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Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

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Page 1: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

Practical Approaches to

Ending Extreme Poverty in

Africa

Jeffrey D. Sachsat the

Clinton School of Public ServiceUniversity of Arkansas

March 15, 2006

Page 2: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

Severe malaria

Page 3: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

Severe malaria

Page 4: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006
Page 5: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006
Page 6: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

MAP OF COUNTRIES REQUIRING URGENT EXTERNAL ASSISTANCE

                                                                                                                                                                      

COUNTRIES REQUIRING URGENT EXTERNAL ASSISTANCE (Total: 27 countries)

FAO/GIEWS December 2005

Page 7: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

THREE GREAT CHALLENGES

•Green Revolution

•Health Revolution

•Connectivity Revolution

Page 8: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

GREEN REVOLUTION:

Seed, Soils, Water, Climate, Pathogens

Page 9: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

FAO Index of Net Food Output per Capita, 1961-2000

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

1961

1963

1965

1967

1969

1971

1973

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

World E SE Asia South Asia Sub-Sahara

Page 10: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

0

0.51

1.52

2.53

3.54

4.5

55.5

66.5

77.5

8

Observed On-farm

OfficialOn-farm

On-station Commercialfarmers

Gra

in y

ield

(t

ha

-1)

Zambia

Tanzania

Kenya

Uganda

Ethiopia

Burkina Faso

Niger

Botswana

Zimbabwe

The Yield GapReported Grain yield levels Some observations from sub-Saharan Africa

Page 11: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

Cereal Yields

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

Year

Kg

per

Hec

tare East Asia and Pacific

Sub-Saharan Africa

South Asia

Latin America & Caribbean

World Bank World Development Indicators

Page 12: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

Irrigated Cropland

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Year

Pro

po

rtio

n o

f al

l Cro

pla

nd

China

India

Sub-Saharan Africa

Latin America & Caribbean

World Bank World Development Indicators

Page 13: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

Fertilizer

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Year

100

gra

ms

per

hec

tare

East Asia and Pacif ic

South Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

Latin America & Caribbean

World Bank World Development Indicators

Page 14: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006
Page 15: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006
Page 16: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

HEALTH REVOLUTION:

Infectious disease control, human resources, public awareness,

logistics

Page 17: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

Malaria Ecology Index

Page 18: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

Sub-Saharan Africa has the Highest Prevalence

of Nine Neglected Tropical Diseases

Condition Cases in Africa Proportion of Global Burden in Africa

Hookworm 198 million 27%-34%

Ascariasis 173 million 14%-22%

Schistosomiasis 166 million 89%

Trichuriasis 162 million 20%-26%

Trachoma 33 million 40%

Lymphatic Filariasis 46 million 38%

Onchocerciasis 18 million 99%

Trypanosomiasis 0.5 million 100%

Dracunculiasis <0.1 million 100%

Page 19: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

Geographic Overlap of Hookworm and Malaria

Page 20: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006
Page 21: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

CONNECTIVITY REVOLUTION:

Roads, rail, ports, telecommunications, internet

Page 22: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

A Comparison of Railway Networks in Africa and India

Page 23: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

THE ECONOMIC STRATEGY

•Rural Sector: From “Sub-subsistence”to Commercial Agriculture

•Urban Sector: From informality toInternational Competitiveness in Manufactures and Services

•Demographic Transition

Page 24: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

Rural Sector

Community-led development

through

Millennium Villages

Page 25: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

Millennium Research Villages

Page 26: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006
Page 27: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006
Page 28: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006
Page 29: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006
Page 30: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006
Page 31: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006
Page 32: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

Urban Development

Promote global competitiveness inurban areas through investmentsin key infrastructure and attraction ofFDI

Millennium Cities Project

Page 33: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

Demographic Transition:

Total Fertility Rate below 3.0

by 2015

Maternal empowerment, girls’ education,Child survival, contraceptive availability,

Family planning

Page 34: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

He

alth

Infr

a

Wa

ter

Ag

ric

Ed

uc

En

vir

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

Recommended

Current

Sector ODA Per African Per Annum: Recommended versus CurrentSource: OECD DAC, 2003

Note: ODA net of Technical Cooperation

Page 35: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

The Scientific Challenges

Ecologically placed scienceOperations Research and evaluationUnderstanding Anthropogenic ChangeR&D for the Poor:

health, agriculture, energy, connectivity, water, training and systems (management and finance)

Page 36: Practical Approaches to Ending Extreme Poverty in Africa Jeffrey D. Sachs at the Clinton School of Public Service University of Arkansas March 15, 2006

THANK YOU !