poor children in rich households

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Keetie Roelen IDS Members seminar 4 November 2015 Poor Children living in Rich Households: A Blurred Picture, Lagged Effects or Hidden Realities?

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Page 1: Poor Children in Rich Households

Keetie Roelen

IDS Members seminar

4 November 2015

Poor Children living in Rich Households: A Blurred Picture, Lagged Effects or Hidden Realities?

Page 2: Poor Children in Rich Households

Rationale

early investment matters

Page 3: Poor Children in Rich Households

Rationale

mismatch of monetary and multidimensional poverty

Page 4: Poor Children in Rich Households

Rationale

Vietnam Congo

Page 5: Poor Children in Rich Households

This study: aims and objectives

Investigate mismatch and overlap patterns

Repeated cross-sections

Longitudinal pattern

Explain mismatch patterns

Use mixed methods approach

Research in Ethiopia and Vietnam, complemented by research from Burundi

exploring mismatch patterns in child poverty outcomes

- Measurement error - Lagged effect - Opportunity costs - Household factors - Infrastructure and services - Awareness and attitudes - Aspirations

Page 6: Poor Children in Rich Households

Outline seminar

Data and methods • Quantitative data

and measures • Qualitative data

and methods Explaining mismatch: • Measurement error • Lagged effects • Opportunity costs • Household factors • Infrastructure and services • Social protection • Coaching and support • Aspirations • Attitudes and behaviour

Policy implications: • Measurement • Targeting • Programme support • Whose responsibility?

Child poverty outcomes • Respondent perspectives • Cross-sectional findings • Longitudinal findings

Page 7: Poor Children in Rich Households

Data and methods

quantitative data and measures

Multidimensional poverty measure Ethiopia Vietnam Indicators Domains Indicators not attending school (6-18) Education net enrolment (5-15) working on farm (6-18) primary completion rate (12-15) working on domestic chores (age 6-18)

Health visit to health facility (2-4)

Shelter living in house with electricity (0-15) living in proper house (0-15)

Water and Sanitation

living in dwelling with improved toilet (0-15) drinking from improved water source (0-15)

Child work child work (6-15) Social inclusion

having caregiver unable to work (0-15)

quantitative 1999 2004 2009 panel

Ethiopia (ERHS) 5054 3709 4937 1497

2004 2006 2008 panel

Vietnam (VHLSS) 12154 10696 9960 1068

monetary poverty measure

Ethiopia Vietnam

real per capita consumption real per capita expenditures

Page 8: Poor Children in Rich Households

Data and methods

qualitative data and methods

qualitative adults children Total

Ethiopia 88 61 159

Vietnam 145 78 223

Page 9: Poor Children in Rich Households

Data and methods

qualitative data and methods

adults children Total

91 40 131

Page 10: Poor Children in Rich Households

Child poverty outcomes

respondent perspectives

Are household wealth and child wellbeing always the same?

“They are related and always the same, because rich households usually feed their children well, purchase clothes frequently, send their children to school and provide health care more than the poor families.” [14 year old boy, Harresaw, Ethiopia]

“No. If the family is rich but they do not live in peace and do not take care of their children, their health, study and entertainment, child wellbeing is not good.” [15 year old girl, Dong Thap, Vietnam]

“Parents in poor families care about and educate their children more encouraging them to aim at higher especially at school so that they have a better life. Parents in wealthy families do not have time to educate their children.” [Caregiver, Cibitoke, Burundi]

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Child poverty outcomes

cross-sectional trends

Page 12: Poor Children in Rich Households

Child poverty outcomes

longitudinal patterns

2006

N AB A B C Total

2004 AB 567 49.6 14.5 26.1 9.9 100

A 393 3.6 30.5 2.8 63.1 100

B 407 13.8 8.9 39.3 38.1 100

C 1126 0.1 5.9 3.5 90.6 100

2008

N AB A B C Total

2006 AB 352 53.4 10.8 26.7 9.1 100

A 304 13.8 41.5 2.6 42.1 100

B 358 18.4 7.0 35.5 39.1 100

C 1479 1.4 5.9 4.3 88.4 100

Transition matrices poverty groups Vietnam, 2004-08

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Explaining mismatch

measurement error

Community criteria for household wealth and child wellbeing in Vietnam

Identification of households in Ethiopia

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Explaining mismatch

lagged effects

2006

N AB A B C Total

2004 AB 567 49.6 14.5 26.1 9.9 100

A 393 3.6 30.5 2.8 63.1 100

B 407 13.8 8.9 39.3 38.1 100

C 1126 0.1 5.9 3.5 90.6 100

2008

N AB A B C Total

2006 AB 352 53.4 10.8 26.7 9.1 100

A 304 13.8 41.5 2.6 42.1 100

B 358 18.4 7.0 35.5 39.1 100

C 1479 1.4 5.9 4.3 88.4 100

Transition matrices poverty groups Vietnam, 2004-08

Page 15: Poor Children in Rich Households

Explaining mismatch

opportunity costs

Livestock ownership and family work across consumption deciles for children aged 10-15 in rural Ethiopia

810

1214

16

aver

age

hour

s fa

mily

wor

k (p

er w

eek)

23

45

6

aver

age

lives

tock

ow

ners

hip

(TLU

)

0 2 4 6 8 10

real per capita consumption (deciles)

livestock (TLU) hours family work (per week)

>> Where is the tipping point?

“Parents from poor households give more responsibilities to their children from a young age, which help them to grow up with a better education compared to their peers from rich families.”

[Male caregiver, Cibitoke, Burundi]

Page 16: Poor Children in Rich Households

Explaining mismatch

household factors

Ethiopia Vietnam

quantitative analysis

household size: AB↑, B↑, A↓ single hh head: AB↑, B↑, A↑

no education hh head: AB↑, A↑ no education hh head: AB↑

primary education+ hh head: A↑ unemployed hh head: AB↑, A↑

living in Mekong River Delta: AB↓,

B↓, A↑

qualitative analysis

female hh head: B↑ attitudes and awareness: B↑, A↑

attitudes and awareness: B↑, A↑

Page 17: Poor Children in Rich Households

Explaining mismatch

infrastructure and services

Page 18: Poor Children in Rich Households

Explaining mismatch

social protection

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Explaining mismatch

coaching and support

Concern Worldwide ‘Terintambwe’ programme in Burundi

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Explaining mismatch

aspirations

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Explaining mismatch

aspirations and attitudes

Sara, 16 years old, living with her father, in grade 8

“I can say my wellbeing is good and bad. It is good because I am in school. My wellbeing is bad because I am working at home when I return from school.”

Her father says: “I don’t send my children to work for other households but I believe children should work at home in household production.”

“If I pass the national examination, I want to continue my education in the town of Atsbi. But my father wants me to join the Dera high school in order to support him. I want to be an engineer in order construct road to my community in particular and my country in general.”

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Policy implications: measurement

Child poverty measurement requires a comprehensive use of monetary and multidimensional approaches.

Child poverty measurement requires its own measure

Longitudinal analysis is important for gaining insight into movements in and out of child poverty.

The use of both quantitative and qualitative data allows for more in-depth analysis of child poverty and its causes and solutions.

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Policy implications: targeting

Targeting remains heavily focused on establishing approximations of monetary poor.

How to expand targeting practice to:

>> include all vulnerable children?

>> move from a household to individual perspective?

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Policy implications: programme interventions

Livelihood strengthening and income generation can work for children but:

>> it is not enough, and

>> it may have adverse consequences.

Need for more critical reflection on role of children in asset accumulation strategies and income generating activities.

How to effectively incorporate behaviour change elements?

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Policy implications: whose responsibility?

>> How to avoid that a focus on knowledge, awareness and individual behaviour does not become an unconstructive and unfair blame game?

Source: Kuenstler 2015

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Thank you!

[email protected]

@KeetieRoelen