predicting mci or dementia at follow-up: using subjective memory and non-memory complaints from both...
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Poster Presentations P3S546
P3-100 PREDICTING MCI OR DEMENTIA AT FOLLOW-
UP: USING SUBJECTIVE MEMORYAND NON-
MEMORY COMPLAINTS FROM BOTH THE
PARTICIPANTAND INFORMANT
Melissa Slavin1, Henry Brodaty2, Nicole Kochan3, John Crawford1,
Simone Reppermund1, Julian Trollor3, Brian Draper3, Perminder Sachdev3,1The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia; 2Dementia
Collaborative Research Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia; 3The University of
New South Wales, Randwick, Australia.
Background: Subjective complaints, required for most definitions of mild
cognitive impairment (MCI), have not been operationalised. We previ-
ously showed that if a number of questions are asked, nearly all individ-
uals will endorse some cognitive complaint/s, thereby making the
criterion redundant. The ideal criterion for MCI is one that best predicts
decline. While some studies have found subjective complaints predict
progression to dementia, to date there has been no evaluation of which
type (participant/informant, memory/non-memory) or severity of com-
plaints are most sensitive to progression to dementia, or indeed progres-
sion from normal to MCI. We aimed to assess whether cognitive
complaints at baseline could predict classification at two year follow-
up. Methods: Participants were drawn from the Sydney Memory and Age-
ing Study, a longitudinal study of community-dwelling older adults initially
aged 70-90 years. A subsample of 637 participants who completed a com-
prehensive assessment including 15 memory and 9 non-memory complaint
questions and neuropsychological testing at baseline were included. An in-
formant answered 15 memory and 4 non-memory complaint questions, and
rated their functional independence. Repeat testing was conducted two
years later, with each participant classified into normal, MCI, or dementia
groups. Results: Logistic regression showed that sum of participant mem-
ory complaints predicted MCI two years later, and sum of informant mem-
ory complaints predicted dementia two years later. Both participant and
informant complaints (memory and non-memory combined) predicted
MCI, but only informant complaints predicted dementia. The question
“have you noticed difficulties with your memory?” was not sensitive to ei-
ther MCI or dementia at follow-up. The areas under the curve of the Re-
ceiver Operating Characteristic curves were highest for informant
memory complaints predicting dementia, and participant memory com-
plaints predicting MCI after two years. Conclusions: For cognitive com-
plaints to be useful to clinicians, they should indicate future progression
to MCI or dementia. Participant memory complaints seem most useful
for predicting MCI, and informant memory complaints for predicting de-
mentia after two years. A subset of participant memory questions graded
in severity also predicted progression to dementia. Non-memory com-
plaints did not predict MCI or dementia. Thresholds for memory com-
plaints are recommended to maximize sensitivity and specificity for
predicting dementia after two years.
P3-101 ASSOCIATION BETWEEN COGNITIVE
DETERIORATION AND LIFESTYLE-RELATED
DISEASES - STUDY ON NORMAL POPULATIONS
ATTENDING COMPREHENSIVE MEDICAL
CHECKUPS
Kazushi Suzuki, Atsushi Iwata, Yumiko Ooike, Tomoko Nakao,
Shinya Kodashima, Kenichi Aizawa, Yoshiko Mizuno, Toru Suzuki,
Tsutomu Yamazaki, Shoji Tsuji, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Background: To investigate the association between cognitive impairment
and lifestyle-related diseases, we analyzed neuropsycological test results
and clinical data of normal populations attending comprehensive medical
checkups. Methods: We performed Mini-Mental State Examination
(MMSE), Wechsler Memory Scale-Revised (WMS-R) Logical Memory
IA, and the Clock Drawing Test (CDT) on 155 voluntary participants
(Male: 73, Female: 82, The average age: 63.7 years old) among individuals
attending comprehensive medical checkups from 2009 to 2010. We deter-
mined “cognitive deterioration suspected” when the participant fulfilled at
least one of the following three criteria; (a) MMSE < 27, (b) WMS-R log-
ical memory IA lower than the cutoffs (education years > 16 years: > 11,
10-15 years:> 7, 0-9 years:> 5, (c) having subjective complaints of forget-
fulness and the CDT score lower than 4. Metabolic syndrome was defined
using the consensus criteria presented in the 2009 Joint Scientific Statement.
Obesity was defined as BMI > ¼25. Hyperuricemia was defined as serum
uric acid > 7.3 (male) or> 6.1 (female). Results: Among 155 participants,
41 cases (26%) were determined as “cognitive deterioration suspected”. The
numbers of cases which came under criterion (a), (b), and (c) were 16, 26,
and 5, respectively. The 32 % of “cognitive deterioration suspected” cases
were diagnosed as metabolic syndrome, while only 22% of “normal cogni-
tive function” cases were diagnosed as that. Most components of metabolic
syndrome (elevated waist circumstance, elevated triglycerides, elevated
fasting glucose, and elevated blood pressure) and other lifestyle-related dis-
eases (obesity and hyperuricemia) were more prevalent among “cognitive
deterioration suspected” cases than among “normal cognitive function”
cases, except for reduced HDL-cholesterol. Among these disorders, ele-
vated waist circumstance and hyperuricemia was significantly associated
with cognitive deterioration (Odds ratio¼2.41 and 3.43, 95%CI¼1.16 to
5.00 and 1.36 to 8.70, respectively).Conclusions: Lifestyle-related diseases
including metabolic syndrome are possible risk factors for cognitive
impairment.
P3-102 COMBINING PREDICTIVE MARKERS OF
COGNITIVE DECLINE IN MCI: COST-BENEFIT
ANALYSIS
Frank Thiele1, Stewart Young2, Fabian Wenzel2, Ralph Buchert3, 1Philips
Research, Briarcliff Manor, New York, United States; 2Philips Research,
Hamburg, Germany; 3Charite, Berlin, Germany.
Background: The combination of predictors can improve prediction of
cognitive decline in mild cognitive impairment (MCI) (Devanand et al,
2008). Several studies have looked at combining a fixed number of predic-
tors without considering the incremental benefit of different predictors. In
particular, biomarker cost has usually not been taken into account. The
objective of this study was to investigate benefit relative to cost of bio-
markers and their combination for prediction of cognitive decline in sub-
jects with MCI.Methods:AllMCI subjects with baseline FDG PETand 24
months follow-up were included from the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimag-
ing Initiative (ADNI) (n¼155, age¼7667y, MMSE¼27.361.6). Subjects
were divided into two categories: Cognitively ‘progressive’ (MMSE de-
crease> 2 at follow-up, n¼42), and ‘stable’ (MMSE decrease¼2,
n¼113). The following common measures at baseline were considered as
predictors: 4 FDG regional values (cost $1000), 2 MRI volumes (ventricle,
hippocampus, $400), CSF (Aß42, tau, p-tau, $250, n¼78 subjects), MMSE
($20), ADAS-cog ($100) and APOE4 status ($150). Age, gender and