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Page 1: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

Eric JondeauEric Jondeau

Corporate Finance

EMBA in Management & Finance

Page 2: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

Eric JondeauEric Jondeau

Lecture 6:

Dividends and Other Payouts

EMBA in Management & Finance

Page 3: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

1 Different Types of Dividends2 Procedure for Cash Dividend Payment3 Irrelevance of Dividend Policy 4 Repurchase of Stock5 Personal Taxes, Issuance Costs, and Dividends6 Real World Factors Favoring a High Dividend Policy7 The Clientele Effect8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy9 Summary and Conclusions

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OutlineCorporate FinanceCorporate FinanceCorporate FinanceCorporate Finance

Outline

Page 4: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

Corporate FinanceCorporate FinanceCorporate FinanceCorporate Finance

1. Different Types of Dividends• Many companies pay a regular cash dividend.

– Public companies often pay quarterly.– Sometimes firms will throw in an extra cash dividend.– The extreme case would be a liquidating dividend.

• Often companies will declare stock dividends.– No cash leaves the firm.– The firm increases the number of shares outstanding.

• Some companies declare a dividend in kind.– Wrigley’s Gum sends around a box of chewing gum.– Dundee Crematoria offers shareholders discounted

cremations.

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Page 5: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

Record Date - Person who owns stock on this date received the dividend.

Ex-Dividend Date - Date that determines whether a stockholder is entitled to a dividend payment; anyone holding stock before this date is entitled to a dividend.

Cash Dividend - Payment of cash by the firm to its shareholders.

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Cash Dividend Payment

Page 6: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

25 Oct. 1 Nov. 2 Nov. 6 Nov. 7 Dec.

Declaration Date

Cum-dividend

Date

Ex-dividend

Date

Record Date

Payment Date

Declaration Date: The Board of Directors declares a payment of dividends.Cum-Dividend Date: The last day that the buyer of a stock is entitled to the dividend.Ex-Dividend Date: The first day that the seller of a stock is entitled to the dividend.Record Date: The corporation prepares a list of all individuals believed to be stockholders as of 6 November.

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2. Procedure for Cash Dividend Payment

Page 7: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

• In a perfect world, the stock price will fall by the amount of the dividend on the ex-dividend date.

$P

$P - div

Ex-dividend Date

The price drops by the amount of the cash dividend

-t … -2 -1 0 +1 +2 …

Taxes complicate things a bit. Empirically, the price drop is less than the dividend and occurs within the first few minutes of the ex-date.

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Price Behavior around the ex-dividend data

Page 8: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

Corporate FinanceCorporate FinanceCorporate FinanceCorporate Finance

3. Irrelevance of Dividend Policy• A compelling case can be made that dividend policy is

irrelevant.

• Since investors do not need dividends to convert shares to cash they will not pay higher prices for firms with higher dividend payouts.

• In other words, dividend policy will have no impact on the value of the firm because investors can create whatever income stream they prefer by using homemade dividends.

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Page 9: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

$3 Dividend$240

$0$240

$39 × 80 =$3,120

• Bianchi Inc. is a $42 stock about to pay a $2 cash dividend.• Bob Investor owns 80 shares and prefers $3 cash dividend.• Bob’s homemade dividend strategy:

– Sell 2 shares ex-dividend

Homemadedividends

Cash from dividend $160Cash from selling stock $80Total Cash $240Value of Stock Holdings $40 × 78 =

$3,120

Irrelevance of Dividend Irrelevance of Dividend Irrelevance of Dividend Irrelevance of Dividend PoliciyPoliciyPoliciyPoliciy

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Home-Made Dividends

Page 10: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

• Since investors do not need dividends to convert shares to cash,dividend policy will have no impact on the value of the firm.

• In the above example, Bob Investor began with total wealth of $3,360:

• After a $3 dividend, his total wealth is still $3,360:

• After a $2 dividend, and sale of 2 ex-dividend shares, his total wealth is still $3,360:

Irrelevance of Dividend Irrelevance of Dividend Irrelevance of Dividend Irrelevance of Dividend PoliciyPoliciyPoliciyPoliciy

$42$3,360 80 shares

share= ×

$39$3,360 80 shares $240

share= × +

$40$3,360 78 shares $80

share= × +

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Dividend Policy Is Irrelevant

Page 11: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

Shimano USA has 2 million shares currently outstanding at $15 per share. The company declares a 50% stock dividend. How many shares will be outstanding after the dividend is paid?

A 50% stock dividend will increase the number of shares by 50%:

2 million×1.5 = 3 million shares

After the stock dividend what is the new price per share and what is the new value of the firm?

The value of the firm was $2m × $15 per share = $30 m. After the dividend, the value will remain the same.

Price per share = $30m/ 3m shares = $10 per share

Irrelevance of Dividend Irrelevance of Dividend Irrelevance of Dividend Irrelevance of Dividend PoliciyPoliciyPoliciyPoliciy

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Example (Stock Dividends)

Page 12: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

• Firms should never forgo positive NPV projects to increase a dividend (or to pay a dividend for the first time).

• Recall that one of the assumptions underlying the dividend-irrelevance arguments was “The investment policy of the firm is set ahead of time and is not altered by changes in dividend policy.”

Irrelevance of Dividend Irrelevance of Dividend Irrelevance of Dividend Irrelevance of Dividend PoliciyPoliciyPoliciyPoliciy

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Dividends and Investment Policy

Page 13: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

• Instead of declaring cash dividends, firms can rid itself of excess cash through buying shares of their own stock.

• Recently share repurchase has become an important way of distributing earnings to shareholders.

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4. Repurchase of Stock

Page 14: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

$10=/100,000$1,000,000=Price per share100,000=outstandingShares

1,000,000Value of Firm1,000,000Value of Firm1,000,000Equity850,000Other assets

0Debt$150,000Cash

sheetbalanceOriginalA.Liabilities & EquityAssets

Consider a firm that wishes to distribute $100,000 to its shareholders.

Repurchase of StocksRepurchase of StocksRepurchase of StocksRepurchase of Stocks

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Stock Repurchase versus Dividend

Page 15: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

$9=00,000$900,000/1=shareper Price

100,000=goutstandingShares

900,000FirmofValue900,000FirmofValue

900,000Equity850,000assetsOther

0Debt$50,000Cash

dividendcash shareper $1After B.

Equity&sLiabilitiesAssets

If they distribute the $100,000 as cash dividend, the balance sheet will look like this:

Repurchase of StocksRepurchase of StocksRepurchase of StocksRepurchase of Stocks

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Stock Repurchase versus Dividend

Page 16: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

Assets C. After stock repurchase

Cash $50,000 Debt 0

Other assets 850,000 Equity 900,000

Value of Firm 900,000 Value of Firm 900,000

Shares outstanding= 90,000

Price per share = $900,000 / 90,000 = $10

If they distribute the $100,000 through a stock repurchase, the balance sheet will look like this:

Repurchase of StocksRepurchase of StocksRepurchase of StocksRepurchase of Stocks

Liabilities & Equity

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Stock Repurchase versus Dividend

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5. Personal Taxes, Issuance Costs, and Dividends

• To get the result that dividend policy is irrelevant, we needed three assumptions:– No taxes– No transactions costs– No uncertainty

• In the United States, both cash dividends and capital gains are taxed at a maximum rate of 15 percent.

• Since capital gains can be deferred, the tax rate on dividends is greater than the effective rate on capital gains.

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Page 18: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

In a world of personal taxes, firms should not issue stock to pay a dividend.

FirmStock

Holders

Cash: stock issue

Cash: dividends

Gov.

Taxes

Investment BankersThe direct costs of stock issuance will add to this effect.

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Firms without Sufficient Cash to Pay a Dividend

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Firms with Sufficient Cash to Pay a Dividend

• The above argument does not necessarily apply to firms with excess cash.

• Consider a firm that has $1 million in cash after selecting all available positive NPV projects.

• The firm has several options:– Select additional capital budgeting projects (by

assumption, these are negative NPV).– Acquire other companies– Purchase financial assets– Repurchase shares

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Page 20: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

• In the presence of personal taxes:

1. A firm should not issue stock to pay a dividend.

2. Managers have an incentive to seek alternative uses for funds to reduce dividends.

3. Though personal taxes mitigate against the payment of dividends, these taxes are not sufficient to lead firms to eliminate all dividends.

Personal Taxes, Issuance Costs, and DividendsPersonal Taxes, Issuance Costs, and DividendsPersonal Taxes, Issuance Costs, and DividendsPersonal Taxes, Issuance Costs, and Dividends

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Taxes, Issuance Costs, and Dividends

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6. Real World Factors Favoring a High Dividend Policy

• Desire for Current Income

• Resolution of Uncertainty

• Tax Arbitrage

• Agency Costs

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Page 22: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

• The homemade dividend argument relies on no transactions costs.

• To put this in perspective, mutual funds can repackage securities for individuals at very low cost: they could buy low-dividend stocks and with a controlled policy of realizing gains, pay their investors at a specified rate.

Real World FactorsReal World FactorsReal World FactorsReal World Factors

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Desire for Current Income

Page 23: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

• It would be erroneous to conclude that increased dividends can make the firm less risky.

• A firm’s overall cash flows are not necessarily affected by dividend policy—as long as capital spending and borrowing are not changed.

• Thus, it is hard to see how the risks of the overall cash flows can be changed with a change in dividend policy.

Real World FactorsReal World FactorsReal World FactorsReal World Factors

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Resolution of Uncertainty

Page 24: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

• Investors can create positions in high dividend-yield securities that avoid tax liabilities.

• Thus, corporate managers need not view dividends as tax-disadvantaged.

Real World FactorsReal World FactorsReal World FactorsReal World Factors

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Tax Arbitrage

Page 25: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

• Agency Cost of Debt– Firms in financial distress are reluctant to cut

dividends. To protect themselves, bondholders frequently create loan agreements stating dividends can only be paid if the firm has earnings, cash flow and working capital above pre-specified levels.

• Agency Costs of Equity– Managers will find it easier to waste funds if they have

a low dividend payout.

Real World FactorsReal World FactorsReal World FactorsReal World Factors

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Agency Costs

Page 26: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

• Reasons for Low Dividend– Personal Taxes– High Issuing Costs

• Reasons for High Dividend– Information Asymmetry

• Dividends as a signal about firm’s future performance

– Lower Agency Costs• capital market as a monitoring device• reduce free cash flow, and hence wasteful spending

– Bird-in-the-hand: Theory or Fallacy?• Uncertainty resolution

– Desire for Current Income

Real World FactorsReal World FactorsReal World FactorsReal World Factors

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Real World Factors

Page 27: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

• Clienteles for various dividend payout policies are likely to form in the following way:

GroupGroupGroupGroup StockStockStockStockHigh Tax Bracket IndividualsLow Tax Bracket IndividualsTax-Free InstitutionsCorporations

Zero to Low payout stocksLow-to-Medium payoutMedium Payout StocksHigh Payout Stocks

Once the clienteles have been satisfied, a corporation is Once the clienteles have been satisfied, a corporation is Once the clienteles have been satisfied, a corporation is Once the clienteles have been satisfied, a corporation is unlikely to create value by unlikely to create value by unlikely to create value by unlikely to create value by changingchangingchangingchanging its dividend policy.its dividend policy.its dividend policy.its dividend policy.

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7. The Clientele Effect

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8. What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy

• Corporations “Smooth” Dividends.

• Dividends Provide Information to the Market.

• Firms should follow a sensible dividend policy:

– Don’t forgo positive NPV projects just to pay a dividend.

– Avoid issuing stock to pay dividends.

– Consider share repurchase when there are few better uses for the cash.

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Page 29: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

• The optimal payout ratio cannot be determined quantitatively.

• In a perfect capital market, dividend policy is irrelevant due to the homemade dividend concept.

• A firm should not reject positive NPV projects to pay a dividend.

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9. Summary and Conclusions

Page 30: Print EJ Lecture6 · 7 The Clientele Effect 8 What We Know and Do Not Know About Dividend Policy 9 Summary and Conclusions Eric Jondeau EMBA 3/30 Outline Corporate Finance. Corporate

• Personal taxes and issue costs are real-world considerations that favor low dividend payouts.

• Many firms appear to have a long-run target dividend-payout policy. There appears to be some value to dividend stability and smoothing.

• There appears to be some information content in dividend payments.

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Summary and Conclusions