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MODELLING REPORT Coastal lagoon modelling: An integrated approach A. Chapelle, C. Bacher, P. Duarte ± , A. Fiandrino, L. Galbiati , D. Marinov , J. Martinez # , A. Norro * , A. Pereira ± , M. Plus, S. Rodriguez # , G. Tsirtsis , J. M. Zaldívar Ifremer, France ± Centre for Modelling and Analysis of Environmental Systems, Fernando Pessoa University Inland and Marine Waters Unit, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, JRC Ispra # Department of Ecology and Hydrology, Murcia University, Murcia, Spain * Management Unit of the North Sea, Royal Belgian Institute for Natural Sciences, Brussels, Belgium School of Environmental Sciences, Dept. of Marine Sciences, Aegean Univ., Mytilini, Greece 2005 EUR 21816 EN

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Page 1: MODELLING REPORT Coastal lagoon modelling: An integrated ... · Coastal lagoon/waters modelling 4.3.Coupling watershed + lagoon models, SA 4.4. Integration of socio-economic data

MODELLING REPORT

Coastal lagoon modelling: An integrated approach

A. Chapelle, C. Bacher, P. Duarte±, A. Fiandrino, L. Galbiati†, D. Marinov†, J. Martinez#, A. Norro*, A. Pereira±, M. Plus, S. Rodriguez#, G. Tsirtsis‡, J. M.

Zaldívar†

Ifremer, France ±Centre for Modelling and Analysis of Environmental Systems, Fernando Pessoa University

†Inland and Marine Waters Unit, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, JRC Ispra #Department of Ecology and Hydrology, Murcia University, Murcia, Spain

*Management Unit of the North Sea, Royal Belgian Institute for Natural Sciences, Brussels, Belgium ‡School of Environmental Sciences, Dept. of Marine Sciences, Aegean Univ., Mytilini, Greece

2005 EUR 21816 EN

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MODELLING REPORT

Coastal lagoon modelling : An integrated approach

Deliverables D12 – D13 – D14

DITTY PROJECT (Development of an information technology tool for the management of Southern European lagoons under the influence of river-basin runoff)

(European Commission FP5 EESD Project EVK3-CT-2002-00084)

A. Chapelle, C. Bacher, P. Duarte±, A. Fiandrino, L. Galbiati†, D. Marinov†, J. Martinez#, A. Norro*, A. Pereira±, M. Plus, S. Rodriguez#, G. Tsirtsis‡, J. M. Zaldívar†

Ifremer, France

±Centre for Modelling and Analysis of Environmental Systems, Fernando Pessoa University †European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ispra (VA), Italy

#Department of Ecology and Hydrology, Murcia University, Murcia, Spain *Management Unit of the North Sea, Royal Belgian Institute for Natural Sciences, Brussels, Belgium

‡School of Environmental Sciences, Dept. of Marine Sciences, Aegean University, Mytilini, Lesbos, Greece

2005 EUR 21816 EN

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LEGAL NOTICE

Neither the European Commission nor any person acting on behalf of the Commission is responsible for

the use which might be made of the following information.

A great deal of additional information on the European Union is available on the Internet. It can be accessed through the Europa server

(http://europa.eu.int)

EUR 21816 EN © European Communities, 2005

Reproduction is authorised provided the source is acknowledged Printed in Italy

Cover: DITTY Logo from DITTY (Development of an information technology tool for

the management of Southern European lagoons under the influence of river-basin runoff) project (European Commission FP5 EESD Project EVK3-CT-2002-00084)

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CONTENTS

1. Introduction 1

2. General framework for modelling activity 2

3. Watershed modelling 2

4. Lagoon modelling 7

4.1. Hydrodynamic modelling 7

4.2. Ecological modelling 10

5. Coupling watershed-lagoon models 13

6. Conclusions 16

References 17

Annex A: Model identity cards 19

i

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ii

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1. Introduction

The objectives of the DITTY project are to develop scientific bases for sustainable development of Southern European lagoons taking into account all the activities that affect the aquatic environment. Five sites have been identified ranging from the Ria Formosa (Portugal) at the entry to the Mediterranean Sea in the west, to the Gulf of Gera (Greece) in the Aegean archipelago in the east and between these, Mar Menor in Spain, Thau lagoon in France and Sacca di Goro on the Adriatic coast of Italy. These sites with their associated catchment areas and coastal zones are all economically very important (aquaculture-shell fishing) and exhibit a range of anthropogenic pressures (agriculture, industry and tourism). Meteorologically, they are influenced by a very varied range of conditions (rainfall events, temperature) which could be influenced by long-term climatic factors. The final objective of the DITTY project is to develop a prototype of a Decision Support System (Work Package 8) for the management of coastal lagoons, but besides this objective and linked to it, the DITTY project proposes the development of various tools as data collecting and data base (WP1-2), GIS tool (WP3), Numerical Models (WP4), Indicators and Benchmarking (WP5) and Economic tools (WP7). Workpackage 4 provides a general modelling framework with implementation of different modelling modules able to describe the system components, i.e. lagoon, river basin and coastal waters, as well as the ecosystem functioning and the hydrodynamics. These models have been developed and implemented at each test site according to their specific characteristics, data availability and defined end-users scenario analysis and case studies. The approach have consisted of using already developed parts, when available, and developing/implementing a shared modelling approach for the non existing models. Each model, watershed, hydrodynamic or biogeochemical has been calibrated separately. Finally, the coupling between watershed model and lagoon model (hydrodynamic and biogeochemical parts) provides an integrated representation of the entire watershed-coastal lagoon ecosystem and allows scenarios simulations. The model outputs are then used to compare site responses and calculate water quality indicators and, linked to the economic indicators, become the inputs for the Decision Support System. In practice, the modelling activity started in august 2003 and lasted 18 months. Six meetings and regular mail exchanges have allowed to share modelling development.

4. Integrated modelling framework Aug.03

Jan. 05

4.1. Watershed modelling 4.2. Coastal lagoon/waters modelling 4.3.Coupling watershed + lagoon models, SA

4.4. Integration of socio-economic data

Table 1 : WP 4 Modelling framework lasting 18 months from August 2004 to January 2005. This report (assembling the 3 deliverables D12 to D14) presents in a synthetic way the main results for all sites. More detail can be find in the publications and site specific reports which are joined. Model intercomparison in terms of structure, input and output is done in the deliverable D15 and benchmarking exercises are presented in D16 . Both deliverables are under preparation. Re = Report; Pr = Prototype; Si = Simulation;

D12 Report Watershed modelling 21 (oct 04) Re/Pr PU D13 Report lagoon modelling 21 (oct-04) Re/Si PU D14 Report model coupling 24 (jan 05) Re/Si

PU

Table 2 : Deliverables due to the Modelling workpackage

1

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2. General framework for modelling activity

Models have been developed for each site following a common quality assurance procedure as it is recommended in the HarmoniQua project (http://harmoniqua.wau.nl/) described by Scholten et al. (2004) for the modelling of catchment and river basin modelling and here extended for lagoon and adjacent sea. It offers a computer-based guidance for all water management domains, different types of users, different types of modelling purposes (planning, design and operational management) and different levels of modelling complexity. It allows to keep track of all steps and modelling work and facilitates communication and cooperation within modelling groups Applied to DITTY project, tasks have been listed and followed all along the workpackage lasted, using a modelling survey sheet (figure 1). We can notice six steps, each one including several tasks that have been more or less followed in this workpackage.

Figure 1 : An exemple of the model sheet to date with the modelling procedure for all the sites provided during the modelling activity ( task achived, task in work, task to be done)

For each model an id-card has been filled in order to resume the description and type of application of the model. All id-cards are presented in Annex A.

3. Watershed modelling

For all sites, watershed models have been developed simulating river flow, transport and nutrient cycles in relation to climate, soil properties, land-use and management practices. Concerning space scale, watershed can be considered either as a lumped basin or divided into sub-basins (semi distributed model) or meshed by a regular grid (distributed model). SWAT model (http://www.brc.tamus.edu/swat/), acronym for Soil Water Assessment Tool is a basin scale, spatially distributed watershed model that simulates on a daily time step, sediment erosion, surface runoff and subsurface flow, nutrient loads, crop growth and agricultural management. Point sources are also taken into

Purpose & conditions describe problem and context identify data availability define objectives determine requirements

Conceptualisation define model structure describe processes parameterisation code selection

Model set-up process model data construct model test runs

Calibration - validation parameter optimisation evaluate model perform. validation sensit./uncertainty anal.

Coupling off/on line analysis/interpret. results uncertainty of predictions

Predictive simulations model outputs socio-economics scenario analysis

Watershed Physics EcologyWatershed Physics EcologySacca di Goro

Watershed Physics Ecology Ria Gera ThaWatershed Physics Ecology Mar menor

Watershed Physics Ecology

2

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account, and can be inserted in the model as constant or varying inputs. It has been used for Thau (Plus et al., 2003), Sacca di Goro (Galbiati et al., 2005) and Ria Formosa (Gueirrero and Martins, 2005). For Sacca di Goro, it was coupled to the groundwater model Modflow (3D finite difference) and the in-stream water quality model Qual2E (Galbiati et al., 2005) model to simulate the river quality. To describe more precisely flood events in the context of non permanent rivers with high loadings when intensive rainfall events occurred, which is characteristic of Mediterranean climate, two other models have been developed, based on flood events, the POL model (Tournoud, 2003) applied for Thau and the model of Mar Menor watershed (Martinez et al, 2005). The Mar Menor hydrological model is 2D and runs on an hourly basis. It is coupled to the integrated model, following an input-output approach and focussing on the estimation of discharges and nutrient loadings into the lagoon. More detail on each model can be find in the site specified report, see references table 3 and a comparative analysis in the reports is being developed in D15.

Ria Formosa Gueirrero M., Martins C., Calibration of SWAT Model Ria Formosa Basin (South coast of Portugal). 2005, 44 pp.

Mar Menor J. Martínez, F. Alonso, F. Carreño, M.T. Pardo, J. Miñano and M.A. Esteve. Report on

watershed modelling in Mar Menor site. 2005, 50 pp. Thau lagoon Plus M., Bouraoui, Zaldivar, Murray, Lajeunesse. 2003. Modelling the Thau lagoon

watershed (south mediterranean coast of France). EU report EV43CT. 2002-0084. Ditty program, 95 pp.

Sacca di Goro Galbiati, L., Bouraoui, F., Elorza, F. J., Bidoglio, G., 2005. Integrated modelling in coastal lagoons: Part A. Watershed Model. Sacca di Goro case study. EUR report n 21558/1. EC. JRC. pp 68.

Gulf of Gera Tamvaki N., G.Tsirtsis. 2005. Integrated modelling in coastal lagoons. Watershed modelling. Gulf of Gera case study, 24Pp.

Table 3 : Watershed model References

NS o il

1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 M e te rs

S o lo sC A M B IS S O L O SF L U V IS S O L O SL IT O S S O L O SL U V IS S O L O SS O L O N C H A K S

Annual Runoff - Bodega

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 500.0 600.0 700.0

Data records - mm

Mod

eled

val

ues

- mm

Soil types in Ria Formosa basin Annual flow modelled and data records

Figure 2 : Ria Formosa watershed model

3

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Drainage channels in the Mar Menor watershed and generation of the sub-basins

Rambla de la Maraña

Rambla de la Peraleja

Rambla de la Grajera

Rambla del Mirador

Área de Marchamalo

Rambla Carrasquilla

Rambla de Ponce

Rambla del Beal

Rambla de las Matildes

Rambla del Miedo

Rambla de Miranda

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28

Relat ive runoff from som e sub-basins

Sub-

basi

n na

me

Porcentage from total (%)

Relative contribution of main sub-basins to total runoff in the Mar Menor watershed

Figure 3 : Mar Menor hydrological model model

Land Use Sector

P input

N Leaching P leaching

N leached

P leached

Agric. N Exported NAgric. N input

Agric .P

Agric. P input Exported P

N input

Tagus-Segura water transfer

Expectationson water resources

Available water

Groundwater Pumping

Hydrological Sector

Agricultural waterd d

Desalination of ground water

Salty wastewater

N salty wastewater P salty wastewater

N content P content

Wastewater re-use

Groundwater Sector

WetlandsSector

Parameter Average

pH

7,8

Conductivity(μS/cm)

6963

Suspended material(mg/l)

157

DQO (mg O2/l)

376

DBO5(mg O2/l)

190

Kjeldahl nitrogen(mg N/l)

50,5

Phosphorous(mg P/l)

4,74

Figure 4 : Linkages between the main sectors of the integrated watershed model and average value for the main parameters characterising the gross wastewater in the Mar menor watershed

4

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5

05

1015202530

Flow (m /s) A3

1.E-03

1.E-01

1.E+01

1.E+03

NH4 (kg) B

C

1.E-04

1.E-02

1.E+00

1.E+02

1.E+04 NO3 (kg) CC

1.E-03

1.E-01

1.E+01

1.E+03

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

ON (kg) D

Long term simulation for Vène river water flow (A), ammonia (B), nitrates (C) and organic nitrogen (D) daily loads. B, C and D are in log scale, line breaks are due to extremely low values.

Figure 5 : Swat Watershed model of Thau lagoon

General map of the Thau lagoon and its watershed: digital elevation model (D.E.M., 50 m grid, values expressed in m), and river network. Names of rivers are reported as well as their catchment area (expressed as a % of total watershed surface).

Figure 6 : Gera watershed model

a) hydrographic network ; b) runoff of NH4, monthly basis – simulations and data

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

Ι-96 Φ -96 Μ-96 Α-96 Μ-96 Ι-96 Ι-96 Α-96 Σ-96 Ο-96 Ν-96 Δ-96

kgr

μοντέλο μέτρηση

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0,00E+001,00E+022,00E+023,00E+024,00E+025,00E+026,00E+027,00E+028,00E+029,00E+02

gen-96

apr-96

lug-96ott-9

6

gen-97

apr-97

lug-97ott-9

7

gen-98

apr-98

lug-98ott-9

8

ORGP_INkg ORGP_OUTkgSimu Org P kgMeas Org Pkg

0,00E+001,00E+022,00E+023,00E+024,00E+025,00E+026,00E+027,00E+028,00E+029,00E+02

gen-96

apr-96

lug-96ott-9

6

gen-97

apr-97

lug-97ott-9

7

gen-98

apr-98

lug-98ott-9

8

ORGP_INkg ORGP_OUTkgSimu Org P kgMeas Org Pkg

0,00E+005,00E+02

1,00E+031,50E+03

2,00E+032,50E+03

3,00E+03

gen-96

apr-96

lug-96ott-9

6

gen-97

apr-97

lug-97ott-9

7

gen-98

apr-98

lug-98ott-9

8

NH4_INkg NH4_OUTkgSimu NH4 kgMeas NH4 kg

0,00E+005,00E+02

1,00E+031,50E+03

2,00E+032,50E+03

3,00E+03

gen-96

apr-96

lug-96ott-9

6

gen-97

apr-97

lug-97ott-9

7

gen-98

apr-98

lug-98ott-9

8

NH4_INkg NH4_OUTkgSimu NH4 kgMeas NH4 kg

P and NH4 river Po di Volano content , data and simulations

Figure 7 : Sacca di Goro watershed model

To take into account the characteristics of the Burana-Po di Volano watershed a model named ISSM (Integrated Surface and Subsurface model) was developed. The model is composed by the hydrological model SWAT, the groundwater models MODFLOW and MT3DMS and the in-stream water quality model QUAL2E

Water quantity and quality conceptual models for the watershed

6

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4. Lagoon modelling

Lagoon modelling has been splitted in hydrodynamic modelling and ecological modelling which is specific of the test site since it addresses specific site problems that the end-users are aiming to tackle. 4.1 Hydrodynamic modelling For Gera, Sacca di Goro and Thau 3D hydrodynamic models, based on finite differences, have been developped using the code of Coherences for Sacca di Goro (Luytens, 1999 ; Marinov et al, 2004 & 2005a) , POM for Gera (Mellor and Yamada, 1982 ; Kolovoyiannis et al. 2005) and Mars for Thau (Lazure, 1992 ; Fiandrino et al. 2003). More details can be found in the site specific reports (see table 4). Technical comparison is adressed in report D15.

Ria Formosa P. Duarte, B. Azevedo and A. Pereira. 2005. Hydrodynamic Modelling of Ria Formosa (South Coast of Portugal) with EcoDynamo . xxpp.

Thau lagoon Anonymous, Ifremer LER/LR. 2004. Study of the spatio-temporal heterogeneity of

Thau lagoon water mass under the constraints of bacteriological and HAB contamination

Sacca di Goro Marinov, D., Zaldivar, J. M. and Norro, A., 2004. Hydrodynamic investigation of Sacca di Goro coastal lagoon (Po river delta, Italian Adriatic Sea shoreline). EUR Report n° 21178 EN. EC, JRC

Gulf of Gera Kolovoyiannis, V., Sampatakaki, A. and Tsirtsis, G. 2005b. Modeling of the hydrodynamic circulation and the physical properties distributions in the gulf of Gera, Greece. DITTY Project, Technical Report. Dept of Marine Sciences, University of the Aegean.

Table 4 : Hydrodynamic model reports references

y = 0,9402x - 0,0053

R2 = 0,8567

-1,25

-1

-0,75

-0,5

-0,25

0

0,25

0,5

0,75

1

1,25

-1,5 -1,3 -1 -0,8 -0,5 -0,3 0 0,25 0,5 0,75 1 1,25 1,5 Mesures

Mod

èle

3D hydrodynamic model. Mesh size 100m. Bathymetry Simulated currents against measurements

-300

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

7/10 9/10 11/10 13/10 15/10 17/10measured flow simulated flow

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

1/9 3/9 5/9 7/9 9/9 11/9 13/9 15/9 17/9 19/9 21/9 23/9 25/9 27/9 29/9 1/10

Q integ. (mes) Q integ. (simu) instantaneous flow/current speed (-1m -4m) flow (instantaneaous and integrated)

Figure 8: Mars 3D hydrodynamic model of Thau lagoon

7

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Wind stress River input Heat fluxes

Temperature

Solar radiation

Currents Turbulence SalinityTides

Advection-diffusionmodule

Optical module

Bottom stresswave-currentinteraction

Surface elevation

Wave data

0

5

1015

20

25

3035

40

45

01/0

1/92

01/0

2/92

01/0

3/92

01/0

4/92

01/0

5/92

01/0

6/92

01/0

7/92

01/0

8/92

01/0

9/92

01/1

0/92

01/1

1/92

01/1

2/92

01/0

1/93

Time [hours]

Surfa

ce te

mpe

ratu

re [°

C] Observations

Numerical results(a)

COHERENS model Comparison of numerical results for the surface temperature and salinity

2.303 2.304 2.305 2.306 2.307 2.308 2.309 2.31 2.311 2.312 2.313

x 106

4.963

4.964

4.965

4.966

4.967

4.968

4.969

x 106 Elevation and currents for flood tide and SE wind

0.51

0.52

0.52

0.530.54

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.49

0.5

0.51

1 m/s

2.302 2.304 2.306 2.308 2.31 2.312 2.314

x 106

4.962

4.963

4.964

4.965

4.966

4.967

4.968

4.969

4.97x 10

6

11

3

10

4

Flow patterns, water surface elevation and particle trajectories taking into account the effects of the new artificial

connection with Adriatic Sea Figure 9 : Hydrodynamic model of Sacca di Goro

The opening of new connection with open sea in August 1992 resulted in formation of additional streams inside of the lagoon which reduced the current speed in the main strait and enlarge the eddy circulation in the central and eastern parts of Sacca di Goro.

April 21

-16-14-12-10-8-6-4-2035.00 36.00 37.00 38.00 39.00 40.00 41.00 42.00

salinity (psu)

dept

h (m

)

simulation data field data

Hydrodynamic circulation (depth-averaged values) during the high tide at 18th April 1997 under a WNW wind of 2.4 m/sec.

Figure 10 : Hydrodynamic model of Gera

Vertical profiles of salinity

8

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Ria Formosa hydrodynamic model is a two-dimensional vertically integrated hydrodynamic model, based on a finite differences grid with a 100 m spatial step and a semi-implicit resolution scheme (Perreira and Duarte, 2005). It is forced by tide level changes at the sea boundary and river flows at the land boundary. The model includes a wet-drying scheme to account for the dynamics of the large intertidal areas.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

Time (days)

Simulated velocity Observed velocity

cm s

-1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

Time (days)

Simulated velocity Observed velocity

cm s

-1

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Time (days)

cm

10

Observed Simulated

Bathymetry reported to the hydrographic zero (a) and during a flood (b). Predicted and measured velocities and water levels at Olhão

Figure 11 : Hydrodynamic model of Ria Formosa

For Mar Menor, as the modelling was inexistent at the beginning of Ditty, the choice to develop the watershed model has be taken instead of the lagoon hydrodynamic as the major problem in Mar Menor are linked to the inputs from the watershed.

9

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4.2 Ecological modelling The task of ecological modelling has been to develop ecological and geochemical models taking into account the different parts of the ecosystem and according the scenarios chosen with end-users. So, different models have been developped according the relevant characteristics of each coastal lagoons, i.e. fish and/or shellfish farming, macroalgae blooms, dynamics of bacteria of sanitary concern and shellfish contamination. For modelling the impact of nutrient inputs from the watershed, nutrients (N and P), phytoplankton, zooplankton and organic matter have been described for all lagoons (Plus et al., 2003 ; Zaldivar et al.,2003a). Dynamic of shellfish culture is also implemented, clams for Sacca di Goro (Zaldivar et al., 2003b; Zaldivar et al., 2003c, Marinov et al., 2005b) and Ria Formosa (Duarte et al, in prep), oysters and mussels for Thau (Gangnery et al., 2004a ; Gangnery et al., 2004b). Modelling the anoxia crisis lead to a special model for Thau (Chapelle et al, 2001) and is linked to Ulva model for Sacca di Goro. Impact of bacteria of sanitary concern is also simulated for Thau (Fiandrino et al, 2003).

Forc ing variables Wind

TemperatureWatershedinputs

Rain

Light

Sediment

O2

O2

Water column

Diatoms

Flagellates

Phytoplankton

Micro

Meso

Zooplankton

Macrophytes

NO3- NH4

+

Clams

Nitrificationdenitrification

NORG PORG PO4-3 PadsAdsorptiondesorptionMinera lization Minera lization

NO3- NH4

+

Nitrification

Grazing

FiltrationDOM

POM

Bacteria

PO4-3

Excretion

Mortality

OpenSea

Diffusion

Sed imenta tion

Seed ing

Harvesting

1

2

3

4

5

6

Figure 12 : Conceptual model for Sacca di Goro

To study the link beween eutrophication and jellyfish blooms in Mar menor, a jellyfish model describing the different processes of jellyfish nutrition and decay has been developped for 3 species. More detail can be found in the site –specific reports that are joined, see table 5 for references.

Ria Formosa In preparation

Mar Menor S. Rodríguez, J. Martínez, F. Carreño, M.T. Pardo, J. Miñano and M.A. Esteve. 2005. Report on lagoon modelling in Mar Menor site, 27 pp.

Thau lagoon Plus M., Chapelle A., Lazure P., Auby I., Levavasseur G., Verlaque M., Belsher T., Deslous-Paoli J.-M., Zaldívar J. M., Murray C. N. 2003. Modelling of oxygen and nitrogen cycling as a function of macrophyte community in the Thau lagoon. Continental Shelf Research 23: 1877-1898 Gangnery A., Chabirand J-M., Lagarde F., Le Gall P., Oheix J., Bacher C., Buestel D. 2003. Growth model of the Pacific oyster, Crassostrea gigas, cultured in Thau lagoon (Mediterranea, France). Aquaculture 215, 267-290.

Gangnery A., Bacher C., Buestel D., 2004. Application of a population dynamics model to the Mediterranean mussel, Mytilus galloprovincialis, reared in Thau lagoon (France). Aquaculture, 229, 289-313. Gangnery A., Bacher C., Buestel D., 2004. Modelling oyster population dynamics in a Mediterranean coastal lagoou (Thau, France): sensitivity of marketable production to environmental conditions. Aquaculture, 230, 323-347.

Sacca di Goro D. Marinov, J.M. Zaldivar, A. Norro, G. Giordani, P. Viaroli. 2005. Integrated modelling in coastal lagoons. Part B : Lagoon model, Sacca di Goro case study (Italian Adriatic Sea shoreline), 89pp.

Gulf of Gera V. Kolovoyiannis, A. Sampatakaki, G. Tsirsis, 2005. Integrated modelling in coastal lagoons. Coupled hydrodynamic-ecological modelling. Gulf of Gera case study, 32 pp.

Table 5 : Ecological modelling references

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Phytoplankton

NO3NH4

Zooplankton

DOMCotylorhiza tuberculata

Cotgrazz

cotgrowth

Cotexcr

Cotgrazp

Cotdeath

PNgrowth

Pnnh4uptPnno3upt

BDs

Ycot

cotdeathrate

PNgrowthrate

<fNPN><KNPN>

<fNPN>

<KNPN><PHI>

cotexcrate

fIPN

fNPNfT

KNPNPHI KT

<watertemperature

<Bottomradiation>

IOPTPN

<NH4> <NO3>

f(T)cotKdcot

dticotToptcot

<watertemperature>

cotgrazratephy cotgrazratez

Kgcot

THcot<f(T)cot>

<Kgcot>

<THcot><f(T)cot>

GMAXPN

Ezcot

<cotgrazratez>

<cotgrazratephy>

Figure 13. Schematic diagram of the Mar Menor lagoon model.

Figure 14 : Discrete Stage based model for clams in Sacca di Goro model. Simulations and data A discrete stage-based model for the growth of Tapes philippinarum was coupled with the continuous biogeochemical model of the Sacca di Goro ecosystem. The model is able to reproduce the biomass production. Finally, the model has allowed studying and assessing the impact of the clams in the biogeochemical cycles.

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In Ria Formosa nutrient exchanges between water and sediment are also modelled taking into account the incursion of the tide.

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

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rstit

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P)

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sor.

to th

e se

dim

ents

(μg

g-1)

PisPadsorbed

Figure 15 :Simulation of P sediment content during flood and ebb

in Ria Formosa

Figure 16 : Gera ecological model and simulated phytoplanktonic carbon in subsurface in january and august

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5. Coupling watershed-Lagoon modelling

This means the use of watershed model outputs as inputs of the lagoon model in order to test in a predictive way the impact of modification of watershed uses on the lagoon ecosytem (eutrophication, shellfish production, dystrophic crisis, bacteria contaminations…) instead of using watershed data as lagoon model inputs. This is the last task when both watershed and lagoon model have benn calibrated and validated. Simulations have been performed for each site for testing the impact of nutrient inputs from watershed, more deatil are given in the reports, table 6.

Ria Formosa In preparation

Mar Menor S. Rodríguez, J. Martínez, F. Carreño, M.T. Pardo, J. Miñano and M.A. Esteve. 2005. Report on lagoon modelling in Mar Menor site, 27 pp.

Thau lagoon Plus, M. I. Lajeunesse, F. Bouraoui, J Zaldivar, A. Chapelle, P. Lazure. Modelling water discharge and nitrogen input into a Mediterranean lagoon. Impact on the primary production Continental shelf research .

Sacca di Goro D. Marinov, J.M. Zaldivar, L.Galbiati, F. Bouraoui, F. Sena, F.J. Elorza, A. Norro, G. Giordani, P. Viaroli. 2005. Integrated modelling in coastal lagoons. Part C : Coupling watershed - Lagoon model, Sacca di Goro case study, 80pp.

Gulf of Gera V. Kolovoyiannis, A. Sampatakaki, G. Tsirsis, 2005b. Integrated modelling in coastal lagoons. Coupled hydrodynamic-ecological modelling. Gulf of Gera case study, 32 pp.

Table 6 : Site-specific integrated model references

Simulations have been performed for each site for testing the impact of nutrient inputs from watershed. These allows to test in the scenario analysis the evolution of the lagoon status (eutrophication, shellfish production) against the evolution of land-use or the climatic evolution.

40

30

20

10

01 2067 4134 6200

Day

Water temperature. Simulation ºCWater temperature. Historical data ºC

2

1.5

1

0.5

05845 5918 5991 6064 6137 6210 6283 6356 6429 6502 6575

Time (Day)

Phytoplankton : simulation mmolN/m3Phytoplankton : historical_data mmolN/m3

Figure 17 : Simulation of Mar Menor temperature and phytoplankton in the 0D model in response to nutrient inputs from watersed model.

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Figure 18 : Simulated nutrient (NH4 and NO3), detrital nitrogen (Ndet) and chlorophyll a (Chl a)

concentrations in Thau lagoon in response to nutrient inputs simulated from watershed model.

0

10

20

30

40

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Observations 1

Observations 2

Chl a

[m

g/m

3]

2.303 2.304 2.305 2.306 2.307 2.308 2.309 2.31 2.311 2.312 2.313 2.314

x 106

4.963

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x 106 Chl a at 15/02/92 15:00

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x 106

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x 106 Chl a at 15/06/92 15:00

0.5

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3

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4.5

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6

Figure 19 : Phytoplankton simulation in Sacca di Goro in response to nutrient inputs from watershed model.

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For Thau lagoon, the impact of bacteria fluxes from watershed has been chosen as priority one for the scenario analysis, and simulated (Fiandrino et al, 2005).

bactéria/s - Autumn 2003

0.E+00

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E.Coli/s (except Vène)

0.E+00

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1.E+09

2.E+09

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E.Coli/sec (Vène only)

pallas

fontanilles

soupié

aiguilles

poussan

mèze

marseillan_ville

marseillan_listel

vène

Figure 20 : Exemple of coupling bacteria watershed inputs to the lagoon from different ways for Thau lagoon

E.coli fluxes calculation:- simulated river outflows (SWAT) - treatment plants measured flows en (Mèze et Marseillan), - monthly measured concentrations at the river points and TP location - monthly measured concentrations - theoretical outflow. - No E.coli - water outflows from SWAT

Figure 21 : Annual variability of nitrates and ammonia sources and sinks in the Gulf of Gera

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6. Conclusions

The modelling activity, that finished with the second year of DITTY, will continue, with other emphasis, through other workpackages. Mainly, WP5 (Intercomparison) and WP6 (Scenario Analysis) and then results will be incorporated into the DSS prototypes (WP8) Models outputs are going to be prepared for visualization using the GIS developed in WP3. This will give the possibility to visualize maps of model results for each site and compare to data maps (see www.dittyproject.org) In the WP5, models are going to be compared and a benchmarking analysis is in progress. This concerns 3D hydrodynamic models, Swat and AGWFL models for watershed, POL and Ria Rormosa flood events models. Comparison between ecological models is more difficult since they are more site specific but some case studies are under development. The scenario analysis workpackage (WP6) will use the models to simulate the scenarios chosen for each lagoon.

For Sacca di Goro clam farming is one of the most critical issues. For this reason a bioeconomic analysis comparing the benefits and related costs of collecting Ulva with the increase of shellfish productivity has been carried out (Zaldivar et al., 2005). Finally model outputs will be used for inputs for the Decision Support System, directly or more probably with aggregation methods (calculation of indicators, statistical interpretations, results from scenario analysis).

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References Duarte, P., Pereira, A., Falcão, M., Serpa, D., and Azevedo, B., in prep. Biogeochemical Modelling of Ria Formosa (South Coast of Portugal) with EcoDynamo. Fiandrino, A., Troussellier, M., Martin, Y., Serais, O., Benau, L., Souchu, P., Laugier, T., Got, P. and Bonnefont, J. L., 2003. Study of impact of bacteria fluxes from watershed on Thau lagoon water using a numerical model. In Proceedings of Southern European Coastal Lagoons: The Influence of River Basin-coastal Zone interactions”, Ferrara, 10-12/11/2003. p. 79. Galbiati, L., Bouraoui, F., Elorza, F. J., Bidoglio, G., 2005. Integrated modelling in coastal lagoons: Part A.

Watershed Model. Sacca di Goro case study. EUR report n 21558/1. EC. JRC. pp 68. Gangnery A., Bacher C., Buestel D., 2004. Application of a population dynamics model to the Mediterranean mussel, Mytilus galloprovincialis, reared in Thau lagoon (France). Aquaculture, 229, 289-313. Gangnery A., Bacher C., Buestel D., 2004. Modelling oyster population dynamics in a Mediterranean coastal lagoou (Thau, France): sensitivity of marketable production to environmental conditions. Aquaculture, 230, 323-347. Kolovoyiannis, V., Sampatakaki, A. and Tsirtsis, G. 2005a. Modeling of the hydrodynamic circulation and the physical properties distributions in the gulf of Gera, Greece. DITTY Project, Technical Report. Dept of Marine Sciences, University of the Aegean. V. Kolovoyiannis, A. Sampatakaki, G. Tsirsis, 2005b. Integrated modelling in coastal lagoons. Coupled hydrodynamic-ecological modelling. Gulf of Gera case study, 32 pp. Marinov, D., Zaldivar, J. M. and Norro, A., 2004. Hydrodynamic investigation of Sacca di Goro coastal lagoon

(Po river delta, Italian Adriatic Sea shoreline). EUR Report n° 21178 EN. EC, JRC. Marinov D., Zaldívar J.M., Norro A., Giordani G., Viaroli P., 2005a. Integrated modelling in coastal lagoons

Part B: lagoon model Sacca di Goro case study (Italian Adriatic sea shoreline). IES-JRC, EUR 21558/2 EN. pp 90.

Marinov, D., Norro, A. and Zaldívar, J. M., 2005b. Application of COHERENS model for hydrodynamic

investigation of Sacca di Goro coastal lagoon (Italian Adriatic Sea shore). Ecol. Model. (Accepted). Marinov, D.,Zaldívar, J. M., Galbiati, L., Bouraoui, F., Sena, F., Elorza, F. J., Norro, A., Giordani, G. and

Viaroli, P., 2005c. Integrated modelling in coastal lagoons: Part C:Coupling watershed-lagoon model. Sacca di Goro case study. EUR report n 21558/3. EC. JRC.pp 81.

Plus M., Bouraoui, Zaldivar, Murray, Lajeunesse. 2003. Modelling the Thau lagoon watershed (south mediterranean coast of France). EU report EV43CT. 2002-0084. Ditty program, 95 pp Plus, M. I. Lajeunesse, F. Bouraoui, J Zaldivar, A. Chapelle, P. Lazure. Modelling water discharge and nitrogen input into a Mediterranean lagoon. Impact on the primary production Continental shelf research , accepted Plus M., Chapelle A., Lazure P., Auby I., Levavasseur G., Verlaque M., Belsher T., Deslous-Paoli J.-M., Zaldívar J. M., Murray C. N. 2003. Modelling of oxygen and nitrogen cycling as a function of macrophyte community in the Thau lagoon. Continental Shelf Research 23: 1877-1898 S. Rodríguez, J. Martínez, F. Carreño, M.T. Pardo, J. Miñano and M.A. Esteve. 2005. Report on lagoon modelling in Mar Menor site, 27 pp. Tamvaki N., G.Tsirtsis. 2005. Integrated modelling in coastal lagoons. Watershed modelling. Gulf of Gera case study, 24 pp. Tournoud, M. G., Payraudeau, S., Cernesson F. and Picot, B. 2003, Origins and quantification of the nitrogen loads to the Thau lagoon. In Proceedings of Southern European Coastal Lagoons: The Influence of River Basin-coastal Zone interactions”, Ferrara, 10-12/11/2003. p. 75.

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18

Zaldívar, J. M., Austoni, M., Plus, M., De Leo G. A., Giordani, G. and Viaroli, P., 2005. Ecosystem health

assessment and bioeconomic analysis in coastal lagoons. Handbook of Ecological Indicators for Assessment of Ecosystem Health” edited by Sven E. Jorgensen, Fu-Liu Xu and Robert Costanza. CRC Press, ISBN: 1566706653. pp 448.

Zaldívar, J. M., Cattaneo, E., Plus, M., Murray, C. N., Giordani. G. and Viaroli, P., 2003a, Long-term simulation

of main biogeochemical events in a coastal lagoon: Sacca di Goro(Northern Adriatic Coast, Italy). Continental Shelf Research 23, 1847-1876.

Zaldívar, J. M., Plus, M., Giordani, G. and Viaroli, P., 2003b, Modelling the impact of clams in the

biogeochemical cycles of a Mediterranean lagoon. Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on the Mediterranean Coastal Environment. MEDCOAST 03, E. Ozhan (Editor), 7-11 October 2003, Ravenna, Italy. pp 1291-1302.

Zaldívar, J. M., Plus, M., Murray, C.N., Giordani, G., Viaroli, P., 2003c. A discrete stage-based model coupled

with a continuous biogeochemical model: Management of clams (Tapes philippinarum) in Sacca di Goro. EUR Report n. 20561EN.

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Annex A : Model Identity cards

Model name :MMWShort description : Integrated watershed model for the Mar Menor river basinGeneral description Variable description

Type : Dynamic System Model Nb of state variables : 23LAND USE NITROGEN PHOSPHOROUS OTHERS

Dimension : Semi-Distributed (Sub-basin units) List of state variables : tree area - NH4 - Phumus active - water in Quaternary ... ...open area - N livmat - Pinorg active - N Quaternary ... ...

Time step : Daily (Computing time step = 1/5 day) dry area - N resid - Pinorg stable - P Quaternary ... ...nat area - Nhumus active - Presid - Resident population ... ...

Mesh size No mesh. Divided in 10 sub-basins (semi-distributed structure) green area - Nhumus stable - Psolution - Seasonal population ... ...(horizontal plan) N solution - N solution Plivmat ... ...Number of meshes :

Nb of forcing variables : 7Integration :

List of forcing variables : Water flow inside rambla Tagus water transfer ... ... ...Programming language / software : Overland flow Purification index ... ... ...Vensim deep percolation Re-use for irrigation inde ... ... ...

drainage index

Development

Calibration process : Partial (only for variables with enough data) Method : Visual adjusting

Sensitivity analysis : Not yet

Validation process : Not yet. Method :

Coupled ? Yes ...to model(s) : Mar Menor hydrological (MMH); Mar Menor lagoon (MM_lagoon)

Published ? Not yet

Scenarii to test in WP6

Scenario 1 : MM-BAU Continuation of current trends of increase in urban-tourist development

Model to test this scenario COUPLED MMH-MMW-MM_lagoon

Scenario 2 : MM-PT1 Groundwater desalination and re-use of agricultural drainage

Model to test this scenario COUPLED MMH-MMW-MM_lagoon

Scenario 3 : MM-PT2 Optimisation of wetlands for nutrients removal

Model to test this scenario COUPLED MMH-MMW-MM_lagoon

REMARKS

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Annex A : Model Identity cards

Model name : MMH

Short description : Continuous and distributed hydrological model for the Mar Menor river basin

General description Variable description

Type : watershed Nb of state variables : 1

Dimension : 2D List of state variables : Soil moisture ... ...... ...

Time step : daily and hourly (rainfall events) inputs; daily outputs Nb of output variables : 3 ... ...... ...

Mesh size 25 meters List of output variables : Daily water flow inside ramblas per sub-basin ... ...(horizontal plan) Daily overland flow per sub-basin ... ...Number of meshes : 4000000 Daily deep percolation per sub-basin

Nb of forcing variables : 8Integration : with GIS

List of forcing variables : Precipitation Humidity DEM ... ...Programming language / software : Temperature Soil Irrigation practices ... ...R language integrated with GRASS, PostgreSQL and RPgSQL, under Linux Radiation Land use ... ...

Development

Calibration process : Not yet (not enough data) Method :

Sensitivity analysis : Not yet

Validation process : Not yet. Method :

Coupled ? yes ...to model(s) : Mar Menor watershed model (MMW)

Published ? Not yet

Remarks /other infos

20

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Annex A : Model Identity cards

Model name : MM_lagoon

Short description :

Type : Dynamic ecological model 15

Dimension : OD, aggregated model Water temperature Zooplankton density Dissolved oxygen in sediments NH4 water column Rhyzostoma pulmo biomass Dissolved organic matter in sedim

Time step : dayly (Computing time step = 1/5 day) NO3-NO2 water column Cothylorhiza tuberculata biomass Biodeposits Dissolved oxygen Aurelia aurita biomass

Mesh size Dissolved organic matter NH4 in sediments (horizontal plan) Phytoplankton density NO3-NO2 in sediments Number of meshes :

5Integration :

N input from the watershed Caulerpa prolifera biomassProgramming language / software : Vensim modelling software N input from the open sea Cymodocea nodosa biomass

N output to the open sea

Calibration process : Yes(Provisional) Method : Visual adjusting

Sensitivity analysis : Not yet

Validation process : Not yet Method :

Coupled ? Yes ...to model(s) :Mar Menor hydrological (MMH); Mar Menor lagoon (MM_lagoon)

Published ? Not yet

Remarks / other infos

A 0D-simulation model for the Mar Menor lagoon. It is based on nitrogen cycling. and includes 16 state variables

General description Variable description

Nb of state variables :

List of state variables :

Nb of forcing variables :

List of forcing variables :

Development

Scenarii to test in WP6: THE SAME AS SPECIFIED IN THE MMW IDENTITY CARD

21

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Annex A : Model Identity cards

Model name :

Short description :

Type : ecological 15

Dimension : 2D Current velocity NH4 Total particulate matterWater elevation ON Particulate OM

Time step : 3 s Water density OP Clam biomassWater temperature Inorganic phosphorus

Mesh size 100 m Submarine light intensity Dissolved O2(horizontal plan) NO3 + NO2 Phytoplankon ccNumber of meshes : >100 000

8Integration : not integrated

Air temp. Light intensity Riverine nutrient ccProgramming language / software : C++ Nutrient cc at sea boundaries Phytoplankton cc at sea boundaries

River flows Nutrient cc from WWTP Water elevation at sea boundary

Calibration process : done Method : visual fitness

Sensitivity analysis : undone

Validation process : done Method : visual fitness

Coupled ? no

Published ? no

Remarks / other infos

General description Variable description

Development

Nb of forcing variables :

List of forcing variables :

Only for hydrodynamics

Only for hydrodynamics

ECODYN Formosa

Coupled physical-ecological model for the Ria Formosa

Nb of state variables :

List of state variables :

22

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Annex A : Model Identity cards

Model name :

Short description :

Type : watershed 10

Dimension : 2D (distributed) water flow DIP … … … …susp. matter org. P … … … …

Time step : 1 day NO3 O2 … … … …NH4 contamin. … … … …

Mesh size variable (hydrologic response units) NO2 … … … … …(horizontal plan) org. N … … … … …Number of meshes :

9Integration : with GIS

precipitations air humidity land use … … …Programming language / software : Fortran / Swat solar rad. wind speed soils … … …

air temp. point sources dem … … …

Calibration process : done Method : visual fitness

Sensitivity analysis : undone

Validation process : done Method : visual fitness

Coupled ? yes …to model(s) :

Published ? submitted

Remarks / other infos

(Ecological Modelling): Modelling water discharges and nutrient inputs into a Mediterranean lagoon. Impact on the primary production.

Thau lagoon model (hydrodynamical + ecological)

General description Variable description

Development

SWAT-THAU

Continuous and distributed model of the Thau lagoon watershed

Nb of state variables :

List of state variables :

Nb of forcing variables :

List of forcing variables :

23

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Annex A : Model Identity cards

Model name :

Short description :

Type : hydrodynamical 6

Dimension : 3D Longitudinal velocityTransverse velocity

Time step : 20 s Vertical velocitySurface elevation

Mesh size 100 x 100 Temperature(horizontal plan) SalinityNumber of meshes : 10 000-100 000

9Integration : not integrated

Wind air temp. river dischargeProgramming language / software : Fortran 90 Atmospheric press. air humidity fresh water temperature and salinity

Tide clouds covering open sea temp. & sal.

Calibration process : done Method : visual fitness

Sensitivity analysis : done Method : Param./var. :

Validation process : undone In progress visual fitness

Coupled ? yes …to model(s) :

Published ? no In progress

Remarks / other infos

Biogeochemical model (N,P) ; Macrophytes model ; Anoxia model ; Bacteria model ;

Exchange with sea ; Currents in the lagoon

General description Variable description

Development

MARS 3D

Mars 3D is a three-dimensional numerical model that solve primitive equations using finite difference method and dedicated to coastal and shelf

Nb of state variables :

List of state variables :

Nb of forcing variables :

List of forcing variables :

24

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Annex A : Model Identity cards

Model name :

Short description :

Type : ecological 12

Dimension : 3D NO3 water column NH4 water columOrg. N in water O2 water columnNO3 interst. Water NH4 interst. Wa Org. N in sediment O2 interst. water

Time step : 20 s Picophytoplankton MicrophytoplanktonMicrozooplankton Mesozooplankton

Mesh size 400 x 400(horizontal plan) …Number of meshes : 1 000-10 000

11Integration : with database

Temperature Wind Solar radiationProgramming language / software : Fortran 90 NO3 rivers NH4 rivers Org. N rivers O2 rivers

Macroalgae biomassN in Macroalgae Oysters Epiphytes

Calibration process : done Method : visual fitness

Sensitivity analysis : done Method : Param./var. :

Validation process : undone In progress visual fitness

Coupled ? yes …to model(s) :

Published ? yes In progress

General description Variable description

Development

Thau- ecosystem

Model that simulates nutrient cycling in Thau lagoon and sediment, phytoplankton (2 types: micro and pico-nanaoplankton), zooplankton (2 types :

Nb of state variables :

List of state variables :

Nb of forcing variables :

List of forcing variables :

Biogeochemical model (N andP) ; to couple to the Anoxia model

Plus M., Chapelle A., Lazure P., Auby I., Levavasseur G., Verlaque M., Belsher T., Deslous-Paoli J.-M., Zaldívar J. M., Murray C. N. 2003. Modelling of oxygen and nitrogen cycling as a function of macrophyte community in the Thau lagoon. Continental Shelf Research 23: 1877-1898

25

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Annex A : Model Identity cards

Model name :

Short description :

Type : other : Popul. Dyn. 1

Dimension : OD nb of individuals … … … … …… … … … … …

Time step : 1 day … … … … … …… … … … … …

Mesh size … … … … … …(horizontal plan) … … … … … …Number of meshes :

4Integration : not integrated

temperature seeding … … … …Programming language / software : MATLAB POM … … … … …

chlorophyll … … … … …

Calibration process : done Method : optimization algorithm

Sensitivity analysis : done Method : Monte Carlo Param./var. : all/fixed

Validation process : done Method : optimization algorithm

Coupled ? no

Published ? yes References :

General description Variable description

Development

shellfish production

model of oyster and mussel productions as a function of rearing strategies and environmental conditions

Nb of state variables :

List of state variables :

Nb of forcing variables :

List of forcing variables :

Remarks / other infos

the model is 0D (in space) but solves a 1D partial differential equation of the population dynamics

Gangnery A., Bacher C., Buestel D., 2004. Modelling oyster population dynamics in a Mediterranean coastal lagoou (Thau, France): sensitivity of marketable production to environmental conditions. Aquaculture, 230, 323-347.

Gangnery A., Bacher C., Buestel D., 2004. Application of a population dynamics model to the Mediterranean mussel, Mytilus galloprovincialis, reared in Thau lagoon (France). Aquaculture, 229, 289-313.

Gangnery A., Bacher C., Buestel D., 2001. Assessing the production and the impact of cultivated oysters in the Thau lagoon (Mediterranee, France) with a population dynamics model. Can. J.Fish. Aquat. Sci. 58, 1012–1020.

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Annex A : Model Identity cards

Model name :

Short description :

Type : hydrodynamical 6

Dimension : 3D … … … …… … … …

Time step : 6 seconds … … … …… … … …

Mesh size 150x150 m temperatute … … … … …(horizontal plan) salinity … … … … …Number of meshes : 1 000-10 000 3358 (73x46)

11Integration : not integrated

wind clouds cover waves …Programming language / software : Fortran 77 air temp. precipitation bottom stress …

air humidity tides … …

Calibration process : done Method : other : Same method as validation

Sensitivity analysis : done Method : other :

Validation process : done Method : other :

Coupled ? no

Published ? submitted

Remarks / other infos

Nb of forcing variables :

List of forcing variables :

Marinov D., Norro A., Zaldívar J.-M., 2004, Application of COHERENS model for hydrodynamic investigation of Sacca di Goro coastal lagoon (Italian Adriatic Sea shore), Ecological Modelling

Sacca di Goro - 3D Physics

Based on COHERENS model (version 8.4/1999), simulates physical processes as water circulation, surface elevation, temp. & sal.

Nb of state variables :

List of state variables : longitudinal velocity

Dimitar has prepared the 3D version that we hope will be coupled with the biology part quite soon (in fact, it seems that Alain has already coded the 0D model into COHERENS), but at the moment they are separated parts.Josema

General description Variable description

transverse velocityvertical velocitysurface elevation

fresh water temp. & sal.open sea temp. and sal.

river discharge

Quantification of divergence between calculations and observations : absolute mean deviation (AMD),normalised absolute mean deviation (NAMD, normalisation is done by dividing the deviations to the observation values), and root mean square deviation (RMSD)

Ruddick K.G., Deleersnijder E., Luyten P.J. and Ozer J., 1995. Haline stratification in the Rhine-Meuse freshwater plume: a 3D model sensitivity analysis. Cont. Shelf Res. 15: 1597-1630

Development

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Annex A : Model Identity cards

Model name :

Short description :

Type : ecological 44

Dimension : OD NO3 wat. col. NH4 wat. col. SRP wat. col. Silica wat. col. O2 wat. col. NH4 interst. wat.

NO3 interst. wat. P interst. wat. Innorg. P in sed. O2 interst. wat. Org. P in sed. Org. N in sed.Time step : variable Ulva biomass N in Ulva tissue Monom. OM-C Monom. OM-N Diss. Polym1 OM-C Diss. Polym.1 OM-N

Dis. Polym.1 OM-P Diss. Polym2 OM-C Diss. Polym.2 OM-N Diss. Polym.2 OM-P Part. OM 1 C Part. OM 1 NMesh size None Part. OM 1 N Part. OM 2 C Part. OM 2 N Part. OM 2 P Detrital Si Bact. biomass(horizontal plan) Microzoopk Mesozoopk Diatoms (3 state var.) Flagellates (3 var.) Clams (6 classes) …Number of meshes : <100

18Integration : not integrated

SG Temp. SG Salinity SG Wind Rain intens. Solar rad. Rivers flow Programming language / software : Fortran NO3 rivers NH4 rivers SRP rivers O rivers Ptot rivers Si rivers

Adriatic flow NO3 Adriatic NH4 Adriatic SRP Adriatic Ptot Adriatic Ntot Adriatic

Calibration process : done Method : visual fitness

Sensitivity analysis : done Method : sensitivity index Param./var. : all/stochastic

Validation process : undone

Coupled ? no

Published ? yes Reference :

Remarks / other infos

Goro-Biology

Nutrient cycling in Sacca di Goro lagoon, phytopkt (flagellates and diatoms), zoopk (2 types), bact. loop, Ulva and clams (discrete stage based)

Nb of state variables :

List of state variables :

General description Variable description

Development

Nb of forcing variables :

List of forcing variables :

Zaldívar, J. M., Cattaneo, E., Plus, M., Murray, C. N., Giordani. G. and Viaroli, P., 2003, Long-term simulation of main biogeochemical events in a coastal lagoon: Sacca di Goro(Northern Adriatic Coast, Italy). Continental Shelf Research 23, 1847-1876. Zaldívar, J. M., Plus, M., Giordani, G. and Viaroli, P., 2003, Modelling the impact of clams in the biogeochemical cycles of a Mediterranean lagoon. Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on the Mediterranean Coastal Environment. MEDCOAST 03, E. Ozhan (Editor), 7-11 October 2003, Ravenna, Italy. pp 1291-1302.G9

We have started to prepare the cards for the 3D Goro-COHERENS, the 0D-Goro and the Goro watershed. This is the 0D biogeochemical model + clams that we are now coupling with the 3D so it will become only one identity card in few months, but at the moment we are on the process. Next will arrive soon.

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Annex A : Model Identity cards

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Annex A : Model Identity cards

30

Model name :

Short description :

Type : watershed 8

Dimension : 2D Diss P Diss.NO3 Diss. NH4 DONPart. P Part. NO3 Part. NH4 PON

Time step : 1 day

Mesh size 1 Km(horizontal plan)Number of meshes : 500-1 000

2Integration : not integrated

Rainfall Evapotransp.Programming language / software : FORTRAN

Calibration process : done Method :

Sensitivity analysis : undone

Validation process : done Method :

Coupled ? yes …to model(s) : Hydrodynamic, Ecological submodels

Published ? yes Reference :

Remarks / other infos

Gera watershed model

2-d medium resolution watershed model

General description Variable description

Nb of state variables :

List of state variables :

Nb of forcing variables :

List of forcing variables :

Arhonditsis G., Tsirtsis G., Karydis M., 2002. The effects of episodic rainfall events to the dynamics of coastal marine ecosystems: Applications to a semi-enclosed gulf in the Mediterranean Sea, J. Mar. Syst. 35, 183-205Arhonditsis G., Karydis M., Tsirtsis, G., 2002. Integration of mathematical modeling and multicriteria methods in assessing environmental change in developing areas: A case-study of a coastal system, J. Coast. Res. 18, 698-711

Development

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MISSION OF THE JRC The mission of the JRC is to provide scientific and technical support for the conception, development, implementation and monitoring of EU policies. As a service of the European Commission, the JRC functions as a reference centre of science and technology for the Union. Close to the policy-making process, it serves the common interest of Member States, while being independent of special interest, whether private or national.