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10.12.2009
1
ThyssenKrupp Steel Europe
The Future of SteelBasic Principles and General Lessons
Dr. Gunnar Still, Corporate Coordinator Environment and
Climate
Dr. Hans-Jörn Weddige, Head of Corporate Climate Policies
10.12.2009
ThyssenKrupp Steel Europe
Future of Steel is governed by rules, regulations and restrictions
Steel Making does not exist isolated and independent. It is governed by many laws, rules, regulations and restrictions
• Physical laws and technological boundaries
• Legal framework
• Market restrictions and trade rules
• Social framework
Governments and society must make informed decisions on where and how to sensibly add extra rules and restrictions.
Successful steel making requires to operate within these frames and continue to explore new sustainable ways forward.
Fe2O3 & C => Fe & CO2
10.12.2009
2
ThyssenKrupp Steel Europe
Sources for Steel Making – Iron Ore and Scrap
Iron Ore Supplies
• Physically plentiful
• Commercially increasingly restricted
- National export controls
- Consolidation and Monopolisation of Iron Ore Market
• Rio Tinto – BHP Billiton
Scrap as a substitute is used to its fullest potential
• 40 year average return time
Steel industry in 2050 will still depend on both inputs.
• Availability must be ensured
• Quality issues need to be addressed
Fe2O3 & C => Fe & CO2
ThyssenKrupp Steel Europe
CO2 and Climate Change – Impact of and on Steelmaking
Steelmaking is a major source of anthropogenic CO2
Major R&D efforts
• ULCOS: Collaboration of major steel companies (ArcelorMittal, Corus, ThyssenKrupp, etc.)
- Industrial implementability not yet clear
- Huge technical and economic uncertainties in up-scaling
- Natural replacement rate of equipmentmeasures in decades
CCS – a solution or a dead end?
• CO2 does not disappear
CCR – ideas for a true future?
Fe2O3 & C => Fe & CO2
ULCOS I
ULCOS II a) & b)
10.12.2009
3
ThyssenKrupp Steel Europe
Carbon and the Future of Steelmaking
Coal availability
• Quality of coals
• Availability of coking coals
Biomass as an alternative?
• Historic lessons in Europe disastrous
• Quantity issue
• Logistic barriers
Future reducing agents
• Hydrogen, Electrons, ?
Fe2O3 & C => Fe & CO2
ThyssenKrupp Steel Europe
Steel – Reason and Measure for our Activities
Alternative Materials as a solution?
• No!
• OK, yes; but they will mostly be new steels…
Future of Steel Demand
• Continuing Demand Increase (all materials 2-3 x)
• Shifting of Demand (Asia today, Africa ?)
• Increased Pressure from Costumers and Users
Future of Steel Use
• Products and Lifestyles will change, but still requires “stuff”
• Steel will remain the industrial backbone of the post-modern society
Fe2O3 & C => Fe & CO2
10.12.2009
4
ThyssenKrupp Steel Europe
Framework Conditions required for successful solutions
Steelmaking does not happen on its own, but needs favourable conditions.
• Technical understanding
• Economic attractiveness
• Legal operating conditions
Globalisation is not threat but working reality.
• Global industry needs global level-playing fields
Political and societal acceptance of steel industry as foundation for a sustainable future is key.
Human Resource might be our overwhelming challenge of the next decades.
Fe2O3 & C => Fe & CO2
ThyssenKrupp Steel Europe
Stahl bridges the gaps
to a climate friendly
sustainable future!
Heat-treated heavy plate for high performance applications
Mobile Cranes: Relation Lifting Capacity to Weight in use raised
to 8:1
Grain-orientated Electrical Steel for effective energy generation
Efficiency up to 99%
generator
transformer
electrical motor
structural
material for
infrastructure
Functional material:
only steel can transform
motion in electricity
and vice versa