natural flood management and the catchment based approach · 2018-03-07 · natural flood...

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Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering, Loughborough University

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Page 2: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Outline

• Background to the Catchment Scale flood

risk problem

• Sub-catchment interactions

• NFM and working with natural processes

- case study of soil compaction

Page 3: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

• Therefore, this heterogeneity (Soil characteristics / land cover)

within catchments needs to be accounted for.

Context

• Impact of rural land management on flood risk is spatially and

temporally dependent

Pattison I, Lane SN. (2012). The link between land use management and flood

risk: a chaotic conception?, Progress in Physical Geography.

Page 4: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Impact of Land Use on Flows

Spatial Scale = Plot/Field (10m²) Vs Catchment (2000m²)

- Individual practices

- Diffuse (combine)

- Different practices (amplify/balance out)

Bloschl et al., 2007

Page 5: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Doing Flood Risk Management

Research Differently

Field / Reach Sub-sub- Sub-catchment Catchment

catchment

• Upscaling to Downscaling

• Carlisle

Page 6: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Spatial Downscaling of Flood Risk

Petteril

Upper

EdenEamont

Caldew

?Carlisle

Irthing

Statistical Approach

• Uses widely available gauged

data

• Sub-catchment Peak flow

magnitude and Timing

• Multivariate Statistics – PCA and

Stepwise Regression

• iSIS model calibration

• Sensitivity of downstream

hydrograph to sub-catchment

flow magnitudes and timing.

• Scenario testing approach

(Single and Multiple)

Hydraulic Modelling Approach

Page 7: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Explaining Flood Risk in Carlisle

• Eamont = 19.3%

Upper Eden = 18.7%

• Magnitude

= U. Eden

Timing (delay)

= Caldew

Carlisle peak flow magnitude = 67.4 PC1 - 45.2 PC2 + 497.3

• 84% downstream peak discharge predicted

• 50% Magnitude

34% Timing (21% Positive = increase lag = delay)

Page 8: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Hydraulic Modelling Results

Timing

• Delaying U.Eden

and Eamont

reduce peak stage

by 0.32 m and

0.27 m respectively

• Speeding up

Caldew and Irthing

reduces peak stage

by 0.33m and

0.26m respectively

• Petteril has no

effect

• Maximum reduction peak stage (0.331 m) caused by a 25%

reduction in the Upper Eden.

• Eamont = 0.22m, Irthing = 0.25m

• Caldew has little effect (especially <10%), Petteril = no effect

Magnitude

Earlier Delayed

Page 9: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Compaction

(adapted from O’Connell et al.,

2004)

Compaction degrades soil structure

- Decreased porosity

- Decreasing hydraulic conductivity

- Alters partitioning of precipitation

into overland and sub-surface

flow

Problem of Process Complexity

Page 10: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

CompactionCompaction levels vary spatially and are caused by different

mechanisms

Gate

Feeding Trough

Tree

Shelter

Open

Field

Inter-

Field

Intra-

Field

Page 11: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Experimental Design

• Stratified Random sampling around

features of interest

• Combined Field and Laboratory

measurements

Hydrology

- Soil Moisture

- Saturated

Hydraulic

Conductivity

- Double Ring

Infiltrometer

Soil Properties

- Porosity

- Organic

Content

- Particle Size

- Cores

Compaction

- Dynamic

Cone

Penetrometer

- Pocket

penetrometer

(surface)

Page 12: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Dynamic Cone Penetrometer

Deeper =

less

compaction

Intra-Field

• Cattle Open Field = most variability (frequency of tread) and

statistically different to Gate (0.0001) and Tree (0.01)

• Sheep/Horse Tree Shelter = statistically different to all other

within-field sites

Inter-Field

• Open areas – Sheep statistically different to cattle/horses

• Trends between fields not as significant as intra-field variations.

Compaction Soil Properties Hydrolo

gy

Page 13: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Soil Porosity

• All sites statistically different to one another

• Largest difference is between Open field and Gate

Cattle

Compaction Soil Properties Hydrology

Page 14: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Soil Moisture

Intra-Field

• All sites statistically significantly different to one another for

Cattle and Horses fields

• Tree shelter site different to other parts of Sheep field

Inter-Field

• The Open and Gate areas are statistically different to one

another in each of the fields.

• No difference between feeding areas in fields with different

animals.

Compaction Soil Properties Hydrology

Page 15: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Saturated Hydraulic Conductivity

Cattle

• No statistically significant results at 0.05 level

• Largest difference between Open field and Feeding and

Shelter areas.

Compaction Soil Properties Hydrology

Page 16: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Conclusions

• Inter-Field Variation

= Significant differences between fields with different types of

animals in.

• Intra-Field Variation

= Significant differences between different areas of the same

field (Open and Features)

Implications of small scale variability

(sub-field/grid scale) for Catchment

Scale Flood Risk

Page 17: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Landscape Management Scenarios

Hydrological Model – CRUM 3

ID Process Representation2D Catchment Scale

Page 18: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Compaction

Winter 04-05

Light = 36.9 m3s-1

Moderate = 58.7 m3s-1

Heavy = 60.9 m3s-1

• Flashy response

Page 19: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Compaction – Effect on Hydrological

Processes

• Runoff decreases

from 77% to 65%

with compaction

• Proportion as

throughflow

decreases from 56%

to 1%

• Storage increases

from 3.2% to 16%

Page 20: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Soil Moisture Contents = 2 layer model

Main Soil

• Heavy compaction never below 0.95 (saturated)

• Moderate compaction reaches saturation in flood events

• Light compaction never reaches saturation

• M to H 3.7% increase in peak flows

• Soil Moisture drives flood generation

Dynamic Layer

• Heavy compaction at saturation for 60% of time

• Moderate compaction at saturation for 6.5% time (floods)

• Light compaction – maximum level of 0.84

Page 21: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

• Continuum

• 2nd flood peak

- Light

compaction

produces

highest flow

= throughflow

= ppt intensity

/ total.

January 2005 Flood

Main Soil Dynamic Layer

• Fully saturated main soil for the whole period

• Dynamic layer has storage capacity (2%) during this

secondary flood event

Page 22: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Upscaling Effects to the Catchment

Scale

Spatially nested modelling approach

Page 23: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Upscaling effectsCompaction

• Compare L and H scenarios

• 24 m3s-1 (65%) Dacre

• 36 m3s-1 (16.4%) Udford (0.17m)(0.18%)

• 49.9 m3s-1 (3.5%) Eden (-14cm)

Page 24: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

Conclusions• Landscape scale changes reduce flood risk at the sub-

catchment and catchment scale (whole sub-catchment

managed)

• Importance of WHERE management is implemented on its

impact.

• Questions of “where to focus on?” and “what to do there?”

need to answered simultaneously

= “Where to focus and what to do there?”

• Impact of land management scales up to the catchment scale

even for extreme floods

Page 25: Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach · 2018-03-07 · Natural Flood Management and the Catchment Based Approach Ian Pattison School of Civil and Building Engineering,

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