presentation cables 2006 - rtm & rdw graph vs pict

8/8/2019 Presentation Cables 2006 - RTM & RDW Graph vs Pict

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SOLVAY

Cables 2006

ConferenceClassification of cables:

The PVC answer

Richard ThommeretSOLVIN Marketing Manager

Roland DewittSOLVAY - DCRT-HSE - Products

Regulatory Affairs

Cologne, 15 & 16 March 2006


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SOLVAY

Content

Who is SolVin?

Global PVC Markets by Region andTrends

European PVC Markets byApplication

The PVC Cable Market

Main Drivers of the Cable Market

Innovation in PVC

SOLVAY


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Who is SolVin ?

SolVin is a leading European manufacturer of PVC and associated products.

Foundation : January first 1999 by merging the vinyls activity of BASFand Solvayin Europe.

Ownership : Solvay 75% & BASF 25%.

Territory : Europe for SolVin and global presence through partnershipwith Solvay.

Employees (2005): around 2000

Products : Cl2, NaOH, EDC, VCM, S-PVC, E-PVC, VDC, PVDC, PVCCopolymers.

Turnover : > 1 billion


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Content

Who is SolVin?




Main Drivers of the Cable Market

Innovation in PVC

SOLVAY


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PVC World Consumption The Trend

kt

2201500

29400

11400

17500

50

6000

(2004)

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

19451950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

+3%/y


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PVC World Consumption in 2004

Rest of Asia-Pacific

24.5 %

WesternEurope

5 %

South America 20 %

North America23 %

EasternEurope

4.5 %

AfricaMiddle East

4%

China19 %

Total : 29.4 Million Tons

Sources : CMAI & Solvay


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PVC World Consumption in 2004

PVC versus GDP per capita

kg

PVC/

Capita

Source : CMAI & SolVin

AFRICA

INDIA

CIS

SOUTH AMERICA

MEAST

SEA

CENTRAL EUROPE

NEA

WEST EUROPENORTH AMERICA

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 3000

CHINA

USD/Capita


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PVC World ConsumptionThe Trend

Sources : CMAI & Solvay

CONSUMPTIONGrowth rates % per Year

2004(kt)

North AMERICA 7090

Western EUROPE 5650

East. EUROPE & RUSSIA 847

CHINA 6905

REST OF ASIA - PACIFIC 6377

South AMERICA 1121AFRICA + Middle EAST 1410

WORLD 29400

1998

to2003

0.8 %

-0.1 %

15.0 %

1.1 %

-1.6 %

3.1 %

6.9 %

2.0 %

Region


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Content

Who is SolVin?




Main Drivers of the Cable Market Innovation in PVC

SOLVAY


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European PVC Market

Source SolVin

5650 kt in 2004

PVC consumption by Market

Western Europe

Packaging

10%

Agriculture

4%

Construction

67%

Electrical

8%

Others

7%

Automotive

3%

Sports/leisure

1%


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European PVC Market

Total consumption in 2004 : 5650 kt

The average trend for the 5 next years:

Moderate growth in Western Europe : +1%/y High growth in Eastern Europe : + 6-7%/y


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Content

Who is SolVin?





SOLVAY


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The European PVC Cable Market

European PVC Cable Market

Total consumption : 428 kt in 2004

2000-2005 in WE : -2%/y

PVC in cables

Good insulator for safe energy supply Above 55% among all polymers

Mostly in low voltage : > 75%

Telecom

Transport (Automotive)

Also used in Tunnels : < 1%...


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SOLVAY


Source SolVin

Evolution of PVC Comsumption in Cables in Europe

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

t/y

West-Europe

Grand Total

EE + Russ ia

AAGR +/- 4%

AAGR +/- 1%


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Content

Who is SolVin?





SOLVAY


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Main Drivers of the

Wire & Cables Market In Grand Europe

Less cables in general

WE : Decrease of the cable market in volume

Delocalisation of production to EE, N-Africa and NE-Asia

Wireless trend accelerating (Bluetooth)

Telecom cables affected since mid 90

In EE + Russia : Increase of the cable market

New buildings, reconstruction


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Trends for PVC in the

Wire & Cables Market

Less apparent consumption of PVC due to :

Inter Polymer competition HFFR accounts for +/-5% but high growth

Some trade influences

Export of PVC Compounds to EE + Russia

Imports from SE-Asia

PVC cables

Finished goods


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PVC Net Trade from Europe in 2004

Western Europe

Africa Middle East - Asie

C/C:13.9 kgC/C : 3.1 kg

305 kt

Eastern Europe

270kt


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Trends for PVC in theWire & Cables Market

The average Trend in the next 5 years

PVC Consumption

Slight Growth in Grand Europe : +1%/y

Slight decrease in WE : -1%/y

Clear Growth in EE : +4%/y

PVC Compounding

Innovation in new grades

Higher performances

Higher Recycling of composite materials from cables


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Content

Who is SolVin?





SOLVAY


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SolVin Awards for PVC Innovation (2004)

Eurocompounds (Starcom)

XL seriesPVC-P compound cross-linkable andflame retardant.

E/8000 series

Compound of PVC-P blended with TPU,NBR, TPU/NBR for technical cables.


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SolVin Awards for PVC Innovation (2004)

Eurocompounds (Starcom)

E/7000 series

PVC-P compound with very high flameretardancy, very low smoke and acidityemission.

Gebauer und Griller Kabelwerk

PVC-P compound with very hightemperature resistance up to 125C, forautomotive applications


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SolVin involved in PVC recycling

FeedFeed

DissolutionDissolution

AdditivesAdditives

PrecipitationPrecipitation

FilteringFilteringSecondarySecondaryMaterialMaterial

PVC/SolventPVC/Solvent

SolutionSolution

Spin DryingSpin Drying AirAir

PVCPVC

DryerDryer

Solvent CleaningSolvent Cleaning

SteamSteam

WaterWaterTreatmentTreatment

PVCPVC

PrecipitationPrecipitation

Vinyloop


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SOLVAY

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION


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SOLVAY

Cables 2006

ConferenceClassification of cables:

The PVC answerRichard Thommeret

SOLVIN Marketing Manager

Roland DewittSOLVAY - DCRT-HSE - Products

Regulatory Affairs

Cologne, 15 & 16 March 2006


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Purpose of regulation

European or national

Often legal text supporting a frame legislation

Europe

European law

referring to

Framework laws (Directives)

Purpose: definition of collective desires or humanprotection, such as health, safety, environment,...


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ER2: Safety in case of fire

ER2, as all ER, refers to the works during their

lifetime (= period of occupancy or usage) "In case of fire" refers to the occurrence of a fire

and the immediate impact on users, occupants

and the construction, including the rescue period

"In case of fire" does not refer to the longer

terms consequences of a fire


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ER2: Safety in case of fire

Active protection means

Passive protection means Fire Safety Engineering, including the selection of

systems, the design of products and the choice of

materials Essential characteristics:

release of heat

release of smoke (visibility and toxicity)

fire propagation


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ER2 and cables

Proposal for a system of

Classes of reaction to fire performance for cables 7 classes: Aca, B1ca, B2ca, Cca, Dca, Eca and Fca

Classification criteria:

Heat release (total and peak), FIGRA (growth index) andflame spread

Additional classification (for B1ca to Dca):

Smoke production (total and peak), flaming droplets,smoke acidity


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ER2 and smoke acidity

What is the justification of such a parameter regardingER2 ?

acidity testing is inappropriate for assessing actual gastoxicity

carbon monoxide is completely ignored

the test method referred to is not a performance-basedtest

(short-term) corrosivity is not a threat for safety

smoke acidity does not address any of the provisionsunder ER2 of the CPD


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Some reference values (ppm)

0.441795100420AEGL-2 (10 min.)

6.2271706201700AEGL-3 (10 min.)

?50211001500UITP (transport)

150165290038005700ISO 13344

308550010001200ISO/TS 13571

(30 min.)

25030501200IDLH (workshop)

AcroleinHCNHFHClCO


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Reference toxicity ratio

9555.92250.230.24AEGL-2 (10 min.)

274231000.10.36AEGL-3 (10 min.)

?2?0.0140.07UITP (transport)

3823250.50.67ISO 13344

4011.8330.420.83ISO/TS 13571

(30 min.)

6001250.0250.04IDLH (workshop)

Acrolein

/CO

HCN

/HCl

Acrolein

/HClCO/HFCO/HCl


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Smoke toxicity study

According to DIN 53436 (tube furnace)

On cables and cable compounds:PVC, PE/EVA and PE-X

Temperature: 600C (pre-flash over)

Oxygen: 5% and 15% (as recommended inISO/TR 9122-1 and IEC 60695-7-1)

Gas analyses: CO, CO2, O2, HCl, acrolein,

formaldehydeECVM / SP (Boras, Sweden) - 2004


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DIN 53436

Tube Furnace test


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Cables (compounds) toxicity ratio

4.954.533.703.6515% vs 5% O2 (PE/EVA)

0.610.600.600.60Low smoke PVC vsPhthalate free PVC

0.390.430.540.57PE/EVA vs PE (sheathing)

2.371.290.820.83PE/EVA vs PVC (insulation)

2.281.120.570.54PE-X vs PVC (insulation)

2.771.500.910.90PE vs Low smoke PVC

1.050.650.500.52PE/EVA vs Low smoke PVC

AEGL-2AEGL-3IEC

60695

ISO

13344according to


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Conclusion

Toxicity of fire effluents is primarily dependent on CO,then LMW organic chemicals and inorganic acids

Also, acid gases have no impact on short termcorrosivity and electric circuit integrity (main failurecause: bridging by soot)

The criterion on smoke acidity is irrelevant and is anunfortunate diversion from more realistic safetyparameters

Note: In terms of safety, the concept of "tenability" seemsmore appropriate (combination of heat, radiation, visibilityand toxicity)


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SOLVAY

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

presentation cables 2006 - rtm & rdw graph vs pict

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