“On-line Foresight” in Wallonia

by Michaël Van Cutsem Director of Research at The Destree Institute

Ljubljana Forum 2012

Ljubljana Castle 21 sept. 2012

Foreword

1. There has been an on-going and continuous Foresight process in Wallonia since 1985. 2. That Foresight process, called « Wallonia to the Future », has been launched by The Destree Institute (Regional Development Research Centre and NGO), at its own initiative. 3. After the success of the first exercise, the initiative has been supported –– by the Government of Wallonia. 4. The Governance model has provided a new compre-hension of the social environment and allowed new orientations to the Foresight process.

Wallonia to the future

Towards a new paradigm

1987

Wallonia to the future

The Challenge of Education

1991

Wallonia to the future What are the strategies for

employement ?

1995

Wallonia to the future Leaving the 20th Century :

Evaluation, Innovation, Foresight

1998

EVALUATION

FORESIGHT

1999

2000

2000

IWEPS Wallonia 2020

2003

1999

Wallonia to the Future (1985-2005)

The Destree Institute

Foresight Unit

1999 : Evaluation and Foresight Society of Wallonia 2000 : Workshop Foresight and Regional Development 2000-2004 : Foresight Mission Wallonia 21 2001-2004 : Wallonia to the Future : Wallonia 2020 2002- : Province of Luxembourg 2010 Liège 2020 Country of Herve to the future Zukunftsbild / Vision 2020 Large Région ProspEnWal 4 X 4 for entrepreneurship Creation of IWEPS (public body) 2004 : Knowledge Regions: SPIDER, METAFORESIGHT

Charleroi 2020 Regional Foresight College (+ Wallonia 2030) 2005 : Conference The Futures of Europeans in the KS Foresight of the Internet International Workshop Wallonie picarde 2025

Phase of integrated development

Public

Sector

Civil

Society

Private Sector

Governance

for Sustainable

Human Development,

New York, 1997.

The use of foresight in the three stages

ProspEnWal

Territorial foresight in Wallonia (1986-2011)

Territorial foresight in Wallonia (1986-2011)

1

0

2

3

4

5

The Foresight Process

Inputs of the stakeholders

Preparation of the Foresight

Foresight Diagnosis (actors and factors)

Setting out the long term issues

Building the common vision

Definition of strategic axes

Measurement and choice of the

concrete actions

Evaluation of the process and ouputs

6

Steering and monitoring the implementation

7

Online @: www. Intelliterwal.net

Online @: www. Intelliterwal.net

FOREN

BLUEPRINTS

MUTUAL

LEARNING

PLATFORM

EFMN / EFP

FOR-LEARN

Fo

resig

ht in

Wallo

nia

Wallonia

Territorial

Intelligence

Platform

Wallonia

Regional

Foresight

College

SPIDER

META

FORESIGHT

FUTURREG

Interactions with the European work and networks

ERFC

-

CEPT

Recent works : the region - city dimension

Undertaken upon the initiative of Commissioner Johannes Hahn, this reflection is part of the wider discussions on the future of regional policy. It tackles issues such as: - How can regional policy support towns and cities to tackle the challenges of today and in the future? -What vision do we have for possible models for cities and towns of tomorrow?

http://ec.europa.eu/regional_policy/conferences/citiesoftomorrow/index_en.cfm

Recent works : the region - city dimension

Undertaken upon the initiative of the Minister of Land Planning, this study elaborates on five meta-scenarios for the Walloon territory by 2040. The demographic challenge (how to welcome 500.000 new inhabitants in the next 30 years?) is at the heart of the reflection. http://www.wallonie-en-ligne.net/Wallonie_Prospective/SDER_Scenarios_Territoires-wallons_Horizon-2040_Dossier_2011-11-15.pdf

Recent works : the region - city dimension

AN INITIAL ASSESSMENT OF TERRITORIAL FORWARD PLANNING/FORESIGHT PROJECTS IN THE EUROPEAN UNION http://www.wallonie-en-ligne.net/Wallonie_Prospective/Futuribles-Institut-Destree-Prospektiker_Initial_assessment_territorial_forward_planning_foresight_projects_EU.pdf

Conclusions

1. Embedding foresight culture is a long, demanding and multidimensional process (25 years in Wallonia). All spheres of the society should be invested in it.

2. Territories, cities in particular, are excellent practicing grounds for doing so and impose a systemic multidimensional approach provided by foresight

3. Multilevel governance is a relevant framework to organize fertilization between local, regional, national and European policy instruments, foresight being one of them.