partnering for the development of gas supply ......oil and gas transmission distribution markets...
TRANSCRIPT
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Oando- NGC Partnering for the development of
Gas Supply Infrastructure in NigeriaBolaji Osunsanya
Managing Director, Oando Gas & Power
March 26th 2008
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Outline
• Background / Context
• Gas Infrastructure Blueprint
• Opportunities of Interest
• Possible Deal Structure
• Timeframe
• Next Steps
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Context
With the approval of the Gas Pricing regime and the publication
of the infrastructure blue print, this is an auspicious time for a
prudent investor to make its foray into the development of gas
delivery infrastructure in Nigeria.
NGC, the pioneer in the development of gas infrastructure in
Nigeria must take it’s rightful place at the vanguard of this
movement
Oando, with its history of cooperation with NGC, a proven
ability to manage huge projects and mobilize funding is the
ideal partner for NGC in this pursuit
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History
To date, Oando, through Gaslink has had an 8 year relationship
with the Nigerian Gas Company, the success of which is
demonstrated by the following achievements:
– Over 224km of gas pipelines in different parts of the country
arranged by Oando subsidiaries
– $156m (NGN18.7bn) of investment mobilized by Oando to
construct pipeline infrastructure
– The connection of over 90 industrial customers to the gas
network including a possible UNICEM
– Income in excess of NGN14.1bn from the operation of the
Greater Lagos Distribution Network
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Players in the Gas Value Chain
Government is the dominant gas resource owner but has limited operatorshipMost of the production is done by MOCs which although are 50-60% owned by NNPC are commercially
driven
Also controls transmission & distribution – operated on behalf of the government by Nigerian Gas
Company (NGC)
The Government has now stated its commitment to domestic gas utilisationThe new clarity on domestic gas pricing has made it possible to evaluate further opportunities
Most of the gas field development today is geared towards the export market
(LNG)
Gas processing and more encompassing infrastructure is a clear gap
Gas
ProcessingDistribution MarketsTransmissionOil and Gas
E&POilfield Services
Local participation remains limited to low-value segments, even lower, when discounted for Government participation.
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Oando-Halliburton
Schlumberger
Petrolog
Noble
Mallard
Trans Ocean
Lonestar
Shell
Chevron
Oando
Chevron
Shell
BG
NGC
Shell
Oando
Shell NG
Falcon
Gasland
NGC
Power (Oando)
Industrial
Commercial
Domestic
Transportation
Through partnering and Strategic Acquisitions, Oando is steadily establishing a footprint across the Gas value Chain
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Gas in Nigeria today
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Issues Opportunities
• New Regulation is advocating Open Access
• OGIC – The role of and reporting path of NGC is unclear
• Security of Supply
• Appropriate Pricing ?
• Domestic Priority
• Regulation / Policy
• Infrastructure
• Gas/Power Linkage (or lack)
• Infrastructure / Network development
• Derivative Products (LPG, Petrochemicals, GTL…)
• Privatization?
NGC is the largest investor today & therefore the most affected by any development
NGC must drive the need to chart a holistic response
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Gas Infrastructure Blueprint
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Gas Infrastructure Blueprint
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ID Pipeline Project Length (km)/Diameter(in)
Capacity Description
2 OB-OB to Oben 100 / 42 1700 Provides security of Supply to the West
3 Calabar to Ajaokuta 365 / (48,48,56)
3000 Provides Security of Supply to North. Serves as pre-investment for TSGP( Abia, Anambra en route)
4E East Loop Onshore East 188 /56 3500 Main Supply to Calabar CPF and the North
4W East Loop Onshore West 56 3000 Supply to Bonny from the East Onshore
5E East Loop Offshore East 32 1150 Supply to Calabar from offshore
5W East Loop Offshore West 209 /42 1700 Supply to Bonny from East offshore
11 Shagamu to Jebba 265 / (24,22) 390 Secure supply to Ogun, Osun, Oyo and Kwara
ELOPS Escravos to Lagos
Offshore
200 / 42 1250 Supply to Lagos via secure offshore route
ID CPF Location Capacity COD Year Description
A Escravos 2395 2010 Serves North and West. Several phases of expansion, 2bcfd by 2012
B Ob-Ob 1700 2010 Servers North and West. Several Phases of expansion.
C Calabar 4500 2010 Main supply to Calabar and North
D Bonny 1500 2013 Incremental capacity to LNG Plant
F Forcados 3250 2020 1bcf required by 2012, successive expansion phases
G Brass 1700 2011 Brass LNG Only
H Olokola 2000 2012 No incremental capacity – LNG only foreseen
The infrastructure blueprint highlights a number of gas pipeline and Gas Central Processing Facilities (CPF) required to fulfil the domestic
utilisation requirements
Source: IHS Gas Master Plan
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Specific Opportunities
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C
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Specific Opportunities
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Pipeline Project Length(km)
Diameter(in.)
Capacity(mmscf/d)
CODYear
OB-OB to Oben 100 42 1700 2012
Calabar to Ajaokuta
Phase 1 (Okopedi Ito) 55 56 3000 2009
Phase 2 (Umuahia) 65 48 2200 2010
Phase 3 (Ajaokuta) 245 48 2200 2011
Total 365
CPF Capacity COD Year
Calabar CPF
Phase 1 500 2008
Phase 2 900 2011
Phase 3 500 2012
Phase 4 600 2013
Phase 5 1,500 2015
Phase 6 500 2018
Total 4,500
NGC must proactively collaborate with a sound investment partner
Source: IHS Gas Master Plan
CPF Capacity COD Year
OB/OB CPF
Phase 1 700 2011
Phase 2 1,000 2012
Total 1,700
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Immediate Opportunities
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Development of OB/OB CPF• Purpose of this CPF is to assure security of supply to the West
Construction of OB/OB to Oben Gas transmission Line• Primary purpose of this pipeline is to assure security of supply to Lagos
• Oando (Gaslink) is the primary private sector off-taker from the ELPS and
is best placed to benefit from this project
• In addition, we are downstream beneficiaries along the West Coast of
Africa
Development of Calabar CPF• Oando already has gas assets and infrastructure in the Calabar Area
– OML 236 – currently under development, but already with 690bcf of proven
reserves
– 124km of 18” gas transmission line from Ukanafun to Mfamosing
• Along with additional assets being developed, Oando is able harness its
assets and provide input to the CPF
Construction of Calabar to Ajaokuta Pipeline• A major step in fulfilling Oando’s commitment to developing the national
gas grid
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Peculiarities of CPF/Pipelines
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Capital Intensive
Technical
Capabilities
Assured Supply /
Throughput
Shared Utility
Size (length),
Scalability
- Partners with deep pockets
- Capital Markets & International financial markets
TSG backbone
- Technical Partners with proven experience
- Access to cutting edge technology
- Assured O&M capabilities
- Reasonable transportation/throughput tariff
- Swaps
- Assured Supply
- Leverage domestic gas & flare down policies to enforce patronage
- Reconfirm cluster commitments
- Execute in phases
- Find foundation customers en-route
- World Class Construction
- Align with on-going TSG Discussions
ISSUES MITIGANTS
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Partnership Model
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Capital
Technical Capabilities
Assured Supply /
Throughput
Shared Utility
Size (length), Scalability
- NGC / Oando & Highly capitalized institutions
- Leverage JSE & NSE
- Oando is currently mobilizing to raise the required financing througho Seed Equity
o Guarantees
o Development Finance Institutions
TSG backbone
- LOI with 2 business/technical partners
- Access to learning points on recently concluded regional CPF
and pipelines
- Access to Canadian Operators
- Leverage OML 236 for phase 1
- Leverage 630bcf ‘OML 236’
- Discussions ongoing with others within cluster 5
- WAGP experience – quick execution; phased approach
- Credible foundation customers (some of whom we have had
discussions)
- Leverage work already done by NGC and the Ministry
- Leverage political support
ISSUES ACTIVITIES
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Deal Structure
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OB/OB
Pipeline
Calabar CPF
Calabar – North
Pipeline
OB/OB CPF
Project Make up Model
BOT
OGP NGC
OB/OB Limited
OGP NGC
Calabar CPF NEWCO
Multi-Party
JV
Multi-Party
JV
OC
x% y%
z%x% y%
OGP NGC
N-South NEWCO
Multi-party
Investors
z%x% y%
OGP OC
OB/OB CPF NEWCO
NGCz%x% y%
Multi-Party
JV
Mobil?
Addax?
Moni Pulo?
Total?
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Time Frame
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OB/OB
Pipeline
Calabar CPF
Calabar – North
Pipeline
OB/OB CPFDevelopment (9 months) Construction (24 months)
Development (12 months) Construction (36 months)
Development (9 months) Construction (24 months – phase 1)
Development (6 months) Construction (12 months)
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Next Steps
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• Formal response in 30 days
• MOU with NGC
• Collaboration MOUs with other partners
• Presentation to Minister/President
• Joint Task Force : Program Management– 2 per Investor?
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We have positioned ourselves to capture maximum value along the entire
energy chain and harvest synergies between subsidiaries
MarketingRefinery
Division
Production
& Dev. Co.
Energy
Services
Power
Supply &
Trading
Synergies
RefiningOil and Gas
E&PPrimary
DistributionConsumerStorage
Secondary
DistributionChannelsTrading
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Gaslink /
East Horizon
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Oando an Integrated Energy Company
Oando Plc
Marketing
No. 1
marketer of
Petroleum
Products
Power
A Significant
option play
for Oando
Energy
Services
Offering
Product
service lines
through
strategic
alliances
(e.g. Baroid,
Halliburton)
Exploration and
Production
Assets
Acquisition
and
Monetization
Refining
New Build
Supply and
Trading
Dominant
local player
Expansion
into other
West African
Markets
Gas (Pipeline
Transmission of
Natural Gas)
20-year BOT
Franchise
Agreement
with NGC
New Industrial
customer
connects
Further
pipeline
expansion into
un-served
markets
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Thank you
http://www.oandoplc.com
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