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Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute

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Page 1: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

Motorcycles & lane splittingHeike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans

Belgian Road Safety Institute

Page 2: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering

‣ Allowed in Belgium since 2011 if

‣ Motorcylist passes between 2nd & 3rd lane (motorway)

‣ Max speed < 50 km/h

‣ Speed difference with other vehicles < 20 km/h

Background

Page 3: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

Traffic filtering motorcyclists: speed infringements

65%

37%

35%

9%

19%

35%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Urban roads Motorways

>30 km/h

10 - 30 km/h

<10 km/h

correct speed

Page 4: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

‣ Urban roads: speed regulations for traffic filtering are respected

‣ Motorways: speed limitations are routinely violated

‣ Did the change in regulation for traffic filtering have an impact on accidentology?

‣ Focus on motorways

Conclusion and further question?

Page 5: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

General trend in motorcycle accidentology

2000

2200

2400

2600

2800

3000

3200

3400

3600

3800

4000

Number of injury accidents involving motorcyclists,

Belgium 2005 - 20013

Page 6: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

‣ Belgian accident data: impossible to identify traffic filtering

‣ Assumptions: traffic filtering accidents more present in

‣ Multi vehicle accidents (as compared to single vehicle)

‣ Rush-hour accidents (as compared to other times)

‣ Focus on motorways.

5

Method

Page 7: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

6

MethodTraffic volume Rider training Equipment

Sensibilisation …

Traffic filtering

‣ Critical accidents

‣ Influenced by traffic filtering

‣ Multivehicle accidents

‣ Rush-hour accidents

‣ Neutral accidents

‣ Not influenced by traffic filtering

‣ Single vehicle accidents

‣ Off-peak accidents

Page 8: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

7

Distribution of motorcycle accidents

Before

Motorways SV

Motorways MV

Rural SV

Rural MV

Urban SV

Urban MV

After

Before legalizing traffic filtering: 2009-2010

After legalizing traffic filtering: 2012-2013

Page 9: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

‣ Distribution of motorcycle accidents did not change after legalizing traffic filtering.

‣ Only a small proportion of motorycle accidents take place on motorways.

8

Distribution of motorcycle accidents

Page 10: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

‣ Comparing critical (c) to non-critical (nc) accidents:

‣ Odds ratio

OR =

n(crit)aftern(crit)before

n(nc)aftern(nc)before

‣ SE =

� ���� �����+

� ���� ��� ��+

� �� �����+

� �� ��� ��

‣ !" = #$ ± 1.96*+

9

Method

0

1

2

Odds ratio

Increasedrisk

Decreasedrisk

Page 11: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

Multivehicle vs single vehicle accidents on motorways

Page 12: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

‣ Test before after:

‣ OR=1,14; CI-=0,83; CI+=1,4

‣ Multivehicle & single vehicle accidents both reduced

‣ No significant difference in development

Multivehicle vs single vehicle accidents

0

1

2

Odds ratio

Increasedrisk

Decreasedrisk

Page 13: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

Rush-hour vs off peak accidents (MV on motorways)

Page 14: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

‣ Rush-hour:

‣ 6:00 – 9:00

‣ 16:00 – 18:00

‣ Off-peak

‣ All other

‣ Test before after:

‣ OR=1,1; CI-=0,6; CI+=1,6

‣ Off-peak and rush-hour crashes both reduced

‣ No significant difference in development

Rush-hour vs. off-peak accidents (MV on motorways)

0

1

2

Odds ratio

Increasedrisk

Decreasedrisk

Page 15: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

Conclusion

• General decrease in motorcycle accidents since 2011 in Belgium.

• No specific decrease or lack of decrease for accidents critical to traffic filtering:

• Multivehicle accidents

• Rush-hour accidents

• Critical and non-critical accidents developed in the same way.

• Legalizing lane splitting does not seem to affect accidentology.

Page 16: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

Disclaimer

‣ Countries differ … so does lane-splitting.

‣ These results are from Belgium.

‣ Lane-splitting is common but not ubiquitous.

‣ Transferability to other countries needs to be established.

Motorcyclists lane splitting in Bangkok, Thailand.Roland Dobbins, Singapore

Page 17: Motorcycles & lane splitting...Motorcycles & lane splitting Heike Martensen, Julien Leblud, & Freya Slootmans Belgian Road Safety Institute ‣ Lane splitting & traffic filtering ‣

Heike MartensenBelgian Road Safety [email protected]