Presentation by

Dr. Ehab Shalaby To

Capacity Building Program on Climate Change

Ministry of Environment Egyptian Environmental Affairs Agency EEAA

28 - 30 November 2016

About EHAB SHALABY

Academic achievement

Public consultations

Business occupation

Academic Achievements

Public consultations

Business occupation

History

Economic Dimension

Environmental

Dimension

Climate Change

Social Dimension

Major conferences & Summits

• UN Conference of the

Human Environment (1972)

• World Commission on

Environment and

Development (1987)

Major conferences & Summits

• United Nations Conference

on Environment and

Development (1992)

• Millennium Summit (2000)

Major conferences & Summits

• World Summit on

Sustainable Development

(2002)

• UN Conference on

Sustainable Development

(2012)

• United Nations Sustainable

Development Summit (2015)

Economy and Environment

Economists Ecologists

CO2 Emissions

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Agriculture Sector Industrial Sector Energy & Transport wastes

Percentages

17%

16%

59%

8%

Agriculture Sector

Industrial Sector

Energy & Transport

wastes

Total reductions of GHG emissions by 2030

Total Financial Needs for

Mitigation, by Sector

• Adaptation costs: 10 billion USD

• Mitigation Costs: 40. billion USD

• Total 50. billion USD

• Egypt's GDP: 330 USD 2015

Subtract

Yields

Yields

Subtract

Gross National Income (GNI) (Y)

Public & Private Consumption

Gross National Savings (GNS)

Net National Savings (NNS) (CH KM)

Consumption Of Fixed Capital (CFC)

Value OF Res. Depletion

INV. In Human Capital

(KI)

Value Of Damage

From Pollution

Adjusted Net Savings (ANS) (CH K)

YIELDS

World Bank adjusted

net saving indicator

components.

World comparison

18.16%

6.85%

19.30%

6.32%

GNS EGYPT NNS EGYPT GNS WA. NNS WA.

% GNI (2010)

Source: World Development Indicators & Global Development Finance, (WB, 2012).

18.16

6.85

11.26

-7.07

-1.55

3.61

GNS NNS NNS+EDE TRD TED ANS

GNS & ANS % of GNI (2010)

GNS and ANS

Source: World Development Indicators & Global Development Finance, (WB,

2012).

7.20% 6.50%

14.34% 16.50%

1.58% 3.61%

World OECD Middle Income Countries

Low Income Countries

Middle East & North Africa

Egypt

ANS% of GNI

ANS% of GNI

Egypt and world comparison

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

18.00

1990 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 2000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

ANS

Linear (ANS)

Linear (ANS)

ANS trends

Source: World Development Indicators & Global Development Finance, (WB, 2012).

Chapter 2 Energy and Sustainable Development in Egypt

“An Economic Policy Perspective”

Weak VS Strong Sustainability

Neoclassical Approach

Weak Sustainability

KM

KI

KN

0<K

Ecological Economic Approach

Strong Sustainability

KM

KI

KN

K>0