next generation radar precipitation measurement in the swiss ......next generation qpe in the swiss...

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Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHA Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss Alps: strategy and first results Urs Germann, MeteoSwiss, Locarno-Monti M Gabella, L Panziera, M Sartori, I Sideris, M Boscacci, A Hering, L Clementi, M Sassi

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Page 1: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHAFederal Office of Meteorology and Climatology Mete oSwiss

Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss Alps: strategy and first results

Urs Germann, MeteoSwiss, Locarno-MontiM Gabella, L Panziera, M Sartori, I Sideris, M Boscacci, A Hering, L Clementi, M Sassi

Page 2: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Design of new Swiss radar networkis driven by experience, new technology and applications .

2006-2011 (6y)

2Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

Maggia river in Solduno926 km2, southern SwitzerlandTough from radar point of view (heavily shielded, strong clutter, and persistent orographic rainfall)

Typical runoff: 10 m3/sAbout once in a year: >1000 m3/s

2006-2011 (6y)

Select eventswith 16 highestrunoff.

Make 2 groups: • 8 heaviest• rank 9-16

Page 3: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Total rainfall

(sum overall events)

rank 9-168 heaviest

mm50 1800

mm50 1800

3Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

mm mm

Contributionof

convectivecells

%%10 90 10 9050 50

Page 4: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

CFAD: Contour frequency altitude diagram 8 heaviest rank 9-16

4Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

Panziera et al, in preparation

Page 5: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

High resolution in vertical dimension� to understand orographic precipitation

(combining Doppler and polarimetry)� to determine the VPR� to estimate precipitation at ground in shielded

regions � to reduce stochastic part of QPE processing

(VPR, partial shielding, Z-R, …)

Scan strategy

5Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

Full scan in short time� 20 sweeps in 5 min to properly sample the

vertical dimension + thunderstorm evolution� 10 + 10 interleaved sweeps to obtain

pseudo 2.5min resolution� “oversampling” at low angles to improve QPE

Page 6: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Hei

ght

up to18 km

old 3rd generation

20 sweeps every 5 minutes

6Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

Hei

ght

0 km

Distance from antenna0km up to

246km

Page 7: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

7Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

Dedicated nowcasting systembased on radar/raingauge/modelto predict debris flow risk atlocation of gas pipeline

Poster by L Clementi (93 NOW)

Dedicated nowcasting systembased on radar/raingauge/modelto predict debris flow risk atlocation of industry/highway

Page 8: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

System designReal-time availability�Products ready on server <1 min after scan�Products updated every 2.5 min

combining latest 2 half-scans (to be refined)

Clutter � all moments at 83 m radial resolution

transferred to central server� add polarimetry for clutter removal (to be done)

8Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

� add polarimetry for clutter removal (to be done)

� short pulse-length of 0.5 mus (83m resolution)

(…)

Page 9: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

3 radars replaced by completely newPolarimetric Doppler C-band systemswith ROEL design

Start construction of 2 additional radar

9Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

2 additional radar stations in the inneralpine regions

5 identical systems

Page 10: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Test equipment• ZDR: 0.67 dB bias (Rx H, Tx 135°)

In agreement with: drizzle 0.8; sun 0.8

• rhoHV (Rx H, Tx 135°)• pulse shape• scan strategy• cross-pol isolation• beamwidth and side lobes in H, V behind radome

Cimetta1645 m.a.s.l.

10Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann18 km

M Gabella, M Sartori, in collaboration with armasuisse

Receiver

Transponder

Lema radar1625 m.a.s.l.

Page 11: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Sun: monitoring Rx and antenna pointingNoise source: continuous automatic calibration

11Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs GermannFollowing I Hollemann et al

M Gabella, M Boscacci

Page 12: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Very 1 st image of new Lema radar

100 km

12Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

Page 13: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

AlbisLosses (Tx, Rx, Radome, NF):

old: 14.5 dBnew: 4.9 dB

Transmitted power: old: 270 kWnew: 235 kW per channel (loosing 0.6 dB)

Higher sensitivity

13Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

9 dB more sensitivity thanks to - moving transmitter on tower, - using digital receiver technology, and- moving receiver on the antenna (ROEL)

Page 14: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Zh83mgates

14Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

QPE

dBZ40 55250

Page 15: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Zh83mgates

15Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

QPE

dBZ550 4025

Page 16: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

QPE design

�Use all sweeps and radars above a ground pixel in a weighted manner

�Go directly from multi-radar high resolution polar data to surface QPE(i.e. no CAPPI, no single-radar QPE)

�Start with single polarisation

Polarimetry

16Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

�Design algorithm such that QPE converges to single-pol QPE in caseof failure of polarimetry

�Watch out for contamination ofpolarimetry by side lobe clutter

�Remind that in the Alps the lowestradar measurements are often in themelting layer or above

Page 17: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Tentative steps with polarimetry: R(KDP)

raingauge

15-16 UTCGauge 44 mmZh 13 mmKDP 40 mm

7 July 2011, 1525 UTC

17Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

raingaugeLugano @ 10.7 km/111.3°

83 m gates

Dual-Polarisation Weather Radar Handbook, Bringi et al., 2007

R Notarpietro, M Gabella

Page 18: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Real-time radar-raingauge merging

Universal co-krigingRadar-only QPE

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-0.8 Bias/dB (best is 0.0) -0.082.7 SCATTER/dB (best is 0.0) 2.2

(evaluated at hourly scale, pooling 12 representative events)See also:

Talk 3A.6: I Sideris et alTalk 3A.4: R Erdin et al

Poster 20: D Keller et al

Page 19: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Thank you

19Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

1st generation 1961 4th generation 2012

Page 20: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Don’t sacrifice the vertical resolutiondBZ

25

40

55

mm/h

1

10

100

last

60km40200-20-40

Full volume: 20 elevations every 5min

Hei

ght A

SL

[km

]

12

0

20Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

13

25

0.2

1

Lowest 4 every 5min, full 9 every 15min

East-west distance [km] 60km40200-20-40

Hei

ght A

SL

[km

]

12

0

East-west distance [km] 60km40200-20-40

Page 21: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Improve inneralpine coverage

21Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

Page 22: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

22Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann

Page 23: Next generation radar precipitation measurement in the Swiss ......Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann 7 Dedicated nowcasting system based on radar/raingauge/model to

Inneralpine coverage and backup

23Next generation QPE in the Swiss Alps, Urs Germann