motorcycles & lane splitting...motorcycles & lane splitting heike martensen, julien leblud,...
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Motorcycles & lane splittingHeike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans
Belgian Road Safety Institute
‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering
‣ Allowed in Belgium since 2011 if
‣ Motorcylist passes between 2nd & 3rd lane (motorway)
‣ Max speed < 50 km/h
‣ Speed difference with other vehicles < 20 km/h
Background
Traffic filtering motorcyclists: speed infringements
65%
37%
35%
9%
19%
35%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Urban roads Motorways
>30 km/h
10 - 30 km/h
<10 km/h
correct speed
‣ Urban roads: speed regulations for traffic filtering are respected
‣ Motorways: speed limitations are routinely violated
‣ Did the change in regulation for traffic filtering have an impact on accidentology?
‣ Focus on motorways
Conclusion and further question?
General trend in motorcycle accidentology
2000
2200
2400
2600
2800
3000
3200
3400
3600
3800
4000
Number of injury accidents involving motorcyclists,
Belgium 2005 - 20013
‣ Belgian accident data: impossible to identify traffic filtering
‣ Assumptions: traffic filtering accidents more present in
‣ Multi vehicle accidents (as compared to single vehicle)
‣ Rush-hour accidents (as compared to other times)
‣ Focus on motorways.
5
Method
6
MethodTraffic volume Rider training Equipment
Sensibilisation …
Traffic filtering
‣ Critical accidents
‣ Influenced by traffic filtering
‣ Multivehicle accidents
‣ Rush-hour accidents
‣ Neutral accidents
‣ Not influenced by traffic filtering
‣ Single vehicle accidents
‣ Off-peak accidents
7
Distribution of motorcycle accidents
Before
Motorways SV
Motorways MV
Rural SV
Rural MV
Urban SV
Urban MV
After
Before legalizing traffic filtering: 2009-2010
After legalizing traffic filtering: 2012-2013
‣ Distribution of motorcycle accidents did not change after legalizing traffic filtering.
‣ Only a small proportion of motorycle accidents take place on motorways.
8
Distribution of motorcycle accidents
‣ Comparing critical (c) to non-critical (nc) accidents:
‣ Odds ratio
OR =
n(crit)aftern(crit)before
n(nc)aftern(nc)before
‣ SE =
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‣ !" = #$ ± 1.96*+
9
Method
0
1
2
Odds ratio
Increasedrisk
Decreasedrisk
Multivehicle vs single vehicle accidents on motorways
‣ Test before after:
‣ OR=1,14; CI-=0,83; CI+=1,4
‣ Multivehicle & single vehicle accidents both reduced
‣ No significant difference in development
Multivehicle vs single vehicle accidents
0
1
2
Odds ratio
Increasedrisk
Decreasedrisk
Rush-hour vs off peak accidents (MV on motorways)
‣ Rush-hour:
‣ 6:00 – 9:00
‣ 16:00 – 18:00
‣ Off-peak
‣ All other
‣ Test before after:
‣ OR=1,1; CI-=0,6; CI+=1,6
‣ Off-peak and rush-hour crashes both reduced
‣ No significant difference in development
Rush-hour vs. off-peak accidents (MV on motorways)
0
1
2
Odds ratio
Increasedrisk
Decreasedrisk
Conclusion
• General decrease in motorcycle accidents since 2011 in Belgium.
• No specific decrease or lack of decrease for accidents critical to traffic filtering:
• Multivehicle accidents
• Rush-hour accidents
• Critical and non-critical accidents developed in the same way.
• Legalizing lane splitting does not seem to affect accidentology.
Disclaimer
‣ Countries differ … so does lane-splitting.
‣ These results are from Belgium.
‣ Lane-splitting is common but not ubiquitous.
‣ Transferability to other countries needs to be established.
Motorcyclists lane splitting in Bangkok, Thailand.Roland Dobbins, Singapore
Heike MartensenBelgian Road Safety [email protected]