peterborough profile 2014 sept 25 · the peterborough profile 2014 does build on the historic data...

Peterborough Profile ��

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Sources for photographs: http://www.welcomepeterborough.ca/welcome.htm http://www.tripadvisor.ca/Attractions-g155008-Activities-Peterborough_Ontario.html http://county.peterborough.on.ca/about-the-county http://www.cavanmonaghan.net/en/index.asp http://www.hbmtwp.ca/ http://www.langpioneervillage.ca/ http://www.welcomepeterborough.ca/welcome.htm

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CONTENTS

Highlights ....................................................................................................................................................................... 4

Introduction ................................................................................................................................................................... 7

Geography of the Study Area .................................................................................................................................... 9

Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................... 11

Data Sources ....................................................................................................................................................... 11

Data Limitations .................................................................................................................................................. 12

Acknowledgements ................................................................................................................................................. 13

Staff & Volunteers ............................................................................................................................................... 13

Chapter 1 Population ................................................................................................................................................... 14

Chapter 2 Ethnicity & Diversity .................................................................................................................................... 31

Chapter 3 Income, Employment & Economy .............................................................................................................. 39

Chapter 4 Housing ....................................................................................................................................................... 57

Appendix Tables – supplementary to the Chapters .................................................................................................... 84

Bibliography ................................................................................................................................................................. 96

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HIGHLIGHTS

Background:

The Peterborough Profile 2014 does build on the historic data and trends from the past but we are now

including population projections for the planning of our communities in Peterborough. It represents a

full range of demographic data to provide a social and economic profile of the people of the

Peterborough area. Where possible the Profile also provides data covering the period from 1981 to

2011, allowing for an examination of trends in the Peterborough area over these past years. However,

due to changes in the Statistics Canada surveying processes, we have also gone outside of the 2011

census to provide a comprehensive description of our community and develop a useful planning tool.

The Peterborough Profile provides information on the following geographic areas:

• Asphodel-Norwood

• Cavan Monaghan

• City of Peterborough

• Curve Lake First Nation

• Douro-Dummer

• Havelock-Belmont-Methuen

• Hiawatha First Nation

• North Kawartha

• Otonabee-South Monaghan

• Selwyn

• Trent Lakes

The snapshot of population trends (2006 to 2011):

There was a 1.39% increase in population for the City and County between 2006 and 2011 while the city

proper grew by 5%. The rate of combined growth was less than that of the province, 4.3% vs. 5.7%.

Population change:

• 20% of the population of the City of Peterborough is over 65 years of age. Combining the

city and the county, there is a total of 20% of the population that are seniors.

• Decreases were documented in the following age groups in the county including the city:

o 5 to 14

5

o 15 to 19

o 20 to 24

o 25 to 44

• The age group 0 to 4 increased by 16.7% in the city and by 10.63% in the county/city

tabulations.

• Significant increases were observed in the age groups

o 55 to 64

o 65 to 44

o 85+

• In 2011, total population of the City of Peterborough was 78,698. The total population of the

County of Peterborough (excluding the City) was 56,236. Combined, the population was

134,933.

The following table provides an overview of the townships population and land area:

Population Density (pop/km2)

Community Population Area (km2)

Density

Ontario 12,851,821 908607.67 14.14

Peterborough City-County 134,933 3847.77 35.07

Peterborough City 78,698 63.8 1233.51

Peterborough County 56,235 3783.97 14.86

Asphodel-Norwood 4,041 160.98 25.10

Cavan Monaghan 8,601 306.22 28.09

Curve Lake First Nation 1,003 6.62 151.51

Douro-Dummer 6,805 458.98 14.83

Havelock-Belmont-Methuen 4,523 543.59 8.32

Hiawatha First Nation 362 8.07 44.86

North Kawartha 2,289 776.04 2.95

Otonabee-South Monaghan 6,660 347.58 19.16

Selwyn 16,846 315.64 53.37

Trent Lakes 5,105 860.26 5.93

• The number of households in the City of Peterborough was 21,640 and for the County of

Peterborough the total was 17,855 for a combined number of 39,495.

• Lone-parent families for the County, including the City numbered 5,985.

• The number of frail seniors in the Central East Local Health Integration Network (LHIN) in which

Peterborough is included in the LHIN's area, is expected to increase by 25% over the next ten

years and this varies by cluster (area).

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The snapshot of diversity:

• Ninety-three percent of the population of the County of Peterborough (including the city)

reported English as their mother tongue (compared to 69% for the province)

• In 2000/2001, the New Canadian Centre supported 125 clients. The number today has

increased to 486 (2012/2013).

• Peterborough has the highest percentage of Immigrant Entrepreneurs in Canada.

• Across 35 census metropolitan areas (CMAs) the highest rates of immigrant self-employment in

2012, were in: Peterborough– 36%, Kelowna – 29% St. Catharines - Niagara – 24%, Kingston –

23%, Hamilton – 22%, Victoria – 22%.

The snapshot of the economic situation:

• Peterborough continues to have a growing unemployment rate up to 9% in 2013 from 8.5% in

2012. These rates are higher than both the provincial and national unemployment rate.

• There was a 7% decline in the number of Ontario Works clients finding employment, and an

increase in the length of time to find employment.

• Peterborough has a higher-than-average percentage of people working in creative fields, but

close to half of all people working have service-industry jobs.

• For a family/household of four with two wage earners employed full-time at 37.5 hours weekly

and two dependents, the living wage is $16.47 (as recommended through the Peterborough

Social Planning Council’s “Calculating a Living Wage for Peterborough”, 2013.

A snapshot of housing:

• There are 1,474 people on the Social Housing Wait List, Greater Peterborough Area (2013)

• Forty-eight percent of the total 12,735 renter households spend in excess of 30% of their

income on housing. Of the total 34,880 owner households, 17.8% spend that amount on their

accommodation.

• The rental apartment vacancy rate in the Peterborough Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) was

4.8 per cent in October, 2013, up from 2.7 per cent in October, 2012.

• The average price of a new single-detached and resale house in the Peterborough CMA

increases: during the 2000 to 2012 period, house prices increased significantly as the average

resale house price nearly doubled, increasing to $266,000 in 2012, and the average price of a

new single-detached home decreased slightly to $325,000 from $330,749 in 2011.

• Since the year 2000, building permits have been issued for the creation of 5,057 residential units

in the City of Peterborough. This represents an annual average of 389 units.

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INTRODUCTION

The Peterborough Profile is a document that

was first unveiled by the Peterborough Social

Planning Council in 1985. The intent was to

develop a comprehensive profile of the

Peterborough area and to document

demographic changes.

The Peterborough Profile 2014 builds on the

historic data and trends from the past but we

are now including projections for the planning

of our communities in Peterborough. It

represents a full range of demographic data to

provide a social and economic profile of the

people of the Peterborough area. Where

possible the Profile provides data covering the

period from 1981 to 2011, allowing for an

examination of trends in the Peterborough area

over these past years. However, due to changes

in the Statistics Canada surveying processes, we

have also gone outside of the 2011 census to

provide a comprehensive description of our

community and develop a useful planning tool.

More than any other Profile that the PSPC has

developed to date, we are using more of our

own primary research to provide analysis and

stimulate discussion. The questions, analysis

and voices of community leaders that are

quoted, come from extensive cross-sectoral

community consultations that have identified

trends and issues needing attention.

As any good planning tool should do, this Profile

also attempts to prompt the type of questions

that are important as we plan for a changing

Peterborough. Furthermore, this Profile

continues to exemplify the global and local

paradigm that the interconnections among

economic, social, cultural and environmental

aspects of life must be strengthened through

local planning and living. We welcome your

feedback as to the helpfulness of this format

and analysis.

The Peterborough Social Planning Council has

provided the Peterborough City-County

community with a wide range of local data for

over 35 years. The Peterborough Profile is one

of the most significant community planning

tools that has been in existence for this period

of time. The Peterborough Profile is one of the

key ways that the Peterborough Social Planning

Council fulfills its mission of building a strong

local community through research, community

development and public education.

Our intent is to ask the key questions that must

be addressed by our decision makers and our

community leaders, if Peterborough is to

continue to move forward and thrive.

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GEOGRAPHY OF THE STUDY AREA

The area of study for the Peterborough Profile is Peterborough County census division, which includes

the following municipalities:

• Asphodel-Norwood

• Cavan Monaghan



• Douro-Dummer

• Havelock-Belmont-Methuen


• North Kawartha


• Selwyn

• Trent Lakes

Statistics Canada refers to each of these municipalities as a census subdivision, and together they make

up the larger geography of the census division. For the sake of clarity in the Profile, we use the term

“City-County” to refer to the entire census division. Data for the City of Peterborough is labelled “City”,

and data for the combined townships and First Nations is labelled “County”. Where data is reported at

the township or First Nation level, the results are labelled with the name of the municipality.

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Peterborough is now on the list of the nation’s census metropolitan areas, the smallest of Canada’s now

33 CMAs. A CMA has a population of at least 100,000 and an urban core of 50,000. The population of

the Peterborough CMA is 116,570, up 5.1 percent. The Peterborough Census Metropolitan Area (CMA)is

defined as:

• Cavan Monaghan


• Douro-Dummer




• Selwyn

Local Government Amalgamations

The map of Peterborough County changed in the period between the 1996 and 2001 Censuses. The

Province mandated smaller local governments to amalgamate and thus the number of municipalities

within the City-County decreased in 1998. Where the City-County once included four villages and 14

townships, it now has eight amalgamated municipalities.

Recently a few of the townships have undergone name changes; In 2007 Cavan-Millbrook-North

Monaghan was renamed Cavan Monaghan, in 2012 Smith-Ennismore-Lakefield passed a bylaw to

change its name to Selwyn, which took effect on January 15, 2013, Galway-Cavendish and Harvey

changed its name to Trent Lakes on February 19, 2013.

Previous Peterborough Profiles reported on the pre-amalgamation municipalities. For this edition of the Profile, we have built upon the past Censuses and the trends identified in past Peterborough Profiles.

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METHODOLOGY

DATA SOURCES

A significant amount of data used to complete the Peterborough Profile was drawn from Statistics

Canada’s 2011 Census Profile series. Additional information is drawn from community resources and

provides more analysis information to assist the community to look at the social implications of the

demographic trends. It builds on the work of other Peterborough Social Planning Council documents and

on the work of other community partners who have been involved with planning initiatives within

Peterborough county and city.

These partners include:

• City of Peterborough Planning Division, Housing Division, and Community Services Division

• County of Peterborough

• Peterborough County City Health Unit

• Peterborough Economic Development

• Greater Peterborough Chamber of Commerce

• Community Futures Development Corporation

• The New Canadians’ Centre

• Community and Race Relations Committee

• Workforce Development Board

• Affordable Housing Action Committee

• Peterborough Partnership Council on Immigrant Integration

• Trent Centre for Community- Based Education

• Sustainable Peterborough

• COIN (Community Opportunity & Innovation Network)

• Trent University

• Fleming College

• Farms at Work

• United Way of Peterborough & District

• Peterborough Social Planning Council primary research

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DATA LIMITATIONS

The National Household Survey is a new voluntary survey designed to replace the mandatory Census long form. Between May and August 2011, Statistics Canada administered the National Household Survey for the first time. This voluntary, self-administered survey was introduced as a replacement for the mandatory Census long form. The National Household Survey (NHS) is designed to collect demographic, social and economic data about the Canadian population and the dwellings in which they live. The National Household Survey collected data on subjects such as immigration and place of birth, education, labour, ethnic diversity, religion, income and household shelter costs. The objective of the NHS is to provide data for small geographic areas and population groups. The National Household Survey was sent to a sample of 4.5 million Canadian households. In total, the response rate was 69%, reflecting about 21% of the Canadian population. Although this response rate is comparable to other voluntary surveys conducted by Statistics Canada, the response rate to the mandatory 2006 Census long form was 94%. In 2013, Statistics Canada released the data from the new National Household Survey (NHS). This voluntary survey has replaced the mandatory 2B long form of previous censuses.

Many departments, agencies and local planners who have used data from the long census questionnaire to establish a socioeconomic profile of their target population have now turned to the NHS. The major methodological changes made by Statistics Canada have resulted in additional work on the part of these users who must now familiarise themselves with changes related to the implementation of the NHS in order to determine the impact it will have on their work. Using NHS data does require increased vigilance, whether it be results posted on Statistics Canada’s website or obtained by special requests. We must not assume that data taken from the 2006 Census long questionnaire can be updated directly by a similar measure taken from the 2011 NHS. An analysis of the extent of changes in each user context must first be made.

NHS results were disseminated in three stages during the spring and summer of 2013.

Many stakeholders have expressed concerns about the quality and comparability of NHS data, particularly for specific subpopulations or small geographical levels. Generally, concerns related to the three dimensions of quality of statistical information are: reliability, comparability and coherence.

Sources: Region of York, 2011 NATIONAL HOUSEHOLD SURVEY – ISSUES AND DEMOGRAPHIC HIGHLIGHTS, 2014

Institut de la statistique du Québec, Statistics Canada’s National Household Survey: State of knowledge for Quebec users, 2013

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

The Peterborough Social Planning Council (PSPC) gratefully acknowledges the financial support of the

United Way of Peterborough and District, and the City and County of Peterborough.

STAFF & VOLUNTEERS

Brenda Dales, Executive Director

Dawn Berry Merriam, Research & Policy Analyst, PSPC

Matt Parent, Research Associate

Analysis and supporting comments for this report have been provided by community experts

including:

Dr. James Struthers, Trent University

Dr. Mark Skinner, Trent University

Dr. Tom Phillips, Trent University

Nancy Fisher, City of Peterborough

Mike Gannon, City of Peterborough

Brad Appleby, City of Peterborough

John Coreno, City of Peterborough

Bryan Weir, County of Peterborough

Pat Learmonth, Farms at Work

Jason Stabler, Peterborough Partnership Council on Immigrant Integration

Joe Celestine, Workforce Development Board

Editorial Team: Paul Armstrong, Andy Cragg, Jason Dennison, Tina Williams, Eva Kennedy

Cover Design: Elaine Dobbin

We want to thank the countless citizens of Peterborough City and County, who have continued to

support the Peterborough Social Planning Council in its work, and who have taken part in our primary

research. Their voices help to provide meaning to the data and information contained in these

documents.

Peterborough Profile ��

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CHAPTER 1 POPULATION

Understanding population levels and changes over time is essential

to good community planning. Population can be defined by several

characteristics including income, housing, employment, education,

ethnicity and family. This chapter begins by examining aspects

such as age, population density, growth rates and distribution.

http://cms.county.peterborough.on.ca/assets/uploads/documents/BaseMap_Letter_RAS.pdf

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Questions to Consider:

1. How will the demographics of Peterborough shape its future?

2. What will planners need to build a community that supports the changing social fabric?

3. Will the social and physical infrastructure of Peterborough county and city require extensive

changes to accommodate an aging population?

4. How prepared is our health and social service system for the changing population?

Key Points:

Total Population

There was a 1.39% increase in population for the City and County between 2006 and 2011 while the city

proper grew by 5%. The rate of growth was less than that of the province, 4.3% vs. 5.7%.

Trends in population change:

• Seniors comprise 20% of the population of the city and the county (those 65+)

• a highlight is that the county population actually declined

• Decreases were documented in the following age groups in the county including the city:

o 5 to 14

o 15 to 19

o 20 to 24

o 25 to 44

• The age group 0 to 4 increased by 16.7% in the city and by 10.63% in the county/city

tabulations.

• There were significant increases in the following age groups:

o 55 to 64

o 65 to 44

o 85+

Note: Due to rounding, data provided by Statistics Canada may vary

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Change, Change,

2006-11 2006-11

Total 74,900 – 78,698 – 5.07% 12,160,285 – 12,851,820 – 5.69%

Age 0-4 3,345 4.47% 3,905 4.96% 16.74% 670,770 5.52% 704,260 5.48% 4.99%

Age 5-14 8,140 10.87% 7,445 9.46% -8.54% 1,540,035 12.66% 1,476,510 11.49% -4.12%

Age 15-19 5,240 7.00% 5,140 6.53% -1.91% 833,115 6.85% 863,635 6.72% 3.66%

Age 20-24 6,375 8.51% 6,465 8.21% 1.41% 797,255 6.56% 852,910 6.64% 6.98%

Age 25-44 17,855 23.84% 18,460 23.46% 3.39% 3,452,055 28.39% 3,383,895 26.33% -1.97%

Age 45-54 10,820 14.45% 11,140 14.16% 2.96% 1,861,370 15.31% 2,062,020 16.04% 10.78%

Age 55-64 8,570 11.44% 10,410 13.23% 21.47% 1,356,515 11.16% 1,630,275 12.69% 20.18%

Age 65-74 6,360 8.49% 6,990 8.88% 9.91% 868,190 7.14% 1,004,265 7.81% 15.67%

Age 75-84 5,835 7.79% 5,800 7.37% -0.60% 589,180 4.85% 627,660 4.88% 6.53%

Age 85+ 2,345 3.13% 2,945 3.74% 25.59% 191,810 1.58% 246,400 1.92% 28.46%

Median age

of

population

% of

population

ages 15+

1.06% 1.44%

Change, Change,

2006-11 2006-11

Total 133,080 – 134,933 – 1.39% 58,180 – 56,235 – -3.34%

Age 0-4 5,690 4.28% 6,295 4.67% 10.63% 2,345 4.03% 2,390 4.25% 1.92%

Age 5-14 14,865 11.17% 12,960 9.60% -12.82% 6,725 11.56% 5,515 9.81% -17.99%

Age 15-19 9,375 7.04% 8,715 6.46% -7.04% 4,135 7.11% 3,575 6.36% -13.54%

Age 20-24 9,420 7.08% 9,390 6.96% -0.32% 3,045 5.23% 2,925 5.20% -3.94%

Age 25-44 30,075 22.60% 28,905 21.42% -3.89% 12,220 21.00% 10,445 18.57% -14.53%

Age 45-54 20,935 15.73% 20,900 15.49% -0.17% 10,115 17.39% 9,760 17.36% -3.51%

Age 55-64 17,995 13.52% 20,720 15.36% 15.14% 9,425 16.20% 10,310 18.33% 9.39%

Age 65-74 12,340 9.27% 13,885 10.29% 12.52% 5,980 10.28% 6,895 12.26% 15.30%

Age 75-84 9,120 6.85% 9,195 6.81% 0.82% 3,285 5.65% 3,395 6.04% 3.35%

Age 85+ 3,270 2.46% 3,970 2.94% 21.41% 925 1.59% 1,025 1.82% 10.81%

Median age

of

population

% of

population

ages 15+

1.30% 1.77%

2006 to 2011 population change by age group and median

40.4

Ages

Ages

83.00%

85.94%84.44%

45.7

85.70%

43.6

84.60%

41.7

84.70%

42.7

85.60%

39

81.82%

County (includes City) County (excludes city)

2006 % 2011 % 2006 % 2011 %

City Ontario

2006 % 2011 % 2006 % 2011 %

Table 1.1

Source: Statistics Canada, National Household Survey, 2011

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The following tables provide the details of the population of the city and the county according to the

Statistics Canada National Household Survey, 2011:

Table 1.2


Age Group Male % Female % Total %

0-4 1,930 5.2% 1,980 4.7% 3,910 5.0%

5-9 1,870 5.1% 1,675 4.0% 3,545 4.5%

10-14 2,015 5.4% 1,895 4.5% 3,910 5.0%

15-19 2,580 7.0% 2,560 6.1% 5,140 6.5%

20-24 3,160 8.5% 3,305 7.9% 6,465 8.2%

25-29 2,670 7.2% 2,780 6.7% 5,450 6.9%

30-34 2,135 5.8% 2,265 5.4% 4,400 5.6%

35-39 2,020 5.5% 2,090 5.0% 4,110 5.2%

40-44 2,120 5.7% 2,375 5.7% 4,495 5.7%

45-49 2,565 6.9% 2,835 6.8% 5,400 6.9%

50-54 2,675 7.2% 3,065 7.4% 5,740 7.3%

55-59 2,520 6.8% 2,835 6.8% 5,355 6.8%

60-64 2,330 6.3% 2,725 6.5% 5,055 6.4%

65-69 1,720 4.6% 2,110 5.1% 3,830 4.9%

70-74 1,390 3.8% 1,760 4.2% 3,150 4.0%

75-79 1,320 3.6% 1,730 4.1% 3,050 3.9%

80-84 1,110 3.0% 1,640 3.9% 2,750 3.5%

85+ 885 2.4% 2,065 5.0% 2,950 3.7%

TOTAL 37,015 100.0% 41,690 100.0% 78,705 100.0%

Median Age 40.3 44.8 42.7

Population by gender/percentage of total population - Peterborough CY


0-4 3,115 4.8% 3,180 4.5% 6,295 4.7%

5-9 3,175 4.9% 2,850 4.1% 6,025 4.5%

10-14 3,540 5.4% 3,400 4.9% 6,940 5.1%

15-19 4,375 6.7% 4,345 6.2% 8,720 6.5%

20-24 4,685 7.2% 4,705 6.7% 9,390 7.0%

25-29 3,885 6.0% 3,875 5.5% 7,760 5.8%

30-34 3,215 4.9% 3,405 4.9% 6,620 4.9%

35-39 3,340 5.1% 3,445 4.9% 6,785 5.0%

40-44 3,680 5.7% 4,055 5.8% 7,735 5.7%

45-49 4,810 7.4% 5,195 7.4% 10,005 7.4%

50-54 5,140 7.9% 5,750 8.2% 10,890 8.1%

55-59 5,105 7.9% 5,490 7.8% 10,595 7.9%

60-64 4,870 7.5% 5,245 7.5% 10,115 7.5%

65-69 3,845 5.9% 4,100 5.9% 7,945 5.9%

70-74 2,855 4.4% 3,090 4.4% 5,945 4.4%

75-79 2,360 3.6% 2,815 4.0% 5,175 3.8%

80-84 1,705 2.6% 2,315 3.3% 4,020 3.0%

85+ 1,290 2.0% 2,685 3.8% 3,975 2.9%

TOTAL 64,990 100.0% 69,945 100.0% 134,935 100.0%

Median Age 84.9 86.5 85.7

Population by gender/percentage of total population - Peterborough CTY

18

Table 1.3


The following tables provide an overview of population changes by census years

Table 1.4



0-4 1,185 4.2% 1,200 4.2% 2,385 4.2%

5-9 1,305 4.7% 1,175 4.2% 2,480 4.4%

10-14 1,525 5.5% 1,505 5.3% 3,030 5.4%

15-19 1,795 6.4% 1,785 6.3% 3,580 6.4%

20-24 1,525 5.5% 1,400 5.0% 2,925 5.2%

25-29 1,215 4.3% 1,095 3.9% 2,310 4.1%

30-34 1,080 3.9% 1,140 4.0% 2,220 3.9%

35-39 1,320 4.7% 1,355 4.8% 2,675 4.8%

40-44 1,560 5.6% 1,680 5.9% 3,240 5.8%

45-49 2,245 8.0% 2,360 8.4% 4,605 8.2%

50-54 2,465 8.8% 2,685 9.5% 5,150 9.2%

55-59 2,585 9.2% 2,655 9.4% 5,240 9.3%

60-64 2,540 9.1% 2,520 8.9% 5,060 9.0%

65-69 2,125 7.6% 1,990 7.0% 4,115 7.3%

70-74 1,465 5.2% 1,330 4.7% 2,795 5.0%

75-79 1,040 3.7% 1,085 3.8% 2,125 3.8%

80-84 595 2.1% 675 2.4% 1,270 2.3%

85+ 405 1.4% 620 2.2% 1,025 1.8%

TOTAL 27,975 100.0% 28,255 100.0% 56,230 100.0%

Median Age

Population by gender/percentage of total population - PTBO CTY Excluding CY

Community 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011

Ontario 8,625,115 9,101,695 10,084,885 10,753,573 11,410,046 12,160,282 12,851,821

City-County 102,450 105,056 119,992 123,448 125,856 133,080 134,933

City 60,620 61,049 68,371 69,742 71,446 75,406 78,698

County 41,830 44,007 51,621 53,913 54,410 57,674 56,235

Asphodel-Norwood 2,990 3,087 3,897 4,080 3,985 4,247 4,041

Cavan Mohaghan 6,045 6,540 8,068 8,252 8,453 8,828 8,601

Curve Lake 545 498 806 891 945 1,060 1,003

Douro-Dummer 5,514 5,524 6,269 6,684 6,652 6,954 6,805

Havelock-Belmont-Methuen 3,660 3,809 4,073 4,327 4,479 4,637 4,523

Hiawatha First Nation 164 144 234 277 297 483 362

North Kawartha 1,605 1,763 1,938 2,104 2,144 2,342 2,289

Otonabee-South Monaghan 5,600 5,712 6,627 6,584 6,669 6,812 6,660

Selwyn 13,132 14,063 15,836 16,107 16,414 17,027 16,846

Trent Lakes 2,585 2,867 3,873 4,400 4,372 5,284 5,105

Population Change in Numbers

19

Community Male % Female % Total

Ontario 6,263,140 49% 6,588,685 51% 12,851,825

City-County 64,985 48% 69,945 52% 134,930

City 37,000 47% 41,700 53% 78,700

County 27,985 50% 28,245 50% 56,230

Asphodel-Norwood 1,975 49% 2,070 51% 4,045

Cavan Monaghan 4,255 49% 4,345 51% 8,600

Curve Lake First Nation 485 48% 520 52% 1,005

Douro-Dummer 3,400 50% 3,400 50% 6,800

Havelock-Belmont-Methuen 2,245 50% 2,275 50% 4,520

Hiawatha First Nation 180 50% 180 50% 360

North Kawartha 1,160 51% 1,125 49% 2,285

Otonabee-South Monaghan 3,360 50% 3,300 50% 6,660

Selwyn 8,305 49% 8,540 51% 16,845

Trent Lakes 2,620 51% 2,485 49% 5,105

Gender Distribution by Township

Table 1.5


Table 1.6


Community 1981-2011 1981-1996 1996-2011 1996-2006 2006-2011

Ontario 49.00% 24.68% 19.51% 13.08% 5.69%

City-County 31.71% 20.50% 9.30% 7.80% 1.39%

City 29.82% 15.05% 12.84% 8.12% 4.37%

County 34.44% 28.89% 4.31% 6.98% -2.50%

Asphodel-Norwood 35.15% 36.45% -0.96% 4.09% -4.85%

Cavan Mohaghan 42.28% 36.51% 4.23% 6.98% -2.57%

Curve Lake 84.04% 63.49% 12.57% 18.97% -5.38%

Douro-Dummer 23.41% 21.22% 1.81% 4.04% -2.14%

Havelock-Belmont-Methuen 23.58% 18.22% 4.53% 7.16% -2.46%

Hiawatha First Nation 120.73% 68.90% 30.69% 74.37% -25.05%

North Kawartha 42.62% 31.09% 8.79% 11.31% -2.26%

Otonabee-South Monaghan 18.93% 17.57% 1.15% 3.46% -2.23%

Selwyn 28.28% 22.65% 4.59% 5.71% -1.06%

Trent Lakes 97.49% 70.21% 16.02% 20.09% -3.39%

Population Change in Percentages

20

Population Growth Trends in Ontario

According to Statistics Canada, there has been lower population growth in all Ontario census

metropolitan areas except Toronto, Ottawa Gatineau, Kingston and Brantford.

All CMAs in Ontario saw their population grow more slowly between 2006 and 2011, except Toronto,

Ottawa – Gatineau, Kingston and Brantford. For example, the growth of Barrie, which led the way from

1996 to 2001 (+25.1%) and from 2001 to 2006 (+19.2%), fell to 5.6% between 2006 and 2011, a level

slightly below the national average of 5.9%.

Only two of the 33 CMAs, both located in Ontario, have seen their population decline since 2006:

Thunder Bay and Windsor. Windsor's population growth fell substantially from 5.0% between 2001 and

2006 to 1.3% between 2006 and 2011.

For most CMAs located in Ontario, these changes were mostly due to much smaller gains in net

interprovincial migration than in the previous intercensal period.

Source: Statistics Canada, http://www12.statcan.ca/census-recensement/2011/as-sa/98-310-x/2011001/fig/fig5-eng.cfm

21

Source: Statistics Canada National Household Survey 2011

Population density is a

term that is used to

refer to the number of

individuals living in an

area, in relation to the

size of that area. It is

simply the

measurement of

population per unit

area. It is calculated by

dividing the number of

people to the area

they occupy

Table 1.8

Table 1.7

Community Total Male Female

Peterborough CTY 45.7 44.3 46.7

CY of Kawartha Lakes 48.4 47.6 49.2

Northumberland CTY 48.3 47.5 49.0

CTY of Simcoe 41.8 40.8 42.8

RM of Durham 39.2 38.2 40.1

RM of York 39.3 38.3 40.0

Ontario 40.4 39.4 41.3

Median Age

Community Population Area (km2) Density

Ontario 12851821 908607.67 14.14

City-County 134933 3847.77 35.07

City 78698 63.8 1233.51

County 56235 3783.97 14.86

Asphodel-Norwood 4041 160.98 25.10

Cavan Monaghan 8601 306.22 28.09

Curve Lake First Nation 1003 6.62 151.51

Douro-Dummer 6805 14.8 459.80

Trent Lakes 5105 860.26 5.93

Havelock-Belmont-Methuen 4523 543.59 8.32


North Kawartha 2289 776.04 2.95

Otonabee-South Monaghan 6660 347.58 19.16

Selwyn 16846 315.64 53.37


Population Density (pop/km2) County Comparison

22

Townships in Peterborough County experienced

population drops ranging from -1.1% to -4.9%. Prof. Mark

Skinner, with Trent University's geography department,

characterized Peterborough as a retirement community.

"You have an older population that is staying in the

community as opposed to moving on for retirement," he

said. "In some cases, older people are actually moving

here." Skinner warned the community against relying on

retirees for its growth and suggested looking for ways to

attract and retain younger people. "The retirement

community will have an end date. There's only so many

retirees that you can attract," he said.”

“City's growth rate 4.4%, county population drops” By Brendan

Wedley, Peterborough Examiner, February 9, 2012

According to Statistics Canada the total

population of the City-County in 2006 was

133,080 for the City-County and this had

increased to 134,933 by 2011 (includes 78,698

City residents and 56,235 County residents.)

There are more people living in the city than the

county. It is a consistent trend that has been

documented nationally. There was a 1.39%

increase in population for the City and County

between 2006 and 2012 while the city proper

grew by 5%. The rate of growth for city and

county combined was less than that of the

province, 4.3% vs. 5.7%. (see Table 1.1)


23

Dependency

Typically, the total demographic dependency ratio is the ratio of the combined youth population (0 to 19

years) and senior population (65 or older) to the working-age population (20 to 64 years). It is

expressed as the number of "dependents" for every 100 "workers":

youth (ages 0 to 19) + seniors (age 65 or older) per 100 workers (aged 20 to 64).

The youth demographic dependency ratio is the ratio of the youth population to the working-age

population; the senior demographic dependency ratio is the ratio of seniors to the working-age

population.

The demographic dependency ratio is based on age rather than employment status. It does not account

for young people or seniors who are working, nor for working-age people who are unemployed or not in

the labour force. It merely reflects population age structure and is not meant to diminish the

contributions made by people classified as "dependents."

Source: Statistics Canada http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/82-229-x/2009001/demo/dep-eng.htm

For the Peterborough Profile we have used several different scenarios to document dependency rates

for our community.

• Scenario 1 uses the traditional 0 to 14 and 65+ age groups

• Scenario 2 uses the 0 to 19 and 70+ age groups in an attempt to better reflect the changing

social and economic landscape facing our community.

• Scenario 3 uses the 0 to 19 and 75+ age groups in an attempt to better reflect the changing

social and economic landscape facing our community.

Dependency Ratios:

• Statistics Canada notes that a century ago, children outnumbered the elderly by as much as

10 to one in Canada. Today, there are as many people over 65 as there are under 16.

• In Britain, roughly one in six people is 65 or older, compared with one in eight Americans,

and one in four Japanese.

• This shift is related to declining infant-mortality rates in the first half of the 20th century,

together with declining birth rates and rising life expectancy in recent decades. Sociologists

are concerned that rapidly aging populations will increasingly strain health, welfare and

social-insurance systems, putting unsustainable pressure on public budgets.

• The standard indicator of population aging is the old-age dependency ratio (OADR), which

divides the number of people who have reached the pension age by the number of working-

age adults. But this approach fails to distinguish between being of working age and actually

24

Municipality Population 0 to 19 65+ 70+ 75+

Peterborough CTY 134,935 20.73% 20.05% 14.16% 9.76%

CY of Kawartha Lakes 73,215 20.31% 21.87% 15.03% 10.10%

Northumberland CTY 82,125 20.47% 21.78% 15.14% 9.85%

CTY of Simcoe 446,065 24.24% 15.66% 10.77% 7.04%

RM of Durham 608,125 26.32% 12.10% 8.30% 5.48%

RM of York 1,032,525 25.93% 11.71% 8.01% 5.08%

Dependency by Various Age Groups

working, while classifying all people above the statutory pension age as “dependants.”

Today, more and more people over 65 are continuing to work.

• The standard indicator of youth dependency ratio which divides the number of people are 0

to 14 by the number of working-age adults. But this approach fails to recognize the growing

number of young people up to age 19 who are not in the workforce. Today, there is an

increasing number of older young people who are still dependent on family and living at

home. Social and economic shifts have broken the link between age and dependency.

Sources: Statistics Canada, 2011 http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/91-003-x/2007001/4129904-eng.htm

MacInnes, John, Spijker, Jeroen, “An aging population: our senior moment”, Globe & Mail, December 30, 2013

Source: Canada Census Aging Communities: Peterborough, Kelowna Among Top Spots For Seniors In 2011. The Canadian Press

| By Diana Mehta 05/29/2012

The following table compares the dependency ratios of Peterborough County and surrounding

municipalities:

Table 1.9

Source: Calculations based on Statistics Canada, National Household Survey, 2011

``We can be kind of a pioneer in showing that an aging population is nothing to be afraid of,'' said Jim Struthers,

a professor of Canadian studies who examines the impact of aging from his perch at Peterborough's Trent

University. ``We can actually show the way for innovation which will be necessary for the rest of the province and

the rest of the country.'' Ideas include more effective home-care policies to allow people to stay in their homes

longer and avoid expensive long-term care facilities, as well as making communities more ``age-friendly'' --

accessible transit, a broad range of recreational facilities, and affordable housing for both buyers and renters.”

25

YEAR Total 65+ PopulationCases of

AlzheimersPopulation

Cases of


Cases of

Alzheimers

2005 24,110 6,340 96 5,810 195 5,160 410

2010 26,990 8,000 122 6,110 205 5,110 406

2015 31,830 10,410 158 7,680 258 5,430 432

2020 37,380 11,580 176 9,620 338 6,850 545

All Ages

YEARCases of


Cases of


Cases of


Cases of

Alzheimers

2005 2,398 3,820 620 1,990 564 990 512

2010 2,691 4,150 674 2,520 714 1,100 569

2015 3,022 4,170 677 2,760 782 1,380 714

2020 3,398 4,380 732 2,820 799 1,560 807

80-84 85-90 90+

Seniors Within Population & Cases of Dementia - Peterborough County

65-69 70-74 75-79

Source; Alzheimer’s Society: Hopkins Statistics for the County of Peterborough

Source: Canada Census Aging Communities: Peterborough, Kelowna Among Top Spots For Seniors In 2011. The

Globe & Mail, Canadian Press | By Diana Mehta 05/29/2012

The table below describes the projected number of dementia cases as based on the Hopkins Statistics.

Study completed for the Alzheimer’s Society. This increase in the number of people suffering from

dementia will have a significant impact on the service system of the community.

Table 1.10

The number of frail seniors in the Central East Local Health Integration Network (LHIN) in which

Peterborough is included, is expected to increase by 25% over the next ten years and this varies by

cluster (area).

“Struthers likened the relatively rapid aging of a city like Peterborough to similar situations in Germany,

Sweden and the Netherlands, where an older population has not diminished the innovative spirit. ``I

think there's a stereotype that an aging society is a less dynamic society,'' said Struthers, 62. ``I think it's

dynamic in different ways.''

26

Population Projections

Assumptions for Population Projections:

Much of Ontario's demographic outlook is understood, based on the current age structure.

1. Slower but still significant population growth.

2. Population growth increasingly driven by

immigration.

3. A concentration of population growth in urban

regions.

4. Slower growth of the core working-age

population.

5. A shift to an older age structure.

There are five key economic and fiscal implications of the

demographic outlook:

1. The aging population and slower growth of

the core working-age group will slow growth

in Ontario's labour force, which may lead to a slower rate of real gross domestic product

(GDP) growth.

2. The changing composition of personal income and anticipated shifts in consumption

patterns as the population ages could moderate growth in government tax revenues.

3. Population growth and population aging will put continuing pressure on health care

spending.

4. Slower growth in the number of children and youth may ease pressures on education

spending.

5. The concentration of population growth in urban regions will result in increasing demand for

urban infrastructure.

Source: Greater Golden Horseshoe Growth Forecasts to 2041: Technical Report (November 2012) Addendum released June

2013

Following consultation and review of the projections completed in the Growth Plan for the Greater

Golden Horseshoe, amendments were made in November 2012.

The report stated that forecasts are developed through the creation of a "reference scenario" based on

current population and land use trends. Mathematical modeling techniques were then employed to

evaluate how the distribution of population (and employment) would change in response to different

planning strategies which might increase or change the amount of socioeconomic activity within a given

area.

(Mayor) Bennett characterized the

city's growth rate change as a "slight

drop, but not a dramatic drop."

Figures from the latest census

released Wednesday show that over

the last five years population growth

in the city remained fairly steady.

Peterborough County has started to

lose residents.

City's growth rate 4.4%, county population drops” By

Brendan Wedley, Peterborough Examiner, February 9, 2012

27

Municipality 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041

County of Peterborough 56 59 57 61 64 67 70 73 76

City of Peterborough 75 78 82 86 90 97 103 109 115

Rate of Growth 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041

High Scenario 56 59 57 62 66 72 78 85 93

Low Scenario 56 59 57 59 61 62 64 65 65

Rate of Growth 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041

High Scenario 75 78 82 87 94 104 116 129 144

Low Scenario 75 78 82 85 87 91 93 96 98

Population forecast scenarios, June 2013

(Figures in 000’s)

Comparing High and Low Growth Scenarios’ for County of Peterborough

Comparing High and Low Growth Scenarios’ for City of Peterborough

Table 1.11

Source: Addendum to the Growth Plan Population and Employment Forecast Technical Document http://www.hemson.com/downloads/HEMSON%20-%20Greater%20Golden%20Horseshoe%20-%20Growth%20Forecasts%20to%202041%20-%20Technical%20Report%20Addendum%20and%20Rev.%20Appendix%20B%20-%20Jun2013.pdf

28

Source: Addendum to the Growth Plan Population and Employment Forecast Technical Document http://www.hemson.com/downloads/HEMSON%20-%20Greater%20Golden%20Horseshoe%20-%20Growth%20Forecasts%20to%202041%20-%20Technical%20Report%20Addendum%20and%20Rev.%20Appendix%20B%20-%20Jun2013.pdf

Population Projections for 65+

29

2 3 4 5+

Ontario 3,612,200 1,686,655 812,960 783,500 329,085

Peterborough County/City 39,495 22,590 7,595 6,580 2,735

Peterborough City 21,640 12,115 4,530 3,575 1,420

Peterborough County 17,855 10,475 3,065 3,005 1,315

Asphodel-Norwood 1,225 685 255 200 90

Cavan-Monaghan 2,630 1,330 495 580 225

Curve Lake 295 170 60 40 20

Douro-Dummer 2,140 1,185 385 375 190

Havelock-Belmont-Melthuen 1,485 980 240 195 75

Hiawatha First Nation 115 65 20 10 15

North Kawartha 740 525 100 90 30

Otonabee Monaghan 2,105 1,160 385 390 170

Selwyn 5,365 3,155 875 930 410

Trent Lakes 1,755 1,230 245 195 90

Size of Family

Family Structure by Size

Families in Private

HouseholdsLocale

Family Structure

The following tables provide a description of household and family characteristics of our community.

Table 1.12


Table 1.13


Locale Married Not Married TOTAL

Ontario 6,158,610 4,512,435 10,671,045

Peterborough County/City 68,205 47,480 115,685

Peterborough City 35,675 31,665 67,340

Peterborough County 32,530 15,815 48,345

Asphodel-Norwood 2,180 1,250 3,430

Cavan-Monaghan 4,820 2,440 7,260

Curve Lake 450 380 830

Douro-Dummer 3,880 1,875 5,755

Havelock-Belmont-Melthuen 2,635 1,315 3,950

Hiawatha First Nation 190 105 295

North Kawartha 1,380 670 2,050

Otonabee Monaghan 3,915 1,810 5,725

Selwyn 9,785 4,680 14,465

Trent Lakes 3,280 1,280 4,560

Marital Status Age 15 yrs+ by Population

30

Table 1.14


1 2 3+ 1 2 3+

Ontario 604,645 282,085 145,375 59,015 77,820 31,265 9,085

Peterborough County/City 5,985 2,965 1,345 505 790 310 70

Peterborough City 4,175 2,145 1,015 355 455 185 35

Peterborough County 1,810 820 330 150 335 125 35

Asphodel-Norwood 150 60 40 10 30 10 5

Cavan-Monaghan 255 110 40 35 45 20 5

Curve Lake 70 35 10 10 10 10 -

Douro-Dummer 210 90 45 15 40 10 10

Havelock-Belmont-Melthuen 180 90 30 15 35 10 -

Hiawatha First Nation 20 5 5 5 5 - -

North Kawartha 65 30 5 10 10 5 -

Otonabee Monaghan 180 80 35 5 35 15 -

Selwyn 535 250 95 45 100 35 5

Trent Lakes 145 65 30 5 25 15 5

Total Lone-

Parent FamiliesLocale

Female Parent Male Parent

Lone-Parent Family Structure by Number of Children

31

CHAPTER 2 ETHNICITY & DIVERSITY

“Over the past 10 years, the New Canadians Centre Peterborough has helped people from over 50

percent of the world’s countries to call Peterborough home. While the countries of origin and the skills

of today’s newcomers are different than in the past, their aspirations are the same. Just as the 2000

Irish immigrants who came to Peterborough in 1825 built Peterborough into the community it is today,

the contributions of people now arriving in Peterborough will ensure that future generations will be as

proud to call Peterborough home as we are today. The benefits of this increased diversity of peoples to

our social, cultural and economic prosperity are extremely clear. This is why the City of Peterborough

now has both staff and elected officials working on diversity and immigration issues. This is why over 11

000 people attend Peterborough’s Multicultural Canada Day festival each year. This is why such a broad

spectrum of our community, from economic development agencies to social service providers are

actively engaged in work that is making Peterborough a more welcoming community for all. Our future

is diverse, and because of that, our future is bright.”

Jason Stabler, Peterborough Partnership on Immigrant Integration, August, 2014

32

Questions to consider:

1. What is needed to attract more new Canadians to Peterborough?

2. Are we building our community to meet the expectations of new immigrants?

3. How will we develop an improved public transportation system to accommodate a changing

social fabric?

The following table provides a breakdown of immigration trends in Peterborough according to Statistics

Canada:

Table: 2.1

Total population in private households by

immigrant status and period of immigration 131,930

Non-immigrants 120,695

Immigrants 10,755

Before 1971 5,625

1971 to 1980 1,520

1981 to 1990 1,195

1991 to 2000 985

2001 to 2011 1,425

2001 to 2005 835

2006 to 2011 595

Non-permanent residents 475

Total immigrant population in private

households by age at immigration 10,760

Under 5 years 1,645

5 to 14 years 2,460

15 to 24 years 2,515

25 to 44 years 3,640

45 years and over 490


33

Table 2.2

Total Male Female

Total population in private households by citizenship*

131,925 64,230 67,700

Canadian citizens 129,785 63,220 66,575

Canadian citizens aged under 18 24,205 12,570 11,635

Canadian citizens aged 18 and over

105,580 50,650 54,935

Not Canadian citizens 2,140 1,015 1,125

*Citizenship refers to the legal citizenship status of a person. Citizenship can be by birth or naturalization. A person

may have more than one citizenship. A person may be stateless, that is, they may have no citizenship.


Notes:

Period of immigration refers to the period in which the immigrant first obtained his or her landed

immigrant/permanent resident status. A landed immigrant/permanent resident refers to a person who

has been granted the right to live permanently in Canada by immigration authorities.

Non-immigrant refers to a person who is a Canadian citizen by birth.

Immigrant refers to a person who is or has ever been a landed immigrant/permanent resident. This

person has been granted the right to live in Canada permanently by immigration authorities. Some

immigrants have resided in Canada for a number of years, while others have arrived recently. Some

immigrants are Canadian citizens, while others are not. Most immigrants are born outside Canada, but

a small number are born in Canada. In the 2011 National Household Survey, 'Immigrants' includes

immigrants who landed in Canada prior to May 10, 2011.

Non-permanent resident refers to a person from another country who has a work or study permit, or

who is a refugee claimant, and any non-Canadian-born family member living in Canada with them.

Age at immigration refers to the age at which an immigrant first obtained landed

immigrant/permanent resident status. Immigrant refers to a person who is or has ever been a landed

immigrant/permanent resident. This person has been granted the right to live permanently in Canada

by immigration authorities.

34

Some thoughts on our changing community:

According to the Conference Board of Canada, in the last 10 years, almost 70% of Canada’s population growth was attributable to immigration. The individual provinces show different results, with Alberta immigrants accounting for only 34% of population growth compared with 100% in Manitoba. At the municipal level, the three largest urban centres are reliant on immigration for almost all their population growth, but so are some smaller centres such as, Saint John, Winnipeg, and St. Catharines. (Mario Lefebvre, Director, Centre for Municipal Studies, The Conference Board of Canada)

Both the Peterborough Partnership Council on Immigrant Integration and Peterborough Economic Development has recognized that communities that fail to attract people will face weak population growth down the road. This will limit a community’s economic potential and entrepreneurship. They conclude that attitudes, values and trends are changing and the “people go where the jobs are” paradigm is not necessarily true.

There are many things to be considered as we look towards Peterborough’s economic health. We have an aging of the population and this will have an impact on the labour force. It is recognized that more businesses already choose to locate in communities where they believe they will find their labour requirements over the short, medium and long term. As a result, a community must struggle to attract people and in turn attract businesses and entrepreneurs.

In 2012, the Peterborough community participated in a summit to discuss the findings of “Benchmarking Rural Ontario Community Attractiveness to Newcomers”, a statistical tool developed by the Ontario Ministry of Agriculture, Food & Rural Affairs (OMAFRA). There was recognition that a community needs more than a strong economy to attract people. The benchmarking tool identified 41 indicators to measure the attractiveness of a number of small and medium-sized communities. The indicators are split among seven domains: Economy, Education, Environment, Health, Housing, Innovation, and Society. Included in these domains are statistics on immigrants and entrepreneurs and provide an indication of the importance of having a high quality of life in a community in order to attract newcomers.

35

The following chart developed by the Conference Board of Canada, indicates how well communities are

doing in attractiveness to new comers:

Source: Mario Lefebvre, Director, Centre for Municipal Studies, The Conference Board of Canada, “Why Population Growth Matters So Much to Canada’s Cities”, February, 2013.

Did you know which cities are leading on immigrant entrepreneurship?

Peterborough has the highest percentage of Immigrant Entrepreneurs in Canada. This statistic about immigrant entrepreneurship in our community is a strong endorsement for both the business climate and quality of life in Peterborough

Across 35 CMAs the highest rates of immigrant self-employment in 2012, were in:

• Peterborough– 36% • Kelowna – 29% • St. Catharines - Niagara – 24% • Kingston – 23% • Hamilton – 22% • Victoria – 22%

Entrepreneurship takes time. The majority of immigrant entrepreneurs have been in Canada for more than 10 years.

What’s the Relationship between Entrepreneurship and the Economy? According to the Conference Board of Canada the higher the rate of entrepreneurship, the stronger is a city’s economy. This could mean two things:

1. Entrepreneurship is stimulating economic growth.

2. Individuals are not pushed into entrepreneurship due to a lack of economic opportunity; it is more likely a choice.

36

Sources:

Mario Lefebvre, Director, Centre for Municipal Studies, The Conference Board of Canada (conferenceboard.ca, Benchmarking the Global Attractiveness of Canadian Cities, October 21, 2013

Benchmarking Rural Ontario Community Attractiveness to Newcomers: Peterborough Summit Highlights, November, 14, 2012, (HTTP://WWW.PETERBOROUGHCANADA.COM/)

The following tables describe the changing profile of Peterborough and its’ increasing diversity:

Table 2.3

Table 2.4


Locale English French Aboriginal Other

Ontario 8,677,040 493,300 15,625 3,222,400

Peterborough County/City 124,320 1,430 95 6,795

Peterborough City 71,560 900 30 4,495

Peterborough County 52,760 530 65 2,300

Asphodel-Norwood 3,820 25 - 125

Cavan-Monaghan 7,920 70 5 365

Curve Lake 935 5 55 5

Douro-Dummer 6,500 50 5 220

Havelock-Belmont-Melthuen 4,295 45 - 150

Hiawatha First Nation 355 5 - 5

North Kawartha 2,130 25 - 130

Otonabee Monaghan 6,250 70 - 295

Selwyn 15,875 170 5 680

Trent Lakes 4,680 70 - 335

Mother Tongue by Population

Locale English French Aboriginal Other

Ontario 69.93% 3.98% 0.13% 25.97%

Peterborough County/City 93.73% 1.08% 0.07% 5.12%

Peterborough City 92.95% 1.17% 0.04% 5.84%

Peterborough County 94.80% 0.95% 0.12% 4.13%

Asphodel-Norwood 96.22% 0.63% 0.00% 3.15%

Cavan-Monaghan 94.74% 0.84% 0.06% 4.37%

Curve Lake 93.50% 0.50% 5.50% 0.50%

Douro-Dummer 95.94% 0.74% 0.07% 3.25%

Havelock-Belmont-Melthuen 95.66% 1.00% 0.00% 3.34%

Hiawatha First Nation 97.26% 1.37% 0.00% 1.37%

North Kawartha 93.22% 1.09% 0.00% 5.69%

Otonabee Monaghan 94.48% 1.06% 0.00% 4.46%

Selwyn 94.89% 1.02% 0.03% 4.06%

Trent Lakes 92.04% 1.38% 0.00% 6.59%

Mother Tongue by Percent

37


Source: Peterborough Partnership Council on Immigrant Integration, 2013

The New Canadian Center (NCC) continues to support newcomers to our community. As indicated

above, the number of clients has increased dramatically from 2000 to 2013

38

Information on NCC clients by country of origin, language, new clients and

returning clients - for last 10 years

New Clients by Country of Origin (2000/2001—2012/2013)

China 235

France 19

Ukraine 8

Singapore 3

India 214

Japan 19

Dominican Republic 7

Tibet 3

UK 195

Palestine 18

Kazakhstan 7

Bhutan 2

Colombia 167

Romania 18

Rwanda 7

Bosnia 2

USA 159

Thailand 18

Spain 7

Guinea 2

Philippines 146

Iraq 17

New Zealand 6

Guyana 2

Mexico 88

Jordan 17

Qatar 6

Kosovo 2

Afghanistan 81

Jamaica 15

St. Lucia 6

Laos 2

Korea 74

Kenya 15

Switzerland 6

Norway 2

Germany 65

Bulgaria 14

Austria 5

Panama 2

Somalia 59

Haiti 14

Malaysia 5

Senegal 2

South Korea 53

Hungary 14

Syria 5

Serbia 2

Pakistan 46

Morocco 14

Angola 4

Slovakia 2

Netherlands 45

Venezuela 14

Cameron 4

St. Vincent 2

Iran 39

Argentina 12

Czech Republic 4

Tanzania 2

Cuba 37

D.R. of Congo 12

Eritrea 4

UAE 2

Albania 34

Ecuador 12

Latvia 4

Uruguay 2

Egypt 33

Australia 11

Sudan 4

Wales 2

Russia 32

Barbados 11

Sweden 4

Yugoslavia 2

Poland 28

Belarus 10

Uganda 4

Zambia 2

Vietnam 28

Hong Kong 10

Belgium 3

Algeria 1

Zimbabwe 28

South Africa 10

Denmark 3

Bahamas 1

Bangladesh 25

Turkey 10

El Salvador 3

British Virgin Islands 1

Brazil 25

Chile 8

Ethiopia 3

Burundi 1

Sri Lanka 25

Costa Rica 8

Finland 3

Republic of Djibouti 1

Italy 23

Israel 8

Ghana 3

Estonia 1

Nigeria 23

Portugal 8

Indonesia 3

Fiji 1

Peru 23

Saudi Arabia 8

Ireland 3

Georgia 1

Cambodia 22

Taiwan 8

Lebanon 3

Grenada 1

Nepal 21

Trinidad/Tob 8

Malta 3

Source: Peterborough Partnership Council on Immigrant Integration, 2013

39

“We’re heavily indexed in creative occupations in manufacturing.

Typically, manufacturing is heavy in blue-collar workforce… You

could argue that quite a few companies in Peterborough have

spawned out of GE. Siemens would be one of them.

Having those kinds of people can not only drive productivity within

those companies, but create spinoff opportunities later on.”

Martin Prosperity Institute, 2013

CHAPTER 3 INCOME, EMPLOYMENT & ECONOMY

40


1. Will Peterborough lead the way in promoting a living wage?

2. How will we retain our youth as we continue to strive for more employment opportunities?

3. What role can the older work sector play in mentoring youth and continuing to participate in the

economic health of Peterborough?

Did you know?

The Proportion of the labour force working part time in 2010. • Greater Peterborough 25% • Barrie 20.9% • Guelph 20.7% • Oshawa 19.5% 3.2% of total workers were involuntary part-time workers in 2013. The following table documents household income by type of family: Table 3.1


According to the City of Peterborough report prepared by the Social Services Division “ People Serving

People, 2013-2014 Service Plan” Peterborough has been hard hit by a drop in manufacturing and a shift

towards service sector and precarious employment. Although, some communities have recovered from

the 2007/2008 recession, Peterborough continues to have a growing unemployment rate up to 9% in

2013 from 8.5% in 2012. These rates are higher than both the provincial and national unemployment

rate.

Income

Total -

Household

type

Census-

family

households

One-family-

only

households

Couple-

family

households

Without

children

With

children

Lone-parent-

family

households

Other family

households

Non-census-

family

households

Total 48,850 33,500 31,040 26,970 14,625 12,350 4,075 2,455 15,350

Under $5,000 1,170 340 320 295 245 50 25 0 830

$5,000 to $9,999 725 220 210 90 55 30 120 0 500

$10,000 to $14,999 1,365 350 345 165 90 65 185 0 1,015

$15,000 to $19,999 2,140 455 420 215 125 95 205 30 1,685

$20,000 to $29,999 5,395 1,820 1,725 1,025 670 350 705 95 3,570

$30,000 to $39,999 6,185 3,255 3,110 2,235 1,780 450 880 140 2,930

$40,000 to $49,999 5,920 4,090 3,900 3,320 2,095 1,225 575 190 1,835

$50,000 to $59,999 5,280 4,055 3,800 3,290 2,195 1,095 515 250 1,225

$60,000 to $79,999 7,555 6,505 6,035 5,590 3,300 2,285 450 465 1,045

$80,000 to $99,999 5,500 5,100 4,575 4,310 1,895 2,420 265 520 400

$100,000 and over 7,615 7,320 6,600 6,450 2,170 4,280 145 720 295

$100,000 to $124,999 3,930 3,785 3,440 3,345 1,280 2,060 100 340 145

$125,000 and over 3,690 3,540 3,160 3,115 890 2,220 45 380 150

Median after-tax income 52,646 66,622 65,464 70,182 60,381 84,148 39,271 80,298 30,179

Low-income households 7,450 3,450 3,160 1,855 910 940 1,310 285 4,000

Household income in 2010

41

Table 3.2


For much of the first half of 2013, the Peterborough Census Metropolitan Area recorded the highest

unemployment rates of all Canadian Cities with a population of 100,000 or more. From January to July

the average unemployment rate in Peterborough was 10.7% hitting a high of 11.9% in May. The youth

unemployment rate was averaging over 31% in the same time period. These rates compare to provincial

averages of 7.7%

The report goes on to stress that in addition to the high unemployment rate, Peterborough’s low

participation and employment rate at 58.3% and 53.1% respectively indicate that there is an untapped

labour force available to be engaged if jobs are available. New job growth has been disproportionately

part-time and temporary, similar to national trends. The posted unemployment rates do not take into

consideration the problem of underemployment, not counting people who have given up looking for

work or, those who are employed part-time (not by choice) and wanting full-time jobs.

Beyond the weak local employment market, Ontario Works clients are also impacted by declining

employment insurance coverage. Even as the unemployment rate increases, the percentage of

unemployed receiving employment insurance has declined, as illustrated in the following chart.

Income

Total -

Household

type

Census-

family

households

One-family-

only

households

Couple-

family

households

Without

children

With

children

Lone-parent-

family

households

Other family

households

Non-census-

family

households

Under $5,000 2.4% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0% 5.4%

$5,000 to $9,999 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 2.9% 0.0% 3.3%

$10,000 to $14,999 2.8% 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 4.5% 0.0% 6.6%

$15,000 to $19,999 4.4% 1.4% 1.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 5.0% 1.2% 11.0%

$20,000 to $29,999 11.0% 5.4% 5.6% 3.8% 4.6% 2.8% 17.3% 3.9% 23.3%

$30,000 to $39,999 12.7% 9.7% 10.0% 8.3% 12.2% 3.6% 21.6% 5.7% 19.1%

$40,000 to $49,999 12.1% 12.2% 12.6% 12.3% 14.3% 9.9% 14.1% 7.7% 12.0%

$50,000 to $59,999 10.8% 12.1% 12.2% 12.2% 15.0% 8.9% 12.6% 10.2% 8.0%

$60,000 to $79,999 15.5% 19.4% 19.4% 20.7% 22.6% 18.5% 11.0% 18.9% 6.8%

$80,000 to $99,999 11.3% 15.2% 14.7% 16.0% 13.0% 19.6% 6.5% 21.2% 2.6%

$100,000 and over 15.6% 21.9% 21.3% 23.9% 14.8% 34.7% 3.6% 29.3% 1.9%

$100,000 to $124,999 8.0% 11.3% 11.1% 12.4% 8.8% 16.7% 2.5% 13.8% 0.9%

$125,000 and over 7.6% 10.6% 10.2% 11.5% 6.1% 18.0% 1.1% 15.5% 1.0%

Median after-tax income $52,646 $66,622 $65,464 $70,182 $60,381 $84,148 $39,271 $80,298 $30,179

Low-income households 15.3% 10.3% 10.2% 6.9% 6.2% 7.6% 32.1% 11.6% 26.1%

Household income in 2010 - Percent

42

Table 3.3

Unemployment rate Participation rate Employment rate

Peterborough

2012 8.5% 63.7% 58.7%

2013 9.0% 58.3% 53.1%

Ontario

2012 7.9% 66.5% 61.3%

2013 7.5% 66.4% 61.4%

Canada

2012 7.3% 66.7% 61.9%

2013 7.1% 66.5% 61.8%

Source: City of Peterborough, Social Services: People Serving People, 2013-2014 Service Plan

“The fact that vulnerable populations experience, on average, poorer labour market outcomes than culturally

dominant groups is well documented. New immigrants, racialized individuals, Indigenous peoples, women and

young people experience greater discrimination, have lower rates of pay, face higher rates of unemployment

and/or lower rates of employment than the rest of Ontarians. Data from the labour force survey indicate this

pattern has continued since the recession. The unemployment rate of recent immigrants remains more than twice

that of Canadian born workers, increasing slightly in recent years from 14.2% in 2012 to 14.7% in 2013. At the

same time, the unemployment rate for immigrants landed at least 5 years has come down slightly since 2011 and

is now almost on par with Canadian born workers at 7.4%.”

Source: Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives, “Seismic Shift Ontario’s Changing Labour Market”, Kaylie Tiessen, 2013

The following tables provide an overview of the economic situation of our community:

Table 3.4

Income Comparison (Before Tax)

Median Income (all sources)

Median Employment income

Median Household Income

Barrie $31,167 $49,941 $70,745

Guelph $34,119 $51,085 $71,597

Hamilton $31,497 $52,033 $65,851

Kingston $32,415 $49,126 $63,564

London $29,772 $47,963 $58,405

Oshawa $34,816 $55,256 $76,816

Peterborough $29,294 $46,164 $58,314


“The fact that vulnerable populations experience, on average, poorer labour market outcomes than culturally dominant

groups is well documented. New immigrants, racialized individuals, Indigenous peoples, women and young people

experience greater discrimination, have lower rates of pay, face higher rates of unemployment and/or lower rates of

employment than the rest of Ontarians. Data from the labour force survey indicate this pattern has continued since the

recession. The unemployment rate of recent immigrants remains more than twice that of Canadian born workers,

increasing slightly in recent years from 14.2% in 2012 to 14.7% in 2013. At the same time, the unemployment rate for

immigrants landed at least 5 years has come down slightly since 2011 and is now almost on par with Canadian born

workers at 7.4%.”

43

Table 3.5

Median & Average Income for Peterborough CMA

Source: Statistics Canada, National Household Survey; NHS Profile, Peterborough, CMA, Ontario, 2011

Table 3.6


Ages Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female

Total 34,961 25,054 32,962 22,110 31,572 24,522 33,376 25,896 3,257 2,901

15 to 24 8,995 9,943 9,072 8,281 8,766 7,728 8,763 7,702 6,242 5,704

25 to 54 41,940 32,273 45,112 33,899 45,041 33,647 45,911 35,179 2,553 2,871

25 to 34 31,338 26,366 32,917 24,828 32,838 24,575 32,854 25,144 5,709 4,313

35 to 44 45,441 36,393 48,068 37,152 48,460 37,367 50,149 39,682 2,262 3,128

45 to 54 49,054 36,252 54,908 37,518 54,698 37,326 56,323 39,508 2,523 1,351

55 to 64 46,372 32,411 47,502 32,105 40,505 30,961 44,374 33,737 4,036 731

65+ 35,146 22,571 20,606 10,532 297 3,744 296 4,004 - -

65 to 74 38,514 22,220 24,341 11,621 1,547 4,045 1,099 5,426 - -

75+ 32,457 22,673 16,668 9,172 102 834 100 223 - -

Median Income by Gender - Peterborough CY

Total income Employment income Wages and salaries Child benefitsMarket income

Total Male Female

Median income from all sources

$29,294 $34,961 $25,054

Median income from all sources – after tax

$27,100 $31,756 $24,431

Average income from all sources

$37,786 $43,873 $$32,189

Average income from all sources – after tax

$32,327 $36,825 $28,189

Median income from employment – worked full year, full time

$46,164 $50,081 $41,672

Average income from employment – worked full year, full time

$54,133 $59,434 $47,678

44

LocaleTotal - Population in

private households

Total - Income status

before taxLow income %

Ontario 12,028,895 11,926,140 1,749,965 14.5%

Peterborough CTY 131,520 128,715 16,450 12.5%

Peterborough CY 73,805 72,750 12,380 16.8%

Peterborough CTY exclu. CY 57,715 55,965 4,070 7.1%

Asphodel-Norwood 4,130 4,130 530 12.8%

Otonabee-South Monaghan 6,915 6,875 455 6.6%

Cavan-Monaghan 8,620 8,610 460 5.3%

Selwyn 17,300 17,280 1,025 5.9%

Douro-Dummer 6,955 6,895 430 6.2%

Havelock-Belmont-Methuen 4,640 4,630 480 10.3%

North Kawartha 2,335 2,320 235 10.1%

Trent Lakes 5,285 5,230 455 8.6%

Source: Statistics Canada 2006 Census

Proportion of Low Income Households

Table 3.7

Table 3.8

Source: Statisics Canada, 2006 census

Total - Economic families by

total income quintiles

Lowest (33 CMAs:

Under $37,177)

Second (33 CMAs:

$37,177 to $59,332)

Third (33 CMAs:

$59,333 to $83,546)

Fourth (33 CMAs:

$83,547 to $118,340)

Highest (33 CMAs:

$118,341 and over)

Ontario 19% 19% 20% 20% 21%

Peterborough CTY 22% 23% 21% 19% 14%

Peterborough CY 23% 23% 22% 18% 14%

Asphodel-Norwood 28% 22% 19% 22% 8%

Otonabee-South Monaghan 19% 23% 18% 21% 19%

Cavan Monaghan 16% 18% 21% 23% 23%

Selwyn 17% 21% 22% 21% 20%

Curve Lake 48% 27% 14% 6% 5%

Douro-Dummer 17% 27% 21% 23% 13%

Havelock-Belmont-Methuen 33% 20% 24% 14% 9%

North Kawartha 31% 33% 16% 15% 5%

Trent Lakes 25% 30% 15% 21% 9%

45

Total - Family income groups Under $10,000$10,000 to

$19,999

$20,000 to

$29,999

$30,000 to

$39,999

$40,000 and

over

Ontario 2% 4% 7% 9% 78%





Cavan Monaghan 2% 2% 6% 8% 83%

Selwyn 1% 3% 7% 10% 80%

Curve Lake 10% 13% 13% 17% 48%

Douro-Dummer 2% 2% 7% 8% 80%


North Kawartha 3% 3% 10% 19% 65%

Trent Lakes 2% 5% 7% 14% 71%

Table 3.9


Table 3.10


Total - Economic families by

total income quintiles

Lowest (Canada:

Under $35,225)

Second (Canada:

$35,225 to $55,419)

Third (Canada:

$55,420 to $78,272)

Fourth (Canada:

$78,273 to $110,989)

Highest (Canada:

$110,990 and over)

Ontario 17% 18% 19% 21% 24%





Cavan Monaghan 14% 17% 18% 23% 28%

Selwyn 15% 20% 21% 21% 23%

Curve Lake 44% 25% 16% 8% 6%

Douro-Dummer 15% 24% 23% 23% 16%


North Kawartha 27% 29% 18% 21% 5%

Trent Lakes 20% 29% 19% 18% 14%

46

Table 3.11


Total - Economic families by family income as a

percentage of the low income cut-offs (LICOs)

Total income is less

than 50% of the LICOs50% to 74% 75% to 99% 100% to 124% 125% or more

Ontario 4% 3% 5% 5% 83%




Otonabee-South Monaghan 3% 0.5% 2% 2% 92%

Cavan Monaghan 2% 1% 2% 3% 92%

Selwyn 2% 1% 2% 2% 93%

Curve Lake 10% 5% 8% 8% 68%

Douro-Dummer 2% 1% 1% 3% 93%


North Kawartha 5% 0% 1% 1% 92%

Trent Lakes 2% 2% 4% 3% 90%

47

Table 3.12

The following table compares the level and rate of growth of average incomes amongst communities in

Ontario.

Census

Division

IDCensus division

GAP in average

income (from

all sources) per

taxfiler, 2011

Census

Division ID Census division

Average

change per

year in income

GAP ($2011)

3524 Halton 12,602 3524 Halton 333

3506 Ottawa 6,234 3506 Ottawa 190

3519 York 524 3520 Toronto 72

3520 Toronto 182 3553 Greater Sudbury 48

3553 Greater Sudbury -1,421 3529 Brant -22

3525 Hamilton -5,626 3525 Hamilton -67

3521 Peel -6,729 3519 York -235

3529 Brant -7,686 3521 Peel -367

3518 Durham 3,614 3502 Prescott & Russell 175

3523 Wellington 2,664 3523 Wellington 127

3530 Waterloo 2,122 3530 Waterloo 91

3510 Frontenac 1,717 3510 Frontenac 82

3522 Dufferin 1,669 3511Lennox &

Addington60

3502 Prescott & Russell 200 3543 Simcoe 54

3539 Middlesex 74 3522 Dufferin 22

3558 Thunder Bay -109 3515 Peterborough 7

3543 Simcoe -1,102 3534 Elgin -8

3515 Peterborough -2,961 3518 Durham -20

3511 Lennox & Addington -3,006 3539 Middlesex -40

3537 Essex -3,153 3526 Niagara -91

3526 Niagara -3,286 3558 Thunder Bay -139

3534 Elgin -4,611 3537 Essex -146

3541 Bruce 6,027 3541 Bruce 288

3538 Lambton 5,234 3540 Huron 95

3556 Cochrane 2,792 3544 Muskoka 89

3509 Lanark 1,998 3549 Parry Sound 74

3531 Perth 1,353 3547 Renfrew 66

3507 Leeds & Grenville 1,244 3551 Manitoulin 51

3514 Northumberland 1,211 3542 Grey 48

3532 Oxford 965 3514 Northumberland 46

3559 Rainy River 455 3509 Lanark 46

3548 Nipissing 161 3531 Perth 39

3547 Renfrew 109 3559 Rainy River 35

3540 Huron -312 3554 Timiskaming 34

3554 Timiskaming -434 3560 Kenora 17

3560 Kenora -609 3513 Prince Edward 12

3528 Haldimand-Norfolk -628 3546 Haliburton 9

3544 Muskoka -848 3532 Oxford 8

3557 Algoma -967 3548 Nipissing 4

3542 Grey -1,285 3507 Leeds & Grenville 4

3516 Kawartha Lakes -1,486 3538 Lambton -4

3552 Sudbury -1,579 3528 Haldimand-Norfolk -6

3513 Prince Edward -2,136 3516 Kawartha Lakes -7

3512 Hastings -2,277 3556 Cochrane -19

3501Stormont, Dundas &

Glengarry-2,586 3552 Sudbury -25

3536 Chatham-Kent -2,966 3501Stormont, Dundas

& Glengarry-58

3549 Parry Sound -3,410 3512 Hastings -86

3546 Haliburton -4,956 3557 Algoma -95

3551 Manitoulin -6,419 3536 Chatham-Kent -178

Income Gap, relative to the average income within each geographic group

Non-metro census divisions (sorted by size

of 2011 income GAP = CD average income minus

average income for non-metro CDs)

Non-metro census divisions (sorted by

average change per year in the income gap from 1989 to

2011 ($2011))

Source: Statistics Canada, Income Statistics Division, Annual Estimates of Income of Individuals.

Metro census divisions (sorted by size of 2011

income GAP = CD average income minus average

income for metro CDs)

Metro census divisions (sorted by average

change per year in the income gap from 1989 to 2011

($2011))

Partially-non-metro census divisions (sorted by size of 2011 income GAP = CD average

income minus average income for partially-non-metro

CDs)

Partially-non-metro census divisions (sorted by average change per year in the income gap

from 1989 to 2011 ($2011))

48

Table 3.13

Source Calculations by: the Rural Ontario Institute (www.ruralontarioinstitute.ca)

Census

Division

ID

Non-metro

census

division

Male

income

gap:

compared

to metro

average

Census

Division

ID

Non-metro

census

division

Average

change

per year

in

income

gap1

3541 Bruce 1,617 3541 Bruce 404

3538 Lambton 548 3540 Huron 80

3556 Cochrane -4,435 3514 Northumberland 24

3514 Northumberland -7,402 3544 Muskoka 23

3509 Lanark -8,191 3549 Parry Sound 15

3532 Oxford -8,461 3547 Renfrew 15

3531 Perth -8,722 3531 Perth 8

3552 Sudbury -9,091 3542 Grey -2

3559 Rainy River -9,232 3509 Lanark -15

3547 Renfrew -9,258 3546 Haliburton -48

3554 Timiskaming -9,317 3554 Timiskaming -50

3507Leeds &

Grenville-9,427 3532 Oxford -52

3548 Nipissing -9,972 3513 Prince Edward -54

3528Haldimand-

Norfolk-9,989 3538 Lambton -69

3540 Huron -10,196 3528Haldimand-

Norfolk-70

3557 Algoma -10,268 3516 Kawartha Lakes -85

3560 Kenora -11,349 3507Leeds &

Grenville-97

3544 Muskoka -11,824 3548 Nipissing -98

3516 Kawartha Lakes -11,884 3551 Manitoulin -119

3542 Grey -12,340 3552 Sudbury -131

3512 Hastings -13,078 3556 Cochrane -136

3513 Prince Edward -13,588 3559 Rainy River -138

3501

Stormont,

Dundas &

Glengarry

-14,104 3501

Stormont,

Dundas &

Glengarry

-185

3536 Chatham-Kent -14,559 3512 Hastings -208

3549 Parry Sound -14,910 3560 Kenora -211

3546 Haliburton -16,961 3557 Algoma -235

3551 Manitoulin -19,626 3536 Chatham-Kent -365

Source: Statistics Canada, Income Statistics Division, Annual Estimates of Income of Individuals.

Non-metro -- metro income gap for MALES, 2011

1. We calculate the gap as non-metro minus metro. Thus, the gap is negative when non-metro is

less than metro. If the trend in the gap is positive, then the gap is closing.

Non-metro census divisions (sorted by size of MALE 2011 income gap,

relative to metro males)

Non-metro census divisions (sorted by size of average annual

change, 1989 to 2011 in MALE income

gap, relative to metro males)

49

Ontario Works Employment Outcomes

While the local labour market struggled in 2013, there was a 7% decline in the number of Ontario Works clients finding employment, and an increase in the length of time to find employment.

By the last quarter of 2013 it was taking an average of 15.78 months for clients to find employment.

The length of time to employment for Ontario Works clients is reflective of the general trend to longer term unemployment in the community.

The weak employment market and trend towards increasing length of time to employment has been influenced by the larger labour market trends. OW employment programming can help to mitigate the negative impact on Ontario Works clients but these labour market trends must be taken into consideration when setting the 2014 baselines and targets.

Source: City of Peterborough, Social Services: People Serving

People, 2013-2014 Service Plan

Table 3.14

50

Source: City of Peterborough, Social Services: People

Serving People, 2013-2014 Service Plan

Source: City of Peterborough, Social Services: People Serving People, 2013-2014 Service Plan

Table 3.15

OW Caseload Forecast Update

The 2013 and 2014 caseload was originally forecasted at a 4% increase or an average of 4,118 cases for

2013 and 2014 when preparing the original service plan. This forecast is being reviewed and adjusted

down to 3,912 for 2014. Given the current unemployment rate and struggling economy, it is anticipated

that caseload is still likely to rise to this forecast. A review of caseload numbers for January (3,806) and

February (3,839) of 2014 shows a significant increase from December 2013 (3,645).

Source: City of Peterborough, Social Services Division “People Serving People 2013-2014 Service Plan”

What the Martin Prosperity Institute says is happening in Peterborough:

Peterborough has a higher-than-average percentage of people working in creative fields, but close to

half of all people working have service-industry jobs.

According to information gathered by the Martin Prosperity Institute, 28.8% of the Peterborough census

metropolitan’s workface was employed in creative class occupations, which is the fourth highest

percentage for that group among the 12 comparable communities.

Year Amount % Change

2012 3,948 -

2013 3,802 -3.60%

2014 3,912 2.90%

OW Caseload Forecast

51

“Its similarities allow the metro to act as a

test market for development strategies that

can then be rolled out resources.”

“These highly skilled workers typically

drive research and innovation while

also developing more efficient and

viable manufacturing processes,” the

authors of the report state.

“Leveraging this unique talent pool, is

likely to spur entrepreneurship and

consequently, manufacturing growth.”

The report stresses that Peterborough is much like the rest of the province when it comes to its

workforce according to the report commissioned by Peterborough Economic Development, with

support from Fleming College and the Workforce Development Board.

The report provided data to compare Peterborough with 11 other similar-sized communities across

Ontario and the United States.

Information included:

• the percentage of people in each community that were participating in the workforce,

• levels of education,

• occupations

• the types of industries that employed people

in each community.

The report concluded that there are advantages to

being like Ontario as a whole but also disadvantages

for not being unique in terms of non-major census

metropolitan areas in the province.

The Institute documented trends that have “significant

impacts on Peterborough’s growing economy that can be

leveraged through innovative policy initiatives.”

1. Peterborough’s manufacturing sector has a high percentage of its workforce employed in

“Creative class” occupations – such as engineers, researchers, specialist managers and business

and finance professionals.

2. According to information gathered by the institute, 28.8% of the Peterborough census

metropolitan’s workforce were employed in creative class

occupations, which is the fourth highest percentage for that

group among the 12 comparable communities.

3. Service class occupations accounted for 47.6% of the

workforce and working class jobs, or traditional blue-collar

positions, made up 20.9% of the workforce.

4. The community has an aging workforce.

“It is the oldest community in Ontario. An aging demographic

will likely lead to growth in health services sector as well as

low-skilled service sector occupations in multiple industries,”

the Institute states in the report.

Source: Martin Prosperity Institute, “Who

Works Where in Peterborough”, 2014

Source: Martin Prosperity Institute, “Who

Works Where in Peterborough”, 2014

52

There’s an incredible group of very skilled, successful people in

that age group who have experience that they could transfer to

the up and coming practitioners,” he said. “We have to get

away from this negative perception that because we have an

older population it diminishes our opportunity for growth in

the future… There’s enough diversity and skill and technology

The report urged the community to take advantage of the unique demographic position by developing a

mentoring program that would pair up aging community members with professional and experiential

assets with younger generations of entrepreneurs, professionals and high-skilled manufacturers.

Source: Martin Prosperity Institute, “Who Works Where in Peterborough”, 2014

Dr. Tom Phillips, Trent University

Living Wage

In 2013, Peterborough Social Planning Council prepared a report entitled “Calculating a Living Wage for

Peterborough”.

The living wage is defined as the minimum hourly wage necessary for each of two workers in a family of

four to meet basic needs and to participate in the civic/social life of their community. This means that

this ‘reference family’, with both persons working full time, all year, with no additional income, should

be able to afford a specified quality or quantity of housing, food, utilities, transport, health care, and

recreation.

For a family/household of four with two wage earners employed full-time at 37.5 hours weekly and two

dependents, the living wage is $16.47 for each wage earner.

53

Projected trends to 2031 for the Canadian labour force that may impact Peterborough

Peterborough economic health is impacted by trends across the nation. Here are some of the forecasts

made by Statistics Canada:

• The Canadian labour force is projected to grow, according to all five projection scenarios in

Statistics Canada’s report “Projected trends to 2031 for the Canadian labour force”. The

labour force is projected to reach between 20.5 and 22.5 million people by 2031, up from

18.5 million in 2010.

• The share of the labour force among the total population aged 15 years and over would

decrease in the forthcoming years, according to all projection scenarios. The overall

participation rate would fall from 67.0% in 2010 to between 59.7% and 62.6% in 2031, a

level not observed since the 1970s.

• According to three of the five scenarios in this paper, close to one person out of four in the

labour force is projected to be 55 years or over by 2021. This proportion was 16.9% in 2010.

• By 2031, the number of persons in the labour force for each person aged 65 years or over

not in the labour force could be lower than three according to all scenarios. This ratio was

close to five to one in 2010.

• By 2031, about one in three persons in the labour force could be foreign-born. This

proportion would be higher in Ontario and British Columbia.

• About one person out of three in the labour force would belong to a visible minority group

by 2031. This proportion was 15.7% in 2006. It could reach about 40% in Ontario and British

Columbia by 2031

Source: http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/11-010-x/2011008/part-partie3-eng.htm, “Projected trends to 2031 for the

Canadian labour force”, By Laurent Martel, Éric Caron Malenfant, Jean-Dominique Morency, André Lebel, Alain Bélanger,

Nicolas Bastien, 2014

Uneven Job Creation across the Province

There is much variation in the health of regional labour markets across the province. The graph below

illustrates the change in the size of the labour market in each economic region across the province since

2000. Northwestern Ontario, Windsor-Sarnia and Stratford-Bruce have all seen their labour market

shrink in absolute terms. Kitchener-Waterloo and Barrie, Ottawa and Toronto, on the other hand, have

seen the number of jobs grow by more than 20%, though the quality of jobs in each of these regions is

quite different.

54

The figure below shows that each economic region in the province has been impacted by the decline in

Ontario’s manufacturing sector, though some to a greater extent than others. In absolute numbers,

Windsor-Sarnia, Ottawa and Kitchener-Waterloo, and Barrie have lost the most manufacturing jobs

since 2000. However, in percentage terms, the change in manufacturing jobs looks quite different.

Northwestern Ontario, for example, lost 60% of its manufacturing jobs between 2000 and 2013 while

Kitchener-Waterloo and Barrie saw the smallest relative decrease in manufacturing jobs at 18.5%.

Source: Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives, “Seismic Shift Ontario’s Changing Labour Market”, Kaylie Tiessen, 2013

55

Implications of low income:

Here are the statistics that paint a picture of our local food bank culture:

7724 Peterborough City and County residents were helped by food banks in March, 2013

Of those:

• 50.2% were women

• 40.8% were children under the age of 18

• 5.4% were 65 or older

• 8% were aboriginal

• 39.2% were families with children (either single-parent or 2 parent)

• 46.8% were single people

• 47.7% were on social assistance

• 30.5% had disability related income support

• 10.6% had job income

• 5.3% were homeowners

• 1% were living on the street

• 2.1% were living in a shelter/group home

Although the number of people using food banks slightly decreased since 2012, it is still 20% higher than

it was in 2008.

Table 3.16

Source: Kawartha Food Share, November 13, 2013

The local Hunger Count does not include the number of children participating in school breakfast

programs as we only count the number of meals served. According to Food For Kids our school

breakfast programs feed 17,000 children daily.

Trends found by Kawartha Food Share (KFS);

• There has been a steady increase in the use of food banks, which is reflected in the

numerous requests from Kawartha Food Share’s agencies, and the subsequent monthly

orders.

• KFS continues to share their surplus with nearby regional food banks, thereby building

relationships that are necessary for food exchange.

Year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Adults 3478 3748 3748 3930 4980 5391 4821 5064 4575

Children 2565 2794 2513 2529 2630 2614 2436 2451 3153

Total 6043 6542 6261 6459 7610 8005 7257 7515 7728

Source: Kawartha Food Share

Hunger Count - Peterborough

56

• The distribution of fresh and frozen foods has been shown to make a large difference in the

quantity and quality that the consumers are now able to access.

• KFS distributes thousands of pounds of fresh and frozen produce and other frozen products

on a weekly basis.

• Kawartha Food Share’s ability to network surplus items has been crucial in order to receive

offers of additional product; this has allowed Kawartha Food Share to provide a greater

variety of food to their

agencies

Commuting Patterns and the Workplace

In some communities there is a strong demand for housing for those who live in the community but

commute elsewhere for work. This does not appear to be the case in Peterborough where according to

the 2011 National Household Survey, 83% of all City residents with a ‘usual place of work’ worked in the

City . This means that about 4,995 residents commute out of the City for work (this includes those

commuting within the county and outside of the county). This indicates that the City generally does not

function as a ‘bedroom community’ to the extent that some other communities may.

Table 3.17

Place of Work Status of City of Peterborough Residents

(Source: 2011 National Household Survey Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 99-012-X2011032, 2006 Census)

More than twice as many people enter into the City of Peterborough for work than leave. Specifically,

4,995 people commute out of the City for work whereas 13,050 people enter into the City for

employment. These numbers suggest that although there will continue to be a demand for housing for

those commuting out of the City for work, this demand is not as strong as some might think since the

majority of the City’s residents actually work within the City.

57

“While housing can be described in terms of market rents, resale average prices, new construction starts, housing age or new house prices, one of the best ways to describe housing is in terms of the economic demand placed upon households in order to afford their housing. ‘Housing burden’ can be defined by the percentage of income required for a household to meet its housing needs. According to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, no more than 30% of a household’s combined gross income should be expended in order for the housing to be considered “affordable”. While 48.1% of renter households are considered to be in ‘core housing need’ (i.e. spending in excess of 30% of household income), 17.8% of owner households are in core housing need. While average market rents in Peterborough do not appear to be excessive in respect of other Ontario municipalities of similar size, Peterborough incomes are somewhat lower making the shelter-to-income ratio higher. Peterborough’s median income from all sources, its median employment income, and its median household income are all somewhat lower than other Ontario communities of similar size and characteristics. Housing is the largest economic expenditure made by households in the securing of their survival. Moreover, housing is an important determinant of health. While it also impacts on the ability of individuals to engage within the community, it defines locality and influences educational outcomes for children. “ Paul Armstrong, Chair, Housing is Fundamental, August, 2014

CHAPTER 4 HOUSING

58

The following tables and figures profile housing characteristics in Peterborough.


1. What is the definition of affordable housing?

2. Does our community require more supportive housing to allow people to age in place?

3. Do we have the right mix of housing that is rental?

4. How are we managing to contain growth and limit urban sprawl?

Did you know?:

• The average resale of a house in 2011 for Greater Peterborough $254 605 and for Ontario was $385,519.

• A homeowner would need an annual income of $71,100 or higher for the average house to be affordable.

Sources: http://www.peterborough.ca/Assets/City+Assets/Housing/Documents/Reports/2011+Residential+Monitoring+Report.pdf Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, City of Peterborough Residential Monitoring Report; Housing Market Outlook, Canada Edition, CMHC 1st Q 2013. Ministry of Municipal Affairs and Housing, Housing Policy Branch with data from Statistics Canada (Incomes from Census 2006, CPI Survey), Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (Mortgage Insurance Rates) and Bank of Canada (Mortgage Rates).

Did you know?:

• The average rent for a 2 bedroom apartment in Greater Peterborough is $899

• A renter would need an annual income of $38,300 or higher for the average 2 bedroom apartment to be affordable.

Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation Rental Market Survey, October 2011

Proportion of households in core housing need.

• Overall 25.9%

• Renters 48.1%

• Owners 17.8%

• Renters are more likely than homeowners to live in unaffordable housing.

Source: Affordable Housing Action Committee, Housing is Fundamental 2014 with data from the 2011 National Household Survey.

Number of issuances of emergency financial assistance to help people remain in or secure adequate housing.

• 2011 was 5633

• 2012 was 5658

• 2013 was 3232

59

Documenting the housing stock:

The following tables describe the housing stock of our community:

Table 4.1

Note: the funding structure and source of emergency housing assistance programs changed in 2013 thus the data may not be comparable to previous years. Source: Peterborough Poverty Reduction Network, 2013

Age groups of primary

household maintainerTotal Owner Renter Total Owner Renter

Total 55,635 42,200 13,430 33,435 21,725 11,710

Under 25 years 1,955 610 1,340 1,720 430 1,285

25 to 34 years 6,660 3,555 3,105 4,715 2,040 2,680

35 to 44 years 7,565 5,590 1,970 4,805 3,025 1,780

45 to 54 years 11,495 9,420 2,070 6,480 4,760 1,720

55 to 64 years 11,575 9,735 1,840 6,155 4,600 1,555

65 to 74 years 8,125 6,880 1,250 4,135 3,140 990

75 years and over 8,265 6,410 1,855 5,425 3,730 1,690


Total Housing Tenure - Peterborough CTY (county) - Total Peterborough CY (city) - Total

60

Table 4.2

Housing tenure including

presence of mortgage and

subsidized housing

Total - Shelter-cost-to-

income ratio

Spending less than 30% of

household total income

on shelter costs

Total 54,255 40,165

Owner 40,920 33,325

With mortgage 21,755 15,530

Without mortgage 19,165 17,790

Renter 13,330 6,835

Subsidized housing 2,320 1,355

Not subsidized housing 11,015 5,485



subsidized housing

Spending 30% or more of


on shelter costs

Spending 30% to less than

100% of household total

income on shelter costs

Total 14,035 11,990

Owner 7,560 6,555



Renter 6,475 5,430

Subsidized housing 960 905




subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 33,435 23,630

Owner 21,725 17,615



Renter 11,710 6,015

Subsidized housing 2,100 1,245




subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 9,775 8,295

Owner 4,095 3,510


Without mortgage 790 620

Renter 5,680 4,785




Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - Total - Peterborough County

Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - Total - Peterborough City

61

Table 4.3 Peterborough Emergency Shelter Costs

2013 Brock

Mission Cameron

House

Youth & Family

Emergency Shelter

TOTALS Difference from 2012

Number of Bed Days

11,903 11,060(2012)

2,770 3,264(2012)

6,117 6,492(2012)

20,790 20,816(2012)

0.12% decrease

Total (per diem) Cost

$523,732 $121,880 $269,148 $914,760

Municipal Base Funding

$125,322 $65,140 $190,462

Shelter Service Enhancement Funding

$49,800 $49,800

Total Cost:

Per Diem, Base Funding, Enhancement Funding

$1,155,022

$1,234,059.20(2012) 6.4%

decrease

Notes: The Brock Mission and Cameron House are operated by one entity or service provider. Source: Social Services Department, City of Peterborough, February 2014

Table 4.4

Average # individuals

sheltered per night

2011 47

2012 57

2013 57

Source: Social Services Department, City of Peterborough, February 2014

62

The following chart documents owners and renters in terms of those spending more than and less than 30% of total household income before tax. If actual household housing cost was expressed as a percent of total net household income, a larger percentage would be seen as being spent on housing.

Table 4.5 Core Housing Need* - All Households

* ‘Core Housing Need’ = spending more than 30% of household income for housing Source: Affordable Housing Action Committee, National Housing Survey, Peterborough CMA, 2011, Statistics Canada

Table 4.6 Core Housing Need* - All Households

Peterborough Owners Renters Total

with mortgage/ w/o mortgage

11,775/ 9,955

N/A 21,725

subsidized/ not subsidized

N/A 2,100/ 9,610

11,710

spending <30% of household income

17,615 6,015 23,630

spending >30% of household income

4,095 5,680 9,775

Total owners and renters

21,725 11,710 33,435

* ‘Core Housing Need’ = spending more than 30% of household income for housing Source: Affordable Housing Action Committee, National Housing Survey, Peterborough CMA, 2011, Statistics Canada

Ptbo. County. Owners Renters Total

with mortgage/ w/o mortgage

21755/ 19165

N/A 40,920

subsidized/ not subsidized

N/A 2,320/ 11,015

spending <30% of household income

33,325 6,835 40,160

spending >30% of household income

7,560 6,475 14,035

Total owners and renters

40,920 13,330 54,225

63

Table 4.7 Average Market Rents and Required Income (for affordability)

Rent Hourly Wage Annual Wage

Bachelor $622 $12.76 $24,880

1 bedroom $778 $15.96 $31,120

2 bedroom $915 $18.77 $36,600

3 bedroom $1,085 $22.26 $43,400 Source: Affordable Housing Action Committee, National Housing Survey, Peterborough CMA, 2011, Statistics Canada

Table 4.8

Renter Households Owner Households Totals

All households 12,735 34,880 47,615

Spending in excess of 30%

6,126 (48.1%) 6,209 (17.8%) 12,335 (25.9%)

Source: Source: Affordable Housing Action Committee, National Housing Survey, Peterborough CMA, 2011, Statistics Canada, Housing is Fundamental, 2014

Did you know?

• There are 1,474 on Social Housing Wait List, Greater Peterborough Area (2013)

Source: Housing Access Peterborough

• 47, 240 individuals have annual incomes below the median before-tax income of $29,294. More than 29,000 people have annual incomes below $15,000.

Source: National Household Survey, Peterborough CMA, 2011 (2010 incomes - individuals 15 years and older)

64

The following table compares the shelter cost in Peterborough to selected communities in Ontario.

Table 4.9 Shelter to Income Ratio

Community Median rental shelter cost (annual)

One maintainer households – median income (annual)

Shelter to income ratio %

Barrie $12,024 $34,380 35.0

Guelph $10,308 $33,433 30.8

Hamilton $9,576 $32,363 29.6

Kingston $10,176 $31,524 32.3

London $9,300 $30,342 30.7

Oshawa $10,824 $37,087 29.2

Peterborough $10,200 $29,665 34.4

Source: Affordable Housing Action Committee, Housing is Fundamental, 2014

Table 4.10 % Income Paid for an Average 2 Bedroom Apartment

Income Number of Households % of income paid for an average 2 bedroom apartment ($915/month)

Under $10,000 1,045 110% or more

$10,000 to $19,999 2,275 110% to 55%

$20,000 to $29,999 2,810 55% to 36.6%

$30,000 to $39,999 2,300 36.6% to 27.4%

$40,000 to $59,999 2,875 27.4% to 18.35

$60,000 to $79,999 1,050 18.3% to 13.7%

$80,000 to $99,999 605 13.7% to 11%

$100,000 and over 525 11% or less

Total households 13,435

Source: Affordable Housing Action Committee, Housing is Fundamental, 2014

65

Source: City of Peterborough Planning Division, 2012 City of Peterborough Monitoring Report

According to the City of Peterborough Planning Division’s 2012 City of Peterborough Monitoring Report

Average market rents measure the level of housing demand in an area. Generally, rent prices will

increase as the demand for housing and particularly, rental housing increases. Over the past decade, the

average market rent for all apartments in the Peterborough CMA increased by 30% from $665 in 2001 to

$866 in 2012. This increase has outpaced inflation, which over the same period of time, was 24.57%

which translates to an annual rate of inflation of 2.02%.

In 2012, the average rent was $641 for a bachelor apartment, $774 for a 1-bedroom apartment, $904

for a 2-bedroom apartment, and $1,093 for an apartment with 3 or more bedrooms.

66

Source: City of Peterborough Planning Division, 2012 City of Peterborough Monitoring Report

Average Rent by Apartment Type in Peterborough CMA 2001-2012

67

The City ‘s Monitory Plan states that the rental apartment vacancy rate in the Peterborough Census

Metropolitan Area (CMA) was 4.8 per cent in October, 2013, up from 2.7 per cent in October, 2012

according to the Fall Rental Market Survey released today by Canada Mortgage and Housing

Corporation.

"The increase in the vacancy rate was due to a combination of slower migration, decade low

employment and competition from alternative housing forms, including completed condominium

apartments, condominium townhouses and new student residence at Trent University," said Olga

Golozub, CMHC's Market Analyst for Peterborough.

On the basis of a sample of structures common to both the 2012 and 2013 surveys, the average two-

bedroom rent increased by 2.6 per cent in Peterborough CMA, up from 1.6 per cent increase in October

2012.

During the period 2000 to 2012 in the Peterborough CMA, house prices increased significantly as the

average resale house price nearly doubled, increasing to $266,000 in 2012, and the average price of a

new single-detached home decreased slightly to $325,000 from $330,749 in 2011. Over the past few

years, while the average resale house price has steadily increased, the average price of a new single-

detached home has stabilized. This is likely because of the Provincial ‘Places to Grow’ legislation that has

resulted in the construction of smaller, more affordable homes in the City’s new subdivisions.

68

Year UnitsUnits Inside Built

Bondary

Units Outside

Built Boundary

Intensification Rate (% of

Units in Built Boundary)

2007 646 441 205 68%

2008 358 147 211 41%

2009 375 107 268 29%

2010 289 66 223 23%

2011 294 102 192 35%

2012 346 211 135 61%

Total 2308 1074 1234 43%

Average 385 179 206

Percentage 47% 53%

Intensification Rate in the City of Peterborough 2007 to 2012

Source: City of Peterborough Planning Devision, 2012 City of Peterborough Monitoring Report

The Built Boundary of the City of Peterborough includes the area of the City that was either developed

or approved for development prior to the implementation of the Growth Plan in June 2006. The Growth

Plan legislates that 40 percent of all annual residential development within the City must occur within its

Built Boundary by the year 2015. This residential development will be measured in terms of all

residential units being created annually. Therefore, should the City create 300 residential units in a year,

at least 120 must be built within the Built Boundary.

Table 4.11

69

YearSingle/Semi

DetachedRow Apartments

Retirement

Homes

Student

ResidenceTotal

2000 138 15 90 - 176 419

2001 149 24 29 - - 202

2002 194 50 33 - - 277

2003 246 51 63 - - 360

2004 300 23 44 - - 367

2005 328 161 174 - - 663

2006 160 72 229 - - 461

2007 213 108 173 152 - 646

2008 193 52 113 - - 358

2009 237 71 45 22 - 375

2010 187 83 19 - - 289

2011 149 54 64 - 27 294

2012 126 38 158 - 24 346

Total 2,620 802 1,234 174 227 5,057


Units Created Through Issued Building Permits by House Type, City of Peterborough 2000-2012

Since the year 2000, building permits have been issued for the creation of 5,057 residential units in the

City of Peterborough. This represents an annual average of 389 units. In 2012, permits were issued for

346 units, which is higher than the 294 units in 2011. This is substantially less than the peak of 663 units

issued in 2005. This trend of fewer building permits and resulting lower unit creation is a reflection of

the broader global economic slowdown and a weakened housing market.

Table 4.12

70

The table below - taken from the Peterborough Monitoring Plan indicates that of all the housing starts in the Peterborough CMA from 2000 to 2012, 92% were built for the ownership market and only 8% were built for the rental market. The percentage of rental market housing starts has increased. Since rental housing satisfies a number of important demands in the community’s housing market, particularly for those in need of a flexible living accommodation and for those who cannot afford to become homeowners, a greater emphasis on its construction will be required in the future.

Table 4.13

Year TotalSingle

Detached

Semi

DetachedRow Houses Apartments Ownership Rental

2000 292 264 8 20 0 292 0

2001 294 256 14 24 0 293 1

2002 423 369 0 36 18 405 18

2003 547 470 0 71 6 531 13

2004 514 471 4 18 21 491 23

2005 619 449 8 157 5 517 102

2006 437 283 4 89 61 378 59

2007 540 324 4 107 105 540 0

2008 428 300 0 82 46 378 50

2009 371 286 0 55 30 331 40

2010 404 306 16 78 4 400 4

2011 351 239 6 58 48 303 48

2012 343 197 2 50 94 273 70

Total 5563 4214 66 845 438 5132 428

% - 76% 1% 15% 7% 92% 8%

Housing Starts by Type and Tenure in Peterborough CMA 2000-2012


71

The following graph reflects the total number of annual sales of residential units in the Peterborough

CMA from 2000 to 2012 as well as the annual sales-to-new-listings ratio (sales as a percentage of new

listings). During the period from 2000 to 2012, sales were at their highest in 2004 when 2,980 homes

were sold. The sales-to-new-listings ratio was highest in 2002 when sales represented 75% of all new

listings. Both total sales and the sales-to-new-listings ratio have declined and stayed relatively stable in

recent years amidst slow economic growth and a weakened housing market.

Total House Sales in Peterborough CMA: 2000- 2012 (CMHC)

72

There are currently 1,887 social housing units in the City and County, of which the majority are rent-

geared-to-income (RGI) units where the rent is determined by the amount of gross household income.

At the end of December 2012, the number of people on the waiting list for social housing was 1,528,

down slightly from 1,700 in the previous year.

Since an average of approximately 230 people have been provided with social housing over the past five

years, this means that there is an average waiting time of approximately seven years for social housing.

It should be further noted that the number of seniors on the waiting list more than doubled between

2003 and 2012. This is reflective of Peterborough’s aging population and the lack of affordable housing

options to suit their needs.

Total People on the Social Housing Waiting List

Source: 2012 City of Peterborough Residential Monitoring Report (Housing Access Peterborough)

73

Appendix to chapter 4 – Additional tables describing housing

74


household maintainerTotal Owner Renter



Total 38,655 32,240 6,405 Total 35,845 30,045 5,785

Under 25 years 900 315 590 Under 25 years 830 285 545

25 to 34 years 4,515 2,785 1,735 25 to 34 years 4,055 2,540 1,515

35 to 44 years 6,280 4,980 1,295 35 to 44 years 5,850 4,655 1,195

45 to 54 years 8,905 7,715 1,185 45 to 54 years 8,230 7,195 1,030

55 to 64 years 8,440 7,745 695 55 to 64 years 7,680 7,045 630

65 to 74 years 5,615 5,180 435 65 to 74 years 5,380 4,965 415

75 years and over 3,995 3,530 465 75 years and over 3,820 3,365 455





Total 31,400 27,520 3,875 Total 17,475 15,170 2,295


25 to 34 years 3,570 2,430 1,140 25 to 34 years 1,430 825 605

35 to 44 years 4,655 4,075 585 35 to 44 years 690 600 85

45 to 54 years 6,815 6,300 515 45 to 54 years 2,150 1,840 300

55 to 64 years 7,255 6,730 520 55 to 64 years 5,310 4,885 425

65 to 74 years 5,145 4,775 370 65 to 74 years 4,530 4,270 265






Total 13,925 12,345 1,575 Total 4,440 2,525 1,910


25 to 34 years 2,140 1,605 535 25 to 34 years 485 115 375

35 to 44 years 3,970 3,475 495 35 to 44 years 1,185 575 610

45 to 54 years 4,665 4,455 215 45 to 54 years 1,420 900 520

55 to 64 years 1,940 1,850 90 55 to 64 years 425 315 115

65 to 74 years 610 505 110 65 to 74 years 235 190 45

75 years and over 370 365 0 75 years and over 550 425 120





Total 2,815 2,190 620 Total 16,985 9,960 7,020

Under 25 years 70 25 50 Under 25 years 1,050 300 750

25 to 34 years 465 245 220 25 to 34 years 2,145 775 1,370

35 to 44 years 430 330 105 35 to 44 years 1,285 615 675

45 to 54 years 675 525 155 45 to 54 years 2,590 1,705 885

55 to 64 years 765 700 65 55 to 64 years 3,135 1,985 1,145

65 to 74 years 235 215 20 65 to 74 years 2,515 1,700 815

75 years and over 170 160 0 75 years and over 4,265 2,880 1,390


Total Housing Tenure - PTBO CTY - Other Family Total Housing Tenure - PTBO CTY - Non-Census-Family

Total Housing Tenure - PTBO CTY - Census Families Total Housing Tenure - PTBO CTY - One Family Only

Total Housing Tenure - PTBO CTY - Couple-Family Total Housing Tenure - PTBO CTY - Without Children

Total Housing Tenure - PTBO CTY - With Children Total Housing Tenure - PTBO CTY - Lone Parent

75





Total - Age groups of primary household maintainerFootnote 221,150 15,795 5,355 Total - Age groups of primary household maintainerFootnote 319,525 14,670 4,855


25 to 34 years 3,015 1,565 1,450 25 to 34 years 2,615 1,370 1,245

35 to 44 years 3,720 2,565 1,155 35 to 44 years 3,475 2,415 1,055

45 to 54 years 4,785 3,825 960 45 to 54 years 4,410 3,570 840

55 to 64 years 4,080 3,555 525 55 to 64 years 3,725 3,225 495

65 to 74 years 2,415 2,120 295 65 to 74 years 2,305 2,020 280








25 to 34 years 2,210 1,295 915 25 to 34 years 1,050 550 500

35 to 44 years 2,485 1,995 485 35 to 44 years 360 290 70

45 to 54 years 3,415 3,000 420 45 to 54 years 950 695 255

55 to 64 years 3,430 3,020 410 55 to 64 years 2,360 2,030 330

65 to 74 years 2,160 1,925 240 65 to 74 years 1,860 1,710 150








25 to 34 years 1,165 740 415 25 to 34 years 405 75 330

35 to 44 years 2,120 1,705 415 35 to 44 years 995 425 570

45 to 54 years 2,465 2,305 160 45 to 54 years 1,000 580 425

55 to 64 years 1,075 995 80 55 to 64 years 290 200 90

65 to 74 years 305 215 90 65 to 74 years 140 95 40

75 years and over 105 95 0 75 years and over 375 270 110





Total - Age groups of primary household maintainerFootnote 31,625 1,120 500 Total - Age groups of primary household maintainerFootnote 212,285 5,935 6,350

Under 25 years 55 0 40 Under 25 years 1,005 285 725

25 to 34 years 400 195 200 25 to 34 years 1,700 470 1,230

35 to 44 years 245 145 95 35 to 44 years 1,090 460 630

45 to 54 years 375 255 120 45 to 54 years 1,700 935 760

55 to 64 years 355 330 25 55 to 64 years 2,075 1,045 1,030

65 to 74 years 110 100 15 65 to 74 years 1,720 1,025 695

75 years and over 85 85 0 75 years and over 3,000 1,715 1,285


Total Housing Tenure - Peterborough CY - Non-Census-FamilyTotal Housing Tenure - Peterborough CY - Other Family

Total Housing Tenure - Peterborough CY - Census Family Total Housing Tenure - Peterborough CY - One Family

Total Housing Tenure - Peterborough CY - Couple Family Total Housing Tenure - Peterborough CY - Without Children

Total Housing Tenure - Peterborough CY - With Children Total Housing Tenure - Peterborough CY - Lone Parent

76



subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 37,530 30,530

Owner 31,190 26,660



Renter 6,340 3,875

Subsidized housing 1,085 720




subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 6,970 6,305

Owner 4,515 4,050



Renter 2,450 2,250





subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 34,795 28,350

Owner 29,070 24,860



Renter 5,725 3,490





subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 6,415 5,805

Owner 4,190 3,755



Renter 2,225 2,045




Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - Census-Family - Peterborough County

Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - One-Family-Only - Peterborough County

77



subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 30,455 25,780

Owner 26,630 23,205



Renter 3,825 2,575





subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 4,660 4,140

Owner 3,410 3,025



Renter 1,250 1,115





subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 16,985 14,355

Owner 14,705 12,800



Renter 2,275 1,555





subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 2,615 2,235

Owner 1,895 1,650



Renter 720 595

Subsidized housing - -

Not subsidized housing 700 570


Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - Couple-Family - Peterborough County

Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - Without Children - Peterborough County

78



subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 13,475 11,425

Owner 11,925 10,410



Renter 1,545 1,010


Not subsidized housing 1,305 815



subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 2,040 1,905

Owner 1,515 1,380



Renter 525 520





subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 4,340 2,570

Owner 2,440 1,650

With mortgage 1,655 940


Renter 1,900 920





subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 1,750 1,660

Owner 780 730

With mortgage 710 670


Renter 975 925




Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - With Children - Peterborough County

Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - Lone-Parent - Peterborough County

79



subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 2,740 2,180

Owner 2,120 1,795



Renter 615 385





subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 555 500

Owner 325 295



Renter 230 205





subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 16,725 9,635

Owner 9,735 6,670



Renter 6,995 2,965





subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 7,070 5,685

Owner 3,045 2,500



Renter 4,020 3,185




Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - Other Family - Peterborough County

Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - Non-Census-Family - Peterborough County

80



subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 21,150 16,890

Owner 15,790 13,575



Renter 5,360 3,315





subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 4,230 3,875

Owner 2,210 1,985



Renter 2,025 1,885





subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 19,525 15,665

Owner 14,670 12,660



Renter 4,855 3,005





subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 3,840 3,525

Owner 2,005 1,800



Renter 1,835 1,725




Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - Census-Family - Peterborough City

Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - One-Family-Only - Peterborough City

81



subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 16,185 13,715

Owner 13,030 11,575



Renter 3,160 2,140





subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 2,460 2,205

Owner 1,445 1,275



Renter 1,015 930





subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 8,795 7,490

Owner 6,935 6,180



Renter 1,860 1,310





subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 1,300 1,115

Owner 750 650



Renter 550 465




Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - Without Children - Peterborough City

Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - Couple-Family - Peterborough City

82



subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 7,395 6,225

Owner 6,090 5,395



Renter 1,300 830





subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 1,160 1,085

Owner 695 620



Renter 465 465





subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 3,335 1,945

Owner 1,645 1,080

With mortgage 1,140 630


Renter 1,690 865





subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 1,380 1,320

Owner 560 525



Renter 820 795




Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - With Children - Peterborough City

Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - Lone-Parent - Peterborough City

83



subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 1,625 1,230

Owner 1,125 915



Renter 505 310





subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 395 350

Owner 205 185


Without mortgage - -

Renter 190 160





subsidized housing


income ratio



on shelter costs

Total 12,285 6,740

Owner 5,935 4,045



Renter 6,350 2,695





subsidized housing



on shelter costs




Total 5,540 4,425

Owner 1,885 1,520



Renter 3,650 2,900




Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - Other Family - Peterborough City

Shelter-cost-to-income ratio - Non-Census-Family - Peterborough City

84


0-4 95 4.8% 100 4.8% 195 4.8%

5-9 90 4.5% 100 4.8% 190 4.7%

10-14 125 6.3% 115 5.5% 240 5.9%

15-19 115 5.8% 140 6.7% 255 6.3%

20-24 110 5.6% 100 4.8% 210 5.2%

25-29 105 5.3% 95 4.6% 200 4.9%

30-34 95 4.8% 110 5.3% 205 5.0%

35-39 115 5.8% 100 4.8% 215 5.3%

40-44 110 5.6% 115 5.5% 225 5.5%

45-49 140 7.1% 160 7.7% 300 7.4%

50-54 175 8.8% 210 10.1% 385 9.5%

55-59 165 8.3% 145 7.0% 310 7.6%

60-64 155 7.8% 170 8.2% 325 8.0%

65-69 130 6.6% 125 6.0% 255 6.3%

70-74 110 5.6% 85 4.1% 195 4.8%

75-79 60 3.0% 75 3.6% 135 3.3%

80-84 40 2.0% 50 2.4% 90 2.2%

85+ 45 2.3% 85 4.1% 130 3.2%

TOTAL 1,980 100.0% 2,080 100.0% 4,060 100.0%

Median Age 46.4 47.1 46.8

Population by gender/percentage of total population - Asphodel-Norwood

APPENDIX TABLES – SUPPLEMENTARY TO THE CHAPTERS

85


0-4 185 4.3% 175 4.0% 360 4.2%

5-9 225 5.3% 180 4.1% 405 4.7%

10-14 285 6.7% 280 6.4% 565 6.6%

15-19 310 7.3% 330 7.6% 640 7.4%

20-24 265 6.2% 255 5.9% 520 6.0%

25-29 190 4.4% 155 3.6% 345 4.0%

30-34 180 4.2% 195 4.5% 375 4.4%

35-39 205 4.8% 230 5.3% 435 5.0%

40-44 270 6.3% 265 6.1% 535 6.2%

45-49 385 9.0% 410 9.4% 795 9.2%

50-54 410 9.6% 435 10.0% 845 9.8%

55-59 390 9.1% 375 8.6% 765 8.9%

60-64 345 8.1% 325 7.5% 670 7.8%

65-69 240 5.6% 225 5.2% 465 5.4%

70-74 160 3.7% 140 3.2% 300 3.5%

75-79 95 2.2% 150 3.4% 245 2.8%

80-84 80 1.9% 90 2.1% 170 2.0%

85+ 50 1.2% 135 3.1% 185 2.1%

TOTAL 4,270 100.0% 4,350 100.0% 8,620 100.0%

Median Age 45.2 46.4 45.9

Population by gender/percentage of total population - Cavan Monaghan

86


0-4 160 4.7% 165 4.9% 325 4.8%

5-9 170 5.0% 150 4.4% 320 4.7%

10-14 205 6.1% 195 5.7% 400 5.9%

15-19 225 6.6% 255 7.5% 480 7.1%

20-24 205 6.1% 200 5.9% 405 6.0%

25-29 135 4.0% 125 3.7% 260 3.8%

30-34 125 3.7% 150 4.4% 275 4.1%

35-39 190 5.6% 165 4.9% 355 5.2%

40-44 220 6.5% 230 6.8% 450 6.6%

45-49 285 8.4% 285 8.4% 570 8.4%

50-54 280 8.3% 315 9.3% 595 8.8%

55-59 305 9.0% 315 9.3% 620 9.1%

60-64 275 8.1% 250 7.4% 525 7.7%

65-69 210 6.2% 205 6.0% 415 6.1%

70-74 180 5.3% 155 4.6% 335 4.9%

75-79 105 3.1% 115 3.4% 220 3.2%

80-84 60 1.8% 65 1.9% 125 1.8%

85+ 50 1.5% 55 1.6% 105 1.5%

TOTAL 3,385 100.0% 3,395 100.0% 6,780 100.0%

Median Age 46.2 46.2 46.2

Population by gender/percentage of total population - Douro-Dummer

87


0-4 100 4.5% 90 3.9% 190 4.2%

5-9 110 4.9% 90 3.9% 200 4.4%

10-14 90 4.0% 95 4.2% 185 4.1%

15-19 115 5.1% 120 5.3% 235 5.2%

20-24 75 3.3% 80 3.5% 155 3.4%

25-29 90 4.0% 90 3.9% 180 4.0%

30-34 105 4.7% 90 3.9% 195 4.3%

35-39 105 4.7% 100 4.4% 205 4.5%

40-44 125 5.6% 125 5.5% 250 5.5%

45-49 150 6.7% 175 7.7% 325 7.2%

50-54 160 7.1% 205 9.0% 365 8.1%

55-59 215 9.6% 200 8.8% 415 9.2%

60-64 230 10.3% 215 9.4% 445 9.8%

65-69 200 8.9% 215 9.4% 415 9.2%

70-74 155 6.9% 145 6.4% 300 6.6%

75-79 115 5.1% 105 4.6% 220 4.9%

80-84 60 2.7% 85 3.7% 145 3.2%

85+ 40 1.8% 55 2.4% 95 2.1%

TOTAL 2,240 100.0% 2,280 100.0% 4,520 100.0%

Median Age 51.6 52.0 51.8

Population by gender/percentage of total population - Havelock-Belmont-Methuen

88


0-4 30 2.6% 45 4.0% 75 3.3%

5-9 45 3.9% 30 2.7% 75 3.3%

10-14 45 3.9% 40 3.5% 85 3.7%

15-19 50 4.3% 65 5.8% 115 5.0%

20-24 45 3.9% 40 3.5% 85 3.7%

25-29 50 4.3% 45 4.0% 95 4.2%

30-34 40 3.5% 30 2.7% 70 3.1%

35-39 45 3.9% 40 3.5% 85 3.7%

40-44 45 3.9% 50 4.4% 95 4.2%

45-49 95 8.2% 90 8.0% 185 8.1%

50-54 95 8.2% 100 8.8% 195 8.5%

55-59 120 10.4% 135 11.9% 255 11.2%

60-64 130 11.3% 130 11.5% 260 11.4%

65-69 115 10.0% 95 8.4% 210 9.2%

70-74 95 8.2% 70 6.2% 165 7.2%

75-79 60 5.2% 60 5.3% 120 5.3%

80-84 35 3.0% 35 3.1% 70 3.1%

85+ 15 1.3% 30 2.7% 45 2.0%

TOTAL 1,155 100.0% 1,130 100.0% 2,285 100.0%

Median Age 54.6 54.6 54.6

Population by gender/percentage of total population - North Kawartha

89


0-4 135 4.0% 150 4.6% 285 4.3%

5-9 160 4.8% 140 4.3% 300 4.5%

10-14 175 5.2% 170 5.2% 345 5.2%

15-19 235 7.0% 210 6.4% 445 6.7%

20-24 200 6.0% 195 5.9% 395 6.0%

25-29 135 4.0% 130 4.0% 265 4.0%

30-34 130 3.9% 130 4.0% 260 3.9%

35-39 165 4.9% 175 5.3% 340 5.1%

40-44 195 5.8% 195 5.9% 390 5.9%

45-49 280 8.4% 315 9.6% 595 9.0%

50-54 335 10.0% 330 10.1% 665 10.0%

55-59 315 9.4% 305 9.3% 620 9.4%

60-64 260 7.8% 280 8.5% 540 8.1%

65-69 250 7.5% 190 5.8% 440 6.6%

70-74 150 4.5% 145 4.4% 295 4.4%

75-79 115 3.4% 105 3.2% 220 3.3%

80-84 70 2.1% 65 2.0% 135 2.0%

85+ 45 1.3% 50 1.5% 95 1.4%

TOTAL 3,350 100.0% 3,280 100.0% 6,630 100.0%

Median Age 47.8 47.4 47.6

Population by gender/percentage of total population - Otonabee and South Monaghan

90


0-4 355 4.3% 350 4.1% 705 4.2%

5-9 370 4.5% 390 4.6% 760 4.5%

10-14 460 5.5% 455 5.3% 915 5.4%

15-19 570 6.9% 510 6.0% 1,080 6.4%

20-24 470 5.7% 415 4.9% 885 5.3%

25-29 375 4.5% 345 4.0% 720 4.3%

30-34 300 3.6% 320 3.7% 620 3.7%

35-39 370 4.5% 410 4.8% 780 4.6%

40-44 405 4.9% 500 5.9% 905 5.4%

45-49 655 7.9% 665 7.8% 1,320 7.8%

50-54 735 8.9% 760 8.9% 1,495 8.9%

55-59 765 9.2% 855 10.0% 1,620 9.6%

60-64 745 9.0% 795 9.3% 1,540 9.1%

65-69 670 8.1% 645 7.6% 1,315 7.8%

70-74 430 5.2% 400 4.7% 830 4.9%

75-79 340 4.1% 325 3.8% 665 3.9%

80-84 175 2.1% 220 2.6% 395 2.3%

85+ 115 1.4% 175 2.1% 290 1.7%

TOTAL 8,305 100.0% 8,535 100.0% 16,840 100.0%

Median Age 48.6 49.4 49.0

Population by gender/percentage of total population - Selwyn

91


0-4 75 2.9% 95 3.8% 170 3.3%

5-9 110 4.2% 80 3.2% 190 3.7%

10-14 95 3.6% 95 3.8% 190 3.7%

15-19 125 4.8% 110 4.4% 235 4.6%

20-24 115 4.4% 70 2.8% 185 3.6%

25-29 100 3.8% 80 3.2% 180 3.5%

30-34 65 2.5% 80 3.2% 145 2.8%

35-39 90 3.4% 100 4.0% 190 3.7%

40-44 140 5.3% 140 5.6% 280 5.5%

45-49 210 8.0% 200 8.0% 410 8.0%

50-54 225 8.6% 260 10.5% 485 9.5%

55-59 260 9.9% 260 10.5% 520 10.2%

60-64 330 12.6% 295 11.9% 625 12.2%

65-69 270 10.3% 245 9.9% 515 10.1%

70-74 165 6.3% 155 6.2% 320 6.3%

75-79 135 5.1% 125 5.0% 260 5.1%

80-84 75 2.9% 65 2.6% 140 2.7%

85+ 40 1.5% 30 1.2% 70 1.4%

TOTAL 2,625 100.0% 2,485 100.0% 5,110 100.0%

Median Age 89.5 89.1 89.3

Population by gender/percentage of total population - Trent Lakes

92

Community Population Area (km2) Density

Ontario 12851821 908607.67 14.14

City-County 134933 3847.77 35.07

City 78698 63.8 1233.51

County 56235 3783.97 14.86

Asphodel-Norwood 4041 160.98 25.10

Cavan Monaghan 8601 306.22 28.09

Curve Lake First Nation 1003 6.62 151.51

Douro-Dummer 6805 14.8 459.80

Trent Lakes 5105 860.26 5.93

Havelock-Belmont-Methuen 4523 543.59 8.32


North Kawartha 2289 776.04 2.95

Otonabee-South Monaghan 6660 347.58 19.16

Selwyn 16846 315.64 53.37

Population Density (pop/km2)

93

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