pop housing fact sheets mackay 200908
DESCRIPTION
Popiulation forecast for Mackay.TRANSCRIPT
Population trends
Annual population change
Year at Est. resident
30-Jun population Year to Natural Assumed net Annual change
2001 91,084 30-Jun increase migration Total Per cent
2002 93,649 2002 698 1,867 2,565 2.8%
2003 96,018 2003 716 1,653 2,369 2.5%
2004 98,957 2004 688 2,251 2,939 3.1%
2005 103,060 2005 877 3,226 4,103 4.1%
2006 107,332 2006 772 3,500 4,272 4.1%
2007r 109,957 2007 839 1,786 2,625 2.4%
2008p 112,607 2008 n.a. n.a. 2,650 2.4%
Mackay Regional Council
Estimated resident population
90,000
95,000
100,000
105,000
110,000
115,000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007r
2008p
Year at 30 June
People
• The preliminary estimated resident population of Mackay Regional Council at 30 June 2008 was 112,607 people, an increase of 2,650 people or 2.4 per cent over the year. This compares with an increase of 2,625 people or 2.4 per cent in the year to June 2007.
• In the year to June 2007 natural increase (births minus deaths) accounted for an increase of 839 people while assumed net migration resulted in a gain of 1,786 people.
• Projections prepared by the department indicate that by 2016 the expected population of Mackay Regional Council will be between 139,480 and 150,350 people. By 2031 this is expected to change to between 159,870 and 189,500 people (low and high series).
• The median age of Mackay Regional Council's population is projected to increase by 4 years from a median age of 36 years in 2006 up to a median age of 40 years in 2031.
• Dwelling activity decreased in Mackay Regional Council in the year ending June 2009 with 781 approvals, 85.9 per cent of them for separate houses. Compared to 1,080 approvals in the previous year, these figures represent a decrease of 27.7 per cent in dwelling activity.
Population and housing fact sheet
Components of population change
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Year to 30 June
People
Natural increase Assumed net migration
Population projections
Five Average
Projected population years to annual change
Low Medium High 30-Jun (medium series)
2011 123,341 125,669 128,214 2011 3.2%
2016 139,485 144,463 150,345 2016 2.8%
2021 150,719 158,529 168,066 2021 1.9%
2026 156,542 166,958 179,982 2026 1.0%
2031 159,878 172,993 189,497 2031 0.7%
Population projections
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
2011 2016 2021 2026 2031
People
Low Medium High
p = preliminary r = revised
August 2009
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Whitsunday Whitsunday Whitsunday Whitsunday Whitsunday Whitsunday Whitsunday Whitsunday Whitsunday
Regional CouncilRegional CouncilRegional CouncilRegional CouncilRegional CouncilRegional CouncilRegional CouncilRegional CouncilRegional Council
Isaac Regional Council
Mackay Regional Council
Sarina
MackayMirani
Population by age group, Mackay Regional Council
Age group Median
0-14 15-24 25-44 45-64 65+ age
2006 23,503 14,508 31,368 26,823 11,170 36
21.9% 13.5% 29.2% 25.0% 10.4%
2031 32,593 19,170 47,289 43,091 30,847 40
* 18.8% 11.1% 27.3% 24.9% 17.8%
Age distribution, Mackay Regional Council,
2006 and 2031
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
0-14 15-24 25-44 45-64 65+
2006 2031
Dwelling approvals
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Year to June
Number of approva
ls
Houses Other
Population by age group, Queensland
Age group Median
0-14 15-24 25-44 45-64 65+ age
2006 834,591 578,170 1,171,154 1,014,106 493,525 36
20.4% 14.1% 28.6% 24.8% 12.1%
2031 1,109,855 756,601 1,599,186 1,533,624 1,274,599 41
^ 17.7% 12.1% 25.5% 24.4% 20.3%
Average household size
Average household size
Mackay Qld
1996 2001 2006 2006
Separate house 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8
Semi-detached, flats, etc 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.8
Other dwellings inc caravans 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.8
All occupied private dwellings 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6
More detail on these topics available from the Planning Information and Forecasting Unit New dwelling activity
Year to New dwelling approvals
June Houses Other Total
2003 580 55 635
2004 894 123 1,017
2005 836 173 1,009
2006 855 77 932
2007 846 281 1,127
2008 909 171 1,080
2009 671 110 781
Sep Qtr 2008 187 75 262
Dec Qtr 2008 163 13 176
Mar Qtr 2009 126 13 139
Jun Qtr 2009 195 9 204
* Medium series
( includes ABS revisions from 2000-01 )
^ Medium series
The Planning Information and Forecasting Unit (PIFU) provides a comprehensive range of professional products and services in the areas of population, housing trends, projections and urban land supply. Standard and customised products are available. Please contact us for further information. Department of Infrastructure and Planning Planning Information and Forecasting Unit PO Box 15009 City East Qld 4002 Australia tel +61 7 3237 1115 (general enquires) +61 7 3237 1200 (data enquires) fax +61 7 3235 4071 [email protected]
www.dip.qld.gov.au
Sources for the population and housing fact sheet: ABS Cat Nos 3201.3, 3218.0, 3235.3. ABS unpublished births and deaths data. ABS unpublished dwelling approvals data. ABS Census of Population and Housing 1996, 2001 and 2006. QDIP Queensland’s future population 2008 edition. Queensland government population projections 2008. Copyright 2008 Planning Information and Forecasting Unit, QDIP, Australian Bureau of Statistics © The State of Queensland, Department of Infrastructure and Planning, 2009. Please note that intellectual property in the data contained in this document provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics vests in the Commonwealth of Australia. The State of Queensland, acting through the Department of Infrastructure and Planning, supports and encourages the dissemination and exchange of information. However, copyright protects this material. The State of Queensland, acting through the Department of Infrastructure and Planning, asserts the right to be recognised (except where otherwise noted on the material) as the author of this material and the right to have its material remain unaltered. The Australian Bureau of Statistics gives no warranty that the data are free from error, are complete, have particular quality, and are suitable for any purpose or otherwise.