’s perimeter
II. Acronyms
III. Glossary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
9% 12% 14% 14%
17%
38%
ICT
Turnover CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of invested companies
by the end of 2015* = 17.6 %
CAGR by end of 2014 = 15.4 %
CAGR by end of 2013 = 13.8 %
1%
19%
69%
11 4 10 12 12 18
X
0,3%
5%
19%
14 44 14
* Based on data of 72 invested companies and still in portfolio
39
8. PRIVATE EQUITY ECONOMY AND SOCIAL IMPACT
Turnover growth and employment growth of invested companies (by end 2015)
Employment CAGR by the end of 2015* = 4.9 %
CAGR by end of 2014 = 4.2 %
CAGR by end of 2013 = 7.7 %
Seed / Venture Growth Buy out / Turn
around
Turnover CAGR by development stage
Turnover CAGR by sector
Number of companies by sector / category
Seed / Venture Growth Buy out
Employment CAGR by development stage
Other
industries
Agribusiness Trade and
distribution Services Construction
BTP
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
22%
67%
17%
46%
31%
54%
13%
27%
12%
28%
40
8. PRIVATE EQUITY ECONOMY AND SOCIAL IMPACT
End of 2014 At time of acquisition End of 2014 At time of acquisition End of 2014 At time of acquisition
End of 2014 At time of acquisition End of 2014 At time of acquisition
Annual training plan Strategic workforce planning Code of ethics
Actions engaging the
company in social activities
Actions for environmental
protection
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
62%
99%
32%
97%
33%
98%
36%
97%
34%
97%
41
8. PRIVATE EQUITY ECONOMY AND SOCIAL IMPACT
End of 2014 At time of acquisition End of 2014 At time of acquisition End of 2014 At time of acquisition
End of 2014 At time of acquisition End of 2014 At time of acquisition
Company audit Oversight and steering
committees Reporting tools
Performance indicators and
scoreboards
Budgeting and budget
monitoring policies
Summary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 42
3
7
14
16
24
33
36
38
42
46
48
49
50
51
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds Under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2016
10. Key figures
11. Annexes
I. Principal deals outside of AMIC’s perimeter
II. Acronyms
III. Glossary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
29%
22% 22%
27%
43
27%
13%
13%
27%
20%
9. FORECASTS 2016
Identifying exits
Managing underperforming companies
Fundraising
Investing in new companies
Sub Saharan Africa Egypt
Tunisia Algeria
Morocco
Main challenges for 2016 Priority investment areas
(for transregional funds)
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
6%
22%
33%
17%
22% 15%
24%
21%
24%
18%
91 125
899
683
44
9. FORECASTS 2016
Not planned S2 2017 S1 2017 S2 2016 S1 2016
Planned fundraising for new funds
S1 2017 S2 2016 S1 2016 Not planned S2 2017
Planned exits for the majority of portfolio companies
Total Seed / Venture Buy out Growth
Investments forecasts for 2016 by development stage in mln MAD*
* 9 management companies
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 45
10%
9% 9%
9%
9%
6%
6%
5% 4%
11%
10%
13% 18%
15% 14%
11%
10%
10%
7%
16%
9. FORECASTS 2016
Investment sectors over the next 5 years Investment regions over the next 5 years
Agadir
Fez
Oujda
Laayoune Rabat
Casablanca
Tangier
Marrakech Energy
Distribution
Agribusiness
Services
Health Consumer goods
New technologies
Transport and Logistics
Telecom
Education
Automobile
BTP
Summary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 46
3
7
14
16
24
33
36
38
42
46
48
49
50
51
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds Under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2016
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Principal deals outside of AMIC’s perimeter
II. Acronyms
III. Glossary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 47
10. KEY FIGURES 2015
Funds raised
Investments
Exits
Economic and
social impact
Performance Average multiple
= 2.0
16.4 bln MAD raised by
private equity and
infrastructure funds
95 % funds raised since
2013 are by transregional
funds
5.5 bln MAD invested in
166 companies by the end
of 2015
606 mln MAD invested
in 2015
Average investment
ticket = 44 mln MAD
97% of companies have
implemented a complete
system of governance
Weighted average
gross IRR
= 13%
Average investment time
= 6.0 years
Employment CAGR = 4.9%
Turnover CAGR = 17.6%
Accumulated amounts exited
= 2.1 bln MAD
58% of exits since 2011 are through trade sales
or sale of shares (IPO)
3.2 bln MAD still
available for
investment
Summary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 48
3
7
14
16
24
33
36
38
42
46
48
49
50
51
52
1. Scope & Methodology
2. International and National Economic Context
3. Fund Management Companies
4. Funds Under Management
5. Investments
6. Exits
7. Private Equity Performance
8. Private Equity Economic and Social Impact
9. Forecasts 2016
10. Key Figures
11. Annexes
I. Principal deals outside of AMIC’s perimeter
II. Acronyms
III. Glossary
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
Investment company
Swicorp
Operation
Investment in the capital of Venezia Ice
Injection of 125 mln MAD via the Intaj II fund
TPG Growth
SATYA Capital Limited Investment in Yassamine schools, up to 250 mln MAD
Blue Mango Capital Investment in Menara clinic in Marrakech, a center specialized in oncology and
radiology
Saham & Tana Africa Cap Investment in the primary and secondary education sector via a new entity: Sana
Education
11. ANNEXE I – Principal deals outside of AMIC’s perimeter
49
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 50
11. ANNEXE II – ACRONYMS
Bln MAD Billions of Moroccan dirhams
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate
EBRD European Bank for Reconstruction and Development
EIB European Investment Bank
EMPEA Emerging Markets Private Equity Association
GDP Gross Domestic Product
ICT Information and Communications Technology
IFC International Finance Corporation
IPO Initial Public Offering
IRR Internal Rate of Return
MEF Ministry of Economy and Finance
Mln MAD Millions of Moroccan dirhams
OPCC Organisme de Placement Collectif en Capital : Collective Investment in Capital
Scheme
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 51
11. ANNEXE III – GLOSSARY
Buy out Capital (transmission capital):
Transmission capital investments in management or owner succession aimed buyouts in mature firms.
Discretionary Management:
Classic private equity structure where individual investment decisions are in the hands of the management team.
Exit Amount:
Exit valued at proceeds of sale of investment in the enterprise.
Exit Mode: Management
Share by-back from PE investor by management of the enterprise.
Funds of Funds:
A fund raising funds from multiple sources for investment in a diverse number of private equity funds.
Growth Capital (late stage venture capital):
Investment in equity and quasi-equity in order to finance the development of a business or the acquisition of new
stocks. The business partner is a company established in its markets, profitable and having significant growth prospects.
Frequently called Growth Venture Capital.
IRR (Internal Rate of Return):
Measurement of the average annualized rate of return of an investment consisting of negative flows (cash
outflows) and positive flows (cash inflows). It is used to measure and monitor performance of private equity transactions.
Invested Capital:
Capital invested in enterprises by venture or private equity fund companies.
Multiple:
Investment Multiple = Proceeds of sale / Invested amount.
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015 51
11. ANNEXE III – GLOSSARY
Private Equity Fund:
An investment vehicle that raises capital from a diverse group of investors with a view to investing in unlisted private firms and
realizing capital gains shared among investors.
Quartile:
Division of the quartiles are the values that share a set of values into four equal parts. Thus, in the distribution of IRR for
example, the first quartile is the IRR below which lie 25% of IRRs.
Quasi Equity:
Financing vehicles that combine both debt and equity characteristic.
Raised Capital:
Confirmed investment commitments in venture or private equity funds.
Seed Capital:
Seed Capital investors bring, along with equity, a professional network and personal experience in early stage entrepreneurial
projects that are still in development.
Small and Mid Caps:
The definition of small and mid caps varies depending on the maturity of the markets. In Morocco, AMIC considers that the
investments “Small and Mid Caps” correspond to transactions less than 200 mln MAD
Transregional Funds:
Funds targeting several investment geographies at the country level (in contrast to ‘regional’ funds within Morocco focused on
regional investment within Morocco alone)
Venture Capital (early stage):
Equity or quasi equity in young enterprises and start-ups.
© 2016 Grant Thornton Private Equity in Morocco : Growth and Performance – Year 2015
Site Web : www.fidarocgt.com Site Web : www.amic.org.ma
Founded in 2000, AMIC (the Moroccan Private Equity Association)
is an independent professional association whose mission is to
unite, represent and promote the private equity profession to
local and international investors, entrepreneurs and governmental
bodies.
AMIC's main mission is to strengthen the private equity
industry’s competitiveness in Morocco and abroad via:
- Effective and clear communication about the private equity
industry
- Executing reliable reports and surveys on the state of
Private Equity in Morocco
- Active participation in discussions on any draft law
regulating the sector
- Establishing a good governance and ethics code for the
Private Equity industry and promoting compliance with this
code
- Providing support services to members on regulatory
issues related to the profession
- Development of a quality training program touching on all
industry fundamental skills.
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For over twenty years, Fidaroc Grant Thornton has supported its
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